Here's a short story:

Bergen, historically Bjørgvin, is a city and municipality in Hordaland on the west coast of Norway. , the municipality's population was 278,121, and the Bergen metropolitan region has about 420,000 inhabitants. Bergen is the second-largest city in Norway. The municipality covers and is on the peninsula of Bergenshalvøyen. The city centre and northern neighbourhoods are on Byfjorden, 'the city fjord', and the city is surrounded by mountains; Bergen is known as the 'city of seven mountains'. Many of the extra-municipal suburbs are on islands. Bergen is the administrative centre of Hordaland and consists of eight boroughs—Arna, Bergenhus, Fana, Fyllingsdalen, Laksevåg, Ytrebygda, Årstad and Åsane. 

Trading in Bergen may have started as early as the 1020s. According to tradition, the city was founded in 1070 by king Olav Kyrre and was named Bjørgvin, 'the green meadow among the mountains'. It served as Norway's capital in the 13th century, and from the end of the 13th century became a bureau city of the Hanseatic League. Until 1789, Bergen enjoyed exclusive rights to mediate trade between Northern Norway and abroad and it was the largest city in Norway until the 1830s when it was surpassed by the capital, Christiania (now known as Oslo). What remains of the quays, Bryggen, is a World Heritage Site. The city was hit by numerous fires over the years. The Bergen School of Meteorology was developed at the Geophysical Institute beginning in 1917, the Norwegian School of Economics was founded in 1936, and the University of Bergen in 1946. From 1831 to 1972, Bergen was its own county. In 1972 the municipality absorbed four surrounding municipalities and became a part of Hordaland county. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the next to biggest Norwegian city?
Guess: Bergen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What Norwegian region is it located in?
Guess: the west coast
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live in the municipality?
Guess: 278,121
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the metro area?
Guess: 420,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it ringed by forests?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is around the city?
Guess: mountains
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's its nickname?
Guess: the city of seven mountains
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where are lots of the suburban areas found?
Guess: on islands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many boroughs does it have?
Guess: eight
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are their names?
Guess: Arna, Bergenhus, Fana, Fyllingsdalen, Laksevåg, Ytrebygda, Årstad and Åsane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did commerce begin in the area?
Guess: as early as the 1020s
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And when was Bergen officially founded?
Guess: in 1070
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: king Olav Kyrre
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was its original name?
Guess: Bjørgvin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does that mean?
Guess: 'the green meadow among the mountains'
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it the capital of the nation?
Guess: in the 13th century
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: After that, what organization did it join?

the Hanseatic League