Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XIV. 

HENRY III., OF WINCHESTER. A.D. 1216--1272. 

King John left two little sons, Henry and Richard, nine and seven years old, and all the English barons felt that they would rather have Henry as their king than the French Louis, whom they had only called in because John was such a wretch. So when little Henry had been crowned at Gloucester, with his mother's bracelet, swearing to rule according to Magna Carta, and good Hubert de Burgh undertook to govern for him, one baron after another came back to him. Louis was beaten in a battle at Lincoln; and when his wife sent him more troops, Hubert de Burgh got ships together and sunk many vessels, and drove the others back in the Straits of Dover; so that Louis was forced to go home and leave England in peace. 

Henry must have been too young to understand about Magna Carta when he swore to it, but it was the trouble of all his long reign to get him to observe it. It was not that he was wicked like his father-- for he was very religious and kind-hearted--but he was too good- natured, and never could say No to anybody. Bad advisers got about him when he grew up, and persuaded him to let them take good Hubert de Burgh and imprison him. He had taken refuge in a church, but they dragged him out and took him to a blacksmith to have chains put on his feet; the smith however said he would never forge chains for the man who had saved his country from the French. De Burgh was afterwards set free, and died in peace and honor.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who died with peace and honor?
Guess: De Burgh
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were King John's sons?
Guess: Henry and Richard
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they older
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old were they?
Guess: nine and seven years old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was beaten at a battle at Lincoln?
Guess: Louis
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who sent him more troops?
Guess: his wife
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was too little to comprehend the Magna Carta?
Guess: Henry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was he talked into imprisoning?

Hubert de Burgh