Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXX 

TURNING A NEW LEAF--CONCLUSION 

The night was a long one for Dick Rover and he was glad when the storm cleared away and the first streaks of dawn began to show themselves in the eastern sky. 

Arnold Baxter had recovered consciousness, but was evidently in great pain, for he moaned almost constantly. Dick was willing to aid the sufferer, yet could do little or nothing. 

"Tell me the way to our camp and I will get help," said Dick at last. And Arnold Baxter gave him the directions as best he could. 

"I must have a doctor," whispered the man hoarsely. "If not, I'll surely die. And I don't want to die yet, Rover!" 

As well as he was able, Dick set off for the lake shore and then began to move in the direction of Bass Island. 

He had not gone very far when he heard somebody calling his name. 

"Rover! Dick Rover!" was the cry. "Dick Rover!" 

"It must be a searching party," he thought, and he was right. The party contained Tom and Sam, and Mr. Strong, and they said that two other parties were out, one headed by Captain Putnam and the other by an assistant. 

"Where in the world have you been?" asked Tom. "We have been scared almost to death over your absence." 

"It's a long story," answered Dick. "What I want just now is a doctor and a lot of salve. Just look at me, will you?" 

"Blisters!" ejaculated Sam. "Where did you get those?"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was unconscious but got better?
Guess: Arnold Baxter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he hurt?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how do you know?
Guess: he moaned
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: only a little?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how often?
Guess: almost constantly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was agreeable to helping him?
Guess: Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: his last name?
Guess: Rover
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who knew how to get where the needed to go?

Arnold Baxter