Here's a short story:

China, officially the People's Republic of China (PRC), is a unitary sovereign state in East Asia and the world's most populous country, with a population of around /1e9 round 3 billion. Covering approximately , it is the world's second-largest state by land area and third- or fourth-largest by total area. Governed by the Communist Party of China, it exercises jurisdiction over 22 provinces, five autonomous regions, four direct-controlled municipalities (Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Chongqing) and the Special Administrative Regions Hong Kong and Macau, also claiming sovereignty over Taiwan. China is a great power and a major regional power within Asia, and has been characterized as a potential superpower. 

China emerged as one of the world's earliest civilizations in the fertile basin of the Yellow River in the North China Plain. For millennia, China's political system was based on hereditary monarchies, or dynasties, beginning with the semi-legendary Xia dynasty. Since then, China has expanded, fractured, and re-unified numerous times. In 1912, the Republic of China (ROC) replaced the last dynasty and ruled the Chinese mainland until 1949, when it was defeated by the communist People's Liberation Army in the Chinese Civil War. The Communist Party established the People's Republic of China in Beijing on 1 October 1949, while the ROC government retreated to Taiwan with its present "de facto" capital in Taipei. Both the ROC and PRC continue to claim to be the legitimate government of all China, though the latter has more recognition in the world and controls more territory. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is China officially called?
Guess: People's Republic of China
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is it?
Guess: East Asia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it start?
Guess: North China Plain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it near a river?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: Yellow River
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it an early civilization?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was their political system at the beginning?
Guess: Hereditary monarchy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was another name for that?
Guess: Dynasty
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the first one?
Guess: Xia dynasty
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the last one end?
Guess: 1912
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What replaced them?
Guess: Republic of China
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Is the ROC still operating?

Yes