Here's a short story:

CHAPTER NINE 

MEG GOES TO VANITY FAIR 

"I do think it was the most fortunate thing in the world that those children should have the measles just now," said Meg, one April day, as she stood packing the 'go abroady' trunk in her room, surrounded by her sisters. 

"And so nice of Annie Moffat not to forget her promise. A whole fortnight of fun will be regularly splendid," replied Jo, looking like a windmill as she folded skirts with her long arms. 

"And such lovely weather, I'm so glad of that," added Beth, tidily sorting neck and hair ribbons in her best box, lent for the great occasion. 

"I wish I was going to have a fine time and wear all these nice things," said Amy with her mouth full of pins, as she artistically replenished her sister's cushion. 

"I wish you were all going, but as you can't, I shall keep my adventures to tell you when I come back. I'm sure it's the least I can do when you have been so kind, lending me things and helping me get ready," said Meg, glancing round the room at the very simple outfit, which seemed nearly perfect in their eyes. 

"What did Mother give you out of the treasure box?" asked Amy, who had not been present at the opening of a certain cedar chest in which Mrs. March kept a few relics of past splendor, as gifts for her girls when the proper time came. 

"A pair of silk stockings, that pretty carved fan, and a lovely blue sash. I wanted the violet silk, but there isn't time to make it over, so I must be contented with my old tarlaton."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is going away?
Guess: Meg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was she going?
Guess: April
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is she with?
Guess: Her sisters
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they doing?
Guess: packing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who promised to take her somewhere?
Guess: Annie Moffat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long will she be gone for?
Guess: A fortnight
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did her parents lend her anything?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they lend her?
Guess: Silk Stockings, a fan, and a sash
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where were the items stored before being given to Meg?
Guess: A cedar chest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they call the chest?
Guess: the treasure box
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was the climate for the trip?
Guess: lovely
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Amy repairing?
Guess: a cushion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was Joe being useful?
Guess: folding skirts
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she want most?
Guess: the violet silk
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why couldn't she have it?
Guess: There wasn't time to make it over
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she take instead?
Guess: her old tarleton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was organizing ribbons?

Beth