Here's a short story:

David (; ; "Dawid"; ; ; Gəˁəz: Dawit; possibly meaning "beloved one") was the second king of the United Kingdom of Israel and Judah, according to the Hebrew Bible. 

In the biblical narrative, David is a young shepherd who first gains fame as a musician and later by killing Goliath. He becomes a favorite of King Saul and a close friend of Saul's son Jonathan. Worried that David is trying to take his throne, Saul turns on David. After Saul and Jonathan are killed in battle, David is anointed as King. David conquers Jerusalem, taking the Ark of the Covenant into the city, and establishing the kingdom founded by Saul. As king, David arranges the death of Uriah the Hittite to cover his adultery with Bathsheba. The text does not state whether she consented to sex. According to the same biblical text, God denies David the opportunity to build the temple and his son, Absalom, tries to overthrow him. David flees Jerusalem during Absalom's rebellion, but after Absalom's death he returns to the city to rule Israel. Before his peaceful death, he chooses his son Solomon as his successor. He is mentioned in the prophetic literature as an ideal king and an ancestor of a future Messiah, and many psalms are ascribed to him. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What Gəˁəz: Dawit means?
Guess: beloved one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was David?
Guess: second king of the United Kingdom of Israel and Judah
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he do music?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: He was the second king according to which scripture?
Guess: Hebrew Bible
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he kill anyone?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whom?
Guess: Goliath
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he famous for that?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he befriend with?
Guess: Jonathan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is he?
Guess: Saul's son
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Saul then?
Guess: The first King
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to him afterwards?
Guess: Saul is killed in battle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How about his son then?
Guess: killed also
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who became king then?
Guess: David
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he conquer any place?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which place?
Guess: Jerusalem
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he bring something there?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What?

Ark of the Covenant