Here's a short story:

On paper, the race in Kentucky between Sen. Mitch McConnell and his Democratic challenger, Alison Lundergan Grimes, should be pretty clear-cut: The experienced veteran easily beats a political novice. But like most things, it's not. 

McConnell must cross the first hurdle by beating his primary challenger, Matt Bevin, before he engages in what is expected to be one of the most expensive and bitterly fought Senate campaigns this midterm season. 

A lot is at stake overall in November: control of the Senate and the political fate of one of the most powerful Republicans in Washington. 

Grimes' advantage 

Grimes, 35, was just 7 when McConnell was first elected to the Senate. 

Mitch McConnell would face biggest challenge yet in Alison Grimes 

While he rose up the ranks in Washington and became Senate Republican leader, Grimes practiced law and won statewide office as secretary of state in 2011. 

Despite her short political career, like McConnell, her name carries weight -- for better or worse. 

Grimes' family has a long history in state Democratic politics. Her father, Jerry, was the former chairman of the Kentucky Democratic Party and a state legislator. But he was forced out of those roles over legal problems facing his catering company. 

While the family name has been battered, its connections survive: She'll have access to the deep pockets and support of her father's allies, including Bill and Hillary Clinton. 

The former President has already hit the trail for Grimes, raising more than $600,000 at one Louisville event in February.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is in a race?
Guess: Sen. Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: Senate.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When is the election?
Guess: November
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who has a challenge ahead?
Guess: McConnell
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it?
Guess: Beating his challenger.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is that?
Guess: Matt Bevin,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: At what?
Guess: The primary.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is grimes?
Guess: 35
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did something happen when she was young?
Guess: mcConnell was elected.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To what?
Guess: The senate.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was she?
Guess: Seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Will she be easy to defeat?
Guess: No, his biggest challenge.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is her family friends with?
Guess: Bill and Hillary Clinton.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does that help?
Guess: Access to the deep pockets and support .
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they willing to do that?
Guess: The former president already has.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How?
Guess: he hit the trail for Grimes,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who do the Clinton's know in her family?

her father.