Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XII 

ALICE HEATH HAS A VISION 

This change of legal adviser, while very important to Ben Fordyce and the Haneys, did not seem to trouble Allen Crego very much. As a matter of fact, he was about to run for Congress, and had all the business he could attend to anyway. He liked the young Quaker, and responded "All right" in the frank Western fashion, sending the Haneys away quite as solidly friendly as before. To Ben he was most cordial. "I'm glad you're going to settle here, and I'm specially glad you've got a retainer; for the field is overcrowded, and it may take a long time for you to get a place. We old fellows who came down along with the pioneers have an immense advantage. I wish you every success." And he meant it. 

Only when he got home to Mrs. Crego did he come to realize what a horrible injury he had permitted "a young and inexperienced Eastern boy" to do himself. "This connection will ostracize them both," his wife said. 

He answered a little wearily. "Oh, now, my dear, I think you take your social Medes and Persians too seriously. We lawyers can't afford to inquire into the private affairs of our clients too closely--especially if they are derived from the pioneer West. Ben Fordyce doesn't become responsible for Haney's past; it is a business and not a social arrangement." 

"That's like a man," she responded; "they never see anything till it bumps their noses. They've both called on the Haneys and gone riding with them--or with the girl. They've even eaten luncheon there!"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is Crego's current job?
Guess: He's a lawyer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he just lose some clients?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: The Haneys
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does this change matter most to?
Guess: Mrs. Crego
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did the clients hire to replace the old lawyer?
Guess: Ben Fordyce
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he experienced?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why is getting a new client meaningful to him?
Guess: The field is overcrowded
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he socially close to his new client?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How so?
Guess: They've called on the Haneys and gone riding with them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why might that be a problem?
Guess: The connection will ostracize them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who thinks that?
Guess: Mrs. Crego
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does her husband agree?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why not?
Guess: Because it is a business
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long has he been in that line of work?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he have future plans?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To do what?
Guess: To run for Congress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Is he likely to win?

unknown