Here's a short story:

CHAPTER FIFTEEN. 

A FRIEND IN NEED IS A FRIEND INDEED. 

Whether or not Okematan was as thorough a rascal as Fergus McKay thought him will be best shown by harking back, and setting down a little of what was said by some of the Cree braves at the time that Fergus and Dan were eavesdropping. 

Standing in a dignified attitude worthy of an ancient Roman, with his blanket thrown toga-fashion over one shoulder, one of the braves looked round on the warrior band with a dark scowl before he began. His comrades were evidently impressed by his looks. Whether owing to a freak of fancy, a spice of eccentricity, or simple vanity, we know not, but this brave had, among other ornamental touches to his visage, painted his nose bright red. The effect on his brother braves was solemnising. It was not so impressive to his white observers, as it suggested to them the civilised toper. 

"The great white chief," began Rednose, with a slow deliberation that was meant to convey a settled and unalterable conviction, "is a fool!" 

"Waugh!" exclaimed the audience with emphasis, for the language was strong, and uttered with intense vigour, and that quite accorded with their tastes, so they agreed with the sentiment without regard to its signification. This species of rhetoric, and its effects, are sometimes observed in connection with civilised gatherings. 

The great white chief thus irreverently referred to, we regret to say, was Lord Selkirk. 

"The great white chief," continued Rednose, availing himself of the force of emphatic repetition, "is a fool! He is a child! He knows nothing! He comes across the great salt lake from the rising sun, with the air and aspect of an owl, thinking to teach us--the great Cree nation--wisdom!"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was the great white chief?
Guess: Lord Selkirk.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he smart?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who said so?
Guess: Rednose
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the great white chief trying to do?
Guess: teach
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Teach who?
Guess: the great Cree nation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he trying to teach?
Guess: wisdom!
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Rednose describe him?
Guess: as a fool, a child
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the audience agree?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: the language was strong, and uttered with intense vigour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was eavesdropping?
Guess: Fergus and Dan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were they eavesdropping on?
Guess: some of the Cree braves
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the brave wearing?
Guess: a blanket
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How?
Guess: toga-fashion over one shoulder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were his friends impressed?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they also in blankets?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was strange about him?
Guess: his nose was painted bright red.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did the other braves feel about it?
Guess: it was solemnising.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did others feel the same?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did they think?

It was not so impressive