Here's a short story:

Steve had a very long finger. It was the longest finger anyone in his town had. One day Steve shut the toilet seat, and his finger got caught in it. He couldn't get it out. It was very cold in the bathroom. This is why his sister brought him a coat. He was in the bathroom a long time. So, Steve started pasting a stone on the wall with glue on the end of his brush. Then he wrote the truth on this stone. He used a black pencil to write the truth on this stone, but the writing turned out blue. He did not know that his sister was watching him write the truth from the ceiling. He was upset because he always had a fear that he would have to share his secret power with his sister. It was too late, she saw that he wrote the truth on the stone. So he let her see his power. With a twirl of his long finger he magically made the toilet seat lift up. He could make things move with his mind. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what did steve have that was unusual?
Guess: a long finger
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did anyone else have one too?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did he trap it?
Guess: caught it in the toilet seat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was it warm there?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did steve stick tot he wall?
Guess: Steve started pasting a stone on the wal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: with what?
Guess: glue
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he do next?
Guess: wrote on the stone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did it say?
Guess: the truth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he write with a red pencil?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was the text pink?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what color was it?
Guess: blue
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did anyone see him?
Guess: his sister was watching him write the truth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he know that?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he happy?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how did he feel?

upset