Here's a short story:

.Sarah and Mariam looked at the glass fragments on the floor in panic . They could not believe what had just happened. 

Mariam was Sarah's best friend. They had spent the entire day drawing and painting. Sarah's mother had gone to the market to buy some goodies and the two friends were alone at home. Sarah decided to show her friend a very expensive vase that her father had gifted her mother on their wedding anniversary . She took her friend to the drawing room and carefully removed the vase. She knew it was not allowed by her mother but she wanted to show off a bit. 

Mariam looked at the vase with wonder. When she was giving back the vase to Sarah, a disaster happened. The vase slipped between their fingers and fell on the floor with a crash. 

"Oh no!" cried Sarah in panic. "What shall I do now? Mother will be so angry." Mariam felt equally guilty . "I know! Let us sweep up the pieces and hide them. Mother will not know that I have broken it." 

"But she will ask when she sees it missing. What will we say then?" Mariam asked. "I think the best thing would be to own up ." 

Sarah took a deep breath. "You are right." 

When Sarah's mother came back, Sarah and Mariam poured out their tale. At first, her mother looked angry. Then she saw how unhappy and guilty they both looked. She hugged them both tightly. "I am so glad you were brave enough to own up, Sarah. I am very upset about the vase but I am happy you are both such truthful girls." 

"It was Mariam's idea that we should own up, Mother," Sarah added honestly. 

The girls laughed. They felt as if a huge load had been taken off their shoulders. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What disaster happened?
Guess: They broke the vase
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did?
Guess: Mariam and Sarah
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they sisters?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is their relationship?
Guess: Best Friends
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which girls house were they at?
Guess: Sarah's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did her mom go?
Guess: The Market
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose glass object was it?
Guess: her parent
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they lie about the incident?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose idea was it to fess up?
Guess: Mariam
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were they doing during they day?
Guess: art
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was her mothers possession located?
Guess: Drawing room
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it inexpensive?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what occasion did she receive it as a gift?
Guess: wedding anniversary
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who gave it to her?
Guess: Her father
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she go to the store for?
Guess: goodies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did she notice the broken vase before the girls told her?

no