Here's a short story:

John wanted to have a birthday party for his son, Mike. John and his wife Sara knew that their son loved clowns, as did their daughter Jane. So they looked up a place to have a clown come to his birthday party. When the clown arrived, ten of Mikes friends showed up to watch the show. His parents had sent out 12 invites, thinking 6 or 8 kids would come. The clown started the show by squirting some water from a flower into John's face. This caused John's face to turn red. After the show, when everyone had left, it was up to John and Sara to clean up after the party. There was food everywhere; they had had salad and there was lettuce on the ground. Later that evening it was dinnertime and the family had to choose what to eat. The choices were order a pizza, make hamburgers, go get fried chicken or make noodles. Since it was Mike's birthday they let him choose. He really wanted pizza so they called up Pizza Palace to place their order. When the pizza arrived it did not come in a square box like most pizzas. Instead it was in a round box that no one had ever seen. John gave everybody a slice and then placed Mike in his lap to eat dinner. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who wanted to throw a party?
Guess: John
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: for who?
Guess: his son
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is his name?
Guess: Mike
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is mike's mother's name?
Guess: Sara
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does Mike love?
Guess: clowns
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and who else did?
Guess: Jane.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was she to Mike?
Guess: his sister
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many friends came over to the celebration?
Guess: ten
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many were invited?
Guess: 12
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many did they think would make it?
Guess: 6 or 8 kids
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did the clown do first?
Guess: squirted water into John's face
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what happened?
Guess: his face turned red
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did the water come from?
Guess: a flower
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had to tidy up afterwards?
Guess: John and Sara
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did John ask for for dinner?
Guess: pizza
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were there other options?

hamburgers, fried chicken, or noodles