Here's a short story:

CHAPTER III. 

ON A LUMBER RAFT. 

"You think you saw Arnold Baxter?" demanded Tom. 

"Yes, I saw Arnold Baxter, just as plain as day." 

"Sam, you must be--" 

"No, I am not dreaming. It was Arnold Baxter, true enough. As soon as he saw I had spotted him he drew out of sight." 

"But we thought he was dead--buried under that landslide out in Colorado." 

"We didn't find his body, and he isn't dead. Why, I would never make a mistake in that rascal's face, never," and Sam shook his head to emphasize his words. 

"Was Dan with him?" 

"I didn't see the son." 

"If it was really Arnold Baxter we ought to let the authorities know at once, so that they can arrest him for getting out of prison on that bogus pardon." 

"Yes, and we ought to let father know, too, for you may be sure Baxter will do all he can to get square with us for keeping the Eclipse mining claim out of his grasp." 

"He can't do anything about that claim now. Our claim is established by law, and he is nothing but an escaped jailbird. But I agree he may give us lots of trouble in other directions. I presume he would like to see us all hung for the way we got ahead of him and his tools." 

"If the steamer wasn't so far off we might hail her," continued Sam, but this was now out of the question. 

Both lads were very much disturbed, and with good reason. Arnold Baxter had been an enemy to Mr. Rover for years, and this meant a good deal when the desperate character of the man was taken into consideration. He was a well-educated fellow, but cruel and unprincipled to the last degree, and one who would hesitate at nothing in order to accomplish his purpose.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Rover's enemy?
Guess: Arnold Baxter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was believed to be dead?
Guess: Arnold Baxter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he die?
Guess: He didn't
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did they believe he died?
Guess: Buried under a landslide
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: In Colorado
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was his child?
Guess: Dan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he seen?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he escape from?
Guess: Prison
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they keep from him?
Guess: The Eclipse mining claim
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who was disturbed?

Both lads.