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February 14th EUR/USD Market Analysis
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📈 Market Analysis Summary
In the short term, EUR/USD may rise to the 1.0480 and 1.0515 regions, with key support at 1.0385.
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💡 Trade Recommendation
It’s recommended to look for buying opportunities around 1.0400 if EUR/USD pulls back. If it breaks the 1.0480 resistance, it may further rise to the 1.0515 region. If the price falls below the 1.0400 support, it could test the 1.0385 support, with potential downside risks to 1.0370 or even 1.0300.
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📉 Fed Policy and Market Impact
The dollar has weakened recently, mainly due to U.S. economic data. Despite the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) being higher than expected, the market still anticipates the Fed may cut rates by about 33 basis points in 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized that although inflationary pressures remain, the Fed is not in a hurry to cut rates, and the future policy path will depend on changes in core inflation data.
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💼 Trade Policy and Tariff Impact
Trump has proposed a 25% tariff on all aluminum and steel imports, although the policy has not yet been implemented, market trade concerns have eased in the short term, helping stabilize the dollar. Meanwhile, the Eurozone could face more trade tensions, especially if the U.S. imposes additional tariffs on European cars, potentially putting further pressure on the euro.
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🌍 Geopolitical and Tariff Policy
Geopolitical uncertainty remains. Although the market is optimistic about the prospects for peace in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, there have been no major events affecting the dollar’s movement. If the situation improves and risk appetite increases, funds may flow out of dollar assets; conversely, if the conflict intensifies, the dollar may find support as a safe-haven currency.
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💹 EUR/USD Market Performance
EUR/USD bounced back from 1.0370 yesterday, rising to around 1.0465. In the short term, the euro may continue to consolidate. If it stabilizes above 1.0385, it could rise further to the 1.0480–1.0515 region.
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🔧 Technical Analysis
• Support Levels:
The short-term support level is around 1.0385. If EUR/USD pulls back to this area and stabilizes, a low-entry long position may be considered.
A stronger support level is at 1.0370, and if broken, the price may further test 1.0300.
• Resistance Levels:
The current upward resistance is at 1.0480. If broken, EUR/USD could advance to 1.0515.
If it fails to break 1.0480, the price may consolidate or even retrace.
• Short-Term Trade Advice:
Consider buying on dips around 1.0400, with a target of 1.0480. If it breaks 1.0480, watch the 1.0515 region.
Place a stop loss below 1.0370 to avoid downside risk.
If the price breaks the 1.0480 resistance, continue holding long positions and monitor upward potential.
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#Gold #Forex #Index #CrudeOil #MarketAnalysis #Airdrop #Airdrops #Giveaway #Bitcoin #Crypto #Omnichain #Ethereum #DeFi #NFT #Rhinosmart #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis #TradeRecommendation #FedPolicy #TradePolicy #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading