Here's a short story:

Ivory Coast () or Côte d'Ivoire, officially the Republic of Côte d'Ivoire (), is a country located in West Africa. Ivory Coast's political capital is Yamoussoukro, and its economic capital and largest city is the port city of Abidjan. Its bordering countries are Guinea and Liberia in the west, Burkina Faso and Mali in the north, and Ghana in the east. The Gulf of Guinea (Atlantic Ocean) is located south of Ivory Coast. 

Prior to its colonization by Europeans, Ivory Coast was home to several states, including Gyaaman, the Kong Empire, and Baoulé. Two Anyi kingdoms, "Indénié" and "Sanwi", attempted to retain their separate identity through the French colonial period and after independence. Ivory Coast became a protectorate of France in 1843–1844 and was later formed into a French colony in 1893 amid the European scramble for Africa. Ivory Coast achieved independence in 1960, led by Félix Houphouët-Boigny, who ruled the country until 1993. The country maintained close political and economic association with its West African neighbors while at the same time maintaining close ties to the West, especially France. Since the end of Houphouët-Boigny's rule in 1993, Ivory Coast has experienced one "coup d'état", in 1999, and two religion-grounded civil wars. The first took place between 2002 and 2007 and the second during 2010–2011. In 2000, the country adopted a new Constitution. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who colonized the Ivory coast?
Guess: Europeans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who ended up controlling it?
Guess: Félix Houphouët-Boigny
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which European power ended up controlling it?
Guess: France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did anyone try to maintain independence during that time?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Ivory Coast
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the become independent from France?
Guess: 1960
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was Félix Houphouët-Boigny head of state?
Guess: from 1960 until 1993
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What ended his reign?
Guess: they achieved independence
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the country's capital?
Guess: political capital is Yamoussoukro
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where is the country located?

West Africa