Title: Deep Temporal-Recurrent-Replicated-Softmax for Topical Trends over Time,
Abstract: Dynamic topic modeling facilitates the identification of topical trends over
time in temporal collections of unstructured documents. We introduce a novel
unsupervised neural dynamic topic model named as Recurrent Neural
Network-Replicated Softmax Model (RNNRSM), where the discovered topics at each
time influence the topic discovery in the subsequent time steps. We account for
the temporal ordering of documents by explicitly modeling a joint distribution
of latent topical dependencies over time, using distributional estimators with
temporal recurrent connections. Applying RNN-RSM to 19 years of articles on NLP
research, we demonstrate that compared to state-of-the art topic models, RNNRSM
shows better generalization, topic interpretation, evolution and trends. We
also introduce a metric (named as SPAN) to quantify the capability of dynamic
topic model to capture word evolution in topics over time.