Here's a short story:

For Urban Treuil, there's no escaping the misery. 

Because of Hurricane Isaac, Treuil's home in Braithwaite, Louisiana, is ruined by floodwaters. So, too, is the gas station and convenience store he owned and ran in the community, 15 miles by car and 10 miles as the crow flies from New Orleans. 

But all that pales to what Treuil, the fire chief for Braithwaite and Woodlawn in Plaquemines Parish, saw when he and fellow volunteer firefighters steered their boat up to the home of a couple he knew. Inside, they found the pair floating in the kitchen, the first of at least three fatalities in Louisiana being blamed on Isaac. 

"It's not something I want to see, and I hope it's the last ones we do see," said an exhausted Treuil on Friday, a day after he pulled the couple from the home. 

In terms of total deaths, Isaac doesn't compare to Hurricane Katrina, which led to nearly 1,800 fatalities in New Orleans and the vicinity seven years ago. Isaac struck Louisiana on Tuesday night as a Category 1 hurricane, not a Category 3 like Katrina. 

Don't tell that, though, to the thousands of residents in St. Tammany, Ascension, Plaquemines and other parishes who Friday found their homes and hometowns still deluged. Even with a few drops of drizzle falling all day and with levels down considerably from the previous day, waters were still 10 feet deep in spots. 

"This is unbelievable. Deja vu, man," Billy Nungesser, president of Plaquemines Parish said Thursday as he surveyed the town of Ironton, inundated by floodwater and sludge. "There is more water here than Katrina."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Urban Treuil?
Guess: fire chief for Braithwaite and Woodlawn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does he live?
Guess: Braithwaite, Louisiana,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened there?
Guess: Hurricane Isaac
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What category was it?
Guess: Category 1
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the same size as Katrina?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was that one?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is Braithwaite near New Orleans?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How close?
Guess: 15 miles by car
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the town get flooded?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How deep did the water get?
Guess: 10 feet deep
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did other nearby towns get flooded too?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Which ones?

St. Tammany, Ascension, Plaquemines and other parishes