Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Portsmouth will play Chelsea in the FA Cup final after an upset 2-0 extra-time victory over Tottenham Hotspur in the second semifinal at Wembley on Sunday. 

French striker Frederic Piquionne opened the scoring for Avram Grant's men nine minutes into extra-time. 

Former Tottenham midfielder Kevin-Prince Boateng scored the second with three minutes remaining from the penalty spot after referee Alan Wiley awarded a spot kick as Wilson Palacios fouled Aruna Dindane. 

It was a humiliating defeat for Tottenham and their manager Harry Redknapp, who steered Portsmouth to FA Cup triumph in 2008 before leaving the cash-strapped club for White Hart Lane. 

His team went into the match as overwhelming favorites against a Pompey team who had been relegated from the Premier League the day before without playing, having been deducted nine points after going into administration. 

But all that was forgotten as their fanatical fans enjoyed a famous victory which owed much to good fortune and some excellent goalkeeping from England international David James. 

Their breakthrough goal could be credited to the appalling Wembley pitch as Spurs defender Michael Dawson slipped at a crucial moment and Piquionne took full advantage. 

Tottenham thought they had equalized almost immediately through Peter Crouch but Wiley ruled it out for a push on James. 

With Tottenham camped in the Pompey half, Dindane broke clear and although Palacios got the ball in his challenge he also pulled him down and Wiley had no hesitation in pointing to the spot. 

Spurs reject Boateng scored past Heurelho Gomes with relish to seal a famous cup victory.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What team with face Chelsea on Sunday?
Guess: Portsmouth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is this the final?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: the FA Cup
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who lost the semifinal?
Guess: Tottenham Hotspur
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did that happen?
Guess: Wembley
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the score?
Guess: 2-0
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there overtime?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What position does Kevin Prince Boateng play?
Guess: midfielder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he score the second goal?
Guess: with three minutes remaining
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he score from?
Guess: the penalty spot
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who scored the first?
Guess: Frederic Piquionne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: nine minutes into extra-time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his position?
Guess: striker
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was fouled?
Guess: Aruna Dindane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: By who?

Wilson Palacios