Here's a short story:

CHAPTER ELEVEN. 

TO THE RESCUE. 

Elsie and Cora Ravenshaw were seated at a table in Willow Creek, with their mother and Miss Trim, repairing garments, one night in that same inclement January of which we have been writing. 

Mr Ravenshaw was enjoying his pipe by the stove, and Louis Lambert was making himself agreeable. The old man was a little careworn. No news had yet been received of Tony or of Victor. In regard to the latter he felt easy; Victor could take care of himself, and was in good company, but his heart sank when he thought of his beloved Tony. What would he not have given to have had him smashing his pipe or operating on his scalp at that moment. 

"It is an awful winter," observed Elsie, as a gust of wind seemed to nearly blow in the windows. 

"I pity the hunters in the plains," said Cora. "They say a rumour has come that they are starving." 

"I heard of that, but hope it is not true," observed Lambert. 

"Oh! they always talk of starving," said old Ravenshaw. "No fear of 'em." 

At that moment there was a sound of shuffling in the porch, the door was thrown open, and a gaunt, haggard man, with torn, snow-sprinkled garments, pale face, and bloodshot eyes, stood pictured on the background of the dark porch. 

"Baptiste Warder!" exclaimed Lambert, starting up. 

"Ay, what's left o' me; and here's the remains o' Winklemann," said Warder, pointing to the cadaverous face of the starving German, who followed him.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Mr Ravenshaw like?
Guess: his pipe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: by the stove
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anyone else in the room?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Louis Lambert
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he doing?
Guess: making himself agreeable
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was at the table?
Guess: Elsie and Cora Ravenshaw
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: in Willow Creek
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anyone else?
Guess: their mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were they doing?
Guess: repairing garments
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was it the summer?

No