Here's a short story:

Madonna Louise Ciccone (/tʃɪˈkoʊni/; Italian: [tʃikˈkoːne]; born August 16, 1958) is an American singer, songwriter, actress, and businesswoman. She achieved popularity by pushing the boundaries of lyrical content in mainstream popular music and imagery in her music videos, which became a fixture on MTV. Madonna is known for reinventing both her music and image, and for maintaining her autonomy within the recording industry. Music critics have acclaimed her musical productions, which have generated some controversy. Often referred to as the "Queen of Pop", she is often cited as an influence by other artists. 

Born in Bay City, Michigan, Madonna moved to New York City in 1977 to pursue a career in modern dance. After performing in the music groups Breakfast Club and Emmy, she signed with Sire Records (an auxiliary label of Warner Bros. Records) in 1982 and released her self-titled debut album the following year. She followed it with a series of commercially and critcally successful albums, including the Grammy Award winners Ray of Light (1998) and Confessions on a Dance Floor (2005). Throughout her career, Madonna has written and produced most of her songs, with many of them reaching number one on the record charts, including "Like a Virgin", "Into the Groove", "Papa Don't Preach", "Like a Prayer", "Vogue", "Frozen", "Music", "Hung Up", and "4 Minutes". (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Madonna?
Guess: An American singer.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does she have different careers?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are those?
Guess: Songwriter, actress, and businesswoman.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What other title she has?
Guess: Queen of Pop
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What lyrics she has written?
Guess: Most of her songs.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was she a producer?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened in 1982?
Guess: Signed with Sire Records.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What top song people recognized her with?
Guess: Like a Virgin.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where she came from?

Bay City, Michigan.