Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XX. 

FOLLOWING ALLEN. 

Hal was astonished to learn from Katie McCabe that Dick Ferris was coming up the tenement stairs. 

"He can't be coming here!" exclaimed the youth. 

"What shall we do if he does?" asked McCabe. 

"I don't know. Perhaps I had better hide. He may----" 

At that instant came a knock on the door. 

"It's him!" whispered Katie. 

Andy McCabe, the father, pointed to a closet. Hal tiptoed his way to it, and motioned for Katie to follow. The door was closed, and then Andy McCabe answered the summons. 

Ferris stood at the door, his hair disheveled and his lips trembling. 

"May I ask who lives here?" he asked. 

"My name is McCabe." 

"Isn't there a man by the name of Macklin living here?" went on Ferris. 

"Macklin?" repeated McCabe, slowly. 

"Yes, Tommy Macklin." 

"Not as I know on. What does he do?" 

"I don't know. I have a letter to deliver to him. So you don't know where he lives?" 

"No, sir." 

"It's too bad. Will you please tell me what time it is?" 

Andy McCabe glanced at the alarm clock that stood on the mantel-shelf. 

"Quarter to six." 

"As late as that!" cried Ferris. "I must hurry and catch him before six. Only quarter of an hour. Good-day, sir." 

"Good-day." 

In a moment Ferris was gone. McCabe closed the door, and Hal came out of the closet followed by Katie. 

"What does he mean?" questioned the man. 

"I'll tell you what it means," said Hal. "He is trying to prove an alibi, in case a body was found in the vat. He thinks you can remember he was here looking for Macklin at quarter to six. If that was true, how could he have helped Macklin at five o'clock?"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was going to hide?
Guess: Hal and Katie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from who?
Guess: Dick Ferris
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why were they surprised?
Guess: He isn't allowed?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is their dad?
Guess: Andy McCabe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did he want them to hide?
Guess: a closet.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: did they run to it?

no