22rsta.royalsocietypublishing.orgP h i l .T r a n s .R .S o c .A376:20160452 ........................................................
0–0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6
vulnerability to food insecurity
0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4
Figure18. HungerandClimateVulnerabilityIndexat1.5 °Cglobalwarming(ensemblemean).
ACCESS1-0
–5.0 –0.4 –0.3 –0.2 –0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
IPSL-CM5A-LR
ensemble mean
change in vulnerability to food insecurity
IPSL-CM5A-MR MIROC-ESM-CHEM
GFDL-ESM2M
Figure19. DifferenceinHungerandClimateVulnerabilityIndexbetween2 °Cand1.5°Cglobalwarming,forindividualensemble
membersandensemblemean.
4. Discussion
In most cases, global mean changes at 2°C are larger than those at 1.5°C, not only for individual
members but also for the ensemble as a whole. All ensemble members show increases in TXx at
2°C which are larger than all changes at 1.5°C, and same true for most other variables.