Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XV 

Now that Gordon was gone, at any rate, gone for good, and not to return, he felt a sudden and singular sense of freedom. It was a feeling of unbounded expansion, quite out of proportion, as he said to himself, to any assignable cause. Everything suddenly appeared to have become very optional; but he was quite at a loss what to do with his liberty. It seemed a harmless use to make of it, in the afternoon, to go and pay another visit to the ladies who lived at the confectioner's. Here, however, he met a reception which introduced a fresh element of perplexity into the situation that Gordon had left behind him. The door was opened to him by Mrs. Vivian's maid-servant, a sturdy daughter of the Schwartzwald, who informed him that the ladies--with much regret--were unable to receive any one. 

"They are very busy--and they are ill," said the young woman, by way of explanation. 

Bernard was disappointed, and he felt like arguing the case. 

"Surely," he said, "they are not both ill and busy! When you make excuses, you should make them agree with each other." 

The Teutonic soubrette fixed her round blue eyes a minute upon the patch of blue sky revealed to her by her open door. 

"I say what I can, lieber Herr. It 's not my fault if I 'm not so clever as a French mamsell. One of the ladies is busy, the other is ill. There you have it." 

"Not quite," said Bernard. "You must remember that there are three of them."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who will not see Bernard?
Guess: the ladies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does that make him feel?
Guess: disappointed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he just leave?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he do?
Guess: arguing the case
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: With who?
Guess: Mrs. Vivian's maid-servant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why can't they see him?
Guess: One is busy, the other is ill.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he believe that?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he say her reasons should do?
Guess: there are three of them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Whose intelligence does she compare her own to?

a French mamsel