Are there other types of "scenarios", that may be done quickly?
是否有其他类型的 "情景"，可以快速完成？
Yes there are. Ideally we should give them other names not to create confusion. For example, you can name "scenario" any fictionalised story about the future (or for that matter the past or the present). These types of scenarios are useful in the context of brainstorming, to try to find wild cards, to foster imagination. However, they will not be as useful as fully detailed scenarios for preparedness. Notably, they will likely not help you be ready across the range of possible futures. They may also not be used for early warning. Thus surprises remain likely.
是的，有的。理想情况下，我们应该给它们起其他名字，而不是制造混乱。 例如，你可以把任何关于未来（或过去或现在）的虚构故事命名为 "情景"。 这些类型的情景在头脑风暴的背景下是很有用的，可以尝试找到野生牌，培养想象力。 然而，它们并不像完全详细的准备方案那样有用。值得注意的是，它们可能无法帮助你在各种可能的未来中做好准备。它们也可能无法用于早期预警。因此，惊喜仍然是可能的。