Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Rory McIlroy says he is desperate to get back on track in Abu Dhabi after a disappointing first round of the new season. 

Fresh from signing his new bumper multi-year deal with Nike, McIlroy struggled to adapt to his new clubs and hit two double bogeys on his way to a three-over-par 75. 

Playing alongside stablemate Tiger Woods, who finished level for the day, McIlroy failed to impress on his return to the course where he came second behind Robert Rock last year. 

Nike unveils Rory McIlroy: Tiger's heir apparent 

But the World No.1 says he will improve when he steps out for his second round Friday. 

"Yeah, a bit of rust for sure," he told reporters, after being asked why he started so poorly. 

"Not playing any competitive golf for eight weeks. I guess when you're going out with new stuff, you're always going to be a little bit anxious about hitting it close like you've done on the range and today that wasn't quite the case. Hopefully I can do that tomorrow. 

"I was really happy with the way the ball is in the wind. I was really happy with the irons and the wedge play. 

"I wasn't very comfortable off the tee, but just because I didn't feel like I was swinging it that well." 

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McIlroy's European Ryder Cup teammate Justin Rose leads the way on five-under-par alongside Irish Open champion Jamie Donaldson. 

Rose shot a bogey-free round of 67 but is expecting both Woods and McIlroy to threaten as the competition progresses.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where Roy intend to go?
Guess: Abu Dhabi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: to get back on track
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where else he played?
Guess: Ryder Cup
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was it?
Guess: Europe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was in his team?
Guess: Justin Rose
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his score?
Guess: five-under-pa
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who else was with him with that?
Guess: Jamie Donaldson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is he from?
Guess: Ireland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Rory have any deal with any company?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: With whom?
Guess: Nike,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's the duration of the deal?
Guess: multi-year
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is his stablemate?
Guess: Tiger Woods
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he do?
Guess: finished level
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Rory do?
Guess: came second
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Behind whom?
Guess: Robert Rock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When  Rory expects to improve?
Guess: Friday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was his excuse?

not playing for eight weeks