🏀 NBA PLAY #1

PJ Washington - O 23.5 PR -115 Bet365

📊@propsmadness

PJ is over this line in 4/6 games without both Luka and Kyrie. Denver is a team that are a weak defensive team against spot up shots. They are 3rd WORST vs spot ups, which is how 29% of PJ’s points are scored. They are also a bottom 10 defence in transition, where 21% of PJ’s points are scored. The Nuggets also prone to above the break 3PA, as they rank 20th against these shots, and PJ shoots 30% of his shots here. They currently allow the 11th most C&S 3PA in the league. They are also lacklustre inside the paint, where they allow the 6th most makes. Rebounding wise, Jokic’s ability to stretch the floor occasionally will allow for some opportunities for PJ to grab some boards. On top of this, PJ had 13 rebounds on 20 chances the last time these two faced where Luka was out. Without Luka out this season, PJ is averaging 9.1 rebounds, and is over his 7.5 line in 10/15 of these games. Denver haven’t been at the championship level that they were once at a few seasons ago, and the Mavs role players have really stepped up in these games without there 2 stars, which is reflected in the 4 points spread, which is why I expect for this game to be close.