Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VIII. 

Breakfast on Sunday morning was an hour later than on week-days, and Priscilla, who usually made no public appearance before luncheon, honoured it by her presence. Dressed in black silk, with a ruby cross as well as her customary string of pearls round her neck, she presided. An enormous Sunday paper concealed all but the extreme pinnacle of her coiffure from the outer world. 

"I see Surrey has won," she said, with her mouth full, "by four wickets. The sun is in Leo: that would account for it!" 

"Splendid game, cricket," remarked Mr. Barbecue-Smith heartily to no one in particular; "so thoroughly English." 

Jenny, who was sitting next to him, woke up suddenly with a start. "What?" she said. "What?" 

"So English," repeated Mr. Barbecue-Smith. 

Jenny looked at him, surprised. "English? Of course I am." 

He was beginning to explain, when Mrs. Wimbush vailed her Sunday paper, and appeared, a square, mauve-powdered face in the midst of orange splendours. "I see there's a new series of articles on the next world just beginning," she said to Mr. Barbecue-Smith. "This one's called 'Summer Land and Gehenna.'" 

"Summer Land," echoed Mr. Barbecue-Smith, closing his eyes. "Summer Land. A beautiful name. Beautiful--beautiful." 

Mary had taken the seat next to Denis's. After a night of careful consideration she had decided on Denis. He might have less talent than Gombauld, he might be a little lacking in seriousness, but somehow he was safer. 

"Are you writing much poetry here in the country?" she asked, with a bright gravity.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who came for breakfast on Sunday?
Guess: Priscilla
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she doing?
Guess: reading the paper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she say anything about her reading?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she say
Guess: I see Surrey has won
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which meant what?
Guess: cricket match
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there many people at the table?
Guess: A few
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was next to Denis?
Guess: Mary
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: she had decided on Denis
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Because of why?
Guess: he was safer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Safer than who?
Guess: Gombauld
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she remark to Denis?
Guess: Are you writing much poetry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they in the city?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who likes cricket?
Guess: Mr. Barbecue-Smith
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: because it is so thoroughly English
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does Priscilla always wear around her neck?
Guess: string of pearls
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was startled awake?
Guess: Jenny
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is Priscilla's last name?

Wimbush