Here's a short story:

Cambodia (; , or Kampuchea ), officially known as the Kingdom of Cambodia (, "Preăh Réachéanachâk Kâmpŭchéa", ), is a country located in the southern portion of the Indochina Peninsula in Southeast Asia. It is in area, bordered by Thailand to the northwest, Laos to the northeast, Vietnam to the east, and the Gulf of Thailand to the southwest. 

Cambodia has a population of over floor(/1e6) million. The official religion is Theravada Buddhism, practiced by approximately 95 percent of the population. The country's minority groups include Vietnamese, Chinese, Chams, and 30 hill tribes. The capital and largest city is Phnom Penh, the political, economic, and cultural centre of Cambodia. The kingdom is a constitutional monarchy with Norodom Sihamoni, a monarch chosen by the Royal Throne Council, as head of state. The head of government is Hun Sen, who is currently the longest serving non-royal leader in South East Asia and has ruled Cambodia for over 30 years. 

In 802 AD, Jayavarman II declared himself king, uniting the warring Khmer princes of Chenla under the name "Kambuja". This marked the beginning of the Khmer Empire which flourished for over 600 years, allowing successive kings to control and exert influence over much of Southeast Asia and accumulate immense power and wealth. The Indianized kingdom built monumental temples including Angkor Wat, now a World Heritage Site, and facilitated the spread of first Hinduism, then Buddhism to much of Southeast Asia. After the fall of Angkor to Ayutthaya in the 15th century, a reduced and weakened Cambodia was then ruled as a vassal state by its neighbours. In 1863 Cambodia became a protectorate of France which doubled the size of the country by reclaiming the north and west from Thailand. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: name the world heritage site in Cambodia.
Guess: Angkor Wat, now a World Heritage Site,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did Jayavarman declare himself king?
Guess: 802 AD
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is Cambodia's official name?
Guess: Kingdom of Cambodia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are there hill tribes there?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many?
Guess: 30
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many other minorities?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which ones?
Guess: Vietnamese, Chinese, Chams
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is head of government?
Guess: Hun Sen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is he royal?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: has he ruled for long?

yes