Here's a short story:

Information technology (IT) is the application of computers to store, study, retrieve, transmit, and manipulate data, or information, often in the context of a business or other enterprise. IT is considered a subset of information and communications technology (ICT). In 2012, Zuppo proposed an ICT hierarchy where each hierarchy level "contain[s] some degree of commonality in that they are related to technologies that facilitate the transfer of information and various types of electronically mediated communications." 

The term is commonly used as a synonym for computers and computer networks, but it also encompasses other information distribution technologies such as television and telephones. Several industries are associated with information technology, including computer hardware, software, electronics, semiconductors, internet, telecom equipment, and e-commerce. Humans have been storing, retrieving, manipulating, and communicating information since the Sumerians in Mesopotamia developed writing in about 3000 BC, but the term "information technology" in its modern sense first appeared in a 1958 article published in the "Harvard Business Review"; authors Harold J. Leavitt and Thomas L. Whisler commented that "the new technology does not yet have a single established name. We shall call it information technology (IT)." Their definition consists of three categories: techniques for processing, the application of statistical and mathematical methods to decision-making, and the simulation of higher-order thinking through computer programs. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What does IT stand for?
Guess: nformation technology
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it a subset of?
Guess: ICT
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What company had a new hierarchy idea?
Guess: Zuppo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What year?
Guess: 2012
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did this involve info transfer?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the title of this hierarchy?
Guess: ICT
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the term information technology first show up?
Guess: 1958
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it appear?
Guess: in an article?
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what publication?
Guess: Harvard Business Review
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it have more than one author?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was one?
Guess: Harold J. Leavitt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was the other?
Guess: Thomas L. Whisler
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did IT had and establish name at the time?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many categories was their definition have?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was one?
Guess: techniques for processing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did one involve math?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Which one was that?

the application of statistical and mathematical methods to decision-making