Here's a short story:

John was stuck in the middle of the ocean after his boat crashed and sank. He was worried about his friend who'd been in the boat with him. He knew that his friend has his life jacket on, so he tried not to worry too much about him. John was in a small box that fell out of the boat and kept him out of the water, floating. John had never been to sea before and one would wonder if he would ever after such a scary thing that happened to him. He sat in the box for days with no food or water, in and out of sleep. Three days later he woke up and saw land. Finally a beach was in sight, John could go home. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where was Joe?
Guess: in the middle of the ocean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: his boat crashed and sank
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he alone?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was he with?
Guess: his friend
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did his friend have?
Guess: life jacket
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was JOhn?
Guess: in  a small box
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it come from?
Guess: the boat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it help him?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how?
Guess: by floating
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he ever there before?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: HOw long was he there?
Guess: days
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did he not have?

food or water