Here's a short story:

The Eucharist (also called Holy Communion or the Lord's Supper, among other names) is a Christian rite that is considered a sacrament in most churches and an ordinance in others. According to the New Testament, the rite was instituted by Jesus Christ during his Last Supper; giving his disciples bread and wine during the Passover meal, Jesus commanded his followers to "do this in memory of me" while referring to the bread as "my body" and the wine as "my blood". Through the Eucharistic celebration Christians remember Christ's sacrifice of himself on the cross. 

The elements of the Eucharist, bread (leavened or unleavened) and wine are consecrated on an altar (or table) and consumed thereafter. Communicants (that is, those who consume the elements) may speak of "receiving the Eucharist", as well as "celebrating the Eucharist". Christians generally recognize a special presence of Christ in this rite, though they differ about exactly how, where, and when Christ is present. While all agree that there is no perceptible change in the elements, Catholics believe that they actually become the body and blood of Christ (transubstantiation). Lutherans believe the true body and blood of Christ are really present "in, with, and under" the forms of the bread and wine (sacramental union). Reformed Christians believe in a real spiritual presence of Christ in the Eucharist. Others, such as the Plymouth Brethren, take the act to be only a symbolic reenactment of the Last Supper. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What rite was established by Jesus during the Passover meal?
Guess: The Eucharist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the wine symbolize?
Guess: jesus' blood
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the bread?
Guess: "my body"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a certain type of bread?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind?
Guess: leavened or unleavened
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What had to happen to it before it could be eaten?
Guess: consecrated on an altar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What religion sees this as just acting out the Last Supper?
Guess: the Plymouth Brethren
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the Eucharist called by other names?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Like what?
Guess: Holy Communion or the Lord's Supper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do Christians remind themselves of when doing this?
Guess: a special presence of Christ
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did Jesus give the bread and wine to during the Last Supper?
Guess: his disciples
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he order them to take it?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: For what reason?

in memory of me