Here's a short story:

The big white bear walked over the ice. After he went a few feet, he pushed his paws down on the ice as hard as he could. The sheet of ice cracked, and the big bear learned that he still had to wait. 

The big white bear was waiting to go out to the ice and hunt. He was getting thin after a long summer in the far north, and he was ready to catch a seal. In a few weeks, he could walk out on the ice, far from shore. There, he could find seals or other animals that he could catch. He would come back from the cold winter a lot fatter. 

But for now, he would have to wait. In a few more days, the ice would be thick enough for him to go out and hunt. The cold winds were starting to make some of the ice very thick. But this spot was too thin, and he would have to wait. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What made the ice crack?
Guess: the bear
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the bear little?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color was it?
Guess: white
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he crack the ice?
Guess: he pushed his paws down on the ice as hard as he could
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did he learn from it?

he still had to wait