Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XV 

Mr. Amos Cuthbert named it so--our old friend Amos who lives high up in the ether of Town's End ridge, and who now represents Coniston in the Legislature. He is the same silent, sallow person as when Jethro first took a mortgage on his farm, only his skin is beginning to resemble dried parchment, and he is a trifle more cantankerous. On the morning of that memorable day when, "Uncle Tom's Cabin" came to the capital, Amos had entered the Throne Room and given vent to his feelings in regard to the gentleman in the back seat who had demanded an evening sitting on behalf of the farmers. 

"Don't that beat all?" cried Amos. "Let them have their darned woodchuck session; there won't nobody go to it. For cussed, crisscross contrariness, give me a moss-back Democrat from a one-boss, one-man town like Suffolk. I'm a-goin' to see the show." 

"G-goin' to the show, be you, Amos?" said Jethro. 

"Yes, I be," answered Amos, bitterly. "I hain't agoin' nigh the house to-night." And with this declaration he departed. 

"I wonder if he really is going?" queried Mr. Merrill looking at the ceiling. And then he laughed. 

"Why shouldn't he go?" asked William Wetherell. 

Mr. Merrill's answer to this question was a wink, whereupon he, too, departed. And while Wetherell was pondering over the possible meaning of these words the Honorable Alva Hopkins entered, wreathed in smiles, and closed the door behind him. 

"It's all fixed," he said, taking a seat near Jethro in the window.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who asked Amos if he was going to the show?
Guess: Jethro.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he going?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he happy about going?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Amos' last name?
Guess: Cuthbert
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who took a mortgage out on their farm?
Guess: Jethro
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who winked?
Guess: Mr. Merrill
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was Jethro sitting near the window?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was pondering?
Guess: Wetherell
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where does Amos live?
Guess: high up in the ether of Town's End ridge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does Amos represent?
Guess: Coniston in the Legislature
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who left?
Guess: Amos
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Mr.Merrill wonder if Amos was actually going?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was laughing?
Guess: Mr. Merrill
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who left after Amos left?
Guess: Mr. Merrill
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who came in the rooms smiling?
Guess: Alva Hopkins
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who sat next to Jethro?
Guess: Alva Hopkins
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he say anything when he entered the room?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what did he say as he sat down?

"It's all fixed,"