Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XI 

BORROWDEAN SHOWS HIS "HAND" 

"To be plain with you," Borrowdean remarked, "Mannering's defection would be irremediable. He alone unites Redford, myself, and--well, to put it crudely, let us say the Imperialistic Liberal Party with Manningham and the old-fashioned Whigs who prefer the ruts. There is no other leader possible. Redford and I talked till daylight this morning. Now, can nothing be done with Mannering?" 

"To be plain with you, too, then, Sir Leslie," Berenice answered, "I do not think that anything can be done with him. In his present frame of mind I should say that he is better left alone. He has worked himself up into a thoroughly sentimental and nervous state. For the moment he has lost his sense of balance." 

Borrowdean nodded. 

"Desperate necessity," he said, "sometimes justifies desperate measures. We need Mannering, the country and our cause need him. If argument will not prevail there is one last alternative left to us. It may not be such an alternative as we should choose, but beggars must not be choosers. I think that you will know what I mean." 

"I have no idea," Berenice answered. 

"You are aware," he continued, "that there is in Mannering's past history an episode, the publication of which would entail somewhat serious consequences to him." 

"Well?" 

It was a most eloquent monosyllable, but Borrowdean had gone too far to retreat. 

"I propose that we make use of it," he said. "Mannering's attitude is rankly foolish, or I would not suggest such a thing. But I hold that we are entitled, under the circumstances, to make use of any means whatever to bring him to his senses."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What chapter is this?
Guess: CHAPTER XI
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is going to show his hand?
Guess: BORROWDEAN
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What would Mannering's defection be?
Guess: irremediable
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does he alone unite?
Guess: Redford, myself, and the Imperialistic Liberal Party with Manningham and the old-fashioned Whigs
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who has no idea?
Guess: Berenice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who's he plain with?
Guess: Sir Leslie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Berenice think anything can be done with him?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why would he be better left alone?
Guess: In his present frame, he has worked himself up into a thoroughly sentimental and nervous state
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he retain his sense of balance?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many other leaders are possible?
Guess: one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are the Whigs very modern?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Mannering have some dark stuff in his past that he doesn't want to get out?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had gone too far to retreat?
Guess: Borrowdean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Mannering's attitude?
Guess: rankly foolish
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Borrowdean think it's ok to blackmail Mannering?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What sometimes justifies desperate measures?
Guess: Desperate necessity
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What must beggars not also be?
Guess: choosers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Does the country need Mannering?

Yes