Here's a short story:

Oslo, Norway (CNN) -- At a prize ceremony honoring peace, Adán Cortés says violence and injustice sent him rushing toward the stage. 

In a matter of seconds, the 21-year-old Mexican student's face was seen around the world last week as he stood in front of Malala Yousafzai at the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony in Oslo, Norway. 

"Please Malala, Mexico," he repeated as he unfurled a Mexican flag on the stage at Oslo's City Hall, where the 17-year-old laureate was about to become the youngest person ever to receive the prestigious award. 

Oslo police have come under fire over the incident, with critics asking how someone who wasn't on the ceremony's guest list managed to slip through security checkpoints and make it to the front of the room, standing just steps away from Yousafzai and other dignitaries before security hauled him out of the auditorium. 

Speaking to CNN at an Oslo detention center on Sunday, Cortés said he knows it was a drastic move. But he felt like he had no choice and wanted only a few seconds to speak about Mexico's problems on a global stage. 

"My motivation was to show solidarity with all the things that have happened in my country, ultimately, well, the 43 missing students, who are suspected to be dead and burned, that was my main motivation," he said. "I am tired of so many injustices that we have lived in Mexico, for decades." 

The students' case has sparked national outrage in Mexico and drawn global attention to the country's continued struggles to deal with police corruption and drug-related violence.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was receiving the Nobel Peace prize?
Guess: Malala Yousafzai
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was he?
Guess: 17-year-old (she)
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who slipped through security?
Guess: Adán Cortés
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why was he there?
Guess: to show solidarity with all the things that have happened in my country
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what country?
Guess: Mexico
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was he?
Guess: 21-year-old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: his occupation?
Guess: student
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did this happen?
Guess: Oslo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is he now?
Guess: an Oslo detention center
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his main motivation?
Guess: to show solidarity with all the things that have happened in his country
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who in particular is he talking about?

43 missing students