Here's a short story:

New York (CNN) -- A 57-year-old musician arrested in connection with the drugs found in actor Philip Seymour Hoffman's apartment was granted bail Friday. 

The musician, Robert Vineberg, was among four people arrested in Manhattan in the days after the apparent heroin overdose of the Academy Award-winning actor on February 2. 

Prosecutors said Vineberg, who was arrested on a felony charge of criminal possession of a controlled substance, had just under 50 small bags of heroin as well as packaging paraphernalia in his apartment during the raid. In another one of his apartments in the same Mott Street building, prosecutors said, 250 small bags of heroin were found. 

In addition, prosecutors said, detectives recovered nearly $1,300 in cash on Vineberg. 

Manhattan Supreme Court Judge Edward McLaughlin set bail at $200,000 bond or $40,000 cash. Vineberg is due back in court Tuesday. 

Vineberg's attorney, Edward Kratt, asked for a lower bail, saying his client has been an "accomplished musician" since the late 1980s and a "functioning heroin addict" with a 10-bag-a-day habit. The large quantity of drugs found in the apartments were for Vineberg's personal use, Kratt said. 

The judge, however, appeared to doubt that assertion, saying that the amount of heroin in Vineberg's possession was "off the charts." 

Vineberg was found to have the actor's phone number stored in his cell phone, a law enforcement official told CNN. Police discovered the largest amount of what is believed to be heroin in his apartment, the source said. 

Outside court, Kratt said his client hoped to raise bail money with the help of friends.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Which actor's death is this article about?
Guess: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he die?
Guess: February 2
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he win an Oscar?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was taken to jail?
Guess: Robert Vineberg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's his occupation?
Guess: musician
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he?
Guess: 57
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long had he worked as a musician?
Guess: since the 1980s
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the charge?
Guess: criminal possession of a controlled substance
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he the only one arrested?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the judge?
Guess: Edward McLaughlin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did this occur?
Guess: Manhattan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did he get out of jail?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When does he go back to court?
Guess: Tuesday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is his apartment?
Guess: Mott Street
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much heroin did he have there?
Guess: 250 small bags
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: And how much cash?

nearly $1,300