Here's a short story:

The 1973 oil crisis began in October 1973 when the members of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC, consisting of the Arab members of OPEC plus Egypt and Syria) proclaimed an oil embargo. By the end of the embargo in March 1974, the price of oil had risen from US$3 per barrel to nearly $12 globally; US prices were significantly higher. The embargo caused an oil crisis, or "shock", with many short- and long-term effects on global politics and the global economy. It was later called the "first oil shock", followed by the 1979 oil crisis, termed the "second oil shock." 

The crisis had a major impact on international relations and created a rift within NATO. Some European nations and Japan sought to disassociate themselves from United States foreign policy in the Middle East to avoid being targeted by the boycott. Arab oil producers linked any future policy changes to peace between the belligerents. To address this, the Nixon Administration began multilateral negotiations with the combatants. They arranged for Israel to pull back from the Sinai Peninsula and the Golan Heights. By January 18, 1974, US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger had negotiated an Israeli troop withdrawal from parts of the Sinai Peninsula. The promise of a negotiated settlement between Israel and Syria was enough to convince Arab oil producers to lift the embargo in March 1974. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When did the oil crisis begin?
Guess: October 1973
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did it last?
Guess: Six months
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much did costs rise?
Guess: At least $9.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whats another name for it?
Guess: First oil shock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many others were there?
Guess: One
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who caused it?
Guess: Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: United States policies in the Middle East
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who started deliberating to raise the embargo?
Guess: Nixon Administration
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they do?
Guess: Arranged for Israel to pull back from the Sinai Peninsula and the Golan Heights.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had to make peace in this process?
Guess: Israel and Syria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did these developments directly benefit members of OPEC?

Yes