text: **60KM GLOBAL PROJECTIONS**
  **20 plausible climate futures. Latest Hadley Centre climate model. Simulations**
  **of extreme weather. Simultaneous impacts captured at multiple locations.**
  
  This resolution will enable more realistic simulations of climate for the UK and capture the 
  drivers of extreme weather, a significant advance on the 300 km-resolution simulations of 
  UKCP09. A set of 20 plausible global projections of 21st century climate will be generated 
  using an ensemble of the Met Office Hadley Centre HadGEM3 climate model. These 
  projections will be selected to represent a wide range of possible future climate states 
  to reflect key uncertainties, informing a risk-based approach to planning. They will be 
  generated to provide spatially coherent daily data at a horizontal resolution of 60 km for 
  two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios. These will be compared with an ensemble of 
  CMIP5 models to provide additional information on uncertainties in the projections relative 
  to other climate models. 
  
  **25KM PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS**
  **Captures natural variability and climate change . Updated models and**
  **observations. Provides seasonal scale projections.**
  
  Based on the established, peer-reviewed, ground-breaking method of UKCP09 for 
  estimating uncertainty for use in risk-based analysis. Probabilistic projections will be 
  updated using an up-to-date collection of Met Office climate simulations and the latest 
  IPCC-assessed simulations to estimate the model uncertainties, incorporate the latest 
  observations and estimate carbon cycle feedbacks. Projections will be on a 25 km grid for 
  the UK at monthly intervals for several emission scenarios, including one used in UKCP0911. 
  The new probabilistic projections will indicate the range of uncertainty in our knowledge 
  of the climate system and natural variability through the 21st century, using probability 
  density functions to provide information on how climate varies from month to month. This 
  contrasts with UKCP09 for which only 30-year means were provided12. 