Here's a short story:

The National Science Foundation (NSF) is a United States government agency that supports fundamental research and education in all the non-medical fields of science and engineering. Its medical counterpart is the National Institutes of Health. With an annual budget of about US$7.0 billion (fiscal year 2012), the NSF funds approximately 24% of all federally supported basic research conducted by the United States' colleges and universities. In some fields, such as mathematics, computer science, economics, and the social sciences, the NSF is the major source of federal backing. 

The NSF's director and deputy director are appointed by the President of the United States, and confirmed by the United States Senate, whereas the 24 presidentially appointed members of the National Science Board (NSB) do not require Senate confirmation. The director and deputy director are responsible for administration, planning, budgeting and day-to-day operations of the foundation, while the NSB meets six times a year to establish its overall policies. The current NSF director, confirmed in March 2014, is astronomer France A. Córdova, former president of Purdue University. 

The NSF seeks to fulfill its mission chiefly by issuing competitive, limited-term grants in response to specific proposals from the research community. The NSF also makes some contracts. Some proposals are solicited, and some are not; the NSF funds both kinds. The NSF does not operate its own laboratories, unlike other federal research agencies, notable examples being the NASA and the National Institutes of Health (NIH). (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is NSF yearly budget?
Guess: $7.0 billion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does NSF stand for?
Guess: National Science Foundation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how does it fulfill its mission?
Guess: by issuing grants
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: does it run its own labs?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what precent of research do they fund?
Guess: 24%
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is there medical counterpart?
Guess: NIH
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who picks the leaders?
Guess: the President
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the NSB?
Guess: the National Science Board
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how often does the NSB meet to discuss policies?
Guess: 6 times a year
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is the current NSF director?
Guess: France A. Córdova
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: when did he start?

2014