Here's a short story:

Alex was right next to his close friend when he heard a strange noise. He was afraid of this noise so he built a shield. From behind the shield, Alex had to shout, "Who is there?" Then he saw an animal that had a green stripe across its back. Alex was scared. Then the animal stepped into a plate filled with frosting and the animal slipped and fell on the ground. Alex had to be quiet so he could get to the out and to the playground without the animal hearing him. After he was far enough away, Alex started to run very fast. He ran and ran until he finally made it to the playground where he hid for the rest of the day in the sand box. When he felt safe he called his mother and had her pick him up and get away. When his mom got there, Alex said, "Thank you for coming to get me mom, I was so scared." His mom told him, "You are very welcome Alex. I'm here whenever you need me." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was he close to when he heard a noise?
Guess: his close friend
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and what kind of noise was it?
Guess: strange
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: so what did he build?
Guess: a shield
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what did he see?
Guess: an animal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind of marking did the animal have on it?
Guess: a green stripe across its back
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the animal step in?
Guess: a plate filled with frosting
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what did the animal do then?

slipped and fell on the ground