▁and ▁Labor ▁to ▁win ▁with ▁a ▁ 6 – 7 ▁per ▁cent ▁two - party - pre ferred , ▁ 2 0 - se at ▁swing . ▁ ▁Peter ▁Day , ▁a ▁journalist ▁( ex - The ▁Australian ), ▁stated ▁two ▁days ▁before ▁the ▁election ▁that , ▁if ▁the ▁Co al ition ▁were ▁re - elect ed , ▁it ▁would ▁be ▁" the ▁biggest ▁pol ling ▁embar rass ment ▁in ▁any ▁developed ▁country ▁since ▁Tr uman ▁beat ▁De we y ▁in ▁ 1 9 4 8 ". ▁ ▁The ▁election - e ve ▁New sp oll ▁and ▁Gal axy ▁poll ▁reported ▁the ▁A LP ▁on ▁a ▁ 2 PP ▁of ▁ 5 2 ▁per ▁cent , ▁Roy ▁Morgan ▁on ▁ 5 3 . 5 ▁per ▁cent , ▁with ▁A CN iel sen ▁on ▁ 5 7 ▁per ▁cent . ▁Seven ▁News ▁reported ▁that ▁T AB ▁had ▁updated ▁their ▁odd s ▁for ▁the ▁election , ▁with ▁Labor ▁having ▁safe ▁odd s ▁of ▁$ 1 . 2 0 ▁and ▁the ▁Co al ition ▁an ▁outside ▁chance ▁on ▁$ 4 . 6 0 . ▁ ▁Sky ▁News - Channel ▁ 7 - Aus p oll ▁exit ▁pol ls ▁on ▁election ▁day ▁of ▁ 2 , 7 8 7 ▁vot ers ▁in ▁the ▁ 3 1 ▁most ▁marg inal ▁seats ▁suggested ▁a ▁ 5 3 ▁per ▁cent ▁two - party ▁preferred ▁figure ▁to ▁Labor , ▁ 5 3 ▁per ▁cent ▁to ▁Labor ▁in ▁B enn el ong , ▁and ▁ 5 8 ▁per ▁cent ▁to ▁Labor ▁in