Here's a short story:

Located at a varying distance no closer than 33 million miles from the earth, Mars is the fourth planet from the Sun and the second-smallest planet in the Solar System after Mercury. In English Mars carries a name of the Roman god of war, and is often referred to as the "Red Planet" because the reddish iron oxide prevalent on its surface gives it a reddish appearance that is distinctive among the astronomical bodies visible to the naked eye. Mars is a terrestrial planet with a thin atmosphere, having surface features reminiscent both of the impact craters of the Moon and the valleys, deserts, and polar ice caps of Earth. 

The rotational period and seasonal cycles of Mars are likewise similar to those of Earth, as is the tilt that produces the seasons. Mars is the site of Olympus Mons, the largest volcano and second-highest known mountain in the Solar System, and of Valles Marineris, one of the largest canyons in the Solar System. The smooth Borealis basin in the northern hemisphere covers 40% of the planet and may be a giant impact feature. Mars has two moons, Phobos and Deimos, which are small and irregularly shaped. These may be captured asteroids, similar to 5261 Eureka, a Mars trojan. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the distance between the earth and mars?
Guess: 33 million miles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How close is it mars to the sun?
Guess: the fourth planet from the Sun
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it a small planet?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the the smallest of all the planets?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which planet is the smallest?
Guess: Mercury
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does mars have trojans?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name one.
Guess: 5261 Eureka
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does mars have similarities to earth?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of similarities?
Guess: valleys, deserts, and polar ice caps
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does mars have moons?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do they look like?
Guess: small and irregularly shaped
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Can mars be seen without a telescope?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color is mars?
Guess: Red
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What gives it this color?
Guess: reddish iron oxide
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does mars have volcanoes?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name one.
Guess: Olympus Mons
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Is it big?

Yes