Prison Population Projections 2014 – 2020 
Annual tables of subgroups within the overall projected prison population 
Table A4: Projected determinate sentence prison population (end of June 
figures) 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
Jun-15 54,600 55,500 56,600
Jun-16 54,400 57,000 60,000
Jun-17 53,500 57,900 62,300
Jun-18 52,600 58,800 64,900
Jun-19 51,800 59,600 67,200
Jun-20 51,000 60,200 68,900
Sentencing Scenarios
 
Table A5: Projected indeterminate sentence prison population (end of June 
figures) 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
Jun-15 12,200 12,200 12,200
Jun-16 11,700 11,700 11,700
Jun-17 11,000 11,000 11,000
Jun-18 10,500 10,500 10,500
Jun-19 10,100 10,100 10,100
Jun-20 9,600 9,600 9,600
Sentencing Scenarios
 
Table A6: Projected remand prison population (end of June figures) 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
Jun-15 12,900 12,300 11,700
Jun-16 13,000 12,300 11,600
Jun-17 12,900 12,300 11,600
Jun-18 13,000 12,300 11,600
Jun-19 13,000 12,300 11,700
Jun-20 13,000 12,300 11,700
Sentencing Scenarios
 
Table A7: Projected recall prison population (end of June figures) 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
Jun-15 5,400 5,700 6,300
Jun-16 5,700 6,100 6,700
Jun-17 5,800 6,100 6,800
Jun-18 5,800 6,100 6,800
Jun-19 5,800 6,100 6,800
Jun-20 5,800 6,100 6,800
Sentencing Scenarios
 
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