Here's a short story:

Cornwall is a ceremonial county in the United Kingdom. It is also a unitary authority area of England, administered by Cornwall Council. The county is bordered to the north and west by the Celtic Sea, to the south by the English Channel, and to the east by the county of Devon, over the River Tamar which forms most of the border between them. Cornwall has a population of and covers an area of . The ceremonial county of Cornwall also includes the Isles of Scilly, which are administered separately. The administrative centre of Cornwall, and only city in the county, is Truro. 

Cornwall forms the westernmost part of the South West Peninsula of the island of Great Britain. The furthest south-western point of the island is Land's End; the southernmost point is Lizard Point. Cornwall is the homeland of the Cornish people and the cultural and ethnic origin of the Cornish diaspora. It retains a distinct cultural identity that reflects its unique history, and is recognised as one of the Celtic nations. It was formerly a Brythonic kingdom and subsequently a royal duchy. The Cornish nationalist movement contests the present constitutional status of Cornwall and seeks greater autonomy within the United Kingdom in the form of a devolved legislative Cornish Assembly and powers similar to those in Wales and Scotland. Cornwall has been a unitary authority since the 2009 structural changes to local government in England. In 2014, Cornish people were granted minority status under the European Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities, giving Cornish people recognition as a distinct ethnic group. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is the article about?
Guess: Cornwall
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is this a nation?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is it then?
Guess: ceremonial county
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: United Kingdom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the furthest point in the south-west?
Guess: Land's End
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and what about the southern point?
Guess: Lizard Point
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the only city in the county called?
Guess: Truro
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is this the administrative centre as well?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does it have a unique culture?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does it reflect?
Guess: unique history
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which sea borders it?
Guess: Celtic Sea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: north and west
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is the English channel?
Guess: south
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does it have any counties next to it?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: which one?

Devon