Here's a short story:

British Columbia is the westernmost province of Canada, with a population of more than four and a half million people. It is located between the Pacific Ocean and the Rocky Mountains. British Columbia is also a component of the Pacific Northwest and the Cascadia bioregion, along with American states Alaska, Idaho, Montana (western portion), Oregon and Washington. 

The first British settlement in the area was Fort Victoria, established in 1843, which gave rise to the city of Victoria, at first the capital of the separate Colony of Vancouver Island. Subsequently, on the mainland, the Colony of British Columbia (1858–66) was founded by Richard Clement Moody and the Royal Engineers, Columbia Detachment, in response to the Fraser Canyon Gold Rush. Moody was Chief Commissioner of Lands and Works for the Colony and the first Lieutenant-Governor of British Columbia: he was hand-picked by the Colonial Office in London to transform British Columbia into the British Empire's "bulwark in the farthest west", and "to found a second England on the shores of the Pacific". Moody selected the site for and founded the original capital of British Columbia, New Westminster, established the Cariboo Road and Stanley Park, and designed the first version of the Coat of arms of British Columbia. Port Moody is named after him. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many people live in British Columbia?
Guess: more than four and a half million people.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was established in 1843?
Guess: The first British settlement in the area
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which was?
Guess: Fort Victoria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did this give rise to?
Guess: the city of Victoria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was founded by Richard Clement Moody?
Guess: the Colony of British Columbia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: where was this located?

on the mainland