Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Jack Klugman, best known as messy sports writer Oscar Madison in TV's "The Odd Couple," died Monday at his California home, his son Adam said. He was 90. 

His lawyer, Larry Larson, said he died at his house in Northridge, just north of Los Angeles, with his wife by his side. 

Veteran actor William Shatner tweeted: "Condolences go out to the family of Jack Klugman. An extraordinary and talented man. He will be missed." 

Klugman, who won two Emmys for his role in the early 1970s sitcom, also starred in "Quincy, M.E." as medical examiner Dr. R. Quincy from 1976 to 1983. 

He told Larry King in 2001 that he played Madison on Broadway before the TV show debuted. 

"So when (executive producer) Garry Marshall called me, I thought he'd seen me do it on Broadway and that's why he wanted me. He said, 'No, I never saw you.' I said, 'So why did you want me?' He said, 'Well, I saw you in 'Gypsy,' and Ethel Merman was singing to you, and she was spitting all over you.' " 

Marshall continued, Klugman said: " 'You know, that's a good actor, he's not showing that she's spitting all over him.' That's why he hired me." 

The show, based on a Neil Simon play, was the hilarious story of two recently divorced men who became mismatched roommates. Madison was the gruff, wisecracking slob. Felix Unger, played by the late Tony Randall, was the neurotic neat freak who was a professional photographer.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What awards did Jack Klugman win?
Guess: Emmys.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he win for?
Guess: His role in an early 1970's sitcom.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which role was he best known for?
Guess: Oscar Madison.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who played his roommate in the show?
Guess: Tony Randall.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was he hired for the show?
Guess: Garry Marshall saw him perfrom in 'Gypsy'.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the tv show the first time he played the role of Oscar Madison?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When or where did he play it before?

On broadway.