Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VI. 

GOING UP. 

Rollo slept in the same room with Mr. George. He got up as soon as it was light, dressed himself in a hurried manner, and went out. In about ten minutes he returned. 

"Well, Rollo," said Mr. George, "what is the report?" 

"The smoke is not going either way," said Rollo. "It mounts right straight up into the air; but Philippe says he thinks it is going to be a fine day, and he has ordered breakfast. So I think you had better get up." 

At seven o'clock precisely the whole party were assembled in the dining room for breakfast. They ate their breakfast together at the end of one of the long tables. There were already two other parties in the room. There was one consisting of two gentlemen that were going to Vesuvius. There was another larger party that were about setting out for Rome. Their carriage was at the door, and the vetturino and his men were at work putting on the trunks and baggage. 

At eight o'clock precisely, the carriage for Mr. George's party came to the door. All were ready, and they all immediately got in. Philippe put in a basket containing provisions. Mrs. Gray had a small book, formed with leaves of blotting paper, to press the flowers in, which she meant to gather around the Hermitage while the rest of the party were gone up the mountain. Mr. George took his knapsack, though there seemed to be nothing in it.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What time was breakfast?
Guess: Seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many parties were in the room?
Guess: Two besides them.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many were in the smallest group?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were they?
Guess: Two men going to Vesuvius
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was anyone going to Italy?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: The other party.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did Rollo share a room with?
Guess: Mr. George
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who reported on the weather?
Guess: Rollo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who thought it would be a good day?
Guess: Philippe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Rollo moving slowly?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which party loaded up first?
Guess: The people going to Rome?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who loaded their carriage?
Guess: the vetturino and his men
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When was Rollo's party's carriage there?

8:00