What the polls say and what I’ve seen paint different pictures. Many have noticed the drop in Trump signs compared to the past two elections. There is also the drop in rally numbers and enthusiasm from those attending.

I also see how Harris packed 38,000 into two arenas during the DNC and her rallies since then being so large and enthusiastic that Trump claimed the photos of those events were AI generated. 

I also phone bank and have seen an energy from Harris’ supporters to be off the chats. I spoke with someone who has phone banked for decades and she didn’t even see this sort of energy before, including 2008.

Then there is the early voting numbers, which are just coming in, but look good for Harris.

Also elections from 2022 on have seemed to favor democrats. And the down-ballot candidates in Arizona and NC aren’t doing Trump any favors.

All this is just my own non-scientific observations, but what I’m seeing points to Harris winning. Sure, there are still plenty of Trump voters out there, but not like what I’ve seen before. 

If Harris supporters continue to show up, she will win the EC.  That’s my take, anyway.

Edit to add the massive amount of small dollar contributions compared to Trump and the billion dollars she’s raised.