Here's a short story:

The Falkland Islands are an archipelago in the South Atlantic Ocean on the Patagonian Shelf. The principal islands are about east of South America's southern Patagonian coast, at a latitude of about 52°S. The archipelago, with an area of , comprises East Falkland, West Falkland and 776 smaller islands. As a British overseas territory, the Falklands have internal self-governance, and the United Kingdom takes responsibility for their defence and foreign affairs. The islands' capital is Stanley on East Falkland. 

Controversy exists over the Falklands' discovery and subsequent colonisation by Europeans. At various times, the islands have had French, British, Spanish, and Argentine settlements. Britain reasserted its rule in 1833, although Argentina maintains its claim to the islands. In April 1982, Argentine forces temporarily occupied the islands. British administration was restored two months later at the end of the Falklands War. Most Falklanders favour the archipelago remaining a UK overseas territory, but its sovereignty status is part of an ongoing dispute between Argentina and the United Kingdom. 

The population (2,932 inhabitants in 2012) primarily consists of native-born Falkland Islanders, the majority of British descent. Other ethnicities include French, Gibraltarian and Scandinavian. Immigration from the United Kingdom, the South Atlantic island of Saint Helena, and Chile has reversed a population decline. The predominant (and official) language is English. Under the British Nationality (Falkland Islands) Act 1983, Falkland Islanders are British citizens. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who takes care of it's defence and foreign affairs?
Guess: United Kingdom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many different settlements has it had over different times?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: please name them?
Guess: French, British, Spanish, and Argentine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the population in 2012?
Guess: 2,932
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what citizenship do they hold?
Guess: British
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: according to what act?
Guess: British Nationality (Falkland Islands) Act 1983
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is it's capital?
Guess: Stanley
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is that?
Guess: East Falkland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did Britain reassert it's rule?
Guess: 1833
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was it occupied by another nation?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which one?
Guess: Argentina
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: 1982
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long did that last?
Guess: two months
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are the islands in the Pacific?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which ocean then?
Guess: Atlantic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which country do the people prefer being under.
Guess: UK
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what are the two main islands?
Guess: East and West Falkland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what language do they officially speak?
Guess: English
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which other ethnicities can you find there?
Guess: French, Gibraltarian and Scandinavian
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how many smaller islands does it consist of?

776