Back in 2016, I was an avid watcher of 538. This year, watching it pre/post debate there's basically 0 difference despite the polls being used in the analysis continuously trending up for Harris. I'm a data person, so I'd like to believe the data but it doesn't \*feel\* correct. My gut is that GenX whom is the hardest to reach for polls is much less represented than older generations. We haven't seen the polls be very accurate since DJT took office in 2016 with the trend being a significant advantage to democrats. I'm cautiously optimistic that we'll see an actual +6 to +8 for democrats and a pretty large rebuttal against the Rs. That being said, vote! I'd consider myself center-left in absolute terms, but that would make me hard left in 2024 terms and my independent vote will be 100% against the Rs unless they reform the party. I should get my mail-in ballot today and it'll be in the voter box this evening.