Here's a short story:

Ali, who was working a long way from home, wanted to send a letter to his wife, but he could neither read nor write, and he had to work all day, so he could only look for somebody to write his letter late at night .At last he found the house of a letter writer whose name was Nasreddin. 

Nasreddin was already in bed. "It is late,"he said. "What do you want?" "I want you to write a letter to my wife , "said Ali , Nasreddin was not pleased. He thought for a few seconds and then said, "Has the letter got to go far?" "What does that matter?" answered Ali. 

"Well, my writing is so strange that only I can read it, and if I have to travel a long way to read your letter to your wife, it will cost you a lot of money." Ali went away quickly. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: was Ali working close to home?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was the letter writer?
Guess: Nasreddin.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Nasreddin helpful?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he say about the way he writes?
Guess: my writing is so strange that only I can read it,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Ali want a letter written?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To send to who?
Guess: his wife
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why didn't he write it?
Guess: he could neither read nor write
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Nasreddin inquire?
Guess: Has the letter got to go far
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was it easy for Ali to get a letter writer?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: why not?

he had to work all day