Here's a short story:

James shook his money box again. Nothing! He carefully counted the coins that lay on the bed. $24. 17 was all that he had. The bicycle he wanted was at least $90! How was he going to get the end of the money? He knew that his friends all had bicycles. It was hard to hang around with people when you were the only one without wheels. He thought about what he could do. It was no use asking his parents, for he knew they had no money to save. There was only one way to get money, and that was to earn it. He would have to find a job. But who would hire him and what could he do? He decided to ask Mr. Clay for advice, who usually had opinions on most things. "Well, you can start right here," said Mr. Clay. "My windows need cleaning and my car needs washing. " That was the beginning of James' part-time job. For three months he worked every day after finishing his homework. He was amazed by the different kinds of jobs that people found for him to do. He took dogs and babies for walks, cleared out cupboards, and mended books. He lost count of the number of cars he washed and windows he cleaned, but the money increased and he knew that he would soon have enough for the bicycle he was eager to have. The day finally came when James counted his money and found $94. 32. He wasted no time and went down to the shop to pick up the bicycle he wanted. He rode proudly home, looking forward to showing his new bicycle to his friends. It had been hard working for the money, but James knew that he valued his bicycle far more since he had bought it with his own money. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was his first customer?
Guess: Mr. Clay.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he have enough money to begin with?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much did he have?
Guess: $24. 17
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much did he have by the end?
Guess: $94. 32
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he ask his parents for money?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why not?
Guess: he knew they had no money to save.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many tasks did Mr. Clay have?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much was the bicycle for?
Guess: $90
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does he remember how many cars he washed?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what would he take out for walks?
Guess: dogs and babies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he do for Mr. Clay?
Guess: cleaned windows and washed his car
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he get a lot more jobs after that?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: why did he know the value of the bicycle?

he had bought it with his own money.