▁Am ara ' s ▁law ▁ ▁His ▁ad age ▁about ▁forec ast ing ▁the ▁effects ▁of ▁technology ▁has ▁become ▁known ▁as ▁Am ara ' s ▁law ▁and ▁states : ▁ ▁We ▁tend ▁to ▁over est imate ▁the ▁effect ▁of ▁a ▁technology ▁in ▁the ▁short ▁run ▁and ▁under est imate ▁the ▁effect ▁in ▁the ▁long ▁run . ▁ ▁The ▁law ▁has ▁been ▁used ▁in ▁explaining ▁nan ote chn ology . ▁ ▁Selected ▁bibli ography ▁ ▁Books ▁ ▁Re ports ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁ ▁▁▁▁▁ ▁Pub lished ▁in ▁Conference ▁proceed ings ▁ 1 9 7 8 ▁Winter ▁Sim ulation ▁Conference ▁( W SC ▁ 1 9 7 8 ). ▁P df . ▁ ▁References ▁ ▁Category : 1 9 2 5 ▁birth s ▁Category : 2 0 0 7 ▁death s ▁Category : F ut uro log ists ▁Category : American ▁scient ists <0x0A> </s> ▁Co en od om us ▁h ock ing ii ▁is ▁a ▁species ▁of ▁sn out ▁moth ▁in ▁the ▁genus ▁Co en od om us . ▁It ▁was ▁described ▁by ▁W als ingham ▁in ▁ 1 8 8 8 , ▁and ▁is ▁known ▁from ▁the ▁United ▁States , ▁India ▁and ▁Indones ia . ▁ ▁The ▁lar va e ▁are ▁gre g ari ous , ▁and ▁live ▁in ▁strong ▁tub es ▁of ▁white ▁sil k , ▁of ▁the ▁consist ency ▁ ▁of ▁st out ▁card board . ▁These ▁are ▁open ▁at ▁both ▁ends , ▁and ▁from ▁three ▁to ▁fifteen ▁are ▁ag gl omer ated ▁together , ▁the ▁heads ▁of ▁the ▁lar va e ▁project ing