Here's a short story:

(CNN)Mikaela Shiffrin is on course to make skiing history after claiming her third consecutive slalom victory on the World Cup circuit on Saturday. 

The young American is hoping to become the first woman to win both the discipline's world title and overall crown in successive seasons. 

Shiffrin, who retained her slalom title at February's world championships in Colorado, now has a 90-point lead going into next week's World Cup finale in France. 

"I think the first couple races of the season I was pretty arrogant and was like, 'I'm just going to win these, I guess.' And I didn't. I wasn't even close," said Shiffrin, who has won the slalom Crystal Globe two years running. 

"When you're racing at a high level -- or doing any sport at a high level -- everybody's going for the win. I learned that I can't take my foot off the gas and expect to win. These last races, I was pushing everything. Any race that I won this season, I was giving my entire heart into it. I'm proud of that." 

A day after her 20th birthday, Shiffrin won by a comfortable 1.41 seconds at Are in Sweden as she claimed the 14th World Cup win of her career, with Slovakia's Veronika Velez Zuzulova second and Czech Republic's Sarka Strachova third. 

Slalom title rival Frida Hansdotter finished sixth in front of her home fans. 

Tina Maze missed a chance to close the gap on overall World Cup leader Anna Fenninger, who did not race, as the Slovenian finished back in 16th.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where did the February slalom championships take place?
Guess: in Colorado
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where will the World Cup finale take place?
Guess: France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the main character in this story?
Guess: Mikaela Shiffrin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many times has she won the World Cup?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many points in her lead going into it this time?
Guess: 90-point lead
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was she when she won at Are?
Guess: 20
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where is Are?

Sweden