Here's a short story:

CHAPTER I 

JUST AN ARGUMENT 

"It's positively cruel!" pouted Jennie Allen, one of a group of girls occupying a garden bench in the ample grounds of Miss Stearne's School for Girls, at Beverly. 

"It's worse than that; it's insulting," declared Mable Westervelt, her big dark eyes flashing indignantly. 

"Doesn't it seem to reflect on our characters?" timidly asked Dorothy Knerr. 

"Indeed it does!" asserted Sue Finley. "But here comes Mary Louise; let's ask her opinion." 

"Phoo! Mary Louise is only a day scholar," said Jennie. "The restriction doesn't apply to her at all." 

"I'd like to hear what she says, anyhow," remarked Dorothy. "Mary Louise has a way of untangling things, you know." 

"She's rather too officious to suit me," Mable Westervelt retorted, "and she's younger than any of us. One would think, the way she poses as monitor at this second-rate, run-down boarding school, that Mary Louise Burrows made the world." 

"Oh, Mable! I've never known her to pose at all," said Sue. "But, hush; she mustn't overhear us and, besides, if we want her to intercede with Miss Stearne we must not offend her." 

The girl they were discussing came leisurely down a path, her books under one arm, the other hand holding a class paper which she examined in a cursory way as she walked. She wore a dark skirt and a simple shirtwaist, both quite modish and becoming, and her shoes were the admiration and envy of half the girls at the school. Dorothy Knerr used to say that "Mary Louise's clothes always looked as if they grew on her," but that may have been partially accounted for by the grace of her slim form and her unconscious but distinctive poise of bearing. Few people would describe Mary Louise Burrows as beautiful, while all would agree that she possessed charming manners. And she was fifteen--an age when many girls are both awkward and shy.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who pouted?
Guess: Jennie Allen.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where were the girls?
Guess: A group of girls occupying a garden bench.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: at what school?
Guess: Miss Stearne's School for Girls, at Beverly.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did mable have light eyes?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were her eyes happy in this moment?
Guess: No.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did Dorothy ask about their characters?
Guess: Timidly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did sue notice approaching?
Guess: Sue Finley
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did mary louise have under her arm?
Guess: Her books
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and in the other hand?
Guess: A class paper.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did she have a light skirt on?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what type of skirt did she have on?

A dark skirt