Here's a short story:

CHAPTER FIFTEEN. 

MURDER! 

The planting time came round at Pitcairn, and all was busy activity in the little settlement at Bounty Bay. The women, engaged in household work and in the preparation of food, scarcely troubled themselves to cast an anxious eye on the numerous children who, according to age and capacity, rolled, tumbled, staggered, and jumped about in noisy play. The sun, streaming through the leaves of the woods, studded shady places with balls of quivering light, and blazed in fierce heat in the open where the men were at work, each in his respective garden. We have said that those gardens lay apart, at some distance from each other, and were partially concealed by shrubs or undulating knolls. 

The garden of John Williams was farthest off from the settlement. He wrought in it alone on the day of which we write. Next to it was that of Fletcher Christian. He also worked alone that day. 

About two hundred yards from his garden, and screened from it by a wooded rising ground, was a piece of plantation, in which John Mills, William McCoy, and Menalee were at work together. John Adams, William Brown, and Isaac Martin were working in their own gardens near their respective houses, and Quintal was resting in his hut. So was Edward Young, who, having been at work since early morning, had lain down and fallen into a deep slumber. 

The three native men, Timoa, Nehow, and Tetaheite, were still away in the woods. If the unfortunate Englishmen had known what these men were about, they would not have toiled so quietly on that peaceful morning!  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was resting in his hut?
Guess: Edward Young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was toiling quietly?
Guess: Englishmen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: whose garden was furthest from the rest?
Guess: John Williams
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he work with anyone?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many others worked with Mills?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did what the children do depend on anything?
Guess: rolled, tumbled, staggered, and jumped about in noisy play
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: their activity was according to what?
Guess: age and capacity
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many men were still in the woods?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were they native?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what time was it in Pitcairn?
Guess: planting time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did the women help the men in the gardens?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who had fallen asleep?
Guess: Quintal and Edward Young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: had he worked at all?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: when?

since early morning