Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Armed renegade soldiers walked through Mali's damaged presidential palace on Thursday, hours after the troops' leaders claimed to have ousted the West African nation's democratically elected leader. 

Shell casings, bullet-ridden cars and shattered windows were evident in video from outside the palace, as well as at least one burned-out room inside. 

And there was no sign of or indication of what happened to President Amadou Toumani Toure, with the military group's apparent leader Capt. Amadou Sanogo saying little about him beyond that he was "safe." 

Still, within much of Mali on Thursday night, the situation appeared to be relatively calm as most people appeared to have abided by coup leaders' call for a nighttime curfew. 

Amadou Konare, a spokesman for the troops behind the apparent coup, asked citizens to return to their jobs Friday, though he gave no timetable as to when Mali's borders would reopen. 

Earlier Thursday, Konare was among a group of soldiers wearing fatigues who said on television that they had suspended the constitution and dissolved public institutions because of the government's handling of an insurgency. 

"Considering the incapacity of the regime in effectively fighting against terrorism and restoring dignity to the Malian people, using its constitutional rights, the armed forces of Mali, along with other security forces, have decided to take on their responsibilities to put an end to this incompetent regime of President Amadou Toumani Toure," said Konare. 

Surgeons told an aid worker -- who asked to remain anonymous -- that 29 people who had been injured as a result of the recent unrest were in Bamako's main hospital, while another nine were in a medical facility in Kati, about 18 kilometers (11 miles) to the northwest.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What were some things to be seen not in the palace?
Guess: the former President
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his name?
Guess: Amadou Toumani Toure
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was walking in the palace?
Guess: soldiers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind?
Guess: renegade
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had they gotten rid of?
Guess: Toure
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What kind of leader was he?

democratically elected