Here's a short story:

Cairo (CNN) -- An Egyptian military court has sentenced an activist blogger critical of the army to three years in prison, and it did so without his lawyers present, a development that drew stiff condemnation by human rights groups. 

Maikel Nabil, who was sentenced Monday morning, had been arrested on March 28 and charged with defaming the army and spreading false information, according to his lawyer, Adel Ramadan. 

A general in charge of the "Morale Affairs Directorate" of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces said on television that "Nabil had used 'inappropriate language' and defamed the military, and that his calls for an end to military conscription would have a negative effect on the youth of Egypt," according to Human Rights Watch. 

Joe Stork, deputy Middle East director at Human Rights Watch, said the sentence "may be the worst strike against free expression in Egypt since the (Hosni) Mubarak government jailed the first blogger for four years in 2007." 

His group, which issued a statement on the sentence, said Nabil's trial "has serious implications for freedom of expression on the internet more generally and in particular the ability to expose military abuses." 

"The sentence is not only severe, but it was imposed by a military tribunal after an unfair trial," Stork said. 

State Department spokesman Mark Toner said Tuesday that the U.S. government is "deeply concerned" about Nabil's sentence. "This is not the kind of progress we're looking for," he said. 

Former State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said Nabil's imprisonment "calls into question whether a democratic transition is under way in Egypt."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is  Maikel Nabil?
Guess: An activist blogger
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was he arrested?
Guess: March 28
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what for?
Guess: Defaming the army and spreading false information
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does he have a lawyer?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is his name?
Guess: Adel Ramadan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who directs the Middle East division of HRC?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did Joe Stork think the trial was fair?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who made a statement for the State Department?
Guess: Mark Toner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he say about the US reaction?
Guess: The U.S. government is "deeply concerned" about the sentence
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who isPJ Crowley
Guess: Former State Department spokesman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long is the prison term>
Guess: Three years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were his lawyers there when he was sentenced?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: were humanitarian groups concerned about this?

Yes