Here's a short story:

The Sun had the largest circulation of any daily newspaper in the United Kingdom, but in late 2013 slipped to second largest Saturday newspaper behind the Daily Mail. It had an average daily circulation of 2.2 million copies in March 2014. Between July and December 2013 the paper had an average daily readership of approximately 5.5 million, with approximately 31% of those falling into the ABC1 demographic and 68% in the C2DE demographic. Approximately 41% of readers are women. The Sun has been involved in many controversies in its history, including its coverage of the 1989 Hillsborough football stadium disaster. Regional editions of the newspaper for Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are published in Glasgow (The Scottish Sun), Belfast (The Sun) and Dublin (The Irish Sun) respectively. 

On 26 February 2012, The Sun on Sunday was launched to replace the closed News of the World, employing some of its former journalists. In late 2013, it was given a new look, with a new typeface. The average circulation for The Sun on Sunday in March 2014 was 1,686,840; but in May 2015 The Mail on Sunday sold more copies for the first time, an average of 28,650 over those of its rival: 1,497,855 to 1,469,195. Roy Greenslade issued some caveats over the May 2015 figures, but believes the weekday Daily Mail will overtake The Sun in circulation during 2016. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Does it look like the Sun will continue to out circulate the Daily Mail in 2016?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who believes that this will be true?
Guess: Roy Greenslade
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is the paper usually distributed?
Guess: United Kingdom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a new version started around 2012?
Guess: The Sun on Sunday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was it launched?
Guess: replace the closed News of the World,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it do anything else to involving that paper?
Guess: employing some of its former journalists
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the largest demographic that bought the Sun around 2013?
Guess: 1,686,840
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a scandal free paper?
Guess: No, The Sun has been involved in many controversies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is an example of one?
Guess: overage of the 1989 Hillsborough football stadium disaster.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was the appearance ever changed?

Yes, it was given a new look, with a new typeface.