Here's a short story:

The day was sunny and warm. The birds were chirping and dancing around happily. Ashley, the daughter of the dressmaker in town, was walking and whistling and enjoying the day, carrying her fishing pole. She was on her way to the creek to meet her friend Ethan to go fishing. She was so excited; she loved to fish! As she was walking she took a time out to smell the flowers. She chose to pick some for her mother. "Mom may be so happy." she said out loud. 

"Pleased with what?" she heard behind her. 

Ashley jumped, dropping the flowers. "Oh Ethan! Why did you do that?" she asked. 

"I'm sorry, I scared you" Ethan stated. "I didn't mean to, I was curious that's all." 

Ashley turned to Ethan "That's alright, I was picking flowers for my mom, let's go fishing before it's too late". 

Ashley and Ethan skipped off to the creek and had a wonderful time fishing. Even if they didn't catch anything. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What kind of day was it?
Guess: sunny and warm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were the birds doing?

chirping and dancing around happily