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              [html]<thead><tr><td>are generated from time series projections of numbers of erring the criminal counts and take into account the age, gender defendants entering the system, the flow of cases through the sentences which concluded cases attract.</td><td>jections model monitors the sizes of the sentenced, recall and populations. These populations depend on the inflows defined cuttbows. These outfows are defined by observed distributions renterior lengths, and the proportion of custh</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>model is based on data up to June 2014 from various sources proceedings and performance data, sentencing data and no and population data.</td><td>he prison projections model are supplemented with an estimate criminal and fine defaulter populations, which is based on the data to September 2014.</td></tr><tr><td>have been modelled. These scenarios track the impact of incremental changes in sentencing behaviour :</td><td>Scenario assumes custodial convictions are broadly in line ont trends. The average length of sentence is assumed to be ed on recent trends in sentence lengths. This broadly reflectsumptions for Scenario 2 in the Novmber 2013 projections</td></tr><tr><td>nsider two illustrative scenarios</td><td>1 assumes that custodial convictions will fall against recentThe average length of sentence is assumed to be lower than been observed in recent trends in sentence lengths.</td></tr><tr><td>2 assumes a rise in custodial convictions when compared to</td></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody>
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