evidence: "Now, since they have Karabakh under control, they don’t need any agreement with the Armenian government. They might just move forward and say: ‘OK, we have some territory and we take some more. Or just take the whole Syunik region." [...] Every local understands they are in harm’s way. Samvel, a shepherd, takes his long stick and draws a map in a muddy path – here is Azerbaijan and here is Turkey, he says, and only Armenia’s Syunik region, where we are, sits between them. [...] Those routes could include an attack at Jermuk, a mountain town in the northern Vayots Dzor region, where Azerbaijani troops have been already taken positions in the heights overlooking the settlement, or at Kapan, the capital of the Syunik region, he said.