Here's a short story:

Saint Helena (/ˌseɪnt həˈliːnə/ SAYNT-hə-LEE-nə) is a volcanic tropical island in the South Atlantic Ocean, 4,000 kilometres (2,500 mi) east of Rio de Janeiro and 1,950 kilometres (1,210 mi) west of the Cunene River, which marks the border between Namibia and Angola in southwestern Africa. It is part of the British Overseas Territory of Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. Saint Helena measures about 16 by 8 kilometres (10 by 5 mi) and has a population of 4,255 (2008 census). It was named after Saint Helena of Constantinople. 

The island was uninhabited when discovered by the Portuguese in 1502. One of the most remote islands in the world, it was for centuries an important stopover for ships sailing to Europe from Asia and South Africa. Napoleon was imprisoned there in exile by the British, as were Dinuzulu kaCetshwayo (for leading a Zulu army against British rule) and more than 5,000 Boers taken prisoner during the Second Boer War. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was there anyone on the island when it was discovered?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who discovered it?
Guess: the Portuguese
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: in 1502
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What ships would stop there?
Guess: ships sailing to Europe from Asia and South Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was imprisoned on it for awhile?
Guess: Napoleon, Dinzulu kaCetshwayo, and more than 5000s Boers.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who exiled Napolean there?
Guess: the British
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many Boers were taken prisoner?
Guess: more than 5,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: During which war?
Guess: The Second Boer War.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of island is Saint Helena?
Guess: a volcanic tropical island
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where's it located?
Guess: in the South Atlantic Ocean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's it 4k km east of?
Guess: 4,000 kilometres (2,500 mi) east of Rio de Janeiro
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How far west of the Cunene River is it?
Guess: 1,950 kilometres (1,210 mi)
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does that river mark the border between?
Guess: Namibia and Angola in southwestern Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where are they located?
Guess: in southwestern Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose territory is it?
Guess: The British
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live there?
Guess: 4,255
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: According to what?
Guess: 2008 census
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Is it more or less remote than other islands?

More