Here's a short story:

On 16 September 2001, at Camp David, President George W. Bush used the phrase war on terrorism in an unscripted and controversial comment when he said, "This crusade – this war on terrorism – is going to take a while, ... " Bush later apologized for this remark due to the negative connotations the term crusade has to people, e.g. of Muslim faith. The word crusade was not used again. On 20 September 2001, during a televised address to a joint session of congress, Bush stated that, "(o)ur 'war on terror' begins with al-Qaeda, but it does not end there. It will not end until every terrorist group of global reach has been found, stopped, and defeated." 

U.S. President Barack Obama has rarely used the term, but in his inaugural address on 20 January 2009, he stated "Our nation is at war, against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred." In March 2009 the Defense Department officially changed the name of operations from "Global War on Terror" to "Overseas Contingency Operation" (OCO). In March 2009, the Obama administration requested that Pentagon staff members avoid use of the term, instead using "Overseas Contingency Operation". Basic objectives of the Bush administration "war on terror", such as targeting al Qaeda and building international counterterrorism alliances, remain in place. In December 2012, Jeh Johnson, the General Counsel of the Department of Defense, stated that the military fight will be replaced by a law enforcement operation when speaking at Oxford University, predicting that al Qaeda will be so weakened to be ineffective, and has been "effectively destroyed", and thus the conflict will not be an armed conflict under international law. In May 2013, Obama stated that the goal is "to dismantle specific networks of violent extremists that threaten America"; which coincided with the U.S. Office of Management and Budget having changed the wording from "Overseas Contingency Operations" to "Countering Violent Extremism" in 2010. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What phrase did he say?
Guess: "This crusade – this war on terrorism – is going to take a while"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it planned?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What word was considered offensive?
Guess: Crusade
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: Negative religious connotations.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For which religion?
Guess: Muslim
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was Bush when he made this remark?
Guess: Camp David
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day?
Guess: 16 September
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of which year?
Guess: 2001
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he apologize?
Guess: "Later"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he say the war began?
Guess: Al-Qaeda
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When does it stop?
Guess: When every terrorist group has been defeated.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Obama use the phrase a lot?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he use the phrase war?
Guess: 20 January 2009
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does the OCO stand for?
Guess: Overseas Contingency Operation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the name before?

Global War on Terror