Here's a short story:

Little Rock, Arkansas (CNN) -- Former President Bill Clinton suggested on Saturday that the fall in Hispanic turnout for Democrats in 2014 was partly due to President Barack Obama's decision to not issue an executive order on immigration. 

At a Politico event with Mike Allen in Little Rock, Clinton and his former aides reminisced about the past but with a clear eye on how their decisions in the 1990s could be implemented in the future. 

Clinton also handicapped the disastrous midterms for Democrats. 

"There was a collapse of the youth vote, the African-American vote held fairly steady," Clinton said. "We had a little bit of a loss of the Hispanic vote, perhaps because the President didn't issue the immigration order. But it was a tough call for him because had he done so, a lot of others would have lost by even more. It was a difficult call." 

Latinos made up 10% of the electorate in 2012, according to CNN's exit polls. In 2014, that number was 8%. 

In September, Obama decided to postpone issuing an executive action on immigration until after November's elections because it would be "more sustainable" then. 

Clinton said the biggest problem for Democrats -- who lost their majority in the Senate and fell deeper into the minority in the House -- was that "the people who were against us felt more strongly than the people for us." 

The former president also suggested that a national advertising campaign -- that Democrats "didn't have" -- on an economic message and other issues could have "made all the difference in a couple of close races."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Which political party did Clinton identify as?
Guess: Democrat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he think their biggest problem was?
Guess: The people who were against us felt more strongly than the people for us.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What percentage did the hispanic vote drop from 2012 to 2014?
Guess: From 10% to 8%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why did Clinton think that was?

Partly due to President Barack Obama's decision to not issue an executive order on immigration