Here's a short story:

Los Angeles (CNN) -- Reza Taghavi, an Iranian-American detained for more than two years in Iran, returned to the United States Thursday evening. 

The retired businessman from Orange County, California, was released Saturday. He had been held in Iran's notorious Evin prison since May 2008 on suspicion of supporting an anti-regime group. 

Taghavi's lawyer, Pierre-Richard Prosper, had been negotiating Taghavi's release since September 2009. 

Saturday's release was the product of three trips to Iran, meetings with Iranian officials in New York and Europe, and close to 300 e-mails with Iranian officials, he said. 

Taghavi, 71, traveled frequently to Iran to visit family and friends without incident, according to Prosper. 

In April 2008, Taghavi went to Tehran with his wife. Before he left, he was asked by an acquaintance in Los Angeles named Imran Afar to take $200 for a friend in Tehran "who was down on his luck," Prosper said. 

Los Angeles has a large Persian community. 

Taghavi did not know the individual to whom he was asked to deliver the money, Prosper said. He handed it over and two weeks later was detained by Iranian authorities, after the recipient of the money was arrested on charges of association with an anti-regime group called Tondar. 

Prosper said Afar provided him with information he shared with the Iranian government that proved that Taghavi was not part of Tondar, which seeks to restore the monarchy in Iran. The group claimed responsibility for the April 12, 2008, bombing of the Hosseynieh Seyed al-Shohada mosque in the city of Shiraz.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: where was the business man from
Guess: Orange County
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was taghavi lawyer
Guess: Pierre-Richard Prosper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was taghavi
Guess: 71
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much money was he asked to take to teran
Guess: 200
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what date did he go
Guess: April 2008
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what date was the bombing

April 12