Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- It's been a weekend of contrasting fortunes for American club owners in the English Premier League. 

The Glazer family can look forward to Manchester United's imminent record-extending 20th league title, and their fifth since a leveraged takeover in 2005 that left one of the world's wealthiest clubs saddled with hundreds of millions of dollars of debt. 

For Ellis Short, owner of Saturday's beaten opponents Sunderland, the prospect of losing top-flight status is all too real after a 1-0 defeat that left his team just one point above the relegation zone and marked the end of the reign of manager Martin O'Neill after less than two seasons. 

He was replaced Sunday by controversial former Italian forward Paulo Di Canio, whose previous managerial club job was with English third division side Swindon. 

One of O'Neill's former players, Paul Lambert, has been seemingly on the verge of the sack for most of this season but the Aston Villa manager seems likely to see it out despite Sunday's 2-1 home defeat by Liverpool, which kept his side in the bottom three but only four points behind 12th-placed Southampton. 

"Yes, definitely," Lambert said when asked if his team could avoid the drop, with seven games to play. 

"I think anybody who was here today would say the same. We're certainly playing well enough. We don't look like a team down the bottom at the minute. 

"If we keep going the way we're going, we'll win more games than not. There will be so many twists and turns."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was in debt?
Guess: Manchester United
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much?
Guess: hundreds of millions of dollars
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: a leveraged takeover
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: 2005
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is Ellis Short?
Guess: owner of  Sunderland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was his team successful?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was replaced?
Guess: manager
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what manager?
Guess: manager of Sunderland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: after how long?

less than two seasons