Here's a short story:

CHAPTER SIXTEEN. 

LINCH-PINS. 

"And leave them laughing, Ho! Ho Ho!"--_Robin Goodfellow_. 

Notice was sent from the Bishop of the diocese that he was about to hold a Confirmation at Poppleby in six weeks' time. This was matter of rejoicing to Mr Harford, who had mourned over the very few communicants. Before he came the Celebrations had been only three times a year, and were attended by most of the aged paupers. To the joy of the Carbonels, the feast was monthly after his coming; but the first time the aged people were there, and all lingered, George Hewlett, the clerk, said, when the curate looked to him for information-- 

"The alms, sir. They be waiting for the money in the plate." 

"Why, that is to be reserved for sick and distressed." 

"Mr Selby, he always give it out to them, and so did Mr Jones afore him, sir. They be all expecting of it." 

Mr Harford thought that it might be best not to disappoint the old people suddenly, so he stood at the vestry door counting heads, and numbering among them two whom he had already been somewhat startled to see present themselves, namely, Dame Spurrell, whom he had heard abusing her neighbour with a torrent of foul words, and who pretended to be a witch, and Tom Jarrold, whom Hewlett had described to him as the wickedest old chap in the parish. 

He took counsel with the churchwardens, Farmers Goodenough and Rawson, who both agreed that they were a bad lot, who didn't deserve nothing, but it helped to keep down the rates. Then he talked to Captain Carbonel, who, being a reverent man, was dismayed at what he heard.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who sent the message?
Guess: the Bishop of the diocese
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What he was going to do?
Guess: hold a Confirmation
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is ther any timframe?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: in six weeks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who felt happy about that?
Guess: Mr Harford
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What he did beforehand?
Guess: he had mourned over the very few communicants.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many times he went there?
Guess: three times a year
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who accompanied him?
Guess: most of the aged paupers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How often was the feast?
Guess: monthly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anyone happy about that?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was that?
Guess: the Carbonels
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were some folks very new to all these?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there any beggers?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did not want to upset the folks?
Guess: Mr Harford
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he?
Guess: at the vestry door
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he recognize someone?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many of them he recognize by name?
Guess: two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he consult anyone?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were they?
Guess: the churchwardens, Farmers Goodenough and Rawson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Were they in the same page in this issue?

yes