Here's a short story:

CHAPTER V. 

HARRY IS RESCUED. 

"I can stay on deck, can't I?" asked Dora, as she turned the tiller over to the homeless youth. 

"If you wish. But be very careful when the sloop swings around," replied Jerry. "You did very well," he added. 

Dora smiled at this. Then she went forward and settled down, in spite of the rain, to help look for Harry Parker, whose folks she knew fairly well. 

The Cutwater was put on a different track, and they began to move across the lake, it being Jerry's idea to cross and recross at a distance of every six or seven hundred feet. 

Twice did they come close to each shore without seeing anything of Harry. 

"Gone down, suah's you're born!" said Blumpo, and the tears started out of his big, honest eyes. 

"I am afraid so," returned Jerry, "and yet--hark!" 

He put up his hand and all were instantly on the alert. The wind had gone down somewhat, and from a distance came a low cry. "It's Harry's!" said Jerry. "Hullo, Harry!" he yelled, with all the power of his lungs. 

He waited, and an answering cry came back from toward the center of the lake. It was very weak, showing that Harry was almost exhausted. 

The course of the sloop was instantly changed, and they strove to reach the spot before the boy should go down. 

Jerry was the first to see the form floating about amid the whitecaps. 

"Keep up, Harry!" he called encouragingly. "We will soon have you on board."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: was it raining?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Dora give the homeless youth?
Guess: The tiller
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was she looking for?
Guess: Harry Parker
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was helping her?
Guess: Jerry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many times did they come near the shore?
Guess: Twice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they see harry those times?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how often did they cross and recross the lake

Every six or seven hundred feet.