Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XX 

FISHING AND HUNTING 

The remainder of the week went by, and the boys and girls amused themselves as best they could. During that time, Mr. Endicott received a visit from the sheriff of the county, and Dave and his chums were called upon to tell all they could about the missing horses. Then, after some whispered talk between the county official and the ranch owner, the lads were requested to describe the man who had been seen on the trail in company with Link Merwell. 

"I really think the fellow was Andy Andrews," said the sheriff. "But if so, he had a big nerve to show himself in these parts." 

"Didn't you ask Link about the man?" asked Dave. 

"Yes. He says the fellow was a stranger to him, and they were just riding together for company. He says they were together about half an hour before he met you on the trail, and that the fellow left him about a quarter of an hour later and headed in the direction of the railroad station. He said the fellow didn't give any name, but said he was looking up some ranch properties for some Chicago capitalists." 

This was all the sheriff could tell, and on that the matter, for the time being, rested. Fortunately, Star Ranch possessed a good number of horses, so none of the young folks were deprived of mounts. But Belle mourned the loss of her favorite steed, to which she had become greatly attached. 

"I don't care so much for the others, but I do hope papa gets back Lady Alice," she said, dolefully.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who visited Mr. Endicott?
Guess: the sheriff
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did the boys have to tell him about?
Guess: the missing horses
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where they asked to describe the suspect?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did the Sheriff have a suspicion of who they were describing?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he think it was?
Guess: Andy Andrews
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who had been riding with the suspect?
Guess: Link
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he know who the man was?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where had the man gone after they parted ways?
Guess: in the direction of the railroad station
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he doing in the area?
Guess: looking up some ranch properties
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: for whom?
Guess: capitalists.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from where?
Guess: Chicago
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was saddest about the missing horses?
Guess: Belle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: she was attached.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to what?
Guess: her favorite steed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the horse's name?
Guess: Lady Alice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the thieves take all of the horses?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they have enough left for all of the kids to ride?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what was the name of the ranch?

, Star