Here's a short story:

Every evening at six o'clock an old man goes to a restaurant near his house. He eats dinner. After dinner, he drinks coffee and talks to the people at the restaurant. The old man's name is Bill. Bill eats at the restaurant every evening because he is lonely. His wife died and he has no children. Every evening the same waitress brings Bill to his dinner. Her name is Cara. She is 17 years old. Cara is kind to Bill. She knows he is lonely, so she talks to him. If Bill is late for dinner, she calls him on the telephone. "Are you OK?" she asks him. One evening Bill doesn't come to the restaurant. Cara calls him, but he doesn't answer the phone. Cara calls the police. "Please go to Bill's house." Cara tells the police. Later the police call Cara at the restaurant. "Bill died in his sleep," the police tell her. Bill was 82 years old. A week later, a man comes to the restaurant. "I have something for Cara," the man says. The man gives Cara a check for $500000. The money is from Bill. "This money is for me? From Bill?" Cara asks the man. "Yes," the man answers. "But...why?" Cara asks the man. "Bill liked you," the man says. "You were kind to him" (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where does Bill go to eat dinner every night?
Guess: restaurant near his house
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: at what time?
Guess: six o'clock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the name of the waitress that serves Bill every day?
Guess: Cara
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is she nice to Bill?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does she do if he is late for dinner?
Guess: she calls him on the telephone
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is she close to Bill's age?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is she?
Guess: 17 years old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she do when Bill did not answer the phone one night?
Guess: Cara calls the police
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she tell them to do?
Guess: Please go to Bill's house
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How long after Bill died did a man go to visit Cara at her work?

A week later