Three things I feel just can’t add up to a Trump victory. 

1) I get Jan 6 may not turn off a lot of Trump supporters, but how could it be a net positive gain? 

2) Abortion is clearly not benefiting the GOP and it looks like it’ll be an issue for a long time to come hopefully 

3) I don’t think we’ve fully seen the effects of COVID on the voting demographics yet. I suspect a lot of casualties were GOP voters who turned down the vax