Here's a short story:

Kansas is a U.S. state in the Midwestern United States. Its capital is Topeka and its largest city is Wichita. Kansas is named after the Kansa Native American tribe, which inhabited the area. The tribe's name (natively "") is often said to mean "people of the (south) wind" although this was probably not the term's original meaning. For thousands of years, what is now Kansas was home to numerous and diverse Native American tribes. Tribes in the eastern part of the state generally lived in villages along the river valleys. Tribes in the western part of the state were semi-nomadic and hunted large herds of bison. 

Kansas was first settled by European Americans in 1812, in what is now Bonner Springs, but the pace of settlement accelerated in the 1850s, in the midst of political wars over the slavery issue. When it was officially opened to settlement by the U.S. government in 1854 with the Kansas–Nebraska Act, abolitionist Free-Staters from New England and pro-slavery settlers from neighboring Missouri rushed to the territory to determine whether Kansas would become a free state or a slave state. Thus, the area was a hotbed of violence and chaos in its early days as these forces collided, and was known as Bleeding Kansas. The abolitionists prevailed, and on January 29, 1861, Kansas entered the Union as a free state. After the Civil War, the population of Kansas grew rapidly when waves of immigrants turned the prairie into farmland. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is Kansas?
Guess: a state
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: in the United States
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it in the South?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where then?
Guess: in the Midwest
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the name come from?
Guess: the Kansa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it first settled by anyone other than Native Americans?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened in 1812?
Guess: it was settled by European Americans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what city?
Guess: Bonner Springs
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it known as during the settlement time?
Guess: Bleeding Kansas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: the area was a hotbed of violence and chaos
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was fighting?
Guess: abolitionist Free-Staters and pro-slavery settlers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who won?
Guess: The abolitionists
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did they become a state?
Guess: January 29, 1861
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did all of the tribes live the same way?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How were they divided?
Guess: into eastern and western parts of the state
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did the Eastern part live?
Guess: in villages along the river valleys.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: And the west?

they were semi-nomadic