Here's a short story:

I was doing a weekend seminar at the Deerhurst Lodge, north of Toronto. On Friday night a tornado swept through a town north of us called Barrie, killing dozens of people and doing millions of dollars worth of damage. Sunday night, as I was coming home, I stopped the car when I got to Barrie. I got out on the side of the highway and looked around. It was a mess. Everywhere I looked there were smashed houses and cars turned upside down. 

That same night Bob Templeton was driving down the same highway. He stopped to look at the disaster just as I had; only his thoughts were different than my own. Bob was the vice-president of Telemedia Communications, which owns a string of radio stations in Ontario and Quebec. He thought there must be something we could do for these people with the radio stations they had. 

The following night I was doing another seminar in Toronto. Bob Templeton and Bob Johnson, another vice-president from Telemedia, came in and stood in the back of the room. They shared their conviction that there had to be something they could do for the people in Barrie. 

After the seminar we went back to Bob's office. He was now committed to the idea of helping the people who had been caught in the tornado. 

The following Friday he called all the executives at Telemedia into his office. At the top of a flip chart he wrote three 3s. He said to his executives, "How would you like to raise 3 million dollars 3 days from now in just 3 hours and give the money to the people in Barrie?" There was nothing but silence in the room. 

Finally someone said, "Templeton, you're crazy. There is no way we could do that." 

Bob said, "Wait a minute. I didn't ask you if we could or even if we should. I just asked you if you'd like to." 

They all said, "Sure we'd like to." He then drew a large 'T' underneath the 333. On one side he wrote, "Why we can't." On the other side he wrote, "How we can." 

"I'm going to put a big X on the 'Why we can't' side. We're not going to spend any time on the ideas of why we can't. That's of no value. On the other side we're going to write down every idea that we can come up with on how we can. We're not going to leave the room until we figure it out." There was silence again. 

Finally, someone said, "We could do a radio show across Canada." 

Bob said, "That's a great idea," and wrote it down. Before he had it written, someone said, "You can't do a radio show across Canada. We don't have radio stations across Canada." That was a pretty valid objection. They only had stations in Ontario and Quebec. 

Templeton replied, " _ ." But this was a real strong objection because radio stations are not very compatible . They usually don't work together. They are very cutthroat. They fight each other. To get them to work together would be virtually impossible according to the standard way of thinking. 

All of a sudden someone said, "We could get Harvey Kirk and Lloyd Robertson, the biggest names in Canadian broadcasting, to anchor the show." (That would be like getting Tom Brokaw and Sam Donaldson to anchor the show. They are anchors on national TV. They are not going to go on radio.) At that point, it was absolutely amazing how fast and furious the creative ideas began to flow. 

That was on a Friday. The following Tuesday they had a radiothon . They had fifty radio stations all across the country that agreed to broadcast it. It didn't matter who got the credit as long as the people in Barrie got the money. Harvey Kirk and Lloyd Robertson anchored the show and they succeeded in raising three million dollars in three hours within three business days! 

You see, you can do anything if you put your focus on how to do it rather than on why you can't. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was Bob Templeton driving down the highway during the day?
Guess: night
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which way were cars turned?
Guess: Upside down.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is that the way cars are supposed to be?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened to the houses?
Guess: They were smashed.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which town was this in?
Guess: Barrie.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did anyone die?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people?
Guess: Dozens.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was there any monetary damages?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How much?
Guess: Millions
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What night was the author driving through Barrie?
Guess: Sunday night.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he driving home?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where had he just spent his weekend?
Guess: The Deerhurst Lodge
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where's that located?
Guess: North of Toronto
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was he doing there?
Guess: A weekend seminar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What swept through Barrie?
Guess: A tornado
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: Friday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who else had been driving down the same highway that night?
Guess: Bob Templeton
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What did Bob do for a living?

He was a vice-president.