Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VI 

"AN ASHEN GREY DELIGHT" 

"Mr. de Vaux!" 

Paul turned quickly around in his saddle towards the young lady who had addressed him. He looked into a fair, thoughtful face, whose general amiability was discounted, just then, by a decided frown. 

"I beg your pardon, Lady May! Didn't you say something just now?" 

"Didn't I say something just now!" she repeated, with fine scorn. "Upon my word, Mr. de Vaux, I think that you must have left your wits in London! What is the matter with you?" 

"The matter! Why, nothing! I'm sorry----" 

"Oh! pray don't apologise!" she interrupted hastily. "I think I'll ride on and catch papa up." 

He laid his hand upon her rein. "Please don't, Lady May," he begged. "I know I've been inattentive! I'm very sorry--really I am. Let me try and make up for it!" 

She looked into his face, and she was mollified. He was evidently in earnest. 

"Oh! very well," she said. "You mustn't think that I complained without due cause, though, for I spoke to you three times before you answered me. Oh, it's all right," she went on, as he commenced to frame another apology. "I don't mind now, but I really should like to know what is the matter with you. You have ridden all day like a man who valued neither his own life nor his horse's. Some of your jumps were simply reckless! I have heard other people say so, too! I like bold riding, but there is a limit; and though I've ridden two hounds since papa gave me my first pony, I've never seen any one try to jump Annisforth brook below the bridge, before,--and don't want to again," she added, with a little shudder. "I know you ride fine horses, but you are not generally foolhardy. I saw your dark bay mare being taken home at Colbourne Spinneys, and I don't think she'll be fit to ride again this season. Old Harrison had tears in his eyes when he saw her!"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who laid his hand somewhere?
Guess: Paul
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he lay it
Guess: upon her rein
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose?
Guess: Lady May's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he not want her to do
Guess: ride on and catch papa up
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did May say Paul's last name?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Paul look at her
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his last name
Guess: de Vaux
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was she frowning?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Does she usually frown?

no