比特幣，主升延續！還能拉？世界經濟的未來格局！#btc  #比特幣 #ETH #以太幣
大鏢客比特幣行情分析
[{'start': '20.300', 'end': '21.700', 'text': 'Good morning, dear audience friends. It'}, {'start': '21.700', 'end': '24.566', 'text': 'is now 8:16 am on Friday, May 2, 2025 Beijing time.'}, {'start': '26.600', 'end': '27.566', 'text': 'This is a channel dedicated to analyzing the trend of Bitcoin.'}, {'start': '28.500', 'end': '29.300', 'text': 'I am'}, {'start': '29.300', 'end': '30.233', 'text': 'Dabiao. Dabiao only talks about technology and'}, {'start': '30.233', 'end': '30.966', 'text': 'not rhetoric.'}, {'start': '30.966', 'end': '32.366', 'text': 'Scan the QR code on the screen'}, {'start': '32.600', 'end': '33.833', 'text': 'to join our group.'}, {'start': '33.900', 'end': '35.800', 'text': 'In addition, I would like to remind everyone to be careful of online fraud.'}, {'start': '36.033', 'end': '37.266', 'text': 'This channel does not provide any paid services'}, {'start': '37.266', 'end': '38.166', 'text': 'or subscription services.'}, {'start': '38.200', 'end': '39.000', 'text': 'If you like my content,'}, {'start': '39.000', 'end': '40.500', 'text': 'please like, forward and follow me.'}, {'start': '41.600', 'end': '43.500', 'text': 'Now I will review with you the'}, {'start': '43.500', 'end': '45.100', 'text': 'general market situation of the past day yesterday.'}, {'start': '45.600', 'end': '47.166', 'text': 'When we analyzed it yesterday, it'}, {'start': '47.166', 'end': '49.466', 'text': 'was around 8 or 9 in the morning of May 1st, about'}, {'start': '49.466', 'end': '50.266', 'text': 'this position.'}, {'start': '52.433', 'end': '56.233', 'text': 'So yesterday, the overall rhythm was oscillating upward.'}, {'start': '58.466', 'end': '60.366', 'text': 'When it broke through the high of 95,700,'}, {'start': '60.566', 'end': '62.100', 'text': 'it was still very accurate.'}, {'start': '62.100', 'end': '63.066', 'text': 'Everyone, please take a closer look.'}, {'start': '63.066', 'end': '64.066', 'text': 'This 95,700'}, {'start': '64.066', 'end': '65.400', 'text': 'is the pressure point we have been talking about.'}, {'start': '65.400', 'end': '66.366', 'text': 'When it broke through upward,'}, {'start': '66.366', 'end': '67.566', 'text': 'it also stepped back. It was a'}, {'start': '68.000', 'end': '69.166', 'text': 'very standard step back to'}, {'start': '69.166', 'end': '70.633', 'text': 'confirm the effectiveness of the support.'}, {'start': '70.766', 'end': '73.033', 'text': 'Then it pulled up again, right?'}, {'start': '73.033', 'end': '75.433', 'text': 'Then it reached a new round of highs of 97,388.'}, {'start': '75.633', 'end': '77.466', 'text': 'This wave of rhythm is very clean, and the'}, {'start': '77.600', 'end': '79.100', 'text': 'bulls completely dominate the trend'}, {'start': '79.166', 'end': '80.600', 'text': 'The wash was very'}, {'start': '80.600', 'end': '81.666', 'text': 'thorough and the pull was very stable. It'}, {'start': '81.766', 'end': '84.666', 'text': 'was an upward attack in a healthy main rising rhythm. The'}, {'start': '84.866', 'end': '85.600', 'text': 'current price'}, {'start': '85.600', 'end': '87.633', 'text': 'is now at 96,500.'}, {'start': '87.666', 'end': '89.233', 'text': "I was waiting for the close at 8 o'clock just now. The"}, {'start': '89.233', 'end': '89.833', 'text': "close at 8 o'clock is"}, {'start': '89.833', 'end': '91.800', 'text': 'now above 95,700,'}, {'start': '91.800', 'end': '96.200', 'text': 'or even around 96,500.'}, {'start': '96.200', 'end': '96.666', 'text': 'So the'}, {'start': '96.666', 'end': '98.400', 'text': 'bullish sentiment is still quite good. Ethereum'}, {'start': '98.666', 'end': '100.766', 'text': 'also followed the rebound yesterday, with the'}, {'start': '100.766', 'end': '101.600', 'text': 'highest being 1872.'}, {'start': '101.600', 'end': '102.300', 'text': 'Now it has'}, {'start': '102.300', 'end': '103.266', 'text': 'fallen back a little bit,'}, {'start': '103.266', 'end': '104.366', 'text': 'around 1835,'}, {'start': '104.366', 'end': '106.100', 'text': 'but the structure is more volatile, which is'}, {'start': '106.100', 'end': '107.400', 'text': 'quite healthy. So'}, {'start': '107.966', 'end': '109.300', 'text': 'we did miss it yesterday.'}, {'start': '109.300', 'end': '111.200', 'text': 'This is my responsibility.'}, {'start': '112.200', 'end': '114.300', 'text': 'In'}, {'start': '114.300', 'end': '115.300', 'text': 'our analysis for so long, in the'}, {'start': '115.300', 'end': '116.366', 'text': 'recent period of time,'}, {'start': '116.366', 'end': '118.866', 'text': 'everyone has seen that I have been telling you that the'}, {'start': '118.866', 'end': '121.066', 'text': 'bulls have repeatedly started to digest the pressure. They appear'}, {'start': '121.066', 'end': '122.366', 'text': 'weak on the surface but are actually strong,'}, {'start': '122.366', 'end': '124.233', 'text': 'right? There is also a lot of main rising endurance.'}, {'start': '124.800', 'end': '126.400', 'text': 'I have been saying that the bulls are still there, and I have'}, {'start': '126.400', 'end': '128.766', 'text': 'also told you that it has always been d long d long.'}, {'start': '128.766', 'end': '129.966', 'text': 'But yesterday'}, {'start': '129.966', 'end': '131.166', 'text': 'was my own mistake.'}, {'start': '131.166', 'end': '132.466', 'text': 'After we finished our analysis yesterday,'}, {'start': '132.466', 'end': '134.300', 'text': 'I gave you a long position strategy  The'}, {'start': '134.300', 'end': '136.766', 'text': 'direction includes 90,000-94,500,'}, {'start': '136.766', 'end': '137.266', 'text': 'or if you are more aggressive, you can'}, {'start': '137.266', 'end': '138.666', 'text': 'enter at 94,700'}, {'start': '138.666', 'end': '139.400', 'text': 'or 94,800. As for Ethereum, it has'}, {'start': '139.400', 'end': '140.600', 'text': 'reached 1805.'}, {'start': '140.766', 'end': '141.866', 'text': 'Then I have been thinking that I should'}, {'start': '141.866', 'end': '143.066', 'text': 'go long.'}, {'start': '143.066', 'end': '144.366', 'text': 'But the 15-minute chart has been'}, {'start': '144.366', 'end': '145.600', 'text': 'very confusing recently.'}, {'start': '145.600', 'end': '146.200', 'text': "Let's take a look. At"}, {'start': '146.200', 'end': '148.466', 'text': "9 or 10 o'clock yesterday morning,"}, {'start': '148.466', 'end': '150.466', 'text': 'the position was very confusing.'}, {'start': '150.466', 'end': '152.100', 'text': 'Yesterday, the 15-minute chart had'}, {'start': '152.166', 'end': '154.966', 'text': 'very poor indicators.'}, {'start': '155.466', 'end': '156.500', 'text': "Let's take a look at"}, {'start': '156.700', 'end': '158.566', 'text': 'yesterday.'}, {'start': '158.566', 'end': '159.366', 'text': 'At this position,'}, {'start': '160.666', 'end': '161.300', 'text': 'these indicators'}, {'start': '161.300', 'end': '162.633', 'text': 'showed that this was a dead cross again,'}, {'start': '162.633', 'end': '163.966', 'text': 'and then this was a high-level downward movement. The indicators were'}, {'start': '164.033', 'end': '165.400', 'text': 'very confusing.'}, {'start': '165.400', 'end': '166.000', 'text': 'So I'}, {'start': '166.000', 'end': '168.000', 'text': 'also think that you should make a correction more or less.'}, {'start': '168.000', 'end': '168.833', 'text': 'Our direction is still low-to-long.'}, {'start': '168.833', 'end': '169.666', 'text': 'However, if you go low-to-long,'}, {'start': '169.666', 'end': '171.033', 'text': 'you have to give a low position. So'}, {'start': '171.033', 'end': '172.100', 'text': 'later'}, {'start': '172.100', 'end': '173.033', 'text': 'we adjusted it'}, {'start': '173.033', 'end': '173.600', 'text': 'and told everyone that'}, {'start': '173.600', 'end': '174.966', 'text': 'we should go short'}, {'start': '174.966', 'end': '176.166', 'text': 'because the suppression of 95,000 has not been broken.'}, {'start': '176.166', 'end': '177.233', 'text': 'Go short first and then go long.'}, {'start': '177.300', 'end': '178.833', 'text': 'Then I even told everyone in the communication group that we should go'}, {'start': '179.666', 'end': '180.700', 'text': "short first and then 12 o'clock,"}, {'start': '180.700', 'end': '181.700', 'text': "wait for 2 to 4 o'clock in the afternoon, at"}, {'start': '181.700', 'end': '182.466', 'text': "most 4 o'clock."}, {'start': '182.466', 'end': '183.433', 'text': "If we still can't go short,"}, {'start': '183.433', 'end': '184.400', 'text': 'then we will'}, {'start': '184.400', 'end': '185.433', 'text': 'go long and the long position can'}, {'start': '185.433', 'end': '187.066', 'text': 'either refer to the position sent out earlier,'}, {'start': '187.066', 'end': '187.966', 'text': 'or I will notify you separately.'}, {'start': '187.966', 'end': '189.033', 'text': 'I have told you all about it,'}, {'start': '189.433', 'end': '191.600', 'text': 'but I fell asleep yesterday afternoon.'}, {'start': '191.600', 'end': '192.366', 'text': "Wasn't yesterday May 1st?"}, {'start': '192.366', 'end': '192.900', 'text': 'In China,'}, {'start': '192.900', 'end': '193.866', 'text': "it's a holiday. And"}, {'start': '195.266', 'end': '197.400', 'text': "our son didn't have classes"}, {'start': '197.400', 'end': '198.900', 'text': 'or school. He was'}, {'start': '199.000', 'end': '199.633', 'text': 'at home.'}, {'start': '199.633', 'end': '201.066', 'text': 'After lunch, did'}, {'start': '201.100', 'end': '202.066', 'text': 'I coax him to sleep? He'}, {'start': '202.066', 'end': '203.866', 'text': 'finally wanted me for once,'}, {'start': '203.900', 'end': '204.900', 'text': 'so I coaxed him to sleep.'}, {'start': '205.166', 'end': '207.466', 'text': 'Everyone may have this experience.'}, {'start': '207.466', 'end': '208.766', 'text': 'When you accompany your child to sleep,'}, {'start': '208.766', 'end': '210.500', 'text': 'in order to prevent him from'}, {'start': '210.500', 'end': '211.400', 'text': 'looking around,'}, {'start': '211.400', 'end': '211.766', 'text': 'or'}, {'start': '211.766', 'end': '213.666', 'text': 'anyway, if you want to make him sleep quickly, you'}, {'start': '214.233', 'end': '215.300', 'text': 'have to put down your phone.'}, {'start': '215.300', 'end': '216.266', 'text': 'And when you put down your phone and'}, {'start': '216.266', 'end': '217.066', 'text': 'coax him to sleep,'}, {'start': '217.066', 'end': '218.433', 'text': 'actually, as adults, we are'}, {'start': '218.433', 'end': '219.166', 'text': 'more likely to fall asleep. As a'}, {'start': '219.166', 'end': '221.666', 'text': 'result, I slept from about 1:00 to 6:00.'}, {'start': '223.366', 'end': '224.666', 'text': 'This was really my mistake.'}, {'start': '224.666', 'end': '226.400', 'text': 'From 42 to 4:00,'}, {'start': '226.400', 'end': '227.166', 'text': "I didn't reverse."}, {'start': '227.166', 'end': '228.300', 'text': 'This was indeed my mistake.'}, {'start': '228.466', 'end': '229.500', 'text': "So yesterday's order was"}, {'start': '229.500', 'end': '230.300', 'text': "stopped. It's"}, {'start': '230.300', 'end': '231.566', 'text': 'a pity.'}, {'start': '232.966', 'end': '235.433', 'text': 'But yesterday, when it was flying,'}, {'start': '235.433', 'end': '236.666', 'text': 'actually many of our points'}, {'start': '236.666', 'end': '238.000', 'text': 'Its retracements are very accurate,'}, {'start': '238.000', 'end': '238.866', 'text': "including yesterday's highs. Have"}, {'start': '238.866', 'end': '240.600', 'text': "n't we deduced and"}, {'start': '240.600', 'end': '243.066', 'text': 'predicted that it would reach 97, 200, 77, 300?'}, {'start': '243.066', 'end': '243.566', 'text': 'Not'}, {'start': '243.566', 'end': '244.600', 'text': 'a cent off, right?'}, {'start': '244.600', 'end': '246.166', 'text': 'And when it retraced to 95, 700,'}, {'start': '246.166', 'end': '247.966', 'text': "didn't we also tell you about it? So, there is"}, {'start': '248.633', 'end': '251.066', 'text': 'no problem with this from the technical analysis point of view.'}, {'start': '251.500', 'end': '255.833', 'text': 'Today is Labor Day in mainland China.'}, {'start': '255.866', 'end': '257.166', 'text': 'During this holiday, I'}, {'start': '257.166', 'end': '258.433', 'text': 'want to chat with you today.'}, {'start': '258.900', 'end': '261.400', 'text': 'From my personal perspective and opinion, I want to talk about'}, {'start': '262.766', 'end': '265.433', 'text': 'what the world finance will look like in the future.'}, {'start': '265.433', 'end': '266.866', 'text': 'Why do many friends who are doing business'}, {'start': '266.866', 'end': '268.466', 'text': 'feel that business is getting harder and harder?'}, {'start': '269.033', 'end': '270.266', 'text': 'Even if you are working,'}, {'start': '270.266', 'end': '271.433', 'text': 'you feel that your boss and'}, {'start': '271.433', 'end': '272.900', 'text': 'your company are getting harder and harder.'}, {'start': '273.166', 'end': '274.500', 'text': 'So, as ordinary people, if we'}, {'start': '274.500', 'end': '275.900', 'text': 'want to understand the world,'}, {'start': '276.000', 'end': '277.500', 'text': 'from what perspective should we look?'}, {'start': '277.900', 'end': '279.833', 'text': 'Today, I want to talk to you about such a topic.'}, {'start': '279.833', 'end': '280.766', 'text': 'Because some time ago,'}, {'start': '280.766', 'end': '281.833', 'text': 'since'}, {'start': '281.833', 'end': '284.066', 'text': 'I gradually added some macroeconomics last time, I'}, {'start': '284.166', 'end': '285.866', 'text': 'received a lot of likes from friends.'}, {'start': '285.866', 'end': '287.233', 'text': 'Many people left me messages'}, {'start': '287.266', 'end': '288.266', 'text': 'and private messages.'}, {'start': '288.266', 'end': '289.900', 'text': 'Some friends even thought that I should'}, {'start': '289.900', 'end': '290.766', 'text': 'add it in every issue in the future. So, to be'}, {'start': '290.766', 'end': '291.566', 'text': 'honest, it is unlikely that'}, {'start': '291.566', 'end': '292.400', 'text': 'you ask me to add it in every issue,'}, {'start': '293.300', 'end': '294.366', 'text': 'because there are not so many.  I want to'}, {'start': '294.366', 'end': '296.233', 'text': 'tell you'}, {'start': '296.233', 'end': '297.500', 'text': 'that these special events'}, {'start': '297.500', 'end': '299.000', 'text': 'all have to happen at some special time, at'}, {'start': '299.166', 'end': '300.400', 'text': 'a certain point in'}, {'start': '300.400', 'end': '301.066', 'text': 'time.'}, {'start': '302.100', 'end': '302.966', 'text': 'When we talk about it,'}, {'start': '302.966', 'end': '304.100', 'text': 'you will feel it more.'}, {'start': '304.900', 'end': '306.300', 'text': 'Today is January.'}, {'start': '306.300', 'end': '307.466', 'text': 'Today should be'}, {'start': '307.466', 'end': '310.666', 'text': 'January 20 of this year, which is January 20 of 2025, the'}, {'start': '310.666', 'end': '313.166', 'text': 'inauguration day of the President of the United States.'}, {'start': '313.900', 'end': '316.200', 'text': 'After Trump took office as the new President of the United States, he'}, {'start': '316.366', 'end': '319.266', 'text': 'began to impose tariffs one after another. After'}, {'start': '321.233', 'end': '324.400', 'text': 'nearly 100 days of tariff war, the'}, {'start': '324.500', 'end': '325.900', 'text': "future direction of the world's development"}, {'start': '325.900', 'end': '329.433', 'text': 'has gradually settled at this moment. The'}, {'start': '329.966', 'end': '331.233', 'text': 'global Great Depression'}, {'start': '331.233', 'end': '332.766', 'text': 'seems to have become an inevitability. As the'}, {'start': '333.066', 'end': '334.666', 'text': 'saying goes, there is no construction without destruction.'}, {'start': '335.000', 'end': '336.033', 'text': 'This Great Depression'}, {'start': '336.200', 'end': '339.300', 'text': 'will also become a catalyst for changes in the world pattern. The speed of breaking'}, {'start': '339.400', 'end': '341.366', 'text': 'an old order and'}, {'start': '341.366', 'end': '343.366', 'text': 'establishing a new order'}, {'start': '343.366', 'end': '344.866', 'text': "will far exceed everyone's imagination. The reason why the"}, {'start': '345.500', 'end': '348.300', 'text': 'risk of a Great Depression is so great is'}, {'start': '348.566', 'end': '351.066', 'text': 'that the development of various events shows that the'}, {'start': '352.833', 'end': '355.400', 'text': 'two most promising interest groups in the world today'}, {'start': '355.666', 'end': '357.800', 'text': 'are the Federal Reserve Wall Street Financial Group'}, {'start': '358.200', 'end': '359.566', 'text': 'and China.'}, {'start': '359.833', 'end': '361.266', 'text': 'These two interest groups do'}, {'start': '361.266', 'end': '363.266', 'text': 'not seem to be afraid of a'}, {'start': '363.266', 'end': '364.900', 'text': 'systemic crisis in global finance and trade.'}, {'start': '365.400', 'end': '366.866', 'text': 'If the'}, {'start': '366.866', 'end': '369.166', 'text': 'two biggest experts agree on one thing,'}, {'start': '369.633', 'end': '371.433', 'text': 'Then it is very likely to become a reality.'}, {'start': '371.600', 'end': '373.000', 'text': 'So we are going to talk about'}, {'start': '373.000', 'end': '374.833', 'text': 'what kind of reality this is'}, {'start': '375.466', 'end': '377.500', 'text': "today. I didn't write any PPT or"}, {'start': '377.500', 'end': '378.166', 'text': 'anything. You'}, {'start': '378.166', 'end': '380.200', 'text': 'need to be quiet and listen'}, {'start': '380.200', 'end': '381.866', 'text': 'carefully to'}, {'start': '382.033', 'end': '384.066', 'text': 'understand what is said here.'}, {'start': '384.066', 'end': '386.633', 'text': 'China is a place and a'}, {'start': '386.633', 'end': '387.433', 'text': 'country.'}, {'start': '387.433', 'end': '388.800', 'text': 'Next, I will talk to you'}, {'start': '388.800', 'end': '390.366', 'text': 'about some financial'}, {'start': '390.366', 'end': '391.033', 'text': 'and diplomatic aspects. Let'}, {'start': '392.033', 'end': '394.300', 'text': 'me talk about two concepts.'}, {'start': '394.866', 'end': '396.900', 'text': 'First, the interests of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street'}, {'start': '396.900', 'end': '398.633', 'text': "are not equal to Trump's interests."}, {'start': '399.233', 'end': '402.600', 'text': 'Second, China is not the party that actively decouples and breaks the chain.'}, {'start': '403.166', 'end': '405.666', 'text': 'China is making preparations for the worst,'}, {'start': '405.700', 'end': '409.066', 'text': 'and at the same time, it is'}, {'start': '409.066', 'end': '412.600', 'text': 'actively seeking communication and negotiation with various countries and groups from the perspectives of trade and diplomacy.'}, {'start': '413.000', 'end': '415.066', 'text': 'After understanding these two basic concepts, let'}, {'start': '415.166', 'end': '417.700', 'text': "'s"}, {'start': '417.700', 'end': '418.900', 'text': 'unravel,'}, {'start': '419.100', 'end': '419.866', 'text': 'piece together, and'}, {'start': '419.866', 'end': '420.800', 'text': 'anticipate'}, {'start': '420.800', 'end': '422.666', 'text': 'some future development directions of the world.'}, {'start': '424.400', 'end': '425.400', 'text': "Let's talk about the United States first. In"}, {'start': '425.566', 'end': '426.666', 'text': 'fact, we have already had an in-depth interpretation of the'}, {'start': '426.666', 'end': '428.700', 'text': 'behavioral logic of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street financial groups'}, {'start': '428.800', 'end': '430.500', 'text': 'in previous analyses. We do'}, {'start': '432.833', 'end': '434.666', 'text': "n't know enough about Trump, Powell,"}, {'start': '434.666', 'end': '436.766', 'text': 'or even the origin of the free country of the United States.'}, {'start': '436.766', 'end': '439.866', 'text': 'Then you can take a look at the'}, {'start': '440.200', 'end': '442.900', 'text': 'early market analysis on April 21.'}, {'start': '442.900', 'end': '445.066', 'text': 'Here I have made a detailed interpretation of the'}, {'start': '445.066', 'end': '446.066', 'text': 'things I just mentioned.'}, {'start': '448.700', 'end': '450.366', 'text': "Based on today's topic, in"}, {'start': '450.366', 'end': '451.233', 'text': 'simple terms, the'}, {'start': '451.266', 'end': '452.666', 'text': 'global recession'}, {'start': '452.666', 'end': '456.266', 'text': 'is an important part of their financial tide harvest.'}, {'start': '456.266', 'end': '458.300', 'text': 'Everyone still remembers that since 2023,'}, {'start': '458.366', 'end': '460.466', 'text': 'some financial giants, led by Buffett, have been'}, {'start': '460.600', 'end': '463.766', 'text': 'cashing out their stocks and'}, {'start': '463.766', 'end': '464.833', 'text': 'converting them into cash. Do'}, {'start': '464.833', 'end': '466.100', 'text': 'you remember this situation?'}, {'start': '466.266', 'end': '467.466', 'text': 'In fact, what does this represent?'}, {'start': '467.466', 'end': '468.666', 'text': 'What does it mean? It represents that'}, {'start': '468.666', 'end': '470.000', 'text': 'these people have changed from being'}, {'start': '470.000', 'end': '472.033', 'text': 'optimistic about the development of industrial capital to being'}, {'start': '472.033', 'end': '473.800', 'text': 'bearish.'}, {'start': '474.100', 'end': '476.700', 'text': 'So to put it nicely, it is called holding money and waiting. To put it bluntly,'}, {'start': '476.966', 'end': '479.566', 'text': 'it is called waiting for an opportunity to short.'}, {'start': '480.433', 'end': '481.700', 'text': "Let's simply imagine that"}, {'start': '482.200', 'end': '483.266', 'text': 'if you are Buffett now, when the'}, {'start': '486.866', 'end': '489.266', 'text': 'Nasdaq index rushed to 20,000 points from 2023 to 2024,'}, {'start': '489.366', 'end': '492.033', 'text': 'you sold most of the stocks you earned in your hands and'}, {'start': '492.966', 'end': '495.200', 'text': 'exchanged them for more than 30 billion US dollars in cash.'}, {'start': '495.500', 'end': '497.100', 'text': 'Then'}, {'start': '497.100', 'end': '498.466', 'text': 'what is the next stage of development of the market that you want most now?'}, {'start': '498.833', 'end': '499.400', 'text': 'In my opinion, what'}, {'start': '499.400', 'end': '502.100', 'text': 'you want is nothing more than two most important things.'}, {'start': '502.700', 'end': '503.300', 'text': 'The first is to'}, {'start': '503.300', 'end': '505.766', 'text': 'maintain the strong position of the cash in your hands and'}, {'start': '505.800', 'end': '508.200', 'text': 'not let it be devalued by inflation.'}, {'start': '508.900', 'end': '510.433', 'text': 'And this is the fundamental reason why the current Federal Reserve is determined not to cut interest rates even if'}, {'start': '510.433', 'end': '512.066', 'text': 'liquidity is exhausted'}, {'start': '512.066', 'end': '513.400', 'text': 'and even a global recession is triggered.'}, {'start': '516.100', 'end': '518.500', 'text': 'The second is the global economic depression.  The'}, {'start': '518.666', 'end': '520.866', 'text': 'large-scale bankruptcy of various high-quality companies has'}, {'start': '521.833', 'end': '524.100', 'text': 'given you the opportunity to buy them at the bottom.'}, {'start': '524.800', 'end': '526.466', 'text': 'This is what has happened repeatedly in the past'}, {'start': '526.466', 'end': '528.666', 'text': 'after every global financial crisis. Buying'}, {'start': '528.900', 'end': '530.600', 'text': 'industrial capital at a low price,'}, {'start': '530.700', 'end': '532.766', 'text': 'then promoting'}, {'start': '532.766', 'end': '533.800', 'text': 'global industrial recovery and prosperity, and then'}, {'start': '533.866', 'end': '536.700', 'text': 'pushing up leverage to cash out at the'}, {'start': '537.300', 'end': '539.700', 'text': 'top. After cashing out at the top, the global industry will be destroyed and a'}, {'start': '539.700', 'end': '540.800', 'text': 'financial crisis will be triggered.'}, {'start': '540.800', 'end': '541.700', 'text': 'Don’t you see it is like this now? Have'}, {'start': '541.700', 'end': '542.833', 'text': 'they cashed out at the'}, {'start': '542.966', 'end': '543.666', 'text': 'top? After cashing'}, {'start': '545.400', 'end': '546.633', 'text': 'out at the top, what will be the next step of cashing out at the top according to the historical trajectory?'}, {'start': '546.633', 'end': '547.466', 'text': 'Destroying the global industry'}, {'start': '547.466', 'end': '548.300', 'text': 'and then triggering a'}, {'start': '548.300', 'end': '549.100', 'text': 'financial crisis.'}, {'start': '549.300', 'end': '551.766', 'text': 'No matter how the Federal Reserve and Wall Street'}, {'start': '551.766', 'end': '553.066', 'text': 'disguise their actions subjectively and package'}, {'start': '553.166', 'end': '554.000', 'text': 'these actions as'}, {'start': '554.000', 'end': '556.400', 'text': 'a behavior that follows market rules, in'}, {'start': '556.400', 'end': '559.166', 'text': 'fact, from the 1980s to the present, in'}, {'start': '559.166', 'end': '560.900', 'text': 'just over 40 years,'}, {'start': '560.966', 'end': '564.433', 'text': 'they have taken advantage of several subprime mortgage crises in Europe and Asia to buy at the bottom.'}, {'start': '565.200', 'end': '567.666', 'text': 'More than half of the equity in the global capital market,'}, {'start': '568.166', 'end': '569.266', 'text': 'including in China, has been seen'}, {'start': '569.266', 'end': '571.233', 'text': 'in almost all world-class brands.'}, {'start': '571.266', 'end': '573.600', 'text': 'You can see some of the holdings of these capitals in the ones'}, {'start': '573.966', 'end': '575.000', 'text': 'you are more familiar with,'}, {'start': '575.033', 'end': '576.800', 'text': 'such as Converse, Li Ning and Nike.'}, {'start': '576.800', 'end': '577.600', 'text': 'I tell you,'}, {'start': '577.866', 'end': '579.500', 'text': 'almost all of them have the same situation. Do'}, {'start': '579.500', 'end': '581.200', 'text': 'n’t talk about other domestic and foreign brands.'}, {'start': '581.200', 'end': '583.633', 'text': 'Just talk about this and that,'}, {'start': '583.633', 'end': '584.433', 'text': 'what Xtep and Li Ning,'}, {'start': '584.500', 'end': '584.833', 'text': 'right?'}, {'start': '584.833', 'end': '586.700', 'text': 'Aren’t these some Chinese sports brands?'}, {'start': '586.700', 'end': '588.566', 'text': "But which of these sports brands doesn't have"}, {'start': '588.566', 'end': '589.366', 'text': 'these capitals behind them,'}, {'start': '589.433', 'end': '591.433', 'text': 'and even all of them are American capitals?'}, {'start': '591.566', 'end': '592.366', 'text': 'Which one is not,'}, {'start': '593.366', 'end': '594.033', 'text': 'right? In fact, this is the reason.'}, {'start': '594.833', 'end': '596.066', 'text': 'Under such circumstances,'}, {'start': '596.066', 'end': '598.766', 'text': 'they need all regions of the world except the United States,'}, {'start': '598.766', 'end': '602.000', 'text': 'especially those regions with booming economies, to'}, {'start': '602.666', 'end': '604.300', 'text': 'experience a depression or recession.'}, {'start': '604.633', 'end': '605.966', 'text': 'Their ideal situation is that'}, {'start': '605.966', 'end': '608.000', 'text': 'a certain economy develops rapidly,'}, {'start': '608.233', 'end': '610.566', 'text': 'they cash out at the top and leave,'}, {'start': '610.600', 'end': '613.833', 'text': 'and then incite more foreign capital to withdraw with them. When'}, {'start': '613.966', 'end': '617.033', 'text': 'this economy collapses due to the inertia of the'}, {'start': '617.033', 'end': '619.900', 'text': 'economy,'}, {'start': '620.033', 'end': '621.033', 'text': 'they will turn around and'}, {'start': '621.033', 'end': '625.000', 'text': 'harvest the bottom with extremely unequal agreements.'}, {'start': '625.633', 'end': '628.433', 'text': 'And this is what happened in China from 2017 to 2023. On the'}, {'start': '629.433', 'end': '631.300', 'text': 'one hand, various foreign capitals are withdrawing, and'}, {'start': '631.300', 'end': '632.966', 'text': 'various capital forces have'}, {'start': '632.966', 'end': '634.433', 'text': "been shouting that China's economy is not good and"}, {'start': '634.433', 'end': '635.300', 'text': 'China is going to collapse,'}, {'start': '635.300', 'end': '636.866', 'text': 'and then drive a large amount of capital to flee. On the'}, {'start': '636.900', 'end': '639.366', 'text': 'other hand, our own Chinese,'}, {'start': '639.366', 'end': '640.666', 'text': 'some high-end players, are'}, {'start': '640.766', 'end': '642.766', 'text': 'eager to drink poison to quench thirst, and'}, {'start': '643.100', 'end': '645.433', 'text': 'want to'}, {'start': '645.433', 'end': '647.233', 'text': 'temporarily relieve the pressure on the market by continuing to push up leverage.'}, {'start': '647.566', 'end': '649.166', 'text': 'But history has once again proved that'}, {'start': '649.200', 'end': '651.600', 'text': 'China is still in such a situation and has'}, {'start': '651.800', 'end': '653.400', 'text': 'chosen the most correct path.'}, {'start': '654.500', 'end': '657.966', 'text': 'Now China has withstood various internal and external pressures and'}, {'start': '658.300', 'end': '661.066', 'text': 'carried out strong counter-cyclical adjustments.'}, {'start': '661.066', 'end': '662.566', 'text': 'What is counter-cyclical adjustment?'}, {'start': '662.600', 'end': '665.433', 'text': 'It means not following the natural law of the barbaric development of the market.'}, {'start': '665.466', 'end': '667.700', 'text': 'In the midst of the frenzy, they continued to blow up the bubble and'}, {'start': '668.433', 'end': '669.766', 'text': 'did not play by the rules. Instead, they'}, {'start': '669.766', 'end': '672.033', 'text': 'actively reduced leverage'}, {'start': '672.033', 'end': '673.666', 'text': 'and took this opportunity'}, {'start': '673.666', 'end': '676.100', 'text': 'to deepen reforms in all walks of life.'}, {'start': '677.666', 'end': '678.300', 'text': 'Only in this way,'}, {'start': '678.300', 'end': '679.600', 'text': "China's economic cycle would deviate from the"}, {'start': '679.600', 'end': '682.700', 'text': 'economic cycle expected by the United States.'}, {'start': '684.800', 'end': '686.766', 'text': 'When the U.S. stock market surged and Wall Street capital had not yet cashed out,'}, {'start': '686.766', 'end': '688.100', 'text': 'China had already completed the bottoming out of the'}, {'start': '688.100', 'end': '690.066', 'text': 'entire capital market.'}, {'start': '690.500', 'end': '692.033', 'text': 'When they wanted to mess with China, bring it down,'}, {'start': '693.166', 'end': '694.766', 'text': 'or even harvest China,'}, {'start': '694.766', 'end': '696.900', 'text': "China's most difficult time had actually passed."}, {'start': '697.033', 'end': '698.566', 'text': 'From finance to industry,'}, {'start': '698.766', 'end': '700.666', 'text': 'everything was fully prepared.'}, {'start': '701.400', 'end': '702.366', 'text': 'So in this case,'}, {'start': '702.366', 'end': '703.433', 'text': 'they missed the opportunity.'}, {'start': '703.566', 'end': '704.366', 'text': 'Not only that,'}, {'start': '704.366', 'end': '706.266', 'text': "as the world's largest producer,"}, {'start': '706.266', 'end': '708.066', 'text': 'China has always been a producer.'}, {'start': '708.466', 'end': '709.300', 'text': 'The manufacturing industry,'}, {'start': '709.300', 'end': '710.866', 'text': 'including overcapacity,'}, {'start': '710.866', 'end': '712.566', 'text': 'all show that China is a producer. The United'}, {'start': '712.666', 'end': '716.166', 'text': "States' encirclement and suppression of China cannot be precise"}, {'start': '716.200', 'end': '717.633', 'text': 'because the operation of the entire world'}, {'start': '717.633', 'end': '720.233', 'text': 'must rely on China as one of the links.'}, {'start': '720.700', 'end': '722.666', 'text': 'This has created a'}, {'start': '722.666', 'end': '724.866', 'text': 'situation that is embarrassing for the United States itself.'}, {'start': '725.000', 'end': '726.366', 'text': 'China has not fallen,'}, {'start': '726.366', 'end': '727.766', 'text': "and even China's closest partners,"}, {'start': '727.766', 'end': '730.500', 'text': 'such as economies like ASEAN, have not fallen,'}, {'start': '730.666', 'end': '733.266', 'text': "but the United States' own little brother Europe"}, {'start': '733.266', 'end': '734.266', 'text': 'has already been unable to bear it. In'}, {'start': '734.266', 'end': '736.700', 'text': 'fact, whether there is Trump or not, the'}, {'start': '736.833', 'end': '739.066', 'text': 'macro development patterns we just talked about'}, {'start': '739.066', 'end': '740.166', 'text': 'will not change,'}, {'start': '740.266', 'end': '742.166', 'text': 'except that one is a little ugly.'}, {'start': '742.166', 'end': '743.833', 'text': 'One is to be more cunning.'}, {'start': '744.300', 'end': '745.966', 'text': 'As long as the United States is still a'}, {'start': '745.966', 'end': '747.400', 'text': 'country dominated by financial capital,'}, {'start': '747.433', 'end': '748.700', 'text': 'it cannot avoid'}, {'start': '748.700', 'end': '751.566', 'text': 'external plunder through financial tides and'}, {'start': '751.766', 'end': '753.266', 'text': 'periodic manufacturing recessions.'}, {'start': '753.266', 'end': '754.666', 'text': 'They use cash'}, {'start': '754.666', 'end': '758.166', 'text': 'and US dollars to buy the necessary external environment of the world.'}, {'start': '758.566', 'end': '760.666', 'text': 'This periodic global recession'}, {'start': '760.800', 'end': '762.800', 'text': 'and even the use of tariff wars to'}, {'start': '762.966', 'end': '765.100', 'text': 'create a world pattern that harms others and benefits themselves and'}, {'start': '765.100', 'end': '767.900', 'text': 'completely break up the global industrial chain are'}, {'start': '768.100', 'end': '769.766', 'text': 'not only ineffective for China now,'}, {'start': '769.900', 'end': '771.966', 'text': "but also the best time for China's development. Let's"}, {'start': '772.800', 'end': '774.100', 'text': 'think about a question now.'}, {'start': '774.233', 'end': '776.700', 'text': 'If under the traditional American and Western order,'}, {'start': '776.833', 'end': '780.566', 'text': 'even a pencil must be manufactured by multiple countries in cooperation,'}, {'start': '780.600', 'end': '781.766', 'text': 'then in this case, the only benefit of'}, {'start': '781.866', 'end': '783.300', 'text': 'global tariff barriers'}, {'start': '784.366', 'end': '784.700', 'text': 'is that it'}, {'start': '784.700', 'end': '787.633', 'text': 'should be a country with a complete industrial ecosystem.'}, {'start': '787.633', 'end': '789.433', 'text': 'And who can achieve this complete industrial ecosystem? Is it'}, {'start': '789.433', 'end': '791.700', 'text': 'because China is a manufacturing country? From'}, {'start': '791.700', 'end': '792.400', 'text': 'top to bottom,'}, {'start': '792.400', 'end': '794.300', 'text': 'it can manufacture everything in an industrial chain.'}, {'start': '794.433', 'end': '796.800', 'text': 'Now, there is no country that'}, {'start': '796.800', 'end': '800.100', 'text': 'can have a circulation system like China that does not rely on the outside world.'}, {'start': '800.366', 'end': '802.633', 'text': 'Therefore, when various countries'}, {'start': '802.633', 'end': '805.700', 'text': 'have lost industrial chain cooperation due to the isolationism and economic policies of the Trump administration,'}, {'start': '806.633', 'end': '809.266', 'text': 'and then the impact of the epidemic in the past two years,'}, {'start': '810.766', 'end': '812.566', 'text': 'resulting in a sharp decline in productivity,'}, {'start': '812.566', 'end': '815.766', 'text': 'only China has achieved counter-cyclical growth in foreign trade.'}, {'start': '817.100', 'end': '817.600', 'text': 'Speaking of this,'}, {'start': '817.600', 'end': '818.766', 'text': 'I can tell you a data'}, {'start': '819.000', 'end': '821.033', 'text': 'from last year, which was 2024 last year.'}, {'start': '821.033', 'end': '825.100', 'text': "China's total import and export volume is as high as 43.85 trillion,"}, {'start': '825.233', 'end': '827.200', 'text': 'and it has increased by 5% year-'}, {'start': '827.400', 'end': '830.100', 'text': 'on-year. Export growth has increased by 7%,'}, {'start': '830.800', 'end': '833.666', 'text': 'and the trade surplus has exceeded 1 trillion US dollars.'}, {'start': '833.666', 'end': '834.566', 'text': 'In this process,'}, {'start': '834.566', 'end': '837.000', 'text': 'China has also actively participated in the Belt and Road Initiative,'}, {'start': '837.000', 'end': '838.100', 'text': 'driving the'}, {'start': '838.100', 'end': '841.400', 'text': 'rapid development of industrial cooperation models in Asia-Pacific, ASEAN and Central Asia.'}, {'start': '841.466', 'end': '842.900', 'text': 'Then what is formed here?'}, {'start': '842.900', 'end': '843.700', 'text': 'You are in me, I'}, {'start': '843.700', 'end': '844.500', 'text': 'am in you, and'}, {'start': '844.500', 'end': '846.400', 'text': 'everyone has formed a community of interests. And'}, {'start': '847.033', 'end': '848.800', 'text': 'this time,'}, {'start': '850.033', 'end': '853.166', 'text': "Trump's plan to suppress China by threatening third countries has"}, {'start': '853.433', 'end': '855.166', 'text': 'failed.'}, {'start': '855.166', 'end': '856.100', 'text': 'Look at the previous tariffs,'}, {'start': '856.100', 'end': '857.300', 'text': 'whether it is Mexico or'}, {'start': '857.300', 'end': '857.900', 'text': 'these places,'}, {'start': '857.900', 'end': '858.666', 'text': 'or Vietnam,'}, {'start': '858.666', 'end': '861.000', 'text': 'increasing these tariffs is nothing more than a warning, it'}, {'start': '861.000', 'end': '861.600', 'text': 'is a threat that'}, {'start': '861.600', 'end': '864.266', 'text': 'the third country will not allow China to re-export.'}, {'start': '864.266', 'end': '865.400', 'text': 'But look at these plans now, have'}, {'start': '865.400', 'end': '866.466', 'text': "n't they basically all failed, all of them are"}, {'start': '866.466', 'end': '867.666', 'text': 'stillborn. So this is inseparable from, to be more'}, {'start': '870.700', 'end': '871.633', 'text': 'strict, to be more, it'}, {'start': '873.266', 'end': '874.066', 'text': 'is inseparable from the'}, {'start': '874.066', 'end': '875.833', 'text': 'business workers who are fighting on the front line. To be'}, {'start': '875.833', 'end': '876.766', 'text': 'honest,'}, {'start': '876.833', 'end': '878.033', 'text': 'leading all walks of life to negotiate everywhere, it is'}, {'start': '880.166', 'end': '880.866', 'text': 'also reflected in some advantages'}, {'start': '880.866', 'end': '882.866', 'text': 'of China as a socialist country in the economic and trade fields.'}, {'start': '884.000', 'end': '884.766', 'text': 'So here I'}, {'start': '884.766', 'end': '886.233', 'text': 'need to popularize a small concept with you.  The'}, {'start': '886.300', 'end': '887.633', 'text': 'so-called international relations are'}, {'start': '887.666', 'end': '889.633', 'text': 'actually divided into three levels in essence. The'}, {'start': '889.800', 'end': '891.466', 'text': 'first level is economy and trade, which'}, {'start': '891.766', 'end': '892.500', 'text': 'is commerce.'}, {'start': '892.500', 'end': '893.500', 'text': 'To put it'}, {'start': '893.800', 'end': '894.900', 'text': 'bluntly, it is the economy. You should have heard that the'}, {'start': '894.900', 'end': '896.800', 'text': 'economic base determines the superstructure. The'}, {'start': '897.433', 'end': '899.366', 'text': 'basis of all relations between countries lies'}, {'start': '899.366', 'end': '900.200', 'text': 'in economic'}, {'start': '900.200', 'end': '901.000', 'text': 'interests.'}, {'start': '901.400', 'end': '902.166', 'text': 'This part'}, {'start': '902.166', 'end': '903.633', 'text': 'is under the charge of the Ministry of Commerce.'}, {'start': '903.700', 'end': '905.100', 'text': "China's goal in this field"}, {'start': '905.100', 'end': '907.300', 'text': 'is to achieve more mutually beneficial cooperation,'}, {'start': '908.200', 'end': '910.466', 'text': 'even to establish a solid relationship with all countries including the United States.'}, {'start': '912.100', 'end': '914.166', 'text': 'But there is a practical problem.'}, {'start': '914.600', 'end': '917.433', 'text': 'Now China can have such a great influence and deterrence on the United States'}, {'start': '918.800', 'end': '921.266', 'text': 'because in the process of cooperation between the two sides,'}, {'start': '921.400', 'end': '923.000', 'text': 'from Amazon to Walmart,'}, {'start': '923.066', 'end': '924.966', 'text': 'from Apple to Tesla, they have'}, {'start': '925.400', 'end': '926.900', 'text': 'become'}, {'start': '926.900', 'end': '928.800', 'text': 'companies that can only survive by relying on the Chinese market.'}, {'start': '929.066', 'end': '930.966', 'text': 'And the interests of these American companies that eat Chinese food are inconsistent with those of American'}, {'start': '930.966', 'end': '934.200', 'text': 'capital and Wall Street financial capital. Ladies and'}, {'start': '935.366', 'end': '936.166', 'text': 'gentlemen,'}, {'start': '936.833', 'end': '937.833', 'text': 'they have become the most important trump card'}, {'start': '937.833', 'end': '939.866', 'text': 'in the game between China and the United States,'}, {'start': '941.633', 'end': '943.166', 'text': 'and they will even play an unexpected effect at a critical moment. The'}, {'start': '945.033', 'end': '947.833', 'text': 'second level is the diplomatic level above the economic base.'}, {'start': '948.100', 'end': '949.500', 'text': 'This is the part under the charge of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.'}, {'start': '949.500', 'end': '950.700', 'text': 'This part emphasizes'}, {'start': '950.700', 'end': '953.000', 'text': 'solving all problems through political consultation, which is'}, {'start': '953.066', 'end': '954.300', 'text': 'now'}, {'start': '954.300', 'end': '957.000', 'text': "China's fundamental national policy in the field of international relations."}, {'start': '957.000', 'end': '958.366', 'text': 'We often see the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.'}, {'start': '958.366', 'end': '960.266', 'text': 'Sometimes some reporters ask them some questions.'}, {'start': '960.300', 'end': '961.466', 'text': 'Then our spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs'}, {'start': '961.466', 'end': '962.033', 'text': 'What will the spokesperson do? He will'}, {'start': '962.033', 'end': '962.500', 'text': 'smile but'}, {'start': '962.500', 'end': '963.266', 'text': "not say anything. He won't answer your question."}, {'start': '963.266', 'end': '964.833', 'text': 'This is called "read but'}, {'start': '964.833', 'end': '966.166', 'text': 'not reply". The so-'}, {'start': '966.166', 'end': '967.900', 'text': 'called "read but not reply". The so-called "decoupling and breaking the chain"'}, {'start': '967.900', 'end': '970.000', 'text': "are only part of China's diplomatic behavior. However,"}, {'start': '970.300', 'end': '972.566', 'text': 'this behavior is not a long-term policy.'}, {'start': '972.600', 'end': '974.033', 'text': 'If everyone decouples and'}, {'start': '974.233', 'end': '975.200', 'text': 'there is no diplomatic negotiation,'}, {'start': '975.200', 'end': '975.400', 'text': 'then'}, {'start': '975.400', 'end': '979.100', 'text': 'China will lose the most advantageous international relations. In'}, {'start': '979.100', 'end': '980.766', 'text': 'such situations, it will'}, {'start': '980.766', 'end': '982.800', 'text': 'lose many opportunities to create value. So'}, {'start': '982.866', 'end': '984.966', 'text': 'in addition to trade, there is also'}, {'start': '985.600', 'end': '986.766', 'text': 'a military,'}, {'start': '986.900', 'end': '988.066', 'text': 'which is our third layer.'}, {'start': '988.166', 'end': '990.366', 'text': 'Only when the'}, {'start': '990.400', 'end': '992.033', 'text': 'problem cannot be solved through economy and diplomacy, the'}, {'start': '992.033', 'end': '993.466', 'text': 'last step is military. On the'}, {'start': '993.800', 'end': '996.000', 'text': 'one hand, all our business diplomacy'}, {'start': '996.000', 'end': '997.900', 'text': 'requires strong military strength'}, {'start': '997.900', 'end': '999.433', 'text': 'as a fundamental protection. On the'}, {'start': '999.500', 'end': '1000.433', 'text': 'other hand,'}, {'start': '1000.433', 'end': '1001.233', 'text': 'military means'}, {'start': '1001.233', 'end': '1003.833', 'text': 'usually serve the first two.'}, {'start': '1004.000', 'end': '1006.466', 'text': 'Only when it is necessary'}, {'start': '1006.466', 'end': '1008.766', 'text': 'will military force be used to strike.'}, {'start': '1008.766', 'end': '1009.800', 'text': 'So,'}, {'start': '1009.866', 'end': '1011.800', 'text': 'in the face of the impending great depression, it is'}, {'start': '1011.833', 'end': '1013.066', 'text': 'precisely because China'}, {'start': '1013.066', 'end': '1015.100', 'text': 'is now gradually invincible'}, {'start': '1015.400', 'end': '1017.566', 'text': 'that it has the basis for the Trump administration'}, {'start': '1017.566', 'end': '1019.233', 'text': 'and even the Federal Reserve to make concessions, and'}, {'start': '1019.366', 'end': '1022.433', 'text': 'has the prerequisite for equal negotiations between the two sides.'}, {'start': '1023.033', 'end': '1024.366', 'text': "At the beginning of today's sharing,"}, {'start': '1024.366', 'end': '1025.100', 'text': 'I also mentioned that'}, {'start': '1025.100', 'end': '1026.466', 'text': 'China is now'}, {'start': '1026.466', 'end': '1028.166', 'text': 'preparing for the worst.'}, {'start': '1028.233', 'end': '1029.700', 'text': 'What is the worst plan?'}, {'start': '1029.833', 'end': '1031.166', 'text': 'It is preparing for the worst.'}, {'start': '1031.166', 'end': '1033.833', 'text': 'At the same time, we are also actively seeking'}, {'start': '1033.833', 'end': '1035.233', 'text': 'consultations and negotiations in various fields and regions. The'}, {'start': '1035.266', 'end': '1036.266', 'text': 'so-called worst-case scenario'}, {'start': '1036.266', 'end': '1039.233', 'text': 'is that countries are now repeating the'}, {'start': '1039.300', 'end': '1041.100', 'text': 'pattern of the global tariff war in the 19th century.'}, {'start': '1041.400', 'end': '1042.500', 'text': 'Under this pattern,'}, {'start': '1042.500', 'end': '1045.066', 'text': 'Europe and even the United States have'}, {'start': '1045.066', 'end': '1047.600', 'text': 'experienced several major recessions,'}, {'start': '1048.200', 'end': '1051.000', 'text': 'and even became the fuse of World War I and World War II.'}, {'start': '1051.200', 'end': '1052.300', 'text': 'Under this pattern, the'}, {'start': '1052.300', 'end': '1054.833', 'text': 'founder and biggest beneficiary of the traditional global trade order'}, {'start': '1056.400', 'end': '1057.566', 'text': 'was Britain. As a'}, {'start': '1057.633', 'end': '1059.766', 'text': 'result, Britain fell from the altar, right? And the'}, {'start': '1060.033', 'end': '1062.266', 'text': 'old world hegemon France'}, {'start': '1062.266', 'end': '1064.600', 'text': 'also suffered from internal poverty due to tariff barriers. On the contrary, the'}, {'start': '1066.500', 'end': '1069.566', 'text': 'emerging manufacturing powers, the United States and Germany,'}, {'start': '1069.666', 'end': '1072.900', 'text': 'benefited from the tariff war in the 19th century,'}, {'start': '1073.100', 'end': '1076.300', 'text': 'and established a new customs union system, that'}, {'start': '1076.433', 'end': '1079.400', 'text': 'is, a new order independent of the traditional British and French economic and trade order.'}, {'start': '1079.400', 'end': '1080.433', 'text': 'In fact,'}, {'start': '1080.433', 'end': '1080.833', 'text': 'this path is'}, {'start': '1080.833', 'end': '1083.600', 'text': 'very similar to the current major manufacturing countries in the world'}, {'start': '1083.600', 'end': '1084.766', 'text': 'beginning to move closer to China and'}, {'start': '1084.766', 'end': '1087.000', 'text': 'seek to establish a duty-free free trade zone in China to'}, {'start': '1087.033', 'end': '1089.700', 'text': 'alleviate external tariff pressure to a certain extent.'}, {'start': '1090.233', 'end': '1092.200', 'text': 'You should have some idea after hearing this.'}, {'start': '1092.200', 'end': '1093.600', 'text': 'When I first talked about these contents,'}, {'start': '1093.600', 'end': '1094.633', 'text': 'you may still be confused,'}, {'start': '1094.633', 'end': '1095.766', 'text': 'but when you hear this,'}, {'start': '1095.766', 'end': '1096.800', 'text': 'you should have an idea.'}, {'start': '1097.066', 'end': '1097.700', 'text': 'Of course, there is a premise.'}, {'start': '1097.700', 'end': '1099.700', 'text': 'We have to talk about the tariff war in the 19th century.'}, {'start': '1099.700', 'end': '1101.000', 'text': 'Under such a background, the'}, {'start': '1101.033', 'end': '1102.966', 'text': 'United States and Germany, as the beneficiaries, were'}, {'start': '1102.966', 'end': '1103.300', 'text': 'actually very uncomfortable in the'}, {'start': '1103.300', 'end': '1103.666', 'text': 'process.'}, {'start': '1105.466', 'end': '1107.033', 'text': 'For example, when the United States faced the tariff war, there was a'}, {'start': '1107.033', 'end': '1109.366', 'text': 'tendency of division between the North and the South. The northern'}, {'start': '1109.433', 'end': '1111.166', 'text': 'industry supported the tariff war,'}, {'start': '1111.166', 'end': '1114.300', 'text': 'while the southern agriculture that relied on exports was firmly opposed.'}, {'start': '1114.400', 'end': '1115.700', 'text': 'Not to mention Germany.'}, {'start': '1115.700', 'end': '1118.433', 'text': 'In essence, the whole of Europe suppressed Germany'}, {'start': '1118.433', 'end': '1120.666', 'text': 'because it was the one who launched the tariff trade war.'}, {'start': '1120.666', 'end': '1121.566', 'text': 'It was the fuse.'}, {'start': '1121.833', 'end': '1122.433', 'text': 'Now,'}, {'start': '1122.433', 'end': '1124.166', 'text': 'our Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson'}, {'start': '1124.166', 'end': '1125.433', 'text': 'often says a sentence, I'}, {'start': '1125.433', 'end': '1126.366', 'text': 'don’t know if you remember it, that'}, {'start': '1126.366', 'end': '1127.666', 'text': 'is, there is no winner in the game of trade war,'}, {'start': '1128.633', 'end': '1129.033', 'text': 'right?'}, {'start': '1129.033', 'end': '1131.266', 'text': 'Although if the world continues to decouple and break, it'}, {'start': '1131.266', 'end': '1132.700', 'text': 'will accelerate the decline of the United States,'}, {'start': '1132.700', 'end': '1134.433', 'text': 'but this fierce struggle will'}, {'start': '1134.433', 'end': '1136.100', 'text': 'definitely be accompanied by huge harm,'}, {'start': '1136.700', 'end': '1137.433', 'text': 'which may mean that'}, {'start': '1137.433', 'end': '1140.166', 'text': 'China may have to suffer for a few more years and will'}, {'start': '1140.233', 'end': '1141.466', 'text': 'not have such a good economic transformation.'}, {'start': '1141.666', 'end': '1144.800', 'text': 'Some small and medium-sized countries in other parts of the world'}, {'start': '1144.800', 'end': '1146.700', 'text': 'will suffer extremely tragic human tragedies due to the huge economic collapse.'}, {'start': '1149.866', 'end': '1151.233', 'text': 'In fact, whether it is the Russia-Ukraine war'}, {'start': '1151.233', 'end': '1152.266', 'text': 'or the previous Israel,'}, {'start': '1152.266', 'end': '1152.900', 'text': 'to put it bluntly,'}, {'start': '1152.900', 'end': '1154.233', 'text': 'aren’t they all because of these problems?'}, {'start': '1154.233', 'end': '1154.833', 'text': 'People are very hungry and they'}, {'start': '1154.833', 'end': '1155.866', 'text': 'want to make trouble.'}, {'start': '1156.100', 'end': '1157.700', 'text': 'Various geopolitical conflicts'}, {'start': '1157.700', 'end': '1159.366', 'text': 'will start from the Great Recession. Let’s make a'}, {'start': '1159.366', 'end': '1160.300', 'text': 'joke.'}, {'start': '1160.300', 'end': '1162.300', 'text': 'If the Third World War really happens,'}, {'start': '1162.566', 'end': '1163.266', 'text': 'think about it now.'}, {'start': '1163.266', 'end': '1164.266', 'text': 'Actually, it is understandable. There are'}, {'start': '1164.500', 'end': '1165.800', 'text': 'many inexplicable wars.'}, {'start': '1165.866', 'end': '1168.700', 'text': "Now China can't understand them,"}, {'start': '1168.800', 'end': '1170.633', 'text': "and then other countries can't understand them either."}, {'start': '1170.633', 'end': '1172.066', 'text': 'And the real core behind it, do'}, {'start': '1172.066', 'end': '1173.200', 'text': "you think we really don't understand them?"}, {'start': '1173.200', 'end': '1174.466', 'text': "No, we just don't want to express them. We"}, {'start': '1175.400', 'end': '1178.066', 'text': 'just mentioned the Russian-Ukrainian war,'}, {'start': '1178.066', 'end': '1179.100', 'text': 'and the war between Israel'}, {'start': '1179.100', 'end': '1179.500', 'text': 'and'}, {'start': '1179.500', 'end': '1180.666', 'text': 'Iran, and Iran and that war'}, {'start': '1180.666', 'end': '1181.500', 'text': 'some time ago.'}, {'start': '1181.766', 'end': '1182.300', 'text': 'You said that'}, {'start': '1182.300', 'end': '1183.033', 'text': "we don't understand them,"}, {'start': '1183.033', 'end': '1183.566', 'text': 'right? We'}, {'start': '1183.566', 'end': '1184.833', 'text': "just don't talk about it."}, {'start': '1184.833', 'end': '1187.033', 'text': 'And there are even some things like the Middle East, India, Pakistan,'}, {'start': '1187.033', 'end': '1188.233', 'text': 'and Eastern Europe.'}, {'start': '1189.600', 'end': '1191.266', 'text': 'Such things happen every day in the world.'}, {'start': '1191.300', 'end': '1193.566', 'text': 'In fact, the fundamental social dynamics,'}, {'start': '1193.566', 'end': '1196.300', 'text': 'social unrest, friction and conflict come from the outbreak of war. The'}, {'start': '1196.300', 'end': '1198.300', 'text': 'core essence is that there are problems in the economy'}, {'start': '1198.400', 'end': '1199.633', 'text': 'because the people are not well fed, right? They'}, {'start': '1199.633', 'end': '1200.800', 'text': 'need to find some outlets to vent.'}, {'start': '1201.000', 'end': '1203.266', 'text': 'China, from the country to the individual, is'}, {'start': '1203.266', 'end': '1205.800', 'text': 'ready to completely decouple and break the chain.'}, {'start': '1205.900', 'end': '1208.300', 'text': 'If only by violently breaking an old order'}, {'start': '1208.300', 'end': '1209.766', 'text': 'can a new order be established,'}, {'start': '1209.966', 'end': '1210.900', 'text': 'to be honest,'}, {'start': '1210.900', 'end': '1211.700', 'text': 'now China,'}, {'start': '1211.700', 'end': '1213.600', 'text': 'apart from some problems of the leadership, based on'}, {'start': '1213.600', 'end': '1215.833', 'text': "China's current national strength,"}, {'start': '1216.033', 'end': '1216.800', 'text': 'Trump'}, {'start': '1216.800', 'end': '1219.466', 'text': 'will inevitably re-negotiate with China.'}, {'start': '1219.500', 'end': '1220.566', 'text': 'This is an inevitable phenomenon. The'}, {'start': '1220.833', 'end': '1222.033', 'text': 'content we shared today'}, {'start': '1222.033', 'end': '1223.900', 'text': "is what I think during Trump's tenure"}, {'start': '1224.033', 'end': '1226.433', 'text': 'Some economic problems that are about to happen or have already happened'}, {'start': '1226.633', 'end': '1228.266', 'text': 'are closely related to our lives, so'}, {'start': '1228.266', 'end': '1229.866', 'text': 'we must also make some preparations in advance. So'}, {'start': '1229.900', 'end': '1230.666', 'text': 'everyone will find that it is becoming'}, {'start': '1230.666', 'end': '1232.033', 'text': 'more and more difficult to do business now.'}, {'start': '1232.033', 'end': '1232.900', 'text': 'Nothing can make money.'}, {'start': '1233.000', 'end': '1234.166', 'text': 'This is because all walks of life,'}, {'start': '1234.166', 'end': '1235.900', 'text': 'all supply chain channels, etc. are'}, {'start': '1235.900', 'end': '1239.066', 'text': 'now in a more tragic situation than before. The'}, {'start': '1239.166', 'end': '1241.300', 'text': 'Great Depression of the economy is bound to come,'}, {'start': '1241.400', 'end': '1244.300', 'text': 'but whether the people can have a keen perception of it.'}, {'start': '1245.000', 'end': '1247.366', 'text': 'Well, Brother Biao will take you to see the world with zero foundation.'}, {'start': '1247.366', 'end': '1248.000', 'text': 'For this series, we will come to an end for the'}, {'start': '1248.000', 'end': '1249.233', 'text': 'time being.'}, {'start': '1249.233', 'end': '1249.666', 'text': 'Next, we will'}, {'start': '1249.666', 'end': '1251.466', 'text': "quickly start our morning market analysis. Let's"}, {'start': '1254.000', 'end': '1255.566', 'text': 'first look at the'}, {'start': '1255.566', 'end': '1256.200', 'text': 'weekly level. At the weekly level, it'}, {'start': '1256.200', 'end': '1257.266', 'text': 'is very good now,'}, {'start': '1257.266', 'end': '1258.633', 'text': 'occupying more than 93,500.'}, {'start': '1258.633', 'end': '1259.700', 'text': 'And it is also what'}, {'start': '1259.700', 'end': '1262.233', 'text': 'we expect. After the formation of the multi-party cannon here, it will'}, {'start': '1262.233', 'end': '1263.033', 'text': 'occupy more than 93,500 and'}, {'start': '1263.033', 'end': '1264.200', 'text': 'continue to impact upward. The'}, {'start': '1264.200', 'end': '1266.466', 'text': 'weekly structure has opened up a new upward'}, {'start': '1266.466', 'end': '1268.633', 'text': 'space, and the main upward structure should be continued. That'}, {'start': '1268.633', 'end': '1270.100', 'text': 'is to say, if today is Friday,'}, {'start': '1270.100', 'end': '1271.800', 'text': 'if it is still above 90,000 or 3,500 next Monday,'}, {'start': '1271.800', 'end': '1272.900', 'text': 'then this creates the'}, {'start': '1272.900', 'end': '1274.900', 'text': 'possibility of returning to the morning shock zone,'}, {'start': '1274.900', 'end': '1275.200', 'text': "right? Then let's"}, {'start': '1275.200', 'end': '1277.666', 'text': 'take a look at the highest. Is it possible to'}, {'start': '1279.066', 'end': '1280.233', 'text': 'reach 110,000? It is possible. This is our weekly level,'}, {'start': '1280.233', 'end': '1281.600', 'text': "so let's take a look at the"}, {'start': '1281.633', 'end': '1282.033', 'text': 'daily level.'}, {'start': '1282.033', 'end': '1285.033', 'text': 'Yesterday, there was a pretty good positive line,'}, {'start': '1285.033', 'end': '1286.400', 'text': 'and it was in the short term.'}, {'start': '1286.400', 'end': '1287.466', 'text': 'It had a pullback to confirm,'}, {'start': '1287.466', 'end': '1288.633', 'text': 'and then broke through.'}, {'start': '1288.633', 'end': '1289.700', 'text': 'This morning, it'}, {'start': '1289.700', 'end': '1291.466', 'text': 'closed above the daily level of'}, {'start': '1291.466', 'end': '1293.066', 'text': '696,500.'}, {'start': '1293.066', 'end': '1294.766', 'text': 'Today, it also closed here, which is not'}, {'start': '1294.766', 'end': '1296.300', 'text': 'bad. The'}, {'start': '1296.300', 'end': '1298.666', 'text': 'volume and price structure of the bulls is very clean and standard.'}, {'start': '1299.200', 'end': '1299.800', 'text': 'Finally,'}, {'start': '1299.800', 'end': '1301.266', 'text': 'it has come out of this situation.'}, {'start': '1301.266', 'end': '1302.866', 'text': "So you can see that the analysis in the past few days has been correct. It's"}, {'start': '1302.866', 'end': '1304.100', 'text': 'a pity that I feel sad that'}, {'start': '1304.100', 'end': '1305.566', 'text': 'the long order yesterday did not hold.'}, {'start': '1305.700', 'end': '1307.100', 'text': 'Then there is another point here.'}, {'start': '1307.233', 'end': '1308.766', 'text': "Now we can't say that it is completely bullish,"}, {'start': '1308.766', 'end': '1309.500', 'text': 'because there is a'}, {'start': '1309.500', 'end': '1310.633', 'text': 'small problem here. Do you'}, {'start': '1310.633', 'end': '1311.400', 'text': 'see it here? It'}, {'start': '1311.400', 'end': '1312.066', 'text': 'is 96,500.'}, {'start': '1312.066', 'end': '1313.366', 'text': 'Here at the daily level,'}, {'start': '1313.366', 'end': '1314.900', 'text': "we don't want it to fall below."}, {'start': '1314.900', 'end': '1315.900', 'text': 'If the daily level falls below here,'}, {'start': '1315.900', 'end': '1317.666', 'text': 'this trend line will definitely return to the bottom.'}, {'start': '1317.666', 'end': '1319.666', 'text': 'Moreover, the level of 0618 before the'}, {'start': '1319.666', 'end': '1320.700', 'text': 'market was suppressed.'}, {'start': '1320.700', 'end': '1320.900', 'text': 'So'}, {'start': '1320.900', 'end': '1323.566', 'text': 'now 96,500 is the short-term support level.'}, {'start': '1324.233', 'end': '1325.400', 'text': "Let's take a look at the 4-hour level. At the"}, {'start': '1325.900', 'end': '1326.900', 'text': '4-hour level, the'}, {'start': '1326.900', 'end': '1328.700', 'text': 'structure is now very complete.'}, {'start': '1328.900', 'end': '1330.966', 'text': 'This is the original shock zone.'}, {'start': '1330.966', 'end': '1331.766', 'text': 'After the shock zone, it will'}, {'start': '1331.766', 'end': '1332.466', 'text': 'break through strongly.'}, {'start': '1332.466', 'end': '1333.366', 'text': 'Then, during the retracement, it did'}, {'start': '1333.366', 'end': '1334.233', 'text': 'not fall below this area.'}, {'start': '1334.233', 'end': '1337.300', 'text': 'So now it is in the oscillation zone above.'}, {'start': '1337.300', 'end': '1339.166', 'text': 'So the structural rebound is a'}, {'start': '1339.166', 'end': '1341.500', 'text': 'relatively clear and clean bottom that is constantly rising,'}, {'start': '1341.500', 'end': '1343.366', 'text': 'showing a strong trend with an upward'}, {'start': '1343.366', 'end': '1344.466', 'text': 'oscillation.'}, {'start': '1345.233', 'end': '1346.066', 'text': 'This is a good state.'}, {'start': '1346.066', 'end': '1347.400', 'text': 'In the non-Brass period,'}, {'start': '1347.400', 'end': '1348.166', 'text': "let's take a look."}, {'start': '1348.166', 'end': '1350.400', 'text': "Well, let's adjust this."}, {'start': '1350.900', 'end': '1351.366', 'text': 'You see here,'}, {'start': '1351.366', 'end': '1352.000', 'text': 'when we jump to this,'}, {'start': '1352.000', 'end': '1352.866', 'text': 'we talked about it yesterday. We have been talking about it'}, {'start': '1352.866', 'end': '1353.500', 'text': 'these days.'}, {'start': '1353.500', 'end': '1355.000', 'text': 'The derivative has been derived.'}, {'start': '1355.000', 'end': '1356.633', 'text': 'So today we will move the high point to the'}, {'start': '1356.633', 'end': '1359.033', 'text': 'highest position of 97,388.'}, {'start': '1359.033', 'end': '1359.866', 'text': 'As for the end point,'}, {'start': '1359.866', 'end': '1361.633', 'text': 'I think it'}, {'start': '1361.633', 'end': '1362.500', 'text': 'will be more appropriate for us to be at 91,600. In'}, {'start': '1362.566', 'end': '1363.233', 'text': 'this case,'}, {'start': '1363.233', 'end': '1363.833', 'text': 'we will see that'}, {'start': '1363.833', 'end': '1365.366', 'text': '0.786 is at 60,000,'}, {'start': '1365.366', 'end': '1366.166', 'text': '96,000, 90,000,'}, {'start': '1366.166', 'end': '1367.466', 'text': '60.786 is at 96,000,'}, {'start': '1367.466', 'end': '1368.500', 'text': 'and the zero point is'}, {'start': '1368.500', 'end': '1369.100', 'text': 'not'}, {'start': '1369.100', 'end': '1371.100', 'text': 'right here. Is there no 0.618 here?'}, {'start': '1373.266', 'end': '1375.233', 'text': 'This may be accidentally moved. The'}, {'start': '1375.233', 'end': '1378.833', 'text': '0.618 below is around 95,000.'}, {'start': '1378.833', 'end': '1380.766', 'text': 'So now what is our simplest view? It'}, {'start': '1380.766', 'end': '1384.366', 'text': 'means that this 0.618 should not fall below.'}, {'start': '1384.366', 'end': '1385.466', 'text': "You can test it here. There is no problem  It's"}, {'start': '1385.466', 'end': '1386.366', 'text': 'okay for you to test it,'}, {'start': '1386.366', 'end': '1387.700', 'text': "but don't let it fall below 0.618,"}, {'start': '1387.700', 'end': '1388.266', 'text': 'right?'}, {'start': '1388.266', 'end': '1389.866', 'text': 'So the current retracement positions are'}, {'start': '1389.866', 'end': '1391.166', 'text': 'currently these two,'}, {'start': '1391.233', 'end': '1392.966', 'text': 'one is 96,000 of 0.786, and the'}, {'start': '1392.966', 'end': '1394.433', 'text': 'other is 95,000 of 0.618.'}, {'start': '1395.300', 'end': '1397.500', 'text': 'As long as it stabilizes above 95,000, the'}, {'start': '1397.500', 'end': '1400.066', 'text': 'short-term is in the stage of continuing the main rise.'}, {'start': '1400.200', 'end': '1402.200', 'text': 'If the price falls today and falls to'}, {'start': '1402.200', 'end': '1403.366', 'text': '0.5,'}, {'start': '1403.366', 'end': '1405.566', 'text': 'if I say, if it falls back to 0.5,'}, {'start': '1405.600', 'end': '1407.966', 'text': 'then it may trigger a short-term adjustment. The'}, {'start': '1407.966', 'end': '1410.233', 'text': '0.382 below is 93,820, which is'}, {'start': '1410.233', 'end': '1411.366', 'text': 'roughly the situation.'}, {'start': '1411.400', 'end': '1412.833', 'text': 'So from the current structure,'}, {'start': '1412.833', 'end': '1413.666', 'text': "yesterday's"}, {'start': '1413.666', 'end': '1416.466', 'text': 'breakthrough plus the retracement confirmation,'}, {'start': '1416.466', 'end': '1418.233', 'text': 'and then plus the current rebound, it'}, {'start': '1418.233', 'end': '1420.700', 'text': 'is a very standard strong bullish structure.'}, {'start': '1421.000', 'end': '1422.633', 'text': 'Now the market sentiment is relatively stable, the'}, {'start': '1422.633', 'end': '1423.600', 'text': 'structure is relatively complete, and the'}, {'start': '1423.600', 'end': '1424.800', 'text': 'retracement position is also accurate.'}, {'start': '1424.866', 'end': '1425.066', 'text': 'So'}, {'start': '1425.066', 'end': '1427.466', 'text': "as long as the support of 95,000 is maintained later, there is still hope in the short term. Let's take a"}, {'start': '1430.166', 'end': '1432.166', 'text': 'look at BBA.'}, {'start': '1432.166', 'end': '1432.466', 'text': 'Speaking of this,'}, {'start': '1432.466', 'end': '1433.766', 'text': 'I have to tell you something.'}, {'start': '1433.766', 'end': '1434.400', 'text': 'Earlier, did'}, {'start': '1434.400', 'end': '1435.600', 'text': 'we tell you that'}, {'start': '1435.600', 'end': '1437.466', 'text': 'when we rehearsed, it was 92,000, right?'}, {'start': '1437.466', 'end': '1438.766', 'text': 'Right? We gave everyone a preview at that time.'}, {'start': '1439.700', 'end': '1441.200', 'text': 'When it breaks through 92,000,'}, {'start': '1441.200', 'end': '1443.300', 'text': 'it will quickly pull back and'}, {'start': '1443.300', 'end': '1444.200', 'text': 'test the position of 96,000.'}, {'start': '1444.566', 'end': '1445.800', 'text': 'Did you verify it yesterday? It'}, {'start': '1445.800', 'end': '1446.666', 'text': 'is really like this.'}, {'start': '1447.600', 'end': '1448.566', 'text': "Let's take a look at BBA. The"}, {'start': '1451.566', 'end': '1452.866', 'text': 'hourly line of BBA is all at 90,000. Oh,'}, {'start': '1452.866', 'end': '1453.400', 'text': 'not here. The hourly'}, {'start': '1453.400', 'end': '1456.033', 'text': 'line is now at 96,000. The 2-hour,'}, {'start': '1456.033', 'end': '1456.900', 'text': '3-hour, 4-hour, and'}, {'start': '1456.900', 'end': '1458.500', 'text': '6-hour lines are basically'}, {'start': '1458.500', 'end': '1459.766', 'text': 'all turning bullish now.'}, {'start': '1459.766', 'end': '1461.466', 'text': 'That is to say, when BBA moves up and'}, {'start': '1461.466', 'end': '1463.833', 'text': 'supports above 95,500-96,000, the'}, {'start': '1463.833', 'end': '1464.833', 'text': 'structure is relatively stable.'}, {'start': '1464.833', 'end': '1466.633', 'text': "It is a bullish pattern. Let's take"}, {'start': '1466.966', 'end': '1468.166', 'text': 'a look at the Bollinger Bands.'}, {'start': '1469.500', 'end': '1470.433', 'text': 'After the Bollinger Bands hourly line supports, it'}, {'start': '1470.433', 'end': '1471.800', 'text': 'rebounds to 96,000 and has support.'}, {'start': '1471.900', 'end': '1473.166', 'text': 'Then it rebounds in two hours,'}, {'start': '1473.166', 'end': '1474.100', 'text': '3 hours, 4 hours, and'}, {'start': '1474.100', 'end': '1476.500', 'text': '6 hours, and continues to move up. In'}, {'start': '1476.500', 'end': '1478.966', 'text': '12 hours, the upper track is about to be suppressed, and the'}, {'start': '1478.966', 'end': '1480.300', 'text': 'daily line is still moving up,'}, {'start': '1480.300', 'end': '1481.500', 'text': 'so 12 hours does not count. The positive'}, {'start': '1481.566', 'end': '1482.300', 'text': 'line continues to rush up. The'}, {'start': '1482.300', 'end': '1483.100', 'text': '3-day line rushes up, and the'}, {'start': '1483.100', 'end': '1484.400', 'text': '5-day line continues to rush up.  The'}, {'start': '1484.400', 'end': '1487.466', 'text': 'middle track of the weekly line is more than 90,000, 1,700,'}, {'start': '1487.466', 'end': '1489.100', 'text': 'so now most of the Bollinger Bands'}, {'start': '1489.433', 'end': '1491.400', 'text': 'are above the middle track. There is'}, {'start': '1491.833', 'end': '1493.900', 'text': "still some room for the upper track. Let's"}, {'start': '1495.500', 'end': '1496.600', 'text': 'take a look at Dimak.'}, {'start': '1497.766', 'end': '1499.000', 'text': "Dimak's hourly line appears 13 and"}, {'start': '1499.000', 'end': '1499.500', 'text': 'continues to rush up. It fails and'}, {'start': '1499.500', 'end': '1500.833', 'text': 'appears 13 in two hours'}, {'start': '1500.833', 'end': '1501.800', 'text': 'and continues to rush up.'}, {'start': '1501.966', 'end': '1504.466', 'text': '94 hours appear in 3 hours.'}, {'start': '1504.466', 'end': '1507.666', 'text': "Now 6789 at 8 o'clock tonight. At"}, {'start': '1508.166', 'end': '1509.000', 'text': "8 o'clock tonight, 9 will appear. 6"}, {'start': '1509.466', 'end': '1510.366', 'text': 'hours have not yet'}, {'start': '1510.366', 'end': '1511.666', 'text': 'failed. The 12-hour line fails. The two-day line fails. The three-day line'}, {'start': '1513.066', 'end': '1513.666', 'text': 'fails.'}, {'start': '1513.666', 'end': '1514.366', 'text': 'What about the three-day line? The'}, {'start': '1514.366', 'end': '1516.000', 'text': 'daily line, 12 hours and the two-day line.'}, {'start': '1516.000', 'end': '1517.033', 'text': 'I talked about this issue yesterday.'}, {'start': '1517.033', 'end': '1517.833', 'text': 'After the failure,'}, {'start': '1517.833', 'end': '1519.566', 'text': '139 plus 111213 will appear.'}, {'start': '1519.566', 'end': '1520.966', 'text': "Tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock is the two-day line."}, {'start': '1521.766', 'end': '1521.966', 'text': "Oh, that's not"}, {'start': '1521.966', 'end': '1523.000', 'text': "right. Is it tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock?"}, {'start': '1523.300', 'end': '1525.100', 'text': 'May 4th, May 4th was wrong. The'}, {'start': '1525.200', 'end': '1525.600', 'text': 'daily level is'}, {'start': '1525.600', 'end': '1526.266', 'text': 'now.'}, {'start': '1526.266', 'end': '1527.766', 'text': 'This has been recounted to 12. Then'}, {'start': '1527.766', 'end': '1528.200', 'text': 'count again. So'}, {'start': '1529.366', 'end': '1531.066', 'text': 'now, the risk of the middle line is lifted,'}, {'start': '1531.066', 'end': '1532.666', 'text': 'and then the short-term risk reappears.'}, {'start': '1532.700', 'end': '1534.200', 'text': '3 hours, 4 hours,'}, {'start': '1534.200', 'end': '1535.700', 'text': 'two hours and one hour,'}, {'start': '1535.700', 'end': '1536.800', 'text': 'there are tops'}, {'start': '1536.800', 'end': '1537.833', 'text': '9 or 13 one after another.'}, {'start': '1537.833', 'end': '1538.433', 'text': 'So Dimak  Will there'}, {'start': '1538.433', 'end': '1540.666', 'text': 'be a short-term correction now? Yes,'}, {'start': '1540.666', 'end': '1542.000', 'text': 'but what should we do after the correction?'}, {'start': '1542.000', 'end': '1542.800', 'text': 'Continue to rush upward.'}, {'start': '1542.966', 'end': '1543.966', 'text': "Now the correction is an opportunity. Let's take a"}, {'start': '1544.900', 'end': '1546.366', 'text': 'look at the MA moving average, the'}, {'start': '1546.600', 'end': '1547.500', 'text': 'buy and sell moving average.'}, {'start': '1547.500', 'end': '1548.366', 'text': 'At the daily level,'}, {'start': '1548.366', 'end': '1550.100', 'text': 'look here. This is what we have been worried about. The'}, {'start': '1550.100', 'end': '1551.166', 'text': 'problem we mentioned yesterday is the time difference between the'}, {'start': '1551.166', 'end': '1552.033', 'text': '5th and 7th days.'}, {'start': '1552.866', 'end': '1553.566', 'text': 'Although it is formed,'}, {'start': '1553.566', 'end': '1555.866', 'text': 'it can be easily reversed.'}, {'start': '1555.866', 'end': '1557.200', 'text': 'Now we told you yesterday'}, {'start': '1557.200', 'end': '1558.766', 'text': 'that 94,000 is now support. So did'}, {'start': '1558.766', 'end': '1560.366', 'text': '94,000 support yesterday? It supported it.'}, {'start': '1561.766', 'end': '1562.466', 'text': 'After it supported it, it'}, {'start': '1562.466', 'end': '1563.966', 'text': 'continued to rebound yesterday.'}, {'start': '1563.966', 'end': '1566.833', 'text': 'Now today, the 5th and 7th continue to move upward.'}, {'start': '1566.866', 'end': '1569.433', 'text': "Today's support level is 95,00095,100, which"}, {'start': '1570.100', 'end': '1571.966', 'text': 'is the same as what we saw on Fibonacci.'}, {'start': '1572.433', 'end': '1574.666', 'text': 'So the 5th and 7th provide support below. The'}, {'start': '1574.666', 'end': '1575.466', 'text': 'structure has not been broken. It is'}, {'start': '1575.466', 'end': '1578.466', 'text': 'still a long arrangement. MACD'}, {'start': '1579.966', 'end': '1580.766', 'text': 'hourly line,'}, {'start': '1581.900', 'end': '1583.233', 'text': 'this is a bit biased towards the meaning of the gun. The'}, {'start': '1583.366', 'end': '1585.366', 'text': 'two-hour golden X3-hour golden cross, the'}, {'start': '1586.100', 'end': '1587.266', 'text': '4-hour and 6-hour golden cross, and the 12-hour dead'}, {'start': '1587.266', 'end': '1588.233', 'text': 'cross.'}, {'start': '1588.433', 'end': '1590.700', 'text': 'However, this 12-hour dead cross is above the 0 axis. The'}, {'start': '1590.800', 'end': '1591.433', 'text': 'daily golden cross, the'}, {'start': '1591.433', 'end': '1592.566', 'text': '2-day golden X3, the daily golden cross, the'}, {'start': '1593.100', 'end': '1594.233', 'text': '5-day golden cross, the'}, {'start': '1594.233', 'end': '1595.100', 'text': 'weekly 0 axis,'}, {'start': '1595.100', 'end': '1596.366', 'text': 'so what does MACD say'}, {'start': '1597.700', 'end': '1598.766', 'text': 'Most of the'}, {'start': '1598.766', 'end': '1599.466', 'text': 'short-term lines are golden crosses,'}, {'start': '1599.466', 'end': '1600.300', 'text': 'so now the'}, {'start': '1600.466', 'end': '1601.600', 'text': "bullish structure is complete. Let's"}, {'start': '1601.966', 'end': '1603.666', 'text': 'take a look at'}, {'start': '1605.100', 'end': '1607.633', 'text': 'KDJ. The bottom of the hourly KDJ line is two hours upward.'}, {'start': '1607.633', 'end': '1608.266', 'text': 'Now we have to test it. The'}, {'start': '1608.266', 'end': '1609.800', 'text': 'same is true for the three-hour golden X. The'}, {'start': '1609.800', 'end': '1610.900', 'text': 'four-hour line is directly a golden cross, the six-hour line is a golden'}, {'start': '1610.900', 'end': '1611.500', 'text': 'cross, and the 12-hour'}, {'start': '1613.066', 'end': '1614.866', 'text': 'line is a golden cross. Most of the levels of the daily, two-day, and three-day lines are golden'}, {'start': '1618.700', 'end': '1620.400', 'text': 'crosses. Even from the middle stage, in the process of passivation, it is also moving upward in the golden cross,'}, {'start': '1620.600', 'end': '1621.833', 'text': 'so there is no time difference. The short-'}, {'start': '1621.833', 'end': '1624.000', 'text': 'term is still dominated by shocks and bulls.'}, {'start': '1624.200', 'end': '1626.466', 'text': 'Therefore, the two major kinetic energy indicators, MACD and KDJ,'}, {'start': '1626.466', 'end': '1629.300', 'text': 'now indicate that it is currently in a state of slowing momentum'}, {'start': '1629.300', 'end': '1631.300', 'text': 'but strong consolidation.'}, {'start': '1631.433', 'end': '1633.700', 'text': 'Neither MACD nor KDJ has seen a turning signal,'}, {'start': '1633.700', 'end': '1634.866', 'text': 'nor has it seen an airdrop signal. The'}, {'start': '1634.866', 'end': '1637.033', 'text': 'overall judgment is that long and short positions still exist,'}, {'start': '1637.033', 'end': '1638.400', 'text': 'allowing short-term consolidation,'}, {'start': '1638.433', 'end': '1639.800', 'text': 'but the structure has not'}, {'start': '1641.633', 'end': '1644.466', 'text': 'deteriorated. The RSC hourly line continues to rise for'}, {'start': '1644.466', 'end': '1645.833', 'text': 'two hours,'}, {'start': '1645.833', 'end': '1646.500', 'text': '3 hours, and'}, {'start': '1646.500', 'end': '1647.166', 'text': '4 hours. There is a high point,'}, {'start': '1647.166', 'end': '1648.966', 'text': 'but it feels that the upper high point has not yet arrived, and it has to'}, {'start': '1648.966', 'end': '1649.866', 'text': 'rush again. The'}, {'start': '1650.000', 'end': '1651.366', 'text': '12-hour and daily lines are still rushing up and falling back.'}, {'start': '1651.366', 'end': '1652.266', 'text': 'Moreover, as for the daily line,'}, {'start': '1652.266', 'end': '1653.466', 'text': 'it belongs to a strong period, and the'}, {'start': '1653.633', 'end': '1654.600', 'text': 'strong area is here'}, {'start': '1654.600', 'end': '1655.633', 'text': 'Then when it fell back from a high point, it did'}, {'start': '1655.633', 'end': '1656.366', 'text': 'not go down,'}, {'start': '1656.366', 'end': '1657.633', 'text': 'but returned to the strong period.'}, {'start': '1657.633', 'end': '1659.000', 'text': 'So now the RSI is at a high level,'}, {'start': '1659.000', 'end': '1660.166', 'text': 'but it is not overbought. The'}, {'start': '1660.266', 'end': '1661.833', 'text': 'price may continue the current trend. The'}, {'start': '1661.833', 'end': '1663.433', 'text': "current trend is still relatively healthy. Let's take a look at"}, {'start': '1663.433', 'end': '1664.866', 'text': 'Ethernet'}, {'start': '1666.433', 'end': '1667.066', 'text': '4 hours.'}, {'start': '1668.166', 'end': '1669.600', 'text': 'Ethernet is obviously not appropriate now.'}, {'start': '1669.600', 'end': '1671.466', 'text': 'For example, if we pull it to the high point of 1872, the'}, {'start': '1671.466', 'end': '1672.200', 'text': 'low point,'}, {'start': '1672.366', 'end': '1674.300', 'text': 'I think this is not enough to explain the problem. If'}, {'start': '1674.300', 'end': '1675.166', 'text': 'you explain the problem again, it is'}, {'start': '1675.166', 'end': '1676.200', 'text': 'nothing more than now.'}, {'start': '1676.200', 'end': '1677.833', 'text': 'We pull it to this high point today, which'}, {'start': '1677.866', 'end': '1678.900', 'text': 'is nothing more than above 0.618. There is'}, {'start': '1678.900', 'end': '1680.000', 'text': 'a wide range of fluctuations here. The'}, {'start': '1680.000', 'end': '1683.433', 'text': 'support area from 0.618 to 0.382 below is the support area. Is it'}, {'start': '1683.433', 'end': '1684.700', 'text': 'still in a wide range of fluctuations now?'}, {'start': '1684.700', 'end': '1686.100', 'text': 'But I think this'}, {'start': '1686.266', 'end': '1687.233', 'text': 'view is not wrong. It is'}, {'start': '1687.233', 'end': '1690.033', 'text': 'bullish when it does not fall below 1740.'}, {'start': '1690.033', 'end': '1690.833', 'text': 'This view is not wrong,'}, {'start': '1690.833', 'end': '1691.466', 'text': 'but this view is'}, {'start': '1691.466', 'end': '1692.833', 'text': 'indeed a bit limited now.'}, {'start': '1692.833', 'end': '1693.600', 'text': 'The range is a bit large.'}, {'start': '1693.600', 'end': '1695.400', 'text': "Let's make a further adjustment."}, {'start': '1695.466', 'end': '1696.000', 'text': 'Then in the short term, after'}, {'start': '1696.000', 'end': '1696.866', 'text': 'we adjust it down, it'}, {'start': '1696.866', 'end': '1699.233', 'text': 'is 1730 and 1872.'}, {'start': '1699.233', 'end': '1699.600', 'text': 'Such a segment, the'}, {'start': '1699.600', 'end': '1700.466', 'text': 'short-term flying is not strong,'}, {'start': '1700.466', 'end': '1702.633', 'text': 'so the position of 0.618 is 18181818'}, {'start': '1702.633', 'end': '1703.566', 'text': 'At present, it is stable,'}, {'start': '1703.566', 'end': '1705.433', 'text': 'and 1842 is the position of 1840.'}, {'start': '1705.433', 'end': '1707.200', 'text': 'Now there is a support level.'}, {'start': '1707.200', 'end': '1708.300', 'text': "It is nothing more than today's short-term."}, {'start': '1708.300', 'end': '1709.833', 'text': 'Now Ethereum is adjusting. It'}, {'start': '1709.833', 'end': '1710.900', 'text': 'may be such a situation.'}, {'start': '1710.900', 'end': '1711.500', 'text': 'Okay,'}, {'start': '1711.500', 'end': '1713.900', 'text': 'then after we look at these indicators today,'}, {'start': '1713.900', 'end': '1715.433', 'text': 'Ethereum is now in a growth structure, which'}, {'start': '1715.433', 'end': '1716.200', 'text': 'is relatively clear. The overall trend is'}, {'start': '1716.200', 'end': '1717.666', 'text': 'stable and upward. It is'}, {'start': '1717.700', 'end': '1719.266', 'text': 'currently in the high-level consolidation stage. The'}, {'start': '1719.300', 'end': '1721.033', 'text': 'short-term strong structure has not been broken. There is a'}, {'start': '1721.166', 'end': '1722.300', 'text': 'chance to continue to rise in the future.'}, {'start': '1722.300', 'end': '1723.400', 'text': 'As for Bitcoin,'}, {'start': '1723.400', 'end': '1724.233', 'text': "yesterday's trend was"}, {'start': '1724.233', 'end': '1726.266', 'text': 'basically a perfect script.'}, {'start': '1726.300', 'end': '1727.233', 'text': "First, it broke through. Let's"}, {'start': '1727.233', 'end': '1729.966', 'text': "verify it again from the short-term. Yesterday, let's take a"}, {'start': '1731.400', 'end': '1732.200', 'text': 'look. I have'}, {'start': '1732.966', 'end': '1733.900', 'text': 'adjusted here. I have'}, {'start': '1733.900', 'end': '1734.633', 'text': 'adjusted'}, {'start': '1734.633', 'end': '1735.200', 'text': 'here. Yesterday, was there'}, {'start': '1735.200', 'end': '1738.166', 'text': 'a point at 95700?'}, {'start': '1738.166', 'end': '1739.200', 'text': 'What was the rhythm yesterday?'}, {'start': '1739.200', 'end': '1741.100', 'text': 'Breaking through 95700, right?'}, {'start': '1741.100', 'end': '1743.000', 'text': 'The first step and the second step is to step back and confirm,'}, {'start': '1743.000', 'end': '1744.800', 'text': 'and then the third step is to create a new high, right?'}, {'start': '1744.800', 'end': '1745.800', 'text': 'Then what is it now?'}, {'start': '1745.800', 'end': '1747.633', 'text': 'As a high-level consolidation,'}, {'start': '1747.633', 'end': '1749.766', 'text': 'so these 4 steps are very clean and clear.'}, {'start': '1749.966', 'end': '1750.833', 'text': 'Break through the previous high, step'}, {'start': '1750.833', 'end': '1751.833', 'text': 'back and confirm, and'}, {'start': '1751.833', 'end': '1752.666', 'text': 'then create a new'}, {'start': '1752.666', 'end': '1754.233', 'text': 'high. The high-level consolidation is very clear and'}, {'start': '1754.233', 'end': '1755.300', 'text': 'very clean. The'}, {'start': '1755.766', 'end': '1757.400', 'text': 'rhythm of the main rise has completely come out. The'}, {'start': '1757.600', 'end': '1760.000', 'text': 'current position is not a stage of crazy pulling,'}, {'start': '1760.000', 'end': '1761.833', 'text': 'but after the previous high breakthrough.  It is a'}, {'start': '1761.833', 'end': '1763.833', 'text': 'stage where it needs to retrace and digest.'}, {'start': '1764.266', 'end': '1764.833', 'text': 'So here,'}, {'start': '1764.833', 'end': '1766.033', 'text': 'we have to pay special attention to the'}, {'start': '1766.200', 'end': '1768.566', 'text': 'supporting role of 95,000.'}, {'start': '1768.566', 'end': '1770.100', 'text': 'If 95,000 does not fall below,'}, {'start': '1770.100', 'end': '1771.466', 'text': 'then there is a probability of continuing to attack 98,000,'}, {'start': '1771.466', 'end': '1773.633', 'text': '99,000 or even 100,000.'}, {'start': '1773.866', 'end': '1775.100', 'text': 'If we have to focus on 95,000,'}, {'start': '1775.100', 'end': '1776.066', 'text': 'we have to make a point.'}, {'start': '1776.066', 'end': '1777.266', 'text': 'Is 95,000 an integer after all?'}, {'start': '1777.266', 'end': '1778.066', 'text': 'This is too general.'}, {'start': '1778.066', 'end': '1782.666', 'text': 'Then we can define it as around 95,500.'}, {'start': '1782.800', 'end': '1785.400', 'text': "Well, today's summary is just one sentence. The"}, {'start': '1785.566', 'end': '1787.500', 'text': 'main rising structure has not changed, the'}, {'start': '1787.566', 'end': '1789.066', 'text': 'trend has not been broken, and the'}, {'start': '1789.166', 'end': '1790.366', 'text': 'retracement is an opportunity,'}, {'start': '1790.633', 'end': '1791.433', 'text': "not a risk. Well, that's all for"}, {'start': '1792.000', 'end': '1793.666', 'text': "today's analysis."}, {'start': '1793.666', 'end': '1795.066', 'text': 'Everyone is welcome to leave encouraging words in the comment section'}, {'start': '1795.066', 'end': '1795.766', 'text': 'and give a thumbs up. If you'}, {'start': '1795.766', 'end': '1796.900', 'text': 'want to monitor the market in real time and'}, {'start': '1796.900', 'end': '1798.266', 'text': 'get market warnings and trading strategies, you'}, {'start': '1798.366', 'end': '1799.166', 'text': 'can join the'}, {'start': '1799.166', 'end': '1800.433', 'text': "only economic group of Da Biao's team for free."}, {'start': '1800.433', 'end': '1801.233', 'text': 'Remember to be vigilant and'}, {'start': '1801.233', 'end': '1802.666', 'text': 'beware of online fraud.'}, {'start': '1802.966', 'end': '1803.666', 'text': 'I am Da Biao. Da'}, {'start': '1803.666', 'end': '1805.033', 'text': "Biao's analysis only talks about technology and does not involve"}]