The unanticipated events of the Yom Kippur War in 1973 and that of the Falklands War in 1982 provoked a series of debates over the lack of early warning . The incident over the Falklands had taken the United Nations completely by surprise and it is said " no map of the islands was available in the Secretariat when the invasion began " . The initial drivers , however , were humanitarian agencies " driven by the need for accurate and timely predictions of refugee flows to enable effective contingency planning " . After the end of the Cold War , political scientists at leading academic institutions began modifying old Cold War models of conflict to understand the onset of new wars . The horrors of the 1994 Rwandan genocide also spurred increased interest in operational conflict early warning systems . The FAST project of Swisspeace and the Forum on Early Warning and Early Response ( FEWER ) were responses to the genocide
Rwandan genocide
Rwandan genocide
Conflict early warning