I believe that is how it is unfolding. Gerry Butts is reportedly making calls for Carney and Carney’s wife works for the same company as Butts. A company which has received a reported million or more in Government contracts.

Now, Mr Carney wins. He quickly forms - likely already sketched out - and appoints a Government/Cabinet. If not already decided, two or three Cabinet positions are offered/given to NDP MPs, including Singh. Other sweeteners such as extending the election date by a week to accommodate NDP and Liberal MP pension vesting date are implemented. The new ‘coalition government presents and passes a Throne Speech and budget. And then, attention and energy turns to organizing a by election win for Carney.

An early summer recess and Carney ‘does’ Canada to become known, along with some policy/money attractor announcements. And the Party organizes for a late Fall election. Or, they might even over ride the four year election law and run the game to mid or late 2026.

It makes no sense whatever for Carney to seek the leadership to only run into a Government non confidence defeat within a week and an early election in which the Liberals will likely be savaged.

Something unsavoury is afoot, with Singh again being the snake in the grass.