Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXXI. Voices of the Dusk. 

Jolly, round, red Mr. Sun was just going to bed behind the Purple Hills and the Black Shadows had begun to creep all through the Green Forest and out across the Green Meadows. It was the hour of the day Peter Rabbit loves best. He sat on the edge of the Green Forest watching for the first little star to twinkle high up in the sky. Peter felt at peace with all the Great World, for it was the hour of peace, the hour of rest for those who had been busy all through the shining day. 

Most of Peter's feathered friends had settled themselves for the coming night, the worries and cares of the day over and forgotten. All the Great World seemed hushed. In the distance Sweetvoice the Vesper Sparrow was pouring out his evening song, for it was the hour when he dearly loves to sing. Far back in the Green Forest Whip-poor-will was calling as if his very life depended on the number of times he could say, "Whip poor Will," without taking a breath. From overhead came now and then the sharp, rather harsh cry of Boomer the Nighthawk, as he hunted his supper in the air. 

For a time it seemed as if these were the only feathered friends still awake, and Peter couldn't help thinking that those who went so early to bed missed the most beautiful hour of the whole day. Then, from a tree just back of him, there poured forth a song so clear, so sweet, so wonderfully suited to that peaceful hour, that Peter held his breath until it was finished. He knew that singer and loved him. It was Melody the Wood Thrush.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Sweetvoice?
Guess: the Vesper Sparrow
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he doing?
Guess: Singing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of animal was Peter?
Guess: Rabbit
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was going to sleep behind the Purple Hills?
Guess: Mr. Sun
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Peter sitting?
Guess: on the edge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of what?
Guess: the Green Forest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he doing?
Guess: watching
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Whip-poor-will calling?
Guess: in the Green Forest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was hunting for his dinner up above?
Guess: Boomer the Nighthawk
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Peter listening to when he held his breath?
Guess: a tree
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What animal was Peter listening to when he was holding his breath?
Guess: Birds
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Melody?
Guess: the Wood Thrush
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Peter feel at peace with?
Guess: with all the Great World
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why?

for it was the hour of peace