Here's a short story:

It was movie night at Tom's house. He was looking forward to watching a movie. He wondered what sort of movie it would be. Would it be a cartoon? Would there be knights? He really likes to watch movies about spaceships. His sister likes to watch movies about animals. Tonight they would watch his father's favorite type of movie. His mother came home and put it on the table. After dinner Tom cleared away the plates from the table. It was his sister's turn to wash the dishes. His father went to read the newspaper. His mother began to make popcorn. She made a big bowl of popcorn. There was plenty for everyone. She put lots of butter on it. Tom was excited he went to sit on the striped rug in front of the television. His sister came and sat next to him. His parents sat on the couch. The dog climbed on to the blue chair. The movie was about cars. Tom had a great movie night. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was supposed to wash dishes?
Guess: Tom's sister
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a special night?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What night?
Guess: It was movie night
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Tom make popcorn?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did?
Guess: His mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she make a lot?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Tom sit on the couch?
Guess: No, the striped rug.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who sat with him?

His sister.