Here's a short story:

Tomorrow was Little Bunny's birthday. He was very excited. He wanted to invite all of his friends. "We only have enough cake for five friends." His mother said. Little Bunny thought and thought. He wanted to invite Rabbit, Bear, Duck and Goose. Little Bunny could invite one more friend. He thought about Turtle. Turtle was lots of fun and always told funny jokes. He thought about Fox. Fox was super nice and always made Little Bunny feel good. He also thought about how not inviting one of his friends would make them feel bad. Little Bunny didn't want to make anyone feel bad. After a little bit he had an idea. He told his mother his idea. "I like both Turtle and Fox, and I want them both to come. One would feel really left out if they didn't get invited. I can give my cake to one of my friends, and that way they can both come and have a piece." His mother thought it was very sweet of Little Bunny to give up his piece of birthday cake so that none of his friends would feel left out. "I'll tell you what." Said his mother. "I'll make a batch of cupcakes, and all of your friends can have some." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is tomorrow?
Guess: Little Bunny's birthday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How does she feel about it?
Guess: very excited
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he invite all of his friends?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many?
Guess: Six
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How come?
Guess: One would feel really left out if they didn't get invited
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he like turtle?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how come?
Guess: He was lots of fun and always told funny jokes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he like Fox?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how come?
Guess: He was super nice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he make little bunny feel?
Guess: good
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Little Bunny have?
Guess: an idea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he tell it to?
Guess: his mother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he want to come?
Guess: Turtle and Fox
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was this going to happen?
Guess: He will give his cake to one of them
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did his mother think?
Guess: that it was very sweet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she do?
Guess: make a batch of cupcakes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: why?

So all of his friends can have some