Here's a short story:

The United States Coast Guard (USCG) is a branch of the United States Armed Forces and one of the country's seven uniformed services. The Coast Guard is a maritime, military, multi-mission service unique among the U.S. military branches for having a maritime law enforcement mission (with jurisdiction in both domestic and international waters) and a federal regulatory agency mission as part of its mission set. It operates under the U.S. Department of Homeland Security during peacetime, and can be transferred to the U.S. Department of the Navy by the U.S. President at any time, or by the U.S. Congress during times of war. This has happened twice, in 1917, during World War I, and in 1941, during World War II. 

Created by Congress on 4 August 1790 at the request of Alexander Hamilton as the Revenue Marine, it is the oldest continuous seagoing service of the United States. As Secretary of the Treasury, Hamilton headed the Revenue Marine, whose original purpose was collecting customs duties in the nation's seaports. By the 1860s, the service was known as the U.S. Revenue Cutter Service and the term Revenue Marine gradually fell into disuse. 

The modern Coast Guard was formed by a merger of the Revenue Cutter Service and the U.S. Life-Saving Service on 28 January 1915, under the U.S. Department of the Treasury. As one of the country's five armed services, the Coast Guard has been involved in every U.S. war from 1790 to the Iraq War and the War in Afghanistan. the Coast Guard had over 36,000 men and women on active duty, 7,350 reservists, 29,620 auxiliarists, and 7,064 full-time civilian employees. In terms of size, the U.S. Coast Guard by itself is the world's 12th largest naval force. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When was the United States Coast Guard created?
Guess: 4 August 1790
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: At the request of what person?
Guess: Alexander Hamilton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What body created it?
Guess: Congress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it originally know as?
Guess: the U.S. Revenue Cutter Service
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Hamilton’s title when he created it?
Guess: the Revenue Marine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it originally created to do?
Guess: collecting customs duties
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it change it’s name to U.S. Revenue Cutter Service?
Guess: the 1860s
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many uniformed services does the United States currently have?
Guess: seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does the coast Guard act only in domestic watters?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: During peacetime, what department does it operate under?
Guess: the U.S. Department of Homeland Security
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who can change this oversite at any time?
Guess: the U.S. President
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who can change this during war?
Guess: the U.S. Congress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has this happened during war?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many times?
Guess: twice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Which wars?

World War I and World War II.