Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXVII 

THE COLLISION IN THE FOG 

"Hullo! Mumps isn't keeping this flag of truce very good," remarked Sam, as the seashell dropped at his feet. 

"There is something inside of the shell," said Tom. "A bit of paper. Perhaps it's a message?" 

"I'll soon see," returned his younger brother, and ran to where he could not be seen from the other yacht. 

He pulled from the seashell a small, square of paper, upon which had been hastily scrawled the following in lead pencil: 

"I will help you all I can and hope you won't prosecute me. I will see that Dora S. gets something to eat, even if I give her my share. They intend to go to Sand Haven if they can give you the slip." 

"Good for Mumps! He's coming to his senses," cried Sam, and showed the others the message. Dick read the words with much satisfaction. 

"I hope he does stand by Dora," he said. "If so, I'll shield him all I can when the crowd is brought up for trial." 

"If he tells the truth we may as well put into harbor and make for Sand Haven," said Martin Harris, who had now resumed the chase once more. 

"Yes; but he may not be telling the truth," was Sergeant Brown's comment. "The whole thing may be a trick to get us to go to Sand Haven while that crowd goes somewhere else." 

"I think they are tired of carrying the girl around," said Carter. "To give her up to us would have been no hardship."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who sent the message about Dora?
Guess: Mumps
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who thought it might be a trick?
Guess: Sergeant Brown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: where did he think it was trying to get them to go?

Sand Haven