(CNN) The political consensus is virtually unanimous: If Hillary Clinton wins North Carolina, Donald Trump has to win every other competitive state to take the White House. Clinton has other paths to victory without North Carolina, but the state has been a focus for Democrats this cycle. She has led in most public opinion polling there since the summer. Just 12 days ago, a New York Times poll had her leading by 7 points, and the CNN poll of polls currently has her ahead by 4 points. But a CNN analysis of early voting paints a very different picture and suggests that Clinton has underperformed President Obama's 2012 performance in the Tar Heel State and Trump has outperformed Mitt Romney.CNN analyzed early voting data from North CarolinaHillary Clinton has underperformed President Obama in the state
More than 1.3 million _ have already voted compared to 990,000 Republicans. Romney himself has been one of _'s harshest critics, saying last spring "Donald Trump is a phony, a fraud." Romney himself has been one of Trump's harshest critics, saying last spring "_ is a phony, a fraud." Another group that failed to show up was 20-something _.