Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Tiger Woods may have clung on to his world number one status but after a disappointing final round at the PGA Championship will have to rely on captain Corey Pavin to play in the Ryder Cup. 

Woods needed to finish in the top 15 at Whistling Straits to have any chance of forcing his way into the eight automatic selections for the United States team to face Europe at Celtic Manor in October. 

Handily placed after three rounds, Woods stumbled to a one-over 73 to end up in a tie for 28th. 

"I hit my irons really good today. I drove it terrible," was his verdict. 

His performance was certainly an improvement on a disastrous showing in the preceding WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and Woods briefly led at the start of his first round, but after that the inconsistencies crept in. 

"I didn't miss a shot for the first four holes. And then after that I hit it awful," he added. 

Woods could have done with replicating the final round 67 of arch-rival Phil Mickelson, which lifted him into a tie for 12th, but not enough to surpass his fellow American in the rankings. 

Woods is now hoping that U.S. captain Corey Pavin will make him one of his four captain's picks. 

"Corey texts me a lot so, I'm sure he'll be texting me or calling me and I'm sure we'll be talking. 

"We still have what, two more weeks, right? Two more weeks before the picks? Three more weeks?" 

Woods is still searching for his first win of a truncated season and has not claimed a major since the U.S. Open in 2008.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who had a disappointing final PGA round?
Guess: Tiger Woods
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he lose his world number one status?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What place did he need to come in?
Guess: In top 15
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he place?
Guess: 28th
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who will he have to count on due to this?
Guess: Corey Pavin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is his title lieutenant?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his title?
Guess: Captain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many spots were there for the matches in the fall?
Guess: Eight
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was this performance or the one at the WGC-Bridgestone worse?
Guess: WGC-Bridgestone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When was his last big victory?

2008