Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XIX 

A letter, edged with black, announced the day of my master's return. Isabella was dead; and he wrote to bid me get mourning for his daughter, and arrange a room, and other accommodations, for his youthful nephew. Catherine ran wild with joy at the idea of welcoming her father back; and indulged most sanguine anticipations of the innumerable excellencies of her 'real' cousin. The evening of their expected arrival came. Since early morning she had been busy ordering her own small affairs; and now attired in her new black frock--poor thing! her aunt's death impressed her with no definite sorrow--she obliged me, by constant worrying, to walk with her down through the grounds to meet them. 

'Linton is just six months younger than I am,' she chattered, as we strolled leisurely over the swells and hollows of mossy turf, under shadow of the trees. 'How delightful it will be to have him for a playfellow! Aunt Isabella sent papa a beautiful lock of his hair; it was lighter than mine--more flaxen, and quite as fine. I have it carefully preserved in a little glass box; and I've often thought what a pleasure it would be to see its owner. Oh! I am happy--and papa, dear, dear papa! Come, Ellen, let us run! come, run.' 

She ran, and returned and ran again, many times before my sober footsteps reached the gate, and then she seated herself on the grassy bank beside the path, and tried to wait patiently; but that was impossible: she couldn't be still a minute.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who had died?
Guess: Isabella
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the servant need to get?
Guess: To get mourning
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For whom?
Guess: His daughter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else did he need to get ready?
Guess: Arrange a room
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For whom?
Guess: For the master's nephew
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was the news of the tragedy delivered?
Guess: By letter
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How was it decorated?
Guess: Edged with black
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Whose home-coming did it announce?
Guess: The master's
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was excited about the home-coming?
Guess: Catherine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she wearing the night of the return?
Guess: A black frock
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was she very sad?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she go to greet them alone?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was she talking about?
Guess: Linton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he older than her, or younger?
Guess: Younger
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: By how much?

Six months