Here's a short story:

Jenny and Henry were born on the same day and they look the same. Their father is a taxi driver and he is busy all the time. He goes out early in the morning, but comes back when his children are sleeping in bed. He makes a lot of money but he doesn't talk with them about their study. The two children study in the same class. Jenny works hard at her lessons, but her brother likes nothing but playing. He is not good at writing compositions . One day Mrs. Cook told her class to write a composition "My Mother". After supper Jenny wrote one in her exercise book and then went to help her mother to do some housework. But Henry went to play football. When night fell, he came back to watch TV until the TV play was over. And he took off his clothes and went to bed, he remembered the composition and had to go to the sitting room again. But he didn't know how to write it. He thought hard and at last he found a way. He found Jenny's schoolbag and brought out her exercise book and copied her composition. Two days later Mrs. Cook asked Henry, "Can you tell me why your composition is the same as Jenny's?" "Yes, I can, madam," answered Henry. "We have the same mother. " (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Henry's twin?
Guess: Jenny and Henry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do they go to school together?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does Jenny approach her schoolwork?
Guess: she works hard
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Henry do the same?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they assigned for homework?
Guess: write a composition
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: About what?
Guess: My Mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did Jenny do the assignment?
Guess: After supper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about Henry?
Guess: Henry went to play football.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did his teacher ask him?
Guess: why his composition was the same as Jenny's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What excuse did he give?
Guess: they have the same mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was that really why?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the real reason?

he copied her composition.