Here's a short story:

Syria's prime minister defected Monday, becoming the latest among high-profile politicians and leaders to leave the embattled regime of Bashar al-Assad. 

"I announce today my defection from the killing and terrorist regime and I announce that I have joined the ranks of the freedom and dignity revolution. I announce that I am from today a soldier in this blessed revolution," Riyad Hijab said in a written statement read by a Syrian opposition official on Al Jazeera. 

CNN Inside Syria 

Analysts described Hijab's departure as a significant symbolic blow for al-Assad's government but noted that the former prime minister had been on the job for only a few months. 

Al-Assad appointed Hijab prime minister in June, a month after parliamentary elections that were boycotted by supporters of those seeking to oust al-Assad. 

"In short, this isn't going to bring a lot of insight into what Assad is thinking or doing. It is certainly embarrassing and does some damage to regime," said David Hartwell, a senior analyst of Islamic Affairs at Jane's. "But all indications are that Hijab was probably kept in the dark. This wasn't a man who had Assad's ear. Assad appointed him just a few months ago. He was essentially just another Cabinet member without much power at all." 

Hijab was tasked with creating a new Cabinet for al-Assad's regime. 

Opposition leaders said Hijab had defected, while Syrian state television said al-Assad dismissed Hijab from his post Monday. 

Syrian Information Minister Omran al-Zoubi said officials hadn't "heard anything from the former prime minister," according to the state-run Syrian Arab News Agency  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who resigned?
Guess: Hijab
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What role did he leave?
Guess: prime minister
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long had he held that position?
Guess: since June,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was his election peaceful?
Guess: he was appointed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were the previous elections peaceful?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who boycotted?
Guess: supporters of those seeking to oust al-Assad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long after this was Hijab appointed?
Guess: a month
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was his role a crucial one?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who described the resignation "embarrassing?"
Guess: David Hartwell
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What job does he hold?
Guess: a senior analyst
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who claimed that Hijab defected?

Opposition leaders