Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- While Rafael Nadal enjoys a fishing trip in his native Mallorca, Roger Federer is closing on his Spanish rival's No. 2 ranking and his Masters titles record after reaching the final in Madrid. 

Nadal, like Novak Djokovic, couldn't wait to get away from the controversial blue clay at the Caja Magica but Federer has made the best of the situation and thrashed Janko Tipsarevic 6-2, 6-3 on Saturday in a one-sided semifinal. 

Waiting in the final is Tomas Berdych, who beat a tetchy Juan Martin del Potro 7-6 (5), 7-6 (6) earlier in the day. 

Federer will move above Nadal in the rankings if he wins his third Madrid title, and will also equal the Spaniard's record of 20 Masters titles. 

"I didn't even know actually about the No. 2 ranking," Federer said. "I'm focused on what I am doing here this week, trying to play well and get on a bit of a roll and I have played better and better as the tournament went on." 

Tipsarevic had knocked out fellow Serb Djokovic a day earlier, taking advantage of his compatriot's dislike of the blue clay surface. 

But in a match watched by Real Madrid star Cristiano Ronaldo, Tipsarevic was no match for Federer, who hit 25 winners to take his head-to-head record over the Serb to 5-0. 

Federer's possible rise to No. 2 in the rankings is even more significant with the French Open looming. It means the 16-time Grand Slam champion could avoid playing Djokovic or Nadal until the final.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Rafael Nadal enjoys what ?
Guess: fishing trip
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where ?
Guess: native Mallorca
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Roger Federer is closing on what ?
Guess: Spanish rival's No. 2 ranking
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anything else ?
Guess: Masters titles record
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did he reach the final ?
Guess: Madrid
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Federer will move above who ?
Guess: Nadal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in what ?
Guess: in the rankings
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Tipsarevic had knocked who ?
Guess: Serb Djokovic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who hit 25 winners ?
Guess: Federer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what sport show is this ?

French Open looming