Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Billy Ray Cyrus may be a country boy at heart, but he is also pretty savvy when it comes to navigating Hollywood. 

Billy Ray Cyrus has a full plate with acting, touring, composing and being a dad. 

When others wrote him off as a novelty act after the 1992 hit "Achy Breaky Heart," Cyrus kept making music and eventually turned to acting. 

It was a decision he said came after some well-timed fatherly advice. 

"In the mid-'90s, my dad said to me 'Son, you've got all of your eggs in one basket and you are living and dying by music,' " Cyrus recalled. "He said 'I want you to have a career like Kenny Rogers.' " 

Cyrus said his dad suggested he branch out into acting. Cyrus eventually auditioned for and won a role in what appeared to be an unlikely vehicle -- David Lynch's 2001 film "Mulholland Drive." 

After Lynch, known for such works as "Blue Velvet" and "Twin Peaks," suggested that Cyrus should continue to pursue the craft, he went on to star in the television drama "Doc," which also helped spur the career of Cyrus' greatest production -- "Hannah Montana" star, and Cyrus' daughter, Miley Cyrus. 

Now, with the release of "Hannah Montana: The Movie" on Blu-ray and DVD, a music tour and an upcoming role in a film featuring comedian George Lopez and martial arts expert Jackie Chan, Cyrus is staying busy. 

He recently took some time out of his hectic schedule to talk to CNN about how he keeps it all together, how he manages raising a family full of performers (son Trace is a member of the band Metro Station, daughter Brandi performs with the band Frank and Derol and also acts, as do younger children Braison and Noah) and what makes him a good fit for Hollywood.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who told Cyrus to try acting?
Guess: his dad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: he wanted him to have a career
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of career did he want for him?
Guess: one like Kenny Rogers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Before acting what was he focused on?
Guess: music
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his first famous song?
Guess: Achy Breaky Heart
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year was that released?
Guess: 1992
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did people view him after that?
Guess: as a novelty act
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did his dad suggest acting?
Guess: In the mid-'90s,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his first part?
Guess: a role in Mulholland Drive
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year was that?
Guess: 2001
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose movie was it?
Guess: David Lynch's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else was Lynch known for?
Guess: Blue Velvet and Twin Peaks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Cyrus in after that?
Guess: Doc
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What that another movie?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: a television drama
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is his daughter?
Guess: Miley Cyrus
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is her job?
Guess: an actress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is she known for?
Guess: Hannah Montana
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he have more kids?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how many?

four