Here's a short story:

When Abraham Lincoln was young, he worked in a store. One day a woman came into the store and bought some things. They added up to two dollars and six and a quarter cents. The bill was paid, and the woman was satisfied. But the young storekeeper, not feeling quite sure about his calculations , added up the things again. To his surprise he found that it should have been but two dollars. "I've made her pay six and a quarter cents more," said young Abe, upset. It was an unimportant thing, and many salespersons would forget it, but Abe was too careful for that. "The money must be paid back," he decided. At night, he closed the store and walked to the home of his customer. He explained the matter, paid over the six and a quarter cents, and returned satisfied. Here is another story of young Lincoln's strict honesty. A woman entered the store and asked for half a pound of tea. The young man weighed it out. This was the last sale of the day. The next morning, when beginning his duties, Abe discovered a four-ounce weight on the scales . It flashed upon him at once that he had used this in the sale last night, and so, of course, given his customer short weight. Many people would not have been much worried by this discovery. But Abe weighed out the balance of the half pound, shut up the store, and carried it to the customer. I think that the name, so often given in late times to President Lincoln, of "Honest Old Abe", was well deserved . (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is the story about?
Guess: Abraham Lincoln
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he during the story?
Guess: young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his job?
Guess: worked in a store
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What nickname was he eventually given?
Guess: Honest Old Abe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who came in the store first?
Guess: a woman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she buy anything?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much did she pay?
Guess: two dollars and six and a quarter cents
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she think there was a problem?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Lincoln do after she left?
Guess: added up the things again
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the bill correct?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much should he have charged her?
Guess: two dollars
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he just forget about it?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do?
Guess: went to her home to return the money
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he go?
Guess: at night when he closed the store
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the next woman want to buy?
Guess: half a pound of tea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was the sale correct?

no