text: **Prison Population Projections 2014 – 2020**
  
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              [html]<thead><tr><td>•</td><td>assumptions regarding future parole hearing frequency and expected outcomes for indeterminate sentences ;</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>•</td><td>the Home Office gaining access to all 580 places at the Verne IRC by January 2015 ;</td></tr><tr><td>•</td><td>the impacts of the Crifender Rehabilitation Act 2014, whereby offereders with custodial sentences of less than 12 months will be released subject to licence and a new post - sentence supervision period following licence for offenders re</td></tr><tr><td>•</td><td>the impacts of the ROTL review deciding that all offenders who have privously absociated will no bronger be allowed to return to the open estate or be released on temporary licence except in exceptional circumstances ;</td></tr><tr><tdcolspan="2">No scenarios modelled are not predictions of what will happen to the prison quation, but rather indications of what the prison population would look likescenario conditions were to be fullillied.</td></tr><tr><tdcolspan="2">Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 do not represent bounds on our central projection the prison population, not do they represent the likelihood of changes above below our central projection.</td></tr></tbody>
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