Here's a short story:

(CNN)Fine starts to 2015 for world number one Rory McIlroy and his arch-rival Rickie Fowler, a superb 64 from first round leader Martin Kaymer and aces for England's Tom Lewis and Spanish veteran Miguel Angel Jimenez. 

The first day of the HSBC Abu Dhabi Championship Thursday was nothing but eventful as a top class field jostled for position at the top of the leader board. 

Most eyes were on the partnership of McIlroy and his American rival Fowler, teeing off early at Abu Dhabi GC, and they did not disappoint, both carding five-under rounds of 67. 

But last year's U.S. Open champion Kaymer, a three-time winner at the venue, later upstaged them with a blistering eight-under 64, which included 10 birdies, a personal best for him, he told the official European Tour website. 

"I putted well. I made 10 birdies. I'm not sure if I have ever done it on a golf course, hit 10 birdies. I hit a lot of fairways, my irons were quite sharp and I putted well. It's very difficult to shoot a bad score when you play like this. 

His late charge denied Belgium's Thomas Pieters (65) the honor of first day leadership, while there was a five-strong group on 66, consisting of Branden Grace, Gregory Bourdy, Tyrell Hatton, Alexander Levy and Mikko Ilonen. 

McIlroy, looking to add to his two majors of last year in 2015, made a slow start but a rally on his back nine, with five birdies in six holes, left him in a challenging position.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was Thursday?
Guess: HSBC Abu Dhabi Championship
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which match were most people watching?
Guess: McIlroy and his American rival Fowler
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they score ?
Guess: 67
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Kaymer?
Guess: last year's U.S. Open champion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many birdies did he get?
Guess: 10
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his score?
Guess: 64
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he think he putted?
Guess: well
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is McIlroy hoping to do?
Guess: add to his two majors
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did he win those?
Guess: last year
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many birdies did  he get?
Guess: five
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: in how many holes?

six