Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IV. 

THE QUARREL ON THE BRIDGE. 

The boy on the shore was Percy Paget, the squire's only son. He was a year older than Ralph, and somewhat taller and heavier. His ways were arrogant to the last degree, and in the village he had but few friends, and these only because he generally had pocket money to spend. 

On several occasions Ralph had had sharp words with Percy because the latter wished to do as he pleased on the bridge, against the printed rules that were posted up. Because his parent was squire, Percy imagined he could do almost anything and it would be all right. 

"I say, are you counting your fortune?" repeated Percy, throwing as much of a sneer into his tones as possible. 

"Unfortunately, I haven't any fortune to count, Percy," returned the young bridge tender, good-naturedly. 

"Humph! I suppose you mean that for a pun, don't you?" growled the son of the squire. "If you do, let me tell you it's a mighty poor one." 

"I hadn't intended to pun, Percy." 

"I didn't think so, for you haven't the brains. Didn't I see you counting some money just now?" 

"I was looking at a bank bill." 

"That you got on the bridge, I suppose?" 

"No; it was a bill of my own." 

"Oh, I thought you had to use all the money you made here." 

"I have to use the most of it. My pay isn't any too large, as you know." 

"Yes, but I guess you make enough besides," returned Percy, suggestively.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Did the squire have a son?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his name?
Guess: Percy Paget
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was he?
Guess: arrogant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was a year older?
Guess: Ralph
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Percy ever fight with him?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many times?
Guess: several
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was taller and heavier?
Guess: Percy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did they fight?
Guess: he wished to do as he pleased
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: the bridge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were Percy's parents?
Guess: squire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he know there were rules?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Percy repeat?
Guess: "I say, are you counting your fortune?"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he genuine?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Ralph respond in kind?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he mean to look at?
Guess: a bank bill.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did Percy think he got it?
Guess: the bridge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he right?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he have to use all the money?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did Percy calm down?

Yes