Here's a short story:

Cologne is the largest city in the German federal State of North Rhine-Westphalia and the fourth-largest city in Germany (after Berlin, Hamburg, and Munich). It is located within the Rhine-Ruhr metropolitan region, one of the major European metropolitan areas, and with more than ten million inhabitants, the largest in Germany. Cologne is about 45 km southwest of North Rhine-Westphalia's capital of Dusseldorf and 25 km northwest of Bonn. 

Cologne is located on both sides of the Rhine, near Germany's borders with Belgium and the Netherlands. The city's famous Cologne Cathedral ("Kölner Dom") is the seat of the Catholic Archbishop of Cologne. The University of Cologne ("Universität zu Köln") is one of Europe's oldest and largest universities. 

Cologne was founded and established in Ubii territory in the 1st century AD as the Roman "Colonia Claudia Ara Agrippinensium", from which it gets its name. "Cologne", the French version of the city's name, has become standard in English as well. The city functioned as the capital of the Roman province of "Germania Inferior" and as the headquarters of the Roman military in the region until occupied by the Franks in 462. During the Middle Ages it flourished on one of the most important major trade routes between east and west in Europe. Cologne was one of the leading members of the Hanseatic League and one of the largest cities north of the Alps in medieval and Renaissance times. Prior to World War II the city had undergone several occupations by the French and also by the British (1918–1926). Cologne was one of the most heavily bombed cities in Germany during World War II, with the Royal Air Force (RAF) dropping of bombs on the city. The bombing reduced the population by 95%, mainly due to evacuation, and destroyed almost the entire city. With the intention of restoring as many historic buildings as possible, the successful postwar rebuilding has resulted in a very mixed and unique cityscape. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What does RAF stand for?
Guess: Royal Air Force
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In WW II, what was one of the most heavily bombed places in Germany?
Guess: Cologne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which region is it located in?
Guess: North Rhine-Westphalia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people does it have?
Guess: more than ten million
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it founded?
Guess: in the 1st century AD
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In which territory?
Guess: Ubii
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the Roman name for it?
Guess: Colonia Claudia Ara Agrippinensium
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the French name for it?
Guess: Cologne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What province was it the capital of?
Guess: Germania Inferior
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And who was headquartered there?
Guess: the Roman military
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened in 462?
Guess: it was occupied by the Franks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the fourth-largest city in Germany?
Guess: Cologne
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What river is it located on both sides of?
Guess: the Rhine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does it have that's the seat of the Catholic Archbishop of Cologne?
Guess: the Cologne Cathedral
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the University of Cologne built recently?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the German name for The University of Cologne?
Guess: Universität zu Köln
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Cologne one of the leading members of?
Guess: the Hanseatic League
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Before World War II, who was it occupied by?

the French