Here's a short story:

Kindergarten (; from German , which literally means "garden for the children") is a preschool educational approach traditionally based on playing, singing, practical activities such as drawing, and social interaction as part of the transition from home to school. At first such institutions were created in the late 18th century in Bavaria and Strasbourg to serve children whose parents both worked out of the home. The term was coined by the German Friedrich Fröbel, whose approach globally influenced early-years education. Today, the term is used in many countries to describe a variety of educational institutions and learning spaces for children ranging from two to seven years of age, based on a variety of teaching methods. 

In 1779, Johann Friedrich Oberlin and Louise Scheppler founded in Strasbourg an early establishment for caring for and educating pre-school children whose parents were absent during the day. At about the same time, in 1780, similar infant establishments were established in Bavaria. In 1802, Princess Pauline zur Lippe established a preschool center in Detmold, the capital of the then principality of Lippe, Germany (now in the State of North Rhine-Westphalia). 

In 1816, Robert Owen, a philosopher and pedagogue, opened the first British and probably globally the first infants school in New Lanark, Scotland. In conjunction with his venture for cooperative mills Owen wanted the children to be given a good moral education so that they would be fit for work. His system was successful in producing obedient children with basic literacy and numeracy. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what happened in 1802?
Guess: Princess Pauline zur Lippe established a preschool
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Detmold
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which country was this?
Guess: Germany
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the article about?
Guess: Kindergarten
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is this an English word?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: German
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does it mean?
Guess: garden for the children
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it still being used today?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: in many countries
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when were kindergartens first made?
Guess: late 18th century
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Bavaria and Strasbourg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was their purpose then?
Guess: to serve children whose parents both worked out of the home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is that the same purpose today?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: it's a learning space for children ranging from two to seven years of age
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was the first infant school?
Guess: 1816
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: New Lanark, Scotland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: was this the first one globally?

probably