Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VIII. 

POMPEII. 

On the evening of the day on which the excursion to Vesuvius was made, Rollo came into Mrs. Gray's room, wearing a somewhat disturbed countenance. He told Mrs. Gray that he had got some bad news for her. 

"Ah," said Mrs. Gray, "I'm sorry to hear that. What is the bad news?" 

"Philippe is engaged for to-morrow," said Rollo, "and so he cannot go with us to Pompeii." 

"O, how sorry I am!" said Josie. "What shall we do?" 

"How is he engaged?" asked Mrs. Gray. 

"He is going with a party to Baiæ." 

"Where is Baiæ?" asked Josie. "Is it any where near Pompeii?" 

"No," said Rollo; "it is exactly in the opposite direction. It is on the sea coast to the west, and Pompeii is on the sea coast to the east." 

"What is there to be seen at Baiæ?" asked Mrs. Gray. 

"Nothing but old ruins," said Rollo, contemptuously. "I don't see why people should want to go so far, and take away our guide, just to see old ruins. Besides, there are plenty of old ruins at Pompeii. 

"But, Mrs. Gray," continued Rollo, "I don't think we need any guide at all to go to Pompeii. We can go by ourselves." 

"Do you think so?" said Mrs. Gray. 

"Why, you see I can engage a carriage to take us there myself," said Rollo. "I shall say 'Pompeii!' to the coachman, and point that way. And when we get to Pompeii, we shall find uncle George there, and then we shall get along well enough."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is in Baiæ?
Guess: old ruins
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was going?
Guess: Philippe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who told Mrs. Gray?

Rollo