Here's a short story:

EL PASO, Texas (CNN) -- The cell phone rang as Jorge Aguirre walked to a friend's funeral in Juarez, Mexico, last November -- a funeral for a fellow journalist who, Aguirre says, was assassinated for the critical stories he wrote. 

Mexican federal police recently began patrolling Ciudad Juarez, just across the border from El Paso, Texas. 

When he answered the phone, Aguirre heard a profanity-laced threat. "They told me I was next," Aguirre told CNN. "I thought they were going to kill me right there." 

Aguirre immediately gathered up his family and darted across the border into El Paso, Texas. He hasn't returned to Juarez since that day. 

Aguirre is seeking asylum in the United States, and he's part of a growing trend among Mexican citizens looking to escape the violence and corruption of their homeland. Watch journalists met with death threats » 

According to the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, an agency that falls under the Department of Homeland Security, the number of Mexican nationals requesting asylum in the United States based on "credible fear" has gone up every year since 2003, even as the overall number of "credible fear" asylum cases remains steady. 

In 2003, the USCIS reported 54 asylum cases from Mexican citizens. In 2008, that number reached 312. But asylum requests based on fear of violence aren't easy cases to make. Last year, the United States approved less than half of those cases. 

"Whether they're fleeing extortionists or potential kidnappers or they're leaving because of the drug cartels, it tells you there are definitely problems in Mexico right now," said El Paso Mayor John Cook.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who received a threat?
Guess: Jorge Aguirre
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the threat in person?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was it made?
Guess: by phone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was he telling about it?
Guess: CNN
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he think was going to happen to him?
Guess: he was going to be killed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he go?
Guess: El Paso, Texas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did he go alone?

no