Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXXVIII 

From town to town, travelling for the most part on the platform of an engine, Maraton sped on his splendid mission. It was Ernshaw himself who drove, with the help of an assistant, but as they passed from place to place the veto was lifted. The men in some districts were a little querulous, but at Maraton's coming they were subdued. It was peace, a peace how splendid they were soon to know. By mid-day, trains laden with coal were rushing to several of the Channel ports. Maraton found his task with the miners more difficult, and yet in a way his triumph here was still more complete. He travelled down the backbone of England, preaching peace where war had reigned, promising great things in the name of the new Government. Although he had been absent barely forty-eight hours, it was a new London into which he travelled on his return. The streets were crowded once more with taxicabs, the evening papers were being sold, the shops were all open, the policemen were once more in the streets. Selingman, who had scarcely once left Maraton's side, gazed about him with wonder. 

"It is a miracle, this," he declared. "There is no aftermath." 

"The people are waiting," Maraton said. "We have given them serious pledges. Their day is to come." 

"You believe that Foley will keep his word?" Selingman asked. 

"I know that he will," Maraton replied. "As soon as the Bills are drafted, he will go to the country. It will be a new Party--the National Party. Stay and see it, Selingman--a new era in the politics of the world, a very wonderful era. The country is going to be governed for the people that are worth while."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who drove?
Guess: Ernshaw.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did the men feel about the mans coming?
Guess: Subdued.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Ernshaw driving?
Guess: A train.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were the trains filled with?
Guess: Coal.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where were they headed?
Guess: London.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were the streets like?
Guess: Crowded.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: with what?
Guess: Taxicabs.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are the morning papers being sold?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who believes that Foley will keep his word?
Guess: Maraton.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he sure he will?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does he believe he will go?
Guess: To the country.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did Marton preach?
Guess: Peace.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Where war had reigned.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he promise anything?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what?

Great things.