Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXII 

COLONEL BARRINGTON IS CONVINCED 

It was not until early morning that Courthorne awakened from the stupor he sank into soon after Winston conveyed him into his homestead. First, however, he asked for a little food, and ate it with apparent difficulty. When Winston came in he looked up from the bed where he lay, with the dust still white upon his clothing, and his face showed gray and haggard in the creeping light. 

"I'm feeling a trifle better now," he said; "still, I scarcely fancy I could get up just yet. I gave you a little surprise last night?" 

Winston nodded. "You did. Of course, I knew how much your promise was worth, but in view of the risks you ran, I had not expected you to turn up at the Grange." 

"The risks!" said Courthorne, with an unpleasant smile. 

"Yes," said Winston wearily, "I have a good deal on hand I would like to finish here and it will not take me long, but I am quite prepared to give myself up now, if it is necessary." 

Courthorne laughed. "I don't think you need, and it wouldn't be wise. You see, even if you made out your innocence, which you couldn't do, you rendered yourself an accessory by not denouncing me long ago. I fancy we can come to an understanding which would be pleasanter to both of us." 

"The difficulty," said Winston, "is that an understanding is useless when made with a man who never keeps his word."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Did Winston take Courthorne somewhere?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: into his homestead
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he fall asleep?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he get back up?
Guess: early morning
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where had Winston found him?
Guess: the Grange
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was he surprised?

yes