Here's a short story:

Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington (CNN) -- The American soldier accused of killing 16 Afghan villagers in a shooting rampage is sitting in a military courtroom for the next week or more, hearing the evidence against him. 

The Article 32 hearing began Monday at Joint Base Lewis-McChord in Washington state to determine if a trial is warranted for U.S. Army Staff Sgt. Robert Bales, who could get the death penalty if convicted. 

The deadly shooting spree near a small U.S. base in Afghanistan's Kandahar province last March strained already tense U.S.-Afghan relations and intensified a debate about whether to pull out American troops ahead of their planned 2014 withdrawal. 

"He committed a mass killing crime, and we would like the court in the United States to implement justice and punish him according to the crime," Ahmad Zia Syamak, a spokesman for Afghan President Hamid Karzai, told CNN on Monday. 

Bales acted with "chilling premeditation" and was "lucid, coherent and responsive" when he left the remote outpost and went from house to house, gunning down villagers, Lt. Col. Joseph Morse, the Army's prosecutor, told the court. Women and children were among the 16 dead and six wounded, authorities said. 

"Nothing really justifies killing women and children in a noncombat situation," Bales' attorney, John Henry Browne, told CNN earlier. "But there may be explanations if that's true." 

Read more: Stunned friends recall good deeds of Afghanistan killings suspect 

The first soldier to testify Monday was Cpl. David Godwin, who said he watched a movie and drank Jack Daniels whiskey with Bales and another soldier, Sgt. Jason McLaughlin, just hours before the alleged attack.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What court does Ahmad want to implement justice?
Guess: the court in the United States to implement justice
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does Ahmad speak for?
Guess: Hamid Karzai,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who's that?
Guess: The Afghan President
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What news organization did Ahmad express his opinion to?
Guess: CNN
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: "Monday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is Ahmad hoping someone will be punished?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: Robert Bales
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he do something bad?
Guess: Yes allegedly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What is he accused of doing?

killing 16 Afghan villagers in a shooting rampage