Here's a short story:

A transistor is a semiconductor device used to amplify or switch electronic signals and electrical power. It is composed of semiconductor material with at least three terminals for connection to an external circuit. A voltage or current applied to one pair of the transistor's terminals changes the current through another pair of terminals. Because the controlled (output) power can be higher than the controlling (input) power, a transistor can amplify a signal. Today, some transistors are packaged individually, but many more are found embedded in integrated circuits. 

The transistor is the fundamental building block of modern electronic devices, and is ubiquitous in modern electronic systems. First conceived by Julius Lilienfeld in 1926 and practically implemented in 1947 by American physicists John Bardeen, Walter Brattain, and William Shockley, the transistor revolutionized the field of electronics, and paved the way for smaller and cheaper radios, calculators, and computers, among other things. The transistor is on the list of IEEE milestones in electronics, and Bardeen, Brattain, and Shockley shared the 1956 Nobel Prize in Physics for their achievement. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is one use of a transistor?
Guess: integrated circuits
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is a transistor in relation to modern electronics?
Guess: the fundamental building block
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what year was it conceived?
Guess: 1926
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: Julius Lilienfeld
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many years later was it implemented?
Guess: 1926 and practically implemented in 1947
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many scientist were involved in implementation?
Guess: John Bardeen, Walter Brattain, and William Shockley 3
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What field did the invention revolutionize?
Guess: electronics
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And what two types of radios were developed after its implementation?
Guess: cheaper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What one other item was smaller and cheaper afterwards?
Guess: calculators
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And another?
Guess: computers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What milestone List is this breakthrough in?
Guess: transistor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many shared a Peace Prize?

Bardeen, Brattain, and Shockley