This decline is even more dramatic when compared to a reduction of more than 4 percentage points simulated in the absence of the crisis, such that the total effect is an increase of more than 10 percentage points by 2011 relative to the no-crisis scenario. Impacts in Burkina Faso and Cameroon are more modest at roughly and 4 and 2 percentage points, respectively. In contrast, child welfare in Burkina Faso is mainly affected by the fall in incomes in the agriculture sector while, in Cameroon, the impacts are more diffuse.