Here's a short story:

Jack was a skilled artist with a wife and two sons. One night, his elder son had a stomachache . Thinking it was only some common intestinal disorders, neither Jack nor his wife took it seriously. But the boy died suddenly that night. Knowing the death could have been avoided if he had only realized the seriousness of the situation, Jack always felt guilty. His wife left him a short time later, leaving him alone with his six-year-old younger son. The hurt and pain of the two situations were more than that Jack could stand, so he turned to alcohol for help. Later, Jack began to lose everything he had --- his land, house, etc. Finally Jack died alone in a small bar. Hearing of Jack's death, I thought, "What a totally wasted life! What a complete failure!" As time went by, I knew Jack's younger son who grew into an adult, Ernie. He is one of the kindest and most loving men I have ever known. I saw the love between Ernie and his children, thinking that kindness and caring had to come from somewhere. One day, I asked him what his father had done so that he became such a special person. Ernie said quietly, "As a child until I left home at 18, Jack came into my room every night, gave me a kiss and said, 'love you, son'." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Jack do for a living?
Guess: artist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he have a family?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many kids did he have?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to the older boy?
Guess: had a stomachache
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he go to the doctor?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he get better?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to him?
Guess: he died
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the mom do after?
Guess: She left him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Jack by himself?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was with him?
Guess: his younger son
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was the son then?
Guess: six
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his name?
Guess: Ernie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Jack do with his son every night?
Guess: kissed him and told him he loved him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did Jack stop doing that?
Guess: until Ernie was 18
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Ernie still talk to his dad?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why not?

He died