Here's a short story:

Zhang Kai is a student at North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power . He has led a group of college student volunteers since last year. They help children at a primary school with their studies and daily lives. "When I was a small child", Zhang said, "I knew March 5 was a day for people to learn from Lei Feng and help others, but I didn't know the real meaning of the spirit of Lei Feng. Now when I see the smiling faces of the kids I have helped, I deeply understand Lei Feng. Helping others makes me happy." Lei Feng (1940-1962) is one of the most famous soldiers in Chinese history. He lost his parents when he was very young. His neighbors brought him up. He died in an accident at 22. He did many good deeds in his short life. For example, he gave his own money to the parents of another soldier. And bought tickets for a woman he didn't know without telling her his name. On March 5, 1963, Chairman Mao called on people to "Learn from Lei Feng" and made the day "Lei Feng Day". Today almost 50 years has passed since Lei's death. Some people say that the spirit of Lei Feng is outdated . But many people think we need to promote that spirit again. There have been many reports about the coldness of people toward strangers. This has made many Chinese people think deeply about themselves. "The most important thing is that we must be ready to help others and make it a habit." said Huang Tianze, a student from Jianlan High School in Zhejiang. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Zhang Kai?
Guess: a student
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do there?
Guess: He has led a group of college student volunteers since last year
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: for what?
Guess: They help children at a primary school
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: with what?
Guess: their studies and daily lives
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was special about March 5th?
Guess: It was a day for people to learn from Lei Feng and help others
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he just learn this?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Lei Feng?
Guess: one of the most famous soldiers in Chinese history
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he alive?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he die?
Guess: 1962
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how?

an accident