Here's a short story:

Nana had a bunch of money. She had saved money her whole life. But Nana was afraid of people stealing her money. She planned to hide it. First she moved it around in her house and hid it behind a wall. Then she put her money in the attic. But she still didn't feel safe about her money. She was sure someone would find it. Finally she took it outside and started digging in the ground. She buried it in the ground so no one would find it. "It is going be safe here," said Nana. She was very pleased that she had hidden her money so well. The next day after breakfast, she went outside to make sure her money was still there. She stopped at the spot she thought she had buried it and began digging. After some time she hadn't found it. She climbed out of the hole and looked around. She had used a tree as a way to mark the spot. But she couldn't tell which tree. The wind was blowing and the trees all looked the same! She had used a brown spot on the ground to mark the spot. But she couldn't tell which brown spot it was! She knew she wasn't lost. Nana had hidden her money so well that no one could find it, and that included her! (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did granny have a bunch of?
Guess: money
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long had she been saving?
Guess: her whole life
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and what did she plan to do with it?
Guess: hide it
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and where did she hide it?
Guess: behind a wall
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and where next?
Guess: in the attic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did she think it was hid well?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did she hide it next?
Guess: in the ground
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did she go make sure it was still there?
Guess: The next day
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what kind of mark on the ground did she use to know where it was?

a brown spot