Here's a short story:

New Brunswick is one of Canada's three Maritime provinces (together with Prince Edward Island and Nova Scotia) and is the only constitutionally bilingual (English–French) province. The principal cities are Fredericton, the capital, Greater Moncton, currently the largest metropolitan (CMA) area and the most populous city, and the port city of Saint John, which was the first incorporated city in Canada and largest in the province for 231 years until 2016. 

In the Canada 2016 Census, Statistics Canada estimated the provincial population to have been 747,101, down very slightly from 751,171 in 2011, on an area of almost 73,000 km. The majority of the population is English-speaking of Anglo and Celtic heritage, but there is also a large Francophone minority (31%), chiefly of Acadian origin. It was created as a result of the partitioning of the British colony of Nova Scotia in 1784 with the capital in Saint John before being moved up river. The name 'New Brunswick' was chosen by King George III despite local recommendations for the name to be 'New Ireland'. The provincial flag features a ship superimposed on a yellow background with a yellow "lion passant guardant" on red pennon above it. 

The province is named after the city of Braunschweig ("" in English and Low German) in the former Duchy of Brunswick-Lüneburg, what is now Lower Saxony in northern Germany. The then-colony was named in 1784 to honour the reigning British monarch, George III, who was concurrently Duke and prince-elector of Brunswick-Lüneburg ("Hanover") in the Holy Roman Empire. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is Canadas only biligual province?
Guess: New Brunswick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the capital of New Brunswick?
Guess: Greater Moncton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the population in 2016?
Guess: 747,101
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how big is the area?
Guess: 73,000 km
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the common heritage there?
Guess: Anglo and Celtic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the percentage of Francophone?
Guess: (31%)
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: where does this group originate from?

Acadian