Here's a short story:

Buffalo () is a city in and the seat of Erie County in Western New York. Located in the U.S. state of New York on the eastern shore of Lake Erie at the head of the Niagara River. , Buffalo is the state's second most populous city after the city it is named for, with 256,902 residents. The metropolitan area has a population of 1.13 million, while the larger, cross-border Buffalo Niagara Region includes 8 U.S. counties and 2 Canadian municipalities and has a population of 2,493,869. 

Buffalo grew significantly in the 19th and 20th centuries as a result of the Erie Canal, railroads and Lake Erie, providing an abundance of fresh water and an ample trade route to the midwestern United States, while grooming its economy for the grain, steel and automobile industries during the 20th century. After an economic downturn in the latter half of the 20th century, Buffalo's economy has transitioned to sectors that include financial services, technology, biomedical engineering and education. 

Buffalo is known as "The Queen City", "The Nickel City" and "The City of Good Neighbors". Its residents are called Buffalonians. 

The city of Buffalo received its name from a nearby creek called Buffalo Creek. British military engineer Captain John Montresor made reference to 'Buffalo Creek' in his journal of 1764, which may be the earliest recorded appearance of the name. There are several theories regarding how Buffalo Creek received its name. While it is possible that Buffalo Creek's name originated from French fur traders and Native Americans calling the creek "Beau Fleuve" (French for "Beautiful River"), it is also possible Buffalo Creek was named for the American buffalo, whose historical range may have extended into western New York. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what city is Erie County located?
Guess: Buffalo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where is that?
Guess: in Western New York.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the population?
Guess: 256,902
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is one body of water nearby?
Guess: Lake Erie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and where is that?
Guess: at the head of the Niagara River
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how do they rank for population in NY?
Guess: Buffalo is the state's second most populous city
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what encouraged the city's growth?
Guess: the Erie Canal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: in the 19th and 20th centuries
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what else helped them grow?
Guess: the steel and automobile industries
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anything else?
Guess: the grain industry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what about the railroad?

yes