Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XVI--THE GIRL WHO HAD NOT GROWN UP 

News, as usual, Christian Young brought--news of the drinking at Guvutu, where the men boasted that they drank between drinks; news of the new rifles adrift on Ysabel, of the latest murders on Malaita, of Tom Butler's sickness on Santa Ana; and last and most important, news that the _Matambo_ had gone on a reef in the Shortlands and would be laid off one run for repairs. 

"That means five weeks more before you can sail for Sydney," Sheldon said to Joan. 

"And that we are losing precious time," she added ruefully. 

"If you want to go to Sydney, the _Upolu_ sails from Tulagi to-morrow afternoon," Young said. 

"But I thought she was running recruits for the Germans in Samoa," she objected. "At any rate, I could catch her to Samoa, and change at Apia to one of the Weir Line freighters. It's a long way around, but still it would save time." 

"This time the _Upolu_ is going straight to Sydney," Young explained. "She's going to dry-dock, you see; and you can catch her as late as five to-morrow afternoon--at least, so her first officer told me." 

"But I've got to go to Guvutu first." Joan looked at the men with a whimsical expression. "I've some shopping to do. I can't wear these Berande curtains into Sydney. I must buy cloth at Guvutu and make myself a dress during the voyage down. I'll start immediately--in an hour. Lalaperu, you bring 'm one fella Adamu Adam along me. Tell 'm that fella Ornfiri make 'm _kai-kai_ take along whale-boat." She rose to her feet, looking at Sheldon. "And you, please, have the boys carry down the whale- boat--my boat, you know. I'll be off in an hour."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was sailing to Sydney?
Guess: Joan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did she have until she was scheduled to go?
Guess: five weeks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did she feel about waiting that long?
Guess: rueful
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Young give her another option?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: the _Upolu_
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was that leaving?
Guess: to-morrow afternoon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From where?
Guess: Tulagi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it making other stops before heading to Sydney?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did Joan have to go first?
Guess: Guvutu
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: shopping
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did she need to purchase?
Guess: cloth
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: to make a dress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For herself?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of vessel did she decide to use for traveling?
Guess: whale-boat
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much time did she need before being ready to leave?
Guess: an hour
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did men boast about drinking in excess?
Guess: Guvutu
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who knew this information?
Guess: Christian Young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What else did he know?

news of the new rifles adrift on Ysabel