You invest in things you either know about or don’t know anything about but get a positive feeling that they should be good. 

That’s where speculation comes into play—and whenever you speculate, the most likely outcome will usually go against you. 

This is a fact you need to accept on a psychological level. So, if something has a chance to go against you and you still invest, it means either you know something others don’t, or you’ve simply built a false belief based on the information you’ve reconfirmed.

This part is important: you never truly act based on information shared by others. You think you do, but in reality, you just validate your own biases, which eventually turn into actions by building a shadow of delusion that screams you can’t be wrong. 

That’s where the mountain of expectation begins to form.

When the time comes to measure the height of this mountain, you end up disappointed if it’s shorter than you originally thought. 

In the process of validating your bias and taking action, you develop a superiority complex, convincing yourself that you are right. 

This often leads you to seek out those who are "wrong," which brings out the worst side of human nature—finding scapegoats for your own mistakes just to seek comfort. 

This keeps you trapped in the same cycle of speculation, again and again.