Here's a short story:

Charleston is the oldest and second-largest city in the U.S. state of South Carolina, the county seat of Charleston County, and the principal city in the Charleston–North Charleston–Summerville Metropolitan Statistical Area. The city lies just south of the geographical midpoint of South Carolina's coastline and is located on Charleston Harbor, an inlet of the Atlantic Ocean formed by the confluence of the Ashley and Cooper Rivers, or, as is locally expressed, "where the Cooper and Ashley Rivers come together to form the Atlantic Ocean." 

Founded in 1670 as Charles Town in honor of King Charles II of England, Charleston adopted its present name in 1783. It moved to its present location on Oyster Point in 1680 from a location on the west bank of the Ashley River known as Albemarle Point. By 1690, Charles Town was the fifth-largest city in North America, and it remained among the 10 largest cities in the United States through the 1840 census. With a 2010 census population of 120,083 (and a 2014 estimate of 130,113), current trends put Charleston as the fastest-growing municipality in South Carolina. The population of the Charleston metropolitan area, comprising Berkeley, Charleston, and Dorchester Counties, was counted by the 2014 estimate at 727,689 – the third-largest in the state – and the 78th-largest metropolitan statistical area in the United States. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What year was Charleston founded?
Guess: 1670
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: After whom?
Guess: King Charles II
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of what country?
Guess: England
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it the oldest city in a particular state?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: South Carolina
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of what county is it the seat?
Guess: Charleston
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what year did the city take on its current moniker?
Guess: 1783
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it originally known as?
Guess: Charles Town
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what year did it move to Oyster Point?
Guess: 1680
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From where?
Guess: Albemarle Point
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is that location associated with a river?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which one?
Guess: Ashley River
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And on what bank of it?
Guess: the West
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which harbor is Charleston on?
Guess: Charleston Harbor
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And that's associated with what ocean?
Guess: Atlantic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What two rivers are associated with the harbor?
Guess: Ashley and Cooper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the population of the city as of 2010?
Guess: 120,083
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the 2014 population count?
Guess: 130,113
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What counties make up the great metro area of the city?
Guess: Berkeley, Charleston, and Dorchester
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was the population of this metro area in 2014?

727,689