Here's a short story:

Helsinki is the capital and largest city of Finland. It is in the region of Uusimaa, in southern Finland, on the shore of the Gulf of Finland. Helsinki has a population of , an urban population of , and a metropolitan population of over 1.4 million, making it the most populous municipality and urban area in Finland. Helsinki is some north of Tallinn, Estonia, east of Stockholm, Sweden, and west of Saint Petersburg, Russia. Helsinki has close historical connections with these three cities. 

The Helsinki metropolitan area includes the urban core of Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa, Kauniainen, and surrounding commuter towns. It is the world's northernmost metro area of over one million people, and the city is the northernmost capital of an EU member state. The Helsinki metropolitan area is the third largest metropolitan area in the Nordic countries after Stockholm and Copenhagen, and the City of Helsinki is the third largest after Stockholm and Oslo. Helsinki is Finland's major political, educational, financial, cultural, and research center as well as one of northern Europe's major cities. Approximately 75% of foreign companies that operate in Finland have settled in the Helsinki region. The nearby municipality of Vantaa is the location of Helsinki Airport, with frequent service to various destinations in Europe and Asia. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is the most populous municipality in Finland?
Guess: Helsinki
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many people live there?
Guess: 1.4 million in the metropolitan area
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what percent of the foreign companies that operate in Finland are in Helsinki?
Guess: 75%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what towns are a part of the metropolitan area?
Guess: Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa, Kauniainen, and surrounding commuter towns
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is Helsinki the capital of Finland?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what region is it in?
Guess: Uusimaa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is it near a body of water?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: which one?

Gulf of Finland