Here's a short story:

The United States Air Force (USAF) is the aerial warfare service branch of the United States Armed Forces and one of the seven American uniformed services. Initially part of the United States Army, the USAF was formed as a separate branch of the military on 18 September 1947 under the National Security Act of 1947. It is the most recent branch of the U.S. military to be formed, and is the largest and one of the world's most technologically advanced air forces. The USAF articulates its core functions as Nuclear Deterrence Operations, Special Operations, Air Superiority, Global Integrated ISR, Space Superiority, Command and Control, Cyberspace Superiority, Personnel Recovery, Global Precision Attack, Building Partnerships, Rapid Global Mobility and Agile Combat Support. 

The U.S. Air Force is a military service organized within the Department of the Air Force, one of the three military departments of the Department of Defense. The Air Force is headed by the civilian Secretary of the Air Force, who reports to the Secretary of Defense, and is appointed by the President with Senate confirmation. The highest-ranking military officer in the Department of the Air Force is the Chief of Staff of the Air Force, who exercises supervision over Air Force units, and serves as a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Air Force combat and mobility forces are assigned, as directed by the Secretary of Defense, to the Combatant Commanders, and neither the Secretary of the Air Force nor the Chief of Staff have operational command authority over them. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the aerial warfare service branch of the United States Armed forces called?
Guess: The United States Air Force
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What branch was it originally a part of?
Guess: the United States Army
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it formed as a seperate branch?
Guess: 18 September 1947
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who organizes the U.S. Air Force?
Guess: Department of the Air Force
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many military departments are in the Department of defence?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is in charge of the Air Force
Guess: civilian Secretary of the Air Force
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does he report to?
Guess: who reports to the Secretary of Defense
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does the Secretary of Defense direct the Air Forces combat and mobility forces?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does the USAF articulate is core functions?
Guess: as Nuclear Deterrence Operations, Special Operations, Air Superiority, Global Integrated ISR, Space Superiority, Command and Control, Cyberspace Superiority, Personnel Recovery, Global Precision Attack, Building Partnerships, Rapid Global Mobility and Agile Combat Support.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who appoints the Secretary of the Air Force with Senate confirmation?

the President