Here's a short story:

Albanians () are a nation and ethnic group, native to Albania, Kosovo and other countries who share a common culture, ancestry and speak the Albanian language as a native tongue. Legally, the term is used to refer to the citizens of the Republic of Albania. Ethnic Albanians speak the Albanian language and more than half of ethnic Albanians live in Albania and Kosovo. A large Albanian population lives in Greece, Italy, the Republic of Macedonia, with smaller Albanian populations located in Serbia and Montenegro. 

Albanians produced many prominent figures such as Skanderbeg, leader of the medieval Albanian resistance to the Ottoman conquest and others during the Albanian National Awakening seeking self-determination. During the 17th and 18th century Albanians in large numbers converted to Islam, often to escape higher taxes levied on Christian subjects as well as a plethora of other reasons including ecclesiastical decay, coercion by Ottoman authorities in times of war, and the privileged legal and social position of Muslims. As Muslims, some Albanians attained important political and military positions within the Ottoman Empire and culturally contributed to the wider Muslim world. Albania gained its independence in 1912 and between 1945–1992, Albanians lived under a repressive communist regime. Albanians within Yugoslavia underwent periods of discrimination and eventual self-determination that concluded with the breakup of that state in the early 1990s culminating with Albanians living in new countries and Kosovo. Outside the southwestern Balkans of where Albanians have traditionally been located, Albanian populations through the course of history have formed new communities contributing to the cultural, economic, social and political life of their host populations and countries while also at times assimilating too. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: do 80% of Albanians live in Albania and Kosovo?
Guess: Probably
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: at least how many do?
Guess: more than half
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is their mother tongue?
Guess: the Albanian language
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: aside for language what do people of this heritage share?
Guess: a common culture,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anything else?
Guess: ancestry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where else do Albians live?
Guess: Greece,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: only a few of them?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anywhere else?
Guess: Italy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: during what centuries did they convert to Islam?
Guess: During the 17th and 18th century
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was a reason given for the conversion?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what?

to escape higher taxes levied on Christian subjects