Here's a short story:

CHAPTER V 

For a number of days Michael saw only Steward and Kwaque. This was because he was confined to the steward's stateroom. Nobody else knew that he was on board, and Dag Daughtry, thoroughly aware that he had stolen a white man's dog, hoped to keep his presence secret and smuggle him ashore when the _Makambo_ docked in Sydney. 

Quickly the steward learned Michael's pre-eminent teachableness. In the course of his careful feeding of him, he gave him an occasional chicken bone. Two lessons, which would scarcely be called lessons, since both of them occurred within five minutes and each was not over half a minute in duration, sufficed to teach Michael that only on the floor of the room in the corner nearest the door could he chew chicken bones. Thereafter, without prompting, as a matter of course when handed a bone, he carried it to the corner. 

And why not? He had the wit to grasp what Steward desired of him; he had the heart that made it a happiness for him to serve. Steward was a god who was kind, who loved him with voice and lip, who loved him with touch of hand, rub of nose, or enfolding arm. As all service flourishes in the soil of love, so with Michael. Had Steward commanded him to forego the chicken bone after it was in the corner, he would have served him by foregoing. Which is the way of the dog, the only animal that will cheerfully and gladly, with leaping body of joy, leave its food uneaten in order to accompany or to serve its human master.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was seen?
Guess: Steward and Kwaque
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by who?
Guess: Michael
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: he was confined?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was he confined?
Guess: steward's stateroom.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was stolen?
Guess: a dog
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: whose dog?
Guess: n a white man's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he do with it?
Guess: smuggled him?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Sydney
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was he hid?
Guess: the _Makambo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he fed?
Guess: chicken bone.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where could he chew on them?
Guess: only on the floor of the room
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: in the corner nearest the door
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he kind?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he serve someone?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did the dog love touch?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many lessons are there?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long were they?
Guess: five minutes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the duration?
Guess: half a minute
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who carried the bone?

the dog