In the 2016 US presidential elections, how many votes were cast before Election Day? In 2016, more than 41 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. How many people had voted by early October 2020, compared to 2016? According to Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor who tracks early voting statistics:

Early Voting Continues at Record Pace with 3.3 million voted

The headline continues to be the unprecedented 3.3 million people who have already voted. At a similar point in time before the 2016 election, I was tracking only 74,836 people who voted. What was Prof. McDonald's total estimated number of voters in the 2020 general election? There is thus nothing in these data to change my preliminary estimate of 150 million voters in the 2020 general election. What percentage of voters then, had submitted their vote by early October, 2020? 3.3 million of 150 million is 2.2 %. How many people actually voted in the US 2020 general election? Approximately 240 million people were eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election and roughly 66.1% of them submitted ballots, totalling about 158 million.
30% to 40% of Americans will have voted by Oct. 1. 2020
Determine the veracity of the claim "30% to 40% of Americans will have voted by Oct. 1. 2020" based on the evidence in form of question-answer pairs "In the 2016 US presidential elections, how many votes were cast before Election Day? In 2016, more than 41 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. How many people had voted by early October 2020, compared to 2016? According to Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor who tracks early voting statistics:

Early Voting Continues at Record Pace with 3.3 million voted

The headline continues to be the unprecedented 3.3 million people who have already voted. At a similar point in time before the 2016 election, I was tracking only 74,836 people who voted. What was Prof. McDonald's total estimated number of voters in the 2020 general election? There is thus nothing in these data to change my preliminary estimate of 150 million voters in the 2020 general election. What percentage of voters then, had submitted their vote by early October, 2020? 3.3 million of 150 million is 2.2 %. How many people actually voted in the US 2020 general election? Approximately 240 million people were eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election and roughly 66.1% of them submitted ballots, totalling about 158 million.".

Options: 

 - supported

 - refuted

 - not enough evidence

 - conflicting Evidence/Cherrypicking
refuted
Determine the veracity of the claim "30% to 40% of Americans will have voted by Oct. 1. 2020" based on the evidence in form of question-answer pairs "In the 2016 US presidential elections, how many votes were cast before Election Day? In 2016, more than 41 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. How many people had voted by early October 2020, compared to 2016? According to Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor who tracks early voting statistics:

Early Voting Continues at Record Pace with 3.3 million voted

The headline continues to be the unprecedented 3.3 million people who have already voted. At a similar point in time before the 2016 election, I was tracking only 74,836 people who voted. What was Prof. McDonald's total estimated number of voters in the 2020 general election? There is thus nothing in these data to change my preliminary estimate of 150 million voters in the 2020 general election. What percentage of voters then, had submitted their vote by early October, 2020? 3.3 million of 150 million is 2.2 %. How many people actually voted in the US 2020 general election? Approximately 240 million people were eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election and roughly 66.1% of them submitted ballots, totalling about 158 million.".

Options: 

 - supported

 - refuted

 - not enough evidence

 - conflicting Evidence/Cherrypicking
user
refuted
assistant