ndits of fifteen years ago expected or predicted. This in turn has enabled the mobile broadband industry to transfer relatively large amounts of relatively heavily compressed data across a highly variable radio channel in a way that would have been hard to imagine 15 years ago. Competition or Collaboration? This helps to develop the discussion as to whether technology convergence is a precursor to market and business convergence. Different parts of the telecoms industry today remain quite separate from each other. Although the mobile cellular and terrestrial broadcast industry have site shared for thirty years the two industries remain separate because an adversarial auction process reduces the commercial incentive to collaborate. Similarly, mobile phone calls travel over copper and fibre networks for at least part of their journey with routing that is closely coupled and managed at a technical level. It could be argued that this would suggest a more closely linked commercial relationship would be beneficial. Competition policy, however, is pulling in the opposite direction. Satellite networks also tend to be treated separately both in terms of standards policy, spectral policy and regulatory policy yet technically they are becoming more closely integrated with other delivery options. Cable networks are similar. Technical similarity is increasing over time but commercial interest remains distinct and separate - a competitive rather than collaborative delivery model. The reason for this is that standards making, regulatory policy and competition policy, responds to change but does not anticipate change. Pure economists will argue that collab- orative delivery models are incompatible with the principles of open market efficiency and that a market-led model will be more efficient at technology anticipation. However, this is an obvious Catch 221 situation. Market entities may or may not be good at anticipating change. Indeed, an ambition of this book is to try and point out how technology forecasting can be improved 