About #Trump's #Nuclear Weapons Proposal

Does Trump want to hold talks with #Russia and #China to reduce nuclear weapons?

In the past, this was tried; a nuclear arms reduction agreement was made between the U.S. and Russia. Currently, these agreements are broken. Today, technically, Russia could restart such negotiations. However, China would not want this. China aims to increase its nuclear weapons capacity step by step, setting targets for 2027 and 2035. While both the U.S. and Russia each have about 6,000 nuclear weapons, China currently has around 500, with a goal to increase this to at least 1,500. This is because they see it as necessary for deterrence. In this scenario, China would be creating the asymmetry. Before coming to the negotiation table, China could argue, why should China be forced into this when countries like the UK and France are already threats? This would bring back the issue of the total capacities of the Eastern (Russia and China) and Western (#NATO) blocs. Thus, the situation involves some complications.

Instead, rather than directly addressing China on this issue, the U.S. might try to foster a general atmosphere of peace with Russia. However, the conditions for this have not yet been met; the U.S. continues to closely monitor Russia, now adding the lowering of oil prices to the #Ukraine issue. This is why the topic I previously wrote about as "Yalta2" is on hold. If #Putin and #Biden had reached an agreement in Geneva before the war in Ukraine started (these are matters encompassing global security issues), we might see this today as not being a problem.

Now, the U.S. is in the phase of dictating its proposals to Russia again on this matter. There's no table yet, but Trump has started to create the coercive conditions, after which nuclear issues might be discussable. Because looking at his speech at the #WEF, Trump's desire to reduce nuclear weapons seems likely genuine, but currently, the conditions are not suitable for implementation; they will need time. This time includes arming and indicates a period where tensions could rise due to proxy wars. In this case, we will continue to hear Trump speak in a language that offers peaceful and conciliatory proposals, but on the other hand, we will see the U.S. maintaining pressure based on the application of smart power in its interest.
#Trump #Nuclear #Russia #China