Hillary Clinton's Iowa edge is gone. 
 
 Bernie Sanders leads the former secretary of state for the first time among Iowa Democrats likely to caucus in February, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll unveiled Thursday morning — the latest in a string of surveys that show a tightening race in the Hawkeye State. 
 
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 The Vermont senator's advantage is within the margin of error — he took 41 percent compared with Clinton's 40 percent — and another 12 percent said they would support Vice President Joe Biden, who has yet to declare his 2016 intentions. (Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley picked up 3 percent, while no other candidate registered above that mark, and 3 percent were undecided.) 
 
 But the shift is a significant one, coming on the heels of polls showing Sanders edging Clinton in New Hampshire, too. Together, the results suggest a candidate reeling from the controversy over her emails and struggling to put down a rebellion on her left flank. 
 
 While Clinton remains the front-runner for the nomination, and pollsters caution against reading too much into one survey, the results reflect serious movement for Sanders: He trailed the former secretary of state by a 52-33 percent margin in Quinnipiac's last poll of Iowa's likely Democratic caucus-goers, in July. 
 
 Clinton fared better in the latest NBC News/Marist polling of Iowa released last weekend, drawing 48 percent to Sanders' 37 percent. (With the vice president in the mix, Clinton stood at 38 percent, Sanders at 27 percent and Biden at 20 percent.) 
 
 Thursday's less favorable results are unlikely to surprise many in her Brooklyn headquarters: People close to Clinton's camp have recently been warning that Sanders could win both Iowa and New Hampshire before her massive organizing infrastructure kicks in among the next wave of nominating contests on March 1, when Clinton hopes to sew up the nomination. Her allies have also long noted that no non-incumbent candidate has broken the 50 percent mark in the Iowa caucuses other than Iowa's own Tom Harkin in 1992. 
 
 But the new Quinnipiac poll is nonetheless likely to send shockwaves through the Democratic establishment, which is increasingly nervous about Clinton's inability to put the email flap to rest, and worried about her seeming difficulty connecting with voters. 
 
 The fact that Thursday's result effectively shows a tie will hardly quiet the doubters, particularly given Clinton's heavy investment in her Iowa field operation — she has 78 paid organizers in the state, compared with more than 50 for Sanders — and her consistent lead until now. 
 
 A wide range of donors and strategists close to Clinton have expressed their dissatisfaction with her response to questions about her email use. But many in and around the Brooklyn headquarters said on Tuesday and Wednesday that Clinton's forthright apology — she told ABC News' David Muir on Tuesday, "That was a mistake. I’m sorry about that. I take responsibility." — could help stanch the bleeding. 
 
 Clinton supporters can take some solace in her enduring advantage among Iowa's women. Clinton leads Sanders to 49 percent to 35 percent among female likely caucus-goers, with 9 percent for Biden; though among men, Sanders leads 49 percent to 28 percent, with 16 percent for Biden. 
 
 And she remains popular with Iowa Democrats as a whole. Likely caucus participants said they have a favorable view of Clinton by 76 percent to 20 percent, earning trustworthiness marks of 64 percent to 30 percent and 78 percent to 18 percent saying she cares about their problems. By a count of 92 percent to 7 percent, voters said the former secretary of state has strong leadership qualities and 89 percent said she had the right temperament to tackle an international crisis, compared with 9 percent who did not think so. 
 
 But Sanders fares better. He drew a higher net favorability rating of +72 points (78 percent to 6 percent), and a higher share (86 percent to 4 percent) of those saying he is trustworthy than they did of Clinton. By a count of 85 percent to 5 percent, people said the senator cares about their issues. Asked about Sanders' leadership qualities, 76 percent said they were strong, compared to 9 percent who said they were not. On his temperament in times of crisis, voters approved of him by 65 percent to 15 percent. 
 
 Biden drew a net favorability rating of +70 points (79 percent to 9 percent), while 91 percent said he is honest and trustworthy, compared to 5 percent who did not think so. By a count of 84 percent to 11 percent, likely caucus-goers said Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like them. On the leadership front, 81 percent to 14 percent gave him high marks, while in terms of his ability to handle crises, 81 percent to 13 percent said they approved of his capabilities. 
 
 A majority of those surveyed — 54 percent to 33 percent — said that they would rather the party's candidate have experience in Washington than not. 
 
 The poll was conducted in the weeks around Labor Day, from Aug. 27-Sept. 8, surveying 832 likely Democratic caucus participants in the Hawkeye State via landlines and cellphones, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. ||||| September 10, 2015 - Sanders 41 To Clinton 40 In Iowa Democratic Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Dems Say Sanders Is More Honest And Caring 
 
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 Additional Trend Information 
 
 
 
 In a come-from-behind rally, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is the choice of 41 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 40 percent picking former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 12 percent backing Vice President Joseph Biden, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. 
 
 
 
 
 
 This compares to results of a July 2 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University showing Clinton at 52 percent, with 33 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Biden. 
 
 
 
 
 
 Today, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley gets 3 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 3 percent undecided. 
 
 
 
 
 
 There is a wide gender gap among Democrats today as Sanders leads Clinton 49 - 28 percent among men, with 16 percent for Biden, while Clinton leads Sanders 49 - 35 percent among women, with 9 percent for Biden. 
 
 
 
 
 
 Sanders and Biden have a higher net favorability rating than Clinton and higher ratings for honesty and empathy. Clinton has the best scores for leadership and temperament to handle an international crisis. 
 
 
 
 
 
 "Sen. Bernie Sanders has become the Eugene McCarthy of 2016," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "He is the candidate of the Democratic left, against his own party's bosses and their prized presidential candidate, Secretary Hillary Clinton. 
 
 
 
 
 
 "Sanders has seized the momentum by offering a message more in line with disproportionately liberal primary and caucus voters." 
 
 
 
 
 
 "But unlike the late Sen. McCarthy, who came on strong just before the 1968 primaries, Sen. Sanders has seized the momentum, five months before voting begins in Iowa. History will eventually tell us whether he has made such a large move too soon," Brown added. 
 
 
 
 
 
 "Although Vice President Joseph Biden received only 12 percent of the vote in this poll of likely Democratic Caucus-goers, he still may be a winner in the zero-sum game of presidential primary politics because it further increases questions about Clinton's electability." 
 
 
 
 
 
 Clinton has a 76 - 20 percent favorability rating among likely Democratic Caucus participants, as these voters say 64 - 30 percent that she is honest and trustworthy, and 78 - 18 percent that she cares about their needs and problems. She has strong leadership qualities, voters say 92 - 7 percent, and the right temperament and personality to handle an international crisis, voters say 89 - 9 percent. 
 
 
 
 
 
 Sanders gets a 78 - 6 percent favorability rating and likely Democratic Caucus-goers say 86 - 4 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, and 85 - 5 percent that he cares about their needs and problems. Voters say 76 - 9 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 65 - 15 percent that he has the right temperament and personality to handle an international crisis. 
 
 
 
 
 
 Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants give Biden a 79 - 9 percent favorability rating. He is honest and trustworthy, voters say 91 - 5 percent, and cares about their needs and problems, voters say 84 - 11 percent. He has strong leadership qualities, voters say 81 - 14 percent and the right temperament and personality for an international crisis, voters say 81 - 13 percent. 
 
 
 
 
 
 Iowa Democrats support the nuclear pact with Iran 66 - 19 percent and say 68 - 17 percent that the agreement will make the world safer. 
 
 
 
 
 
 From August 27 - September 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 832 likely Iowa Democratic Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. 
 
 
 
 
 
 The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. 
 
 
 
 
 
 For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 
 
 
 
 
 
 3. If the Democratic caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 12% 7% 13% 15% 16% 9% Chafee - - - - - - Clinton 40 29 45 44 28 49 O'Malley 3 4 3 2 4 2 Sanders 41 59 36 32 49 35 Webb 1 - 1 1 1 - DK/NA 3 1 2 6 2 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Biden 12% 12% 11% 10% 13% 15% 11% 16% 13% 8% Chafee - - - - - - - - - - Clinton 43 37 19 40 48 53 32 38 41 50 O'Malley 3 3 1 4 2 5 1 5 3 2 Sanders 37 44 66 43 31 20 51 38 39 36 Webb 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - 2 - DK/NA 3 4 2 2 5 6 4 2 2 4 
 
 3A. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q3 ASKING BIDEN VOTERS: Who is your second choice? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. MATCHUP Q3 WITHOUT BIDEN............................................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Chafee - - - 1% 1% - Clinton 47 31 53 53 36 55 O'Malley 4 5 3 3 4 3 Sanders 44 62 41 35 54 37 Webb 1 - 1 2 2 - DK/NA 4 1 2 7 3 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Chafee 1% - - 1% - - - 1% - - Clinton 48 46 29 46 54 60 39 48 47 55 O'Malley 4 3 1 4 4 6 2 6 3 3 Sanders 42 46 67 46 37 24 55 40 44 39 Webb 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 3 - DK/NA 4 4 2 3 5 8 4 4 3 4 
 
 4. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% Chafee 9 11 7 9 8 10 Clinton 11 10 10 12 17 6 O'Malley 6 5 5 7 5 7 Sanders 3 2 2 6 3 3 Webb 6 7 7 5 6 7 No/No one 63 69 67 57 62 64 DK/NA 9 5 8 13 7 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Biden 3% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 1% Chafee 11 8 7 8 12 11 6 8 10 12 Clinton 6 14 20 8 9 6 19 13 7 6 O'Malley 5 7 7 4 6 10 7 8 5 5 Sanders 3 4 - - 5 10 5 3 2 3 Webb 6 7 6 3 8 9 7 5 6 6 No/No one 70 58 67 64 62 57 50 66 69 70 DK/NA 7 11 9 12 7 10 16 5 7 6 
 
 Q62-67. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable). 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS........... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Sanders 78 6 15 1 72 Biden 79 9 10 2 70 Clinton 76 20 3 2 56 O'Malley 33 8 59 1 25 Webb 17 8 75 - 9 Chafee 10 8 81 1 2 
 
 62. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 79% 82% 80% 78% 83% 76% Unfavorable 9 8 9 10 9 10 Hvn't hrd enough 10 8 8 11 7 12 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 86% 74% 68% 83% 81% 86% 66% 85% 81% 89% Unfavorable 8 11 11 10 11 6 12 6 12 7 Hvn't hrd enough 5 13 20 5 6 6 19 7 8 3 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 - 1 
 
 63. Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 10% 15% 9% 8% 13% 8% Unfavorable 8 8 7 8 8 7 Hvn't hrd enough 81 76 83 83 78 84 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 10% 11% 9% 12% 10% 11% 9% 5% 12% 15% Unfavorable 7 8 6 5 9 12 11 7 6 7 Hvn't hrd enough 82 81 84 82 81 76 79 87 82 76 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - 1 
 
 64. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 76% 76% 82% 74% 67% 84% Unfavorable 20 21 14 22 30 11 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 3 2 2 3 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 82% 72% 64% 79% 80% 83% 69% 76% 80% 81% Unfavorable 15 23 32 19 16 11 26 22 17 15 Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 1 3 2 REFUSED 1 2 2 - 3 2 3 1 - 2 
 
 65. Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 33% 42% 37% 25% 37% 29% Unfavorable 8 7 5 9 9 7 Hvn't hrd enough 59 51 57 65 53 63 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 38% 28% 29% 29% 36% 37% 24% 32% 34% 42% Unfavorable 6 9 13 6 6 6 13 9 3 5 Hvn't hrd enough 55 62 57 64 58 55 61 59 62 53 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 2 2 - - - 
 
 66. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 78% 92% 82% 66% 82% 75% Unfavorable 6 1 3 12 5 7 Hvn't hrd enough 15 6 13 21 12 17 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 86% 72% 85% 79% 77% 69% 70% 79% 83% 83% Unfavorable 3 8 1 6 6 13 7 10 4 5 Hvn't hrd enough 10 19 14 14 16 16 22 11 13 10 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 
 
 67. Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 17% 21% 14% 16% 20% 14% Unfavorable 8 12 9 5 7 8 Hvn't hrd enough 75 67 78 78 72 77 REFUSED - - - 1 1 - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 22% 13% 10% 21% 15% 23% 11% 16% 20% 20% Unfavorable 6 10 10 7 8 7 13 10 3 8 Hvn't hrd enough 72 77 80 72 76 69 76 73 77 71 REFUSED - 1 - - 1 1 1 - - - 
 
 68. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 64% 65% 68% 62% 57% 70% No 30 31 28 31 38 24 DK/NA 5 4 4 7 5 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 68% 62% 47% 69% 67% 75% 57% 62% 69% 70% No 28 32 49 28 27 16 39 33 26 26 DK/NA 4 7 4 3 6 9 3 5 5 4 
 
 69. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 86% 95% 90% 77% 89% 83% No 4 1 2 7 4 4 DK/NA 10 4 8 16 7 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 92% 81% 93% 84% 84% 84% 83% 81% 93% 89% No 2 5 2 3 5 5 7 4 3 1 DK/NA 5 14 5 13 11 12 10 16 4 9 
 
 70. Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 91% 95% 92% 88% 92% 90% No 5 4 4 6 6 5 DK/NA 4 1 4 6 3 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 93% 89% 89% 90% 90% 95% 87% 93% 93% 93% No 4 6 5 5 6 3 8 5 4 4 DK/NA 3 5 6 4 3 2 5 2 3 4 
 
 71. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 92% 93% 96% 89% 88% 96% No 7 7 3 9 11 3 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 95% 90% 89% 94% 93% 93% 90% 94% 93% 97% No 4 8 9 6 6 5 9 6 6 3 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 2 - - 1 1 
 
 72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 76% 88% 83% 64% 81% 72% No 9 4 4 15 9 8 DK/NA 15 7 13 22 10 20 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 77% 75% 89% 80% 70% 61% 75% 76% 80% 78% No 8 9 7 5 9 14 13 7 8 6 DK/NA 15 16 4 15 21 24 13 17 13 16 
 
 73. Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 81% 82% 82% 82% 83% 80% No 14 12 16 13 15 13 DK/NA 5 6 2 5 3 7 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 85% 78% 79% 82% 80% 85% 75% 85% 84% 83% No 10 16 18 12 14 10 18 13 11 11 DK/NA 5 5 3 7 6 4 6 1 5 6 
 
 74. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 78% 79% 79% 78% 69% 85% No 18 17 18 18 26 11 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 4 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 82% 75% 68% 77% 82% 86% 68% 80% 82% 85% No 14 21 29 20 13 9 28 15 14 13 DK/NA 4 4 3 3 5 5 4 5 3 2 
 
 75. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 85% 94% 92% 75% 88% 82% No 5 1 2 10 6 5 DK/NA 10 4 6 15 7 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 92% 80% 91% 84% 82% 80% 76% 85% 91% 91% No 3 7 5 3 6 8 10 3 4 1 DK/NA 5 13 3 13 12 12 13 11 5 8 
 
 76. Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 84% 92% 86% 79% 84% 85% No 11 4 11 15 13 9 DK/NA 5 4 4 6 4 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 89% 80% 78% 87% 85% 87% 72% 92% 87% 90% No 6 14 16 9 11 5 21 5 8 6 DK/NA 4 6 6 3 5 8 7 3 5 4 
 
 77. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 89% 94% 92% 85% 83% 95% No 9 6 6 12 14 5 DK/NA 2 - 2 2 3 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 95% 85% 84% 93% 90% 92% 82% 88% 93% 96% No 4 12 13 6 10 6 16 10 7 2 DK/NA 1 3 4 2 - 2 1 2 - 2 
 
 78. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 65% 80% 65% 54% 70% 60% No 15 7 15 21 14 15 DK/NA 21 13 20 26 16 24 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 69% 62% 81% 64% 62% 49% 67% 65% 64% 67% No 14 15 10 16 12 22 17 11 16 14 DK/NA 18 23 9 20 26 29 16 24 20 19 
 
 79. Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 81% 85% 78% 81% 84% 78% No 13 11 16 12 13 13 DK/NA 6 4 6 8 3 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 83% 79% 75% 84% 81% 84% 77% 85% 83% 82% No 11 14 18 11 13 8 13 12 12 13 DK/NA 6 7 7 5 6 8 10 3 4 4 
 
 80. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Very satisfied 9% 11% 6% 9% 7% 10% Smwht satisfied 51 50 62 47 47 54 Smwht dissatisfied 24 23 22 27 29 21 Very dissatisfied 15 14 10 17 17 14 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Very satisfied 8% 9% 4% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11% 5% 9% Smwht satisfied 60 44 50 55 52 46 41 50 53 67 Smwht dissatisfied 23 25 31 15 25 25 27 20 26 18 Very dissatisfied 9 19 14 16 13 18 21 17 14 6 DK/NA 1 2 1 3 - 1 2 1 1 - 
 
 81. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Almost all the time 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 3% Most of the time 23 25 24 23 23 24 Some of the time 51 50 57 50 50 53 Hardly ever 21 19 17 25 25 18 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Almost all the time 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% Most of the time 24 23 24 24 24 21 22 20 26 26 Some of the time 59 46 50 53 52 50 46 55 53 56 Hardly ever 14 27 23 20 19 22 27 20 19 15 DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 
 
 82. If you had to choose, which type of experience do you think would better help a candidate serve effectively as president; someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom DC experience 69% 69% 75% 64% 63% 73% DC outsider 23 24 16 28 29 19 DK/NA 8 7 9 8 7 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K DC experience 74% 64% 59% 63% 76% 76% 62% 69% 71% 74% DC outsider 17 29 39 25 15 13 34 23 19 18 DK/NA 9 7 2 11 8 11 4 8 11 8 
 
 83. Would you rather have a presidential candidate whose political experience was mostly outside of Washington or mostly in the government in Washington? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Outside Washington 33% 26% 31% 41% 40% 27% In Washington 54 59 54 49 51 57 DK/NA 13 15 15 10 9 16 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Outside Washington 27% 38% 46% 34% 28% 23% 39% 40% 31% 23% In Washington 58 51 48 50 61 58 52 51 57 56 DK/NA 15 11 6 16 11 19 9 10 12 21 
 
 84. What do you think is the best preparation for being President; working in government or working in business? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Government 75% 86% 77% 67% 76% 74% Business 14 10 11 19 15 14 DK/NA 11 4 12 14 9 12 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Government 80% 71% 81% 71% 75% 73% 71% 78% 75% 79% Business 11 17 13 17 16 11 20 12 16 9 DK/NA 9 12 6 12 10 16 9 10 9 11 
 
 86. In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which is more important to you: a candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate or a candidate who comes closest to your views on issues? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Defeat Rep candidate 32% 33% 40% 26% 26% 36% Closest to views 66 65 58 71 71 62 DK/NA 3 2 2 2 3 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Defeat Rep candidate 39% 26% 12% 30% 42% 43% 21% 31% 34% 42% Closest to views 58 71 85 69 55 53 79 66 63 55 DK/NA 2 3 2 2 2 4 1 3 3 2 
 
 87. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Enthusiastic 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% Sat/Not enthusiastic 34 36 38 32 32 36 Dissat/Not angry 46 36 45 54 49 43 Angry 16 23 14 12 15 17 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Enthusiastic 3% 4% 5% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% Sat/Not enthusiastic 36 33 36 33 34 34 34 37 33 32 Dissat/Not angry 46 45 44 47 49 41 41 41 50 53 Angry 14 17 14 17 13 21 19 18 14 12 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 2 - - - 
 
 88. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Legal all cases 46% 68% 43% 32% 37% 53% Legal most cases 40 29 45 45 47 35 Illegal most cases 8 2 8 13 11 6 Illegal all cases 3 1 2 4 2 3 DK/NA 3 1 2 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Legal all cases 47% 45% 48% 53% 40% 41% 43% 41% 53% 42% Legal most cases 44 37 38 36 47 39 37 39 38 49 Illegal most cases 6 10 10 7 8 8 10 14 5 6 Illegal all cases 1 4 2 3 2 5 6 2 1 2 DK/NA 1 4 2 2 2 7 4 3 2 1 
 
 89. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Legal 93% 98% 97% 88% 93% 93% Illegal 4 1 2 7 5 4 DK/NA 3 1 1 4 2 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Legal 98% 89% 95% 93% 93% 89% 90% 93% 98% 96% Illegal 1 7 4 4 4 7 9 3 1 2 DK/NA 1 4 1 4 3 4 1 4 1 3 
 
 90. How about when an abortion is necessary to save the life of the mother; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Legal 95% 98% 96% 93% 95% 95% Illegal 2 1 - 3 1 3 DK/NA 3 1 4 5 4 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Legal 98% 92% 93% 98% 95% 93% 92% 95% 99% 97% Illegal 1 3 2 - 2 3 4 - - 1 DK/NA 1 5 5 2 3 3 4 5 1 2 
 
 91. If you agreed with a presidential candidate on other issues, but not on the issue of abortion, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes 66% 49% 72% 75% 79% 55% No 30 48 25 21 19 40 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 64% 67% 70% 60% 71% 63% 64% 71% 65% 66% No 31 30 30 37 25 29 34 25 32 30 DK/NA 5 3 - 3 4 8 2 4 2 4 
 
 92. Is your opinion of Planned Parenthood favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Favorable 85% 98% 91% 74% 83% 87% Unfavorable 6 1 2 10 7 5 Hvn't hrd enough 8 1 7 14 9 7 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 90% 81% 85% 92% 83% 82% 80% 86% 87% 93% Unfavorable 4 7 6 3 5 9 6 4 5 5 Hvn't hrd enough 5 10 7 5 12 7 12 8 8 2 REFUSED - 2 2 - 1 2 2 3 - - 
 
 93. Do you support or oppose cutting off federal government funding to Planned Parenthood? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Support 9% 3% 9% 13% 10% 8% Oppose 87 96 88 81 85 89 DK/NA 4 - 4 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Support 6% 11% 8% 11% 7% 10% 13% 8% 7% 6% Oppose 92 84 86 87 89 86 82 89 90 93 DK/NA 2 5 5 2 4 4 5 4 3 1 
 
 94. Would you support or oppose shutting down the government over differences about federal government funding to Planned Parenthood? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Support 7% 7% 2% 9% 7% 7% Oppose 90 92 96 87 92 89 DK/NA 3 1 2 4 1 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Support 5% 9% 9% 8% 7% 4% 16% 1% 5% 4% Oppose 93 88 88 91 90 93 81 99 90 96 DK/NA 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 - 5 - 
 
 95. Who would you blame more for a government shutdown; the Republicans in Congress or Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Reps in Congress 84% 91% 86% 79% 83% 85% Obama/Dems in Congrs 3 - 2 6 4 3 BOTH EQUALLY(VOL) 8 6 10 9 11 6 DK/NA 4 3 2 6 3 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Reps in Congress 90% 79% 77% 84% 88% 85% 79% 84% 86% 89% Obama/Dems in Congrs 1 5 3 3 4 4 7 1 4 1 BOTH EQUALLY(VOL) 7 10 14 9 4 8 10 11 6 7 DK/NA 2 6 6 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 
 
 96. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S. 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom A) Stay/Citizenship 85% 97% 87% 76% 85% 85% B) Stay/Not citizen 4 1 5 6 4 4 C) Not stay 9 1 7 16 9 9 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K A) Stay/Citizenship 89% 82% 90% 86% 81% 81% 80% 86% 87% 87% B) Stay/Not citizen 6 3 4 3 6 4 1 5 4 6 C) Not stay 4 13 5 9 11 12 17 6 8 5 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 2 
 
 97. Do you support or oppose the nuclear deal with Iran? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Support 66% 79% 70% 55% 73% 60% Oppose 19 10 13 28 16 21 DK/NA 15 11 17 17 11 19 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Support 75% 58% 53% 70% 67% 75% 51% 62% 76% 75% Oppose 11 25 28 17 15 15 31 23 14 5 DK/NA 14 16 19 13 18 9 18 15 9 20 
 
 98. Do you think the nuclear deal with Iran would make the world safer or less safe? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Safer 68% 81% 71% 57% 76% 62% Less safe 17 7 11 28 14 20 DK/NA 14 11 18 14 10 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Safer 76% 63% 61% 71% 69% 74% 54% 69% 78% 75% Less safe 10 23 25 15 15 14 32 15 14 5 DK/NA 14 14 14 14 16 11 15 16 8 20 
 
 99. Would you support or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria? 
 
 LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Support 37% 32% 37% 43% 39% 36% Oppose 57 63 59 49 57 56 DK/NA 6 5 4 8 4 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Support 29% 43% 50% 40% 34% 24% 41% 34% 38% 37% Oppose 66 50 47 55 61 63 51 62 56 58 DK/NA 6 7 3 6 5 13 8 4 5 5 
 
 100. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against ISIS? ||||| Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton just endorsed a policy that, if implemented, could give a huge advantage to her primary opponent Bernie Sanders. 
 
 On Tuesday, Clinton laid out a broad plan for curbing the influence of money in politics that includes everything from overturning the Supreme Court’s Citzens United ruling to introducing new disclosure rules for federal contractors donating to campaigns. But one of the more interesting parts of the proposal is Secretary Clinton’s endorsement of a small dollar-matching contributions system. 
 
 Under such a system, donations made to a campaign beneath a certain dollar amount would be “matched” by the federal government in order to strengthen the political power of small dollar donors and dilute the influence of wealthy donors who can make large contributions. One of the effects of such a system is that it would substantially strengthen the fundraising power of campaigns like that of Bernie Sanders, which rely on aggregating a large amount of small donations from a broad base of donors. 
 
 During the last round of FEC filings, Politico reported that the Sanders campaign drew 67% of its $13.6 million haul from donations of $200 or less. By contrast, the Clinton campaign drew only 18% of its $47 million in fundraising from donations of $200 or less. If a matching contribution limit was set at $200 and the matching rate was six to one (similar to the rates under a plan currently proposed in Congress) Sanders’ totals would more than quadruple while Clinton’s funds would less than double. 
 
 With new polling out that shows Bernie Sanders leading Hillary Clinton by 9 points among likely primary voters in New Hampshire, that kind of shift in fundraising dynamics could have a dramatic impact on the outcome of the Democratic nominating contest. Such a policy, however, is unlikely to pass Congress before the 2016 general election, let alone after. 
 
 Clinton’s endorsement of multiple matching contributions comes on the same day that Sanders’ campaign launched a big push for small dollar donations in honor of the candidate’s 74th birthday.
– A Quinnipiac poll out today brings an unwelcome milestone for Hillary Clinton: She trails for the first time in Iowa to Bernie Sanders, 41% to 40%. That's within the poll's margin of error but still a notable shift from July, when she was way out in front 52% to 33%. Previous polls have shown that Sanders also is leading in New Hampshire, and with all the usual caveats about early-state polls, the two taken together should give the Clinton camp plenty to think about. Here's a sampling of reaction: Time: Sanders' "rapid gain on Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire reflects broader concern among liberal Democrats with economic inequality, college affordability, healthcare and campaign finance reform, issues that Sanders has trumpeted throughout his campaign." Politico: The "shift is a significant one, coming on the heels of polls showing Sanders edging Clinton in New Hampshire, too. Together, the results suggest a candidate reeling from the controversy over her emails and struggling to put down a rebellion on her left flank." CNN: "For Clinton, the poll will come as a sharp reminder of her 2008 race, when she also faltered in Iowa despite her once-inevitable nominee status." Click to read about a plan Clinton endorses—that could actually give Sanders a big edge.