Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IX.—THE MAD ELEPHANT. 

From Middletown the circus went to Dover, and then to Grasscannon. 

At each of these places a big business was done, and at every performance Leo did better. 

The young gymnast became a great favorite with all but two people in the “Greatest Show on Earth.” 

These two people were Jack Snipper, who remained as overbearing as ever, and Jack Broxton, the fellow discharged for intoxication. 

Broxton had been following up the circus ever since his discharge, in the vain hope of being reinstated. 

But the rules in the “Greatest Show on Earth” are very strict, and no intoxication is allowed. 

After leaving Grasscannon, the circus struck up through New York State, and at the end of the week arrived at Buffalo. 

It was while at this place that Broxton tried to play a dangerous trick upon Leo. 

He met the young gymnast on the street one night after the performance. 

He was under the influence of liquor at the time, and in his pocket he carried what is known by the boys as a giant torpedo. 

As Leo turned a corner he threw the torpedo at Leo’s feet. 

Luckily the torpedo failed to explode. 

Had it gone off the young gymnast would have been sadly crippled. 

“You rascal!” cried Leo, and he made for Broxton and landed him in the gutter. 

Some of the other performers then came up. 

“What’s the row, Leo?” 

“Look what Broxton threw at me,” he replied, and handed the torpedo around for inspection.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was kicked out for being drunk?
Guess: Broxton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he like Leo?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who else did not like him?
Guess: Jack Snipper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True or False: Leo was steadily improving.
Guess: true
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the circus go after Middletown?
Guess: Dover
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And after Grasscannon?
Guess: New York State
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did someone throw at Leo?
Guess: giant torpedo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who threw it?
Guess: Broxton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it land?
Guess: at Leo’s feet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Leo fight Broxton?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who went in the gutter?
Guess: Broxton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who came up and saw the torpedo?
Guess: other performers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Leo's role in the circus?
Guess: gymnast
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the circus called?
Guess: Greatest Show on Earth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True or False: Broxton hoped to get his job back.
Guess: true
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For how long had he been trying to make that happen?
Guess: ever since his discharge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he drunk when he threw the torpedo?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True or False: The torpedo exploded.
Guess: False
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Leo call Broxton?
Guess: rascal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Would could have happened to Leo?

he would have been crippled