Here's a short story:

Islamabad, Pakistan (CNN) -- Some 200 houses were damaged in a southwestern province of Pakistan after an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.2 struck Wednesday, officials said. 

The mud-walled houses were damaged in districts close to the epicenter, said Ahmed Kamal, spokesman for the country's National Disaster Management Authority. Hundreds of tents, blankets and ready-to-eat meals were sent to the affected area, he said. 

The earthquake occurred at 1:23 a.m. Wednesday (3:23 p.m. Tuesday ET) at a depth of 84 kilometers (52 miles), the U.S. Geological Survey said. It was centered 45 kilometers (30 miles) west of Dalbandin, and 1,035 kilometers (640 miles) west-southwest of Islamabad, the USGS said on its website. 

There were no reports of injuries or deaths, Kamal said. 

The United States, China and Australia had offered aid to Pakistan, but it had not been initially accepted, Kamal said. 

"The offer was appreciated but not accepted because its not required yet," he said. 

Arif Mahmood, director of the Pakistan Meteorological Department, put the epicenter at 320 kilometers (about 200 miles) southwest of Quetta near Kharan, Balochistan, and said it had been felt in Punjab, Sindh, and Balochistan provinces in Pakistan, as well as parts of Iran and India. 

Mahmood predicted major aftershocks. "Earthquakes with such magnitudes in the past have brought on aftershocks," he told CNN from Islamabad. 

An official at Quetta's Civil Hospital said a female cardiac patient suffered a fatal heart attack during the earthquake. He said two residents raced to the hospital but they proved not to have been injured, just scared.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what did Mahmood predict?
Guess: Mahmood predicted major aftershocks.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there any deaths?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: injuries?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the lady patient suffer from?
Guess: a fatal heart attack
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are the homes made of brick?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: The mud-walled houses
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many countries offered help?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which ones?
Guess: The United States, China and Australia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was the epicenter?
Guess: 30 miles west of Dalbandin, 640 miles west-southwest of Islamabad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many dwellings had damage?
Guess: 200
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was sent to the area?
Guess: tents, blankets and ready-to-eat meals
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By who?
Guess: the country's National Disaster Management Authority.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they accept the help offered?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it appreciated?
Guess: "yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why wasn't it accepted?
Guess: not needed yet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who said that?

Ahmed Kamal