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Association of interleukin 6 -174 G/C polymorphism with coronary artery disease and circulating IL-6 levels: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction Circulating IL-6 levels and at least one polymorphic form of IL6 gene (IL6 -174 G/C, rs1800795) have been shown to be independently associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) by several investigators. Despite more than 12 published meta-analyses on this subject, association of -174 G/C with CAD, especially amongst distinct ancestral population groups remain unclear. We, therefore, conducted a systematic review and an updated meta-analysis to comprehensively ascertain the association of IL6 -174 G/C with CAD and circulating IL-6 levels. Materials and methods Relevant case–control/cohort studies investigating association of -174 G/C with CAD and circulating IL-6 levels were identified following a comprehensive online search. Association status for CAD was determined for the pooled sample, as well as separately for major ancestral subgroups. Association status for circulating IL-6 levels was assessed for the pooled sample, as well as separately for CAD cases and CAD free controls. Study-level odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled using random/fixed-effects model. Results Quantitative synthesis for the CAD endpoint was performed using 55 separate qualifying studies with a collective sample size of 51,213 (19,160 cases/32,053 controls). Pooled association of -174 G/C with CAD was found to be statistically significant through dominant (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.05–1.25, p = 0.002) as well as allelic genetic model comparisons (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.06–1.21, p = 0.0003). This effect was largely driven by Asian and Asian Indian ancestral subgroups, which also showed significant association with CAD in both genetic model comparisons (OR range 1.29–1.53, p value range ≤ 0.02). Other ancestral subgroups failed to show any meaningful association. Circulating IL-6 levels were found to be significantly higher amongst the ‘C’ allele carriers in the pooled sample (Standard mean difference, SMD 0.11, 95% CI 0.01–0.22 pg/ml, p = 0.009) as well as in the CAD free control subgroup (SMD 0.10, 95% CI 0.02–0.17 pg/ml, p = 0.009), though not in the CAD case subgroup (SMD 0.17, 95% CI = − 0.02 to 0.37, p = 0.12). Conclusions The present systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrate an overall association between IL6 -174 G/C polymorphism and CAD, which seems to be mainly driven by Asian and Asian Indian ancestral subgroups. Upregulation of plasma IL-6 levels in the ‘C’ allele carriers seems to be at least partly responsible for this observed association. This warrants further investigations with large, structured case–control studies especially amongst Asian and Asian Indian ancestral groups. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00011-021-01505-7.


Introduction
Interleukin 6 (IL-6) is a circulating bioactive peptide of 23.7 kDa and acts as both a pro-inflammatory cytokine and an anti-inflammatory myokine. This endogenous pyrogen primarily originates from mononuclear phagocytes but also, in part, from fibroblasts, T and B lymphocytes and vascular endothelial cells [1,2]. It functions in inflammation and maturation of B cells [3], and is encoded by IL6 gene (located at chromosome 7p21- 14) which is known to have several polymorphic variants [4]. Circulating IL-6 levels and at least one polymorphic form of IL6 gene have been reported to be independently associated with coronary artery disease (CAD), at least amongst Caucasians [5,6].

Material and methods
Relevant guidelines in the HuGE Review Handbook, version 1.0 [18] as well as the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) statement [19] were strictly adhered to while undertaking the present systematic review and meta-analysis.

Search strategy and study selection criteria
We systematically searched the databases of the US National Institutes of Health (PubMed), EMBASE, MEDLINE, Scopus and Web of Knowledge for relevant articles published online until May 2021. Specific search headings as well as open text fields were used for the online publication search. Reference lists of relevant published meta-analyses were also scanned for identifying additional articles. Combination of broad search headings such as 'interleukin 6' OR 'IL6' OR rs1800795 (dbSNP ID's or rs number) paired with 'coronary artery disease' OR 'CAD' OR 'myocardial infarction' OR 'MI' OR 'acute coronary syndrome' OR 'ACS' AND 'polymorphism' OR 'mutation' OR 'single nucleotide polymorphism' OR 'SNP' were used for online search. Our search was limited to publications in the English language and restricted to articles relating to humans.
Hierarchical model for study selection was used: initially the study title was assessed for relevance, followed by the abstract and finally, the full text. To qualify for inclusion, the relevant study had to be either a case-control study or cohort study with a well-documented CAD case group (diagnosed CAD, MI, ACS, unstable/stable angina pectoris) compared against a CAD free control group. To be included, all studies had to satisfy the following criteria: (1) original, published in a peer-reviewed journal, and available online, (2) case-control or cohort design, (3) providing complete genotypic data crucial for calculation of odds ratios (OR), confidence intervals (CIs) and p-values, (4) CAD diagnosis amongst cases had to be based on angiographic or electrocardiographic assessment whilst controls had to be free of any history or evidence of CAD, (5) published in the English language with online accessibility, and (6) genotype frequencies amongst controls satisfying Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE). We assessed departure from HWE amongst controls in each study using the goodness-of-fit × 2 test. Incidences of non-conformation to HWE approximation (p < 0.05) resulted in the exclusion of the study. Conference abstracts and case reports/studies not providing adequate information were also excluded. Publications lacking enough data to generate both dominant and allelic genetic models were identified and their corresponding authors were formally requested for supplying missing data via three periodic emails, spaced 1 week apart. We included the study after receiving the complete data. In case all efforts to retrieve the missing data failed, we included studies where enough data was available to construct at least one genetic model. If relevant data was not made available even after three consecutive requests and published data was not sufficient to construct even one genetic model, the study in question was excluded. Further study selection to ascertain the association of -174 G/C polymorphism with circulating IL-6 levels was done from the already searched publications.

Data collection and quality assessment
Raw data were transcribed from selected publications on Microsoft-Excel worksheets where further calculations were performed. Studies qualifying for testing association of -174 G/C with CAD were stratified into ancestral subgroups such as European ancestry, Middle Eastern ancestry, Asian ancestry, Asian Indian ancestry, African ancestry and Mixed ancestry. Studies were categorized based on the ancestral background of the majority of the studied population. Studies were stratified into 'CAD cases' and 'CAD free control' subgroups while testing for an association of -174 G/C polymorphism with circulating IL-6 levels.
Quality assessment of the included studies was performed using Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS) (http:// www. ohri. ca/ progr ams/ clini cal_ epide miolo gy/ oxford. asp). The NOS is a star-based rating system where a study with a full score can earn 9 stars. A NOS rating of 5-9 stars was indicative of a good quality study, while a score of 0-4 stars indicated a poor quality study [20]. The NOS rating tool involves evaluation of (a) selection methods of study participants, (b) comparability amongst cases and control groups, and (c) exposure and outcome. Included studies were independently assessed for quality by both authors; disagreements were then resolved by consensus.
Environmental factors have been known to have a profound impact on the association profiles of genetic polymorphisms. Since none of our included studies provided raw calculable data on environmental factors, we were unable to test the impact of this relationship.

Statistical techniques
Calculations were carried out using windows based RevMan version 5.3.5 (The Cochrane Collaboration, 2014) and SPSS version 25 (IBM ® corporation).

Summary effect measures
Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using bivariate, random (DerSimonian-Laird method) [21] or fixed-effect model (Mantel-Haenszel method) [22]. Summary ORs and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated separately for dominant and allelic genetic models. Analytic models (random or fixed) were chosen based on observed heterogeneity within the group/subgroup. The calculated OR and 95% CI for each study revealed the level of association (if any). The pooled OR was estimated from individual study ORs employing a Z test. The summary effect measure for the association of -174 G/C with circulating IL-6 levels was pooled standard mean difference (SMD) with its 95%CI (in pg/ml). SMDs were estimated for each study after which a Z test was employed to ascertain a pooled SMD. For both summary effect measures, a pooled p value of < 0.05 indicated statistical significance and the corresponding Z value indicated the level of association.

Heterogeneity assessment
Existence of heterogeneity was tested using a Q test. Resulting Higgins I 2 statistics (I 2 ) and Cochrane's Q statistics (P Q ) for each study group/subgroup indicated inherent heterogeneity. A heterogeneous group/subgroup was assumed to be with a resultant P Q cut-off < 0.01 [23]. The I 2 value cut offs of 25%, 50% and 75% indicated low, moderate and high heterogeneity, respectively [24]. Random effects for calculation of summary effect measures were used if the group/subgroup yielded a P Q value of ≤ 0.01 coupled with an I 2 value of ≥ 50%. Conversely, fixed effect was used for summary effect measure estimation if the group/subgroup yielded a P Q value of > 0.01 coupled with an I 2 value of < 50%. Subgroup differences were also assessed assuming similar P Q and I 2 cut-offs.

Detection of publication bias
We employed two of the most accepted statistical tools for publication bias detection in the present meta-analysis. Publication bias in each group of ≥ 3 studies was visually detected using Begg's funnel plot [25], while the statistical estimates for each group/subgroup were calculated using Egger's test. [26] An Egger's p value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant and indicated the possible existence of publication bias in the group/subgroup in question.

Sensitivity analysis
Sensitivity analysis was performed separately in each study group/subgroup (with ≥ 5 studies). We repeated the analysis after the omission of one study after another in each qualifying group/subgroup. This exercise was performed to see if the results in any group/subgroup altered substantially, i.e. a change from non-association to a significant association or the other way around. Absence of such alteration in results indicates the robustness of the meta-analysis in question.

Results
Screening of 394 records led to the identification of 47 relevant articles. A total of 55 different studies (extracted from 47 articles) were included to test the association of -174 G/C with CAD . The study selection process is explained in detail in Fig. 1. Table 1 contains complete details of all included studies for the CAD endpoint, while Table 2 lists studies included for circulating IL-6 levels endpoint. Sample assessed and inherent heterogeneity of studied groups and subgroups included for CAD endpoint are shown in Supplementary Table 1. Meta-analysis results obtained for CAD endpoint are summarized in Supplementary Table 2.

Role of -174 G/C polymorphism in CAD
A total of 55 case-control/cohort genetic association studies on -174 G/C, with a total sample of 51,213 (19,160 cases/32,053 controls) were analyzed . The pooled group showed significant heterogeneity as the included studies belonged to 6 distinct ancestral subgroups. (Supplementary Table 1) Our pooled results via both genetic models were obtained using random effects.  Table 2).

Publication bias assessment and sensitivity analysis
Each group or subgroup with ≥ 3 included studies was assessed for existing publication bias using Begg's funnel plot test [25] and Egger's test [26]. Begg's funnel plots and Egger's p values for each qualifying group/subgroup constructed for -174 G/C for CAD endpoint are displayed in Fig. 2, Panel B and Fig. 3, Panel B (respectively, for dominant and allelic model), while for circulating IL-6 levels endpoint in Fig. 4, Panel B. Each point in these plots represents the OR or SMD obtained for an included study plotted against its standard error (SE). Different indicators have been used for studies belonging to different ancestral subgroups/CAD cases or CAD free control subgroups. All these points seem to be generally contained within the inverted cone, indicating limited existence publication bias. Egger's p values seem to reach statistical significance for most of the ancestral groups and subgroups which could have been a direct result of inherent heterogeneity. This indicates that the use of ancestral stratification was also not sufficient to tone down the possible existence of bias. On the other hand, we found no evidence of publication bias in subgroups constructed for circulating IL-6 endpoint. Sensitivity analysis was performed in each study group/ subgroup with ≥ 5 included studies. Studies were excluded one after another in these groups/subgroups and the analysis was repeated after each omission. We observed no instance of significant alteration from the original results, i.e. from lack of association to significant association or the other way around for both endpoints, which is an indicator of the robustness of the meta-analysis in question (Data not shown).

Discussion
We present the most comprehensive and structured metaanalysis on the association between IL6 -174 G/C polymorphism with CAD as well as circulating IL-6 levels. The main findings were: (i) pooled results indicated a significant association of -174 G/C polymorphism with CAD; however, the effect was driven by studies with participants belonging to Asian and Asian Indian ancestries; (ii) other major ancestries, including European and Middle Eastern displayed no evidence of such association; (iii) 'C allele' carriers, at least amongst CAD free controls seem to have significantly higher levels of circulating IL-6, which in part explains the association of this SNP with CAD.
Results obtained in our meta-analysis for the CAD endpoint are much more robust than the recent one on this subject [17], which incidentally also lacks ancestral stratification needed to identify drivers of seen association. The latest meta-analysis which is comparable to ours' was from Hou and coworkers published in 2015 [6], Our results for -174 G/C polymorphism with CAD represents a complete shift from their results. First, our pooled results displayed overwhelmingly strong associations with CAD (p ≤ 0.0005, for both genetic models), in contrast to a milder level of associations (p = 0.01 in both models) reported by Hou et al. [6] Second, we tried to correctly stratify different ancestral populations into appropriate subgroups thus revealing a clear picture, which is in contrast to Hou et al. [6], who clubbed Europeans along with Indian, Turkish, Tunisian and Pakistani populations in their 'Caucasian' subgroup. At least 4 promoter polymorphisms of the IL6 gene at positions 597, 572, 373 along with 174 bp, have been known to influence IL6 transcription through complex interactions determined by the haplotype [4]. We hypothesize that 'C' allele carriers in -174 G/C, through a variety of mechanisms, are more likely to have upregulated transcription and translation of IL6 gene; are, therefore, associated with higher plasma concentrations of circulating IL-6, thus making them more susceptible to the development of atherosclerotic disease. We tested this hypothesis and found that while possibly the influence of concomitant medications [75], prevented the CAD case subgroup to yield significant association (p = 0.12), our CAD free control subgroup showed a clear association of 'C' allele carriers with elevated circulating IL-6 levels (p = 0.009).
This difference has also been observed locally at the transcriptional level where IL6 mRNA expression is 10-40 fold higher in atherosclerotic as compared to healthy arteries  [76]. IL-6 not only has a direct association with CAD; it also indirectly contributes to the development of atherosclerotic disease in several ways. Circulating IL-6 has been known to regulate fibrinogen-an acute-phase protein which is recognized as an important risk factor for atherosclerotic and thrombotic diseases [76]. It has also been reported to stimulate the differentiation of monocytes to macrophages, which contributes towards the growth of atherosclerotic plaques [77]. The effect of individual IL6 gene SNPs on the regulation of plasma IL-6 levels have also been investigated before [4]. Since, at least 4 adjacent IL6 polymorphic sites (-174 G/C, -373 A/T, -572 G/C and -597 G/A) have complex interactions between each of their transcriptional machineries [4], it this not easy to determine the effects of a single variant. IL6 promoter haplotypes have been reported to be better predictors of transcription levels of IL6 gene [4].
Investigating the synergistic effect of these possible haplotypes on CAD, MI or circulating IL-6 levels was not possible due to the lack of relevant published haplotypic data.

Limitations
Meta-analyses on genetic association studies tend to have significant limitations. First, for some ancestral subgroupsonly a few published reports with moderate sample sizes were available; their meta-analysis results should thus be interpreted with caution. More studies from these ancestral groups are warranted to establish these derived associations. Second, the fact that meta-analyses of association studies cannot inspect interference of linkage disequilibrium, it constitutes as a major limitation. Third, the presence of selection bias in individual included studies and the presence of publication bias in a meta-analysis of non-randomized, genetic association studies easily qualify to be the most important limitation. Several statistical tools are available to test publication bias, although none are perfect, are easily influenced by heterogeneity, and in our case two of them were used which gave inconsistent results. This fact illustrates that the role of existing publication bias cannot be completely ruled out. We cannot be sure whether to trust our funnel plots where most of the studies were contained within the inverted cone, signaling a lack of publication bias or the results of the Egger's test where significant p values were seen for both genetic model comparisons in most of the analyzed groups/ subgroups.

Conclusions
Significant association of IL6-174 G/C variant with CAD was observed in the pooled results of our present metaanalysis, largely driven by studies belonging to Asian and Asian Indian ancestral subgroups. Upregulation of plasma IL-6 levels in the 'C' allele carriers seem to be at least partly Fig. 4 Meta-analysis results depicting differences in circulating IL-6 levels amongst 'C' allele carriers versus GG homozygotes as well as publication bias assessment results in the included groups/ subgroups. Panel A Comparison of IL-6 levels between 'C' allele carriers as compared to the rest (CC+GC vs. GG) separately amongst CAD cases and CAD free controls. R Standard mean difference for "Pooled" as well as CAD case subgroup were estimated using random effects owing to high levels of inherent heterogeneity. Standard mean difference for CAD free control subgroup which displayed low levels of inherent heterogeneity were estimated using fixed effects. Standard mean difference and its 95% Confidence Interval is depicted in the bar charts. *Statistically significant p value of < 0.05. Panel B Begg's funnel plot with Egger's estimates was obtained for comparison of circulating IL-6 levels between 'C' allele carries as compared to the rest (CC + GC vs. GG). *Statistically significant p value of < 0.05. Each point in each figure represents the standard mean difference (SMD, in pg/ ml) obtained for a study plotted against its standard error (SE). Different indicators have been used for studies belonging to 'CAD cases' and 'CAD free controls' subgroups