Here's a short story:

CHAPTER V 

The Vacation was over, and Vivian returned to Burnsley Vicarage. He bowed cavalierly to Mr. Dallas on his arrival, and immediately sauntered up into the school-room, where he found a tolerable quantity of wretches looking as miserable as schoolboys who have left their pleasant homes generally do for some four-and-twenty hours. "How d'ye do, Grey? How d'ye do, Grey?" burst from a knot of unhappy fellows, who would have felt quite delighted had their newly arrived co-mate condescended to entertain them, as usual, with some capital good story fresh from town. But they were disappointed. 

"We can make room for you at the fire, Grey," said Theophilus 

"I thank you, I am not cold." 

"I suppose you know that Poynings and Etherege don't come back, Grey?" 

"Everybody knew that last half:" and so he walked on. 

"Grey, Grey!" halloed King, "don't go into the dining-room; Mallett is there alone, and told us not to disturb him. By Jove, the fellow is going in: there will be a greater row this half between Grey and Mallett than ever." 

Days, the heavy first days of the half, rolled on, and all the citizens of the little commonwealth had returned. 

"What a dull half this will be!" said Eardley; "how one misses Grey's set! After all, they kept the school alive: Poynings was a first-rate fellow, and Etherege so deuced good-natured! I wonder whom Grey will crony with this half; have you seen him and Dallas speak together yet? He cut the Doctor quite dead at Greek to-day."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who said dont go in the dining room?
Guess: King
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is in there?
Guess: Mallett
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Mallett tell them?
Guess: not to disturb him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why did Vivian return?
Guess: Vacation was over
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did he return to?
Guess: Burnsley Vicarage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why were the fellows disappointed?
Guess: they left their homes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who bowed?
Guess: Vivian
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to who?
Guess: Mr. Dallas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: why didnt Grey want to sit by the fire?

he was not cold