Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- During the White House Correspondents' Dinner on Saturday night, Jimmy Kimmel made a joke that President Obama laughed at, but that you could see was just killing him inside. 

"Mr. President, do you remember when the country rallied around you in hopes of a better tomorrow?" Kimmel asked. "That was hilarious. That was your best one yet." 

Yeah it was. 

I'm sure he still has a lot of hope. But I would dare to say the thing that changed most over these past three years is Obama. The unbridled optimism that his first campaign once embodied has been bludgeoned by dogmatism, pragmatism and bipartisan cronyism. 

Hope and change are tough when the worst economy in 80 years is waiting to greet you at the door. 

Hope and change are challenging when Rush Limbaugh, the unofficial gatekeeper of the conservative movement, tells his troops "I hope Obama fails" before your first day on the job. 

Hope and change are virtually impossible when working with a Congress so dysfunctional that its approval rating never reached 25% in all of 2011 and was as low as 10% in February. 

No wonder his hair is a bit grayer these days. 

And no wonder the new Obama slogan is "Forward." 

"Hope and Change" captured the heart of a people who believed one man could change the culture of Washington. "Forward" acknowledges things are not where he said they would be, but takes ownership of a record that shows he at least has us pointed in the right direction: 12 consecutive months of job losses before he took office, 25 consecutive months and counting of job growth since 2010.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was Obama's previous slogan?
Guess: "Hope and Change"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the new one?
Guess: "Forward."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Obama was president during the worst economy in how many years?
Guess: 80
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who wished for Obama to fail?
Guess: Rush Limbaugh
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he a liberal or a conservative?
Guess: conservative
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What event was on Saturday?
Guess: White House Correspondents' Dinner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who spoke at it?
Guess: Jimmy Kimmel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Obama chuckle?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When this was written, how long had Obama been president?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many months have jobs grown?

25