Here's a short story:

Burke was born in Dublin, Ireland. His mother Mary née Nagle (c. 1702 – 1770) was a Roman Catholic who hailed from a déclassé County Cork family (and a cousin of Nano Nagle), whereas his father, a successful solicitor, Richard (died 1761), was a member of the Church of Ireland; it remains unclear whether this is the same Richard Burke who converted from Catholicism. The Burke dynasty descends from an Anglo-Norman knight surnamed de Burgh (latinised as de Burgo) who arrived in Ireland in 1185 following Henry II of England's 1171 invasion of Ireland. 

In 1744, Burke started at Trinity College Dublin, a Protestant establishment, which up until 1793, did not permit Catholics to take degrees. In 1747, he set up a debating society, "Edmund Burke's Club", which, in 1770, merged with TCD's Historical Club to form the College Historical Society; it is the oldest undergraduate society in the world. The minutes of the meetings of Burke's Club remain in the collection of the Historical Society. Burke graduated from Trinity in 1748. Burke's father wanted him to read Law, and with this in mind he went to London in 1750, where he entered the Middle Temple, before soon giving up legal study to travel in Continental Europe. After eschewing the Law, he pursued a livelihood through writing. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: where was burke born?
Guess: in Dublin, Ireland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is his full name?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was his mother's name
Guess: Mary née Nagle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: his father
Guess: Richard Burke
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did burke start at trinity college?
Guess: In 1744
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is the college located?
Guess: in Dublin,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it a baptist establishment?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind is it?
Guess: Protestant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: before 1790 could catholics get degrees?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year did that change?
Guess: 1793,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what type of society did he set up?

a debating society