Here's a short story:

I'm Tony. My best friends are Frank and Cindy. We often do many things together. Frank lives next to my home and we are in the same class. He is thirteen years old and tall and of medium build. He has curly hair and blue eyes. He's good-looking and very clever. He's good at math and often helps me with my homework. He likes wearing black pants and yellow T-shirts. Cindy doesn't go to my school. She's eleven years old. She is thin and of medium height. She has curly blonde hair and her eyes are brown. She is good-looking, too, but a little bit shy. She is good at playing the guitar. Her favorite subject at school is music. She often teaches Frank and me to play the guitar after class. The three of us have great fun together, and we help each other and sometimes play video games at my house. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How old is Cindy?
Guess: 11
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is she good at?
Guess: playing the guitar.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's her favorite subject?
Guess: music
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does she go to the same school?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is she the same age as Frank?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What feature do they have in common?
Guess: they are good-looking
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Frank good at?
Guess: math
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Does he go to the same school as Tony?

yes