Here's a short story:

CHAPTER X 

THE FAMILY COBWEB ON THE MOVE 



'Oh! the auld house, the auld house, What though the rooms were wee; Oh! kind hearts were dwelling there, And bairnies full of glee.' Lady Nairn. 

Every one except Edgar would, it was hoped, stay at home till after the Epiphany, that most marked anniversary of birth and death. 

Clement at first declared it impossible, for St. Matthew's could not dispense with him on the great day; and Fulbert grinned, and nudged Lance at his crest-fallen looks, when he received full leave of absence for the next three weeks. 

But Lance was bursting with reverse troubles. The same post had brought him a note from his organist; and that 'stupid old Dean' as he irreverently called him, had maliciously demanded 'How beautiful are the feet,' with the chorus following, and nobody in the choir was available to execute the solo but Lance. He had sung it once or twice before; and if he had the music, and would practise at home, he need only come up by the earliest train on the Epiphany morning; if not, he must arrive in time for a practice on the 5th; he would be wanted at both the festival and Sunday services, but might return as early as he pleased on Monday the 9th. 

Lance did not receive the summons in an exemplary spirit. It is not certain that he did not bite it. He rolled on the floor, and contorted himself in convulsions of vexation; he 'bothered' the Dean, he 'bothered' the Precentor, he 'bothered' the Organist, he 'bothered' Shapcote's sore throat, he 'bothered' Harewood's wool- gathering wits, he 'bothered' his own voice, and thereby caused Clement to rebuke him for foolish murmurs instead of joy in his gift.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What chapter is this?
Guess: X
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the Family on the move?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is a lady?
Guess: Nairn.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When could Lance return?
Guess: As early as he pleased.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: On what day?
Guess: Monday the 9th.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Clement think it'd be possible at first?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why not?
Guess: St. Matthew's could not dispense with him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who grinned?
Guess: Fulbert
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were the rooms big?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How had the note arrived to him?
Guess: from his organist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was it from?
Guess: 'stupid old Dean'
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Could someone other than Lance do the solo?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day would he have to arrive on time on?
Guess: the 5th
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did Lance roll the summons?
Guess: On the floor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who's sore throat did he bother?

Shapcote