Here's a short story:

The biggest change in this year's census was in racial classification. Enumerators were instructed to no longer use the "Mulatto" classification. Instead, they were given special instructions for reporting the race of interracial persons. A person with both white and black ancestry (termed "blood") was to be recorded as "Negro," no matter the fraction of that lineage (the "one-drop rule"). A person of mixed black and American Indian ancestry was also to be recorded as "Neg" (for "Negro") unless he was considered to be "predominantly" American Indian and accepted as such within the community. A person with both White and American Indian ancestry was to be recorded as an Indian, unless his American Indian ancestry was small, and he was accepted as white within the community. In all situations in which a person had White and some other racial ancestry, he was to be reported as that other race. Persons who had minority interracial ancestry were to be reported as the race of their father. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was there a term related to race that was taken out of the census?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: Mulatto
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: One with White and American Indian heritage would be classified as what?
Guess: Indian
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a shortened version of the term Negro that could be used?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it?
Guess: Neg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How could one with mixed Indian and White heritage be accepted as White?
Guess: If his American Indian ancestry was small, and he was accepted as white within the community.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which parent's heritage was deferred to in some mixed heritage situations?
Guess: Father
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the largest alteration in this year's census?
Guess: Racial classification
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Is "blood" another way of referring to heritage?

Yes