Here's a short story:

Friedrich Hayek CH (German: [ˈfʁiːdʁɪç ˈaʊ̯ɡʊst ˈhaɪ̯ɛk]; 8 May 1899 – 23 March 1992), born in Austria-Hungary as Friedrich August von Hayek and frequently referred to as F. A. Hayek, was an Austrian and British economist and philosopher best known for his defense of classical liberalism. Hayek shared the 1974 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences with Gunnar Myrdal for his "pioneering work in the theory of money and economic fluctuations and ... penetrating analysis of the interdependence of economic, social and institutional phenomena." 

In 1984, he was appointed a member of the Order of the Companions of Honour by Queen Elizabeth II on the advice of Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher for his "services to the study of economics". He was the first recipient of the Hanns Martin Schleyer Prize in 1984. He also received the US Presidential Medal of Freedom in 1991 from President George H. W. Bush. In 2011, his article "The Use of Knowledge in Society" was selected as one of the top 20 articles published in The American Economic Review during its first 100 years. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was one of the top 20 articles?
Guess: The Use of Knowledge in Society
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what publication?
Guess: The American Economic Review
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: During what time span?
Guess: 100 years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he born?
Guess: Austria-Hungary
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: May 8, 1899
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he still alive?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he die?
Guess: March 23, 1992
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did his name usually appear?
Guess: F. A. Hayek
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do?
Guess: economist and philosopher
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his nationality?
Guess: Austria-Hungarian
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he defend?
Guess: classical liberalism
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he get any awards from Americans?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: US Presidential Medal of Freedom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 1991
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who bestowed it?
Guess: George H. W. Bush
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he receive an award from British royalty?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: appointed to the Order of the Companions of Honour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who bestowed it?

Queen Elizabeth II