Here's a short story:

London (CNN) -- Sixty years ago Monday, a 25-year-old woman visiting a remote part of Kenya got a message that her father had died. 

She cut her trip short and flew home to London. Prime Minister Winston Churchill met her at the airport -- because with her father dead, she had become Queen Elizabeth II. 

Celebrations of her Diamond Jubilee, marking six decades on the throne, officially begin Monday and continue through June, when London will mark the anniversary of her coronation with festivities including up to 1,000 boats sailing up the River Thames. 

On Monday, the queen thanked the public "for the wonderful support and encouragement that you have given to me and (husband) Prince Philip over these years." 

She said in the open letter that she planned to "dedicate myself anew to your service." 

She called on people to "give thanks for the great advances that have been made since 1952 and to look forward to the future with clear head and warm heart" in a brief letter that she signed simply "Elizabeth R." 

She was honored with a 41-gun salute in London's Hyde Park Monday, and a 21-gun salute in Edinburgh, Scotland. 

Two new photographs of the queen were released Monday as part of the Diamond Jubilee celebrations, showing her wearing a necklace worn by Queen Victoria in her own Diamond Jubilee portrait in 1897. 

She is the oldest British monarch in history, but has not yet passed her great-great-grandmother Victoria as the longest-reigning one. 

Elizabeth II was not in line to the throne when she was born April 21, 1926. But the fate of Lilibet, as she was known to her friends, changed when her uncle Edward abdicated the thone to marry Wallis Simpson, an American divorcee.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is a Diamond Jubilee?
Guess: marks six decades on the English throne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long has Elizabeth II been Queen?
Guess: Sixty years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was she at that time?
Guess: 25
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is her husband?
Guess: Prince Philip
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does she sign her letters?
Guess: "Elizabeth R."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how was she honored on Monday?
Guess: gun salutes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did the recent photos released show?
Guess: her wearing a necklace of Queen Victoria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was she always in line to be queen?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what changed?
Guess: her uncle Edward abdicated the thone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why did he give it up?
Guess: to marry Wallis Simpson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the queen called by her friends?
Guess: Lilibet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is she the longest reigning monarch?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is?
Guess: Queen Victoria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how is she related to Elizabeth?

she is her great-great-grandmother