Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- David Cameron must have whiplash. Practically overnight this week, the British prime minister went from being one of the leading voices demanding that Syria's President Bashar al-Assad be punished for using chemical weapons, to a humbled, chastened politician with his hands tied. 

British lawmakers voted Thursday night against even the possibility of using force against Syria, forcing Cameron to concede bluntly, "We will not be taking part in military action." 

What do Syria's neighbors think? 

The vote was close -- seven MPs out of the 557 who voted could have changed the result -- and the outcome was a shock. Prime ministers aren't supposed to lose votes on the use of military force. British media said it hadn't happened in hundreds of years. 

But although the result was stunning in one sense, in another it wasn't surprising. 

Over more than seven hours of debate on Syria loomed one chilling specter: Iraq. 

Bergen: Syria is a problem from hell for the U.S. 

Britain feels badly burned by the way Tony Blair led the country into war there a decade ago, and Cameron was fighting a defensive battle against the memory of Blair from the moment he kicked off debate in the House of Commons: "I'm deeply mindful of the lessons of previous conflicts, in particular the deep concerns of the country of what went wrong in Iraq. We're not invading a country; we're not searching for chemical weapons." 

It's an argument he needed to make. 

Why Russia, China, and Iran are standing by Syria  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who must have whiplash?
Guess: David Cameron
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is he
Guess: British prime minister
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are his hands tied?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he demanding Bashar al-Assad be punished
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is that
Guess: British prime minister
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who voted against the use of force
Guess: British lawmakers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When?

Thursday night