Here's a short story:

Once upon a time there was a fish that lived in a bowl. The fish wanted to give a kid a party. But the fish was sad. The fish had no present to give to the kid. The fish would give the kid a spoon. But the fish had no spoon. The fish was a cutie. The fish had an idea. The fish had a stone in the bowl. The fish could give the kid the stone! The fish took the stone from the bowl. The fish put the stone in a bag. The fish gave the kid a party and gave the kid the stone as a gift. The kid told his granddaddy and his mommy that the fish was a cutie. The kid gave the fish a banana. The fish ate the banana and was very happy. The fish and the kid are friends and they love each other. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was in the bowl?
Guess: A fish and a stone.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the fish want to do?
Guess: He wanted to give a kid a party.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did this excite him?

no