Here's a short story:

Moscow (CNN) -- There is no basic human right to barge into a church to make a political statement, jump around near the altar, and shout obscenities. But there is most certainly the right not to lose your liberty for doing so, even if the act is offensive. 

But that is exactly what happened Friday. A court in Moscow sentenced the three members of the feminist punk band Pussy Riot to two years in prison. 

In my two decades monitoring human rights in Russia I've never seen anything like the Pussy Riot case -- the media attention, the outpouring of public support, the celebrity statements for the detained and criminally charged punk band members. 

The image of three young women facing down an inexorable system of unfair justice and an oppressive state has crystallized for many in the West what is wrong with human rights in Russia. To be sure, it is deeply troubling. 

For me, even more shocking were the images of Stanislav Markelov, a human rights lawyer, lying on the sidewalk with the back of his head blown off in 2009, or the body of tax lawyer Sergei Magnitsky, who died in prison in 2009 after he blew the whistle on a massive government extortion scheme. 

The Pussy Riot case shines a much needed, if highly disturbing, spotlight on the issue of freedom of expression in post-Soviet Russia 

On February 21, four members of the group performed what they call a "punk prayer" in Moscow's Russian Orthodox Christ the Savior Cathedral. They danced around and shouted some words to their song, "Virgin Mary, Get Putin Out." The stunt lasted less than a minute before the women were forcibly removed.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was there any human rights?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who are the Pussy Riot?
Guess: A feminist punk band
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where they will end up?
Guess: Prison
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For how many years?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who ordered the verdict?
Guess: A court in Moscow
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: Friday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When they did the so called punk prayer?
Guess: On February 21
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: The Savior Cathedral
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who they were protesting against?
Guess: The issue of freedom of expression
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long they could perform their act at the church?
Guess: Less than a minute
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many of them were there?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to them next?
Guess: They were forcibly removed.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Markelov?
Guess: A human rights lawyer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to him?
Guess: For me, even more shocking were the images of Stanislav Markelov, a human rights lawyer, lying on the sidewalk with the back of his head blown off in 2009
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Magnitsky?
Guess: A tax lawyer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What he did?
Guess: Blew the whistle on a massive government extortion scheme
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to him at the end?
Guess: He died in prison
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: 2009
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How long the author of the article monitoring Russia?

Two decades