Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- The longest-running holiday special still has a very shiny nose. 

"Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer" premiered on television December 6, 1964, and is now one of the holiday season's perennial favorites. The story of the reindeer who saves Christmas is beloved among children and adults alike. 

The Rankin-Bass animated film production company used Japanese puppets and stop motion to tell the tale, bolstered by a soundtrack featuring Burl Ives' rendition of the theme song. 

In the story, Santa's reindeer Donner and his wife have a son, Rudolph, who has the distinction of a nose that glows. He runs away after being made to feel an outcast and links up with an elf who dreams of becoming a dentist and an adventurer seeking silver and gold. 

After ending up on the Island of Misfit Toys and wandering for a while, Rudolph goes on to save his loved ones from the Abominable Snow Monster and guides Santa through a blizzard that threatens to ruin Christmas. 

In 2006, the New York Times reported that fans drove for miles to see the Rudolph and Santa Claus puppets at the Center for Puppetry Arts in Atlanta. The pair were thought to be the last of the surviving production puppets. They had been taken home by a production company employee and given to her children after filming was completed. 

"In 2005, the nephew of the original rescuer found the puppets in a family attic and brought them to be appraised on the PBS series 'Antiques Roadshow,' " the Times said. "Created for about $5,000 each in 1964, they were valued at $8,000 to $10,000 for the pair. The family sold both figures to Kevin A. Kriess, the president of TimeandSpaceToys.com and a lifelong fan of the Rankin-Bass films."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Rudolph's father?
Guess: Donner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why does Rudolph run away?
Guess: he felt like an outcast
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What makes him different from the other reindeer?
Guess: his nose glows
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does he save during a snow storm?
Guess: his loved ones
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he save Christmas?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What Island does he travel to?
Guess: the Island of Misfit Toys
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which company produced the movie?
Guess: Rankin-Bass
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it premiere?
Guess: December 6, 1964
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What methods were used in filming the movie?
Guess: Japanese puppets and stop motion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are all of the puppets still in existence?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many remain?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which?
Guess: Rudolph and Santa Claus
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where had they been stored since their use in the show?
Guess: in a family attic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When were they rediscovered?
Guess: In 2005
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When were they put on display?
Guess: In 2006
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: the Center for Puppetry Arts
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much did they appraise for in 2005?
Guess: $8,000 to $10,000 for the pair
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much did they originally cost to produce?
Guess: about $5,000 each
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What year were they made?

1964