Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- When plans were announced to build a giant new transoceanic canal across Nicaragua, the young Hong Kong businessman leading the project acknowledged the widespread skepticism. "We don't want it to become an international joke," said Wang Jing, a 40-year-old with no significant engineering experience and a background he described as "very normal." 

That was in June 2013, when the Nicaraguan legislature, controlled by President Daniel Ortega, had just allowed Wang to move forward with his five-year project . 

It is not certain that the canal, which would be one of the most ambitious and expensive engineering projects on Earth, will ever get built. But it looks set to move forward, and even some of the most determined doubters are starting to reconsider. 

Last Thursday, the government and Wang's company, Nicaragua Canal Development Investment, announced that construction will start on Dec. 22. 

The development's estimated price tag -- $50 billion -- is four times the size of the entire Nicaraguan economy. The canal itself would be deeper, wider and longer than the Panama Canal, just a few hundred miles to the south. The Panama Canal's expansion is almost ready, which raises the question of why another costly canal is needed. 

The Nicaraguan opposition has called the project the biggest scam in the country's history, and engineering experts are divided over whether the project is feasible. 

Pedro Alvarez, chairman of civil engineering at Rice University, has expressed doubts that it will ever be completed. He worries that it will be abandoned. His greatest concern is severe damage to Lake Nicaragua, the largest freshwater reservoir in Latin America.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what happened last thursday?
Guess: it was announced that construction will start
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: Dec. 22.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who said they dont want to become a joke?
Guess: Wang Jing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is he?
Guess: a businessman
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from where?
Guess: Hong Kong
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the project he's in charge of?
Guess: building a canal
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: across Nicaragua
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who told him to move forward in June?
Guess: the Nicaraguan legislature
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much will the project cost?
Guess: $50 billion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is that bigger than the economy there?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by how much?
Guess: four times
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why are some saying this isnt needed?
Guess: The Panama Canal expansion
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which canal will be bigger?
Guess: the new one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is Pedro Alvarez?
Guess: chairman of civil engineering at Rice University
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how far away is the other canal?
Guess: a few hundred miles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is Alvarez supportive of the canal?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what is his concern?

damage to Lake Nicaragua