This is a great example of the polling shenanigans in play:

> Harris, though, surges to a strong 8-point lead among early voters nationwide, with 51 percent support to Trump’s 43 percent.

This is probably accurate.

> Trump’s “swing state strategy is paying off,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the poll. Among all voters in the key swing states, Trump was up 2 points, with 48 percent support to Harris’s 46 percent, the survey shows.

This part is fishy. Clicking on [Mark Penn’s The Hill profile](https://thehill.com/people/mark-penn/) should put your suspicion to rest. He’s a Democratic strategist and pollster!

Except that’s not true. The Hill fails to disclose that Mark Penn is a Democrat like Alan Dershowitz is a Democrat, which is to say he’s not. He’s a [hardcore MAGA operative](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Penn) using his past reputation to inject Trump-messaging in Democrat-discourse.