If this is the case, this will be the first time that the income criterion has not been met at the time of graduation. However, the UNCTAD projections indicate that this target is unlikely to be met, as only 10 LDCs are projected to be fully statistically eligible for graduation by that date, rather than the 24 targeted. Even in 2021, only 16 countries are projected to have achieved full statistical eligibility, still well below the IPoA target.