Here's a short story:

There's a widespread perception in the United States that a university degree is the key to success. But a growing number of educators now say there are other possibilities, especially for students who might not succeed at university level. 

This is not a traditional classroom. At the apprentice program run by the Plumbers and Steamfitters Union in the state of Maryland, Travis Strawderman and other students make money while they learn. "I \t's completely changed my life around," he said. "I've been able to pay off all my debts. I can say I'm actually responsible enough to have my own family." 

Strawderman's five-year program teaches him technical skills free of charge. He says he considered university, but it didn't interest him. Economics Professor Robert Lerman says Strawderman is not alone. "A lot of people are bored in high school," Lerman stated. "They leave high school because they are bored. They want to do something besides sitting in a classroom." Lerman says the education system in the United States in too focused on pushing students to attend university. "What we're doing now is we're doing now is we're saying unless you learn in this way you don't really have the chance for a rewarding career," he said. 

But Chad Aldeman, an analyst, says studies show the longer students saty in school the better chance they have at having a high paying and stable career. "If you only are a high school graduate your wages are going to drop over your lifetime-as opposed to a college degree," he said. "The college degree is really and insurance policey against unemployment and against low wages." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: which analyst is mentioned?
Guess: Chad Aldeman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is an apprentice?
Guess: Travis Strawderman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Plumbers and Steamfitters Union in the state of Maryland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much does he pay?
Guess: nothing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why do they leave school?
Guess: because they are bored
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who says this?
Guess: Robert Lerman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is he?
Guess: an Economics professor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does the apprentice teach?
Guess: technical skills
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: for how long?
Guess: five years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what is the monetary benefit?

making money while they learn