Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- On February 26, 2012, George Zimmerman, a Hispanic Neighborhood Watch volunteer at the Retreat at Twin Lakes housing complex in Sanford, Florida, shot and killed Trayvon Martin, an unarmed African-American 17-year-old. 

Initially, Zimmerman was not arrested, and no charges were brought against him. Rallies, protests and a media firestorm followed, even eliciting a comment from President Obama that "If I had a son, he'd look like Trayvon." 

The Rev. Al Sharpton came to Sanford and admonished residents that they were "risking going down as the Birmingham and Selma of the 21st century" if nothing was done. 

Benjamin Crump, one of the attorneys representing Martin's parents and an instrumental advocate for bringing charges against Zimmerman after they were initially declined, maintains that the case is about civil rights. 

Whether the killing turns out to have been racially motivated, responded to in self-defense, the act of a resident concerned about the safety of his neighborhood or the act of a trigger-happy cop wannabe, race is an inescapable issue. 

In 2012: Did politics drive prosecution in Trayvon Martin case? 

Sanford is the county seat of Seminole County, Florida. Although it experienced explosive growth during the economic boom and has several large, modern upscale subdivisions, it remains relatively poor. 

With approximately 54,000 residents, it has a per capita income of only about $21,000, with about 18.5% of the city below the poverty line, according to the 2010 census. It is approximately 30% African-American and 20% Hispanic. It has a documented history of racial tensions between its police and its black residents.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where is Sanford?
Guess: Florida
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which county is it the seat of?
Guess: Seminole County
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is this a rich or poor area?
Guess: poor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the statistic on income?
Guess: a per capita of about $21,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much of the population lives in poverty?
Guess: 18.5%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Zimmerman live there?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: Twin Lakes housing complex
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he shoot?
Guess: Trayvon Martin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did that turn out for Martin?
Guess: killed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he?
Guess: 17
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do his parents have a lawyer?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Benjamin Crump
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he trying to convince police to do?
Guess: bringing charges against Zimmerman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What does he say this case is about?

civil rights