Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XI. FRAGMENTARY 

Mr. Boone's visit lasted but a day. I was a great deal with Colonel Clark in the few weeks that followed before his departure for Virginia. He held himself a little aloof (as a leader should) from the captains in the station, without seeming to offend them. But he had a fancy for James Ray and for me, and he often took me into the woods with him by day, and talked with me of an evening. 

"I'm going away to Virginia, Davy," he said; "will you not go with me? We'll see Williamsburg, and come back in the spring, and I'll have you a little rifle made." 

My look must have been wistful. 

"I can't leave Polly Ann and Tom," I answered. 

"Well," he said, "I like that. Faith to your friends is a big equipment for life." 

"But why are you going?" I asked. 

"Because I love Kentucky best of all things in the world," he answered, smiling. 

"And what are you going to do?" I insisted. 

"Ah," he said, "that I can't tell even to you." 

"To catch Hamilton?" I ventured at random. 

He looked at me queerly. 

"Would you go along, Davy?" said he, laughing now. 

"Would you take Tom?" 

"Among the first," answered Colonel Clark, heartily. 

We were seated under the elm near the spring, and at that instant I saw Tom coming toward us. I jumped up, thinking to please him by this intelligence, when Colonel Clark pulled me down again. 

"Davy," said he, almost roughly, I thought, "remember that we have been joking. Do you understand?--joking. You have a tongue in your mouth, but sense enough in your head, I believe, to hold it." He turned to Tom. "McChesney, this is a queer lad you brought us," said he.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where were they seated?
Guess: under the elm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was nearby?
Guess: the spring,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was walking towards them?
Guess: Tom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who couldn't leave Polly Ann and Tom?
Guess: Davy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he being asked to go?
Guess: Virginia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What city were they going to see?
Guess: Williamsburg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When would they return?

spring