evidence: Warnock’s victory means that only one of this year’s 35 Senate elections didn’t go the same way as the state’s 2020 presidential vote. The exception was Wisconsin, where Republican Sen. Ron Johnson won a third term this year by fewer than 27,000 votes – or 1% of the nearly 2.65 million votes cast – even though Democrat Joe Biden carried the state (by fewer than 21,000 votes) in 2020. Although Wisconsin’s Senate race was the lone exception this year, the midterms did reinforce the Badger State’s especially "swingy" reputation: Simultaneously with Johnson’s victory, Democratic Gov. Tony Evers won a second term by about 90,000 votes, or roughly 3.4 percentage points. This is the second update to an analysis first published in June 2018 of the growing alignment between states’ presidential and senatorial votes. We relied on the Federal Election Commission, supplemented by information from the U.S. House Clerk’s office, for past years’ election results and compared the winning party in each Senate election with the outcome of the most recent presidential election in that state. The 2022 results were taken from The New York Times’ election tracker and The Washington Post. [...] Note: This is an update to a post originally published June 26, 2018, and most recently updated on Jan. 8, 2021.