Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXIII 

NARRATIVE CONTINUED 

When Redgauntlet left the room, in haste and discomposure, the first person he met on the stair, and indeed so close by the door of the apartment that Darsie thought he must have been listening there, was his attendant Nixon. 

'What the devil do you here?' he said, abruptly and sternly. 

'I wait your orders,' said Nixon. 'I hope all's right!--excuse my zeal.' 

'All is wrong, sir. Where is the seafaring fellow--Ewart--what do you call him?' 

'Nanty Ewart, sir. I will carry your commands,' said Nixon. 

'I will deliver them myself to him,' said Redgauntlet; call him hither.' 

'But should your honour leave the presence?' said Nixon, still lingering. 

''Sdeath, sir, do you prate to me?' said Redgauntlet, bending his brows. 'I, sir, transact my own business; you, I am told, act by a ragged deputy.' 

Without further answer, Nixon departed, rather disconcerted, as it seemed to Darsie. 

'That dog turns insolent and lazy,' said Redgauntlet; but I must bear with him for a while.' 

A moment after, Nixon returned with Ewart. 

'Is this the smuggling fellow?' demanded Redgauntlet. Nixon nodded. 

'Is he sober now? he was brawling anon.' 

'Sober enough for business,' said Nixon. 

'Well then, hark ye, Ewart;--man your boat with your best hands, and have her by the pier--get your other fellows on board the brig--if you have any cargo left, throw it overboard; it shall be all paid, five times over--and be ready for a start to Wales or the Hebrides, or perhaps for Sweden or Norway.'  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who met Nixon on the staircase?
Guess: Nixon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Nixon's relationship to him?
Guess: his attendant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the employer think his servant had been doing?
Guess: thought he must have been listening there
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why?

Because he was so close by the door