$BTC thoughts

Been looking quite dodgy for a while anyway. Lots of wicks into 105k, every close above was smacked down next day.

Stockpile news got snorted. Saylor buying the top to no avail. Bearish div on the weekly.

Bearish catalysts: Trump tariffs shaking markets, still not priced in at all.

Bullish catalysts: ...? Saw something about US bank reserves dwindling and calls for more liquidity. Have to research it. But I don't see immediate sector-specific bullish catalysts.

Best case scenario: we continue to range and stay above 90k when shtf. Stick it out till liquidity eases or some other catalyst for higher comes up.

Medium case: we nuke into 80s for a proper HL on the weekly. Then new range there?

Worst case: we nuke to hades May 2021 style.

Would say 35-45-20 chance. Altcoins get pillaged either way. There's only 3-5 decent ones right now, rest is radioactive and shouldn't be held longer than 72h.
#BTC