Here's a short story:

Do you like doing sports every day? A lot of people like doing sports because they can help them to keep fit. Today Yoga is women's favorite kind of sports. But many people like to watch others to play ball games. They like Yao Ming and David Beckham very much. Yao Ming plays basketball very well. David Beckham is good at playing football. People often watch their favorite players or teams on TV. When they watch them on TV, they feel excited. Sports change with the seasons. People play different games in different seasons. They will swim in summer and skate in winter. In autumn, they enjoy playing volleyball and tennis. They love going on a trip in spring. Doing sports is good for people's health. Swimming is suitable for the hot weather but skating is great for the cold weather. Swimming in some places is popular. People living near the sea or lakes or rivers often swim in summer. Many American families do some sports at the weekend. They are happy and healthy. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What do many families in the USA do on weekends?
Guess: some sports
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are they unhappy about this?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what are they?
Guess: happy and healthy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the favorite sport of women?
Guess: Yoga
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: do some folks like to observe sports?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kinds?
Guess: ball games
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are there particular people they like watching?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is one?
Guess: Yao Ming
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does he play?
Guess: basketball
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is he good at it?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who else do they like watching?
Guess: David Beckham
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does he play?
Guess: football
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is he good at it?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what sport do people do in summer?
Guess: swim
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and winter?
Guess: skate
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what about in the fall?
Guess: volleyball and tennis
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: where do people live who swim a lot?

near the sea or lakes or rivers