Here's a short story:

Rebel-controlled northern Syria (CNN) -- Mohamed Rashid walked out of the gate of his house with a giant blood stain on his white T-shirt. 

"This is the blood of a martyr! Of a hero! Of a lion!" he bellowed. "This is his blood. It is pure!" 

Mad with grief, Rashid kissed his bloody T-shirt before being led away by worried relatives. 

Just hours before, Rashid learned his son Abdul was killed in battle in the Syrian city of Aleppo. 

Housam Abdul Rashid was a 22-year-old defector from the army. He was also the fourth man from his small hilltop village to be killed fighting for the rebels. 

The younger Rashid is one of the casualties of the five-day-old rebel offensive on Aleppo, the country's commercial capital. Another rebel, who asked only to be named "Khorshid" because his wife and children were still living in Aleppo, described how his comrade was killed by a helicopter gunship, while climbing onto a rooftop. 

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"Housam's specialty was a sniper," Khorshid said. "He went to the roof, and a helicopter gunship killed him. Another fighter from Aleppo with him was also killed. I was just 4 meters away when it happened." 

Khorshid said the rebels mounted their offensive on Aleppo last Friday, two days after a bomb killed four of Syria's top security officials. 

Rebel commanders and fighters claimed they made gains, particularly in the neighborhood of Salahuddin. But they were also clearly suffering casualties. 

What began 17 months ago as a peaceful protest movement has evolved into a full-fledged armed insurgency.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who walked away from the residence with a blood stained shirt?
Guess: Mohamed Rashid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What had Rashid just recently learned?
Guess: learned his son Abdul was killed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the incident take place?
Guess: in battle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was Rashid?
Guess: 22-year-old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What city was Abdul killed in?
Guess: Aleppo.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was the battle?
Guess: five-day-old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Housam known for?
Guess: sniper,"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How har away was Khorshid when a fellow rebel was killed?

4 meters away