Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXV. THE CAPITULATION OF ROCCALEONE 

In the sunshine of that bright May morning Francesco and his men went merrily to work to possess themselves of the ducal camp, and the first business of the day was to arm those soldiers who had come out unarmed. Of weapons there was no lack, and to these they helped themselves in liberal fashion, whilst here and there a man would pause to don a haubergeon or press a steel cap on his head. 

Three sentries only had been left to guard the tents, and of these Fortemani and a couple of his men had made prisoners whilst the others were removing the bridge by which the invaders had entered. And now beneath the open postern by the drawbridge gaped a surging torrent that no man would have the hardihood to attempt to swim. 

In that opening, presently, appeared Gian Maria, his face red for once, and behind him a clamouring crowd of men-at-arms who shared their master's rage at the manner in which they had been trapped. 

At the rear of the tents Valentina and her ladies awaited the issue of the parley that now seemed toward. The bulk of the men were busy at Gian Maria's cannons, and under Francesco's supervision they were training them upon the drawbridge. 

From the castle a mighty shout went up. The men disappeared from the postern to reappear a moment later on the ramparts, and Francesco laughed deep down in his throat as he perceived the purpose of this. They had bethought them of the guns that were mounted there, and were gone to use them against Valentina's little army. Gun after gun they tried, and a fierce cry of rage burst forth when they realised by what dummies they had been held in check during the past week. This was followed by a silence of some moments, terminated at last by the sound of a bugle.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was it a June evening?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What month was it?
Guess: May
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a sunny morning?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was on their way somewhere?
Guess: Francesco and his men
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was their assignment?
Guess: Arm the unarmed soldiers.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there enough weapons to go around?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many sentries were left behind?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why were they left?
Guess: To guard the tents
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they succesful?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who got in the way?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did someone take them captive?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Fortemani and a couple of his men
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where were the others?
Guess: They were removing the bridge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: That's how the invaders had entered.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was in the opening?
Guess: Gian Maria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was following him?
Guess: Several men-at-arms
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they happy to be there?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was in the back of the tent?
Guess: Valentina and her ladies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were the men learning to use?

the cannons