Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Federal prosecutors revealed a photograph Thursday that they say show an Amish man attacking another Amish man by attempting to forcibly cut his beard. 

The photo was submitted as evidence in the trial of 16 Amish men and women charged with federal hate crimes in connection with last year's beard-cutting attacks in rural eastern Ohio. The trial started Monday at federal court in Cleveland with jury selection. 

To the Amish, a beard is a significant symbol of faith and manhood. 

The photo was recovered from a disposable camera that was used to document the attacks, which prosecutors say were ordered by Samuel Mullet Sr., the Amish leader of a breakaway sect and one of the 16 defendants. Prosecutors did not identify the attacker or the victim in the photo in their court filings. 

If convicted, Mullet faces 20 years in prison, according to CNN affiliate WOIO in Cleveland. 

According to witnesses cited in a federal affidavit, Mullet "forced extreme punishments" on anyone in his community who defied him, "including forcing members to sleep for days at a time in a chicken coop on his property." In addition, the affidavit alleges that, as the bishop of his Amish clan in Bergholz, Ohio, Mullet had "acts of sexual intimacy" with married women as part of "counseling" to "cleanse them of the devil." 

CNN has sought a response from Mullet's attorney, Edward Bryan. Bryan has disputed the prosecution's characterization of his client, according to The Cleveland Plain Dealer. 

"They're trying to create this perception he's something he's not," Bryan told the newspaper. "He's not a wacky cult leader. He's a decent, hardworking, caring man."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What does the photograph show?
Guess: An attack.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of attack?
Guess: One man trying to cut another man's beard.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the attack take place?
Guess: Ohio.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was the photo retreived from?
Guess: A disposable camera.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who ordered the attack?
Guess: Samuel Mullet Sr.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's his occupation?
Guess: Amish leader
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many years will he get if convicted?
Guess: 20
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Mullet's attorney?
Guess: Edward Bryan.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why is the beard important to the Amish?
Guess: It is a significant symbol of faith and manhood.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How many people are being charged in total?

16