Here's a short story:

The 2000 Summer Olympic Games, officially known as the Games of the XXVII Olympiad and commonly known as Sydney 2000 or the Millennium Olympic Games/Games of the New Millennium, were an international multi-sport event which was held between 15 September and 1 October 2000 in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. It was the second time that the Summer Olympics were held in Australia, and also the Southern Hemisphere, the first being in Melbourne, Victoria, in 1956. 

Sydney was selected as the host city for the 2000 games in 1993. Teams from 199 countries participated. The United States won the most medals with 93, while Australia came in 4th with 58. The games cost was estimated to be A$6.6 billion. The Games received universal acclaim, with the organisation, volunteers, sportsmanship and Australian public being lauded in the international media. Bill Bryson from "The Times" called the Sydney Games "one of the most successful events on the world stage", saying that they "couldn't be better". 

James Mossop of the "Electronic Telegraph" called the Games in an article "such a success that any city considering bidding for future Olympics must be wondering how it can reach the standards set by Sydney", while Jack Todd in the Montreal Gazette suggested that the "IOC should quit while it's ahead. Admit there can never be a better Olympic Games, and be done with it", as "Sydney was both exceptional and the best". (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what year were the games held?
Guess: 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Sydney
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they have an official name?
Guess: Games of the XXVII Olympiad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: any unofficial names?
Guess: Sydney 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: on what date did they start?
Guess: 15 September 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and end?
Guess: 1  October 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was this the first time this country hosted the games?
Guess: It wasno
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: the fourth time?

no