Here's a short story:

Tripoli, Libya (CNN) -- Two of Moammar Gadhafi's sons, who had been reported captured over the weekend, were free early Tuesday as forces loyal to the embattled Libyan leader battled rebels trying to consolidate their hold on Tripoli. 

Saif al-Islam Gadhafi showed up at the Rixos Hotel, one of the remaining strongholds of pro-Gadhafi forces, in a convoy of armored Land Cruisers. In a brief interview with CNN's Matthew Chance, he said his father and several of his sisters were safe in Tripoli, and that loyal troops had "broken the back" of the rebels who moved into the capital over the weekend. 

Saif al-Islam Gadhafi, who is wanted on war crimes charges by the International Criminal Court in The Hague, had been reported captured on Sunday along with two of his brothers. Another of those siblings, Mohammed Gadhafi, was reported to have escaped Monday, according to the Libyan ambassador to the United States. 

There was no immediate explanation from the National Transitional Council, the rebel leadership that had announced their capture Sunday. 

The younger Gadhafi said news of his arrest had been a trick by the rebels, and that he had been traveling around Tripoli in his armored convoy the entire time. He said that government forces had lured the rebels into a trap in the capital, and that Gadhafi loyalists "have broken the spines of those rats and those gangsters." 

Luis Moreno-Ocampo, the ICC's chief prosecutor, had said Sunday that he would seek Saif al-Islam Gadhafi's extradition following his capture. Asked about the warrant for his arrest, Saif al-Islam Gadhafi told reporters, "To hell with the ICC."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what is Saif al-Islam wanted for?
Guess: war crimes charges
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who brought the charges?
Guess: International Criminal Court
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: in The Hague
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were Gadhafi's sons free?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: True of False: the younger Gadhafi said his arrest had been a trick by rebels
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where were the rebels battling Moammar?
Guess: Tripoli
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what country is that in?
Guess: Libya
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the National Transitional Council have an explanation?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many of Moammar's sons were mentioned in the article?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what are there names?
Guess: Saif al-Islam and Mohammed Gadhafi
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did Mohammed escape?
Guess: Monday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: according to who?

Libyan ambassador to the United States