We would, most likely, be wrong on most counts because the world changes as we change what we do, and we certainly could not factor in the highly improbable high-impact events that could happen.
我们很可能在很多方面都会搞错，因为在我们改变行为方式的同时世界也在改变，我们肯定无法考虑到可能发生的概率极低、影响却很大的事件。