Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- A Pakistani Taliban commander who had escaped in mass prison break two years ago was arrested again last week, Pakistani intelligence sources told CNN on Tuesday. 

Adnan Rashid, a prominent Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan commander, was captured Friday, the sources said. He was injured, but authorities were questioning him, one source said. Sources told CNN he was taken into custody in South Waziristan province and had since been moved. 

But the Pakistani Taliban told CNN the report was baseless and that Rashid is in a safe area. 

Authorities have said Rashid is responsible for several large prison breaks in Pakistan. In 2004, he was sentenced to death for planning an attack on former President Gen. Pervez Musharraf in 2003. 

He was incarcerated at Bannu prison in northwest Pakistan and was freed, as were 400 other inmates, when militants stormed the facility in 2012. 

Rashid also wrote a controversial letter to Malala Yousafzai, a Pakistani schoolgirl shot in the head on her way home from school in 2012. He told her she was targeted not because she advocated education for girls, but rather for her criticism of the militant group. 

In the letter, Rashid said he was writing -- not as a Taliban leader -- to say he was shocked by the shooting, and to express his regret that he did not warn Malala of the attack. 

The letter went on to say that the Taliban supports the education of women, as long as it adheres to Islamic law. 

The letter drew criticism from people who said the Taliban are known to target female students.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was arrested?
Guess: Taliban commander
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he from?
Guess: Pakistan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was he arrested?
Guess: He escaped from prison
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: Two years ago
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his name?
Guess: Adnan Rashid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was he arrested?
Guess: Friday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he injured?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did this happen?
Guess: South Waziristan Province
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he escape?
Guess: Militants stormed the facility
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else was he known for?
Guess: A letter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To who?
Guess: Malala Yousafzai
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is she?
Guess: A Pakistani schoolgirl shot in the head.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why did they shoot her?

her criticism of the militant group