Here's a short story:

Jess really felt very happy. When he arrived at his seat in the classroom that morning, he found an invitation on his desk. It was from some of his classmates asking him to join their camping trip. This was the first time he was asked to join in an out-of-school activity. Why were they asking him now? Nobody seemed to like him. In fact, he had been so lonely that he ate a lot to make himself feel less lonely. As a result, he had put on a lot of weight, and this gave the children something more to make fun of him. Cindy, who was standing near Jess when he read the invitation, went out quickly to tell the others that the trick had worked. Everyone was happy that Jess thought that was true. But there was no camping trip. The whole thing was made up. At first, Cindy thought it was fun. But later, when Jess told her that he was going to buy a sleeping bag with his pocket money, Cindy had a second idea. She knew that Jess's family had little money, and she hated to see him spend his pocket money on something he would never use. Cindy also hated to tell Jess the truth . Her close friends would be unhappy with her. What could she do now? (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Jesse find on his desk?
Guess: an invite
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: to go camping
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did people seem to like Jesse?
Guess: nope
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there really a camping trip?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who told everyone the trick worked?
Guess: Cindy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was Cindy conflicted in the end of the story?
Guess: she felt bad that he wasted his money
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were his class mades amused he beleived the invite?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Had Jesse been asked before to do anything with his classmates outside of school?

no