Title: Effects of Arrival Type and Degree of Saturation on Queue Length Estimation at Signalized Intersections,
Abstract: Purpose of this study is evaluation of the relationship between different
arrival types and degree of saturation (X) with overestimations of HCM 2010
procedure for estimating the back of queue within a study area. Further
analysis is performed to establish the relationship between queue length and
delay and also between each of them individually and X in cases with
overestimation. The analyses are based on the 50th percentile queue lengths for
data collected at four signalized intersections along a corridor in 4 time
periods (off peak period and AM, Noon and PM peak periods). Based on the
statistical test results, arrival type did not play a role in overestimations.
However, there is a significant relationship between the overestimations on
minor and major street and different ranges of X. On minor streets, about 59%
of the overestimations are at X values less than half; while near 23% of the
overestimations are at oversaturation condition with X values greater than 1.
The relationship between amount of overestimations and degree of saturation
should be established based on the numerical amount of overestimations versus X
values rather than the relative amounts; since the statistical comparison
between the relative amount of overestimations and X values, resulted in a
wrong idea of the real world condition. There was a significant correlation
between field queue and delay data of the cases with overestimated queue length
in all cases on major and minor streets. Also, field queue is correlated to X,
in all cases on minor and major streets.