evidence: The claim: You have a 2.4% chance of getting COVID-19 and a 0.05% chance of dying from it [...] In the video, which was originally published on TikTok before spreading to Instagram on Aug. 4, the video creator ran the numbers for the world’s approximate population, global COVID-19 cases and corresponding deaths. She concluded there's a 2.4% chance of contracting COVID-19 and a 0.05% chance of dying from it. [...] Based on our research, we rate PARTLY FALSE the claim that a given person has a 2.4% chance of getting COVID and a 0.05% chance of dying from it. These figures are roughly correct on a global scale, but at an individual level the risk varies hugely, experts say. The chances of getting sick or dying from COVID-19 vary based on individual factors like age, health history and location.