Here's a short story:

(Mental Floss) -- It's hard to walk down the aisle of a liquor store without running across a bottle bearing someone's name. 

A costumed reveler at a Captain Morgan party celebrates the rum named after the 17th century privateer. 

We put them in our cocktails, but how well do we know them? 

Here's some biographical detail on the men behind your favorite tipples: 

1. Captain Morgan 

The Captain wasn't always just the choice of sorority girls looking to blend spiced rum with Diet Coke; in the 17th century he was a feared privateer. 

Not only did the Welsh pirate marry his own cousin, he ran risky missions for the governor of Jamaica, including capturing some Spanish prisoners in Cuba and sacking Port-au-Prince in Haiti. 

He then plundered the Cuban coast before holding for ransom the entire city of Portobelo, Panama. 

He later looted and burned Panama City, but his pillaging career came to an end when Spain and England signed a peace treaty in 1671. 

Instead of getting in trouble for his high-seas antics, Morgan received knighthood and became the lieutenant governor of Jamaica. Mental Floss: 5 drinking stories that put yours to shame 

2. Johnnie Walker 

Walker, the name behind the world's most popular brand of Scotch whisky, was born in 1805 in Ayrshire, Scotland. 

When his father died in 1819, Johnnie inherited a trust of a little over 400 pounds, which the trustees invested in a grocery store. 

Walker became a very successful grocer in the town of Kilmarnock and even sold a whisky, Walker's Kilmarnock Whisky.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Captain Morgan's rum named after?
Guess: 17th century privateer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were people afraid of him?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his nationality?
Guess: Welsh
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he have a wife?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he visit any islands in the Caribbean?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which?
Guess: Cuba
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do there?
Guess: plundered
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he punished for that?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Then what happened to him?
Guess: Morgan received knighthood
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the most popular scotch named after?
Guess: Johnnie Walker
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he raised?
Guess: Ayrshire, Scotland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Was he poor?

No