Here's a short story:

Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington (CNN) -- It was the middle of the night in southern Afghanistan's Panjwai district when Haji Naim says he was awakened by the sound of barking dogs and gunshots. 

Moments later, a man clothed in U.S. military fatigues and a T-shirt burst through the door of Naim's home and opened fire, hitting him in the neck, Naim testified early Saturday at a hearing for an Army soldier accused in a mass killing of Afghan civilians. 

"I said 'What are you doing? What are you doing?' Naim told the court at Joint Base Lewis-McChord, near Tacoma, Washington, during a live satellite uplink from a base in Kandahar, Afghanistan. 

"He didn't say anything ...He just started shooting." 

Afghan anger kept U.S. agents from killing scene 

Naim and his two sons were among the survivors of the March 11, 2012, rampage that military prosecutors allege was carried out by Army Staff Sgt. Robert Bales. 

Naim's testimony came amid the fifth day of an evidentiary hearing to determine whether there is enough evidence to support the military's case against Bales, who faces 16 counts of premeditated murder and six counts of attempted murder in the predawn attack. 

The outcome of the Article 32 hearing will determine whether Bales, 39, is court-martialed, and whether he will face the death penalty. 

Bales has not entered a plea in the case, though his attorneys have said Bales suffers from post-traumatic stress disorder and suffered a traumatic brain injury during a prior deployment to Iraq.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: how many counts does he face?
Guess: 22 total
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what will happen to him, if found guilty?
Guess: Possible death penalty.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what district was he in?
Guess: Panjwai district
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what woke him?
Guess: barking dogs and gunshots.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did thid happen?
Guess: the middle of the night
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he have any conditions?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: has he been tried yet?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he found guity
Guess: Not yet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who survived the attack/

Naim and his two sons