Only about 55 percent of patients survive five years after the transplant. Those rates are better at Bay Area hospitals, where about two-thirds of patients can expect to survive that long. Nationwide, only a third of patients live 10 years.It’s unclear what, exactly, goes wrong after the first year.octors don’t know how I got it, (non smoker) but I’m pre transplant right now (not yet put on the list), but they said in about 3 years I may need a bilateral transplant. As you all know the prognosis of this disease isn’t good at all; according to the statistics I’ll be dead within 3 – 5 years.