Here's a short story:

CHAPTER V 

THE BATTLE ON THE SEA 

On the morrow Thorvald, my father, sent messengers to the head men of Agger, telling them of all that he and his House had suffered at the hands of Steinar, whereof those of their folk who had been present at the feast could bear witness. He added that if they stood by Steinar in his wickedness and treachery, thenceforward he and the men of the North would be their foes and work them mischief by land and sea. 

In due course these messengers returned with the tale that the head men of Agger had met together and deposed Steinar from his lordship over them, electing another man, a nephew of Steinar's father. Also they sent a present of gold rings in atonement for the wrong which had been done to the house of Thorvald by one of their blood, and prayed that Thorvald and the northern men would bear them no ill will for that in which they were blameless. 

Cheered by this answer, which halved the number of their foes, my father, Thorvald of Aar, and those Over-men of whom he was the High-lord, began to make their preparations to attack Athalbrand on his Island of Lesso. Of all these things Athalbrand learned by his spies, and later, when the warships were being prepared and manned, two messengers came from him, old men of repute, and demanded to see my father. This was the substance of his message, which was delivered in my hearing.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was the father?
Guess: Thorvald of Aar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had made them suffer?
Guess: Steinar,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he send word with?
Guess: messengers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To whom?
Guess: head men of Agger
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the men he sent with word return?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What had Agger men done with Steinar?
Guess: deposed Steinar from his lordship
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did someone take his place?

yes