Here's a short story:

War Horseis a historical story by Michael Morpurgo. It is written for kids ages 8 to 12. Now just sit and get through the introduction to the plot. 

In 1914, a young horse named Joey is sold to a farmer. The farmer' s son, Albert, is thrilled. He cares for Joey. When the family begins to feel the financial impact of war, Albert' s father secretly sells Joey to an army officer named Captain Nicholls. Albert begs the captain to let him join the army. Albert is too young, but Nicholls promises to take good care of Joey for him. 

Nicholls treats Joey well. Though Joey still remembers Albert, he grows to like his new master. He develops a friendship with another horse, Topthorn., who belongs to Nicholls' friend, Captain Stewart. The horses and men are shipped overseas for battle. They soon face their own battle in France, and Captain Nicholls is killed. 

A young soldier named Warren becomes Joey's new owner. Joey and Topthorn do well in battle, but the Germans capture Warren and Stewart and their horses. The horses' duty of pulling carts full of wounded German soldiers earns them praise. An old farmer and his granddaughter, Emilie, _ the horses as well. When the German army moves out of the area, Emilie and her grandfather keep the two horses. Joey and Topthorn are content to work the farm until another band of soldiers takes them. They become workhorses under bad conditions. Joey is very upset when Topthorn dies of exhaustion. 

Alone and frightened, Joey wanders into "no-man's-land" between the German and English camps. An English soldier takes him back to camp. 

Joey is reunited with Albert. As the war ends, Albert' s officer announces the horses will be sold in France. An old Frenchman buys Joey. The man, Emilie' s grandfather, tells Albert how Emilie lost the will to live after the horses were taken. However, he eventually sells Joey to Albert for one penny, as long as Albert promises to share Emilie' s story so her life will not be in vain. Joey and Albert return home. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What story did he write?
Guess: War Horse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who wrote it?
Guess: Michael Morpurgo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is the farmers child?
Guess: Albert
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is the animal sold to?
Guess: Captain Nicholls.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the animal's name?
Guess: Joey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where are all of them sent?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Joey's friend?
Guess: Topthorn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did he die?
Guess: exhaustion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were they captured?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by who?
Guess: soldiers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was Joey’s owner when captured?

Emilie and her grandfather