Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- International aid workers scrambling to get into Haiti face a series of obstacles, from an airport that is already overwhelmed to blocked roads and a lack of communication, electricity, food and water. 

And, as if that weren't enough, they will encounter a serious crime problem, a veteran disaster relief specialist told CNN. 

"Security now in this particular crisis has already been raised as a major, major issue," said Paul Sherlock, a senior humanitarian representative for Oxfam. 

"If you'd been in Haiti 25 years ago, even in Papa Doc's time, it was a pretty nasty dictatorship, and lots of people were killed. But infrastructure and services worked better then than they do now," he said. 

Francois "Papa Doc" Duvalier was president from 1957 to 1971. 

"It was safer to use public transport then than it was last year, certainly in terms of crime," he said. 

"Over the last 10, 15, 20 years, the gangs and the drug culture have taken hold of Haiti, and that is why over the last four to five years, the United Nations has been trying to administer security in the capital and all the provincial cities as well," he said. 

Nongovernmental organization workers "have not been using public transport or taxis because of the security risk they face. International aid workers certainly didn't." 

Aid workers on their way to Haiti now are not sure how to ensure their safety, he said. 

Some are "probably using U.N. military as escorts, but many NGOs are uncomfortable using any military escort. They have been going to the police, but I don't know, after what has happened, whether the police are in any better position to provide it."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Is public transportation safe in Haiti?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of workers are going to Haiti?
Guess: International aid workers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they up against?
Guess: a series of obstacles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How is communication in the area?
Guess: lack of communication
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the enough power?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about food and water?
Guess: lack of food and water.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are all the roads passable?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How is the airport faring?
Guess: overwhelmed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Papa Doc?
Guess: president from 1957 to 1971
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: Haiti
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of government did he run?
Guess: dictatorship
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did services compare from then to now?
Guess: worked better
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who might some be using to help protect them?
Guess: U.N. military
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who do a lot of NGOs turn to?
Guess: police
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are the going to be able to help?
Guess: I don't know
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What has become a problem over the past decades?
Guess: drug culture
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else?
Guess: serious crime problem
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long has the UN tried to help?
Guess: last four to five years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where are they helping with security?

in the capital and all the provincial cities