Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney used an event at the USS Wisconsin in Norfolk, Virginia, Saturday to announce Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wisconsin, as his vice presidential pick. Romney's choice of Ryan is considered by political observers to be a bold, risky move that could potentially change the dynamic of the Oval Office race. 

CNN Exclusive: How Romney chose his running mate 

By the numbers, here's a look at Paul Ryan: 

28 - Ryan's age when he was first elected to Congress, in 1998. 

3 - Children with his wife, Janna - Liza, Charlie and Sam. 

Polls: Paul Who? 

104 - Times Paul Ryan's Wikipedia entry has been updated so far today, since Ryan was announced as Mitt Romney's running mate. 

Ryan's selection energizes both sides 

$5 trillion - Proposed spending cuts over the next decade in Ryan's 2013 budget proposal, "The Path to Prosperity," relative to President Obama's budget. 

Paul Ryan, top GOP voice on fiscal matters 

25% - The corporate tax rate under Ryan's budget plan. 

2 - Number of proposed federal income tax brackets, 10% and 25%, under Ryan's plan. 

6 - Number of current federal income tax brackets. 

Romney camp prepares Medicare defense after Ryan pick 

173,783 - Followers for Ryan's preexisting Twitter account @RepPaulRyan. 

57, 744 - Followers for Ryan's new campaign-related Twitter account @PaulRyanVP that was launched today. 

153,000 -"Likes" for Ryan's pre-existing Facebook page. 

64,000 - "Likes" for Ryan's new campaign-related Facebook page launched today. 

6 - Number of days a week you have to work out on the P90X exercise regimen. Ryan is a big fan of the regimen.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How old was Ryan when he was elected to Congress?
Guess: 28
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Mitt Romney's pick for vice president?
Guess: Paul Ryan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his wife's name?
Guess: Janna
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many kids does he have?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they all girls?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are their names?
Guess: Liza, Charlie and Sam
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many proposed tax brackets does Ryan want?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did Romney announce his vice presidential pick?
Guess: event at the USS Wisconsin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does 104 represent?
Guess: Times Paul Ryan's Wikipedia entry has been updated so far today, since Ryan was announced as Mitt Romney's running mate.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the corporate tax rate under Ryan's budget?
Guess: 25%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many Twitter followers does he have in his preexisting account?
Guess: 173,783
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What exercise regimen does Ryan use?

P90X