Here's a short story:

Uganda ( or ), officially the Republic of Uganda, is a landlocked country in East Africa. It is bordered to the east by Kenya, to the north by South Sudan, to the west by the Democratic Republic of the Congo, to the south-west by Rwanda, and to the south by Tanzania. The southern part of the country includes a substantial portion of Lake Victoria, shared with Kenya and Tanzania. Uganda is in the African Great Lakes region. Uganda also lies within the Nile basin, and has a varied but generally a modified equatorial climate. 

Uganda takes its name from the Buganda kingdom, which encompasses a large portion of the south of the country, including the capital Kampala. The people of Uganda were hunter-gatherers until 1,700 to 2,300 years ago, when Bantu-speaking populations migrated to the southern parts of the country. 

Beginning in 1894, the area was ruled as a protectorate by the British, who established administrative law across the territory. Uganda gained independence from Britain on 9 October 1962. The period since then has been marked by intermittent conflicts, including a lengthy civil war against the Lord's Resistance Army in the Northern Region, which has caused hundreds of thousands of casualties. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the offical name of Uganda?
Guess: Republic of Uganda.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does it take it's name from?
Guess: The Buganda kingdom.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What lake is a large part of in the sourthern portion of the country?
Guess: Lake Victoria.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When were the people of Uganda hunter Gatherers till?
Guess: 1,700 to 2,300 years ago
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it gain it's independence from the Btitish?
Guess: 9 October 1962.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What other countries share portions of Lake Victoria?
Guess: Kenya and Tanzania.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What country borders it to the north?
Guess: South Sudan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it start being ruled by the British?
Guess: 1894
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Uganda's capital?
Guess: Kampala
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What basin is the country part of?
Guess: The Nile basin,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and what type of climate does it have?
Guess: a modified equatorial climate.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What has marked the country since it's independence from Britian?
Guess: conflicts
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was it that migrated to the southern part of the country 1,700 to 2,300 years ago?
Guess: Bantu-speaking populations
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What lake region is Uganda in?
Guess: African Great Lakes region.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who borders Uganda to the west?
Guess: Democratic Republic of the Congo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: and to the east?

Kenya