Here's a short story:

Educators across the U.S. are calling for major changes to the admission process in higher education. 

The National Center for Educational Statistics (or NCES) reported that U.S. colleges and universities received more than 9 million applications between 2013 and 2014 and admitted more than 5 million students. But the problem is not in the number of students, a new report says. The report is called "Turning the Tide -- Making Caring Common." 

The report argues that the process schools use to choose students causes major problems. David Hawkins is the Executive Director for Educational Content and Policy. He says that most colleges and universities require many things from students when they apply. 

Schools usually require an essay describing a student's interests or why they want to study at that school. The schools also ask for letters from teachers describing why a student is a good candidate. But, Hawkins says, schools are most concerned with a student's high school grades and standardized test results. 

The Education Conservancy is an organization that fights to make higher education equal and available. Lloyd Thacker is the Executive Director of the Education Conservancy, saying that the college admission process has changed a lot. 

"Over the past 30 years, college admissions have become more complex." He says that ranking systems for colleges and universities are a big part of the problem. 

U.S. News and World Report is a media company that creates a list of what it calls "America's Best Colleges." The company bases the list on information collected from colleges and universities across the country. This information includes results of standardized tests like the SAT from all of a school's students. Higher average test results help put schools higher on the list. 

Thacker claims, "Too many students are learning to do whatever it takes in order to get ahead, even if that means sacrificing their own individuality, their health, their happiness and behavior..." 

"The impact on students and on parents is that college is all about where you go. The rank has nothing to do with the quality of education that goes on at the college." 

The Harvard report states that the best way to change the admission process is by changing college applications. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is calling for major changes?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To what?
Guess: to the admission process in higher education.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the NCES?
Guess: The National Center for Educational Statistics (or NCES)
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do they report on?
Guess: reported that U.S. colleges and universities received more than 9 million applications between 2013 and 2014 and admitted more than 5 million students.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the problem?
Guess: the problem is not in the number of students
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What causes major problems?
Guess: The report argues that the process schools use to choose students causes major problems
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is David Hawkins?
Guess: David Hawkins is the Executive Director for Educational Content and Policy.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do schools require?
Guess: require an essay describing a student's interests or why they want to study at that school.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are schools most concerned with?
Guess: schools are most concerned with a student's high school grades and standardized test results.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the education conservancy?
Guess: The Education Conservancy is an organization that fights to make higher education equal and available
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Lloyd Thacker?
Guess: Executive Director of the Education
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he say?
Guess: saying that the college admission process has changed a lot.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Have admissions become more complex?
Guess: Yes, over the past 30 years, college admissions have become more complex
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he say?
Guess: He says that ranking systems for colleges and universities are a big part of the problem.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the U.S. News and World Report
Guess: U.S. News and World Report is a media company that creates a list of what it calls "America's Best Colleges.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is an example of a standardized test?
Guess: SAT
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What does the Harvard report state?

The Harvard report states that the best way to change the admission process is by changing college applications.