[Stevens:] Welcome back. Now we're about an hour or so away from an election result that could signal a possible lurch to the left in British politics. After a humiliating defeat in the general election in the United Kingdom last May, the opposition Labour Party is set to announce its new leader and a surprise candidate has appeared as the favorite. Jeremy Corbyn is a 66-year-old veteran socialist who has been a member of parliament for more than three decades. Well, for the latest, let's go to our London correspondent, Max Foster. Max, how likely is it that Jeremy Corbyn is going to be the new Labour leader.
[Max Foster, Cnn International Correspondent:] Looking at all the polls, it's very likely, indeed. Obviously, we have to wait until the moment, and that's about an hour away, as you were saying. But he's just arrived and it felt like a rock star welcome. He was surrounded by supporters, certainly surrounded by the media because this was the guy who was the outsider going into this leadership contest and is now the frontrunner. He's firmly from the left and there's been a huge number of new supporters to the Labour Party since he's been leading in the campaign. Hundreds of thousands of people have signed up to join the Labour Party. So he's certainly reinvigorated the Labour Party, also a very divisive figure within the Labour Party. But he's redefining really what the Labour Party is about, what the opposition is about here in the UK and that's become a political debate generally here in West Minster where I am right now. So the announcement will be made in the hall behind me in just over an hour. But there's a comparison being made here and it's around what's going on in U.S. politics, as well. So Donald Trump, the other end of the political spectrum, but also selling himself to the non- establishment political voter. So here is a comparison of the two.
[Stevens:] OK, Max, I think we're going to get to that story just before we get to that, Jeremy is a socialist
[Foster:] Yes we seem to have
[Stevens:] Max?
[Foster:] I'm not able to hear you properly there, Andrew, but effectively what's happened here is there was an outsider from the left and all the other candidates are really from the center of the party or slightly to the left, they're establishment figures, former ministers, current shadow ministers. And Jeremy Corbyn came in, really, and pushed forward by some people is just, you know, the outsider. But he's tapped into something, which is, I think, conviction politics, answering questions. He's also tapped into a disillusionment perhaps in establishment politics and also into the youth vote where lots of the young people have felt disenfranchised in politics altogether. And what he's doing is just come out from nowhere, selling himself as an individual who believes in his policy and young people have signed up to Labour as a result of that. But a similar thing is happening in America and from a very different political figure who is, of course, Donald Trump. Two countries, two contests, two very different candidates. The man on the left, Jeremy Corbyn, is an idealist, socialist, strict vegetarian, and he wants to become the leader of the U.K.'s Labour Party. The man on the right, Donald Trump, pragmatist, billionaire, TV personality. He wants to win the Republican nomination for president. Whilst the might seem miles apart in political terms, they're both maverick, anti-establishment figures. And if you believe the polls, they're both in the lead.
[Jeremy Corbyn, Candidate For Labour Party Leader:] First of all, apologies that not everyone can get in the town hall tonight.
[Foster:] And if you haven't heard of Jeremy Corbyn before, well, neither had many people in Britain before this summer. Now this bearded 66-year-old packs out every venue he speaks out.
[Corbyn:] People have had enough of the politics of abuse and the politics of control. This is about the politics of democracy.
[Foster:] And he seems to have gained a big following amongst millennials.
[Unidentified Male:] A lot of young people have become disengaged with politics and I think he's someone that young people can relate to. It's not the politics of envy, it's not the politics of fear, it's the politics of hope.
[Foster:] In the U.S., Donald Trump's plain-speaking style also has popular appeal.
[Unidentified Male:] The main reason why I support Trump is because he is not politically correct I'd say. He's loud, he's boisterous and I want hear somebody with a little depth to say yes.
[Foster:] Observers say both Trump and Corbyn are tapping into the same emotions.
[Philip Stephens, Chief Political Commentator, "financial Times":] I think what's given these parties and these individuals momentum is the austerity that followed the 2007-2008 financial crash. And the belief that's flowed from that that globalization, international capitalism, is basically there for the rich, for the 1 percent.
[Janet Daley, Columnist, "sunday Telegraph":] The governing class has become a professional club and there is a tendency to think maybe this is some sort of conspiracy against the people.
[Corbyn:] For this process of austerity is enriching the richest.
[Foster:] So could these two outsiders go all the way? Will we ever see President Trump welcoming Prime Minister Corbyn to the White House?
[Stephens:] I think the idea of Corbyn as prime minister in Britain is preposterous. I also think perhaps I'll be proved wrong, the idea of Donald Trump as president of the United States is preposterous. But they can damage, deeply damage the existing establishment parties.
[Foster:] How ever far they get in their campaigns, Donald Trump, Jeremy Corbyn, and others like them are putting a passion and a polarization back into politics. Corbin is offering a new type of politics. Donald Trump is sort of doing the same thing as well. They are at completely opposite end to the political spectrum, Andrew, but they do seem to be tapping into a similar thing, which is energizing both their campaigns.
[Stevens:] Absolutely. That dissatisfaction, disaffection with the mainstream political class. Max, thanks so much for that. Max will be joining us again in just over an hour from now. We will have an announcement, we hope, of the leadership of the Labour Party. Interesting times on the UK political scene. Stay with us for that. Let's turn now to the turmoil in Northern Ireland where the Good Friday Agreement, which was signed in 1998, a signature example of conflict resolution, but 17 years later, the power sharing agreement is teetering on the brink. Allegations that the provisional IRA was involved in a murder this month has caused politicians to resign their posts. Both British and Irish prime ministers are urging calm. Phil Black has more.
[Phil Black, Cnn International Correspondent:] The name for this violent period always sounds like a bitter understatement. The troubles. Decades of brutality, more than 3,000 people killed. This was one of its darkest days, Bloody Sunday, January 1972. British soldiers fired on a crowd in Derry killing 13 people. The troubles were really a long war fought over identity and over territory. On one side, the Republicans, overwhelmingly Catholic, who wanted Northern Ireland to join the Republic of Ireland. Their enemies, the loyalists. Mostly protestant who believed Northern Ireland should remain part of the United Kingdom. Paramilitary groups on both sides pursued their goals with violence and intimidation. But the Irish Republican Army, the IRA, stood out for its bombing campaign, targeting civilians and the British government. They tried to get then Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher bombing a Brighton Hotel in 1984. They also missed her successor John Major after firing mortar round at Downing Street in 1991. [On Camera] Throughout all this, there were attempts by some British and Irish governments to find a solution, but they went nowhere. Until the mid '90s when both sides began to take the view that military victory was impossible. [Voice-over] U.S. President Bill Clinton's personal involvement gave momentum to difficult talks that ended in 1998 with that historic Good Friday Agreement. This deal would see Republicans and loyalists renounce violence and govern together.
[Tony Blair, Former British Prime Minister:] This may be the day when, finally, after all the false dawns and dashed hopes, peace replaced war.
[Black:] In the year since, Northern Ireland has seen reasons for optimism. Much reduced violence. Former enemies governing and laughing together. Republicans and royalty extending hands. But decades of distrust haven't been wiped away altogether. The power sharing arrangement has frequently lurched in the crisis. The IRA's reluctance to give up its weapons caused the suspension of self- governments for several years. Now it is allegations the IRA still exists, which could bring it all down once more. Northern Ireland police have suggested members of the IRA might have been involved in a murder last month. The police haven't provided any evidence. And Republicans long considered the IRA's political allies, say it isn't true, that unionist politicians insist it is now impossible for both sides to govern together.
[Unidentified Male:] The continued existence on the IRA structures, on the arrest that followed has pushed the evolution to the brink.
[Black:] This could prove to be Northern Ireland's most serious political crisis since the peace deal. But it's also being reined in by one powerful factor. Few people want things to go back to the way they were. Phil Black, CNN, London.
[Stevens:] Now that the Iran nuclear deal appears to be reality, Iranians are daring to be optimistic. When we come back, we'll take a look at the mood among Iran's people as well as its leadership. Stay with us. And coming up a little later, it reads like an "X Files" version of David and Goliath, but there's nothing mythical or fictional about one family's fight with the U.S. military over Area 51.