Here's a short story:

Papua New Guinea (PNG; , ; ; Hiri Motu: "Papua Niu Gini"), officially the Independent State of Papua New Guinea, is an Oceanian country that occupies the eastern half of the island of New Guinea and its offshore islands in Melanesia, a region of the southwestern Pacific Ocean north of Australia. Its capital, located along its southeastern coast, is Port Moresby. The western half of New Guinea forms the Indonesian provinces of Papua and West Papua. 

At the national level, after being ruled by three external powers since 1884, Papua New Guinea established its sovereignty in 1975. This followed nearly 60 years of Australian administration, which started during World War I. It became an independent Commonwealth realm in 1975 with Queen Elizabeth II as its head of state and became a member of the Commonwealth of Nations in its own right. 

Papua New Guinea is one of the most culturally diverse countries in the world. There are 852 known languages in the country, of which 12 now have no known living speakers. Most of the population of more than 7 million people live in customary communities, which are as diverse as the languages. It is also one of the most rural, as only 18 percent of its people live in urban centres. The country is one of the world's least explored, culturally and geographically. It is known to have numerous groups of uncontacted peoples, and researchers believe there are many undiscovered species of plants and animals in the interior. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: IS Papua New Guinea diverse?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many languages are there?
Guess: 852.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they all still spoken?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many aren't?
Guess: 12.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it mostly urban or rural?
Guess: Rural.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it well explored?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many have ruled there?
Guess: Three.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What started in WW1?
Guess: Australian administration.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For how long?
Guess: Nearly 60 years.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they become sovereign?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 1975.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did it become a member of?
Guess: Commonwealth of Nations
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the head of state?
Guess: Queen Elizabeth II.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Beginning in what year?
Guess: 1975.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of country is it?
Guess: Oceanian.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What island does it occupy?

New Guinea