Here's a short story:

The Human Development Index (HDI) is a composite statistic of life expectancy, education, and income per capita indicators, which are used to rank countries into four tiers of human development. A country scores higher HDI when the life expectancy at birth is longer, the education period is longer, and the income per capita is higher. The HDI was developed by the Pakistani economist Mahbub ul Haq, often framed in terms of whether people are able to "be" and "do" desirable things in their life, and was published by the United Nations Development Programme. 

The 2010 Human Development Report introduced an Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index (IHDI). While the simple HDI remains useful, it stated that "the IHDI is the actual level of human development (accounting for inequality)," and "the HDI can be viewed as an index of 'potential' human development (or the maximum IHDI that could be achieved if there were no inequality)." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who developed the HDI?
Guess: Pakistani economist Mahbub ul Haq,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does it stand for?
Guess: Human Development Index
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was one of the data points it looked at?
Guess: life expectancy,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and another?
Guess: income per capita
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is there another one?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is it?
Guess: education,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which is a better score, high or low?
Guess: high
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many levels are there?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did this help describe undesirable things?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did it describe?
Guess: if people can "be" and "do" good things
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did the publication of it?
Guess: UN Development Programme
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what came out in 2010?
Guess: Human Development Report
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did it present?
Guess: Inequality-adjusted HDI
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why is it better according to this?
Guess: IHDI is actual develoment, HDI is potential
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what helps make a place get a higher score?
Guess: If there were no inequality)."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it better if people are expected to live longer?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is another thing that results in a top score?
Guess: education period is longer,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: anything else?

income per capita is higher