Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IV 

AN UNEXPECTED ARRIVAL 

"This is the time we get the best of Dave Porter!" whispered Link Merwell to his cronies. "I guess we have spoiled their picnic." 

"I--I--don't think th--they'll fight," faltered Nat, as Dave leaped to the ground, followed by his chums. 

"Better arm yourselves with clubs," suggested Nick Jasniff. "Remember, we are only three to five." 

"Maybe we had better--er--go away," returned the money-lender's son, hesitatingly. 

"No, I am going to see the thing out," answered Jasniff. 

"So am I," added Merwell. "Don't go, Nat--they won't dare to fight--with the girls looking on." 

"Whoa, there! Whoa!" came a cry from behind the two touring cars, and looking back the boys and girls saw a man drive up on a buckboard drawn by a spirited horse. 

"Why, if it isn't Jed Sully!" cried Ben. 

"Who is he?" questioned Sam. 

"Sort of a roadmaster in these parts. I suppose he is going around, inspecting the roads and bridges." 

"Then he ought to be able to tell us about this road!" put in Phil, quickly. 

"Hello! What's the meaning of this?" demanded Jed Sully, after alighting. And he strode forward and confronted the boys. 

"How are you, Mr. Sully?" said Dave, for he had met the roadmaster before. 

"Oh, so it's you, Dave! Blocked up, eh?" And the roadmaster looked first at Dave and his chums and then at those standing on the other side of the barrier. "Who did this?" 

"They did," answered Roger, and pointed to the other crowd.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Were there weapons?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was driving?
Guess: Jed Sully
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Driving what?

a buckboard