Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VII. THE DAUGHTER OF WITHERSTEEN 

"Lassiter, will you be my rider?" Jane had asked him. 

"I reckon so," he had replied. 

Few as the words were, Jane knew how infinitely much they implied. She wanted him to take charge of her cattle and horse and ranges, and save them if that were possible. Yet, though she could not have spoken aloud all she meant, she was perfectly honest with herself. Whatever the price to be paid, she must keep Lassiter close to her; she must shield from him the man who had led Milly Erne to Cottonwoods. In her fear she so controlled her mind that she did not whisper this Mormon's name to her own soul, she did not even think it. Besides, beyond this thing she regarded as a sacred obligation thrust upon her, was the need of a helper, of a friend, of a champion in this critical time. If she could rule this gun-man, as Venters had called him, if she could even keep him from shedding blood, what strategy to play his flame and his presence against the game of oppression her churchmen were waging against her? Never would she forget the effect on Tull and his men when Venters shouted Lassiter's name. If she could not wholly control Lassiter, then what she could do might put off the fatal day. 

One of her safe racers was a dark bay, and she called him Bells because of the way he struck his iron shoes on the stones. When Jerd led out this slender, beautifully built horse Lassiter suddenly became all eyes. A rider's love of a thoroughbred shone in them. Round and round Bells he walked, plainly weakening all the time in his determination not to take one of Jane's favorite racers.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Venters call Lassiter?
Guess: gun-man
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who asked Lassiter to be their rider?
Guess: Jane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he agree?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did she ask him?
Guess: to take charge of her cattle and horse and ranges, and save them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she tell him as much?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she willing to give up?
Guess: Whatever the price to be paid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Milly led to?
Guess: Cottonwoods
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who took her there?
Guess: A man
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose name would Jane not speak?
Guess: this Mormon's name
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she allow herself to even think it?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Jane hoping Lassiter would become to her?
Guess: a helper, of a friend, of a champion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was oppressing her?
Guess: her churchmen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she hoping she could keep from happening to him?
Guess: shedding blood
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had shouted Lassiter's name?
Guess: Venters
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who did that affect?

Tull and his men