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Jyotika's Tropical Storms Blog: September 2007
[Jyo_hurricane] The Tropical Remains of the Day: October 1, Update A
TD Karen has been downgraded to a low with no more NHC advisories. TSMelissa is a TD but is so weak that the NHC has also stopped advisories. There is still some circulation with both systems, so I will check up onthem once in a while, but this is my last entry on both.The wind shear was really strong - too much for them to cope with. I'msure you've been on the edge of your seats wondering what I wanted to sayabout wind shear... so here you go...Maybe you have heard that in an El Nino year we have fewer Atlantic stormsbecause the wind shear is strong, and conversely, in a La Nina year wehave more storms because the wind shear is weak? An El Nino year is whenthe waters in the central/eastern Pacific are warmer than usual, withassociated changes in the overlying atmosphere. A La Nina is when thewaters are colder than usual. The temperature change usually peaks in thewinter months.I do not agree that there is such a strong connection between El Nino/LaNina and the hurricane season - there is *some* connection, but not asmuch as some folks would like everyone to believe.Last year the much-vaunted justification for an "unexpectedly" quietseason was because of a surpise El Nino that resulted in a strong windshear, which supressed the storms. That (in my humble opinion) isincorrect (and hence not unexpected). The 2006 season was weak for anumber of other reasons.This year, we heard that the season would be strong partly because of a LaNina that would result in weaker wind shear. I agree with one part ofthis. We are, indeed, in a La Nina. You can check the temperatures in thePacific at any time by going to http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/.Ifyou click on the figure with the colorful panels, the map will get bigenough to see the details. At the moment, temperatures are -2.5 deg Cbelow the average in the Pacific - most definitely a La Nina.So the slight flaw in the wind shear argument is that we are in a La Ninaand the wind shear is pretty strong.Clearly, there are still a "couple of things" we need to work out abouthurricanes and our present-day climate in general. But for now, it's timefor a glass of wine. Priorities you know. ;)If you have any questions, about this or some other aspect of hurricanes,please don't hesitate to ask.So, until there's something else out there... or it's the last day of theseason - whatever comes first, ciao,J.Blogs archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TD Karen & TS Melissa: September 29, Update A
TD Karen:After so many days of being in a strong wind shear environment (over 30 ktshear), Karen is looking really poorly and just got downgraded to aTropical Depression. I would completely agree with that. Her track was abit loopy yesterday (but then again, whose isn't? ;) ), but she is nowheading northwestward. I'll still be watching her because there is somecirculation, but won't send anything out unless there's a change(instensification or otherwise).TS Melissa:Formerly TD 14 in the eastern Atlantic, TS Melissa is a weak system and isheading west-northwestward. She is also in a relatively high wind shearenvironment, which is not helping her cause. The forecast track takes herout to the Atlantic. Like Karen, I won't send anything out on her unlessthere is a change, or unless she looks like she is heading towards land.I was going to give you all something to ponder over concerning the strongwind shear, but it's the weekend and you probably have lots of other funthings to do. So I'll save that for a rainy day - but don't forget thatthese storms are having difficulty developing because of the strong windshear. I'll be mentioning it again soon.Have fun! :)J.Blogs archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Karen, the remains of Lorenzo, and TD 14: September 28, Update A
I'll start with the easiest first.TD 14:This is a new Tropical Depression, way out in the eastern Atlantic, close to the Cape Verde Islands. It has some circulation and convection. It is heading in a northwestward direction into the Atlantic at the moment. Unless someone tells me they know someone on the Cape Verde Islands, I won't send anything else on this until I becomes a named storm. So... er... more on this later today then.TD Lorenzo, formally known as TS Lorenzo, and briefly known as Hurricane Lorenzo:He was moving so slowly that he did have a chance to intensify some more before making landfall. He was upgraded to a hurricane yesterday evening, and stayed as such for about 5-6 hours, but rapidly lost steam (puns always intended :) ) after making landfall at around 1 am this morning in Mexico. He's now inland and a depression so this is my last entry on him.TS Karen:She's still out in the Atlantic and that very strong westerly wind shear is successfully keeping her disorganized, so all the convection is to the east of the circulation. Until a few hours ago there wasn't too much deep convection to speak of, but since the last NHC advisory the deep convection has picked up again. This might be a mid-afternoon strengthening. The NHC forecast has her downgraded to a depression at the next advisory, but with this convective activity, they might hold back from that. Either way, she's a weak system at the moment.They did move her long-term track a little closer to the islands, as expected. Her movement has been a little doolalee (sp?) today, because the high pressure that has been steering her in a west-northwestward direction until now has changed a bit. It stayed strong to the north and east, but also started building up to the west, so she has had this little pocket in which she is moving around in a circular manner - she started at 15.1N, 49.2W a few hours ago, and is now at 15.9N, 49.2W but looks like she might head back southward a bit - it is difficult to tell when she will finish this circular sort of motion. There's a chance she will get out of this and instead of resuming her west-northwestward track, she will move a bit more north-northwestward (away from land) - it is tricky to see at the moment, so I might send out another note later today once she has finished dancing in circles.That's all for now folks!J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Karen & TS Lorenzo: September 27, Update A
TS Karen:She's undergoing some *very* strong wind shear from the west (at least 50 knots in some places) so if you look at a satellite image you can see a beautiful rotation and center of circulation, but all the convection is to her east. I don't remember seeing such strong wind shear for any storm so far this season. She remains a TS, and it looks like that shear will continue for a day or so. The high pressure has not weakened much since yesterday, so I expect her to maintain a west-northwest path for the next few days. This will keep her in the Atlantic, but maybe a bit closer to the VIs (in 4-5 days) than the current cone suggests. She's still moving at around 12 mph, and has winds of about 65 mph.TS Lorenzo:TD 13 was named earlier this afternoon after a plane went into the system and found 60 mph winds (TS: 39-73mph; 34-63kt). He is moving at a mere 3mph in a south-westward direction and is over waters of 29-31 deg C. He is also very close to land (Mexico) so it is unlikely he will develop much more than this - but because he is moving so slowly, the center won't make landfall until early tomorrow morning. He is mostly a rain event. Probably another system which will be a named tropical storm for less than 24 hours.I suppose if we are to have above average years, then these are the sorts of storms to have!Toodles for today,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Karen, TD 13, and the Florida Blob: September 26, Update A
This is like a box of chocolates - there's an assortment of things out there.Tropical Storm Karen:As expected, she has strengthened and is now close to hurricane strength with winds of 70mph (Cat 1: 74-95mph, 64-82kt). The deep convection has just decreased, but that's just a temporary blip and not a long term decrease, so we might see Hurricane Karen by the end of today. She is over waters warmer than 28 deg C, but is in a region of reasonably strong wind shear so that might help to keep the intensity down for a while. As for the track, the pressure maps show the high that has been steering her westwards is a little weaker. I can see the low that is supposed to erode the high, but the question is will it happen before she gets close to the Caribbean. Some models say yes, others say maybe not. For now, I would say she'll stay on a west-northwest path for the next 24 hours, which is more westward than the official center of cone forecast. There is still room and time for her to stay in the Atlantic, but I would still be prepared on the islands (don't put your rain gear away yet :) ). She's plodding along at 13 mph, and will take another 5-6 days still to get to the Caribbean vicinity.Tropical Depression 13:The blobette that was hanging out over the western Gulf did a little wonder woman swirl (which is going to be really embarrassing for it later if it gets the manly name, TS Lorenzo) and re-emerged a bit farther south (still in the western Gulf) as a tropical depression - close to a tropical storm. The high pressure that it was stuck against intensified southwards, so this system is still more-or-less stuck and is drifting southwards at a grand 2 mph - the only reason we know this is because a Hurricane Hunter plane was in the system this morning to check if it was a storm, and will go in again this afternoon to check if it is a TS. It is a very weak system, so it's tricky finding the center of circulation from the satellite imagery. The models all have it going south-southwest. It looks like there was a couple of millimeters of Mexico that didn't get rain from earlier storms this year, so this system might head in that direction. It's over warm waters and the longer it stays there, the greater the chances for intensification. Circulation for this system is in the lower to mid-levels of the troposphere.South Florida Blob:The blobette that did not have much circulation to speak off over southern Florida yesterday is now over the Straits of Florida region, and has circulation in the lower and mid-levels of the troposphere. There is more circulation in this system than there is in TD 13. There is also a nice amount of convection associated with this system but the center of circulation (southwestern Florida & Straits) is to the west of the area of convection (southeastern Florida/Straits/Bahamas). It's worth keeping an eye on this blob, particularly because there is circulation, and because it is over the deep warm waters of the Loop Current-Florida Current-Gulf Stream system.Just as an aside, the official names for the Straits on either side of Cuba are the "Straits of Florida" and the "Yucatan Straits". I have to point this out because it drives one of my colleagues bananas when he hears things like the "Florida Straits". Of course, if you want to see him go bananas, now you know what to do. :)There are other things out there, but nothing worth really writing about at the moment.Stay tuned... (or not) :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Karen and the Blobettes: September 25, Update A
Does that title sound like a band name? :)Welcome to the 11th named storm of the season - this is now officially an 'average' season with 11 named storms, and so far a below-average season as far as hurricanes go (average number of hurricanes = 6, so they need to make up another 3 to reach that goal).As you all know by now, the BIG BLOB from yesterday got upgraded from an invest to a tropical depression to a tropical storm *really* quickly. No surprise there (unless you weren't reading my blog, in which case... Surprise!!!). She has circulation in the lower and mid-levels of the troposphere and heavy convection covering many hundreds of miles.She is in the central Atlantic, at about 11N, 39W heading in a west-northwestward direction at 15 mph. The forecast track still keeps this storm away from land, and curves it northward into the Atlantic. If I were on the islands though, I would still be prepared for some stormy weather in a few days (as well as today). The high pressure over the Atlantic extends into the Caribbean, which suggests a more westward track for the next 24 hours, in agreement with the NHC track for that time. At the moment I don't know if the low that the models are predicting will erode this high (beginning tomorrow) and cause the system to move northward, but she is at least 4-5 days away from the Caribbean and my time machine is in the shop at the moment so I can't see what will happen that far ahead. We'll have a much better idea of things this time tomorrow as that high is supposed to begin eroding and the forecast track shows a more northwestward movement instead of west-northwest.She's a weak TS with winds of about 40mph (35kt) - barely a TS (34-63 kt, 39-73mph). Although this is the same wind speed as "Jerry" (cough cough... sorry, something got stuck in my throat), this storm has far more heavy convection and, unlike Jerry, she will get stronger. She is over waters of 28 deg C and about to enter waters of 29 deg C (parts of her are already over these slightly warmer waters). On the north side of the storm there is some westerly wind shear (westerly meaning winds from the west). The forecast says that she will barely be a cat 1 hurricane in 5 days because of anticipated wind shear and upper atmospheric conditions that prevent her from growing. Doesn't that sound nice?The Blobettes:There's a struggling blobette still partying in the Lesser Antilles and heading towards the VIs. It has some low-level circulation, and some deep convection. Enjoy the much-needed rain!There's another struggling blobette just hanging out in the western Gulf of Mexico with the fish. This one hasn't moved much because it is stuck against a high pressure system to the north and west, so it is difficult to see where it will move when it does get going but Texas might be getting some rain again soon. There is some low-level circulation and some associated convection - the rainfall in LA is associated with this.There's a mass of convection off southern Florida and in the Bahamas. No circulation to speak of, just squally weather.TS Jerry. I know I said that yesterday was my last entry on this system, but the NHC are just writing things I can't resist commenting on. Their final entry was last night (after mine) and they upgraded the system from a Tropical Depression to a TS again! It makes no sense. It was 11pm so maybe they were tired. This is what they wrote:"CONSEQUENTLY...JERRY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY. AS JERRY ACCELERATED THIS EVENING...MAXIMUM WINDS AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH INCREASED TO ABOUT 40 KT ACCORDING TO THE QUIKSCAT DATA...HENCE THE APPARENT UPGRADE BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM."Umm... I don't see how "no longer a tropical cyclone" can be upgraded to a "tropical storm"? Answers on a postcard please.Right, that *really* is my final entry on Jerry (until the next one ;) ).And enough picking on the NHC (for now). I agree to disagree on this particular storm. Generally, I think they do a good (and difficult) job.I'll be back.J.Blog archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TD Jerry and BIG BLOB (and little blob): September 24, Update B
BIG BLOB (Technical Term):I will start with the blob that is, perhaps, the most worrisome to me atthe moment. Although the NHC have not yet given it an officialdesignation, I am writing about it so that those in the Caribbean (andbeyond) can keep an eye on it. It is at ~ 11N, 33W on the southern edge ofa high in the Atlantic, and following the edge of the high that path takesit into the Caribbean and then turning northward into the Atlantic. Thegood news (as you know, I'm ever the optimist) is that it is unlikely thatthis high will stay the same shape over the next few days: the computermodels are even more land-friendly, and just curve it out into theAtlantic before it gets to the Caribbean islands. It is currently on awest-northwestward path.I mentioned this blob in previous messages as the one in the far easternAtlantic. It is now in the central Atlantic with the deep convectioncovering about 600 miles in the E-W direction and about 500 miles in theN-S direction. There is good circulation with this system in the lower andmiddle troposphere (the lower layer of the atmosphere, which extends toabout 12-13 km height), and circulation is slowly developing at higheraltitudes.TD Jerry:The NHC finally downgraded Tropical Storm Jerry to a Tropical Depressionat the 11am advisory this morning. So it was officially a tropical stormfor 24 hours. This is my last note on this "storm". Hurray hurray. Time tocelebrate! :)Blobettes (oooh... a new "technical" term ;) ):There's a much smaller blob (blobette) currently partying in the windwardislands (where else would blobettes party? :)). It is bringing some heavyconvection and only has circulation in the lower levels of the atmosphere.Not much more to say about this for now.There is also an itsy bitsy blobette in the Gulf, but at the moment itdoesn't look like this will develop much. There is some convectionspreading northward over land (look up if you live anywhere in Louisianaor Mississippi).That's all for today folks (I feel like I should be chewing on a carrotwhen I write that :) ).J.Blog archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Jerry & other important blobs: September 24, Update A
Subtropical Storm Jerry aquired 'tropical characteristics' by the 11pmadvisory last night to become Tropical Storm Jerry. It was at a latitudeof about 37N, and over water temperatures of less than 26 deg C. As youknow, I disagree on naming this one in the first place so I won't evenbegin to quibble over this designation. The deep convection continues toremain minimal, and it did not reach persistent winds greater than 35 kt(40 mph) all day yesterday (and even now), which is just 1 kt (1mph) abovethe boundary between a T. Depression and a T. Storm. We had more deepconvective activity in the eastern Gulf and from Florida to Louisianayesterday than there was in this storm combined for the entire day.Speaking of FL to LA - for a change, everyone but TX got rain yesterday.:) It was a really impressive spread of activity with no real formation -I quite enjoyed watching it on the satellite imagery. Looks like morestuff (technical term) is heading for Louisiana today as well.The other blobs.1. There is some circulation at the lower level of the atmosphere justeast of the windward islands, at around 12N, 57W. It has some convectionwith it, and is moving westward. It isn't very big so just something tokeep an eye on, especially once it enters the Caribbean.2. The biggest blob (sounds like a sequel to "The Blob" - which, by theway, is being remade yet again for release next year for the 50thanniversary) is still out in the eastern/central Atlantic at ~10N, 30W.This continues to have some impressive circulation for a system that isstill developing, as well as a large area of convection. At the moment itlooks like it will stay out in the Atlantic though.More later I'm sure...J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the NationalWeather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "runaway, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Subtropical Storm Jerry: September 23, Update A
I know some of you are expecting this already... Sunday Rant!Great as they are, I *completely* disagree with the NHC on the naming ofthis storm. I wish I had saved the GOES IR satellite image from earlierthis morning to show you how much this storm has fallen apart between the5am and 11am advisories. I have saved the 11am image, but need acomparison image to make the point. I had a quick look around on the webbut can't find an archive of those images. I can't believe they have namedyet another storm this year which does not warrant it. Grrr arrrgh(cartoon steam coming out of my ears). That takes the total "named storms"up to 10, of which I think at least 3 (or is it 4 now?) shouldn't havebeen named.The NHC justification in the 11am discussion: "AN 0807 UTC QUIKSCAT PASSINDICATED THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CIRCULATION ARE AT LEAST 35 KT ANDSATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS GIVE A SUBTROPICAL T-NUMBER OF 2.5 USING THEHEBERT-POTEAT METHOD. THE SYSTEM IS THEREFORE UPGRADED TO SUBTROPICALSTORM JERRY."First, 0807 UTC (Coordinated Universal Time) was at ~4am Eastern DaylightTime (EDT) this morning. Their 5am EDT advisory had moved it from a low upto a subtropical depression, which I agree with. But I guess they didn'tlook at the latest images for their 11am advisory. It is amazing what youcan see if you look at the latest information - what a novel idea, hey?Maybe this would explain why I saw landfall for TD10 about 4 hours beforethe offical agreement.My second comment is that they upgraded this storm because they calculatedwinds of 35 kt. Satellite wind speed categorization is not 100% accurate,which is partly why there is a post-season analysis. Subtropical/tropicalstorm winds are 34kt-63kt. Their estimate of wind speed is ~1 knot (!!!)difference from the TS category - this is within the margin of error.My final comment is a little more political (because as you all know,science and politics are the same thing these days). It is good to knowthat when the QuickScat satellite goes away, there will be fewer namedstorms. Maybe insurance rates will come down then. Maybe I'll finally seea cow jump over the moon. In case you don't remember, QuickScat was theexcuse at the "center of the storm" earlier this year when Bill Proenza(head of the NHC for about 5 minutes) was fired. To sum up that fiasco: hesaid that information from QuickScat is needed but the NHC staff didn'tagree and said that QuickScat winds aren't as important and their analysiswould not be compromised if this data was not available.There is even less deep convection in this system at this time than when Iwrote my earlier report.When the NHC does their post-season analysis, I wonder if they ever'down-grade' a storm. I know storms have been upgraded. Did I already saythis earlier this year? I've been thinking it for a while.Grr...J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Subtropical Depression 11 & other blobs: September 23, Update A
Subtropical Depression 11:There's been a persistent area of circulation way out in the subtropicalAtlantic (36N, 46W) for a few days (nowhere near land, and on a road tonowhere). Yesterday the convection began to increase so in the early hoursof this morning (5am) it was officially designated Subtropical Depression11. Although the forecast calls for continued strengthening to a named"tropical" storm (beginning with the next advisory), at the moment I don'tsee that happening. It is over cold water temperatures of 24-25 deg C,which is below the 26.5C value for storm maintenance. Also, in the lastfew hours it looks like the deep convective activity has fallen apart. Thecenter of circulation is broad and is encased in dry air. This system isheadng in a general north-northeastward direction, so no-one need beconcerned with this (unless you happen to be on a boat out in the middleof the Atlantic).Other Blobs:1. There is a large area of convective activity and general cloudinessstretching from Central America to the northern Gulf of Mexico and a bitof circulation near the Yucatan, close to sea level. The circulation wasstronger yesterday but weakend when crossing the Yucatan Peninsula. Theonly reason I mention it is because it is emerging into the Gulf (west ofthe Loop Current) and I'll be keeping an eye on it.2. There is an area of circulation about 450 miles east of the windwardislands. It is quite far south, at 10N, 55W. It has some convection eastof the center of circulation. If this doesn't move slightly northward ordevelop soon, it may not develop at all before it gets too close to the S.American landmass.3. The one I'll really be watching closely is the blob that is out in theeastern Atlantic, now west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. It isstill quite far away at ~9N, 27W, but there is some good circulation andheavy convection already associated with this system.I guess you'll be hearing from me later. That should make it a happySunday for you. :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management andthe National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TD 10: September 22, Update A
Tropical Depression? what tropical depression? According to the NHC, TD 10made official landfall near Fort Walton Beach (FL) about four hours afterI sent out the previous note. The only revelation I have to report sinceyesterday is that what I thought was the Panama City area actually turnsout to be the Fort Walton Beach area. Oops. Sorry panhandle residents -hey, at least I can locate the US on a map. ;)So landfall was where I said it looked like it was happening, just fourhours before official landfall (I was clearly caught in a time loopthingy...now if only I could figure out how to "see" the lottery numbers).It is/was still a rain event, so I expect there are a lot of soggy leavesout there.This is my last entry on TD 10.On to other things. For those of you who like to look at the satelliteimages on a daily basis because it is "fun", there are a number of thingsthe NHC are keeping an eye on. Some of them don't look like developing tome, and none of them are formally TDs yet. At least two that I will bewatching include:1. a broad area of convection (a lot of convection) in the northwesternCaribbean, which has some circulation. It's sort of moving over theYucatan peninsula at the moment.2. way way out in the eastern Atlantic, south of the Cape Verde Islands isan area of circulation and convection. It is very broad, but roughly inthe vicinity of 8N, 22W.I have to go now and concentrate on those winning lottery numbers. Have agood weekend. ;)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Depression 10: September 21, Update A
TD 10 was formally designated earlier today, but it is still a very poorly defined system. The upper level low is to the south of the "center of circulation" - I put that in quotes because it is not easy to see where that is. From the satellite images, it looks like the center is already making landfall in the region around or just east of Panama City in Florida, but as I said it is tricky finding the center. Not that it matters where the center is because most of the rainfall activity is away from it, as you can see from any satellite images. This is not a wind event but a rain-storm event.Luckily it didn't get too close to the Loop Current at all, so it remained a minor system. :)Not much more to say at the moment. It will bring rain along the northern Gulf coast. Winds at 2pm EST were about 35 mph and it was moving at 11mph in a northwestward direction.If there's any change or I have some amazing revelation that I absolutely have to share with you all, I'll send another note out later.Otherwise, tomorrow. :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Florida Blob: September 20, Update A
If this system is going to get "interesting" it will most probably happenlater today or tomorrow. For now it is not yet a Tropical Depression andis a weak system. The NHC will be sending in a plane later today toinvestigate the system.The center of circulation in the upper atmosphere has not moved much andis still lurking (suspiciously of course - how else can you lurk? ;) )just off the southwest Florida coast. However, the lower and mid-levelatmospheric circulations are better aligned and are mostly over the waterjust off the west coast of Florida. The circulation is still quite largeat the lower levels (so not very organized) compared to the higher level.The western edge of this system is close to interacting with the deep warmwaters of the Loop Current, which is the Gulf part of the FloridaCurrent-Gulf Stream system. As the westward (or southwestward) movementcontinues, from an ocean point of view the conditions are "happy happy"for storm development. In the atmosphere things are also looking good fordevelopment - there is low wind shear. But the system is still quitedispersed and hasn't fully got its act together.You can see for yourself what the conditions are like over the surface ofthe ocean off the west Florida coast because buoys out there are returningdata via satellite. Some of these buoys are part of the University ofSouth Florida's Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System (COMPS).1. Go to http://comps.marine.usf.edu/2. On the map, click on #22 or #20 (buoys) and you'll see a table withinformation on wind speed, pressure etc.3. Scroll towards the bottom of the page4. Click on the 'plots' tab under the 24 hour or 5 day meteorological dataand you can see how the pressure has been slowly dropping over the lastday or so.These buoys form part of a larger effort to develop a Coastal OceanObserving System (COOS) for the US. Not all areas of the US coast havesuch observations available in "real-time" and it takes time, money, andtrained folks to install and maintain something like this. A COOS includesbuoys, coastal stations, radars, moving observing platforms, satellitedata and models, all working towards providing more information about thecoastal oceans to address topics like storm surge and hurricane researchor harmful algal blooms (like Red Tide), or to assist in search and rescueoperations (for example - there are many other uses).I'll send out another missive if things change today.Have a lovely day :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] The Florida Blob and the Remains of Ingrid: September 29, Update A
I know some of you are thinking that I've fallen asleep on the job with such a lot of convection just off the Florida coast and over parts of Florida. I was debating whether or not to send something out yesterday evening, but there have been a few questions about it since then, so I thought I'd let you know what is going on and why there hasn't been an official classification to this system.This mass of activity we have over Florida at the moment originated as part of a front that came down from the north. The circulation (associated with a low - so counterclockwise circulation) was initially confined to the upper regions of the troposphere (the lowest layer of the atmosphere) at about 10-12km above the ground. But since yesterday afternoon and evening, the circulation has been extending downward, and there is now circulation at sea level as well. At sea level it is not as well defined as it is in the upper levels. The upper level circulation is centered over southwest Florida, the lower level circulation is a bit farther east. The convection that is off the east coast is a result of the deep warm waters of the Florida Current/Gulf Stream system. This system has not moved much in the past 24 hours and because it is slow to develop and is over land, it is not yet strong enough to be a Tropical Depression. As you have probably heard on the weather news, we can expect rain over part of Florida. I prefer rainy and cloudy weather. My kind of day ... and it was /is fascinating to watch this develop yesterday and today - right over Florida. Very cool. :)The other thing that has not moved much in the past 24+ hours is the remains of Ingrid, which is still loitering off the north-eastern edge of the Leeward Islands in the Atlantic, and is producing as much convection as she possibly can in the unfavorable environment she is in. There is still some low level circulation, but the really strong wind shear environment over the past few days knocked a lot out of the system. The NHC stopped issuing advisories on this a couple of days ago. I didn't say anything because there was (is) still some circulation. It is unlikely that this will re-develop, so this is most likely my last entry on this system.More later,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Depression Ingrid: September 15, Update A
The strong wind shear really took it's toll on TS Ingrid, now a TropicalDepression. So although she still has some decent circulation, there isnot much convection. But to mis-quote Monty Python: 'She's not dead yet'.:)She is still moving over waters warmer than 28 deg C, but is also still inthe region of high wind shear and will remain in that for another coupleof days.The low that was digging into the high pressure that allowed her somenorth-westward movement weakend yesterday and the high pressurere-developed, which is why she is back to moving a little more westwardtoday, at 12 mph. But the high is still not very robust, and there is roomtoday/tonight for a bit more northwestward movement before she bumps upagainst the southern edge of the high again. However, there is not muchpoint in talking about the track because there's not much of a storm atthe moment.There is a good chance that she will survive the wind shear andre-intensify in a couple of days. I will send out another note when thereis a change in this storm (either she's gone, or she improved).Have a lovely weekend,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Ingrid: September 14, Update A
TD 8 became Tropical Storm Ingrid in the Atlantic last night, but this poor little storm is struggling to stay alive.Track: The high pressure in the Atlantic that was responsible for keeping Dean and Felix so far south continued to erode yesterday and there is now a lower pressure gap in the Atlantic which this storm could pass through - so I am now more convinced that she might stay in the Atlantic compared to two days ago. For now, she will continue on the general west-northwest to northwest path.Intensity: With such a weak system it was not easy to see the center of circulation in the satellite images this morning, so I was waiting to see what the hurricane plane would return. They are out there at the moment, and have located the center at 15.2N, 50W. She is heading into a region of even stronger wind shear from the west, and she is surrounded by dry air, both of which will inhibit intensification. However, she is also simultaneously reaching warmer water temperatures of 28 deg C at the surface, but also a bit warmer with depth which will help to sustain her. The NHC currently have her going from a TS to a Tropical Depression by Sunday morning and remaining a TD after that. She is looking a little weaker now than she did this morning, but it is too soon to say if that's a diurnal thing to a longer-term decline. Her currently max. wind speed it 45 mph - a weak system.If there's any change I'll send out another note later, otherwise tomorrow.But before you all run away, I have some interesting news. Some clever and funny guys from the NWS have figured out exactly why Humberto became a Hurricane so soon before landfall. I'm very impressed. This is their finding:"The Spurs Rule for Land-Falling Hurricanes in Texas:Since The Admiral (David Robinson) put on a Spurs uniform, a hurricane will strike Texas only in the years when the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Championship. Chart:http://ocglw1.marine.usf.edu/~jyotika/spurs_hurricane_chart.jpg"Ciao,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Humberto & TD#8: September 13, Update A
TS Humberto:Sneaky storm Humberto did reach hurricane strength about 1.5-2 hours before making landfall as a Category 1 storm with max. winds of 85 mph. If only all hurricanes could be like that. He made landfall at about 2am and has now been downgraded back to a TS. So I was wrong yesterday when I thought the land and wind shear would be enough to keep him as a mid-sized Tropical Storm. The NHC did expect an intensification, but I think no-one expected that much of an intensification. What this shows is that us scientist-types still don't know why some storms intensify... hmmm... the words 'job security' come to mind.He made landfall in northern TX, close to the TX/LA border and is heading in-land. He still has a lot of moisture so all those in his path can expect rain, rain and er... rain. Maybe floods. And did I mention rain?O.k. enough sillyness. This is my last entry on Humberto.TD#8:Although this system has some decent circulation, there is just not a lot of convection - and it has decreased in the last few hours. The system is surrounded by dry air which is being entrained. The NHC said that looking back at the satellite winds from Quickscat, it looks like TD 8 might have reached Tropical Storm strength for a few hours, but it's back down to a TD and as they didn't see it at the time (they did have a busy 24 hours with Humberto) it didn't get named (Ingrid would be the next one). What would we do without those satellite winds?The official track has also been shifted a little more to the left, i.e. the cone at 5 days covers a little more of the Caribbean than it did yesterday - which I would have agreed with yesterday. But the pressure map from overnight shows me that the high has weakened a bit, and there's more room for the storm to move in a northwestward direction instead of as westward as it looked yesterday. So maybe the track will be shifted back to the right later today. I'm curious to see what the next pressure map contains later today.I'll send out another update when this system is not so depressed :)Toodles,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] TS Humberto and TD#8: September 12, Update C
TS Humberto:A tenacious system, he's still in the Gulf and hasn't made landfall. Thetrack moved a little closer to the TX/LA border, which is more inalignment with where I think he will make landfall. He is now officiallymoving north-northeast at ~7mph. The north-northeast motion means he isheading from the '9' on my earlier Dali clock image to the '10' or '11' onthe clock face. So he's beginning to make that curve. The center ispassing close to Galveston at the moment, but because of the orientationof the TX coastline (also along a north-east axis), he hasn't yet madelandfall.His wind speeds are 50mph, so he's still a weak-to-mid TS. Although thewater temps are warm, with the land interaction and the wind shear I don'tthink he will intensify much more than this before landfall.TD#8:I think the computer models initially incorrectly predicted the long-termtrack of this storm. It is going more westward than the current center ofthe cone of uncertainty shows, and I still think it is going to move intothe Caribbean instead of staying in the Atlantic. I don't remember whatthe exact model tracks were earlier today, but I think some of them havenow shifted to a more westward track, and a larger number of them bring itinto the Caribbean. We might see this track shift reflected in the nextNHC advisory (or the one after that).This storm is one that I will watch closely. It is too soon to tell whereit will go, and the intensity depends on the track (it is still, afterall, only a Tropical Depression). I have my thoughts on this, but I am notgoing to comment further on until I've seen the pressure fields tomorrow.Until tomorrow...J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Humberto & Tropical Depression #8: September 12, Update B
TS Humberto:The storm that is in the Gulf off the northern Texas coast just got upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto (not wanting to be a storm with no name, he zipped through the Tropical Depression phase in ~three hours - after I sent out the last update). He is interacting with land, and landfall will be overnight in northern Texas or near the TX/LA border - it's not very easy to pinpoint the center of circulation. He is moving northwards and will continue in that general direction because he is on the western edge of a high pressure system (which will be mentioned again in the TD#8 discussion).He's about 70 miles south-southwest of Galveston and is moving north at 6mph. He is over very warm water with sea surface temperatures greater than 30 deg C. Max. winds are near 45 mph (39kt; TS: 39-73mph, 34-63kt) so he is a weak system but he does have a lot of moisture, so this will be mostly a rain event for TX,LA, and possibly states farther inland. He's in some moderate wind shear, and is also interacting with land, so there is not much opportunity for him to get much bigger.A plane will be in the system shortly, so I will send out another update after the NHC has issued it's 5pm (eastern time) advisory.And because this is mid-September there's another system swirling away out there in the Atlantic.Tropical Depression 8:This system is also moving along the edge of that high pressure system I mentioned above. I used this analogy last year, but as I can barely remember what I said last week, who will remember this from then? :) Imagine the high pressure in the Atlantic as a clock face - a Dali clock which is all distorted but still has a 12, 3, 6, and 9. These storms all move in a clockwise direction around this distorted clock. The trick is that the clock face (high pressure) never stays still and the edges are constantly moving as well, so forecasting a storm track is really all about how the pressure patterns change. At the moment TD#8 is on the southern side at around 6 and heading westward(ish), and TS Humberto is at around 9 and heading northward. TD#8 will continue in a general westward (clockwise) direction around this high until it can turn north-westward or until it hits land. H. Dean and H. Felix both hit land before turning because the high extended quite far south-westward. It is not as robust now, however at the moment it looks like the general westward direction will continue for the next few days. The models all have it staying in the Atlantic but to me it looks like it will enter the Caribbean in about ~4 to 5 days. I'll know more tomorrow when I get the latest pressure maps.It is about to enter a region of low wind shear and the temperatures are at about 27 degs C (enough to sustain a system). The center of circulation is east of the convection, which is also helping to keep this system down (in intensity).More later....J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] The Blob and the bigger Blob: September 12, Update A
The Blob:A 1958 movie which introduced Steve McQueen to the movie-going audience. It was the only time he was listed as Steven McQueen. It made more money than anyone expected and is considered a classic these days. Oh sorry... wrong Blob blurb :)O.k., there's a Blob (my technical term as you know for what is more officially known as an 'invest' or 'Low'). It is hanging off the Texas/LA coast (and those in TX will already know this because it's probably raining or will rain... yet again). This morning it looked like there was some circulation to it, but that is no longer obvious and from what I see, it is just a mass of heavy convective activity. The NHC will send a plane to investigate it early this afternoon so it might get bumped up to a formal Tropical Depression. It is already interacting with land.The bigger Blob:The Blob movie was remade in 1988. I didn't see that one, but I'm sure it was riveting (?!?)This is actually a nice looking system with circulation and convection at about 13-14N, 45W in the Atlantic. This has far more promise in terms of developing further. If the storm in the Gulf is not named, then this is the most likely candidate to become Humberto.I'll send out another update later today on both of these systems.Have fun in the sun (unless you live in Texas). :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Depression Gabrielle: September 10, Update A
Although she's been downgraded, this storm has aged gracefully and looks better today than she has done in the past few days. She is in the Atlantic now and heading in a northeastward direction. There's still some nice circulation, but not much convection. What there is remains on her southern side which is over the northern edge of the Gulf Stream. It's unlikely that she will get any stronger so this is my last post on this storm (probably ;)).I'm also keeping an eye on the blob in the Gulf (which doesn't look like it will develop into anything), and the blob in the tropical Atlantic (~10N, 34W) which holds more promise but is in a region of strong wind shear at the moment. More when something develops.Enjoy the weather. :)J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Gabrielle: September 9, Update B
TS Gabrielle made landfall (Cape Lookout National Seashore) as aweak-to-mid Tropical Storm at about 11.45 am, with no change in max winds(50mph). The heaviest convective activity has so far has remainedoff-shore, and it looks like she is weakening. She is heading in a northalmost north-northeastward direction, and has picked up her forward speedto 12mph. Soon she will be heading in a northeastward direction and awayfrom the US as she moves clockwise around that high pressure system overthe Atlantic.Her intensity didn't change today because of the combined effects of windshear and some limited interaction with land. The wind shear has beenstrong enough to push the center of convection to the south of the center,and the center of circulation is again visible on satellite images. So,although she hasn't completely cleared NC yet, she looks like she will bea 'nice' storm for them. I hear they are in a drought, but I am not surethis storm brought them enough rain to help that situation.Once she re-emerges into the Atlantic later today her center will be closeto the northern edge of the Gulf Stream, which skirts the US coast fromFlorida to Cape Hatteras, NC and then 'breaks away' from the coastline andheads out in a north-eastward direction into the Atlantic. Depending onhow close she is to the Gulf Stream, this means that Gabrielle will beover cooler waters of somewhere between 25-27 degs C. Along with the windshear from the north, this should stop her from developing any further.Just a point of interest: North Carolina has historically had the most'hits' and I don't mean number 1 chart topping hits (although they mayhave had those too) :)And now it's time for a cup of tea :)More tomorrow.J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Gabrielle: September 9, Update A
Good morning,Yesterday we were looking at an exposed center of circulation andconvection in the north-west quadrant. The convection was in that quadrantbecause that was the part that was over the warmest waters and the GulfStream. Last night, the center of circulation moved a bit more westward,bringing it in line with the area of convection, and she truely became atropical storm.Overnight it looks like she oscillated in intensity - weakened, and is nowstrengthening again. The main part of the storm is still sitting justoff-shore and parts of NC have, so far, only had a few small patches ofbad weather. A small wobble in the path will be enough to bring heron-shore versus just clipping the NC coast.She is moving very slowly (around 9-10mph) in a north-northwestwarddirection, over the Gulf Stream. The longer she stays over the GulfStream, the more intense and bigger in size she can get. There is somewind shear, so that should help keep the intensity down but there's achance she will become a mid-to-strong TS before she moves off into theAtlantic if she doesn't hurry up and move forward soon.Max. sustained winds are now about 50mph (TS: 39-73mph), making her aweak-to-mid TS. They will probably increase further because of the warmwater beneath the center. The actual center of circulation is harder forme to see from the satellite images today, but according to the hurricaneplanes it is at 34.2N, 76.4W (30 miles south-southeast of Cape Lookout).We'll obviously know more in a few hours. More later...J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Gabrielle: September 8, Update B
I was waiting to see what the NHC would say in their 5pm advisory beforesending out another update. They have changed ST Gabrielle's status from aSTS to a Tropical Storm. But she is weaker - they downgraded the max.sustained winds to 40mph (TS: 39-73mph), so she is just barely a TS. Incase you didn't get this from my morning entry, I am not at all suprisedat her official weakened status. :)I would have gone a step further and just downgraded her to a TropicalDepression. Their reasoning is that there is a small chance she will get abit stronger (from barely a TS to a weak TS) this evening, so they didn'twant to downgrade her completely. I won't argue with that reasoning.Since this morning's email, Gabrielle has steadily been declining and haslost a large portion of what little convection she did have, making hereven less of a storm. The northern "rain band" pretty much disintigratedand is just cloudy now. You can clearly see the center by the wispylooking clouds that are circling it in satellite images e.g.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/vis.jpgThere is still some convection in the northwest quadrant of the system,the rest is all clouds and a windy day at sea. However, the convection inthe northwest quadrant will probably reach coastal areas of NC once thestorm moves a bit farther north.She did slow down and is now moving forward at 8mph.Also, after I sent the last message, they have been shifting the trackaway from the coast a bit. Again, I agree with this shift. She iscurrently heading northwestward.By staying away from the coast, it means that she will be moving overcooler waters sooner - she is already in slightly cooler waters of 27-28degs C. There is also a chance for less interaction with the Gulf Streamdepending on her path. On top of that, the wind shear will be better thanexpected. All these will keep this system down.A number of people have told me today that so long as a named storm isthis weak they don't mind. The reason I object to naming this (and twoothers earlier this year) is because, alas, there are those who just lookat the total number of named storms per season. For example, insurancecompanies. The more named storms there are, regardless of strength, theworse the season looks to those who just look at the numbers and not ateach storm. I could be mistaken of course. Maybe insurance companies dolook at each storm in detail? In which case, they would so far have atally of 4 named storms this year that truely deserved it, not 7.If she looks like she's really picking up intensity and/or heading to theNC coast, I'll send out another update later. Otherwise you'll hear fromme tomorrow.Toodle pip,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Subtropical Storm Gabrielle: September 8, Update A
I got out of bed this morning for this "storm"??Here's another very pathetic looking storm, which by some definitions of aTropical Storm (or Subtropical Storm) should not yet be named. Yes, thereare winds in a closed circulation that exceed 39mph (there's been a closedcirculation with decent winds in this system for at least 2 days) - thewinds are about 45 mph, so it's a very weak storm (TS winds: 39mph-73mph). BUT there is very little convection, and what there is is all to thenorth. One definition of Tropical Storm that I read says: "Convectionusually concentrated near the center with outer rainfall organizing intodistinct bands."Convection concentrated near the center? I suppose it depends on yourdefnition of 'near'. And if there are organized distinct bands of rainfallin Gabrielle at the moment, then I need a new job.O.k. Saturday morning rant over :) We will accept this as thethird-pathetic-named-storm-of-the-season-which-would-not-have-been-named-a-few-years-ago.Bringing our total number of named storms up to 7.Sub-tropical Storm Gabrielle is moving at a slow 12 mph in awest-northwestward direction. The reason she is slower than some of theother storms this year is because she is surrounded by higher pressure, soit's a bit of an uphill battle. There is a good chance that she will slowdown even more. Interestingly, the pressure in her 'center' is at1011mb...which is not very low at all (normal range of pressure on averageover Florida during the year varies from about 1013mb to 1020mb).I am not sure yet that she will make landfall - it will depend on thepressure and also on how much she slows down. If she does make landfall, just south of Cape Hatteras/Cape Hatteras is the most likely area - whichis in agreeement with the NHC. But, there's a good chance that she willjust barely clip those areas with her "outer rain bands" and stay mostlyin the Atlantic.She is over warm waters of 28-29 deg C, but as she gets closer the landthat will increase to 29-30 degs C. Also, she is heading into an area ofreduced wind shear closer to land. So, maybe she will become a bit betterorganized later (which is when I will consider her a proper storm). Ofcourse, if she slows down and hangs out over the deep warm waters of theGulf Stream (she's not quite there yet) then she will improve inintensity.Despite my cavalier attitude towards this system, of course for those ofyou in North Carolina be prepared for some breezy weather with possiblerain/thunder/lightning just in case. I'm sure you are anyway. :)I'll send another update later.Ciao for now,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Felix: September 4, Update A
I just got back to planet Earth and see that Felix made landfall inNicaragua earlier today as a cat 5 storm. He is now a tropical storm andabout to enter Honduras. Of course, the danger really at this point isfrom landslides due to heavy rainfall.Some people asked me if Atlantic basin storms can cross into the Pacific,and if they can do they keep the same name. Yes, they can cross andredevelop but they are given different names once they are in the Pacific.There are at least two cases in the past 20 years that I know about:In 1996, Hurricane Cesar hit southern Nicaragua as a low level hurricaneand crossed central America and reintensified in the eastern Pacific asHurricane Douglas.In 1988, Hurricane Joan also hit southern/central Nicaragua as a stronghurricane (cat 4), crossed central America and reintensified in thePacific to become Tropical Storm Miriam.The track that Felix took is a little farther north than Cesar or Joan soit is unlikely that he will survive the transition as he moves westwardbecause there is more mountainous land in his path than there was in theother two cases.This is my last entry on this storm.Cheerio for now.J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Hurricane Felix: September 3, Update A
Felix (wasn't that the name of one of the odd couple?) is still animpressive storm, with winds of 135mph - a cat 4.He did become a cat 5 last night as he crossed that patch of deep warmwater I mentioned yesterday. He is currently over less deep warm water,but I expect him to regain cat 5 status in a few hours because the wateris, again, deep and warm ahead of him. However, I am not sure he will makelandfall as a cat 5. I think there's a good chance he will be a cat 4 atlandfall (in Nicaragua/Honduras) because just before landfall, the warmwater is very shallow and he will be interacting with land. Still a veryimpressive storm and not good for the areas in his path.At the moment hurricane force winds extend out to 30 miles from the centerand tropical storm force winds are being felt 115 miles away. From thelatest satellite images it looks like he is expanding in size so thesedistances may be too small. The outer bands are already over land.The high to his north is still holding strong and keeping him to thesouth, so I agree still with the NHC track. He is moving along at a brisk20 mph, and is expected to make landfall in less than 24 hours.I won't be able to send another entry until after landfall, but I'll sendone out after assessing the post-landfall.Toodles,J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
[Jyo_hurricane] Hurricane Felix: September 2, Update A
This planet that I'm on doesn't seem to provide me with easy access toemail. Or the news. It's quite a nice stress-free planet really... butapparently I must be partial to some stress because here I am, on theinternet.O.k., when I said a couple of days ago that this storm wasn't going to doanything much for a couple of days, I had in my head that he would becomea low-to-moderate sized hurricane today. But Hurricane Felix has been avery bad boy. In less than 24 hours, he has gone from a cat 1 (74-95 mphwinds) to a CAT 4!! (131-155 mph). This is one of the fastest developingstorms I can remember and the NHC estimate a pressure drop of 3.4 mb/hour.I have to admit though, he is a very handsome looking storm with a reallynice eye.He is currently at 13.8N, 72.5W, moving at 20mph (fast). Winds are near140mph, but they only extend out at hurricane force to 25 miles at themoment. Tropical storm force winds are out to 115 miles from the eye. Iagree with the track for the next few days - the high to the north iskeeping it south, and at the moment it looks like landfall in the YucatanPeninsula. Possibly Belieze.The bad news (there's good news??!) is that he is now moving to evenwarmer waters of 29 deg C or higher, and even worse, he will soon bepassing over an area in which the warm waters are very very deep. The windshear will not keep this down, and there is very little interaction withland now that he is in the Caribbean. So, it looks like he will become acat 5 storm.I will try and check in sometime in the next 24 hours, but overall, Iagree with the NHC official track. Landfall won't be for 2-3 days yet.More sooner or later...J.-------------------------------DISCLAIMER:These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - notthe opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making anevacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and theNational Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National WeatherService announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.-------------------------------------------_______________________________________________Jyo_Hurricane mailing listJyo_Hurricane@marine.usf.eduhttp://seas.marine.usf.edu/mailman/listinfo/jyo_hurricane
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ScruffyOwlet's Tree: Universe as Conscious - Scientific Dogma
[Right-brain thinking, by contrast, especially as expressed in religious thought, tends to view all things as being determined by the will of God. In fact there is a random element in nature, which is free will, and a determined element in nature, which are its laws, physical and psychological.]
It is obvious to me and some others, like mainstream-science whistleblower Rupert Sheldrake, that consciousness is at the heart of all things, be it animals, plants, minerals, trees, stars, planets even the sun. The Sun was seen as being conscious by most ancient civilisations and it is only the anti-spiritual arrogance that came with the rise of modern scientific prejudice and dogma that poo-poo'ed the idea. Before the rise of modern scientific dogma, animals were seen as spirits whence the very word 'animal' (anima in Latin meaning soul, spirit).
Modern scientific dogma, like all dogma, is, to say the least, unenlightened and extremely dangerous in its ramifications and implications for the human condition. A dogma, to be clear, means an unchallenged belief.

type: global

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Perception is Everything: From Clearance to Classy!
looks super cute. i haven't been active w/ my hands and i feel pretty guilty about that. hope that changes this week.
Love it! I've been trying to be more crafty, mostly just need to find the time. The cubbies look great tho! Good job!
I was so excited to see how it turned out and it looks great!! Awesome job! And I live your decorations :)
It turned out great, I def. believe in making a house a home no matter home long you are going to be there. The area looks beautiful!!
So gorgeous! Seriously, that area looks phenomenal. You have a wonderful decorative eye!
Great work lovey!
Wow, turned out fabulous! My last military move knocked the creativity right out of me--everything feels so temporary it's like WHY BOTHER?! This has definitely inspired me to get out of that mindset so thanks!
It looks terrific! Love the color scheme you have going on! I have never used modge podge...guess I better give it a shot!
Looks fabulous! I need a weekend where I can do all the DIY projects I've been wanting to do. And, yes, mod podge is my bff too!
Cute. You did a great job.
Girl you did GREAT! Love it all.
I love the way it all came together. So cute. I have a whole pin board of DIY projects I need to work on. Seeing yours come together so well may inspire me to get started! :)
Super cute, but maybe I'm dumb or missing something or something... um... you don't have a tv until he gets home? Not that it matters, just curious :)
Um, I LOVE what you did to those cubes! I'm recruiting you to come help me decorate my place when I move, k? :)
Amazing! I love how it turned out! It fits perfectly in with that space too :) I'm STILL working on a DIY from several weeks ago...woops!
I love this!! Good job gorgeous!!
M works freak if I moved his Xbox lol men
Oh Janna!! It is SUPER cute!! Love it!!
Omg I love it!!!! Turned out fabulous! I love your style. That green ladder is freaking adorable!! I love everything. But I knew you'd have good taste!! Xox Kelly
That is adorable! Love the inside scrapbook paper! Come decorate my house!!
that's so cute! i love a good, fun DIY.


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Finding Joy in The Journey: How Thankful I am I Survived 16
I remember when Skyler was in primary and he was so spiritual,I was so impressed back then,and as an outsider he is everything you say he is.He's also lucky and blessed to have you.What was for dinner,because it looks great.You have an amazing family,you are blessed to have such a close family.


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SnapshotPeople OverviewBoard MembersCommittees	BOARD MEMBERS AFFILIATED WITH Stephen A. Bernazzani *Stephen A. Bernazzani Return to NextPoint PartnersSenior Engineer and Director99AgeTotal Annual Compensation64-- Stephen P. KaufmanTyrian Systems, Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc.John W. LooseCorning International CorporationBoard AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc. Alfred M. ZeienWoods Hole Oceanographic InstitutionBoard AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc.Ralph Z. SorensonMidgardXXI, Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc. Albin F. MoschnerUSA Technologies Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc.Carole F. St. MarkPrimary PDC, Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc. Bernee D. L. StromNextPoint PartnersBoard AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc.Alfred PoeB&G Foods Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc. Bobby SagerPrimary PDC, Inc.Board AffiliationsPrimary PDC, Inc.
MOST CONNECTED PEOPLE TO Stephen A. Bernazzani NameRelationshipsAlfred M. Zeien 98 RelationshipsAlbin F. Moschner 33 RelationshipsStephen P. Kaufman 33 RelationshipsBernee D. L. Strom 32 RelationshipsAlfred Poe 29 Relationships
To contact Primary PDC, Inc., please visit . Company data is provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Please use this form to report any data issues.

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Managing Director of Kotak Mahindra Bank writes 'ABCD' of finance
When asked about the magnitude of Punjab National Bank fraud, Kotak said that it was "shock and awe".
Riding high on the success of its app-based service '811', which was launched almost a year ago to double the customer base from 8 million to 16 million in 18-24 months, Kotak Mahindra Bank scripted the 'ABCD' of finance on Tuesday in the presence of Unique Identification Authority of India founding chairman Nandan Nilekani.
In an exclusive interview to India Today, Kotak Mahindra Bank executive vice-chairman and managing director Uday Kotak and Nilekani stressed the importance of Aadhaar for the future of digital banking technology. Kotak said that his "mentor and adviser" Nilekani had told him that Aadhaar would change the future of finance. "We moved to Aadhaar-based digital account opening via '811', which lets one open an account in three minutes. And the response has been great and phenomenal," he said.
The '811' service, available at about 700 locations where the bank has its branches, is a zero-balance account facility which can be used to open account through PAN and Aadhaar verification.
After the success of the app-based service, now Kotak wants to take it to the next level with 'ABCD', wherein 'A' stands for artificial intelligence enriching the apps, 'B' for biometric-enabled branches, 'C' for context-enhanced customer experience and 'D' for data-empowered design. What does this mean for the customer? "The customer will have superior experience and convenience, and with time, the ability to get money from banks based on Aadhaar data will result in wider spread of finance across the country," Kotak said.
When asked about the magnitude of Punjab National Bank fraud, Kotak said that it was "shock and awe". "We never expected a fraud of this scale and size. I am embarrassed as a banker. After all, it was the nation's assets and money."
Nilekani said that the Goods and Services Tax would force every business to declare its true revenues and invoices thereby playing a role in curbing financial frauds, but not completely. "Frauds in the banking system happen either due to collusion or procedural issues. These won't go away."
The chairman of IT giant Infosys also denied claims that Aadhaar data is not secure after recent reports of leakage of information emerged. "I think Aadhaar is a very secure and simple ID system. The data is with the individual bank or health care provider."
Dhadak: Janhvi Gets a Taste of Success, Mobbed Outside Restaurant
Your Weekly Horoscope – 23rd July to 29th July 2018

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THE 10 BEST Valtura Apartment Rentals - TripAdvisor
Apartment Rentals - Valtura, Croatia
Valtura Apartment Rentals
32 Matching Rentals in ValturaView all 67 rentals
2 bedroom Apartment in Valtura, Istarska...
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52206, Valtura, Istria
Owner's description: Outside Simple detached house 'this property', renovated in 2010. House Equipment: air conditioning. Access & Parking: parking by the house. All-season motor access to the house. Situation: in the district of Pula, sunny position. Surroundings of the house: grounds (shared...
Owner's description: Main Description : In a beautiful family house with pool and large garden are located these simply furnished holiday apartments, each with a private terrace. On the plot expects you next to the shared pool and a terrace with barbecue and some kids play facilities. These...
Owner's description: Main Description : The comfortable and functionally furnished holiday apartment has a kitchen-living room, bathroom, two bedrooms and two terraces, from which a partial sea view is offered. Explore the rural surroundings by bike, on the nearby bike paths and visit the town of...
Owner's description: Main Description : This comfortable holiday apartment is located in the small village of Valtura, not far from the town of Pula away. The apartment is furnished in a modern style with special attention paid to the smallest detail to ensure the guests a pleasant stay. The two...
Owner's description: Main Description : Beautiful, rustic terraced house 'TENA', built in 1775, renovated in 2015. House Equipment: air conditioning, washing machine (private use). Access & Parking: private parking. Situation: in the centre of Valtura, in the district of Pula. Surroundings of...

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US5519231A - Pressure-connection type semiconductor device having a thermal compensator in contact with a semiconductor base substrate in an alloy-free state - Google Patents
US5519231A
US5519231A US08340382 US34038294A US5519231A US 5519231 A US5519231 A US 5519231A US 08340382 US08340382 US 08340382 US 34038294 A US34038294 A US 34038294A US 5519231 A US5519231 A US 5519231A
US08340382
Nobuhisa Nakashima
Tokumitsu Sakamoto
US08340382 1993-11-29 1994-11-15 Pressure-connection type semiconductor device having a thermal compensator in contact with a semiconductor base substrate in an alloy-free state Expired - Fee Related US5519231A (en)
JP29809593A JP2845739B2 (en) 1993-11-29 1993-11-29 Pressure-contact type semiconductor device and a manufacturing method thereof
JP5-298095 1993-11-29
US5519231A true US5519231A (en) 1996-05-21
ID=17855102
US08340382 Expired - Fee Related US5519231A (en) 1993-11-29 1994-11-15 Pressure-connection type semiconductor device having a thermal compensator in contact with a semiconductor base substrate in an alloy-free state
US (1) US5519231A (en)
JP (1) JP2845739B2 (en)
DE (1) DE4442295A1 (en)
GB (1) GB2284301B (en)
WO2012059193A3 (en) * 2010-11-02 2012-07-26 Converteam Technology Ltd Power electronic device with edge passivation
CN103378035A (en) * 2012-04-18 2013-10-30 英飞凌科技股份有限公司 Pressure contact arrangement and method for producing a pressure contact arrangement
WO2015110235A1 (en) 2014-01-21 2015-07-30 Abb Technology Ag Power semiconductor device
US20150287698A1 (en) * 2014-04-03 2015-10-08 Infineon Technologies Ag Semiconductor assembly comprising chip arrays
JP4709521B2 (en) * 2004-10-06 2011-06-22 富士通セミコンダクター株式会社 The method of manufacturing a semiconductor device and a semiconductor device
DE102009034138B4 (en) * 2009-07-22 2011-06-01 Semikron Elektronik Gmbh & Co. Kg The power semiconductor module with a sandwich with a power semiconductor device
GB1257780A (en) * 1968-03-11 1971-12-22
US4829364A (en) * 1985-11-29 1989-05-09 Mitsubishi Denki Kabushiki Kaisha Semiconductor device
US3586932A (en) * 1969-12-12 1971-06-22 Gen Electric Five layer gate controlled thyristor with novel turn on characteristics
DE2104726A1 (en) * 1970-02-02 1972-08-10 Gen Electric
FR2493043B1 (en) * 1980-10-23 1987-01-16 Silicium Semiconducteur Ssc alloy without mounting a semiconductor press in case power component
US9349790B2 (en) 2010-11-02 2016-05-24 Ge Energy Power Conversion Technology Ltd. Power electronic devices
CN103378035B (en) * 2012-04-18 2016-04-20 英飞凌科技股份有限公司 Pressure contact pressure contact apparatus and method for manufacturing a device for
CN105934821A (en) * 2014-01-21 2016-09-07 Abb 技术有限公司 Power semiconductor device
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GB2284301A (en) 1995-05-31 application
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US5946556A (en) 1999-08-31 Fabrication method of plastic-packaged semiconductor device

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restaurante el meson de los laureanos, El Quelite - Restaurant Reviews, Phone Number & Photos - TripAdvisor
El Quelite Accommodation
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#1 of 4 Restaurants in El Quelite}
Domicilio Conocido | El Quelite, El Quelite, Mexico
All reviews brunch tongue barbacoa tamales refried beans chicken fresh cheese authentic mexican food excellent meal el meson wonderful restaurant wait staff quaint little town visit mazatlan service was excellent marcos sierra
Fantastic surprise in a quaint little town
Was taken to this restaurant by our private tour guide from Mazatlan, Mexico. The Restaurant was a very pleasant surprise and food was great. The atmosphere of this restaurant was fabulous. It was a beautiful surprise for our tour. Our Mexican food was outstanding and...More
Every time I visit Mazatlan I make my way to EL Quelite. My favorite restaurant in EL Quelite, Restaurante El Meson de Los Laureanos. The food is delicious. Real authentic Mexican food. Totally recommend this restaurant . Your taste buds won't be disappointed .
lisawR7968RG
We took a cab to El Quelite from Mazatlan, & so very ad we did! The restaurant was beautiful & the food was excellent. The chickens and roosters were hanging out by the tables, and they had a baby goat named Ruby. The owners let...More
Thank lisawR7968RG
This restaurant is much bigger than it looks and has English menus. On Sunday for brunch, the wait was about 40 minutes and worth every minute. the authentic food is some of the best I have ever eaten. I had lamb barbacoa which is prepared...More
Thank JohnOCooper
Went here with friends from mazatlan. What a quaint little city and a wonderful restaurant. The food was Muy excellent example. We especially liked the pork carnival. Recommend to anyone in the area. Be sure to check out the banos.
Dr Marcos is a gem
The owner Marcos was a great guy who gave us a personal tour after our excellent meal. We had a lovely time here. So much local history and authentic food. The horchata was delicious. Take the time to drive to this picturesque village.
Authentic Mexican Food and Hospitality
We were brought here by friends from Mazatlan and this restaurant is more than worth the trip. When we entered thru the lobby which is a display of paintings, photos and artifacts you can tell how much they care about traditions. There is dining area...More
Chicken brings self to table in El Quelite
About 36 Km NE of Mazatlan, is a village, El Quelite, just recently becoming known, but still in Actual Mexico, and relatively unchanged, but already achieving a little prosperity. Cruise boats and resorts send busses here but none wee there on our visit day. The...More
This place is called "the best restaurant in Mexico". While I haven't been to every restaurant in Mexico, it certainly stands up to be a contender. Amazing food, town, and staff!
Authentic Mexican Gem
Wholeheartedly recommend this gorgeous, artistic and absolutely scrumptious restaurant half an hour away from Mazatlán. Definitely, worth the drive or taxi ride to this beautiful, sleepy pueblito tucked away in the Sinaloa Sierra Madre. I cannot wait to return to this restaurant with my family....More
Thank e_crtz
Get quick answers from restaurante el meson de los laureanos staff and past visitors.
Address: Domicilio Conocido | El Quelite, El Quelite, Mexico
Location: Mexico > Pacific Coast > Sinaloa > El Quelite
Phone Number: +52 669 965 4143