Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XLI. SPEECHIFYING. 

On the Monday, a plowboy from Vale Regis arrived at Monksmoor. 

In respect of himself, he was a person beneath notice. In respect of his errand, he was sufficiently important to cast a gloom over the household. The faithless Mirabel had broken his engagement, and the plowboy was the herald of misfortune who brought his apology. To his great disappointment (he wrote) he was detained by the affairs of his parish. He could only trust to Mr. Wyvil's indulgence to excuse him, and to communicate his sincere sense of regret (on scented note paper) to the ladies. 

Everybody believed in the affairs of the parish--with the exception of Francine. "Mr. Mirabel has made the best excuse he could think of for shortening his visit; and I don't wonder at it," she said, looking significantly at Emily. 

Emily was playing with one of the dogs; exercising him in the tricks which he had learned. She balanced a morsel of sugar on his nose--and had no attention to spare for Francine. 

Cecilia, as the mistress of the house, felt it her duty to interfere. "That is a strange remark to make," she answered. "Do you mean to say that we have driven Mr. Mirabel away from us?" 

"I accuse nobody," Francine began with spiteful candor. 

"Now she's going to accuse everybody!" Emily interposed, addressing herself facetiously to the dog. 

"But when girls are bent on fascinating men, whether they like it or not," Francine proceeded, "men have only one alternative--they must keep out of the way." She looked again at Emily, more pointedly than ever.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What was Vale Regis errand?
Guess: the herald
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what?
Guess: of misfortune
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he bring?
Guess: an apology
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did he arrive?
Guess: Monday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did he arrive?
Guess: Monksmoor.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was he bringing an apology to?
Guess: Mirabels partner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What had Mirabel done?
Guess: broken his engagement,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who could he trust?
Guess: Mr. Wyvil'
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to do what?
Guess: indulgence to excuse him
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and what?
Guess: to communicate his sincere sense of regret
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to who?
Guess: the ladies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was Emily playing with?

a dog