Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- The ouster of Tunisia's longtime ruler has cast a shadow over the surrounding region, but few analysts were willing to predict Tuesday that the revolt would spread to other countries. 

Zine El Abidine Ben Ali was Tunisia's president for 23 years before Friday, when weeks of protests forced him into exile in Saudi Arabia. Tunisians complained that the president's family and supporters had grown rich while their living conditions stagnated and their voices were stifled. 

But while the governments of nearby nations like Algeria, Libya and Egypt face similar criticism, the level of repression and the concentration of power and corruption were far more extreme in Tunisia, said Nathan Brown, a professor of Middle Eastern politics at George Washington University in Washington. 

"I think most regimes in the region are viewed with a mix of disdain and resignation by their population," Brown said. Few may support their government, but "It's not as if there's much that can be done about it," he said. 

Neighboring Algeria was also wracked by rioting last week, triggered by the spiraling costs of basic food items after its government slashed price supports for staples like milk, oil and sugar. State-run media reported at least three people had died in the clashes. 

Libya's longtime strongman, Moammar Gadhafi, mourned Ben Ali's ouster and warned in a nationally televised speech that Tunisia was facing "unjustified chaos." And in Egypt, at least two people have set themselves afire in public this week -- the same type of protest that triggered Tunisia's demonstrations in December.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What president was forced from his post last week?
Guess: Zine El Abidine Ben Ali
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened that forced him out?
Guess: protests
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How do the folks residing in that area feel about the leadership?
Guess: Bad
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What caused the protesting to start?
Guess: the president's family and supporters had grown rich while their living conditions stagnated and their voices were stifled
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What other country has been affected by the riots?
Guess: Algeria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What drastic thing have been done in another country recently?
Guess: Self-immolation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was the outcast leader in leadership?
Guess: 23 years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was he ousted?
Guess: Friday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What staple things are being rioted over?

milk, oil and sugar (please take longer)