Here's a short story:

There was a beautiful butterfly that was flying around in a park. It was the only one in there. It was pink. It was very pretty. A small boy saw it and wanted to put it in his pocket. He had a naughty look on his face. First he walked slowly to where the butterfly was. The butterfly had been sitting by a flower. When it saw the boy nearby, it started to fly away. The boy quickly started to chase it. He laughed as he ran. It was a game for him. The butterfly was scared. It flew very fast and very high in the air. The boy jumped up. The butterfly would not stay still. He jumped as far up as he could. He tried many, many times but he could not reach the butterfly. The butterfly flew away. The boy could not catch the butterfly. He left the park with a sad look on his face. He wanted to cry but did not. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many butterflies were in the park?
Guess: one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color was the butterfly?
Guess: pink
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did it become fearful?
Guess: the boy chased it
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was he chasing it?
Guess: it started to fly away
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do initially?
Guess: he walked slowly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he feel at first?
Guess: He laughed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he try to get it?
Guess: he jumped
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did he succeed?

no