Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXXVII 

THE END OF A BOYHOOD 

Convinced of his own worthlessness, Tommy was sufficiently humble now, but Aaron Latta, nevertheless, marched to the square on the following market day and came back with the boy's sentence, Elspeth being happily absent. 

"I say nothing about the disgrace you have brought on this house," the warper began without emotion, "for it has been a shamed house since afore you were born, and it's a small offence to skail on a clarty floor. But now I've done more for you than I promised Jean Myles to do, and you had your pick atween college and the herding, and the herding you've chosen twice. I call you no names, you ken best what you're fitted for, but I've seen the farmer of the Dubb of Prosen the day, and he was short-handed through the loss of Tod Lindertis, so you're fee'd to him. Dinna think you get Tod's place, it'll be years afore you rise to that, but it's right and proper that as he steps up, you should step down." 

"The Dubb of Prosen!" cried Tommy in dismay. "It's fifteen miles frae here." 

"It's a' that." 

"But--but--but Elspeth and me never thought of my being so far away that she couldna see me. We thought of a farmer near Thrums." 

"The farther you're frae her the better," said Aaron, uneasily, yet honestly believing what he said. 

"It'll kill her," Tommy cried fiercely. With only his own suffering to consider he would probably have nursed it into a play through which he stalked as the noble child of misfortune, but in his anxiety for Elspeth he could still forget himself. "Fine you ken she canna do without me," he screamed.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what did Tommy yell is dismay?
Guess: "The Dubb of Prosen!"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he think he was worthless?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how far away was Prosen?
Guess: fifteen miles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: was Elspeth present the following market day?

No