Here's a short story:

There was once a magical lightning wand that contained special powers. When held by a human, it is believed to have given the human special powers that would allow them to take over the skies and the sea. Because of its dangerous power, a king named Ogthar wanted to hide the wand on a planet where no one could find it. Before Ogthar went out to hide his wand, he had to tie his shoelaces. Instead of tying them with his hands, he waved the wand to make it do it for him. Instead of tying his shoes, the wind and sky blew the shoes right off of Ogthar. Ogthar cried and cried because he no longer had shoes. After 17 days of crying, Ogthar saw that his life was not terrible without shoes, because he still had a magical wand. Ogthar then forgot about his shoes and instead made a magical land called "Wind and Sky Land" for children to gather and play in the fun wind and seas. Ogthar forgot about his shoes after a couple of years and even went on to go to school and get smarter. Ogthar is now a fireman and is glad that he never hid the wand. He now can never die and whenever he thinks of his shoes, he says to himself "Stop it!" (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did the wand have?
Guess: special powers.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what could it do?
Guess: allow them to take over the skies and the sea.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who wanted to hide the wand
Guess: Ogthar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: Because of its dangerous power
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he tie his laces by hand?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he able to tie them?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he happy
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long did he cry?
Guess: 17 days
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what area did he make?
Guess: "Wind and Sky Land"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why
Guess: for children to gather and play in the fun wind and seas.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what is he now?

fireman