Bloc Quebecois and Liberals tied in Quebec for voting intention – Conservatives far behind

BQ Leader Blanchet named winner of French language debate

IN a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among 1,001 Quebecois voters aged 18 or older one in three (33%) say they plan to vote for the Liberal Party in the upcoming federal election. Most likely to say they will vote Liberal are those 35 to 44 (41%), those in Montreal (39%) or Northwestern Quebec (40%), and anglophones (49%).
Another one in three (31%) say they will vote for the Bloc Quebecois in the upcoming federal election. Most likely to say this are Quebecois aged 65 years of age or older (48%), those living in the suburbs of Montreal (46%), and francophones (37%).

Nearly a third (28%) of those surveyed say the Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet won the French language debate. This is most prevalent with Quebecois aged 65 years or older with nearly half (44%) saying that the debate was won by Blanchet. Also most likely to feel this way are voters living in Montreal suburbs with over a third (39%) saying Yves-Francois performed best on the debate stage, francophones (33%), and those who plan to vote for the Bloc (63%).

In second place is Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau. Nearly one in five (18%) say Trudeau was the victor. Most likely to say this are those who speak a language other than French of English at home (46%), anglophones (28%), and those who plan to vote Liberal (47%).

Over 1 in 5 (21%) say that no leader won the debate. Well over three-quarters (84% total) of those surveyed said they watched the debate (47%) or heard about the debate (37%).

One in 4 say Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer was the loser in the French language debate.

Most say Trudeau would make the best Prime Minister

Over one-third (35%) of Quebecois feel that, regardless of party affiliation, Trudeau would make Canada’s best Prime Minister. This is most prevalent among those 35 to 44 years of age (42%), women (39%), Montrealers (45%), anglophones (43%), and those who plan to vote Liberal in the next election (80%).
Nearly 4 in 10 (38%) say that Trudeau is best equipped to represent Canada on the world stage. Just over one 1 in 10 would say the same about Scheer
(13%), NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (13%), or Blanchet (13%).

“THE Liberals and the Bloc are tied in Quebec, which could negatively affect Liberal chances for re-election,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. ”YvesFrancois Blanchet was seen to have performed well in the final debate, which may explain some of the Bloc’s recent gains in Quebec.”

The poll was conducted on October 11 and the margin of error is +/- 3%.