Here's a short story:

CHAPTER I. 

ELMA'S STRANGER. 





It was late when Elma reached the station. Her pony had jibbed on the way downhill, and the train was just on the point of moving off as she hurried upon the platform. Old Matthews, the stout and chubby-cheeked station-master, seized her most unceremoniously by the left arm, and bundled her into a carriage. He had known her from a child, so he could venture upon such liberties. 

"Second class, miss? Yes, miss. Here y'are. Look sharp, please. Any more goin' on? All right, Tom! Go ahead there!" And lifting his left hand, he whistled a shrill signal to the guard to start her. 

As for Elma, somewhat hot in the face with the wild rush for her ticket, and grasping her uncounted change, pence and all, in her little gloved hand, she found herself thrust, hap-hazard, at the very last moment, into the last compartment of the last carriage --alone--with an artist. 

Now, you and I, to be sure, most proverbially courteous and intelligent reader, might never have guessed at first sight, from the young man's outer aspect, the nature of his occupation. The gross and clumsy male intellect, which works in accordance with the stupid laws of inductive logic, has a queer habit of requiring something or other, in the way of definite evidence, before it commits itself offhand to the distinct conclusion. But Elma Clifford was a woman; and therefore she knew a more excellent way. HER habit was, rather to look things once fairly and squarely in the face, and then, with the unerring intuition of her sex, to make up her mind about them firmly, at once and for ever. That's one of the many glorious advantages of being born a woman. You don't need to learn in order to know. You know instinctively. And yet our girls want to go to Girton, and train themselves up to be senior wranglers!  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Did Elma almost miss the train?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What caused her to be late?
Guess: Her pony had jibbed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: on the way downhill
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who works at the station?
Guess: Old Matthews
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long had he known her?
Guess: since she was a child
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he grab her?
Guess: by the left arm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he make a big show of it?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he put her?
Guess: last compartment
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what?
Guess: the last carriage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did she already pay?

yes