Here's a short story:

Johannesburg (; ; also known as Jozi, Joburg and Egoli) is the largest city in South Africa and is one of the 50 largest urban areas in the world. It is the provincial largest city in Gauteng, which is the wealthiest province in South Africa. While Johannesburg is not one of South Africa's three capital cities, it is the seat of the Constitutional Court. The city is located in the mineral-rich Witwatersrand range of hills and is the centre of large-scale gold and diamond trade. 

In 2011, the population of the city of Johannesburg was 4,434,827, making it the largest city in South Africa. In the same year, the population of Greater Johannesburg Metropolitan Area was 7,860,781. Some view the area surrounding the city of Johannesburg yet more broadly than the metropolitan area, adding Ekurhuleni, West Rand and Lenasia; that larger area had a population of 8,434,292 in 2011. The land area of the municipal city () is large in comparison with those of other major cities, resulting in a moderate population density of . 

The city was established in 1886 following the discovery of gold on what had been a farm. The name is attributed to one or all of three men involved in the establishment of the city. In ten years, the population was 100,000 inhabitants. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: In what country is Johannesburg?
Guess: South Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What province?
Guess: Gauteng
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does the province rank in terms of commerce?
Guess: wealthiest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was the city built?
Guess: the discovery of gold
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 1886
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is its population?
Guess: 4,434,827
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it shortly after foundation?
Guess: 100,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How dense is it?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the city built in a geographically flat area?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What sort of commerce often takes place in the city?
Guess: gold and diamond trade.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is named after?

one or all of three men involved in the establishment of the city