Here's a short story:

Rochester ( or ) is a city on the southern shore of Lake Ontario in western New York State. Rochester is the third most populous city in New York, with over 210,000 residents, and its metropolitan area has a population of nearly 1.1 million people. 

Rochester was one of America's first boomtowns, rising to prominence as the site of many flour mills along the Genesee River, and then as a major hub of manufacturing. Several of the region's universities (notably the University of Rochester and Rochester Institute of Technology) have renowned research programs. In addition, Rochester is the site of many important inventions and innovations in consumer products. The Rochester area has been the birthplace to such corporations as Kodak, Western Union, Bausch & Lomb, Gleason and Xerox that conduct extensive research and manufacturing in the fields of industrial and consumer products. Until 2010, the Rochester metropolitan area was the second-largest regional economy in New York State, according to the U.S. Internal Revenue Service, after the New York City metropolitan area. Rochester's GMP has since ranked just below that of Buffalo, New York, while still exceeding it in per-capita income. 

The 25th edition of the "Places Rated Almanac" rated Rochester as the "most livable city" in 2007, among 379 U.S. metropolitan areas. In 2010 "Forbes" rated Rochester as the third-best place to raise a family. In 2012 Kiplinger rated Rochester as the fifth-best city for families, citing low cost of living, top public schools, and a low jobless rate. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What city has a population of 210,000?
Guess: Rochester
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were there many of back then?
Guess: flour mills
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And it became a large hub for what?
Guess: manufacturing.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name an institution there with a well regarding program for research?
Guess: University of Rochester
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name another.
Guess: Rochester Institute of Technology
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which contact lense related company started there?
Guess: Bausch & Lomb
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there any others?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What the name of the company born there that has a photograph related service
Guess: Kodak
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which Metro area is larger?
Guess: Buffalo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does it beat it though?
Guess: per-capita income
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What name did it get in 2007?
Guess: most livable city
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: By?

Places Rated Almanac