Here's a short story:

The Los Angeles Times is a daily newspaper which has been published in Los Angeles, California, since 1881. 

The "Times" was first published on December 4, 1881, as the "Los Angeles Daily Times" under the direction of Nathan Cole Jr. and Thomas Gardiner. It was first printed at the Mirror printing plant, owned by Jesse Yarnell and T.J. Caystile. Unable to pay the printing bill, Cole and Gardiner turned the paper over to the Mirror Company. In the meantime, S. J. Mathes had joined the firm, and it was at his insistence that the "Times" continued publication. In July 1882, Harrison Gray Otis moved from Santa Barbara to become the paper's editor. Otis made the "Times" a financial success. 

Historian Kevin Starr wrote that Otis was a businessman "capable of manipulating the entire apparatus of politics and public opinion for his own enrichment". Otis's editorial policy was based on civic boosterism, extolling the virtues of Los Angeles and promoting its growth. Toward those ends, the paper supported efforts to expand the city's water supply by acquiring the rights to the water supply of the distant Owens Valley. The efforts of the "Times" to fight local unions led to the October 1, 1910 bombing of its headquarters, killing twenty-one people. Two union leaders, James and Joseph McNamara, were charged. The American Federation of Labor hired noted trial attorney Clarence Darrow to represent the brothers, who eventually pleaded guilty. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What printing plant first printed the "Los Angeles Daily Times"?
Guess: the Mirror
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year was if first printed?
Guess: 1881
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What city was it printed in?
Guess: Los Angeles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What state was it printed in?
Guess: California
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it have financial troubles in the beginning?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were two people involved in it during the very beginning?
Guess: Nathan Cole Jr. and Thomas Gardiner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were two people who owned the Mirror?
Guess: Jesse Yarnell and T.J. Caystile
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What role did Harrison Gray Otis take on at the paper?

editor