Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IX 

MERRIL TIGHTENS THE SCREW 

The _Sorata_ went to sea again next morning, and one night a week later she bore up for Vancouver before a westerly breeze. A thin crescent moon had just cleared the dim white line of the mainland snow, and the sea glittered faintly in her frothing wake under a vast sweep of dusky blue. The big topsail swayed across it, blotting out the stars, and there was a rhythmic splashing beneath the bows. 

Anthea Merril stood at the tiller outlined against the heave of sea, for the night was warm and she was dressed in white. Nellie Austerly sat on a locker in the cockpit, and her father on the saloon skylights with a cigar in his hand. Valentine lay on the deck not far away, and Jimmy a little further forward. 

"I suppose we will be in soon after daylight, and I'm sorry," said Nellie Austerly. "It has been an almost perfect cruise in spite of the bad weather. Don't you wish we were going back again, instead of home, Anthea?" 

Jimmy roused himself to attention, for he would very much have liked to hear Miss Merril's real thoughts on the matter; but she laughed. 

"I don't think it would be very much use if I did," she said. "One can't go sailing always--and if you feel that that is a pity, you can think of the rain and the wind." 

"Ah!" said Nellie Austerly, "one has to bear so much of them everywhere. Sometimes one wonders whether life is all gray days and rain; but this trip has made me better, and, perhaps, if Mr. Valentine will take us, we will go back next year and revel once more in the sea and the sunshine--we really had a good deal of the latter."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was Anthea wearing?
Guess: white
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who else was on the boat?
Guess: Nellie Austerly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was she doing?
Guess: Sitting on a locker
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the boat named?
Guess: The _Sorata_
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Nellie want to go home?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what time of day is it?
Guess: Night
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what's the weather like?
Guess: warm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was the moon full?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what shape was it?
Guess: A thin crescen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Nellie's father doing?
Guess: sitting on the saloon skylights
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was laying on the deck?
Guess: Valentine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What has the trip done for Nellie?
Guess: made her better,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: when does she want to do it again?

next year