Here's a short story:

Connecting with Patients 

Dr. Paris often treats several generations of a family over many years. "He's seen us through two births, one operation, multiple earaches, a broken wrist and a recovery from a serious traffic crash," says Jill Farrow, a 43-year-old lawyer whose first visit to Dr. Paris was as a teenager. During the birth of her younger son, Farrow began bleeding badly. Dr. Paris managed to solve the problem in a delicate procedure. "Twenty years ago, she probably would have died," he says. Today, when he performs school sports physical examinations for the Farrow boys, 10 and 11, he is always reminded that lives are changed forever by doctors just doing their jobs. 

To be a mix of country doc and somewhat adventurer, the 55-year-old family physician moved to Hailey after completing his residency . He hoped to practice medicine there and ski at nearby Sun Valley. Unfortunately, the only job opening was for an emergency-room doctor in Missoula, Montana, 300 miles away. Dr. Paris took it. "I'd ski all day and then drive all night to be in Missoula for a 48-hour shift," he recalls. "I'm lucky to be alive." Knowing he couldn't keep up with his eight-hour commute , he began taking flying lessons. 

In 1981, Dr. Paris joined a small medical practice in Hailey, a former mining town with a population at the time of 2,109. As Hailey grew in the shadow of Sun Valley's booming popularity, Dr. Paris's own practice expanded to seven physicians, including his wife, Kathryn Woods, who is also a family doctor. They met in 1986 at a certification exam in Denver when, in a room full of men in stodgy suits, Woods arrived wearing a Lycra biking outfit and carrying the front wheel of her bicycle (which she couldn't lock up outside). Dr. Paris asked her out on the spot. In 1989, they married. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Jill Farrow's doctor?
Guess: Dr. Paris
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does she take her whole family to him?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many of her kids are getting check ups?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they male or female?
Guess: boys
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old?
Guess: 10 and 11
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the check up for?
Guess: school sports
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Jill's profession?
Guess: lawyer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is she?
Guess: 43
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many births has the doc helped her with?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Any operations?

yes