Here's a short story:

Paul had just left college and was offered an interview for a position in a company in New York. As he needed to move from Texas to New York if he got the job, he wanted to talk about the decision with someone before accepting it. But his parents had died. He remembered that his father had suggested he should turn to an old friend of his family if he needed advice. The older man said, "Go to New York and have the interview. But I want you to go on a train and I want you to get a private compartment . Don't take anything to write with, anything to listen to or anything to read, and don't talk to anybody except when you order the meal. Call me when you get to New York and I will tell you what to do next." At first, Paul followed the advice closely. The trip took two days. As he had brought along nothing to do, he quickly became bored. He realized he was being forced into quite time - he could do nothing but think. About three hours outside New York City he broke the rules, asked for a pencil and paper and kept writing down the thoughts until the train arrived in New York. Paul called the family friend from the train station. "Thank you, Uncle I know what you wanted. You wanted me to think. And now I know what to do.""I guessed you could understand my idea, Paul," came the reply, "Good luck." Now, years later, Paul runs a company in New York. And he always spends a couple of days being alone with no phone, no television and no people to think quietly. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: How long has Paul worked in New York?
Guess: years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he live before?
Guess: Texas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he offered after college?
Guess: an interview
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was the job?
Guess: New York
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Would he have to move there?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he talk to about it?
Guess: an old friend of his family
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why not his parents/
Guess: his parents had died.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: So did the friend think he should go?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he tell him to get there?
Guess: on a train
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where should he sit?
Guess: a private compartment .
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What should he take?
Guess: nothing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Nothing to read even?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about some music?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was the trip?
Guess: two days.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he talk to anyone?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he bored?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much of the trip was left when he requested something?
Guess: three hours
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: a pencil and paper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did he tell the friend?

Thank you