Here's a short story:

CHAPTER X. 

MR. HART AND CAPTAIN STUBBER. 

When George Hotspur left Humblethwaite, turned out of the house by the angry Baronet early in the morning,--as the reader will remember,--he was at his own desire driven to Penrith, choosing to go south rather than north. He had doubted for a while as to his immediate destination. The Altringhams were still at Castle Corry, and he might have received great comfort from her ladyship's advice and encouragement. But, intimate as he was with the Altringhams, he did not dare to take a liberty with the Earl. A certain allowance of splendid hospitality at Castle Corry was at his disposal every year, and Lord Altringham always welcomed him with thorough kindness. But George Hotspur had in some fashion been made to understand that he was not to overstay his time; and he was quite aware that the Earl could be very disagreeable upon occasions. There was a something in the Earl of which George was afraid; and, to tell the truth, he did not dare to go back to Castle Corry. And then, might it not be well for him to make immediate preparation in London for those inquiries respecting his debts and his character which Sir Harry had decided to make? It would be very difficult for him to make any preparation that could lead to a good result; but if no preparation were made, the result would be very bad indeed. It might perhaps be possible to do something with Mr. Hart and Captain Stubber. He had no other immediate engagements. In October he was due to shoot pheasants with a distinguished party in Norfolk, but this business which he had now in hand was of so much importance that even the pheasant-shooting and the distinguished party were not of much moment to him.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who left Humblethwaite?
Guess: George Hotspur
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who threw him out?
Guess: the angry Baronet
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did he decited to go?
Guess: to Penrith, choosing to go south
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there something about the Earl at Castke corry he was afraid of?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Would he have been welcomed to the castle?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who might it be possible to do something with?
Guess: Mr. Hart and Captain Stubber.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he have planned to do in October?
Guess: to shoot pheasants
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where at?
Guess: in Norfolk
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How could the earl be at times?

very disagreeable