Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IX 

A DOSE OF TAR AND FEATHERS 

"Make some kind of a light--I can't see a thing," said Dan Baxter, as the little party came to a halt in front of a half tumbled down building. 

Stumpy Nuggs carried matches, and quickly lit a bit of candle which he produced from one of the pockets of his ragged attire. 

They entered the dwelling, forcing Tom to accompany them. This done they tied the young cadet fast to an iron ring set in the huge old fashion fireplace. 

"Now we'll turn out his pockets," said Longback, and this was quickly done. To the tramps' chagrin Tom carried no watch, but had with him two dollars in money. 

"Now we'll take dat ring," said Nuggs, pointing to the article on Tom's little finger. 

"So I have fallen in with a lot of thieves, eh?" said the boy. "Well, if you want the ring you can fight for it." 

"Shut up!" roared Dan Baxter, and struck him across the mouth, causing Tom's under lip to bleed. The boy tried to retaliate, but his bonds held him fast. 

While one tramp held his hand the other possessed himself of the ring. The ring contained an opal of which Tom was very proud, and to part with the article made the young cadet feel pretty bad. 

"You will rue this night's work," he muttered. "I'll see you in prison for it." 

"Don't waste your breath in threatening," cried Baxter. 

"All right, Baxter, wait and see. I'll put you where your father is."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did Stumpy carry?
Guess: matches
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do with them?
Guess: lit a candle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why he do that?
Guess: Make some light said Dan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a thief?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he steal?
Guess: ring
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From who?
Guess: Tom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was tom an old man?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What age is he then?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he tied up?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he sustain any injuries?
Guess: his lip bled
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What caused that?
Guess: Dan struck him across the mouth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did he escape?

No