[Eleni Giokos:] It's not been a Super Tuesday for the stock markets, the Dow closed just a few points higher about an hour ago on Wall Street. It's Tuesday the 15th of March.
[Giokos:] Tonight, decision day for the Republican Party. The first exit polls from the Presidential primaries are due out any moment. Housing the cost of a catastrophic conflict, Syria marks five years of bloodshed. And a lesson Valeant effort shares in the drug maker plunge 50%. I'm Eleni Giokos and this is "Quest Means Business." A very good evening to you. Tonight it's the Republicans day of reckoning. Marco Rubio and John Kasich are making their last stands in their home states of Florida and Ohio. Now if Trump wins there it would drastically raise the chances of a contested convention. Marco Rubio has long pinned his hopes on winning in the sunshine state. But polls show Donald Trump holds a commanding lead there. The race in Ohio is much tighter. Governor John Kasich, leads the polls by just a few points. And on the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders is looking to build on last week's surprise win in Michigan. He's hoping his record on trade will help him in the manufacturing heavy states of Ohio, Illinois, as well as Missouri. Timothy Naftali is a Presidential historian and author, he served as director of the Nixon Presidential Library. He's now the Director of New York's University Tamiment Library, and he joins me now in studio. Sir, thank you very much for your time.
[Timothy Naftali, Director, Tamiment Library, New York University:] My pleasure.
[Giokos:] We are seeing so many dynamics playing out on this Super Tuesday but what's interesting to note is the stance on trade. It's the stance on protectionist policies. Have you seen this before?
[Naftali:] No, in fact what you're seeing now is a challenge to a 30 year orthodoxy about free trade among the leading candidates in both political parties. Hillary Clinton Hillary Rhoda Clinton does support free trade but she's on the defensive because Bernie Sanders has made real inroads by attacking her on free trade. On the Republican side, the leading candidate, if you look at what he's promising to do in foreign economic policy, he's going to start trade wars with China and Mexico, at least his rhetoric suggests that he would. So what we have for the first time is a very, very strong protectionist streak in the American political dialogue.
[Giokos:] Of course the likes of Bernie Sanders of course speaking to the Blue Collar workers. The issues in the manufacturing sector are very real.
[Naftali:] Very of course they're very real because when you have globalization it affects some parts of the country differently from others. But here's the key for a lot of folks watching this. This is a rust belt. The campaign right now is in Ohio, it's in Illinois, parts of Missouri. This part of the country is not necessarily pro-free trade anyway. Will this rhetoric continue after Super Tuesday number three and that's what we're looking to see. The other thing that's really important I believe is the extent to which whatever happens tonight Trump will win more delegates. The question is will other people drop out. If Rubio loses in Florida he's already indicated he might not drop out but his chances decline drastically.
[Giokos:] And this is home state essentially.
[Naftali:] Well if he can't be a favorite son in his home state it's hard to argue that he should even be a vice-presidential candidate. The case for Kasich gets better this day if he wins Ohio and he might. So Trump will emerge with more delegates but not necessarily the triumph he will not necessarily triumph today. The question is to what extent will the anti-Trump movement continue. And that anti-Trump movement is not protectionist.
[Giokos:] Well Tim, you know I mean the world is watching us. And this is what we heard from President Barack Obama a little earlier, and he was saying that what are we portraying to the rest of the world. We actually have one of those clips, let's take a listen.
[Barack Obama, President Of The United States:] This is also about the American brand. Who are we? How are we perceived around the world? There's a reason that America has always attracted the greatest talent from every corner of the globe. There's a reason that "Made in America" means something. It's because we're dynamic and diverse and inclusive and open. Why would we want to see that brand tarnished?
[Giokos:] But it's happening. And this is the thing. What message is the U.S. sending to the rest of the world, to the investor community?
[Naftali:] Well, it's reminder that democracy is messy. But last weekend, the Trump rallies crossed an important threshold. It was the most dangerous moment in American political history since 1968. And fortunately, some of the candidates called him on it. Some of them talked about the importance of using first amendment rights peacefully. But not enough people have stood up and said violence has no place in the American political arena.
[Giokos:] Tim, we're running out of time, very quickly what are your expectations, what do you think we're going to see later on today?
[Naftali:] So I'm a historian by training, so I'm careful. But let me put it this way. I believe that the polling on the Sanders side may have underestimated his support, he may actually surprise people in Ohio and Illinois. On the Republican side, it looks like Kasich will win. In which case Trump has a hard time getting a majority of delegates before Cleveland.
[Giokos:] Timothy, thank you very much for your time, much appreciated. Timothy Naftali. All right, so economy is the top issue for voters across the country. And trade is particularly crucial in many of the states voting today. Donald Trump is hoping to capitalize on that. In an opinion piece he wrote, "American's politicians have enabled jobs theft in every imaginable way. They have tolerated foreign trade cheating, while enacting trade deals that encourage companies to shift production overseas." Now Donald Trump has repeatedly said the U.S. is losing manufacturing jobs to Mexico and of course the republican frontrunner kicked off his campaign referring to some Mexican immigrants as rapists. Now, that prompted Mexico's richest man, Carlos Slim, to drop a planned T.V. project with Trump. Slim's right-hand man warns if Trump reaches the White House, there could be a storm on the global stock market. Arturo Elias Ayub is CEO of Strategic Alliances for America Mobile, Samuel Burke asked him how it felt as a Mexican businessman to hear a Presidential candidate call his countrymen rapists.
[Arturo Elias Ayub, Ceo Strategic Alliances America Mobile:] Obviously we feel hurt.
[Samuel Burke, Cnn Money Correspondent:] Hurt?
[Ayub:] And obviously we don't like the leader of the free world talking like that about Mexico or about anyone else.
[Burke:] You see how well Donald Trump is doing in the primaries in the United States. And as a Mexican, specifically a Mexican businessman, what do you feel?
[Ayub:] Honestly, I think not only as a Mexican but as a citizen of this world, that the U.S. is the strongest country in the world. That you guys have a very strong leadership. I will say stronger now with President Obama. And i think the U.S. needs a very professional, a very smart, responsible leader. And I don't think Mr. Trump has any of those.
[Burke:] Do you think that a President Donald Trump might have a negative effect on your business?
[Ayub:] I think it will have a very negative effect on business all over the world, including the U.S. I think if he wins the presidency, he will we will see a storm on the markets everywhere. As a citizen of the world, I will be very concerned if America doesn't have a very responsible leader.
[Giokos:] As Syria marks five years of civil war -David Miliband says Europe's leaders have an opportunity to act and show that globalization has a conscience when it comes to refugees. Mr. Miliband will join us next. Stay with us. The United Nations called Syria the biggest humanitarian and refugee crisis of our time. The brutal conflict has now raged on for five years and the grim milestone comes as Russian forces begin their withdrawal. Still, even with Russia out and talks under way in Geneva, a path to peace is by no means clear. A half a decade of war has so far claimed 270,000 lives and left more than a million wounded. Around 11 million people have been displaced and that's around half of Syria's pre-war population. According to an estimate by the group Frontier Economics, Syria has lost out on $275 billion worth of growth. Should the war carry on into the next decade, that figure will balloon into the trillions. Now joining me in the "C" Suite is David Miliband, he's President and CEO of the International Rescue Committee. David, thank you very much for joining us.
[David Miliband, President And Ceo International Rescue Committee:] Thank you, good to be with you.
[Giokos:] We're looking at staggering economic numbers, we're looking at massive refugee figures as well on the doorstep of Europe. What do you think needs to be done going forward? Because we're dealing with a symptom of war, essentially.
[Miliband:] I think the problem has to be tackled at source as well as at symptom. So the source is that countries in the region, notably Jordan, and Lebanon, but also Turkey, aren't able to cope with the flow of 4 or 5 million refugees that they've got. And Europe needs to be a far better job first of all registering and welcoming the refugees, secondly checking whether they are in fact refugees because only those who qualify should be allowed to stay. And thirdly sharing out the refugees around Europe. Because Germany and Sweden can't be expected to deal with that alone.
[Giokos:] And you know refugees stuck at the border of Greece and Macedonia.
[Miliband:] Well unilateral measures by different European countries or candidate members for the European Union in the case of Macedonia are never going to address the roots of a problem that requires a concerted European response. And the figures you gave show that Syria was a middle class country. $275 billion worth of growth, they had to have some wealth to start with. And we are finding, we're a humanitarian charity, we run operations inside Syria, in the neighborhoods states, in Europe. The refugees have run out of money. After five years of war, those who came have run out of the money that they had. Those who are coming now have run out of their savings inside Syria.
[Giokos:] So the E.U. Commissioner of Migration is talking about getting 6,000 people to be assimilated within Europe every single week. Is that doable? Because we haven't actually seen these kind of figures coming through.
[Miliband:] It's certainly practical. I mean if you think about the U.S. as an example, that was the U.S. was accepting about 160,000 Vietnamese every year in the early 1980s. The E.U. is now a continent of 500 million people, it's a practical scheme as long as you're willing to first of all put the resources into quick screening so you get the right people. And secondly that you do the basics of refugee integration right, which means teaching people English, getting them into work, getting them on the path to citizenship.
[Giokos:] We're in the middle of Super Tuesday, right. We know what the
[Miliband:] You noticed, even on this program you noticed.
[Giokos:] Even on this program. It's important because some of the rhetoric coming through from the candidates are very much against immigration, against assimilating the likes of refugees. And in fact we've seen very low numbers being pushed into the U.S. What should the U.S. be doing right now?
[Miliband:] I think the U.S. has had its leadership role supplanted frankly as a as a home for refugees. Just a few miles down the water from here, the Statue of Liberty says bring me your poor and huddled masses. And the U.S. has taken 2,500 refugees from Syria since the war began. So the U.S. is blessed by its geography and is able, frankly, to choose the refugees it has. The security fears are addressed by an 18 to 24-month vetting process of all agencies of U.S. government. And really the U.S. needs to step up in the way that Canada has, frankly. The new Canadian government, 25,000 refugees. It puts into the shade the kind of effort that the U.S. is making. And this is a country that's shown how to make refugee resettlement work. Albert Einstein founded the International Rescue Committee 80 years ago, he's a refugee, Madeleine Albright, a refugee. We all know the story now that Steve Job's biological father a Syrian refugee. This is a country that's made refugee resettlement work and it really needs to show how it can continue to do so in the future.
[Giokos:] Peace talks current underway in Geneva. Russia pulling out. What is your prognosis going forward because if you look at the economic impact, even if we are able to find a conclusion on the peace talks, you're talking about a country that economically has been destroyed. It's not as if you can say, well refugees go back home.
[Miliband:] No, the phrase "ravaged by war" applies in spades in Syria. 85% of the lights are out on the satellite footage across Syria. Anyone who's seen the situation there can't afford to come here and say complacently, yes, I'm optimistic. But there's been a pause in the fighting. And the Russian withdrawal is a reminder that they had a marriage of convenience with Assad. Their concern is the stability of the state. And it seems to me essential that the opportunity that's being created is somehow consolidated. And that's going to take some real leadership, not just globally but also in the region from countries like Saudi Arabia and Iran as well.
[Giokos:] David, thank you for your time. Sir, much appreciated.
[Miliband:] Thank you.
[Giokos:] All right, so now this week on CNN we are investigating the human rights abuses that permeate one of the world's biggest industries: tea. It's part of our Freedom Project, shining a light on modern day slavery. In the second part of the series, Muhammad Lila has been embedded with police in New Delhi on a mission to rescue a 14-year-old girl being held for more than a year by an alleged trafficker.
[Muhammad Lila, Cnn Correspondent:] [Manju Gore] lives on a tea plantation, in a life of poverty. A few years ago she was tricked by a human trafficker with promises of more money and a better life in the city. She managed to escape. But she tells us her sister is still in the hands of a trafficker. For help she's come here, the headquarters of a Save the Childhood Movement. A charity that rescues children from captivity. As they plan the raid, time is critical. They have to move fast, making call after call. Desperately trying to find out where the trafficker is hiding. But every call, every desperate tap on the phone, everything leads to a dead end. So there's a problem right now. We thought we knew where the traffickers were keeping [Manju's] sister. But it looks like right now we don't. As the minutes turn into hours and all hope looks lost
[Lila:] Suddenly, out of the blue, a big break. [speaking foreign language] A lucky phone call leads to the trafficker's address. So we just got confirmation of where the trafficker is right now and we're going to go and see him. Nobody what's going to happen is we climb the narrow staircase in this decrepit apartment building. Police are hoping to make an arrest and [Manju] moves quickly room to room, desperate to find her sister. As police move to the rooftop downstairs, we turn a corner and find this. It looks like we've found a couple of other girls that are also victims of trafficking. And there's somebody hiding in the room right here. Huddled against the wall, three young girls, terrified, all from villages in a state of Assam. This is the man police trot out for the cameras, accusing him of trafficking girls from tea plantations, promising them a better life, but then abusing them and selling them off as domestic labor. For [Manju,] this rescue is bittersweet. Hoping to find her sister, but finding other girls instead. [Dolly Joshi] has rescued hundreds of girls from modern day slavery. As police take the suspect, she drives with us to the police station. What was your reaction when you saw these girls? How did you feel? Sir, Sir, we're with CNN, can we ask you a question? This is what happens when we confront the man they accuse. Answer my question, Sir. Were you taking advantage of them? [speaking foreign language] Police take him inside for questioning and charge him with bonded labor and cruelty to a child. As the sun sets, the suspect agrees to tell them where [Manju's] sister has been working. Two long hours later, [Manju's] sister [Arki] emerges, met with a smile and a hug that means the world. [speaking foreign language] And just like that, with police by their side, the two sisters are together again, walking arm in arm, taking their steps together in freedom. For the CNN Freedom Project Muhammad Lila, in Delhi.
[Giokos:] Incredible story there. And coming up, Valeant Pharmaceuticals are not operating on all cylinders, and that's according to the company's CEO, as it suffers a dramatic day in the markets. That coming up next. Stay with us.