Here's a short story:

CHAPTER 11. FETTERS BROKEN 

Then long and loud the victor shout From turret and from tower rang out; The rugged walls replied. SCOTT, Lord of the Isles. 

'Sir, I have something to show you.' 

It was the early twilight of a summer's morning when Ringan crept up to the shelter of pine branches under which George Douglas was sleeping, after hotly opposing Gebhardt, who had nearly persuaded his master that retreat was inevitable, unless he meant to be deserted by more than half his men. 

George sat up. 'Anent the ladies?' he said. 

Ringan bowed his head, with an air of mystery and George doubted no longer, but let him lead the way, keeping among the brushwood to the foot of the quarry whence the castle had been built. It had once been absolutely precipitous, no doubt, but the stone was of a soft quality, on which weather told: ivy and creepers had grown on it, and Ringan pointed to what to dwellers on plains might have seemed impracticable, but to those who had bird's-nested on the crags of Tantallon had quite a different appearance. True, there was castle wall and turret above, but on this, the weather side, there had likewise been a slight crumbling, which had been neglected, perhaps from over security, perhaps on account of the extreme difficulty of repairing, where there was the merest ledge for foothold above the precipitous quarry; indeed, the condition of the place might never even have been perceived by the inhabitants, as there were no traces of the place below having been frequented.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who bowed his head?
Guess: Ringan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who followed him to the edge of the quarry?
Guess: George
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What had been erected there?
Guess: The castle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How hard was the stone?
Guess: It was soft.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was growing up  it?
Guess: ivy and creepers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Would people who live on land think the castle was practical?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What people would have?
Guess: People from Tantallon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was the castle falling down on one side?

Yes