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A study on the impact of the factors reflect solvency to the bankruptcy risk of real estate companies: Evidence from Vietnam stock exchange

Article history: Received: April 28 2019 Received in revised format: May 15 2019 Accepted: June 14, 2019 Available online: June 15, 2019 Under the impact of the global crisis, the Vietnam real estate exchange has become degraded and frozen for a long time. The solvency is decreased, leading to a high risk of bankruptcy of real estate companies. Therefore, determining the factors reflecting solvency in real estate companies helps to give synchronous solutions, to improve performance efficiency, to prevent and to mitigate bankruptcy risk in the real estate companies listed on Vietnam’s stock exchange. Research data were collected from 45 out of 55 real estate companies listed on Vietnam’s stock exchanges (accounting for 81.82% of the sample) with 360 observations. The study proposes a logit model showing the relationship between solvency and bankruptcy risk and conducts analysis and verification on SPSS dedicated software (version 25) to find out the variables affecting bankruptcy risk. The results show that (with a prediction accuracy of 91.4%) in these companies, indicators of solvency influencing bankruptcy risk include: (1) Operating cash flows to average total liabilities ratio and (2) Net working capital to total assets ratio. The impact of the remaining factors (a) Owner’s equity to long-term debt and (b) Current assets to current liabilities was unclear. Based on the research results, specific recommendations and solutions were proposed to improve solvency, prevent and mitigate bankruptcy risk in the real estate companies listed on Vietnam’s stock exchange. © 2019 by the authors; licensee Growing Science, Canada