Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Before the Arab Spring came the Damascus Spring. When Bashar al-Assad succeeded his father Hafez Assad in 2000, there was the promise of a modern and more democratic Syria. 

In his inauguration speech, al-Assad indicated he would be a very different kind of leader to his father. "I shall try my very best to lead our country towards a future that fulfils the hopes and legitimate ambitions of our people," he said. 

And for a while that promise was kept. His official website says he has built free-trade zones, licensed more private newspapers and private universities, and fought government waste and corruption. He has also worked on social and economic reform. 

But while there have been some changes during his rule, many say al-Assad's promises have largely not been delivered. 

Human Rights Watch has called his time as president "the wasted decade" with a media that remains controlled by the state, a monitored and censored internet and prisons still filled with dissidents. 

Two former regime insiders -- now its opponents -- recalled their time with the younger al-Assad. Former vice president Abdel Halim Khaddam said Bashar was often the victim of his elder brother's cruelty. "His brother Basil bullied him as a child. His father never gave him as much attention as Basil," Khaddam said. 

Al-Assad's uncle Rifaat, who left Syria in 1984 after being involved in a failed coup, also recalled the future president. 

"He is very different than his father. Hafez was a leader, the head of the entire regime, while Bashar was never that close to being one and never fell within that framework. He is being perceived as the leader but he follows what the regime decides on his behalf."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What came before the Arab Spring?
Guess: Damascus Spring
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who succeeded his father?
Guess: Bashar al-Assad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was his father?
Guess: Hafez Assad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a promise?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what?
Guess: A more modern and democratic Syria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does his website say he built?
Guess: Free-trade zones
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anything else?
Guess: He fought government waste and corruption
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of reform has he worked on?
Guess: Social and economic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Have there been changes under his rule?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has he delivered on his promise?
Guess: Many say no.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did a group call his time as president?

The wasted decade