Analyze performance Poisson regression model on a time series(count forecasting)
I'm not sure what you mean by "performance", but if what you mean is fit the answer is clear. You need to be using the log-likelihood to differentiate between different models. Basically, when you are fitting the model you are trying to maximize the log-likelihood. Thus the log-likelihood is giving you some sense of how well the parameters of your model are doing at fitting the data.

In your case, you want to get log-likelihood to be as close to zero as possible. Now this is kind of terrible advice, because if you were clever enough to come up with a feature for every observation, you could get a perfect fit. That's bad because your model would be completely useless. There are functions that take your log-likelihood as an input and transform it to penalize you for adding more variables, etc. We won't worry about those right now. Just keep in mind not to mindlessly lower the log-likelihood.

Once you have a model that you can live with you should run some sort of cross-validation, and/or hold out set. Then you can use any number of metrics to validate the predictive performance of your model. I think that is the more important of the two issues. You could calculate the mean square error on your hold out set. $$MSE=\sum_{i=1}^n(\hat y_i - y_i)^2$$
This would give you a really basic metric to assess how well your model is predictive of the output.