Here's a short story:

Lebanon, officially known as the Lebanese Republic, is a sovereign state in Western Asia. It is bordered by Syria to the north and east and Israel to the south, while Cyprus is west across the Mediterranean Sea. Lebanon's location at the crossroads of the Mediterranean Basin and the Arabian hinterland facilitated its rich history and shaped a cultural identity of religious and ethnic diversity. At just 10,452 km (4,036 sq. mi.), it is the smallest recognized country on the entire mainland Asian continent. 

The earliest evidence of civilization in Lebanon dates back more than seven thousand years, predating recorded history. Lebanon was the home of the Canaanites/Phoenicians and their kingdoms, a maritime culture that flourished for over a thousand years (c. 1550–539 BC). In 64 BC, the region came under the rule of the Roman Empire, and eventually became one of the Empire's leading centers of Christianity. In the Mount Lebanon range a monastic tradition known as the Maronite Church was established. As the Arab Muslims conquered the region, the Maronites held onto their religion and identity. However, a new religious group, the Druze, established themselves in Mount Lebanon as well, generating a religious divide that has lasted for centuries. During the Crusades, the Maronites re-established contact with the Roman Catholic Church and asserted their communion with Rome. The ties they established with the Latins have influenced the region into the modern era. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: About how long ago was the first civilization in Lebanon?
Guess: seven thousand years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was this before recorded history?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a land based culture?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who lived there?
Guess: the Canaanites/Phoenicians
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were they there a long time?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Approximately how long?
Guess: over a thousand years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who took over after that?
Guess: the Roman Empire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it a Jewish state then?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What tradition was established there?
Guess: a monastic tradition
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it called?
Guess: the Maronite Church
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was this in the mountains?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Were the Maronites forced to change their beliefs when the Muslims came in?

no