Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Chelsea midfielder John Obi Mikel has made an emotional appeal after his father was abducted in his native Nigeria. 

"Please just let him go," he told Sky Sports News. 

"He's just an old man, he hasn't done any harm to anyone as far as I know and I don't know why he has been taken." 

Michael Obi, who runs a transport company in Jos, the main city in Plateau State in central Nigeria, has not been seen or heard of since he failed to return home from work last Friday. 

Obi Mikel was told of the problem just before the start of Chelsea's Premier League match at Stoke Sunday which finished goalless and said his father was at the forefront of his thoughts throughout the match. 

"Nigeria is the country I am from, I've always tried to help my country in any way I can, playing for my country or anything," he said. 

"This is a time where I need the country to help me. Whoever has got my dad, whoever knows where my dad is, please contact me and hopefully he can be released." 

Chelsea have given Mikel their support in a statement on their official website. 

"Everyone at Chelsea Football Club was very concerned to hear that John Mikel Obi's father has been reported as missing and possibly abducted. 

"We will give Mikel and his family our full support at this most difficult time." 

Mikel confirmed they had not heard from his father's abductors and no ransom had yet been demanded.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who play for Chelsea?
Guess: John Obi Mikel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did something happen to one of his family members?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which one?
Guess: his father
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is his name?
Guess: Michael Obi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what happened to him?
Guess: he was abducted
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in what country?
Guess: Nigeria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what position does the son play?
Guess: midfielder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: when did he learn about the incident?

before a football match