naravamsha pakshapaatham (pusthakam)

thathwachinthakanaaya nick bostrom ezhuthiya oru pusthakamaanu anthropic bayasa observation selection effects inn sayans aandu philosophy (2002). nireekshana thiranjeduppu phalangal" vazhi thelivukal pakshapaathaparamaanennu oraal samshayikkumbol, mattoru vidhathil paranjaal, thelivukal "sweekarikkaan" chila uchithamaaya nireekshakar undenna vyavastha upayogichu hajarakkiya thelivukal munkootty filter cheythirikkumbol, engane nyaayeekarikkanamenn bostrom anweshikkunnu. eee aashayakkuzhappathe chilappol "naravamsha thathwam", "svayam-lokkeshan vishwaasam" allengil "soochika vivarangal" ennu vilikkunnu.
2020 februvari vareyulla kanakkukal prakaram, bostromte vyakthigatha vebpejil vaachakathinte digital pakarppukal soujanyamaayi labikkum.
svayam sample anumaanam.
naravamshashaasthraparamaaya sambhaavyathayude rund pradhana skoolukalilonnaaya svayam-sample anumaanam (ezz. ezz. eiii)-mattonn svayam-soochana anumaanam (siya)-parayunnu
udaaharanathinu, thalayil oru nireekshakane srishtikkunna oru nanayam flip undengil, vaalukalil athu rund srishtikkum, appol namukk rund lokangalundu, aadyathethu oru nireekshakanodum randaamathethu randinodum. eee lokangal thulya saadhyathayullavayaanu, athinaal thalayude lokathile aadyathe (eaka) nireekshakanakaanulla ezz. ezz. eiii. saadhyatha randilonnaanu, vaalukalude lokathile aadyathe nireekshakanakaanulla saadhyatha randilonnu × randilonnu = naalilonn, vaalukalude lokathile randaamathe nireekshakanakaanulla saadhyathayum naalilonn aanu.
athukondaanu urakka soundarya prashnatthil thalayude randilonnu saadhyathayekkurich ezz. ezz. eiii utharam nalkunnathu.
siyayil ninnu vyathyasthamayi, ssa "ennathu reference klaas thiranjedukkunnathine aasrayichirikkunnu. melpparanja udaaharanathile ejantumaar mattu lakshakkanakkin nireekshakareppole athe reference klaasilaanengil, ejantu urakka soundarya prashnathilaanennu parayumbol, thalayude lokath undakanulla saadhyatha ±1/3 aanu, siyaykk samaanamaan.
reference klaasinte thiranjeduppine aashrayich ezz. ezz. eiii. anthyadina vaadathe soochippichekkaam. ithu palappozhum naravamshashaasthraparamaaya yukthiyil upayogikkunnu.
bostrom thante "anthropic bayasa observation selection effects inn sayans aandu philosophy" enna pusthakatthil, ssaude nirvachanathile "nireekshakar" yeei "nireekshaka-nimishangal" upayogichu maattisthaapikkunna sakthamaaya svayam-sample anumaanam (ssa) ennu thaan vilikkunnathilekku ssa parishkarikkaan nirddeshichittundu. kooduthal kaalam jeevikkunna oru nireekshakanu svayam anubhavikkan kooduthal avasarangalundenna avabodhavumaayi ithu poruthappedunnu, koodaathe vairudhyakaramaaya nigamanangal ozhivakkunnathinaayi chila chinta pareekshanangalil reference klaasukal parishkarikkunnathinulla vazhakkam ithu nalkunnu.
svayam-soochana anumaanam.
nick bostrom thante "anthropic bayasa observation selection effects inn sayans aandu philosophy" enna pusthakatthil nirvachicha oru daarshanika thathwamaanu svayam-soochana anumaanam (siya). athil ingane parayunnu
kramarahithamayi thiranjeduttha" ennathu nilavilulla nireekshakare sambandhichidatholam saadhyathayullathaanennu shradhikkuka siyayude keezhil ningalkk ippozhum oru saadhyathayillaatha nireekshakanaakaan saadhyathayilla, avar dhaaraalam illengil. ithu naravamshashaasthraparamaaya sambhaavyathayude rund pradhana skoolukalil onnaanu, mattonn svayam-sample anumaanam (ssa) aanu.
udaaharanathinu, thalayil oru nireekshakane srishtikkunna oru nanayam flip undengil, vaalukalil athu randennam srishtikkum, appol namukk moonnu saadhyamaaya nireekshakarundu (thalayil aadya nireekshakan, vaalukalil aadyatheyaal, vaalukalil randaamathethu). eee nireekshakaril oororutharkkum nilanilppinulla thulya saadhyathayund, athinaal siya oororutharkkum moonnilonnu saadhyatha nalkunnu. pakaramaayi, rund saadhyamaaya nireekshakar undennu parayunnathayi ithine vyaakhyaanikkaam (thalayilo valilo aadya nireekshakan, vaalukalil randaamathe nireekshakan), aadyathethu probabilityumaayi nilanilkkunnu, randaamathethu probabilityumaayi 1/2 undu, athinaal siya aadya nireekshakanaayi randilonnu, randaamathethu moonnilonnu enniva nalkunnu-ithu aadya vyaakhyaanathin thulyamaanu.
athukondaanu urakka soundarya prashnatthil thalayude moonnilonnu saadhyathayekkurich siya utharam nalkunnathu.
ssal ninnu vyathyasthamayi, reference klaas aathmanishtamaayi verthirichariyaan kazhiyaatha ellah nireekshakareyum ulkkollaan paryaapthamaayathra valuthaayirikkunnidathol kaalam siya reference klaas thiranjedukkunnathine aashrayikkunnillenn shradhikkuka. reference klaas valuthaanenkil, siya athu kooduthal saadhyathaamaakkumenkilum valia reference classile ejantu "aaa prathyeka ejantu" aakanulla saadhyatha valare kuravaanu.
eee naravamsha thathwam yadhaarthathil roopakalpana cheythath anthyadina vaadathe nishedhikkunna reethiyilaan (1992 ll dennis dikes), naravamshashaasthraparamaaya yukthiyude thathwashaasthrathil ithinu pothuvaaya prayogangalundu, koodaathe kwaandam cosmology vishakalanathin ithu pradhaanamaanennu kenn olam abhipraayappettittund.
siaye prathirodhikkunna vidhathil kenn olam ezhuthiyittundu. nick bostrom, milan chirkovich ennivar eee prathirodhatthe vimarshichu.
avalokanangal.
virgenia komanvelthu sarvakalashaalayil ninnulla oru avalokanam eee vishayangalil thaalpparyamullavarkk eee pusthakam "shelfill oru sthaanam arhikkunnu" ennu paranju.

