Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Argentina's star-studded team went top of South America's 2014 World Cup qualifying group as Lionel Messi inspired a 4-0 thrashing of Ecuador on Saturday. 

With his top Europe-based players to call on, coach Alejandro Sabella saw his side effectively end the match with three goals after only half an hour. 

Sergio Aguero, top scorer for English champions Manchester City last season, broke the deadlock in the 20th minute as he celebrated his 24th birthday in style. 

Strike partner Gonzalo Higuain, who helped Real Madrid to the Spanish title, doubled the lead nine minutes later. 

Barcelona's three-time world player of the year Messi made it 3-0 two minutes later to continue his unbelievable scoring form, having netted 73 times for the Spanish club in the recently-completed 2011-12 campaign. 

Real Madrid winger Angel Di Maria wrapped up the scoring with 15 minutes to play as Argentina moved up to 10 points from five games, just ahead of Chile. 

Messi was key to the victory, which came ahead of next Saturday's friendly against Brazil in the United States. The 2014 hosts lost 2-0 to Mexico in a friendly in Texas on Sunday. 

He combined with Di Maria to set up Aguero's opener and then linking with Higuain for his own goal before also setting up the final effort. 

Chile moved onto nine points from five matches with a 2-0 win over bottom team Bolivia, who had Luis Gutierrez sent off in the second half. 

Midfielder Charles Aranguiz scored against the run of play just before halftime in La Paz, then Gutierrez saw red for a foul on Barcelona's Alexis Sanchez before Juventus midfielder Arturo Vidal wrapped it up with seven minutes to play.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Manchester City's top scorer?
Guess: Sergio Aguero
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How far into the game did he score?
Guess: 20th minute
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was notable about that particular day?
Guess: it was his birthday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was he?
Guess: 24
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who doubled the score?
Guess: Gonzalo Higuain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long after Aguero's goal did he make his?
Guess: nine minutes later
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: On what day did the game take place?
Guess: Saturday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the coach?
Guess: Alejandro Sabella
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who scored after Aguero and Higuain?
Guess: Messi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much later?
Guess: two minutes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the score then?

3-0