Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- English Premier League side Liverpool were beaten by two penalties in Lisbon as Benfica came from behind to grasp the advantage in their Europa League quarterfinal. 

The Portuguese club suffered a nightmare start when Daniel Agger put the visitors in front after just nine minutes with a neat back heel from Steven Gerrard's free kick. 

But just after the half hour mark Liverpool were reduced to ten men when Ryan Babel clashed with defender Luisao after he had fouled Spanish striker Fernando Torres. 

Babel appeared to put his hands in Luisao's face and the referee produced a red card. 

It took Benfica less than 30 minutes to press home their advantage when Liverpool defender Emiliano Insua brought down Pablo Aimar inside the box and conceded a penalty. 

Oscar Cardozo converted the spot kick and was given the chance to put his side into the lead when the referee adjudged Jamie Carragher had handled in the area on 79 minutes. Again Cardozo made no mistake from the spot. 

The return leg is at Anfield next Thursday. 

Fulham vanquished seasoned European opponents again as they defeated German champions Wolfsburg 2-1 at Craven Cottage. 

Striker Bobby Zamora gave the English side the lead on 59 minutes with a precise curling shot from the edge of the area. 

Irish winger Damien Duff made it 2-0 just four minutes later as he converted Zamora's pass. 

But in the final minute Wolfsburg scored a vital away goal as Alexander Madlung emphatically headed home Zvjezdan Misimovic's cross.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: English Premier League side Liverpool were beaten by what?
Guess: two penalties
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Lisbon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who came from behind to grasp the advantage
Guess: Benfica
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what League ?
Guess: Europa League
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who suffered a nightmare
Guess: The Portuguese
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: Daniel Agger put the visitors in front after nine minutes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did Daniel Agger put the visitors in front
Guess: with a neat back heel from Steven Gerrard's free kick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Liverpool were reduced to what?
Guess: Ten men
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who clashed with a defender
Guess: Ryan Babel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the name of the defender
Guess: Luisao
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why did Ryan Babel clashed with defender Luisao
Guess: he fouled Fernando Torres.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who put his hands in Luisao's face
Guess: Babel
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: ho did the referee react
Guess: He produced a red card.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: It took Benfica less than 30 minutes to do what?

press home their advantage