Here's a short story:

Garry Golden is a futurist. Futurists are scientists who analyze the way the world is today and use that information.to predict what the world will be like in the future. Golden focuses on the study of transportation. He spends his days studying the relationships between cars, subways, and trains. But he's most excited about imagining the way these relationships will change in the future. Many public transportation supporters dislike big cities because they spend hours driving from one side of the city to the other. And there aren't enough buses and. subways. However, Golden sees a trend toward fewer cars' in the future. He explains, "Cities have a cost of car ownership, which is a challenge. All these vehicles cost the city in services, in having to repair roads and other things. "Cars also take up a lot of space. Golden points out that having so many parking spaces is wasteful. Much of the time the parking spaces sit empty. What is the solution?"I think cities will make new laws to limit the number of cars people can have ," says Golden. "Instead, people will use taxis, subways, and buses. New technology, like smartphones, can make these forms of public transportation even better. Imagine if everyone had a smartphone and used them to signal when they wanted to ride the bus. Buses could change their route to meet people's requests." How soon would these changes come? Golden admits that it will take several years. Cities can be slow to change. Also, new systems of transportation can be expensive. "But it's coming," he says. "The trend of the empowered city will be here soon. " The other trend that excites Golden is electric cars. Golden especially believes in the future of electric cars that have sensors to understand the world around them. "If we have cars that can communicate with one another, they can adjust speeds to cut down on traffic jams,"he says. Rush hour in big cities would be much less painful. One challenge is that it is hard to cheaply produce batteries that are strong enough for these cars. But Golden argues we could, also make cars out of strong plastic composites . The cars would then be much lighter and much cheaper to make. Golden remains positive about the future. "There are so many exciting developments ,"he says. "In thirty years we will live a different world. " (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the last name of this person??
Guess: Golden
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the first?
Guess: Garry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they?
Guess: a futurist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he examine?
Guess: the study of transportation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he especially look forward to?
Guess: The way relationships between cars, subways, trains will change in the future
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What do people spend too much time doing in big areas?
Guess: they spend hours driving from one side of the city to the other.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is there a shortage of anything there?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is one thing?
Guess: buses
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else?
Guess: subways
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does he think will happen?
Guess: a trend toward fewer cars' in the future.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is a disadvantage of automobiles?

Cities have a cost of car ownership,