Here's a short story:

In February 1907, the Royal Dutch Shell Group was created through the amalgamation of two rival companies: the Royal Dutch Petroleum Company of the Netherlands and the "Shell" Transport and Trading Company Ltd of the United Kingdom. It was a move largely driven by the need to compete globally with Standard Oil. The Royal Dutch Petroleum Company was a Dutch company founded in 1890 to develop an oilfield in Sumatra, and initially led by August Kessler, Hugo Loudon, and Henri Deterding. The "Shell" Transport and Trading Company (the quotation marks were part of the legal name) was a British company, founded in 1897 by Marcus Samuel, 1st Viscount Bearsted, and his brother Samuel Samuel. Their father had owned an antique company in Houndsditch, London, which expanded in 1833 to import and sell sea-shells, after which the company "Shell" took its name. 

Shell was vertically integrated and is active in every area of the oil and gas industry, including exploration and production, refining, distribution and marketing, petrochemicals, power generation and trading. It has minor renewable energy activities in the form of biofuels and wind. It has operations in over 90 countries, produces around 3.1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day and has 44,000 service stations worldwide. Shell Oil Company, its subsidiary in the United States, is one of its largest businesses. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What company did Marcus Samuel form?
Guess: the "Shell" Transport and Trading Company
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it an American company?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What then?
Guess: British
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year was it founded?
Guess: 1897
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Marcus have a title?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: 1st Viscount
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he have a sibling?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Brother or sister?
Guess: brother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And his name?
Guess: Samuel Samuel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much oil does Shell produce per day?
Guess: 3.1 million barrels
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many of their services stations are there around the world?

44,000