Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XIII 

AN AWKWARD POSITION 

When Captain Nelson and Terence went out, just as the morning was breaking, they found the two troopers waiting in the street. Each held a spare horse; the one was that upon which Terence had ridden from Coimbra, the other was a fine English horse. 

"What horse is this?" Terence asked. 

"It is a present to you from Sir John Cradock," Captain Nelson said. "He told me last night that the troopers had been ordered to ask for it when they took your horse this morning, and that his men were ordered to hand it over to them. He wished me to tell you that he had pleasure in presenting the horse to you as a mark of his great satisfaction at the manner in which you had mastered the military details of Sir John Moore's expedition, and the clearness with which you had explained them." 

"I am indeed greatly obliged to the general; it is most kind of him," Terence said. "Will you please express my thanks to him in a proper way, Captain Nelson." 

They rode to the Treasury, where they found the Portuguese escort, with the mules, waiting them. The officer in charge of the Treasury was already there, and admitted the two officers. 

"I have packed the money in ammunition-boxes," he said. "I received instructions from Mr. Villiers to do so." 

"It is evident that your words had some effect, Mr. O'Connor," Captain Nelson said aside to Terence. "I suppose that when he thought it over he came to the conclusion that, after all, your suggestions, were prudent ones, and that it would add to the chance of the money reaching Romana were he to adopt it."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who held a spare horse?
Guess: two troopers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where were they?
Guess: in the street
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What time was it?
Guess: just as the morning was breaking
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Had Terence ridden one?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from where?
Guess: Coimbra
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who else was with Terence
Guess: Captain Nelson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which horse was the present?
Guess: a fine English horse
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From who?
Guess: Sir John Cradock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to who?
Guess: Terence
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Had the troopers been ordered?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were they ordered to do?

provide the English horse