Title: Connecting Software Metrics across Versions to Predict Defects,
Abstract: Accurate software defect prediction could help software practitioners
allocate test resources to defect-prone modules effectively and efficiently. In
the last decades, much effort has been devoted to build accurate defect
prediction models, including developing quality defect predictors and modeling
techniques. However, current widely used defect predictors such as code metrics
and process metrics could not well describe how software modules change over
the project evolution, which we believe is important for defect prediction. In
order to deal with this problem, in this paper, we propose to use the
Historical Version Sequence of Metrics (HVSM) in continuous software versions
as defect predictors. Furthermore, we leverage Recurrent Neural Network (RNN),
a popular modeling technique, to take HVSM as the input to build software
prediction models. The experimental results show that, in most cases, the
proposed HVSM-based RNN model has a significantly better effort-aware ranking
effectiveness than the commonly used baseline models.