Here's a short story:

Jean-Jacques Rousseau (; ; 28 June 1712 – 2 July 1778) was a Francophone Genevan philosopher, writer, and composer of the 18th century. His political philosophy influenced the Enlightenment in France and across Europe, as well as aspects of the French Revolution and the overall development of modern political and educational thought. 

Rousseau's novel "Emile, or On Education" is a treatise on the education of the whole person for citizenship. His sentimental novel "Julie, or the New Heloise" was of importance to the development of pre-romanticism and romanticism in fiction. Rousseau's autobiographical writings—his "Confessions", which initiated the modern autobiography, and his "Reveries of a Solitary Walker"—exemplified the late 18th-century movement known as the "Age of Sensibility", and featured an increased focus on subjectivity and introspection that later characterized modern writing. His "Discourse on Inequality" and "The Social Contract" are cornerstones in modern political and social thought. 

During the period of the French Revolution, Rousseau was the most popular of the philosophes among members of the Jacobin Club. He was interred as a national hero in the Panthéon in Paris, in 1794, 16 years after his death. 

Rousseau was born in Geneva, which was at the time a city-state and a Protestant associate of the Swiss Confederacy. Since 1536, Geneva had been a Huguenot republic and the seat of Calvinism. Five generations before Rousseau, his ancestor Didier, a bookseller who may have published Protestant tracts, had escaped persecution from French Catholics by fleeing to Geneva in 1549, where he became a wine merchant. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Rousseau?
Guess: a philosopher, writer, and composer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he write a book?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was one of them called?
Guess: "Emile, or On Education"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the other one called?
Guess: "Reveries of a Solitary Walker"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is there a sentimental novel?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's it called?
Guess: "Julie, or the New Heloise"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is one autobiographical?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's it called?
Guess: "Confessions"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What movement is discussed in Reveries?
Guess: subjectivity and introspection
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a national herO/
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in what country?
Guess: France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what city?
Guess: Paris
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year?
Guess: 1794
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how long after his death?

16 years