Lurker since 2009. Second-generation diasporan. Rationalist out of the woodwork.


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Wiki Contributions


Against Dog Ownership

Anecdotally speaking, being forced to take care of a puppy made me significantly more empathic towards animals in general. Whereas I subconsciously saw pet owners as being 'hijacked' (even taking into account a rather animal-obsessed childhood), it was only after fully bonding with my puppy that I was able to empathise with suffering animals on a gut level (again, I used to be able to, then I was desensitised for years, then today I'm back to full-on animal empathy mode).

All this happened over the course of 4-5 days. It was actually quite scary to see my values change so abruptly, to the extent that visiting r/petloss literally makes me want to vomit due to how heavy it makes my heart.

Cryonics without freezers: resurrection possibilities in a Big World

Now I'm curious. Does studying history make you update in a similar way? I feel that these times are not especially insane compared to the rest of history, though the scale of the problems might be bigger.

Online Meetup: Forecasting Workshop

Hi there. I signed up for the event but didn’t receive any URL. Can someone help me out?

Hanson vs Mowshowitz LiveStream Debate: "Should we expose the youth to coronavirus?" (Mar 29th)

What do you think are the odds of a successful vaccine being developed within 3 months? 6 months? A year? Before we achieve herd immunity?


How long do you think will the peak last? How does your position (and best-policy recommendations) change as this variable changes?

I Want To Live In A Baugruppe

Definitely in 5-10 years. Hopefully with accommodations for foreignfolk as well?

The Proper Use of Doubt

Not sure if this is the proper place to say this but your first link is broken.

http://www.yudkowsky.net/virtues/ -> http://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/virtues/