Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IV 

ALAN AND BARBARA 

There was no bridge or billiards at the Court that night, where ordinarily the play ran high enough. After Mr. Haswell had been carried to his room, some of the guests, among them Sir Robert Aylward, went to bed, remarking that they could do no good by sitting up, while others, more concerned, waited to hear the verdict of the doctor, who must drive from six miles away. He came, and half an hour later Barbara entered the billiard room and told Alan, who was sitting there smoking, that her uncle had recovered from his faint, and that the doctor, who was to stay all night, said that he was in no danger, only suffering from a heart attack brought on apparently by over-work or excitement. 

When Alan woke next morning the first thing that he heard through his open window was the sound of the doctor's departing dogcart. Then Jeekie appeared and told him that Mr. Haswell was all right again, but that all night he had shaken "like one jelly." Alan asked what had been the matter with him, but Jeekie only shrugged his shoulders and said that he did not know--"perhaps Yellow God touch him up." 

At breakfast, as in her note she had said she would, Barbara appeared wearing a short skirt. Sir Robert, who was there, also looked extremely pale even for him and with black rims round his eyes, asked her if she were going to golf, to which she answered that she would think it over. It was a somewhat melancholy meal, and as though by common consent no mention was made of Jeekie's tale of the Yellow God, and beyond the usual polite inquiries, very little of their host's seizure.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who had to be carried?
Guess: Mr. Haswell
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to where?
Guess: his room
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from where?
Guess: the Court
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was there bridge or billboards there?
Guess: not that night
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was another guest?
Guess: Robert Aylward
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did he go?
Guess: to bed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: he could do no good by sitting up
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why did other people stay awake?
Guess: they were more concerned
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did they want to hear?
Guess: the verdict
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from who?
Guess: the doctor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how far away is he?
Guess: six miles away
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: did he show up?

yes