Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Real Madrid have reduced Barcelona's lead at the top of the Spanish Primera Liga to three points after coming from behind to win 2-1 at Almeria on Thursday. 

Madrid, looking to bounce back following their defeat in "El Clasico", suffered a poor start and fell behind in the 14th minute. 

Kalu Uche broke down the right and his low cross was met by the unmarked Albert Crusat at the far post. 

And the home side nearly doubled their advantage just seven minutes later when Domingo Cisma's free-kick was superbly saved by Iker Casillas. 

However, the visitors drew level in the 27th minute thanks to a moment of superb skill from Cristiano Ronaldo. 

The $125 million man burst past two defenders, fooled a third with one of his trademark stepovers and fird home a shot into the far corner for his 19th league goal of the season. 

From then on, Real were the better side. Veteran midfielder Guti struck the post from the edge of the area before Rafael Van der Vaart put the rebound wide. 

And the winning goal came in the 69th minute when Van der Vaart collected Gonzalo Higuain's pass before firing home a low shot into the bottom corner. 

Madrid should have added to their lead, but Ronaldo was denied by goalkeeper Diego Alves while Karim Benzema and Mahamadou Diarra also missed good chances. 

 (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who broke down and was met by unmarked Albert?
Guess: kalu uche
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the veteran midfielder?
Guess: Guti
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the home side nearly double their advantage?
Guess: seven minutes later
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the score?
Guess: 2-1
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was looking to bounce back?
Guess: Real Madrid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who's free-kick was saved by Castillas?
Guess: Domingo Cisma's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who tricked a third with one of his trademark stepovers?
Guess: Cristiano Ronaldo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the winning kick get made?
Guess: the 69th minute
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who made the winning kick?

Van der Vaart