Here's a short story:

Muhammad (; ; c. 570 CE – 8 June 632 CE) is the prophet and founder of Islam. According to Islamic doctrine, he was God's Messenger, sent to confirm the essential teachings of monotheism preached previously by Adam, Abraham, Moses, Jesus, and other prophets. He is viewed as the final prophet of God in all the main branches of Islam, though some modern denominations diverge from this belief. Muhammad united Arabia into a single Muslim polity and ensured that his teachings, practices, and the Quran formed the basis of Islamic religious belief. 

Born approximately 570CE (Year of the Elephant) in the Arabian city of Mecca, Muhammad was orphaned at an early age; he was raised under the care of his paternal uncle Abu Talib. Periodically, he would seclude himself in a mountain cave named Hira for several nights of prayer; later, at age 40, he reported being visited by Gabriel in the cave, where he stated he received his first revelation from God. Three years later, in 610, Muhammad started preaching these revelations publicly, proclaiming that "God is One", that complete "surrender" (lit. "islām") to him is the right course of action ("dīn"), and that he was a prophet and messenger of God, similar to the other prophets in Islam. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is this article about?
Guess: Muhammad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Around when was he born?
Guess: 570 CE
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And died?
Guess: 632 CE
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he unite?
Guess: Arabia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he born?
Guess: Mecca
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which animal was the symbol for the year he was born?
Guess: Elephant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does Islam literally mean?
Guess: surrender
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he cared for by his grandfather?
Guess: no, by paternal uncle Abu Talib
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why?

was orphaned