Here's a short story:

Andrew Carneigie, known as the King of Steel, built the steel industry in the United States, and, in the process, became one of the wealthiest men in America. His success resulted partly from his ability to sell the product and partly from his policy of expanding during periods of economic decline, when most of his competitors were reducing their investments. Carnegie believed that individuals should progress through hard work, but he also felt strongly that the wealthy should use their fortunes for the benefit of society. He opposed charity, preferring instead to provide educational opportunities that would allow others to help themselves. "He who dies rich, dies disgraced", he often said. Among his more noteworthy contributions to society are those that bear his name, including the Carnegie Institute of Pittsburgh, which has a library, a museum of fine arts, and a museum of national history. He also founded a school of technology that is now part of Carnegie-Mellon University. Other philanthropic gifts are the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace to promote understanding between nations, the Carnegie Institute of Washington to fund scientific research, and Carnegie Hall to provide a center for the arts. _ . His contributions of more than five million dollars established 2,500 libraries in small communities throughout the country and formed the nucleus of the public library system that we all enjoy today. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was given a royal nickname?
Guess: Andrew Carneigie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was it?
Guess: King of Steel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a poor man?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much money did he have?
Guess: One of the wealthiest men in America
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he make his money?
Guess: The steel industry
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In which country?
Guess: United States,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a greedy man?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How so?
Guess: but he also felt strongly that the wealthy should use their fortunes for the benefit of society.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he feel about people being greedy?
Guess: "He who dies rich, dies disgraced",
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he support any charities?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why not?
Guess: He opposed charity
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he think you should help others?
Guess: By providing  educational opportunities that would allow others to help themselves
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he provide any of those educational opportunities?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are some of those?
Guess: Carnegie Institute of Pittsburgh, Carnegie-Mellon University.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What about internationally?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is that?
Guess: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And what is their aim?
Guess: Understanding between the nations
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many libraries were established due to his philanthropy
Guess: 2,500
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where are the majority located?
Guess: Small communities throughout the country
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did he contribute less than a million dollars?

More than five million