Here's a short story:

Ralph was an alligator that loved to splash around in the water. Ralph had three brothers, named Henry, Larry, and Thomas. But none of Ralph's three brothers liked to play in the water. They were very mean brothers, but the meanest of them all was Henry. Henry would always chase Ralph around the lake and try to beat him up when he was splashing around. Then on his birthday, Ralph thought of a great idea. His idea was to stop Henry from beating him by using a trick. He would trick Henry into thinking one side of the lake was scary. Ralph dressed up in a spooky costume and waited for Henry to swim over to the side of the lake. Then when Henry came over, Ralph started making spooky sounds and scared Henry back to the other side of the lake. Henry was so scared he never came to the other side of the lake again and Ralph was free to splash around in peace. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was ralph?
Guess: Ralph was an alligator
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many brothers did he have?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were their names?
Guess: Henry, Larry, and Thomas.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they like the water?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who would chase Ralph?
Guess: Henry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: He was the meanest of all?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they all mean?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did Henry do anything about it?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Ralph do?
Guess: Make Henry think one side of the lake was scarey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how?
Guess: put on a spooky costume and wait for Henry to swim over
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and then?
Guess: make spooky noises that scared Henry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did henry do?
Guess: went back to the other side of the lake.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: did he ever come back?

no