Here's a short story:

Equatorial Guinea, officially the Republic of Equatorial Guinea, is a country located in Central Africa, with an area of . Formerly the colony of Spanish Guinea, its post-independence name evokes its location near both the Equator and the Gulf of Guinea. Equatorial Guinea is the only sovereign African state in which Spanish is an official language. , the country had an estimated population of 1,222,245. 

Equatorial Guinea consists of two parts, an insular and a mainland region. The insular region consists of the islands of Bioko (formerly "Fernando Pó") in the Gulf of Guinea and Annobón, a small volcanic island south of the equator. Bioko Island is the northernmost part of Equatorial Guinea and is the site of the country's capital, Malabo. The island nation of São Tomé and Príncipe is located between Bioko and Annobón. The mainland region, Río Muni, is bordered by Cameroon on the north and Gabon on the south and east. It is the location of Bata, Equatorial Guinea's largest city, and Oyala, the country's planned future capital. Rio Muni also includes several small offshore islands, such as Corisco, Elobey Grande, and Elobey Chico. The country is a member of the African Union, Francophonie, OPEC and the CPLP. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was the area formely called?
Guess: Spanish Guinea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many parts does it have?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which are?
Guess: insular and a mainland region
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Can you find volcanos here?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where exactly?
Guess: Bioko
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is there another name?
Guess: Fernando Pó
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the population?
Guess: 1,222,245
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is it located?
Guess: Central Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is its offical name?
Guess: the Republic of Equatorial Guinea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where would you find Corisco?
Guess: offshore
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where would you find Bioko?
Guess: northernmost
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the capital?
Guess: Malabo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the offical language?
Guess: Spanish
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: do many countries speak Spanish there?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many others do?
Guess: just the one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where is Rio Muni?

mainland