Here's a short story:

Paul the pear lived in a bowl on the table. He was a plastic fruit, and no one could eat him. He sat in the bowl with Artie the apple and Gertie the grapes. He watched every day as the group of bananas that hung out in another basket got eaten one by one. He wished he could be taken along to work in a bag and brought along to eat. But day after day, he sat in the bowl with only his plastic friends. One day, a little boy walked over towards him and picked Paul up. Paul was very excited. The boy looked at the pear with hungry eyes. He put him up to his mouth and took a big bite. "Ewwww!!!" said the little boy, and he spit out the fake fruit all over the floor. He put Paul back in the bowl and ran away. Paul smiled to himself about his adventure. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was a piece of fruit?
Guess: Paul
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of fruit was he?
Guess: a pear
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a real piece of fruit?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How do you know?
Guess: He was plastic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who joined him in the bowl on the table?
Guess: Artie and Gertie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Artie?
Guess: an apple
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And Gertie?
Guess: grapes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Paul watch everyday?
Guess: the group of bananas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: He wished he could be eaten like them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where were the bananas eaten?
Guess: at work
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened one day?
Guess: a little boy picked him up
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did this make him sad?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the boy say?
Guess: "Ewwww!!!"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: because he was fake fruit
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he spit back in the bowl?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where at then?
Guess: all over the floor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he make it back into the bowl?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By who?
Guess: The boy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he enjoy the adventure?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who did he smile to?

himself