Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Amy Poehler drew a standing ovation when she initiated an impromptu pageant during the outstanding lead actress in a comedy category at the 2011 Emmy Awards. 

At the 2012 Golden Globes, Tina Fey made viewers do a double take, photo-bombing Poehler as the nominees were announced for best actress in a TV comedy or musical. 

The "Parks and Recreation" and "30 Rock" stars have been stealing the spotlight at awards shows as presenters and nominees for years. As Suzy Byrne of Yahoo! Entertainment says, "It's almost like they've been practicing for this." 

"This" being their gig co-hosting the 70th Golden Globes, to air on NBC on January 13. The news, which broke Monday evening, was met with such excitement from fans, celebrities and the media that many were left wondering, "Seth Mac-who?" 

It was announced this month that "Family Guy" creator MacFarlane would host the 85th Academy Awards. It's still considered a great get for the Oscars, which have been fixated on attracting a younger demographic, but all anybody seems to care about is the Fey/Poehler Globes. 

Tim Brooks, an author, TV historian and former network executive, told The Hollywood Reporter of MacFarlane's appeal, "Younger viewers probably know the name, but he's not an A star." 

It should be noted, however, that MacFarlane's "Ted" recently broke a box office record: The flick about a teddy bear that comes to life has surpassed "The Hangover" as the highest-grossing non-sequel R-rated comedy worldwide. 

Meanwhile, Brooks said of the Globes pick, "Tina Fey is a good choice, particularly. She's appealing to younger and older viewers. She's accessible. She's not too trendy but trendy enough."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who photo bombed someone?
Guess: Tina Fey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did she do this to?
Guess: Poehler
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Golden Globes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year?
Guess: 2012
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who hosted?
Guess: MacFarlane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he host?
Guess: Academy Awards
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Macfarlene create?
Guess: Family Guy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who works for Yahoo?
Guess: Suzy Byrne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is not a star?
Guess: MacFarlane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who said this?
Guess: Tim Brooks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is he?
Guess: an author, TV historian and former network executive
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he say this to?
Guess: The Hollywood Reporter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What broke box office records?
Guess: Ted
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does Brooks believe is a good choice?
Guess: Tina Fey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: She's appealing to younger and older viewers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does he think she is trendy?
Guess: She's not too trendy but trendy enough
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when is the golden globes to air?
Guess: January 13
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: on what network?
Guess: NBC
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who started and impromtu paegent?

Amy Poehler