Here's a short story:

A shire is a traditional term for a division of land, found in the United Kingdom and some other English speaking countries. It was first used in Wessex from the beginning of Anglo-Saxon settlement, and spread to most of the rest of England in the tenth century. In some rural parts of Australia, a shire is a local government area; however, in Australia it is not synonymous with a "county", which is a lands administrative division. 

The word derives from the Old English "scir", itself a derivative of the Proto-Germanic "skizo" (cf. Old High German "scira"), meaning care or official charge. In the UK, "shire" is the original term for what is usually known now as a "county"; the word "county" having been introduced at the Norman Conquest of England. The two are nearly synonymous. Although in modern British usage counties are referred to as "shires" mainly in poetic contexts, terms such as Shire Hall remain common. Shire also remains a common part of many county names. 

In regions with so-called rhotic pronunciation such as Scotland, the word "shire" is pronounced or . In non-rhotic areas the final R is silent unless the next word begins in a vowel. When "shire" is a suffix as part of a placename in England, the vowel is unstressed and thus usually shortened and/or monophthongised: pronunciations include , or sometimes , with the pronunciation of the final R again depending on rhoticity. In many words, the vowel is normally reduced all the way to a single schwa, as in for instance "Leicestershire" or "Berkshire" . Outside England, and especially in Scotland and the US, it is more common for "shire" as part of a placename to be pronounced identically to the full word, as a result of spelling pronunciation. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is a shire?
Guess: a term
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: a division of land
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is the word found?
Guess: in the United Kingdom
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it first used?
Guess: in Wessex
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: the beginning of Anglo-Saxon settlement
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it used outside of England?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: in Australia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anyplace else?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What word does it come from?
Guess: "scir"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which is what language?
Guess: Old English
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Meaning?

care or official charge