Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VIII 

IN WHICH MICHAEL FINSBURY ENJOYS A HOLIDAY 

Punctually at eight o'clock next morning the lawyer rattled (according to previous appointment) on the studio door. He found the artist sadly altered for the worse--bleached, bloodshot, and chalky--a man upon wires, the tail of his haggard eye still wandering to the closet. Nor was the professor of drawing less inclined to wonder at his friend. Michael was usually attired in the height of fashion, with a certain mercantile brilliancy best described perhaps as stylish; nor could anything be said against him, as a rule, but that he looked a trifle too like a wedding guest to be quite a gentleman. To-day he had fallen altogether from these heights. He wore a flannel shirt of washed-out shepherd's tartan, and a suit of reddish tweeds, of the colour known to tailors as "heather mixture"; his neckcloth was black, and tied loosely in a sailor's knot; a rusty ulster partly concealed these advantages; and his feet were shod with rough walking boots. His hat was an old soft felt, which he removed with a flourish as he entered. 

"Here I am, William Dent!" he cried, and drawing from his pocket two little wisps of reddish hair, he held them to his cheeks like side-whiskers and danced about the studio with the filmy graces of a ballet-girl. 

Pitman laughed sadly. "I should never have known you," said he. 

"Nor were you intended to," returned Michael, replacing his false whiskers in his pocket. "Now we must overhaul you and your wardrobe, and disguise you up to the nines."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who knocked on the door?
Guess: the lawyer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: at eight o'clock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he find?
Guess: the artist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in what state?
Guess: sadly altered for the worse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how so?
Guess: bleached, bloodshot, and chalky
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he usually like?
Guess: attired in the height of fashion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he wearing?
Guess: a flannel shirt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what pattern?
Guess: washed-out shepherd's tartan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what color was his suit?
Guess: reddish
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what fabric?
Guess: tweed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what shoes did he wear?
Guess: walking boots
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: were they new?

no