Here's a short story:

My mother and I were in the kitchen fixing dinner. I was setting the table as she was cooking when we heard my father. We went into the living room to see what he needed. He could not find the keys to his truck. We all started looking all over the place and could not seem to find them. My father needed to go to work so he took the keys for my mom's van and left for work. We kept looking for them and when we were about to give up my little brother came walking out of the garage with them in his hands. He was in the garage playing with his bike. My mother called my father at work to tell him the great news. He was happy and we then ate our dinner. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where was everyone when they heard the dad?
Guess: in the kitchen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: doing what?
Guess: fixing dinner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What task was mom completing?
Guess: cooking
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was I doing?
Guess: setting the table
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the matter with dad?
Guess: He could not find the keys to his truck
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was he looking for them?
Guess: the living room
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did he need them>
Guess: to get to work
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he end up doing?
Guess: took mom's van
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had them?
Guess: my little brother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where had he been?
Guess: the garage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what was he doing in there?

playing with his bike