Here's a short story:

CHAPTER THIRTEEN. 

A KNOTTY QUESTION. 

"Tom Blunt," said Richard Sharp, "I deny your premises, condemn your reasoning as illogical, and reject your conclusions with scorn!" 

The youth who made this remark with very considerable assurance and emphasis was a student. His fellow-student received it with an air of bland good-nature. 

"Dick," said he, "your oratory is rotund, and if it were convincing might be impressive; but it fails to some extent in consequence of a certain smack of self-assertion which is unphilosophical. Suppose, now, that we have this matter out in a calm, dispassionate manner, without `tooth,' or egotism, or prejudice, which tend so powerfully to mar human disputation and render it abortive." 

"With all my heart, Tom," said the other, drawing close to the fire, placing one foot against the mantelpiece, as being a comfortable, though not elegant posture, resting his elbows on the arms of his chair, and placing his hands in that position--with all the finger tips touching each other--which seems, from the universal practice of civilised society, to assist mental elucidation. "I am quite prepared. Come on!" 

"Stay; while my mind is working I like to have my hands employed. I will proceed with my monkey while we talk," said Blunt, taking up a walking-stick, the head of which he had carved into the semblance of a monkey. "Sweet creature!" he added, kissing the object of his affection, and holding it out at arm's-length. "Silent companion of my solitary rambles, and patient auditor of my most secret aspirations, you are becoming quite a work of art. A few more touches of the knife, and something like perfection shall have been attained! Look here, Dick, when I turn it towards the light--so--isn't there a beauty about the contour of that upper lip and nose which--"  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is having a conversation?
Guess: Tom Blunt and Richard Sharp
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Richard's nickname?
Guess: Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is their occupation?
Guess: they're students
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Dick agree with Tom?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they indoors?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are they sitting by?
Guess: a fire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is Dick sitting on a stool?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he sitting on?
Guess: a chair
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he put on the chair's arms?
Guess: his elbows
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What might help him think?
Guess: the position of his hands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What's special about that?
Guess: all the fingertips are touching
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he sitting in a refined position?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What does Tom want to do to help him think?
Guess: have his hands employed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he working on?
Guess: a walking-stick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is he doing to it?
Guess: carving it
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which part?
Guess: the head
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What animal is he making it look like?

a monkey