Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXIII 

BACK AT ASHTON 

The three Rovers listened in astonishment to what the auto-stage driver had to say concerning the sudden disappearance of Blackie Crowden. 

"Then he must have jumped from the stage while you were running," remarked Dick. 

"That's just what he did do, mister. And he took some chances, too, believe me, for I wasn't runnin' at less than twenty miles an hour." 

"Did he have any baggage with him?" questioned Tom. 

"He had a small handbag, that's all." 

"Would you remember the place where he jumped off?" came from Sam, eagerly. 

"Yes, it was on the road back of here--just before you turn into this highway." 

"You mean the road that was so thick with dust?" remarked Tom. 

"That's the place. He jumped off at a spot where the bushes are pretty thick, and there are three trees standin' close together just back of the bushes." 

"I think I know that place," said Dick. "There is a small white cottage on the hillside just behind it." 

"You've struck it," answered the stage driver. "I reckon as how he was goin' to call on somebody at the cottage. But why he didn't ask me to stop is a mystery. Why! he might have broken a leg gettin' off that way." 

"That man is a criminal, and he did it to throw you off his track," announced Sam. "Do you know what I think?" he continued to his brothers. "I think Blackie Crowden must have gotten on to the fact that we were at Fernwood, and made up his mind to clear out as soon as possible. Then he got afraid that we might question folks, including this stage driver, and so jumped from the auto-stage to throw us off his trail, provided we should follow the stage."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is being questioned?
Guess: the stage driver.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who may be a criminal?
Guess: Blackie Crw=owden
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How are the people asking questions related?
Guess: they are brothers.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What dangerous stunt did Blackie Crowden do?
Guess: He jumped off
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Off what?
Guess: the stage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How fast was it going?
Guess: not less than twenty miles an hour.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he take anything with him?
Guess: yes, a small handbag
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he jump in to plain grass?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What vegetation was there?
Guess: bushes and trees
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What structure was near the place he jumped?
Guess: a small white cottage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Would the driver have stopped if he had been asked to?

yes