Here's a short story:

(CNN)The Mormon church has excommunicated a popular podcaster, saying his public dissents from the religion's core beliefs have led others away from the church. 

John Dehlin, founder of the podcast "Mormon Stories," describes himself as an "unorthodox" Mormon whose church roots reach back five generations. Under Tuesday's penalty, however, Dehlin may not participate in church sacraments for at least one year. He has the right to appeal the decision. 

Dehlin is the second Mormon to be excommunicated in the past year, following Kate Kelly, who was kicked out last June for pushing the church to admit women to its all-male priesthood. 

Tuesday's excommunication was announced in a letter to Dehlin from Brian King, the stake president, or local church leader, in North Logan, Utah. 

King said that Dehlin was not excommunicated for criticizing the church, which he has openly admitted to, but for denying core Mormon doctrines. The church has concluded that Dehlin's views on the following amount to apostasy: 

-- Questioning the nature of God and divinity of Christ; 

-- Calling the Book of Mormon and Book of Abraham, two central texts, fraudulent; 

-- Teaching that the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, the Mormon church's official name, is not the "true church with power and authority from God." 

"You have spread these teachings widely via the Internet to hundreds of people in the past and have shared with me, in previous correspondence, that you will continue to do so," King wrote to Dehlin in a letter dated February 9.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was the first person to be excommunicated?
Guess: Kate Kelly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was she thrown out?
Guess: last June
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: for?
Guess: pushing the church to admit women to its all-male priesthood.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was next?
Guess: John Dehlin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he the founder of?
Guess: the podcast "Mormon Stories,"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and how does he describe himself in that?
Guess: as an "unorthodox" Mormon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did they communicate with him?
Guess: in a letter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from who?
Guess: Brian King
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is that?
Guess: local church leader
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: in North Logan, Utah.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the church's official name?
Guess: he Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when was the letter written?
Guess: February 9.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Dehlin teach about the church?
Guess: that the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, is not the "true church with power and authority from God."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he do this by word of mouth?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then how?
Guess: via the Internet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what else do they say he said?
Guess: Questioning the nature of God and divinity of Christ;
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and?
Guess: Calling the Book of Mormon and Book of Abraham fraudulent;
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: can he take church sacraments?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: for how long?

at least one year.