Here's a short story:

CHICAGO ---Call it a reward, or just "bribery ". 

Whichever it is, many parents today readily admit to buying off their children, who getgoodies for anything from behaving in a restaurant to sleeping all night in their own beds. 

That's what worries parenting experts. 

"I think that reward systems have a time and a place and work really well in certain situations," says Marcy Safyer, director of the Adelphi University Institute for Parenting. 

"But what often gets lost for people is being able to figure out how to communicate to their kids that doing the thing is rewarding enough," Safyer says. 

Parents and experts alike agree that thedynamic is partly a reflection of the world we live in. It's unrealistic to think a parent wouldn't reward their children with material things sometimes, says Robin Lanzi, a clinical psychologist and mother of four who's the research director at the Center on Health and Education at Georgetown University. 

"But you want to make sure that they match the behavior, so it's not something huge for something small," Lanzi says. 

She recalls hearing about a father who offered his child a Nintendo Wii game system for scoring a couple goals in a soccer game. 

Elizabeth Powell, a mother of two young daughters in Austin, Texas, knows what she means. 

"You want to raise them in a way that they're respectful and appreciate things," Powell says of her children. "But sometimes, you wonder now if kids appreciate even a new pair of shoes. " (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did a dad offer his kid for scoring some goals?
Guess: Nintendo Wii game system
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What game was the kid playing?
Guess: soccor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many kids does Elizabeth Powell have?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they both boys?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they young or old?
Guess: young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Will they die in some traumatic event?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does Elizabeth live?
Guess: Austin, Texas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's Robin Lanzi do for a living?
Guess: clinical psychologist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many kids does she have?

Four