Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- A conservative billionaire businessman and a former center-left president will face off in a runoff election in Chile's presidential race, based on official early results released Sunday. 

With more than 98 percent of polling stations counted, billionaire businessman Sebastian Pinera led ex-president Eduardo Frei with 44 percent of the vote to Frei's 30 percent, Chile's interior ministry reported. 

"This is a victory for all the Chileans who want change," Pinera said Sunday night. 

Frei began campaigning for the second-round immediately, asking in a speech for the supporters of the two other candidates who had their presidential ambitions dashed to join his cause. 

Frei said if he is elected, women and young people will have an important role in his government. 

He explicitly asked for those who voted for Marco Enriquez-Ominami and Jorge Arrate, who were eliminated in Sunday's ballot, to vote for him in the runoff. 

In a concession speech, Enriquez-Ominami said that he would not endorse either candidate. 

The winner will follow the footsteps of a very popular president, Michelle Bachelet, who will be leaving office with high approval ratings for steering the country through the global economic downturn, and promoting progressive social reforms. Under Chile's constitutional term limits, a president cannot run for a second consecutive term. 

Bachelet endorsed Frei, a member of her same left-leaning coalition, but another leftist candidate who ran as an independent -- Enriquez-Ominami -- made an impressive run, pulling in 20 percent of the vote and splitting votes for the ruling party.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: whose footsteps will the winner follow?
Guess: Michelle Bachelet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does she have high approval ratings?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What country is the article about?
Guess: Chile
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the billionaire?
Guess: Sebastian Pinera
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are presidents allowed to run for a second term?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What percent does frei have?
Guess: 30 percent
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who are the other two candidates?
Guess: Marco Enriquez-Ominami and Jorge Arrate
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What will frei do if elected?
Guess: women and young people will have an important role in his government.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who will not endorse the candidates?
Guess: Enriquez-Ominami
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Michelle do?
Guess: steered the country through the global economic downturn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and?
Guess: promoted progressive social reforms
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did she endorse?
Guess: Frei
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was Frei ever a president?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much is pinera leading by?
Guess: 14 percent
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is Frei promoting?
Guess: change
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who did he say will have a role?

women and young people