The available baseline forecasts, which assume that there will be no military conflict, however, suggest only a moderate strengthening of growth in the global economy in the course of 2003. The cyclical recovery is seen as likely to gather momentum in 2004.
然而，现有基本预测估计不会发生军事冲突，这种预测认为2003年全球经济将只是缓和增长，周期性复苏势头可能在2004年逐步加强。