Summary of expected outputs 
Table 1 below indicates the likely dimensions of the outputs for each of the components as of July 2017.
* Data also available for whole UK, administrative regions, devolved administrations and river basin regions. 
†Additional information on variability and observations available at Class A tide gauges (see http://www.ntslf.org/
data/uk-network-real-time). 
‡An ensemble of regional climate model results over Europe (see http://www.euro-cordex.net). 
+Now included due to user request and Peer Review Panel advice. 
++This is not an exhaustive list and further user-requested variables will be made available subject to evaluation of 
models.
Observations 
(UK State of 
the Climate)
Marine and 
coastal 
projections
Global 
projections
Probabilistic 
projections High resolution projections
Characteristics 
Observed 
trends; 
long-term 
climatologies; 
weather 
events for the 
preceding year
Updated sea level 
rise and surge 
projections based 
on operational 
storm surge 
model (CS3) 
using CMIP5, 
EURO-CORDEX‡
Ensemble of 
~ 20 spatially 
coherent time 
series of the Met 
Office Hadley 
Centre model 
and a similar 
number of 
CMIP5 models
Updated probability 
density functions 
presented as 30-
year and monthly 
time series based on 
Met Office models 
(HadCM3, ESPPE) and 
CMIP5
Downscaled projections over the 
UK for ~ 10 spatially coherent time 
series. 2.2 km model provides 
realistic information on heavy 
rainfall events 
Scale UK UK Global UK UK
Spatial resolution* To match land 
projections UK Coastline† 60km 25km 12km+ 2.2km
Highest temporal 
resolution Daily / monthly Annual Daily Monthly Daily Sub-daily
Period of data
bulk of 20th 
century to 
present day
1950-2100 1900-2100 1961-2100 1981-2080
1981-2000
2021-2040
2061-2080
Emissions scenarios N/A
RCP2.6,
RCP4.5,
RCP8.5
H++
RCP8.5; 
additional 
lower scenario 
(for Met Office 
Hadley Centre 
model only)
SRES A1B, RCP2.6,
RCP4.5,
RCP6.0
RCP8.5
RCP8.5 RCP8.5
Variables available++
Temperature, 
precipitation 
(including snow), 
sunshine, wind
Sea level rise, 
storm surge
Temperature, 
precipitation, 
humidity, wind 
speed, wind 
direction, solar 
radiation
Temperature, 
precipitation, 
humidity, wind speed, 
solar radiation
Temperature, 
precipitation, 
humidity, wind 
speed, wind 
direction, solar 
radiation
Temperature, 
precipitation, 
humidity, wind 
speed, wind 
direction,  solar 
radiation
Land
How can I get the information and when? 
Access to the raw data, pre-prepared data and maps, headline messages and user guidance will be available 
through a dedicated website.
A dedicated user interface will provide users with a means to download the data and produce customised 
visualisations.  The exact nature of these outputs is still the subject of consultation with users.
Detailed descriptions of the scientific basis of the projections will be available as the project progresses.  For the 
latest information visit: 
http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/24125
UKCP Project Team
July 2017