Here's a short story:

The red fox slowly walked out of his den he lives in; his own house in the ground. His eyes bounced side to side as he made sure the coast was clear, then he ran down the path of autumn leaves. As he reached the end there was a an apple tree without leaves, but still one shiny red colored apple hung from a branch. He climbed up a nearby rock and took a running start towards the branch, jumping and barely grabbing on. He slowly crawled along the branch towards the shiny apple, and as he drew close, he reached out a paw towards the apple. He knocked the apple from the branch and it to the forest floor. The fox slipped and he fell off the branch, but landed safely in a pile of leaves near the apple. He picked up the apple in his mouth and quickly brought it back to his warm den. When he arrived back home, his two fox kits were waiting for him with hungry tummies. Spring, summer, autumn, or winter, it was always warm in the fox den. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what was in the tree?
Guess: an apple
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who saw it?
Guess: the red fox
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where does he live?
Guess: his den
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is that located?
Guess: in the ground
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it summer?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what season is it?
Guess: autumn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: are the trees bare?

yes