Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XI. 

Ike Watson's Arrival 

Let us go back to Allen. 

We left him just as the sound made by Paul's horse aroused the leader of the horse thieves, whose full name was Saul Mangle. 

"The feller that went over into the river, as sure as fate!" burst from the lips of Mangle, and he started back in astonishment. 

"Impossible!" cried Darry, the second man. "That feller must have been killed!" 

"See for yourself." 

With these words Saul Mangle sprang forward to stop Allen, who was about to mount Jasper. He reached the young man's side as Allen gained the saddle. 

"Come down out of that!" he cried, roughly. 

"Not much!" returned the young man. "Clear the track, unless you want to be run down!" 

He urged the horse forward. Jasper started, but ere he had taken three steps, Mangle caught him by the bridle. 

"Whoa!" he cried. "Whoa, I say!" 

"Let the horse go, do you hear?" ejaculated Allen, sharply. 

"I won't do it! Darry! Jeff! Come here, why don't you?" 

The others leaped into the brush. Allen saw that affairs were turning against him. He leaned forward to Jasper's neck. 

Smack! Mangle caught a sharp blow full across his mouth. It came so quickly that he staggered back and his hold was loosened. 

"On, Jasper, on, my boy!" cried Allen, slapping the animal with his palm. "Come, Rush! Come, Rush!" he added to Chet's horse, which stood close beside. 

Off went Jasper with a bound, and Rush followed at his heels.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was the leader of the horse thieves?
Guess: Saul Mangle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was named Jasper?
Guess: a horse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was trying to ride him?
Guess: Allen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Mangle prevent him from escaping?
Guess: he caught him by the bridle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he cry when he grabbed the horse?
Guess: Whoa!
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he ask to help?
Guess: Jeff
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anyone else?
Guess: Darry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there another horse?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was it's name?
Guess: Rush
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did it belong to?
Guess: Che
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did the horse follow them?

yes