Here's a short story:

Public policy and political leadership helps to "level the playing field" and drive the wider acceptance of renewable energy technologies. Countries such as Germany, Denmark, and Spain have led the way in implementing innovative policies which has driven most of the growth over the past decade. As of 2014, Germany has a commitment to the "Energiewende" transition to a sustainable energy economy, and Denmark has a commitment to 100% renewable energy by 2050. There are now 144 countries with renewable energy policy targets. 

Total investment in renewable energy (including small hydro-electric projects) was $244 billion in 2012, down 12% from 2011 mainly due to dramatically lower solar prices and weakened US and EU markets. As a share of total investment in power plants, wind and solar PV grew from 14% in 2000 to over 60% in 2012. The top countries for investment in recent years were China, Germany, Spain, the United States, Italy, and Brazil. Renewable energy companies include BrightSource Energy, First Solar, Gamesa, GE Energy, Goldwind, Sinovel, Trina Solar, Vestas and Yingli. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What levels the playing field?
Guess: Public policy and political leadership
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else do they do?
Guess: drive the wider acceptance of renewable energy technologies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who leads the way in this?
Guess: Germany, Denmark, and Spain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Germany comitted to?
Guess: Energiewende
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: As of when?
Guess: 2014
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about Denmark?
Guess: a commitment to 100%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what?
Guess: renewable energy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by when?
Guess: 2050
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many countries have these policy targets?
Guess: 144
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the total investment in renewable energy?

244 billion