Here's a short story:

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest political party. 

The Democrats' dominant worldview was once social conservatism and economic liberalism, while—especially in the rural South—populism was its leading characteristic. In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a third-party candidate in the Progressive ("Bull Moose") Party, leading to a switch of political platforms between the Democratic and Republican Party and Woodrow Wilson being elected as the first fiscally progressive Democrat. Since Franklin D. Roosevelt and his New Deal coalition in the 1930s, the Democratic Party has also promoted a social-liberal platform, supporting social justice. 

Today, the House Democratic caucus is composed mostly of progressives and centrists, with a smaller minority of conservative Democrats. The party's philosophy of modern liberalism advocates social and economic equality, along with the welfare state. It seeks to provide government intervention and regulation in the economy. These interventions, such as the introduction of social programs, support for labor unions, affordable college tuitions, moves toward universal health care and equal opportunity, consumer protection, and environmental protection form the core of the party's economic policy. The party has united with smaller liberal regional parties throughout the country, such as the Farmer–Labor Party in Minnesota and the Nonpartisan League in North Dakota. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When was the Democratic party founded?
Guess: 1828
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: supporters of Andrew Jackson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was its name when Thomas Jefferson was involved?
Guess: Democratic-Republican Party
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the name of Franklin D Roosevelt's coalition?
Guess: New Deal coalition
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did it support?
Guess: social justice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Promoted by what?
Guess: ocial-liberal platform
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was this?
Guess: 1930s
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Woodrow Wilson a Republican?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Theodore Roosevelt's party?
Guess: third-party candidate in the Progressive ("Bull Moose") Party
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he run?
Guess: 1912
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many other parties were there then

Three