Here's a short story:

Guatemala City, Guatemala (CNN) -- Gunmen who shot dead Facundo Cabral likely did not have the Argentine folk singer as their intended target, said Guatemalan Interior Minister Carlos Menocal. 

Cabral, one of Latin America's best-known folk singers, was killed Saturday on his way to the airport in Guatemala City. 

In the car with Cabral was a Nicaraguan businessman, Henry Farina, who was driving, said Menocal. 

"Everything points to that the attack was directed at him (Farina), and not the artist," he said. Still, a motive for the shooting remained unclear. 

Farina was wounded, but survived the attack. Cabral died, becoming the latest victim in a wave of violence that has rocked the nation ahead of elections. 

Guatemalan President Alvaro Colom declared three days of national mourning in honor of the singer. 

In Guatemala on a Latin American tour, Cabral, 74, left his hotel early Saturday morning in a white SUV for an eight-minute ride to the airport. 

Gunmen attacked the SUV -- at least 20 bullet holes could be seen on the Range Rover. Nothing was reported stolen from the vehicle, government spokesman Ronaldo Robles said Saturday. 

Police found a brown Hyundai Santa Fe nearby containing bullet-proof vests and AK-47 magazines. 

Robles and other authorities have said an investigation was underway. 

"You can't blame New Yorkers for the death of John Lennon. Just like you can't blame Guatemalans for the death of Facundo Cabral," said Ernesto Justo Lopez, the Argentine ambassador to Guatemala. 

Ironically, Cabral, who said he was inspired by Jesus Christ and Mohandas Gandhi, was recognized in 1996 by the Organization of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization as a "World Peace Messenger."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Is the suspect name mentioned who killed the singer?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he the actual target?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Then who was?
Guess: Henry Farina
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is he?
Guess: Nicaraguan businessman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the singer famous?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day was it when he was shot?
Guess: Saturday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he heading to?
Guess: airport
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the other guy dead too?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many days of mourning was announced in respect to the singer's death?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he?
Guess: 74
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he in an SUV?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color?
Guess: white
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many bullets were fired?

at least 20