Here's a short story:

Alfred Nobel, the great Swedish inventor and industrialist, was born in Stockholm on October 21, 1833, but moved to Russia with his parents in 1842, where his father, Immanuel, made a strong position for himself in the engineering industry. 

Immanuel Nobel invented landmine and made a lot of money from the government during the Crimean War, but went bankrupt soon after. Then, the family returned to Sweden in 1859, where Alfred began his own study of explosives in his father's lab. He had never been to school or university but had taught himself, and by the time he was twenty, he became a skillful chemist and excellent linguist, speaking Swedish, Russian, German, French and English. He built up over 80 companies in 20 different countries. 

He was always searching for a meaning to life. He spent much time and money working on how to end the wars, and the peace between nations, until his death in Italy in 1896. His famous last will, in which he left money to provide prizes for outstanding work in physics, chemistry, physiology, medicine, literature and peace, is a memorial to his interests and ideas. And so, the man is remembered and respected long after his death. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When did Alfred Nobel die?
Guess: 1896
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was his father?
Guess: Immanuel Nobel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he invent?
Guess: landmine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Alfred birthed?
Guess: Stockholm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what year?
Guess: 1833
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did his family move?
Guess: Russia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did that happen?
Guess: in 1842
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of profession did his dad do?
Guess: engineering
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did his father make a good amount of money?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he lose it at some point?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did they go back to their home country?
Guess: 1859
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What profession was Nobel the son?

an inventor