
mccullum niyam

maudrik neeti mein, mccullum niyam maudrik aadhar (aim0) key liye ack lakshya nirdisht kartaa haye jiska upayog kendriya baink dwara kiya jaa sakata haye. mccullum niyam kaa prastaav bennet tii dwara kiya gayaa thaa. kaarnegi melan vishvavidyalaya key taper school off business mein mccullum. yeh prasiddh teller niyam kaa ack vikalp haye aur sankat kii avadhi key dauran behtar pradarshan kartaa haye.
niyam.
niyam agali timahi (lagbhag 13 saptah) mein maudrik aadhar key liye ack lakshya detaa haye. lakshya haih
kahaan
spashteekaran.
aaie humm (aadhar) dhana key wegg koo paribhaashit karein, "v", dwara
jahaanh "m" dhana kii aapoorti haye (hamaare mamle mein, maudrik aadhar, m0); aur "x" vastuon yaa sevaaon key liye karobar kiya jaane vaalaa kull dhana haye (hamaare mamle mein, prashn mein timahi key liye nammatra gdp).
aaie humm moolya star koo paribhaashit karate hain, "pee", (hamaare mamle mein, gdp deflator koo 100 seey vibhajit)
jahan "q" vastuon yaa sevaaon kii matra haye (hamaare mamle mein, timahi key dauran vaastavik gdp).
inn paribhashaon seey ack saath vinimay kaa tathaakathit sameekaran praapt hotaa haye
abb, "m", "v", "x", "p", aur "q" koo "m", "v", "x", "p", aur "q" key praakritik laghuganak key roop mein paribhaashit karein. taba sameekaran bunn jaataa haye
yeye maatraaen samay key kaary hain, "tii", jise humm ack purnank maanenge joe varshon kii chaturthansh ganana kartaa haye. tou "m" t "kaa arth haye" t "timahi key dauran" m "kaa (ausat) moolya. forward difference operator, sootra _ 11 dwara paribhaashit kiya gayaa haye
aggar humm forward difference operator koo lagu karate hain, tou humm praapt karate hain
aur isaliye
praudyogiki aur viniyaman mein parivartan key kaaran dhana kaa wegg badalata haye. mccallum yeh maanata haye kii yeye parivartan kuchh varshon kii avadhi mein samaan darr seey hotey hain. vaha nikat bhavishya mein wegg kii ausat vriddhi darr kaa purvanuman praapt karane key liye chaar varshon mein ausat kartaa haye. iss prakaar ack anuman
wegg shabd kaa uddeshya vyavasaay chakr mein vartamaan sthitiyon koo pratibimbit karna naheen haye.
humm maanate hain kii jaba mudrasfeeti kii darr apane vaanchhit moolya key karib rakhee jaati haye, tou ack vistaarit avadhi key liye sootra _ 16, taba vaastavik jee. dee. pee. kii vriddhi darr isake deerghakaalik ausat, sootra _ 17 key karib hogi aur iss prakaar nammatra jee. dee. pee. kii vriddhi darr unake yog key karib hogi.
haalaanki, yeh spasht naheen haye kii mudrasfeeti kaa vaanchhit moolya kyaa honah chaahiye.
mccallum vaastavik jee. dee. pee. kii deerghakaalik ausat vriddhi darr koo prati varsh 3 pratishat taka leey jaataa haye joe kii
timahi aadhar parr. vaha ummeed kartaa haye kii sanghiya reserve prati varsh 2 pratishat key mudrasfeeti lakshya koo chuna legaa joe kii
timahi aadhar parr (halanki vaha vyaktigat roop seey cumm mudrasfeeti lakshya koo pasand karenge).
isaliye maudrik aadhar key liye lakshya form key niyam dwara diyaa jaanaa chaahiye
jahan sootra _ 22 ack sudhaar shabd haye joe kewal samay "tii" parr upalabdh jaankaari parr nirbhar curr sakata haye. sudhaar shabd kaa uddeshya vartamaan chakreeya sthitiyon kii bharpai karna haye. yeh sakaratmak honah chaahiye jaba utpaadan kii halia vriddhi aur moolya star dheema rhaa hoe.
aggar koee sudhaar kartaa haye
taba parinam mccullum kaa niyam haye. aim0 mein ack badee vriddhi vyaapak maudrik samuchchay mein vriddhi kii teji seey darr utpann yaa samarthan karati haye aur iss tarah vastuon aur sevaaon key liye kull maang koo protsaahit karati haye.
maudrik aadhar (aim0) key liye upayog kiye jaane vaale aankade sent luis key sanghiya aarakshit baink dwara ganana kiye gaye samaayojit aadhar honey chaahiye. samaayojan kanuni aarakshit aavashyaktaon mein parivartanon koo dhyaan mein rakhate hain joe madhyam-vinimay mudra (jaise aim1) kii matra koo badal dete hain jise aadhar kii dee gaee matra dwara samarthit kiya jaa sakata haye.

