Here's a short story:

Once there was a turkey named Tim, who enjoyed playing house, playing football and riding his bicycle all the time. His favorite food would be corn, which he enjoys licking when it is still on the cob. But his parents spank him to try to get him to stop doing that, as he often burns his tongue when the cob is too hot. He enjoys watching football games as well, he always cheers and claps for his favorite team, the Gobblers. In a game he watched last week, the other team, a chicken team named the Clucks, were playing as well. It was a close game, but the Gobblers ended up winning with a little luck. Tim's best friend was also watching the game, Tony the lizard, and they both enjoyed watching the game together! (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is the lizard?
Guess: Tony
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Tim?
Guess: turkey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he play?
Guess: house
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else?
Guess: football
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who won?
Guess: Gobblers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What helped them win?
Guess: luck
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was too hot?
Guess: cob
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How do you know?
Guess: burns his tongue
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did he get spanked?
Guess: licking when it is still on the cob
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What got ridden?

bicycle