Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- It's the super yacht with a super model and her billionaire tycoon husband as its joint owners and the 100ft supermaxi Comanche lived up to expectations with a blazing start to the Rolex Sydney-Hobart race Friday. 

The 'Bluewater Classic' in its 70th staging is the first real competitive test for Comanche, which has been specially built for distance racing and speed record attempts, the brainchild of Netscape co-founder Jim Clark and his wife, Kristy Hinze-Clark, who was born in Australia. 

Comanche, skippered by American Ken Read and with a strong international crew, is expected to battle it out for line honors with seven-time winner Wild Oats XI in the 628-nautical miles race, one of the highlights of the international yachting calendar. 

The traditional Boxing Day start from Sydney Harbor saw an early glimpse of Comanche's speed with the skipper of Wild Oats XI, Mark Richards, moved to exclaim: "She's smoking -- look at that thing go!" 

Out to sea and past the first mark in an unofficial record time, Comanche led from Wild Oats XI with the other supermaxis Ragamuffin and Perpetual Loyal giving chase. 

The race, which runs down the east coast of Australia and across the Bass Strait to the Tasmanian capital Hobart, has drawn a 117-strong entry, the biggest since 1994. 

But pre-race attention has centered on Comanche -- with its wide-bodied and cutting edge design, and two years in the building in Maine in the United States. 

Clark watched from a supporting boat as his wife was part of the crew when Comanche took part in the Big Boat Challenge in Sydney Harbor on December 9, won by Wild Oats XI.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the race called?
Guess: Rolex Sydney-Hobart
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many are racing?
Guess: 117
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is this a record?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day does the race begin?
Guess: Boxing Day
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who won the last race?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many times did Wild Oats win?
Guess: seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the boat's driver?
Guess: Mark Richards
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long is the race?
Guess: 628-nautical miles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where does it start from geographically?

Sydney Harbor