Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Elmore Leonard is something of a living legend among lovers of crime fiction. A favorite of millions of readers, a hero to scores of writers, he's been called "America's greatest crime writer." The 86-year old author has been writing bestselling books for sixty years, mostly Westerns and crime novels. Many of them have been turned into hit movies, including "3:10 to Yuma," "Get Shorty" and "Out of Sight." 

Now, Leonard returns to one of his favorite characters in his newest book, his 45th novel to be exact, titled simply, "Raylan." That would be U.S. Marshal Raylan Givens. The laid back, Stetson-wearing lawman first appeared in Leonard's novels, "Pronto" and "Riding the Rap" and again in the 2001 short story, "Fire in the Hole" which became the basis for the hit TV show, "Justified," starring Timothy Olyphant as the title character. The actor and the show are winning over fans, critics and Leonard himself. So much so that Leonard has returned to writing about "Raylan." 

The book just hit store shelves the same week the show had its third season premiere. Leonard, gracious and unassuming, shows no signs of slowing down at this point in his career. 

The author spoke to CNN from his home in Michigan. The following is an edited transcript. 

CNN: What brought you back to Raylan? 

Leonard: I've always liked him. He's just one of my favorites. Now when I see him on the screen I can't believe it. He acts exactly the way I write him. He's so laid back and he always has the best line in the scene. He's perfect, boy. The way he talks I hear him just the way I heard him when I'm writing it. He's kind of laid back but if you call him on anything, he says, "if I have to pull my gun I will shoot to kill," and he's serious about that but he doesn't have to sound that serious, he just states it.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many novels has Leonard written?
Guess: 45
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his 45th called?
Guess: "Raylan.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it about?
Guess: U.S. Marshal Raylan Givens.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has this character been in any other of his books?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which 2?
Guess: Pronto and Riding the Rap
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it a become a basis for?
Guess: for a hit TV show,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What show?
Guess: Justified,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who played the main character?
Guess: Timothy Olyphant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do the fans like the show?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the author considered?
Guess: a living legend
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Among who?
Guess: lovers of crime fiction.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What has he been called?
Guess: "America's greatest crime writer."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is he?
Guess: 86
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long has he been writing?
Guess: for sixty years,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he mostly write?
Guess: mostly Westerns and crime novels.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Have any been turned into movies?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name 2
Guess: 3:10 to Yuma," "Get Shorty
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where does he live?

Michigan