text: **Prison Population Projections 2014 – 2020**
  
   
  
  that there is no prioritisation of any age or sex group within the 
  Magistrates’ and Crown Court; 
  
   
  
  the number of working days in each month is the primary driver of 
  seasonality within the Magistrates’ and Crown Court; 
  
   no change in offence type occurs as cases move through the system; 
  
   defendants that are tried at the Magistrates’ Court proceed to 
  
  sentencing without delay; 
  
   delays within the Magistrates’ Court are not significant for the monthly 
  
  timescales used in the modelling; and 
  
   a Magistrates’ Court backlog will not develop during the forecast 
  
  period. 
  
  The Sentencing Module takes the number of defendants disposed of in the 
  Magistrates’ Workload Model and the Crown Court Workload Model and 
  applies sentencing splits based on analysis of court proceedings data from 
  January 2004 to June 2014. This results in a set of projections as broken 
  down in Table B1. These are aggregated providing forecasts for each 
  offence, gender, age and disposal category, which are used as the custodial 
  conviction projections. 
  
  **Table B1: Courts and Sentencing Module Splits Dimensions**
  
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              [html]<thead><tr><td>Offence Type</td><td>Gender</td><td>Age Band</td><td>Court Route</td><td>Disposal</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Burglary</td><td>Male</td><td>Age 10 - 17</td><td>MC</td><td>Discharge</td></tr><tr><td>Criminal Damage</td><td>Female</td><td>Age 18 - 20</td><td>MCCC</td><td>Fine</td></tr></tbody>
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