▁but ▁the ▁government - aligned ▁G IS ▁XX I ▁( direct ed ▁by ▁former ▁Ch ave z ▁interior ▁minister ▁J esse ▁Ch ac ón ) ▁consist ently ▁gives ▁poll ▁predictions ▁more ▁fav ou rable ▁to ▁PS U V ▁than ▁other ▁pol lst ers . ▁G IS ▁XX I ' s ▁predictions ▁for ▁the ▁February ▁ 2 0 0 9 ▁constitution al ▁refer endum ▁just ▁before ▁pol ling ▁day ▁tal lied ▁closely ▁with ▁those ▁of ▁the ▁independent ▁Instituto ▁Venez ol ano ▁de ▁An ál isis ▁de ▁D atos ▁( IV AD ), ▁and ▁both ▁closely ▁matched ▁the ▁outcome ▁( a ▁nearly ▁ 1 0 ▁percent ▁margin ▁of ▁victory ▁for ▁appro val ); ▁opposition - link ed ▁companies ▁were ▁predict ing ▁heavy ▁defeat ▁as ▁late ▁as ▁December ▁ 2 0 0 8 . ▁ ▁In ▁August ▁ 2 0 1 0 , ▁the ▁newspaper ▁Ú lt imas ▁Not ici as ▁published ▁what ▁it ▁said ▁was ▁the ▁result ▁of ▁an ▁un pub lished ▁opinion ▁poll ▁by ▁Dat an ál isis , ▁which ▁showed ▁the ▁PS U V ▁was ▁likely ▁to ▁win ▁ 1 2 4 ▁of ▁the ▁National ▁Assembly ' s ▁ 1 6 5 ▁seats , ▁which ▁would ▁give ▁it ▁a ▁two - third s ▁majority . ▁Dat an ál isis ▁later ▁clar ified ▁that ▁the ▁results ▁were ▁a ▁February ▁ 2 0 1 0 ▁ext rap olation ▁of ▁the ▁results ▁of ▁the ▁last ▁national ▁election , ▁the ▁ 2 0 0 9 ▁constitution al ▁refer endum . ▁ ▁Results ▁ ▁Complete ▁results ▁were ▁available