Here's a short story:

Aruba is a constituent country of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in the southern Caribbean Sea, located about west of the main part of the Lesser Antilles and north of the coast of Venezuela. It measures long from its northwestern to its southeastern end and across at its widest point. Together with Bonaire and Curaçao, Aruba forms a group referred to as the ABC islands. Collectively, Aruba and the other Dutch islands in the Caribbean are often called the Dutch Caribbean. 

Aruba is one of the four countries that form the Kingdom of the Netherlands, along with the Netherlands, Curaçao, and Sint Maarten; the citizens of these countries are all Dutch nationals. Aruba has no administrative subdivisions, but, for census purposes, is divided into eight regions. Its capital is Oranjestad. 

Unlike much of the Caribbean region, Aruba has a dry climate and an arid, cactus-strewn landscape. This climate has helped tourism as visitors to the island can reliably expect warm, sunny weather. It has a land area of and is densely populated, with a total of 102,484 inhabitants at the 2010 Census. It lies outside Hurricane Alley. 

Aruba's first inhabitants are thought to have been Caquetío Amerindians from the Arawak tribe, who migrated there from Venezuela to escape attacks by the Caribs. Fragments of the earliest known Indian settlements date back to 1000 AD. As sea currents made canoe travel to other Caribbean islands difficult, Caquetio culture remained more closely associated with that of mainland South America. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What Nation is Aruba a constituet country of?
Guess: the Netherlands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many countries form the kindom of Netherlands?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's it's climate like?
Guess: dry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does this differ than other Caribbean regions?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were it's first inhabitants thought to be?
Guess: Caquetío Amerindians
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did they Migrate to Aruba from?
Guess: Venezuela
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it's population as of 2010?
Guess: 102,484
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are it and other Dutch Islands often called?
Guess: Dutch Caribbean.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What sea is it in?
Guess: Caribbean Sea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are it's citizens considered Dutch Nationals?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it's capital?
Guess: Oranjestad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did the Caquetio culture remain more associated with?

that of mainland South America.