Prison Population Projections 2014 – 2020 
Appendix A: Additional tables9 
Annual tables of overall projected prison population 
Table A1: Projected prison population (end of June figures) 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
Jun-15 87,100 87,700 88,900
Jun-16 86,800 89,100 92,000
Jun-17 85,200 89,300 93,600
Jun-18 83,900 89,700 95,800
Jun-19 82,600 90,100 97,600
Jun-20 81,400 90,200 98,900
Sentencing Scenarios
 
Table A2: Average projected prison population (financial year figures) 
 
Scenario 1 Central Scenario 2
2015/16 87,000 88,200 89,700
2016/17 86,200 89,100 92,400
2017/18 84,700 89,300 94,100
2018/19 83,400 89,800 96,300
2019/20 82,200 90,100 97,900
Sentencing Scenarios
 
Table A3: Comparison of 2013 based Scenario 2 and 2014 Central Scenario 
projections (end of June figures) 
2013 2014 Difference
Jun-14 83,400 -- --
Jun-15 82,100 87,700 6.8%
Jun-16 82,000 89,100 8.6%
Jun-17 81,600 89,300 9.4%
Jun-18 81,500 89,700 10.1%
Jun-19 81,800 90,100 10.2%
Jun-20 -- 90,200 --
Sentencing Scenarios
 
                                                 
9 All figures are rounded to the nearest hundred. Sub-populations may not sum to total 
populations due to rounding and due to overlaps in some sub-population categories. 
15