Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXV 

DOMINGO APPEARS 

The carriers had stopped in a deserted village one morning after a long and arduous march from the mission station, when Ormsgill, lying in the hot white sand, looked quietly at Nares, who sat with his back against one of the empty huts. 

"If I knew what the dusky image was thinking I should feel considerably more at ease," he said. "Still, I don't, and there's very little use in guessing. After all, we are a long way from grasping the negro's point of view on most subjects yet. They very seldom look at things as we do." 

Nares nodded. "Anyway, I almost fancy we could consider what he has told us as correct," he said. "It's something to go upon." 

The man he referred to squatted close by them, naked to the waist, though a few yards of cotton cloth hung from his hips. An old Snider rifle lay at his side, and he was big and muscular with a heavy, expressionless face. As Ormsgill had suggested, it certainly afforded very little indication of what he was thinking, and left it a question whether he was capable of intelligent thought at all. They had come upon him in the deserted village on the edge of a great swamp an hour earlier, and he had skillfully evaded their questions as to what he was doing there. 

It was an oppressively hot morning, and a heavy, dingy sky hung over the vast morass which they could see through the openings between the scattered huts. It stretched back bare and level, a vast desolation, towards the interior, with a little thin haze floating over it in silvery belts here and there, and streaking the forest that crept up to its edge. The carriers lay half-asleep in the warm sand, blotches of white and blue and ebony, and the man with the rifle appeared vacantly unconcerned. Time is of no value to the negro, and one could have fancied that he was prepared to wait there all day for the white men's next question.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What kind of firearm did the man have?
Guess: An old Snider rifle.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the man wearing a shirt?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True or False: The man with the rifle was smiling.
Guess: False.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How is his face described?
Guess: Heavy and expressionless.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What color is the sand?
Guess: White
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True or False: The man with the rifle seemed worried abut something.
Guess: False.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he seem impatient?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who are the two named characters?
Guess: Carriers.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the name of the first mentioned?
Guess: Ormsgill.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the second?
Guess: Nares.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the title of this chapter?
Guess: "DOMINGO APPEARS"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the deserted settlement near?
Guess: A swamp.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of housing is there?
Guess: Huts.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does the narrator say is worthless to the "negro?"
Guess: Time.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How long had it been since the carriers had found the rifleman?

An hour.