Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Branden Grace duly completed his front running victory at the Dunhill Links Championships Sunday after coming under last round pressure from Denmark's Thorbjorn Olesen at St Andrews. 

Grace, winning for the fifth time in a superb 2012, four coming on the European Tour, ended two ahead of Olesen after carding a final round 70 for a record 22-under total in the tournament. 

"It feels awesome," the South African told the official European Tour website after a victory that has lifted him to third in the The Race to Dubai. 

He has now targeted No.1 Rory McIlroy in the battle for the overall honors in Europe. 

"It's definitely in my sights," he said. 

Grace, who is yet another graduate of the Ernie Els Foundation, led from the first round at Kingsbarns where he shot a stunning 12-under 60. 

But when Olesen carded two straight birdies around the turn and Grace three-putted the short 11th for a bogey, they were level. 

But Grace pulled away with a stunning hat-trick of birdies only interrupted by a bogey on the Road Hole 17th. 

He still had a two-shot lead playing the last which they both birdied. 

Alexander Noren of Sweden finished third, four shots back, with Joel Sjoholm of Sweden in fourth. 

Scot Stephen Gallacher, a former Dunhill winner, was making superb last day progress until he accidentally played the ball of an amateur partner Steve Halsall on the 16th fairway. 

It cost him a two-shot penalty and he ended up running up a quadruple bogey to slip back into a tie for fifth.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is the article about?
Guess: Branden Grace
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the name of the competition he competed in?
Guess: Dunhill Links Championships
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did it take place?
Guess: Sunday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is he from?
Guess: South Africa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who pressured him in the last part of the competition?
Guess: Olesen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his ranking in comparison to Olesen?
Guess: two ahead of Olesen
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is his next target?
Guess: Rory McIlroy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his ranking?
Guess: No.1
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who ended up in third place?
Guess: Alexander Noren
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was after him?
Guess: Joel Sjoholm
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is he from?
Guess: Sweden
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who made a play on the wrong ball?

Scot Stephen Gallacher