Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VII. TOM RESPECTS THE FLEA 

"NOON!" says Tom, and so it was. His shadder was just a blot around his feet. We looked, and the Grinnage clock was so close to twelve the difference didn't amount to nothing. So Tom said London was right north of us or right south of us, one or t'other, and he reckoned by the weather and the sand and the camels it was north; and a good many miles north, too; as many as from New York to the city of Mexico, he guessed. 

Jim said he reckoned a balloon was a good deal the fastest thing in the world, unless it might be some kinds of birds--a wild pigeon, maybe, or a railroad. 

But Tom said he had read about railroads in England going nearly a hundred miles an hour for a little ways, and there never was a bird in the world that could do that--except one, and that was a flea. 

"A flea? Why, Mars Tom, in de fust place he ain't a bird, strickly speakin'--" 

"He ain't a bird, eh? Well, then, what is he?" 

"I don't rightly know, Mars Tom, but I speck he's only jist a' animal. No, I reckon dat won't do, nuther, he ain't big enough for a' animal. He mus' be a bug. Yassir, dat's what he is, he's a bug." 

"I bet he ain't, but let it go. What's your second place?" 

"Well, in de second place, birds is creturs dat goes a long ways, but a flea don't."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Which direction was London?
Guess: North
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What time was it?
Guess: Noon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Tom read about Railroads?
Guess: About railroads in England going nearly a hundred miles an hour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Can birds go that fast?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is a flea a bird?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is it?

A bug