Here's a short story:

Chapter 4: Among The Islands. 

"Now, let us go through our calculations again," the captain said when they entered his cabin. 

"How long will you be, Captain?" the first mate asked. 

"Half an hour, Standing." 

"Then I will come again or, if you want me before that, send for me," and the first mate went out on deck again, for though well skilled to handle a ship in all weathers, and as brave and hardy a seaman as sailed out of Plymouth, James Standing could neither read nor write; and though in a rough sort of way he could reckon the course a ship should lie, and make allowance for leeway and currents and baffling winds, and could bring a ship into any port in England or the Low Countries, he was of no use in a matter of this kind. 

Pengarvan was a good scholar, and Reuben had taught him what he knew of navigation, and always made him keep a log from the time when he first became a mate; at first comparing their calculations every day, and then but once a week; arguing over the allowances each had made for tide and leeway; and sometimes finding to his surprise, on arriving in port, that Pengarvan's calculations were even nearer to the truth than his own. 

This was a great satisfaction to him, for he felt that, if aught should happen to himself when on a voyage, Pengarvan could be trusted to bring the Swan home, as safely and surely as he could himself. Roger had, for the last two years, been going through the same schooling; but as yet he was very far from attaining accuracy, being unwilling to make sufficient allowance for the great leeway that a vessel, in those days, made with the wind abeam.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who begins the dialogue in the cabin?
Guess: the captain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is he talking to?
Guess: the first mate
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does the captain want to double-check?
Guess: calculations
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does the first mate ask him the time something will take?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much time will elapse?
Guess: Half an hour.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Will it involve sitting?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does someone offer to return?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the first officer depart to?
Guess: out on deck
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he an inept sailor?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was he courageous?

Yes.