Here's a short story:

Baden-Württemberg is a state in Germany located in the southwest, east of the Upper Rhine. It is Germany’s third largest state in terms of size and population, with an area of and 10.8 million inhabitants. The state capital and largest city is Stuttgart. 

The sobriquet "Ländle" ("small land" or "dear land" in the local dialect) is sometimes used as a synonym for Baden-Württemberg. 

Baden-Württemberg is formed from the historical territories of Baden, Prussian Hohenzollern, and Württemberg, parts of Swabia. 

In 100 AD, the Roman Empire invaded and occupied Württemberg, constructing a limes (fortified boundary zone) along its northern borders. Over the course of the third century AD, the Alemanni forced the Romans to retreat beyond the Rhine and Danube rivers. In 496 AD the Alemanni themselves succumbed to a Frankish invasion led by Clovis I. 

The Holy Roman Empire was later established. The majority of people in this region continued to be Roman Catholics, even after the Protestant Reformation influenced populations in northern Germany. In the late 19th and early 20th century, numerous people emigrated from here to the United States for economic opportunity. 

After World War II, Allied forces established three federal states in the territory of modern-day Baden-Württemberg: Württemberg-Hohenzollern, Baden, and Württemberg-Baden. Baden and Württemberg-Baden were occupied by France and the United States, respectively. In 1949, each state became a founding member of the Federal Republic of Germany, with Article 118 of the German constitution providing an accession procedure. On 16 December 1951, Württemberg-Baden, Württemberg-Hohenzollern and Baden voted in favor of a joint merger via referendum. Baden-Württemberg officially became a state in Germany on 25 April 1952. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who first invaded Württemberg?
Guess: the Roman Empire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: in 100 AD
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did they later retreat?
Guess: beyond the Rhine and Danube rivers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who pushed them back?
Guess: the Alemann
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did this occur?
Guess: over the course of the third century AD
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the Alemanni lose control?
Guess: in 496 AD
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To whose invasion?
Guess: the Franks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the state capital of Germany?
Guess: Stuttgart
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it also the largest city?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does Baden-Württemberg rank in terms of size?
Guess: It is Germany’s third largest state.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many territories is it formed from?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Approximately how many people live there?
Guess: 10.8 million
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What religion are most of them?
Guess: Catholic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did a number of people emigrate to from this area?
Guess: Württemberg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What were they in search of?

economic opportunity