For anyone who missed it, the TIPP poll yesterday overplayed its hand and revealed the game. In short, they got a Harris +4 poll in PA among registered voters. When they “adjusted” for “likely voters,” it became Trump +1.

That’s pretty normal though? Nope. They reduced the vote share from Philadelphia from 11% down to 1% to give Trump a fake lead despite over 70% of Philly respondents saying they are “definitely voting.”

📄Does this mean they’re all cooking the books? No… but there are something like 20+ right wing “pollsters” flooding the averages. This one got caught because they were dumb enough to remove almost every voter from one major city. Don’t think for a second others aren’t doing similar stuff, just less blatantly.

⭐️ But some of these pollsters are highly rated?! Yeah, because lots of them popped on the scene very recently in 2020 during covid, hyped up Trump’s numbers and got it right by a fluke. So they have decent ratings but barely any track record.

🧂 Does this mean no polls are trustworthy? No! But it does mean we should take them with a grain of salt.

🗳️ It’s October. Polls always artificially tighten. Don’t sweat it and get out the vote! 