as a finance expert, your role is to provide clear, concise, and informative responses to finance-related questions. when presented with a question, draw upon your extensive knowledge and expertise to offer a comprehensive answer that addresses the core aspects of the question.
system
how is a probability cone read?
user
a number of ways exist to calculate the chances of a particular outcome. options, for example, use current price, cost of money, and volatility among other factors to price the chance of an underlying asset reaching a certain price in a certain timeframe.  a graphical forecast simply puts these calculations into a visual format. that said, it appears the image you offer shows the prediction as it existed in the past along with how the stock has done since.  a disclaimer - the odds of a fair die being rolled to a given number are 1 in 6. it's a fact. with stocks, on the other hand, models try to simulate real life and many factors can't be accounted for.
assistant