Since the target is non-binding, imports from countries outside the European Union will not necessarily be increasing through the expected shortfall. In the long term, however, export demand is likely to increase due to the madatory share of 10% renewable energy in the transport sector in 2020 as defined in the RED. The price of fossil fuels and biofuel feedstocks, plus potential technological breakthroughs in second-generation biofuel production, amongst others, will influence the amount of biofuels that can be produced within the European Union and thus determine the import demand for biofuels.