Here's a short story:

I'm Marie. I work in a nursing home and my job is to look after the old people. Alice is one of them. She's a very nice old woman. This year, Alice had a difficult time. She went to hospital twice. In November, I finally could get her back to her "home". Alice hoped that her daughter could come to visit her on Christmas Eve because she wanted to be with her family, like the old days. But her daughter was coming after Christmas, so she was very sad. I also felt sad because she would be alone on the holiday! On Christmas Eve, I took her to a candlelight service at church that night. I didn't take her to my church. I took her to the church in her old neighborhood. We got there early and I let her sit near the door, so people could see her when they came in. Soon some of her friends came to the church and they all talked to her and sat with her. Alice got a lot of love from her old and new friends there. She said she loved the gift like this. That night, I thought I got the best gift: the smile on Alice's face. . (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is telling the story?
Guess: Marie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is her job?
Guess: She works in a nursing home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is one of her duties there?
Guess: looking after old people
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is one of her patients?
Guess: Alice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is she nice?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How has she had a difficult time?
Guess: She went to hospital twice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was she sad before the holidays?
Guess: Her daughter wouldn't be there on Christmas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was Marie sad?
Guess: She would be alone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did she do anything special for Alice?

yes