Spending by contributory social insurance arrangements is projected to reach ETB 6.0 billion by 2025/26. Under a business-as-usual approach for social protection spending, net social protection spending (including humanitarian relief) under the low and high GDP growth scenarios is expected to be ETB 39.1 billion and ETB 53.0 billion respectively, by 2025/26 (Figure 3.5). Under the high social protection spending scenario, annual net social protection spending would reach ETB 48.1 billion (low GDP growth) and ETB 64.5 billion (high GDP growth) by 2025/26. Excluding humanitarian relief, net social protection spending would increase to ETB 14.6 billion and ETB 21.6 billion by 2025/26 under the low and high GDP growth scenarios respectively.