Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XX 

PLOTTING AGAINST DICK ROVER 

"Gabe Werner!" 

"Where is he?" 

"Up the street," answered Randy. "Come on after him." 

"Who's the man you are after?" questioned one of the men who had been interviewing Andy and Fred. 

"He's a young fellow who once went to a military academy with us. He's a regular bully and did something for which he ought to be locked up," was Fred's reply, and then he rushed down into the street, following his three cousins. 

"How can Gabe Werner be down here?" questioned Andy. "Why, we left him in New York City!" 

"I can't help that, Andy. It was Werner just as sure as I am standing here. I just happened to glance out of the window and saw him crossing the roadway. He turned his face straight toward me, and I couldn't help but recognize him." 

"Where did he go?" 

"I'll point out the place when we get there." 

By this time the four Rovers had left the boardwalk and were plowing along on the side of the road through mud that varied from an inch to six inches in depth. They had started to run, but were soon compelled to slow up. 

"Gee, this is something fierce!" panted Andy. 

"Oh, you cinder path!" chanted his twin. "Wouldn't you like to do a hundred-yard dash on this road?" 

"It's not much farther," announced Jack. "I saw him heading for that shack yonder." 

The place he mentioned was a small building erected of rough boards, with a galvanized roof. They neared the shack to find two men sitting before it on a log smoking their pipes. They appeared somewhat startled.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who were the men after?
Guess: Gabe Werner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was being interviewed?
Guess: Andy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did randy think he was?
Guess: New York City
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: we left him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many rovers were there?
Guess: four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From where did they depart?
Guess: boardwalk
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How deep did the mud reach?
Guess: an inch to six inches
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did Jack see Gabe heading?
Guess: shack
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was it?
Guess: yonder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of top did the building have?
Guess: galvanized
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a large place?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people were there?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were they doing?

smoking