Here's a short story:

Louisville ( , or ) is the largest city in the Commonwealth of Kentucky and the 29th-most populous city in the United States. It is one of two cities in Kentucky designated as first-class, the other being the state's second-largest city of Lexington. Louisville is the historical seat and, since 2003, the nominal seat of Jefferson County. 

Louisville was founded in 1778 by George Rogers Clark and is named after King Louis XVI of France, making Louisville one of the oldest cities west of the Appalachian Mountains. Sited beside the Falls of the Ohio, the only major obstruction to river traffic between the upper Ohio River and the Gulf of Mexico, the settlement first grew as a portage site. It was the founding city of the Louisville and Nashville Railroad, which grew into a system across 13 states. Today, the city is known as the home of the Kentucky Derby, Kentucky Fried Chicken, the University of Louisville and its Louisville Cardinals athletic teams, Louisville Slugger baseball bats, and three of Kentucky's six "Fortune" 500 companies. Its main airport is also the site of United Parcel Service's worldwide air hub. 

Since 2003, Louisville's borders have been the same as those of Jefferson County because of a city-county merger. The official name of this consolidated city-county government is the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government, abbreviated to Louisville Metro. Despite the merger and renaming, the term "Jefferson County" continues to be used in some contexts in reference to Louisville Metro, particularly including the incorporated cities outside the "balance" which make up Louisville proper. The city's total consolidated population as of the 2014 census estimate was 760,026. However, the balance total of 612,780 excludes other incorporated places and semiautonomous towns within the county and is the population listed in most sources and national rankings. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what term is used to referece louisville metro?
Guess: Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was is founded?
Guess: in 1778
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by who?
Guess: by George Rogers Clark
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: named after who?
Guess: King Louis XVI of France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is this the youngest city?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many fourtune 500 companies doe it have?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is it in relation to the mountains?
Guess: west
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many states did the system spread across?
Guess: across 13 states
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: have the boarders changed?
Guess: in 2003, yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is louisville home to?
Guess: the Kentucky Derby
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it home to any thing else?
Guess: Kentucky Fried Chicken
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is it the main site of?
Guess: United Parcel Service's worldwide air hub
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what rank of population does it have?
Guess: 29th-most populous city in the United States
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it the smallest city in commonwealth of kentucky?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how many first class cities are there

there are two cities in Kentucky designated as first-class