Here's a short story:

NEW YORK (CNN) -- A 14-year-old girl disappears on her way home from school, another is last seen near her home and a 16-year-old vanishes after leaving her fast-food job for the day. 

Amanda Berry is shown near the time of her disappearance in 2003, and how she might appear today. 

All from the same neighborhood in Cleveland, Ohio, the girls disappeared within five blocks of each other over a four-year span, starting in 2003. 

Agents and detectives from the FBI and Cleveland Police are looking into hundreds of leads in the cases and whether they may be linked, according to FBI Special Agent Scott Wilson in the agency's Cleveland bureau. 

"We kind of put all three of these cases together to work them to see if there's any connection," Wilson said. 

Amanda Berry, 16, vanished on April 21, 2003, after she left her job at a Burger King at about 7:30 p.m. But she never made it to her home just a few blocks away, the FBI says. Berry has pierced ears, a pierced left eyebrow and a scar on her lower abdomen. She would now be 22. 

Georgina DeJesus was last seen at a pay phone around 3 p.m. on April 2, 2004, as she headed home from school. She and a friend had called the friend's mother seeking permission for a sleepover at DeJesus' house, but the answer was no. 

The girls then parted ways, and DeJesus was never seen again. She was wearing a white jacket, a sky blue sweater, blue jeans and a cream shirt. She has a light birthmark on her right leg and pierced ears, the FBI says. DeJesus was 14 when she disappeared and would now be 19.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where did Amanda Berry work?
Guess: Burger King
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was she?
Guess: 16
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How far from home was her job?
Guess: just a few blocks away
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What time did she get off?
Guess: about 7:30 p.m.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did she get there?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What time did she get home?
Guess: never made it to her home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was her last day of work?
Guess: April 21, 2003
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is her current age?
Guess: 22
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did DeJesus want to spend the night?
Guess: She and a friend had called the friend's mother seeking permission for a sleepover at DeJesus' house
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did she want to spend the night with?
Guess: a friend
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was she around 3?
Guess: at a pay phone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day was it?
Guess: April 2, 2004
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was she coming from?
Guess: from school
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was her friend allowed to spend the night?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was she?
Guess: 14
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is her birthmark?
Guess: right leg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color is her jacket?
Guess: white
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about her jeans?
Guess: blue
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What city did she live in?
Guess: Cleveland, Ohio
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What about Amanda?

same