Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- A story this week by the Associated Press has caused quite a stir, especially among African-Americans, when multiple news outlets ran it with the attention-grabbing headline, "Some black pastors are telling their flocks to stay home Election Day." 

The New York Daily News ran the story, along with the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, Newsday, and a host of conservative websites such as HotAir and NewsMax. 

When I first saw the headline, I was stunned, especially knowing the blood that has been shed over the years by African-Americans and others to gain the precious right to vote. 

I read the more than 1,300-word story by Rachel Zoll, with a contribution from Bill Barrow. The first line was "Some black clergy see no good presidential choice between a Mormon candidate and one who supports gay marriage, so they are telling their flocks to stay home on Election Day." 

Nothing in the story legitimately backed up that first line. Anybody who had read the full article would know that. 

In reading the piece, Zoll and Barrow quote or mention pastors A.R. Bernard, Jamal Bryant, George Nelson Jr., Floyd James, and Howard-John Wesley, Lin Hill and Dwight McKissic. 

Politics: Is Obama taking black vote for granted? 

Not a single one of these pastors was quoted as saying they have or plan to tell their congregations not to vote in the presidential election. Not one. 

Several expressed misgivings about President Barack Obama's support for same-sex marriage, and others had negative thoughts about Mitt Romney being a Mormon or the effect of his policies on their congregants. One said he hasn't decided whom he will vote for, and McKissic said he'll go fishing on Election Day.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many pastors were talked about?
Guess: Seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were their misgiving about Obama?
Guess: about his support for same-sex marriage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about Romney?
Guess: about Mitt Romney being a Mormon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they say that might affect?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they say anything about third party candidates?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who said they would go fish?
Guess: McKissic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who said they were undecided?
Guess: a congregant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who said that their church-goers should abstain?
Guess: none of them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who claimed that they did?
Guess: A story this week by the Associated Press
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who wrote it?

Rachel Zoll