Here's a short story:

There was once a baseball player who lived in a faraway land. The Baseball players name is Tyler. Tyler was very cool and had a lot of friends. Tyler could throw a baseball in many different ways. His favorite way to throw it was fast. Other people liked to throw it slow, some people liked to throw it on their head, and some people even rolled it on the ground. Not Tyler, whenever he picked up a baseball he threw it very fast. People from all over the world came to see Tyler throw the baseball. He met a guy named Peter, who liked him a lot. Peter made a lot of people, like his friends Lucy and Jerry, give Tyler things for being good at baseball. Tyler was so good at baseball people gave him a big house. He liked a lot of things about the house. He liked the movie theatre, the bowling place, and the swimming pool. However his favorite thing about the house was the trampoline. Tyler got all of these things because he could throw a ball fast, he thought it was very cool. Tyler invited all of his friends over and they had a pool party. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How many different ways do people like to throw the ball?
Guess: Other people liked to throw it slow, some people liked to throw it on their head, and some people even rolled it on the ground
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the name of the baseball player?
Guess: Tyler
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he popular?
Guess: Tyler was very cool and had a lot of friends
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he know a lot of ways of throwing a ball or a few?
Guess: Tyler could throw a baseball in many different ways.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he meet?
Guess: Peter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he think of him?
Guess: liked him a lot
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were Peter's friends?
Guess: Lucy and Jerry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he make them do?
Guess: give Tyler things for being good at baseball
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What's one of the things they gave him?

big house