Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Syrian state TV aired Saturday what it said was a confession by citizen journalist Ali Mahmoud Othman, who activists say was arrested in March after he helped foreign journalists escape from the besieged city of Homs. 

Othman helped run a media center in Baba Amr area of Homs, which provided information to international news media during a months-long crackdown on the civilian neighborhood by government forces. 

Reporters Without Borders, the journalist watchdog group, said last month it was "extremely concerned" for the life of Othman after his detention. 

Othman was transferred to Damascus two days after his arrest by the intelligence services in Aleppo on March 28, the group said. 

Activists fear he may have been subjected to torture in detention. 

Rafiq Lutf, described as a Syrian media researcher, told the state TV program he had spoken to Othman for seven hours uninterrupted, all of it videotaped. 

His subject states his name is "Ali Othman aka Al-Jid from Baba Amr of Homs. I work as photography director and live streaming with Khalid Abu Salah at the media center. I communicate with the satellite channels, on top of them Al Jazeera, Arabiya, CNN, BBC, Sky News and Turkish channel TRT." 

In the interview Othman describes how the media operation was set up in Baba Amr, and talks about demonstrations and the role of armed groups. 

It is unclear under what circumstances the interview was taped. 

But Heather Blake, UK representative for Reporters Without Borders, said: "Research by our organization and many other organizations indicates that many human rights defenders who are detained have been shown to give false confessions under much duress and torture.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What profession was Ali Mahmoud Othman?
Guess: citizen journalist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was he arrested?
Guess: helped foreign journalists escape from the besieged city of Homs.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of journalism did he do?
Guess: helped run a media center in Baba Amr area of Homs
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they do?
Guess: provided information to international news media
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened after Ali Mahmoud was arrested?
Guess: transferred to Damascus two days after his arres
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: intelligence services
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was that?
Guess: March 28
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was anyone able to contact him?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Rafiq Lutf?
Guess: a Syrian media researcher
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did he do?

told the state TV program he had spoken to Othman for seven hours uninterrupted