Here's a short story:

(CNN)The bored teenager who gunned down a college baseball player in Oklahoma simply because he and his two friends "had nothing to do," is now a convicted murderer. 

Chancey Allen Luna was found guilty of first-degree murder Friday for his role in the August 2013 drive-by shooting of Christopher Lane, a 23-year-old college student in Duncan, about 80 miles south of Oklahoma City. Luna was 16 at the time of the shooting. 

Lane, an Australian attending East Central University, was jogging when he was shot in the back by a gun fired by Luna. 

A jury recommended Friday that Luna spend life in prison without the possibility of parole, according to court records. Because he was under 18 when the crime was committed, he is not eligible for the death penalty. He'll be formally sentenced in June. 

The vehicle's driver, Michael Jones, pleaded guilty in March to second-degree murder and was sentenced to life in prison. Jones, who was 17 at the time of the murder, will be eligible for parole starting in 2051, according to the Oklahoma Department of Corrections. 

Prosecutors dropped first-degree murder charges filed against the third suspect, then only 15, after he agreed to testify against Luna and Jones, according to CNN affiliate KSWO. He will now be tried as a juvenile with accessory to murder after the fact. 

Duncan police Chief Danny Ford told Australian radio station 3AW that when police arrested the teens, Jones offered a motive that made clear that Lane, a baseball player on scholarship, was chosen at random.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Was Lane a woman?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the bullet hit Luna?
Guess: in the back
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What state did it take place in?
Guess: Oklahoma
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was it?
Guess: August 2013
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was Luna's accomplice?
Guess: Michael Jones
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his age?
Guess: 17
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was the shooting?
Guess: 2013
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it in the winter?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was Lane?
Guess: 23
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many total were involved in the shooting other than the victim?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why was Lane shot?
Guess: he was chosen at random
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what reason?
Guess: the perpetrators "had nothing to do,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was capital punishment an option for Lane?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why not?

he was under 18