Here's a short story:

CHAPTER LXXI. Fiat Justitia 

The dinner was served when Arthur returned, and Lady Rockminster began to scold him for arriving late. But Laura, looking at her cousin, saw that his face was so pale and scared, that she interrupted her imperious patroness; and asked, with tender alarm, what had happened? Was Arthur ill? 

Arthur drank a large bumper of sherry. "I have heard the most extraordinary news; I will tell you afterwards," he said, looking at the servants. He was very nervous and agitated during the dinner. "Don't tramp and beat so with your feet under the table," Lady Rockminster said. "You have trodden on Fido, and upset his saucer. You see Mr. Warrington keeps his boots quiet." 

At the dessert--it seemed as if the unlucky dinner would never be over--Lady Rockminster said, "This dinner has been exceedingly stupid. I suppose something has happened, and that you want to speak to Laura. I will go and have my nap. I am not sure that I shall have any tea--no. Good night, Mr. Warrington. You must come again, and when there is no business to talk about." And the old lady, tossing up her head, walked away from the room with great dignity. 

George and the others had risen with her, and Warrington was about to go away, and was saying "Good night" to Laura, who, of course, was looking much alarmed about her cousin, when Arthur said, "Pray, stay, George. You should hear my news too, and give me your counsel in this case. I hardly know how to act in it."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who returned as dinner was served?
Guess: Arthur
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was upset at him?
Guess: Lady Rockminster.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he okay?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he appear?
Guess: Pale and scared
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Arthur do before he began talking?
Guess: Drank some sherry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much?
Guess: A large bumper full
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What does he say he needs to tell them?

Extraordinary news