Here's a short story:

CHAPTER V 

About L. D. 

Apollo Crosbie left London for Allington on the 31st of August, intending to stay there four weeks, with the declared intention of recruiting his strength by an absence of two months from official cares, and with no fixed purpose as to his destiny for the last of those two months. Offers of hospitality had been made to him by the dozen. Lady Hartletop's doors, in Shropshire, were open to him, if he chose to enter them. He had been invited by the Countess de Courcy to join her suite at Courcy Castle. His special friend, Montgomerie Dobbs, had a place in Scotland, and then there was a yachting party by which he was much wanted. But Mr Crosbie had as yet knocked himself down to none of these biddings, having before him when he left London no other fixed engagement than that which took him to Allington. On the first of October we shall also find ourselves at Allington in company with Johnny Eames; and Apollo Crosbie will still be there,--by no means to the comfort of our friend from the Income-tax Office. 

Johnny Eames cannot be called unlucky in that matter of his annual holiday, seeing that he was allowed to leave London in October, a month during which few chose to own that they remain in town. For myself, I always regard May as the best month for holiday-making; but then no Londoner cares to be absent in May. Young Eames, though he lived in Burton Crescent and had as yet no connection with the West End, had already learned his lesson in this respect. "Those fellows in the big room want me to take May," he had said to his friend Cradell. "They must think I'm uncommon green."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: where does Eames live?
Guess: Allington
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did Apollo leave London?
Guess: August 31
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to go where?
Guess: Allington
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does the author feel the best month of vacation is?
Guess: may
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was Eames going in vacation?
Guess: October
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he happy about that?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he say the people in the room  thought he was?
Guess: green
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he connected to the West End?
Guess: not at that time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does Apollo have a lot of invites?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was Eames going to allington?
Guess: October
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was one of the people who had invited Apollo?
Guess: Lady Hartletop
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was she?
Guess: Shropshire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: do people in London like taking vacation in May?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long was apollo going to be in allington for?
Guess: hfour weeks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and how long did he want to be away from the office for?
Guess: two monthsa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he know what he was going to be doing then?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was the special friend that had invited him?
Guess: Johnny Eames
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who had a place in scotland?

Montgomerie Dobbs