Here's a short story:

New York (CNN) -- A New York man arrested in connection with the stabbing of two children in Brooklyn may be linked to another stabbing in a Manhattan subway, a law enforcement official told CNN Thursday. 

Police believe Daniel St. Hubert, 27, was out on parole when he stabbed two young children inside an elevator -- killing one of them. 

St. Hubert was arrested by detectives around 8 p.m. Wednesday. 

He was arrested around the same time that Chief of Detectives Robert Boyce identified St. Hubert by name for the first time as the suspect in the attack. 

Detectives were obtaining evidence Thursday that could link him to a fatal stabbing on the subway in the Chelsea neighborhood of Manhattan, the official said. 

Investigators were executing search warrants to see if he is linked to additional stabbings since his release from prison on May 23, a law enforcement official said. 

Law enforcement has been involved with St. Hubert plenty in the past, including nine arrests, though police did not specify all the outcomes. 

The most recent instance was May 23, when, Boyce said. St. Hubert was released on parole in connection to a domestic assault case. 

Nine days later, police believe he encountered 6-year-old Prince Joshua "PJ" Avitto and 7-year-old Mikayla Capers inside an elevator at a public housing complex in Brooklyn. Mayor Bill de Blasio said the two children were "on their way to get ice cream" at the time. 

For reasons authorities haven't yet explained, the two children were stabbed -- both in the torso. PJ Avitto was transported to a nearby hospital, where he was pronounced dead.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was arrested?
Guess: Daniel St. Hubert, 27
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: around 8 p.m. Wednesday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he in prison earlier?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: before when?
Guess: May 23
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many arrests he had?
Guess: nine arrests
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Boyce?
Guess: Chief of Detectives
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What he identified?
Guess: he identified St. Hubert by name
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what?
Guess: for the first time
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For what reason?
Guess: to identify him as the suspect
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: suspect for what crime?
Guess: the stabbing of two children
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are their names?
Guess: Prince Joshua and Mikayla Capers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old was Prince?
Guess: Six
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And Mikayla?
Guess: Seven
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Where were they killed?

inside an elevator