Here's a short story:

The seasons in Australia are not like ours. When it is winter in China, it is summer there. Australia is a southern country. It is in the south of the world. June, July and August are the winter months; September, October and November are spring; the summer is in December, January and February; and March, April and May are the autumn months. The north of the country is hotter than the south. A very large part of this country has no rain at all. The east coast has rain all year, and there are no dry months. The southeast winds blow the whole year. They bring rain from the sea. There is not much rain on the west side. The southeastern part of Australia has summer rain from the southeast winds. They only blow here in summer. The southwestern part of Australia has winter rain. The west winds blow over the southwest in winter only. In summer, the southwest of the country has no rain. In the north of Australia, there is no rain in winter. The rain comes in summer. The northwest winds bring it. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the name of the country that has rain on the east coast all year?
Guess: Australia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What months make up spring there?
Guess: September, October and November
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What season is it in China when it's summer in Australia?
Guess: winter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it located in the north of the world?
Guess: Australia is a southern country
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the north of Australia hotter or colder than the south?
Guess: The north is hotter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How often do the southeast winds blow?
Guess: only in the summer.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When does the rain come in the north?
Guess: in the summer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What months make up summer?
Guess: December, January and February
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And what months are autumn?
Guess: March, April and May
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are the seasons there the same as ours?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Do the southeast winds blow all year?

yes