Here's a short story:

Several years ago, Kevin Stephan, then aged 11, was playing baseball when a player accidentally hit him with a bat. Kevin fell down and his heart stopped. Penny Brown, the mother of another player, was watching the game.Penny usually worked in the evenings as a nurse, but luckily that evening she wasn't working. Penny ran to helped Kevin and saved his life. Nearly seven years later, Kevin was washing up in the kitchen of the Hillview Restaurant in Buffalo, New York State. Normally, 18-year-old Kevin had school in the afternoon, but that week there were exams and he didn't have any class. At about 2 p.m., Penny Brown was having lunch with her family in the restaurant. She was eating when some food got stuck in her throat. She was very frightened because she couldn't breathe. Kevin was a volunteer firefighter in his free time and he ran to help. A waitress tried to help her, but the food was still stuck in Penny's throat. Kevin pulled his hands quickly into her stomach and saved Penny's life. He didn't know it was Penny, but his mother, Lorraine Stephan, was also having lunch in the restaurant. She realized that Penny was the woman who saved Kevin's life, seven years before, at the baseball game. Both Penny and Kevin were completely amazed by the coincidence ! (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Penny Brown do for a living?
Guess: she was a nurse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who's life did she save?
Guess: Kevin Stephan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he then?
Guess: 11
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did he fall down?
Guess: a player hit him with a bat.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened when he fell down?
Guess: his heart stopped.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Kevin washing up years later?
Guess: in the kitchen of the Hillview Restaurant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How old was he then?

18