Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXV. 

CIRCUMSTANTIAL EVIDENCE. 

At first Jimmy thought they were the perpetrators of the deed, but almost immediately he recognized one of them as O'Donnell, the erstwhile traffic officer who had been promoted to a detective sergeancy since Jimmy had first met him. 

"Compton has been murdered," said Jimmy dully. "He is dead." 

"Put up your hands," snapped O'Donnell for the second time, "and be quick about it!" 

It was then for the first time that Jimmy realized the meaning that might be put upon his presence alone in the office with his dead employer. O'Donnell's partner searched him, but found no weapon upon him. 

"Where's the gat?" he asked. 

"Whoever did this probably took it with him," said Jimmy. "Find the watchman." 

They made Jimmy sit down in a corner, and while one of them guarded him the other called up central, made his report, and asked for an ambulance and the wagon. Then O'Donnell commenced to examine the room. A moment later he found an automatic behind the door across the room from where Compton's body lay. 

"Ever see this before?" asked O'Donnell, holding the pistol up to Jimmy. 

"If you're asking me if it's mine, no," said Jimmy. "I have a gun, but it's home. I never carry it. I didn't do this, O'Donnell," he continued. "There was no reason why I should do it, so instead of wasting your time on me while the murderer escapes you'd better get busy on some other theory, too. It won't do any harm, anyway."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the protagonist's name?
Guess: Jimmy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he recognize?
Guess: O'Donnell
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were his first thoughts about them?
Guess: they were the perpetrators
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was O'Donnell's job?
Guess: traffic officer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And his current rank?
Guess: detective sergeant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Had he been demoted?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the sergeant order him to do?
Guess: Put up his hands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the officer say he could take his time?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What crime had been committed?
Guess: murder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the name of the victim?

Compton