✳️  WEEK OF  JAN 19-25  WILL FEATURE SEVERAL POSSIBLE  SIGNIFICANT   or MAJOR   EAST COAST / interior  SE CONUS  WINTER  STORM   CHANCES ✳️

  I am sure by now many of you know that there is  ANOTHER major if not  historic Arctic Blast coming into the central  and eastern CONUS by the end of the week.    Unless the pattern changes significantly in the last two days of January  we will end up with December and January featuring  near normal or below normal temperatures east of the Mississippi River. IF so then the  CPC  Winter forecast along with the usual crap from AccuWeather, The Weather Channel, WeatherNation, Weather Underground  will have turned out to be disastrously wrong in every possible way.  

The argument that I --and a few others presented that this was going to be +TNH  winter pattern --so far appears to be working out quite nicely and with what I    a seeing coming up during the next week it may turn out to be a excellent winter prediction indeed.

 OK  we are not looking at just one event but POTENTIALLY 3  different winter storm chances  during the period from  JAN 19-24.    

In this discussion I will  point out that it is impossible to know which of these scenarios is going to work out but there are some similarities which can be talked about at this point. 

Remember for the stupid people in d the cheap seats  in the back row… we are NOT not talking about snow Amounts or which location or anything like that.  We are just talking about what the general overall large-scale pattern across North America is telling us based upon the midday and evening models on Sunday JAAN 12.    At this point you should probably take a look at the different Maps  and read the text on the maps explaining what is going on

Basically both models agree that JAN 18-19 there will be a massive longwave Trough as the Northern or Polar Jet  and the  southern / f subtropical jet phase in the Midwest. This will drive  the  arctic cold front  east sweeping through the Midwest and the East Coast on January 18  with some rain. Temperatures will crash behind the front and THE as  Midwest Trough begins to slowly advance Eastward.  

 The southern end of the arctic  front is going to stall and there will likely be LOW pressure development somewhere in the SE states JAN 19.  THEN there is likely to be additional energy coming out of this  slow-moving gargantuan Trough containing the Arctic air. 

The GFS  and the European handle this differently but either solution in my opinion at this point is viable.  ALSO…  both models show a third shortwave or impulse which has to be watched for potential development after January 21-22.

#wxtwitter #vawx #mdwx #wvwx #dcwx #pawx #phlwx #rvawx  #ncwx #rduwx #njwx #mass #ctwx   #nywx #nycwx  #ohwx   #indwx  #kywx #tnwx #scwx
#WINTER  #snow #snowstorm #Arctic