Here's a short story:

The Ottoman Empire (/ˈɒtəmən/; Ottoman Turkish: دَوْلَتِ عَلِيّهٔ عُثمَانِیّه‎ Devlet-i Aliyye-i Osmâniyye, Modern Turkish: Osmanlı İmparatorluğu or Osmanlı Devleti), also known as the Turkish Empire, Ottoman Turkey or Turkey, was an empire founded in 1299 by Oghuz Turks under Osman I in northwestern Anatolia. After conquests in the Balkans by Murad I between 1362 and 1389, the Ottoman sultanate was transformed into a transcontinental empire and claimant to the caliphate. The Ottomans ended the Byzantine Empire with the 1453 conquest of Constantinople by Mehmed the Conqueror. 

During the 16th and 17th centuries, in particular at the height of its power under the reign of Suleiman the Magnificent, the Ottoman Empire was a multinational, multilingual empire controlling much of Southeast Europe, Western Asia, the Caucasus, North Africa, and the Horn of Africa. At the beginning of the 17th century the empire contained 32 provinces and numerous vassal states. Some of these were later absorbed into the Ottoman Empire, while others were granted various types of autonomy during the course of centuries.[dn 4] (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What kind of empire was Ottoman during the 16th and 17th centuries?
Guess: A multinational, multilingual empire.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it control anything?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What?
Guess: Much of Southeast Europe, for one.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anything else?
Guess: Western Asia,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it founded?
Guess: 1299.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it known as something else?
Guess: The Ottoman Empire (/ˈɒtəmən/; Ottoman Turkish: دَوْلَتِ عَلِيّهٔ عُثمَانِیّه‎ Devlet-i Aliyye-i Osmâniyye, Modern Turkish: Osmanlı İmparatorluğu or Osmanlı Devleti), also known as the Turkish Empire,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did they end the Byzantine Empire?
Guess: 1453
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How?
Guess: With the conquest of Constantinople.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: Mehmed the Conqueror.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many providences did it have in the 17th century?
Guess: 32.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What happened in 1362 and 1389?

conquests in the Balkans