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Gold Operation Summary (October 14)
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🌟 Gold Performance
Due to safe-haven demand, gold has outperformed other assets this year.
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📈 Market Factors
The fourth quarter will be influenced by the U.S. election, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical risks, which are positive for gold.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
Still bullish, a new bull market may be on the horizon.
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📊 Third Quarter Review
As of the third quarter, gold prices have risen by 14%, with a year-on-year increase of 42%. Its return has outpaced the S&P 500 by 32%.
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💰 Fed Rate Cuts and Economic Risks
Rate cut expectations may push gold prices up, but optimistic non-farm payroll reports have raised doubts about these expectations. Signs of economic weakness and an inverted yield curve may signal a recession.
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🗳️ U.S. Election
Harris has a slight lead over Trump, but her advantage is unstable. Trump's policies could trigger inflation, while Harris may adopt a more balanced approach to China, impacting precious metal markets.
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🌍 Geopolitical Risks
Tensions in the Middle East may escalate, particularly between Israel and Iran.
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🔝 Support and Targets
If gold drops below $2600, it may retrace to the $2530-$2550 range. Above $26355, a bullish outlook targets $2700 or higher, potentially approaching the $2800-$2843 range.
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The above statements represent personal views and do not reflect the platform's stance; opinions are for reference only.
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