Here's a short story:

Same-sex marriage, also known as gay marriage is marriage between people of the same sex, either as a secular civil ceremony or in a religious setting. The term marriage equality refers to a political status in which same-sex marriage and opposite-sex marriage are considered legally equal. 

In the late 20th century, rites of marriage for same-sex couples without legal recognition became increasingly common. The first law providing for marriage of people of the same sex in modern times was enacted in 2001 in the Netherlands. , same-sex marriage is legally recognized (nationwide or in some parts) in the following countries: Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Colombia, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, the United States and Uruguay. Same-sex marriage is likely to soon become legal in Taiwan, after a constitutional court ruling in May 2017. Polls show rising support for legally recognizing same-sex marriage in the Americas, Australia and most of Europe. However, as of 2017, South Africa is the only African country where same-sex marriage is recognized. Taiwan would become the first country in Asia to legalize same-sex marriage if the Civil Code is amended. Israel and Armenia recognise same-sex marriages performed outside the country for some purposes. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the article about?
Guess: Same-sex marriage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In how many countries is it legal?
Guess: 24 (if I counted right)
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which was first?
Guess: Netherlands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: in 2001
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where might be next?
Guess: Taiwan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it common in Africa?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many places is it legal?
Guess: One
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: South Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What are other terms for this?

gay marriage