Here's a short story:

East Germany, officially the German Democratic Republic (GDR; , DDR), was a socialist state in Central Europe, during the Cold War period. From 1949 to 1990, it administered the region of Germany that was occupied by Soviet forces at the end of World War II—the Soviet Occupation Zone of the Potsdam Agreement, bounded on the east by the Oder–Neisse line. The Soviet zone surrounded West Berlin, but did not include it; as a result, West Berlin remained outside the jurisdiction of the GDR. The German Democratic Republic was established in the Soviet Zone, while the Federal Republic was established in the three western zones. East Germany, which lies culturally in Central Germany, was a satellite state of the Soviet Union. Soviet occupation authorities began transferring administrative responsibility to German communist leaders in 1948, and the GDR began to function as a state on 7 October 1949. Soviet forces, however, remained in the country throughout the Cold War. Until 1989, the GDR was governed by the Socialist Unity Party (SED), though other parties nominally participated in its alliance organisation, the National Front of Democratic Germany. The SED made the teaching of Marxism-Leninism and the Russian language compulsory in schools. 

The economy was centrally planned, and increasingly state-owned. Prices of basic goods and services were set by central government planners, rather than rising and falling through supply and demand. Although the GDR had to pay substantial war reparations to the USSR, it became the most successful economy in the Eastern Bloc. Nonetheless it did not match the economic growth of West Germany. Emigration to the West was a significant problem - as many of the emigrants were well-educated young people, it further weakened the state economically. The government fortified its western borders and, in 1961, built the Berlin Wall. Many people attempting to flee were killed by border guards or booby traps, such as landmines. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What's the official name of East Germany?
Guess: German Democratic Republic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is its German acronym?
Guess: DDR
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of government did it have?
Guess: socialist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which region of Europe is it in?
Guess: central
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did it exist?
Guess: 1949 to 1990
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who occupied its land before that?
Guess: Soviet forces
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: At the end of which conflict?
Guess: World War II
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was West Berlin part of the country?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did other parts of Germany become?
Guess: the Federal Republic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many other zones were there?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who controlled East Germany?
Guess: Soviet Union.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the Russian army stationed there?
Guess: Soviet forces, however, remained in the country throughout the Cold War
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For how long?
Guess: throughout the Cold War
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was built in 1961?
Guess: the Berlin Wall
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who built it?
Guess: The East German government
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What problems did the state have?
Guess: emigration
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where?

to the West