Here's a short story:

Renacimiento, Mexico (CNN) -- As raging floodwaters swept away half of his timber shack, Saturnino Medina climbed to the roof. 

He pointed Thursday to the place where river waters broke through a container wall and washed away his kitchen. 

Medina and his family have almost nothing left now, after the wind and rain of Manuel hit the town of Renacimiento, located about 20 km northeast of the resort city of Acapulco. 

Days after the storm made landfall as a tropical depression in the Mexican state of Guerrero, thousands of tourists are still trapped in Acapulco and thousands of families are struggling to recover. 

Medina and his family were left to eat eggs and tortillas donated by neighbors and drink expired cartons of juice they found in a nearby trash dumpster. So far, he said, they haven't gotten any government aid. 

"The truth is, I don't even know what to tell you," he said. "The government ignores us. They help everyone else, but they've forgotten about Renacimiento." 

The town is one of many across Mexico ravaged by multiple storms that have been battering the country. 

Federal officials say at least 97 people were killed across Mexico by Manuel, which plowed into the country's Pacific coast, and Ingrid, which hit the Gulf coast. 

Rescue efforts continued throughout the country Thursday. In one Guerrero town ravaged by a mudslide, authorities said 68 people remained unaccounted for. 

An aerial survey revealed many more mudslides, Interior Minister Miguel Angel Osorio Chong said, and there are additional reports of disappearances that authorities have not yet confirmed.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where is Renacimiento in reference to Acapulo?
Guess: 20 km northeast
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the family consume?
Guess: eggs and tortillas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And drink?
Guess: expired cartons of juice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the family happy with the help received from the government?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What created this dire situation for the family?
Guess: Storm Manuel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the damaged all caused by wind?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else caused damage?
Guess: Rain too
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many lives were lost due to the storm?
Guess: 97 by Manuel and Ingrid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what country?
Guess: Mexico
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What type of disaster hit another town?

a mudslide,