Here's a short story:

"My dear lady," says Holmes. "You're shaking. Are you cold? Do you want a cup of hot tea?" "I'm not cold," the woman replies, "I fear for my life!" "We are here to help you. Don't worry about anything. I don't know you. But I know many things about you. For example, I know how you travel. You came to London by train. You also ride to the train station on a horse-drawn wagon ."[:] "Why, yes. You're right. But how do you know these things?" "I see a return ticket in your glove. I see fresh mud on the left arm of your dress. Now tell us your problem." "My name is Helen Stoner," she states, "My mother and father are dead. I am living with my stepfather , Dr Grimesby Roylott. He comes from a rich family. But they are no longer rich. They have nothing except a small piece of land and a big old house. We are living in the house. Dr Roylott is using my mother's money for expenses . Part of it was for my sister and me. It was for our marriages." Holmes is sitting in his chair. His eyes are closed. He is listening carefully to Helen's story. He hears every detail. Helen continues. "My stepfather has no friends. He fights with everyone. He is strong and gets angry quickly. Everyone is afraid of him." "He has no friends at all?" asks Holmes. "No. He talks to no one except the gypsies . They are poor people who travel from place to place. A band of gypsies is staying on our land right now." "Are you and your sister afraid of the gypsies?" "My dear Mr Holmes. You are making me so sad. My sister is dead. That is why I am standing here in this room." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who syas my dear lady ?
Guess: Holmes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: whos My mother and father are dead ?
Guess: Helen Stoner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is listening carefully to Helen's story ?
Guess: Holmes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does the stepfather have friends ?
Guess: Grimesby Roylott. He comes from a rich family. But they are no longer rich. They have nothing except a small piece of land and
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who fights with everyone ?
Guess: stepfather
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is everyone afrad of him ?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is staying on the land right now ?
Guess: A band of gypsies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is making her so sad ?
Guess: Holmes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did they get to london ?
Guess: by train
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who travels from place to place ?

gypsies