Here's a short story:

TEHRAN, Iran (CNN) -- He's been labeled by many as the "reformist," a man who can take Iran beyond the truculent anti-Western rhetoric of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 

Moussavi was not seen as a reformer during his stint as prime minister during the 1980s. 

So, when Iran's government announced over the weekend that Mir Hossein Moussavi had lost in his bid to become the country's next president, young Iranians took to the streets by the thousands alleging ballot fraud. 

Thousands of others around the globe championed the cause on social-networking Web sites and agreed to wear green on Monday in solidarity with Moussavi's supporters. 

But what is often lost in the outrage is whether Iran would look different under a Moussavi presidency. Watch more about the vote » 

Though the 67-year old is credited for successfully navigating the Iranian economy as prime minister during a bloody eight-year war with Iraq in the 1980s, he also was a hard-liner whom the Economist described as a "firm radical." 

He, like most Iranians in power, does not believe in the existence of Israel. He defended the taking of hostages at the U.S. Embassy in Iran in 1979, which led to the break in ties between the countries. 

He was part of a regime that regularly executed dissidents and backed the fatwa against British author Salman Rushdie. 

And as late as April, he opposed suspending the country's nuclear-enrichment program but said it would not be diverted to weapons use. 

"I wouldn't go as far as (call it) a 'Velvet Revolution,'" Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council, said of the phrase many are using to describe the rallies in Iran.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Why did the Iranian youth get so angry?
Guess: Mir Hossein Moussavi had lost in his bid to become the country's next president - Moussavi lost the election
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Moussavi a good leader?
Guess: Economist described as a "firm radical." - he had radical ideas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he support Israel?
Guess: does not believe in the existence of Israel - No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he support the Nuclear Ban Treaty?
Guess: he opposed - No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the significance of the color green?
Guess: agreed to wear green on Monday in solidarity with Moussavi's supporters - To show support
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How are the protests being perceived?
Guess: I wouldn't go as far as (call it) a 'Velvet Revolution - not a revolution
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How did he treat people who were against him?

regularly executed dissidents - had them killed