Here's a short story:

It was in 1865 that two Frenchmen were looking into the future. Edouard de Laboulaye, who studied history, admired the United States greatly. Frederic Auguste Bartholdi was a famous artist. De Laboulaye was thinking about 1876, when the country he respected so much would celebrate its 100th birthday. What gift would be good enough for the people of France to give? Right away, Bartholdi thought of a giant statue. 

Bartholdi kept thinking about a statue for several years. Then, in 1871, he visited the United States and saw the perfect place for a huge statue. It was Bedloe's Island in New York. 

The project -- the Statue of Liberty -- got started almost immediately, and Bartholdi went home to France to begin work. However, the statue was not finished in time for the 100th birthday. The United States Congress approved the use of Bedloe's Island on February 22, 1877. During the 100th celebration in 1876, the arm of the statue that would hold the torch was shown in Philadelphia. In 1879 the huge head was put on display in France. For the face of the statue, Bartholdi used his mother as a model. 

The statue was finally completed in 1884. The work had been difficult enough, but then some really hard work began. The statue had to be taken apart and packed into boxes. It was not until May 1885 that the statue -- in pieces -- left France for its new home. 

The statue arrived in June. However, the Americans fell behind on their part of the project. They hadn't raised enough money for building the base of the statue. People wondered if the country really needed or wanted such a gift. Finally, though, the money was raised and the base was completed. The last piece of the statue was put in place on October 28, 1886. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When was the statue finally completed?
Guess: 1884
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What country was it built in?
Guess: France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it leave for the Americas?
Guess: 1885
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it arrive?
Guess: June
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it finally settled into place?
Guess: 1886
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What important task had the Americans failed to do?
Guess: They hadn't raised enough money for building the base of the statue.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was put on display in 1879?
Guess: The head.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the likeness of the statue?
Guess: Bartholdi's mother.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What island was the intended home for the statue?
Guess: Bedloe's Island
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what state?
Guess: New York.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did Bartholdi visit and decide on this location?
Guess: 1871
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What governing body approved the Island location?
Guess: The United States Congress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: On what date?
Guess: February 22
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of what year?
Guess: 1877
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the statue completed for the 100th celebration?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was displayed instead?

The arm of the statue