Here's a short story:

WASHAKIE COUNTY, Wyoming (CNN) -- In the predawn darkness the agents switch the federal plates on their vehicles to local Wyoming tags and check they have no other signs showing they are from the Federal Bureau of Investigation. 

Edward Eugene Harper is believed to have lived a nomadic lifestyle since fleeing Mississippi. 

They want to give the impression that they are fish and wildlife officers, certainly not what they really are -- an elite squad in search of one of the FBI's 10 most-wanted fugitives. 

Their target lives eight miles up a dirt road in the Big Horn mountains of Washakie County -- and he is also not what he seems. 

For the past few years Edward Eugene Harper has been tending a flock of sheep in the semi-wilderness of the region. But 15 years ago he failed to turn up for a court appearance in Mississippi on charges he had molested two girls, aged 3 and 8. He'd been on the lam ever since. 

Recently the FBI had received a tip on his whereabouts. Watch how FBI planned hunt for fugitive » 

Snipers spent the night watching the truck with a camper top where Harper, 63, has been sleeping for the past few weeks. 

Michael Rankin, assistant special agent in charge at the FBI's Denver, Colorado, field office and leader of the operation to capture Harper, said he wanted to use a ruse to get close to Harper. 

"We don't want to alert him or anybody who might be a supporter of his, and we want to get as close to him without somehow raising his antenna that we may be law enforcement and we may be wanting to take him into custody," Rankin said.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is this article about?
Guess: Edward Eugene Harper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he known for living a lavish lifestyle in one place?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where were the licenseplates changed? (What state)
Guess: Wyoming
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do they work for NSA?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who?

Federal Bureau of Investigation.