Here's a short story:

Apollo (Attic, Ionic, and Homeric Greek: Ἀπόλλων, Apollōn (GEN Ἀπόλλωνος); Doric: Ἀπέλλων, Apellōn; Arcadocypriot: Ἀπείλων, Apeilōn; Aeolic: Ἄπλουν, Aploun; Latin: Apollō) is one of the most important and complex of the Olympian deities in classical Greek and Roman religion and Greek and Roman mythology. The ideal of the kouros (a beardless, athletic youth), Apollo has been variously recognized as a god of music, truth and prophecy, healing, the sun and light, plague, poetry, and more. Apollo is the son of Zeus and Leto, and has a twin sister, the chaste huntress Artemis. Apollo is known in Greek-influenced Etruscan mythology as Apulu. 

As the patron of Delphi (Pythian Apollo), Apollo was an oracular god—the prophetic deity of the Delphic Oracle. Medicine and healing are associated with Apollo, whether through the god himself or mediated through his son Asclepius, yet Apollo was also seen as a god who could bring ill-health and deadly plague. Amongst the god's custodial charges, Apollo became associated with dominion over colonists, and as the patron defender of herds and flocks. As the leader of the Muses (Apollon Musegetes) and director of their choir, Apollo functioned as the patron god of music and poetry. Hermes created the lyre for him, and the instrument became a common attribute of Apollo. Hymns sung to Apollo were called paeans. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is one of the most important deities?
Guess: Apollo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what religion?
Guess: Greek and Roman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is a kouros?
Guess: a beardless, athletic youth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is his parents?
Guess: Zeus and Leto
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is he known as in Etruscan mythology?
Guess: Apulu
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is he the patron god of?
Guess: music and poetry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who created his lyre?
Guess: Hermes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were songs to him called?
Guess: paeans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does he have a twin?
Guess: Apollo is the son of Zeus and Leto, and has a twin sister, the chaste huntress Artemis.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is his twin?
Guess: Artemis
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is his son?
Guess: Asclepius
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he defend?
Guess: herds and flocks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he lead?
Guess: the Muses
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what could he cause to happen?

ill-health and deadly plague