Here's a short story:

The city of Bern or Berne (German: Bern, pronounced [bɛrn] ( listen); French: Berne [bɛʁn]; Italian: Berna [ˈbɛrna]; Romansh: Berna [ˈbɛrnɐ] (help·info); Bernese German: Bärn [b̥æːrn]) is the de facto capital of Switzerland, referred to by the Swiss as their (e.g. in German) Bundesstadt, or "federal city".[note 1] With a population of 140,634 (November 2015), Bern is the fifth most populous city in Switzerland. The Bern agglomeration, which includes 36 municipalities, had a population of 406,900 in 2014. The metropolitan area had a population of 660,000 in 2000. Bern is also the capital of the Canton of Bern, the second most populous of Switzerland's cantons. 

The official language of Bern is (the Swiss variety of Standard) German, but the main spoken language is the Alemannic Swiss German dialect called Bernese German. 

In 1983 the historic old town in the centre of Bern became a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Bern is ranked among the world’s top ten cities for the best quality of life (2010). (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the de facto Swiss capital?
Guess: Bärn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How else it it spelled?
Guess: Bern or Berne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live in the area?
Guess: 406,900 in 2014
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many cities are in there?
Guess: 36
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the official language?
Guess: German
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it the same Germany spoken in Germany?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do most people speak?
Guess: Bernese German
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it a bad city to live in?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How good of a place to live is it?
Guess: top ten
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In the county?
Guess: world’s top ten
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live in the city?
Guess: 140,634
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it the biggest city in the country?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is its ranking?

fifth