Sending 100 Leopard tanks to Ukraine is not going to enable it to reclaim much more lost territory. It hopefully will enable it to maintain its current defenses and to blunt an anticipated new Russian offensive. For Ukraine to really move the needle, it will need many hundreds of tanks as well as scores of modern jet fighters and other heavy offensive equipment. That in turn means dragging the war on for many more months and even years. In the meantime, Russia will continue to systematically bomb Ukraine's cities and slaughter its civilians. For every 1 Russian civilian being killed on Russian territory, 99 Ukrainian civilians are dying in Ukraine. Those are not sustainable odds. Russia is betting that NATO will not be able or willing to continue arming and financing Ukraine for the next 10 years, nor to give it the means to reconquer much more of its territory. That in turn will eventually convince Ukraine to settle along the lines demanded by Russia, which is not only a repulsive thought, but also geopolitically foolish (unless Ukraine joins NATO).  Russia will continue this war for as long as it views the Ukrainian Government as a "bulwark" against Russian expansion, no matter the cost to Russia in lives and materiel.  There may even come a time when NATO will need to decide whether to intervene directly or to let Ukraine go down the tubes, either militarily or financially. We are only at the beginning of this war, which will color and transform the rest of the 21st Cent.

Sending 100 Leopard tanks to Ukraine is not going to enable it to reclaim much more lost territory. It hopefully will enable it to maintain its current defenses and to blunt an anticipated new Russian offensive. For Ukraine to really move the needle, it will need many hundreds of tanks as well as scores of modern jet fighters and other heavy offensive equipment. That in turn means dragging the war on for many more months and even years. In the meantime, Russia will continue to systematically bomb Ukraine's cities and slaughter its civilians. For every 1 Russian civilian being killed on Russian territory, 99 Ukrainian civilians are dying in Ukraine. Those are not sustainable odds. Russia is betting that NATO will not be able or willing to continue arming and financing Ukraine for the next 10 years, nor to give it the means to reconquer much more of its territory. That in turn will eventually convince Ukraine to settle along the lines demanded by Russia, which is not only a repulsive thought, but also geopolitically foolish (unless Ukraine joins NATO).  Russia will continue this war for as long as it views the Ukrainian Government as a "bulwark" against Russian expansion, no matter the cost to Russia in lives and materiel.  There may even come a time when NATO will need to decide whether to intervene directly or to let Ukraine go down the tubes, either militarily or financially. We are only at the beginning of this war, which will color and transform the rest of the 21st Cent.

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