Here's a short story:

Uttar Pradesh (), abbreviated as UP, is the most populous state in the Republic of India as well as the most populous country subdivision in the world. The densely populated state, located in the northern region of the Indian subcontinent, has over 200 million inhabitants. It was created on 1 April 1937 as the United Provinces during British rule, and was renamed "Uttar Pradesh" in 1950. Lucknow is the capital city of Uttar Pradesh. The main ethnic group is the Hindi people, forming the demographic plurality. On 9 November 2000, a new state, Uttarakhand, was carved out from the Himalayan hill region of Uttar Pradesh. 

The state is bordered by Rajasthan to the west, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh and Delhi to the northwest, Uttarakhand and Nepal to the north, Bihar to the east, Madhya Pradesh to the south, and touches the states of Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh to the southeast. It covers , equal to 7.33% of the total area of India, and is the fourth largest Indian state by area. Hindi is the official and most widely spoken language in its 75 districts along with English. It is the second largest Indian state by economy, with a GDP of . Agriculture and service industries are the largest parts of the state's economy. The service sector comprises travel and tourism, hotel industry, real estate, insurance and financial consultancies. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many people live in Uttar Pradesh?
Guess: over 200 million
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much of India's land does it include?
Guess: 7.33%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does it rank in India as far as area?
Guess: it is the fourth largest Indian state
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is it located?
Guess: the northern region of the Indian subcontinent
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it get it's current name?
Guess: 1950
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it before?
Guess: the United Provinces
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who ruled it?
Guess: the British
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it begin?
Guess: 1 April 1937
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the ethnicity of most of the people?
Guess: Hindi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the capital?
Guess: Lucknow
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they lose part of a region?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: a new state, Uttarakhand, was carved out from the Himalayan hill region
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 9 November 2000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was created?
Guess: Uttarakhand
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is that a city?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it?
Guess: a state
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where does it place in Indian economies?

It is the second largest Indian state