Here's a short story:

(CNN)For a group of radical anti-Western militants, ISIS is pretty good at luring Westerners to its ranks. 

The latest is an American teen from suburban Chicago who was allegedly on his way to join ISIS. Mohammed Hamzah Khan was stopped just before he was supposed to board a plane to Turkey, authorities said. 

But he's far from alone. 

Last month, U.S. authorities detailed their case against a New York food store owner accused of funding ISIS and plotting to gun down American troops who had served in Iraq. 

And a French man told his mother that he and his half-brother were going on vacation -- only to tell her later that they were fighting in Syria. 

"Some of the foreign fighters may not return as terrorists to their respective countries, but all of them will have been exposed to an environment of sustained radicalization and violence with unknowable but worrying consequences," Richard Barrett of The Soufan Group wrote in a report called "Foreign fighters in Syria" this summer. 

So what is it about ISIS and its uncanny ability to recruit Westerners? Here are five methods the group employs: 

It preys on a recruit's sense of identity 

The recruits are often young -- sometimes disillusioned teenagers trying to find purpose and make their mark. 

For many, it boils down to a lack of a sense of identity or belonging, Barrett said. 

"The general picture provided by foreign fighters of their lives in Syria suggests camaraderie, good morale and purposeful activity, all mixed in with a sense of understated heroism, designed to attract their friends as well as to boost their own self-esteem," he wrote.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where was Mohammed Hamzah Khan going?
Guess: Turkey
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was he going to travel
Guess: by plane
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he planning to do?
Guess: join ISIS
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he a youngster?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From where?
Guess: Chicago
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he live in the inner city?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which part then?
Guess: the suburbs
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many ways are known for ISIS to gather recruits?
Guess: five
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do they go after older people
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What group do they try to get?
Guess: disillusioned teenagers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they counting on them lacking?
Guess: a sense of identity or belonging
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What group of people is ISIS against?

Westerners