Here's a short story:

It is on Absecon Island, on the Atlantic coast. Atlantic City was incorporated on May 1, 1854, from portions of Egg Harbor Township and Galloway Township. The city borders Absecon, Brigantine, Pleasantville, Ventnor City and West Atlantic City. 

Because of its location in South Jersey, hugging the Atlantic Ocean between marshlands and islands, Atlantic City was viewed by developers as prime real estate and a potential resort town. In 1853, the first commercial hotel, The Belloe House, located at Massachusetts and Atlantic Avenue, was built. 

The city was incorporated in 1854, the same year in which the Camden and Atlantic Railroad train service began. Built on the edge of the bay, this served as the direct link of this remote parcel of land with Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. That same year, construction of the Absecon Lighthouse, designed by George Meade of the Corps of Topographical Engineers, was approved, with work initiated the next year. By 1874, almost 500,000 passengers a year were coming to Atlantic City by rail. In Boardwalk Empire: The Birth, High Times, and Corruption of Atlantic City, "Atlantic City's Godfather" Nelson Johnson describes the inspiration of Dr. Jonathan Pitney (the "Father of Atlantic City") to develop Atlantic City as a health resort, his efforts to convince the municipal authorities that a railroad to the beach would be beneficial, his successful alliance with Samuel Richards (entrepreneur and member of the most influential family in southern New Jersey at the time) to achieve that goal, the actual building of the railroad, and the experience of the first 600 riders, who "were chosen carefully by Samuel Richards and Jonathan Pitney": (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: When was Atlantic City established?
Guess: May 1
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From what 2 townships?
Guess: Egg Harbor Township and Galloway Township
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year?
Guess: 1854
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What large body of water is it near?
Guess: the Atlantic Ocean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was the first hotel constructed?
Guess: 1853
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What rail services started in 1854?
Guess: Camden and Atlantic Railroad train service
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What other large project was constructed that helps guide ships?
Guess: Absecon Lighthouse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the designer?
Guess: George Meade
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many people road the railway yearly?

almost 500,000