Here's a short story:

Jordan, officially The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, is an Arab kingdom in Western Asia, on the East Bank of the Jordan River. Jordan is bordered by Saudi Arabia to the east and south; Iraq to the north-east; Syria to the north; Israel, Palestine and the Dead Sea to the west; and the Red Sea in its extreme south-west. Jordan is strategically located at the crossroads of Asia, Africa and Europe. The capital, Amman, is Jordan's most populous city as well as the country's economic, political and cultural centre. 

What is now Jordan has been inhabited by humans since the Paleolithic period. Three stable kingdoms emerged there at the end of the Bronze Age: Ammon, Moab and Edom. Later rulers include the Nabataean Kingdom, the Roman Empire, and the Ottoman Empire. After the Great Arab Revolt against the Ottomans in 1916 during World War I, the Ottoman Empire was partitioned by Britain and France. The Emirate of Transjordan was established in 1921 by the then Emir Abdullah I and it became a British protectorate. In 1946, Jordan became an independent state officially known as "The Hashemite Kingdom of Transjordan". Jordan captured the West Bank during the 1948 Arab–Israeli War, which it later lost in 1967, and the name of the state was changed to "The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan" in 1949. Jordan is a founding member of the Arab League and the Organisation of Islamic Co-operation, and is one of two Arab states to have signed a peace treaty with Israel. The country is a constitutional monarchy, but the king holds wide executive and legislative powers. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How long have people lived in Jordan?
Guess: since the Paleolithic period
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many kingdoms cropped up at the end of the Bronze Age there?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were they?
Guess: Ammon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And?
Guess: Moab
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Last one?
Guess: Edom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the Great Arab revolt aimed at?
Guess: the Ottomans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was that?
Guess: during World War I
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Britain and France do there?
Guess: partitioned it
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did Jordan take the West Bank?
Guess: during the 1948 Arab–Israeli War
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Jordan win that?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it named after that?
Guess: "The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Jordan an original member of the Arab League?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did they sign with Israel?

treaty