The renewal of the trade war between the US and China might have less impact on the Chinese market compared to the situation seven years ago. There is a possibility that American soybeans may not reach China. During the 2021/22–2023/24 period, China increased its soybean reserves to 20 million tons. The soymeal content in feed formulations was reduced from 17.3% in 2019 to 13% in 2023. In 2023/24, Brazilian soybeans accounted for 74% of China's soybean imports. In the event of a new trade war, this share could rise to 80%.