Here's a short story:

The Normandy landings (codenamed Operation Neptune) were the landing operations on Tuesday, 6 June 1944 (termed D-Day) of the Allied invasion of Normandy in Operation Overlord during World War II. The largest seaborne invasion in history, the operation began the liberation of German-occupied northwestern Europe from Nazi control, and contributed to the Allied victory on the Western Front. 

Planning for the operation began in 1943. In the months leading up to the invasion, the Allies conducted a substantial military deception, codenamed Operation Bodyguard, to mislead the Germans as to the date and location of the main Allied landings. The weather on D-Day was far from ideal, but postponing would have meant a delay of at least two weeks, as the invasion planners had requirements for the phase of the moon, the tides, and the time of day that meant only a few days in each month were deemed suitable. Adolf Hitler placed German Field Marshal Erwin Rommel in command of German forces and of developing fortifications along the Atlantic Wall in anticipation of an Allied invasion. 

The amphibious landings were preceded by extensive aerial and naval bombardment and an airborne assault—the landing of 24,000 American, British, and Canadian airborne troops shortly after midnight. Allied infantry and armoured divisions began landing on the coast of France at 06:30. The target stretch of the Normandy coast was divided into five sectors: Utah, Omaha, Gold, Juno, and Sword. Strong winds blew the landing craft east of their intended positions, particularly at Utah and Omaha. The men landed under heavy fire from gun emplacements overlooking the beaches, and the shore was mined and covered with obstacles such as wooden stakes, metal tripods, and barbed wire, making the work of the beach-clearing teams difficult and dangerous. Casualties were heaviest at Omaha, with its high cliffs. At Gold, Juno, and Sword, several fortified towns were cleared in house-to-house fighting, and two major gun emplacements at Gold were disabled, using specialised tanks. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: how many troops landed?
Guess: 24,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from how many countries?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: please name them
Guess: American, British, and Canadian
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did the planning for this start?
Guess: 1943
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is this that we are talking about?
Guess: The Normandy landings
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was this during a war?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which war?
Guess: World War II
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the the operation for?
Guess: liberation of German-occupied northwestern Europe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from?
Guess: Nazi control,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did this operation have a codename?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what?
Guess: Operation Neptune
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they come in by water?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what about air?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what date was this?
Guess: 6 June
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: of what year?
Guess: 1944
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was the day called normandy landings?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: termed D-Day
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where were the troops landing?
Guess: coast of France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: anywhere in particular?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: was it peaceful when they landed?

no