evidence: On 2 October, Bosnia and Herzegovina will hold elections at a time of multiple crises. While its sovereignty is under routine assault by neighbouring states and Russia, Bosnians are losing their confidence in the intentions of the political West. [...] Dodik’s SNSD is an overtly secessionist party, centred on the Serb-dominated Republika Srpska entity established as an administrative territory within the Bosnian state at Dayton in 1995. The country’s other primary entity is the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, where most of Bosnia’s Bosniaks and Croats live. [...] Bosnia is already one of the most geopolitically vulnerable polities in Europe. With its sovereignty under routine assault by neighbouring states, often with the assistance of hostile powers like Russia, Sarajevo has traditionally relied on the support of the Atlantic community.