Here's a short story:

One day my dad was walking home and he had a big ice-cream cone. He had chocolate and vanilla and strawberry ice-cream on top of each other. He was moving his head back and forward to some music that he was playing when a spider dropped on his ice-cream for a little bite. My dad saw right away that a spider was on it and he brushed the spider off. After the spider was put on the floor, a fly flew into his ice-cream, right where the spider had been! Oh how terrible! My dad made the spider leave and right after that he saw an alligator come running up to him wanting a bite of his ice-cream too! My dad dropped his cone, ran away, and bought a yoghurt instead. He thought about buying a dingdong, but since dinner time was so close and he had such a big lunch, he thought a yoghurt would be better. It's a much safer and better dessert. 

165 words. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was his dad doing one day?
Guess: walking home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: with what?
Guess: an  ice-cream cone.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it big?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind?
Guess: chocolate and vanilla and strawberry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to it?
Guess: a spider dropped on it
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: a little bite
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do?
Guess: e brushed the spider off
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it go?
Guess: the floor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: a fly flew into his ice-cream
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: right where the spider had been
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Then what?
Guess: He saw an alligator
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Doing what?
Guess: running up to him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: wanting a bite of his ice-cream
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do?
Guess: dropped his cone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And?
Guess: ran away
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else?
Guess: he bought a yoghurt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he think of buying?
Guess: a dingdong
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was close?

dinner