I believe the polls are using inaccurate models and methods, the media is both-sidesing to maintain a clickbait horse race, and the right wingers are running entirely bogus polls to support an "election fraud" sob story to attempt to steal the election.

In terms of grassroots support it's very clear that Harris has an advantage. She has substantive policy positions that people like and an actual personality and provides a reliable path for America's future. Trump's hateful extremism, dementia, and grifting is transparent to all but the most delusional cultists and his support is evaporating.

I believe Harris will win if people show up and vote, and I believe people will show up.