Here's a short story:

Near East (French: Proche-Orient) is a geographical term that roughly encompasses Western Asia. Despite having varying definitions within different academic circles, the term was originally applied to the maximum extent of the Ottoman Empire. The term has fallen into disuse in English, and has been replaced by the term Middle East. 

The Encyclopædia Britannica defines the Near East as including Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Georgia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, the West Bank, and Yemen. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations defines the region similarly, but also includes Afghanistan while excluding the countries of North Africa and the Palestinian territories. According to the National Geographic Society, the terms Near East and Middle East denote the same territories and are 'generally accepted as comprising the countries of the Arabian Peninsula, Cyprus, Egypt, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Palestinian territories, Syria, and Turkey'. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many countries are in an encyclopedia's definition of a term?
Guess: 22
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the term?
Guess: the Near East
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is that term still used?
Guess: not in English
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is used now?
Guess: Middle East.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is a more rough definition of the area?
Guess: Western Asia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was it used at the beginning?
Guess: it applied to the maximum extent of the Ottoman Empire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the French version of the term?
Guess: Proche-Orient
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What areas does  a society think is a part of it?
Guess: the countries of the Arabian Peninsula, Cyprus, Egypt, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Palestinian territories, Syria, and Turkey'.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Do groups agree on the meaning of it?

No