Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Jurors did not reach a verdict in their first day of deliberations Monday in the trial of Steven Hayes, the man accused of killing three members of a Connecticut family in a 2007 home invasion. 

They are expected to resume their work Tuesday morning. 

Hayes, 47, who has pleaded not guilty, is on trial in New Haven, Connecticut, for the murders of Jennifer Hawke-Petit and her two daughters. 

The killings took place in the New Haven suburb of Cheshire early July 23, 2007. The home of William Petit, his wife, Hawke-Petit, and two daughters was invaded in the middle of the night by Hayes and co-defendant Joshua Komisarjevsky, prosecutors say. 

Komisarjevsky will be tried separately. 

Judge Jon Blue gave instructions Monday morning and told the jury: "You are the sole judges of the facts." 

"We're in the home stretch," the judge said after going over all 17 counts with the jury. "No one will hurry you to produce a verdict." 

Their first duty will be to pick a foreman, and their verdict must be unanimous, the judge reminded the jurors. 

Soon after starting their deliberations, the jurors asked for a transcript of an interview by a state police detective, who spoke to Hayes soon after his arrest. The judge offered to have the testimony read back -- which the jurors declined. 

Later in the day, they sent a note to the judge asking for a definition of what constitutes starting a fire.Their deliberations Monday ran just over 2 hours.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is on trial?
Guess: Hayes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many is he accused of killing?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: On what date?
Guess: 2007
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What month of that year?
Guess: July
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is he?
Guess: 47
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he have an accomplice?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Joshua Komisarjevsky
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he also facing trial?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Together with Hayes, or seperately?
Guess: separately
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the killings take place?
Guess: Cheshire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What city is it a suburb of?
Guess: New Haven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: At whose home?
Guess: William Petit
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many counts is Hayes facing?
Guess: 17
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he plead guilty?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day of deliberations just finished?
Guess: their first
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: On what day of the week?
Guess: Monday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was a decision made?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was their deliberation?
Guess: just over 2 hours
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What information did they request?
Guess: what constitutes starting a fire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What does the jury need to decide on, first?

a foreman