Here's a short story:

Spectre (2015) is the twenty-fourth James Bond film produced by Eon Productions. It features Daniel Craig in his fourth performance as James Bond, and Christoph Waltz as Ernst Stavro Blofeld, with the film marking the character's re-introduction into the series. It was directed by Sam Mendes as his second James Bond film following Skyfall, and was written by John Logan, Neal Purvis, Robert Wade and Jez Butterworth. It is distributed by Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer and Columbia Pictures. With a budget around $245 million, it is the most expensive Bond film and one of the most expensive films ever made. 

The story sees Bond pitted against the global criminal organisation Spectre, marking the group's first appearance in an Eon Productions film since 1971's Diamonds Are Forever,[N 2] and tying Craig's series of films together with an overarching storyline. Several recurring James Bond characters, including M, Q and Eve Moneypenny return, with the new additions of Léa Seydoux as Dr. Madeleine Swann, Dave Bautista as Mr. Hinx, Andrew Scott as Max Denbigh and Monica Bellucci as Lucia Sciarra. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was James Bond produced by?
Guess: Eon Productions
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the budget for this movie?
Guess: $245 million
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it one of the most affordable films ever made?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What film was made in 1971?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Bond is putted against what organization in the movie?
Guess: the global criminal organisation Spectre
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who wrote Skyfall?

John Logan, Neal Purvis, Robert Wade and Jez Butterworth