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ECONOMIC FREEDOM AND GROWTH: THE
CASE OF THE CELTIC TIGER
Ireland was one of Europes poorest countries for more than two
centuries. Yet, during the 1990s, Ireland achieved a remarkable rate
of economic growth. By the end of the decade, its GDP per capita
stood at $25,500 (in terms of purchasing power parity), higher than
both the United Kingdom at $22,300, and Germany at $23,500
(Economist Intelligence Unit [EIU] 2000: 25). In 1987, Irelands
GDP per capita was only 63 percent of the United Kingdoms (The
Economist 1997). As Figure 1 shows, almost all of the catching up
occurred in a little over a decade. From 1990 through 1995, Irelands
GDP increased at an average rate of 5.14 percent per year, and from
1996 through 2000, GDP increased at an average rate of 9.66 percent
(International Monetary Fund 2001).
Most theories of economic growth can be dismissed as an explanation for the rapid growth of the Irish economy. The thesis of this
paper is that no one particular policy is responsible for Irelands
dramatic economic growth. Rather, a general tendency of many policies to increase economic freedom has caused Irelands economy to
grow rapidly.
The first section of this paper looks at general policies and economic growth in Ireland from 1950 to 1973. The second section
examines Irelands experience with Keynesian policies and a fiscal
crisis in the 197387 period. The third section considers the policies
used to correct the fiscal crisis and achieve the dynamic growth that
occurred from 1987 through 2000. The policies in the above periods
Cato Journal, Vol. 22, No. 3 (Winter 2003). Copyright Cato Institute. All rights
reserved.
Benjamin Powell is a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at George Mason University and a Social
Change Fellow at the Mercatus Center. He thanks Peter Boettke, Christopher Coyne, Todd
Zywicki, the participants at the Association of Private Enterprise Education conference in
Cancun 2002, the participants at the Mercatus Center brown bag series, and an anonymous
referee, for helpful suggestions on earlier drafts. He also thanks the Mercatus Center and the
American Institute for Economic Research for financial support.
IRELANDS
CAPITA GDP CONVERGENCE
SOURCE: OECD (2002).
are explained more broadly in the context of economic freedom and
its relationship to economic growth in the fourth section. Other possible explanations of Irish economic growth are briefly explored. The
paper ends with conclusions that can be drawn from Irelands experience.
Early Prospects for Growth, 195073
The Irish Republic had a dismal record of economic growth before
1960. At the dawn of the 20th century Ireland had a relatively high
GDP per capita, but it declined markedly vis--vis the rest of northwestern Europe up until 1960. During the 1950s, the policy stance of
successive governments was that of protectionism. Exports as a proportion of GDP were only 32 percent, with more than 75 percent of
those exports going to the United Kingdom (Considine and OLeary
1999: 117). The high level of government interference in trade and
the other parts of the economy caused dismal economic performance.
In the 1950s, average growth rates were only 2 percent, far below the
postwar European average (EIU 2000: 5). That dismal performance
CELTIC TIGER
was reflected in massive emigration that reduced Irelands population
by one-seventh in the 1950s (Jacobsen 1994: 68).
The Irish government slowly shifted away from highly protectionist
policies in the 1960s and began to pursue a strategy of export-led
growth (Considine and OLeary 1999: 117). Unilateral tariff cuts in
1964 and again in 1965, as well as the Anglo-Irish Trade Agreement
in 1965 that swapped duty-free access of Irish manufactures to Britain
for progressive annual 10 percent reductions in Irish tariffs, were
particularly beneficial policies that helped make Ireland more attractive to foreign investors (Jacobsen 1994: 81).
Trade liberalization during the 1960s fueled Irelands economic
growth. Output expanded at an average annual rate of 4.2 percent,
nearly double that achieved in the 1950s (EIU 2000: 5). Still, there
was a great deal of state intervention in the economy during this time,
and while the growth was much higher than the 1950s, it is not nearly
as remarkable as the growth Ireland has experienced since 1990.
During the decade of the 1960s, the rest of Europe was also experiencing about 4 percent GDP growth. Irelands freer trade policies
merely allowed it to cash in on the generally good growth rates the
rest of Europe was experiencing. Ireland made no progress converging to the rest of Europes standard of living; in fact, it actually fell
slightly, from 66 percent of the EU 12 average in 1960 to 64 percent
in 1973 (Considine and OLeary 1999: 117).
Keynesian Policies and Fiscal
Mismanagement, 197386
In the early 1970s, Ireland made further advances in trade liberalization and joined the European Economic Community in 1973.
For the most part, however, the period from 1973 until 1986 was
characterized by Keynesian policies that led to a fiscal crisis. Following the first oil shock in 1973 and continuing through the second oil
shock in 1979, Ireland tried to boost aggregate demand through increased government expendituresa policy that failed to revive the
Irish economy.
The expansionary fiscal policies had the effect of putting the government in poor fiscal condition. The government had run substantial
deficits, associated with the first oil shock, mostly for the purpose of
financing capital accumulation up until 1977, which caused a ballooning current-account deficit (Honohan 1999:76). After 1977, the government engaged in an even more unsustainable fiscal expansion
causing public-sector borrowing to rise from 10 percent of GNP to 17
percent, despite increased taxation. All categories of government
spending increased between 1977 and 1981: wages and salaries increased due to national pay agreements; public bodies took on more
staff to try to reduce unemployment; transfer payments increased;
and an ambitious program of public infrastructure expansion caused
capital spending to increase (Honohan 1999: 76). Interest payments
also increased during this time. International interest rates were at an
all-time high, and lenders required Ireland to pay a high risk premium. Interest rates in Ireland were 15 percent higher than in Germany (Considine and OLeary 1999: 118).
The government reacted, in the early 1980s, by increasing taxes on
labor and consumption to try to reduce the budget deficit. Although
the primary deficit was cut in half, the debt-to-GDP ratio continued
to climb, and by 1984 further tax increases were not seen as a viable
solution to Irelands fiscal situation (Lane 2000). The level of accumulated debt was 116 percent of GDP by 1986 (Considine and
OLeary 1999: 119). High levels of government debt, interest payments, and expenditures put the Irish government in a precarious
fiscal position.
Irelands economic growth during this time period was as dismal as
its fiscal condition. Ireland averaged 1.9 percent expansion of GDP
per year between 1973 and 1986 (Considine and OLeary 1999: 111).
Although that low growth rate was the same as during the 1950s, the
difference was that the rest of Europe also grew slowly. Consequently, Ireland remained at about two-thirds the level of GDP per
capita of the European Union. There was one sector of the Irish
economy that did do relatively well during the 197386 period. Because of Irelands increasing openness to trade, foreign-owned firms
continued to expand, increasing their employment by 25 percent
(Considine and OLeary 1999: 119).
Unleashing the Tiger, 19872000
A radical policy shift was needed because of Irelands fiscal crisis.
The newly elected prime minister, Charles Haughey, had not followed a policy of limited government while previously in office
(197982). In fact, his big spending policies played a part in creating
the crisis (The Economist 1988). Prior to the 1987 reforms, Haughey
and the incoming Fianna Fail government had campaigned on a
populist platform against cutting public spending. It was the urgency
of the fiscal crisis, not an ideological shift, that caused policy to
change in Ireland. As Lane (2000: 317) notes, The fiscal adjustment
program was broadly based and non-ideological. Rather, there was a
wide consensus that drastic action was the only option, with the alternative being a full-scale debt crisis requiring external intervention
from the IMF or EU. Haughey himself said, The policies which we
have adopted are dictated entirely by the fiscal and economic realities, I wish to state categorically that they are not being undertaken
for any ideological reason or political motives but because they are
dictated by the sheer necessity of economic survival (Jacobsen 1994:
177). Even the main opposition party supported Haugheys reforms
(Lane 2000).
Since Ireland was a member of the European Monetary System
(EMS), and had just successfully cut back its rate of inflation from
19.6 percent in 1981 to 4.6 percent in 1986, monetizing the debt
through inflation was not a viable option (Lane 2000). Tax increases
had already failed to resolve the crisis in the early 1980s. With both
inflation and tax increases ruled out, reducing government expenditures was Irelands only option to resolve its fiscal crisis.
In order to bring Irelands budget under control, health expenditures were cut 6 percent, education 7 percent, agricultural spending
fell 18 percent, roads and housing were down 11 percent, and the
military budget was cut 7 percent. Foras Forbatha, an environmental
watchdog, was abolished as were the National Social Services Board,
the Health Education Bureau, and the Regional Development Organizations. Through early retirement and other incentives, public sector employment was voluntarily cut by nearly 10,000 jobs (Jacobsen
1994: 17778).
After cutting government spending in 1987, a budget was set for
1988, which had the biggest spending cuts Ireland had seen in 30
years. Current spending was reduced by 3 percent and capital spending was cut by 16 percent (The Economist 1988: 9). The reductions in
government spending got Ireland out of its fiscal crisis. The primary
deficit was eliminated in 1987, and the debt-to-GDP ratio started
falling sharply from its 1986 peak. By the end of 1990, government
debt was less than 100 percent of GDP (Honohan 1999: 81).
Although the reductions in government spending were made to
solve the fiscal crisis and not as an attempt to achieve a more economically liberal state, over the course of a few years, they did have
the effect of reducing the size of the governments role in the
economy. Government noninterest spending declined, from a high
of about 55 percent of GNP in 1985, to about 41 percent of GNP by
1990 (Honohan 1999: 80).
With the size of government in the economy reduced, the macroeconomic environment stabilized, and the free trade policies that had
existed for decades, Irelands economy began growing at a rate of 4
percent by 1989 (Jacobsen 1994: 181). That level of growth was impressive compared with the 1.9 percent growth between 1973 and
1986, when the government had been pursuing activist fiscal policies.
However, the 4 percent growth is not nearly as remarkable as the
tiger growth experienced in the late 1990s. The government made
further policy changes in the 199095 period, which helped to bring
about the higher rate of growth.
Once Ireland resolved its fiscal problems, there was the possibility
that it could begin engaging in reckless expansionary fiscal policies
again. The signing of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 helped to make
Irelands commitment to sound fiscal policies more credible and permanent. The treaty required members to maintain fiscal deficits below 3 percent of GDP and set a target of a 60 percent debt-to-GDP
ratio by the start of the Economic and Monetary Union in 1999.
Those provisions constrained Irelands ability to issue debt in order to
expand government spending.
Inflation is another option to finance an expansion of government
spending. Ireland has been a member of the EMS from the outset in
March 1979. There is a fixed exchange rate between the Irish currency and the other EMS members, limiting Irelands ability to pursue an expansionary monetary policy and inflation. With the exception
of an early bout of high inflation through 1984, Irelands annual rate
of change in the CPI was less than 5 percent in all but two years up
to 1995, and inflation averaged only 1.9 percent from 1995 through
With commitments limiting the governments ability to fund increased spending through inflation or debt issue, increased taxation is
the only other available method. Traditionally, it has been harder to
increase government spending through taxation, because it is a more
obvious burden to voters. This reality has helped to assure investors
that the government is not likely to engage in another dramatic increase in spending.
High levels of taxation were already in place in Ireland before
either monetary or debt policy was constrained. Ireland had top marginal tax rates as high as 80 percent in 1975 and 65 percent in 1985.
During the 1990s both personal and corporate tax rates decreased
dramatically, and tariff rates continued to decline. In 1989 the standard income tax rate was lowered from 35 percent to 32 percent, and
the top marginal rate was lowered from 58 percent to 56 percent
(Jacobsen 1994: 182). The standard rate was down to 24 percent and
the top down to 46 percent by 2000. Those rates were further reduced for 2001 to 22 percent and 44 percent, respectively (EIU 2000:
28).1 Although Ireland has had relatively free trade for a long time,
the mean tariff rate continued to decline from 7.5 percent in 1985 to
6.9 percent in 1999.
The standard corporate tax rate fell from 40 percent in 1996 to 24
percent by 2000 (EIU 2000: 29). There is also a special 10 percent
corporate taxation rate for manufacturing companies and companies
involved in internationally traded services, or located in Dublins International Financial Services Centre or in the Shannon duty-free
zone (EIU 2000: 29). Ireland came under pressure from the European Commission to eliminate the special 10 percent corporate tax.
In an agreement with the EC, Ireland promised to raise the special 10
percent rate, however, it will also lower the standard rate. In 2003 the
standard rate will be lowered to 12.5 percent, and the 10 percent rate
will not be offered to new firms. Some firms, who are currently
eligible, will keep the 10 percent rate until 2005 or 2010. Overall, this
change should be beneficial to Irelands economy because it will
almost cut in half the standard corporate tax rate and eliminate the
bias to particular industries and areas that the special 10 percent rate
Because of the many decreases in tax rates and the growth of the
Irish economy, Ireland now enjoys a lower tax burden than any other
EU country except Luxembourg. Irelands total tax revenue in 1999,
(including social security receipts) was 31 percent of GDP, much
lower than the EU average of 46 percent (EIU 2000: 28).
During the period from 1987 through 2000 Ireland closed and
surpassed the living standard differential with the rest of Europe.
There was strong growth in the early part of the 1990s and remarkable tiger growth in the late 1990s when GDP growth averaged
more than 9 percent from 1996 through 2000. The policies undertaken during that time were not the sole cause of the growth that has
taken place. Rather, they are better viewed as the final missing piece,
The social partnership agreement between government, employer federations, and labor
unions has played a role in the continued tax reductions and low inflation. The agreements
began in 1987 and have been continually renewed with minor revisions since. Those
agreements have effectively turned unions into a force lobbying for reductions in taxes and
inflation. Lane (2000) notes that the unions promised wage moderation, partly compensated by a reduction in labor taxes and with the implicit promise that the government would
maintain price stability. McMahon (2000) argues the holding down of wage rates by these
agreements was important for making Ireland more competitive in attracting companies
which resulted in growth. It is important to remember though, that the wage constraint on
the part of the unions was not so much a sacrifice by workers to attract business, as it was
the unions forcing a reduction in taxes to compensate the workers, so their real after-tax
wage could still increase, while attracting more businesses and creating more jobs.
which when finally put in place, allowed the broader cause of economic growth to take hold.
Economic Freedom and Growth in Ireland
Government actions that hinder peoples ability to engage in mutually beneficial exchanges limit the standard of living that the people
are able to achieve. Restrictions on international trade and domestic
regulations interfere with some mutually beneficial trades. Taxes and
inflation take wealth away from citizens that could have been used to
make trades to increase their well being. Legal security and the rule
of law give people the confidence that when they undertake longterm projects for mutual benefit, the government or other citizens
will not be able to arbitrarily seize their increased wealth. While an
imperfect measure, per capita GDP roughly reflects the standard of
living. As Ireland increased economic freedom, per capita GDP rose.
Holcombe (1998) provides a theory of the relation between entrepreneurship and economic growth, in which the entrepreneur is the
endogenous engine of economic growth.2 According to Holcombe,
when entrepreneurs take advantage of profit opportunities, they create new entrepreneurial opportunities that others can act upon. In
this way, entrepreneurship creates an environment that makes more
entrepreneurship possible. Since the Kirznerian entrepreneur (see
Kirzner 1973) is alert to profit opportunities that satisfy consumer
desires, the more entrepreneurship there is, the more consumer desires are satisfied, and the more growth will result. The Kirznerian
entrepreneur is also omnipresent; hence, the institutional environment in which he operates must be considered to explain differences
in economic growth. According to Holcombe (1998: 5859),
When entrepreneurship is seen as the engine of growth, the emphasis shifts toward the creation of an environment within which
opportunities for entrepreneurial activity are created, and successful entrepreneurship is rewarded. Human and physical capital remain inputs into the production process, to be sure, but by themselves they do not create economic growth. Rather, an institutional
environment that encourages entrepreneurship attracts human and
physical capital, which is why investment and growth are correlated.
When the key role of entrepreneurship is taken into account, it is
For a survey of the endogenous growth literature that Holcombe is incorporating his
theory into and contrasting his theory with, see Romer (1994).
apparent that emphasis should be placed on market institutions
rather than production function inputs.
Harper (1998) examines the institutional conditions for entrepreneurship. His central thesis is that the more freedom people have, the
more likely they are to hold internal locus-of-control beliefs, and the
more acute will be their alertness to profit opportunities. That increased alertness leads to more entrepreneurial activity.
Combining Holcombe (1998) and Harper (1998), we have a theoretical argument for why increases in economic freedom provide an
institutional environment that promotes more entrepreneurship, and
how more entrepreneurship functions as an endogenous source of
growth. Their argument is consistent with empirical investigations
into the relationship between economic freedom and growth.
There is vast amount of literature linking economic freedom to
growth and measures of well being. Studies by Scully (1988 and
1992), Barro (1991), Barro and Sala-I-Martin (1995), Knack and
Keefer (1995), Knack (1996), Keefer and Knack (1997) all show that
measures of well-defined property rights, public policies that do not
attenuate property rights, and the rule of law tend to generate economic growth. Gwartney, Holcombe, and Lawson (1998) found a
strong and persistent negative relationship between government expenditures and growth of GDP for both OECD countries and a larger
set of 60 nations around the world. They estimate that a 10 percent
increase in government expenditures as a share of GDP results in
approximately a 1 percentage point reduction in GDP growth. Using
the Fraser and Heritage indexes of economic freedom, Norton (1998)
found that strong property rights tend to reduce deprivation of the
worlds poorest people while weak property rights tend to amplify
deprivation of the worlds poorest people. Grubel (1998) also used the
Fraser Institutes index of economic freedom to find that economic
freedom is associated with superior performance in income levels,
income growth, unemployment rates, and human development. All of
those findings are consistent with Holcombes entrepreneurial theory
of endogenous growth and Harpers theory of institutional conditions
conducive to entrepreneurship. That theoretical structure and those
empirical regularities are also consistent with Irelands economic
freedom and growth.
Some aspects of economic freedom have been present in Ireland
for a long time. During times when gains in economic freedom occurred, growth improved. The rapid growth of the Celtic tiger only
occurred once all aspects of economic freedom were largely respected at the same time.
After the protectionist decade of the 1950s, when economic growth
averaged only 2 percent a year, the 1960s saw the liberalization of
trade policy, which increased economic freedom and growth improved, averaging 4.2 percent over the course of the decade. The
1970s saw further advances in the liberalization of international trade,
but, at the same time, the government was engaging in Keynesian
interventionist fiscal policies that interfered with citizens economic
freedom. Growth stagnated in Ireland as well as in the rest of Europe.
During the early 1980s, high inflation, fiscal instability, a high level of
government spending, and high taxation all limited economic freedomresulting in an average growth rate of only 1.9 percent from
1973 to 1986. The contraction in the level of government spending, in
response to the fiscal crisis, increased economic freedom and growth
resumed. During the 1990s further tax reductions and credible commitments not to engage in a reckless expansion of government spending continued to increase economic freedom. Never before have all of
the components of economic freedom been present simultaneously in
Ireland. When all aspects of economic freedom were respected in
Ireland, the synergy between the components allowed the dynamic
growth that occurred in the late 1990s.
The above description of economic policies that increased and
decreased economic freedom is broadly reflected in the Fraser Institutes 2002 index of economic freedom. Ireland was the 13th freest
country in the world, in 1970, and had an overall summary rating of
6.7. The rating had fallen to 5.8 in 1975 and by 1985 it had increased
to 6.2. By 1990, when Irelands economic growth began to pick up,
Irelands score had increased to 6.7. When Ireland was experiencing
its rapid tiger growth, in 1995, it was the worlds 5th freest
economy, and in 2000 it was the 7th freest economy, achieving scores
of 8.2 and 8.1, respectively. From 1985 to 2000, Ireland improved its
score on all five of the freedom indexs broad categories (Gwartney
and Lawson 2002).
Figure 2 plots Irelands five-year average growth rates and its overall freedom scores from 1970 through 2000. The figure shows Irelands growth was strongest when its freedom scores had the most
dramatic improvements.
Other Possible Explanations of Irelands
Growth Considered
There are a number of other possible explanations for Irelands
dramatic economic growth. One explanation is that the neoclassical
growth model predicts convergence, so Irelands economic growth
IRELANDS ECONOMIC FREEDOM SCORE
NOTE: The growth rate plotted in 1973 is the average growth rate for the
years 197175; the point at 1978 is for 197680, and so forth.
SOURCES: Gwartney and Lawson (2002), OECD (2002).
should be expected. Another explanation is transfer payments from
the EU have caused economic growth in Ireland. Other explanations
focus on foreign direct investment (FDI) or economies of agglomeration as the source of Irelands growth. Finally, some have even
suggested that the dramatic growth is only an illusion in the GDP
account. All of those explanations are either incorrect or incomplete.
Each will be considered in turn.
One alternative explanation is that there has not been a Celtic
tiger. As The Economist (1997: 21) reported, Is it too good to be
true? Yes a few critics say: it was all done with smoke mirrors and
money from Brussels. One argument is that Irelands GDP is much
higher than GNP because of the amount of profits that foreign-owned
companies send back to their owners overseas. The high GDP numbers, therefore, do not necessarily translate into wealth for the Irish
citizens. Yet, The Economist also notes that Irelands GNP has been
growing nearly as quickly as its GDP. The dramatic economic growth
in the 1990s is not only evident from the increases in both GDP and
GNP but also in other statistics. For example, by 1995 life expectancy
at birth was 78.6 years for women and 73 years for men, up from 75.6
and 70.1, respectively in 198082 (EIU 2000: 17). The economic
growth is also translating into more material goods for the Irish population. For example, between 1992 and 1999, the number of cars
registered in Ireland increased by 40 percent (EIU 2000: 19). Perhaps
the strongest indications that economic growth actually occurred in
Ireland are the immigration statistics. Ireland has typically experienced emigration, however the trend reversed itself in the 1990s.
Between 1996 and 1999, there was an average annual increase in the
population of 1.1 percenthigher than the population growth rate of
any other EU country during that time. In the 12 months leading up
to April of 1998, Ireland had 47,500 immigrants arrive, the most
immigrants Ireland had recorded up to that time (EIU 2000: 15).
Regardless of any difficulties with measurement of GDP or GNP, all
statistics point to a dramatic improvement in the Irish economy during the 1990s.
Both theoretical and empirical evidence show that EU subsidies
have not been a major cause of Irelands economic growth. The
difficulties of economic calculation and public choice problems present theoretical reasons why transfers to the Irish government cannot
be a major cause of growth.
The government needs some method to calculate which projects
have the most potential, if a transfer to the Irish government from the
EU is going to be used to create the greatest possible growth. When
a businessman faces this problem he looks at expected profits and
then uses profit-and-loss accounting to evaluate his decisions ex post
to make corrections. The government does not have that method of
calculation available to it (Mises 1944, 1949). It is true that when
Ireland receives subsidies from the EU and spends the money on new
projects there will be an increase in measured GDP. However, the
government has no way to evaluate whether the project was the
citizens highest valued use of the EU transfer or if the project was
valued at all. The GDP that is created is not necessarily wealth enhancing. It may actually retard growth by directing scarce resources
to government projects that could have been better used by private
entrepreneurs if the government had not bid the resources away.
Agricultural subsidies are one component of EU transfers and are
an example of how well-meaning transfers can get in the way of
economic development. McMahon (2000: 8990) notes that, These
[subsidies] boost rural incomes but have little impact on investment
and may retard economic adjustment by keeping rural populations
artificially high. The subsidies change the marginal incentives for
farmers, making them more likely to stay on their farms, instead of
migrating to the cities. In this way, the subsidies hinder the process of
moving resources to their most highly valued use. As long as people
are subsidized to stay in particular professions, Ireland will not fully
exploit its comparative advantage in the international division of labor. This depresses incomes and slows growth.
Public choice theory points to another problem with the argument
that EU transfers have caused massive growth. Why would government officials ever allocate the resources to the most growthenhancing project even if they were able to calculate? Entrepreneurs
direct resources to the highest valued projects because they have a
property right in the profits from the investment. Government officials have no such residual claim. They can benefit more by giving the
transfers to projects that benefit their political supporters, instead of
directing them to the most growth-enhancing projects. That strategy
would impose a dispersed opportunity cost on the rest of society,
while creating a concentrated benefit for special interest groups (Olson 1965). Unless the political process perfectly disciplines elected
officials and bureaucrats for not allocating EU transfers to the most
growth-enhancing projects, they will not have incentives to do so.
Since voters have incentives to remain rationally ignorant, there is
little reason to believe they do perfectly discipline public officials.
The presence of EU funds retards growth in another way as well.
Baumol (1990) argues that while the total supply of entrepreneurs
varies among societies, the productive contribution of the societys
entrepreneurial activities varies much more because of their allocation between productive activities, such as innovation, and unproductive activities, such as rent seeking. The presence of EU funds creates
a rent for Irish entrepreneurs to seek. This will cause some entrepreneurs, who were previously engaging in productive and innovative
activity, to engage in rent seeking instead. This rent seeking wastes
both physical and human resources that could have been used to
satisfy consumer demands and increase economic growth.
There is no sound theoretical case for viewing EU structural funds
as the cause of Irelands economic growth. Government officials have
no way to know what investment projects will generate the most
growth and, even if they did, they have little incentive to undertake
Empirically, if EU transfers were a major cause for Irelands
growth, we would expect Irelands growth to be highest when it was
receiving the greatest transfers. Figure 3 demonstrates that this is not
the case, and that growth rates and net transfers as a percent of GDP
NET EU RECEIPTS
SOURCE: Department of Finance, Ireland (2002).
have actually moved in opposite directions during Irelands rapid
growth. Ireland began receiving subsidies after joining the European
community in 1973. Net receipts from the EU averaged 3.03 percent
of GDP during the period of rapid growth from 1995 through 2000,
but during the low growth period, from 1973 through 1986, they
averaged 3.99 percent of GDP (Department of Finance 2002). In
absolute terms, net receipts were at about the same level in 2001 as
they were in 1985. In 1985 Irelands net receipts were 1,162.3 million
euros and in 2001 they were 1,268.8 million euros. Throughout the
1990s, Irelands payments to the EU budget steadily increased from
359.2 million euros in 1990 to 1,527.1 million euros in 2000. Yet, in
2000, the receipts in from the EU are 2,488.8 million euros, less than
the 1991 level of 2,798 million euros. Irelands growth rates have
increased, while net funds from the EU remained relatively constant
and have shrunk in proportion to Irelands economy.
If the subsides were really the cause of Irelands growth, we would
also expect other poor countries in the EU, who receive subsidies, to
have a high rates of economic growth. EU Structural and Cohesion
Funds represented 4 percent of Greek, 2.3 percent of Spanish, and
3.8 percent of Portuguese GDP (Paliginis 2000). None of those coun444
tries achieved anywhere near the rate of growth the Irish economy
experienced. Greece averaged 2.2 percent GDP growth, Spain averaged 2.5 percent GDP growth, and Portugal averaged 2.6 percent
GDP growth, from 1990 through 2000 (Clarke and Capponi 2001:
Irelands growth also cannot be explained by the neoclassical convergence that a Solow growth model would predict. That model predicted Irish convergence incorrectly for more than 100 years. Even
during the 1960s, when Irelands economy had a high rate of growth,
it still was not converging on the standard of living of other European
nations. It was actually losing ground. All of Irelands convergence
occurred in a 13-year time span, from 1987 through 2000. The Economist (1997: 22) was wrong when it reported, There is more to it
than the surge since 1987. Ireland has been catching up for decades.
. . . In many ways the dreadful years between 1980 and 1987 were
more unusual than the supposedly miraculous ones since 1990. Ireland had not done any catching up before 1987. In 1960 the Irish
Republic had a GDP per capita that was 66 percent of the EU
average, and in 1986 it had actually decreased to 65 percent of the
average (Considine and OLeary 1999). There had been some growth
during that time but it was less than the EU experienced. The model
needs to explain why Ireland converged only after 1987 and why it
converged so rapidly.
Knack (1996) found empirical evidence of strong convergence in
per capita incomes among nations with institutionsnamely, secure
private property rightsconducive to saving, investing, and producing. That form of conditional convergence, with the introduction of
free-market institutions, is much more plausible in Irelands case than
neoclassical convergence. Ireland did experience increases in economic freedom just prior to and during its remarkable growth. The
extent that it was conditional convergence that drove growth, as opposed to just adopting the appropriate institutions, is not clear. The
fact that the Irish economy has not slowed since achieving convergence casts doubt on the importance of even conditional convergence
and instead points to the adoption of market-friendly institutions as
the source of growth. Once Ireland had converged with the EU and
United Kingdoms standard of living, it achieved record growth of
11.5 percent during 2000 (EIU 2001: 11). While convergence conditional on an institutional environment of secure private property
rights is more consistent with Irelands experience than neoclassical
convergence, both fail to explain Irelands rapid growth in the last few
years of the 1990s and in 2000.
FDI and economies of agglomeration are two explanations of Ire445
lands growth that do have some merit but that are incomplete by
themselves. FDI has certainly played a role in Irelands growth.
America alone had $10 billion ($3,000 per capita) invested in Ireland
by 1994, and by 1997 foreign-owned firms were said to account for 30
percent of the economy and nearly 40 percent of exports (The Economist 1997: 22). Economies of agglomeration, where like firms try to
locate near each other to take advantage of positive externalities, have
also helped. Ireland has had particular success in attracting industrial
developments with large numbers of high tech and manufacturing
companies that benefit from being near each other. The relevant
question is, Why did massive FDI, which has spurred economies of
agglomeration, not occur sooner? What changed in Ireland were the
institutional conditions that attracted FDI. The FDI and economies
of agglomeration are an indication of institutional factors favorable to
economic growth, not the cause of the growth.
The interesting question to ask is, What gives rise to favorable
conditions that allow growth to occur? This article has maintained
that it is the institutional framework that hinders or helps the market
achieve economic growth. The key institutional factor is the degree of
economic freedom enjoyed by the people.
In May 1997, The Economist stated, How much longer the Irish
formula will deliver such striking success is difficult to say. . . . Ireland
grew quickly for more than 30 years because it had a lot of catching
up to do, and because policy and circumstances conspired to let it
happen. Success of that kind, impressive and unusual though it may
be, contains the seeds of its own demise. The article concluded by
saying, If Ireland has another decade as successful as the last one, it
will be a miracle economy indeed (The Economist 1997: 24).
The fact is Ireland had not been catching up for 30 years; it accomplished its catching up in 13 years. Rapid rates of growth have
continued to be recorded since converging with Europes standard of
living. The neoclassical growth model does not account for Irelands
success. Rather, rapid growth has been driven by increases in economic freedom. As long as Ireland continues to pursue policies that
increase economic freedom, the Irish miracle is likely to continue.
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Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 1960 to 1995. In N. Collins (ed.)
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March 2002 (www.irlgov.ie/finance/publications/otherpubs/bes02a.pdf).
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London: Economist Intelligence Unit.
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Unit (August).
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Gwartney, J., and Lawson, R. (2002) Economic Freedom of the World: 2002
Annual Report. Vancouver, B.C.: Fraser Institute.
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the Macro Basis of Economic Recovery and Expansion. In F. Barry (ed.)
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Cross National Test of Institutional Explanations. Economic Inquiry 35:
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and Politics 7: 20727.
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The Irish Experience. Journal of Policy Reform 3: 30126.
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Prosperous. Halifax, N.S.: Atlantic Institute for Market Studies.
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Mises Institute.
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Cross National Study. Cato Journal 18 (2): 23345.
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