Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- The surviving pilot of Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo told authorities he was unaware the feather system had been unlocked early by his co-pilot. 

The spaceship disintegrated 45,000 feet above the Mojave Desert on October 31, killing co-pilot Michael Tyner Alsbury and injuring co-pilot Peter Siebold, who managed to parachute to the ground. 

Siebold was interviewed last week by the National Transportation Safety Board. He described being "extracted from the vehicle as a result of the break-up sequence and unbuckled from his seat at some point before the parachute deployed automatically," according to a release from the NTSB. 

Earlier this month, the NTSB tweeted that Alsbury "moved the lock/unlock handle into unlock position." 

...the copilot, who was in right seat, moved the lock/unlock handle into unlock position; he did not survive accident. #SpaceShipTwo 

But that mishap alone doesn't explain why the feathering started, since no one moved the feathering handle. 

During feathering, two pieces on the back of the vehicle -- the "feathers" -- lift up perpendicular to the spaceship, making the vehicle look as though it's arching its back as it descends. 

The wreckage has been recovered and will be used for follow-up examinations. 

Test pilot's workplace a cold, harsh environment 

 (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many feet above ground did the spaceship disintegrate?
Guess: 45,000 feet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who survived the accident?
Guess: Peter Siebold
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was killed?
Guess: Michael Tyner Alsbury
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did this happen?
Guess: October 31
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who moved the lock/unlock handle according to the NTSB?
Guess: Alsbury
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What system was unlocked?
Guess: Feather system
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does NTSB stand for?
Guess: National Transportation Safety Board
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happens during feathering?
Guess: Two pieces on the back of the vehicle lift up
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Has the wreckage been found?

Yes