Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IX 

THE FOOTBALL MEETING 

In a few days Dave felt as much at home as ever. Nearly all of his old friends had returned to Oak Hall, and dormitories Nos. 11 and 12 were filled with as bright a crowd of lads as could well be found anywhere. In the number were Gus Plum and Chip Macklin, but the former was no longer the bully as of old, and the latter had lost his toadying manner, and was quite manly, and the other students treated them as if all had always been the best of friends. 

It did Dave's heart good to see the change in Plum, and he was likewise pleased over the different way in which Macklin acted. 

"I never thought it was in Gus and Chip," he said, privately, to Roger. "It shows what a fellow can do if he sets his mind to it." 

"It's to your credit as much as to their own," declared the senator's son. "I don't believe Gus would have reformed if you hadn't braced him up." 

"I wish I could reform Nat Poole." 

"You'll never do it, Dave--but you may scare him into behaving himself." 

"Have you met Guy Frapley, Roger--I mean to talk to?" 

"Yes, in the gym., where Phil and I were practicing with the Indian clubs." 

"What do you think of him?" 

"I think he is fairly aching to become the leader of the school. He was leader at Laverport, and it breaks his heart to play second fiddle to anybody here. He and Nat are as thick as two peas. They tell me he is a great football player, so I suppose he will try to run the eleven--if the fellows will let him."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was one person who returned to Oak Hall?
Guess: Gus Plum
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Name another?
Guess: Chip Macklin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of manner did Chip Macklin used to have?
Guess: toadying manner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there a change in Gus Plum also?
Guess: no longer the bully as of old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which dormitories are mentioned in the story?
Guess: Nos. 11 and 12
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Dave pleased?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did he speak to about Gus and Chip?
Guess: Roger
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What position did Roger's father have?

senator