Note that while turnout so far is higher in absolute numbers than in 2020, it appears to be slightly lower in proportion to the total number of registered voters in the state. That is to say, increases to the state's population over the last four years outpaced the increase in turnout. This suggests overall turnout may not necessarily be higher than in 2020.

Turnout so far is also much more even in terms of party affiliation than it was in 2020. This could suggest unexpectedly high Republican turnout or unexpectedly low Democratic turnout (both unlikely IMO), or it could suggest that turnout will be significantly lower than in 2020, but with more Republicans opting to vote early instead of on election day. Or high turnout with more Democrats opting to vote on election day. Or something else entirely. Who knows.