Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VIII 

And these two, as I have told you, Were the friends of Hiawatha, Chibiabos, the musician, And the very strong man, Kwasind. --Hiawatha 

Torpenhow was paging the last sheets of some manuscript, while the Nilghai, who had come for chess and remained to talk tactics, was reading through the first part, commenting scornfully the while. 

"It's picturesque enough and it's sketchy," said he; "but as a serious consideration of affairs in Eastern Europe, it's not worth much." 

"It's off my hands at any rate. . . . Thirty-seven, thirty-eight, thirty-nine slips altogether, aren't there? That should make between eleven and twelve pages of valuable misinformation. Heigh-ho!" Torpenhow shuffled the writing together and hummed-- 

'Young lambs to sell, young lambs to sell, If I'd as much money as I could tell, I never would cry, Young lambs to sell!'" 

Dick entered, self-conscious and a little defiant, but in the best of tempers with all the world. 

"Back at last?" said Torpenhow. 

"More or less. What have you been doing?" 

"Work. Dickie, you behave as though the Bank of England were behind you. Here's Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday gone and you haven't done a line. It's scandalous." 

"The notions come and go, my children--they come and go like our 'baccy," he answered, filling his pipe. "Moreover," he stooped to thrust a spill into the grate, "Apollo does not always stretch his----Oh, confound your clumsy jests, Nilghai!" 

"This is not the place to preach the theory of direct inspiration," said the Nilghai, returning Torpenhow's large and workmanlike bellows to their nail on the wall. "We believe in cobblers" wax. La!--where you sit down."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was paging?
Guess: Torpenhow
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she paging
Guess: the last sheets of some manuscript
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who came for chess
Guess: the Nilghai
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he stay
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: to talk tactics
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he reading?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was he commenting
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does he describe what he reads?
Guess: "It's picturesque enough and it's sketchy,"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it worth much?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many slips were there

thirty-nine