Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VI 

Miss Mackenzie Goes to the Cedars 

About the middle of December Mrs Mackenzie, of Gower Street, received a letter from her sister-in-law at Littlebath, in which it was proposed that Susanna should pass the Christmas holidays with her father and mother. "I myself," said the letter, "am going for three weeks to the Cedars. Lady Ball has written to me, and as she seems to wish it, I shall go. It is always well, I think, to drop family dissensions." The letter said a great deal more, for Margaret Mackenzie, not having much business on hand, was fond of writing long letters; but the upshot of it was, that she would leave Susanna in Gower Street, on her way to the Cedars, and call for her on her return home. 

"What on earth is she going there for?" said Mrs Tom Mackenzie. 

"Because they have asked her," replied the husband. 

"Of course they have asked her; but that's no reason she should go. The Balls have behaved very badly to us, and I should think much better of her if she stayed away." 

To this Mr Mackenzie made no answer, but simply remarked that he would be rejoiced in having Susanna at home on Christmas Day. 

"That's all very well, my dear," said Mrs Tom, "and of course so shall I. But as she has taken the charge of the child I don't think she ought to drop her down and pick her up just whenever she pleases. Suppose she was to take it into her head to stop at the Cedars altogether, what are we to do then?--just have the girl returned upon our hands, with all her ideas of life confused and deranged. I hate such ways."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How did the Balls behave?
Guess: badly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What would make Mr Mackenzie happy?
Guess: having Susanna at home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: Christmas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the title of this Chapter?
Guess: Miss Mackenzie Goes to the Cedars
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it Chapter V?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which chapter is it?
Guess: VI
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did Mrs Mackenzie receive a note?
Guess: December
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Towards the beginning of the month?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: middle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the letter from?
Guess: sister-in-law
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did she live?
Guess: Littlebath
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about Mrs MacKenzie?
Guess: Gower Street,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does the letter suggest an idea?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In regards to a holiday?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: Christmas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the letter short?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How much did it say?

great deal