21rsta.royalsocietypublishing.orgP h i l .T r a n s .R .S o c .A376:20160452 ........................................................
ensemble mean
IPSL-CM5A-LR GFDL-ESM2M HadGEM2-ES
IPSL-CM5A-MR MIROC-ESM-CHEM ACCESS1-0
–20 –10 0 10 20
days
Figure16. Differenceinconsecutivedrydaysbetween2 °Cand1.5 °Cglobalwarming,forindividualensemblemembersand
ensemblemean.
IPSL-CM5A-LR GFDL-ESM2M HadGEM2-ES
IPSL-CM5A-MR
–20 –10 0 10 20
mm
ensemble mean
MIROC-ESM-CHEM ACCESS1-0
Figure 17.Difference in annual maximum 5 day rainfall between 2°Ca n d1 . 5°C global warming, for individual ensemble
membersandensemblemean.