Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XII 

A chill, gray, somber dawn was breaking when Ellen dragged herself into the cabin and crept under her blankets, there to sleep the sleep of exhaustion. 

When she awoke the hour appeared to be late afternoon. Sun and sky shone through the sunken and decayed roof of the old cabin. Her uncle, Tad Jorth, lay upon a blanket bed upheld by a crude couch of boughs. The light fell upon his face, pale, lined, cast in a still mold of suffering. He was not dead, for she heard his respiration. 

The floor underneath Ellen's blankets was bare clay. She and Jorth were alone in this cabin. It contained nothing besides their beds and a rank growth of weeds along the decayed lower logs. Half of the cabin had a rude ceiling of rough-hewn boards which formed a kind of loft. This attic extended through to the adjoining cabin, forming the ceiling of the porch-like space between the two structures. There was no partition. A ladder of two aspen saplings, pegged to the logs, and with braces between for steps, led up to the attic. 

Ellen smelled wood smoke and the odor of frying meat, and she heard the voices of men. She looked out to see that Slater and Somers had joined their party--an addition that might have strengthened it for defense, but did not lend her own situation anything favorable. Somers had always appeared the one best to avoid. 

Colter espied her and called her to "Come an' feed your pale face." His comrades laughed, not loudly, but guardedly, as if noise was something to avoid. Nevertheless, they awoke Tad Jorth, who began to toss and moan on the bed.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where did Ellen drag herself?
Guess: into the cabin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: to sleep
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how tired was she?
Guess: exhausted
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she get under a blanket?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did she sleep?
Guess: until late afternoon.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was her uncle's name?
Guess: Tad Jorth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where they alone in this cabin?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Tad lay on?
Guess: a blanket bed upheld by a crude couch of boughs
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he dead?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did she know?
Guess: she heard his respiration.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What furniture did they have in the cabin?
Guess: beds
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a partition?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a ladder?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was used for steps?
Guess: braces
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it lead?
Guess: the attic.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did Ellen see join the party?
Guess: Slater and Somers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she hear to know?
Guess: the voices of men
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Somers appear?
Guess: best to avoid.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Colter say?
Guess: "Come an' feed your pale face."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who laughed?

His comrades