Here's a short story:

Svalbard (; prior to 1925 known by its Dutch name Spitsbergen, meaning "jagged mountains") is a Norwegian archipelago in the Arctic Ocean. Situated north of mainland Europe, it is about midway between continental Norway and the North Pole. The islands of the group range from 74° to 81° north latitude, and from 10° to 35° east longitude. The largest island is Spitsbergen, followed by Nordaustlandet and Edgeøya. 

Administratively, the archipelago is not part of any Norwegian county, but forms an unincorporated area administered by a governor appointed by the Norwegian government. Since 2002, Svalbard's main settlement, Longyearbyen, has had an elected local government, somewhat similar to mainland municipalities. Other settlements include the Russian mining community of Barentsburg, the research station of Ny-Ålesund, and the mining outpost of Sveagruva. Ny-Ålesund is the northernmost settlement in the world with a permanent civilian population. Other settlements are farther north, but are populated only by rotating groups of researchers. 

The islands were first taken into use as a whaling base in the 17th and 18th centuries, after which they were abandoned. Coal mining started at the beginning of the 20th century, and several permanent communities were established. The Svalbard Treaty of 1920 recognizes Norwegian sovereignty, and the 1925 Svalbard Act made Svalbard a full part of the Kingdom of Norway. They also established Svalbard as a free economic zone and a demilitarized zone. The Norwegian Store Norske and the Russian Arktikugol remain the only mining companies in place. Research and tourism have become important supplementary industries, with the University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS) and the Svalbard Global Seed Vault playing critical roles. No roads connect the settlements; instead snowmobiles, aircraft and boats serve inter-community transport. Svalbard Airport, Longyear serves as the main gateway. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is the name of the airport?
Guess: Svalbard Airport
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were the islands first used as?
Guess: as a whaling base
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: in the 17th and 18th centuries
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it still used for the same purpose today?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who mainly stays further in the north?
Guess: rotating groups of researchers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it part of any norwegian county?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is it's dutch name?
Guess: Spitsbergen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was it known by this name?
Guess: prior to 1925
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it in the pacific ocean?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then where?
Guess: the Arctic Ocean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many supplemental industries have become important?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which ones?
Guess: Research and tourism
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what kind of mining goes on?

Coal mining