Here's a short story:

Have you ever been to some big cities in the world? The information below will be helpful to you. Budapest For many centuries, Budapest was two cities, with Buda on the west side of the river Danube and Pest on the east side. Budapest became one city in 1872, and it has been the capital city of Hungary for about eighty years. The population of Budapest is about three million, and the city is a very popular place for tourists. Visitors like to take boat rides along the Danube. Budapest is also known for its exciting nightlife. The best time to visit is summer since Budapest is very cold in winter. Los Angeles Los Angeles was founded in 1781. With 3.5 million people it is now the biggest city in California and the second largest city in the United States. It is famous for its modern highways, its movie stars, and its smog. When the city is really smoggy, you can't see the near-by Mountains. The weather is usually dry and warm. Visitors like to go to the film studios and to drive along Hollywood Street. There are many good beaches near the city, and Los Angeles is also close to Disneyland. Taipei Since the founding of Taipei in the 18th century, the city has grown to a population of 2.3 million. Taipei is an exciting city, but the weather is humid and not always pleasant. It's also a very busy city, and the streets are always full of people. There is an excellent museum that many people visit. Taipei is quite an expensive city, but not more expensive than some neighboring cities such as Hong Kong and Tokyo. So more and more travelers go to Taipei to shop. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was Budapest always one city?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many was it?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was one called?
Guess: Buda
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was it located?
Guess: the west side of the river
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the other?
Guess: Danube and Pest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was it located?
Guess: the east side
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did they combine?
Guess: in 1872
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it an important city in it's country?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live there?
Guess: The population of Budapest is about three million
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do other people visit?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do they do?
Guess: take boat rides
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: along the Danube
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When do people like to go?
Guess: summer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: because it's very cold in winter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was LA started?
Guess: 1781
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is the climate like there?

dry and warm