Here's a short story:

I'd had the piggy bank for a long time. So long, in fact, that I don't really remember getting it. My aunt once told me a whole story about it, in which it was passed down through the family for many, many years, only to come to me. I was pretty little at the time, so I believed her with no question. It made me think that the bank was important. It became some sort of sign of family and togetherness. I would imagine my mom and my grandmother and even my great grandmother before that, putting coins in the little white pig and waiting for them to fill it up, to be spent on some sort of treasure. And then, when I was fifteen, I broke it. 

I didn't mean to. I was cleaning my room in a hurry, so I could finish quickly and go to a friend's house. I swung the vacuum hose around too quickly, knocking the pig's shelf, and down it went. About a thousand pieces, and way fewer coins than I would have believed, flew everywhere. I started to cry. 

My mother came in at the sound of the crash. "I'm so, so sorry!" I cried. "I broke the bank! I broke the family bank!" "What, Sarah?" my mother asked, kneeling next to me on the floor. "The what?" "The bank! Aunt Tracy said it was in the family for years!" "What, this? We got it for you at a garage sale when you were two. It was fifty cents." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How long did the author have the piggy bank?
Guess: a long time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color was it?
Guess: white
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who told her the story about it?
Guess: her aunt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was her name?
Guess: Tracy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about the author?
Guess: Sarah
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about her parent?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Sarah use to break the pig?
Guess: the vacuum hose
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did she break it?
Guess: she didn't mean to
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did it symbolize to her?
Guess: a sign of family and togetherness
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did she believe Tracy's story?
Guess: she was little at the time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How much did it cost?

fifty cents.