3) Bitcoin Quantile Model

The VPLI and Power Law do not give us a range of possible outcomes. Thus we developed the quantile model to estimates the various quantiles and offers us a predicted distribution of prices not just one point estimate. 

In this chart the top of the channel is the 99th percentile and the bottom of the channel is the 1st percentile. I also have indicated the 33rd and 66th percentile that have historically marked different Bitcoin phases.

Right now Bitcoin is trading at the 65th percentile. 

@PlanC also has his fantastic visualization of this model with more details. Be sure to check that out.