Here's a short story:

Paul woke up at 8. He was very happy because today he got to go to his favorite thing, the fair. Paul's mother Beth was taking him to the fair. After finishing breakfast at 9, Paul got in the car with his mom. At 10 they got to Jim's house to pick him up. Jim was Paul's best friend. Then at 11, they picked up Beth's boyfriend Hank. After driving for one more hour they all finally got to the fair at 12. They had all been looking forward to this for a very long time. Beth was a bit annoyed by having to drive so much to get here, but she loved her son very much so the trouble was okay. Everyone had a great time, most of all, Paul. Gail's favorite ride was Ferris. Hank's favorite ride was the Ghoster. It was very scary. Paul's favorite ride was the same as Hank's. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who woke up?
Guess: Paul
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: at 8
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did he feel?
Guess: very happy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: the fair.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who took him?
Guess: Paul's mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was she married?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long did it take to get there?
Guess: 3 hours
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many people were in the vehicle?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Paul do before getting in the vehicle?
Guess: eat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long was the trip to Jim's home?
Guess: 1 hour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did beth enjoy the trip to the fair?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did she feel about her child?
Guess: she loved her son
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did she like the fair?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did she like it the most?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was hank's favorite?
Guess: the Ghoster
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: did paul and gail like the same one?

No