Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XI 

OFF FOR BRILL COLLEGE 

When old Ricks saw his neighbor approaching he could not at first believe his eyes. Then he ran up to the man, who was a particularly sour individual. 

"Say, I thought you was dead," he gasped. 

"Dead?" returned Ham Ludd. "Do I look like I was dead?" And he glared savagely at Ricks. "I ain't dead, not by a jugful!" 

"Humph! Well, if you ain't dead, mebbe you'll explain about that cat, an' dog," went on old Ricks. 

"Wot about 'em?" 

"You told folks I poisoned the cat and starved the dog to death." 

"I did not." 

"You did--it was in the newspapers!" bawled old Ricks, commencing to dance around. 

"I didn't! Where's them newspapers?" asked Ham Ludd, also growing excited. 

"I ain't got 'em, but Tom Rover said----" 

And then suddenly old Ricks stopped short. He was commencing to "smell a mouse," as the saying is. 

"Wot did Tom Rover say?" demanded Ham Ludd. 

"Never mind wot he said," grumbled the stationmaster. "Only you be careful o' wot you say about me in the future, Ham Ludd, thet's all!" 

"Huh! I guess that Rover boy has been a'jokin' you ag'in, Ricky," said Ludd, with a grin. "How about thet busted-up bonfire, an' that snaky cigar? Ha! ha! he had you them times, didn't he?" 

"You shet up, Ham Ludd!" roared the stationmaster. "Don't you say another word!" 

"I'll say all I please! An' you'll put up that fence, too, or I'll have the law on ye!" retorted Ham Ludd; and then went on his way.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Ricks neighbor?
Guess: Ham Ludd
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a pleasant man?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was surprising about seeing him?
Guess: thought he was dead
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Ham reply to the accusation?
Guess: "I ain't dead, not by a jugful!"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Ricks then want him to explain?
Guess: that cat, an' dog
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: Ham told folks I poisoned the cat and starved the dog to death
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he admit it?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who told Ricks Ham had said that?
Guess: Tom Rover
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Tom Rover hear it?
Guess: the newspapers!
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did he have a copy of the paper?

no