Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Tjaart van der Walt will seek to upstage two of his most illustrious golfing compatriots and win his first professional tournament at the Africa Open on Sunday. 

The 37-year-old goes into the final round tied for the lead with 2010 British Open champion Louis Oosthuizen and one shot ahead of two-time U.S. Open winner Retief Goosen after carding a superb eight-under-par 65 in East London on Saturday. 

Van der Walt, who finished second in a 2005 U.S. PGA Tour event, eliminated Oosthuizen's two-shot overnight lead as he started with four successive birdies and -- like his fellow South African -- picked up a shot at the final hole. 

The world No. 347's only blemish at his home event came at the par-four eighth hole, and he was confident he could contend for his first title since turning pro in 1996 in the opening event of the 2012 European Tour season. 

"At the end of the day, the golf ball doesn't know that they are major champions," he said of his rivals. "I've played at the highest level, I've never won majors or big events, so who knows what can happen. 

"I do feel as if I am controlling the golf ball as well as I have in a long time. Not just tee to green, but on the greens as well. And that's a good sign for me. I'm entitled to forget the one bad shot I hit all day." 

Defending champion Oosthuizen's only lapse came at the par-five 11th hole as he took four shots to reach the green.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is happening Sunday?
Guess: Africa Open
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is seeking to win?
Guess: Tjaart van der Walt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How?
Guess: bu upstaging two of his most illustrious golfing compatriots
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has he won before?
Guess: not as a professional
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he in the world?
Guess: 347
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is he?
Guess: 37
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is he close to in the rankings?
Guess: Louis Oosthuizen and Retief Goosen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he tied with them?
Guess: tied for the lead Louis Oosthuizen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he playing away?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he become a professional?
Guess: 1996
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has he ever won a major event?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he say?
Guess: I do feel as if I am controlling the golf ball as well as I have in a long time.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who won this last year?
Guess: Louis Oosthuizen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his best finish?
Guess: second
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 2005
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: U.S. PGA Tour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has he messed up in the event?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When?

par-four eighth hole