Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXIII. THE OVERWHELMING ODDS 

At half-past ten that same evening, Blakeney, still clad in a workman's tattered clothes, his feet bare so that he could tread the streets unheard, turned into the Rue de la Croix Blanche. 

The porte-cochere of the house where Armand lodged had been left on the latch; not a soul was in sight. Peering cautiously round, he slipped into the house. On the ledge of the window, immediately on his left when he entered, a candle was left burning, and beside it there was a scrap of paper with the initials S. P. roughly traced in pencil. No one challenged him as he noiselessly glided past it, and up the narrow stairs that led to the upper floor. Here, too, on the second landing the door on the right had been left on the latch. He pushed it open and entered. 

As is usual even in the meanest lodgings in Paris houses, a small antechamber gave between the front door and the main room. When Percy entered the antechamber was unlighted, but the door into the inner room beyond was ajar. Blakeney approached it with noiseless tread, and gently pushed it open. 

That very instant he knew that the game was up; he heard the footsteps closing up behind him, saw Armand, deathly pale, leaning against the wall in the room in front of him, and Chauvelin and Heron standing guard over him. 

The next moment the room and the antechamber were literally alive with soldiers--twenty of them to arrest one man.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what was burning?
Guess: a candle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what city was he in?
Guess: Paris
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was between the door and main room?
Guess: soldiers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was it lit?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he heavyfooted?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he followed?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by whom?
Guess: Armand,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was being guarded?

Yes