Here's a short story:

Beijing (CNN) -- "Please excuse me, I can't talk about this." 

Clunk! The phone line goes dead. 

We had tried to get this British businessman to talk about the mysterious death of Neil Heywood. 

Heywood has emerged from the shadows to be a key link in a story of intrigue, mystery and betrayal that goes all the way to the inner sanctum of China's secretive Communist Party. 

Heywood was found dead last November in his hotel room in the sprawling southwestern Chinese city of Chongqing. According to media reports, local authorities quickly ruled his cause of death as "excessive alcohol use." An autopsy was not performed, media reports said, and his body was cremated. 

Slowly, however, media reports are raising more uncomfortable questions about Heywood's death. He was married to a Chinese woman and had business interests in the country. He moved in the orbit of a company known as Hakluyt and Co., a British strategic information consultancy formed by former officers of the UK's spy agency MI6. 

Hakluyt has released a statement on Heywood, saying, "We had a long history of advising Western companies on China and we are among those who sought (Heywood's) advice. We are greatly saddened by his death." 

Now, the British government is asking China to investigate Heywood's death. 

"Our embassy in Beijing and consulate general in Chongqing provided consular assistance to the family, as we would in any case involving a British national overseas," the Foreign and Commonwealth Office said. "We recently asked the Chinese authorities to investigate the case further after we heard suggestions that there were suspicious circumstances."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who died?
Guess: Neil Heywood
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he?
Guess: Chongqing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is that?
Guess: southwestern China
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was said was the cause of his death?
Guess: excessive alcohol use
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was he married to?
Guess: a Chinese woman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was an Autopsy done?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he a link to?
Guess: a story of intrigue, mystery and betrayal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To what?
Guess: the inner sanctum of China's secretive Communist Party
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was he acquainted with?

company known as Hakluyt and Co