Here's a short story:

Chad walked to the pet store. He saw puppies. There was a black and white puppy. Chad liked the puppy. Chad walked the puppy home on a leash. He took the puppy in the yard to play. He found a ball to play fetch with the puppy. Chad threw the ball and the puppy chased it across the yard. After they were done playing, Chad fed and watered the puppy. He found two bowls in the kitchen. He filled one with water. He filled the other bowl with dog food. The puppy ran to the bowls to eat and drink. When the puppy was finished eating it became tired. Chad made the puppy a bed out of an old pillow. The puppy curled up on the pillow and went to sleep. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What animal did Chad see in a store?
Guess: puppies
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Chad feel about those?
Guess: He liked one.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the animal look like?
Guess: It was black and white.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he decide to keep it?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do with it after he left the store?
Guess: They played.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What else did they do?
Guess: It ate.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How?
Guess: with bowls
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he eat?
Guess: dog food
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was the dog thirsty as well?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: That's a lot of activity for one afternoon, what happened next?
Guess: It was tired.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did it go to sleep then?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it do that?
Guess: On a pillow.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where did that come from?

From Chad.