evidence: Jingo Cui and GianCarlo Moschini [...] American Journal of Agricultural Economics, aay035, https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aay035 [...] Hayes, who is also co-director of FAPRI, says his forecasts are based on calculations that are consistent with those reached independently by experts at Duke University, Durham, North Carolina; Texas A&M University, College Station, and the EPA.