Here's a short story:

HOLLYWOOD, California (CNN) -- Singer Christina Aguilera joins fellow Grammy Award winners Alicia Keys and John Legend for "CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute," airing Thanksgiving night on CNN. 

Christina Aguilera performed her hit single "Beautiful" at "CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute." 

The show, taped before an audience of more than 2,000 at the Kodak Theatre in Hollywood, pays tribute to the top 10 CNN Heroes of 2008. 

Liz McCartney, dedicated to helping survivors of Hurricane Katrina rebuild their homes, has been named the 2008 CNN Hero of the Year. 

McCartney, of St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana, received the honor at Saturday night's taping of "CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute." The telecast airs at 9 p.m. ET/PT on Thanksgiving on the global networks of CNN. 

McCartney, who will receive $100,000 to continue her work just outside New Orleans, was selected from among the top 10 CNN Heroes after six weeks of online voting at CNN.com. More than 1 million votes were cast. 

"To the country and the world, I ask you to please join us," McCartney said. "Together we can continue to rebuild families' homes and lives. ... If you join us, we'll be unstoppable." 

Hosted by CNN's Anderson Cooper, "CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute" features moving musical performances by Aguilera, Keys and Legend. Watch a preview of the show, including Aguilera's performance » 

Aguilera performed her hit single "Beautiful." Legend, backed by the world-renowned Agape Choir, brought the audience of more than 2,000 to their feet with his powerful call to personal action, "If You're Out There," from his just-released album, "Evolver." Keys sang "Superwoman," her tribute to women around the world, from her hit album "As I Am."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is a hit of Christina Aguilera?
Guess: Beautiful
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did she perform it?
Guess: CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the tribute for?
Guess: pays tribute to the top 10 CNN Heroes of 2008
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was one of the heroes?
Guess: Liz McCartney
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she do?
Guess: dedicated to helping survivors of Hurricane Katrina rebuild their homes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: "
Guess: Singer Christina Aguilera joins fellow Grammy Award winners Alicia Keys and John Legend for "CNN Heroes: An All-Star Tribute," airing Thanksgiving night on CNN.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is McCartney from?
Guess: St. Bernard Parish
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is she working?
Guess: New Orleans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was she given money to continue?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How much?

$100,000