Here's a short story:

CHAPTER VII. 

A FIRE 

The last of February drew nigh, which was the time fixed upon for Josey to go home. He had remained with his uncle much longer than his father had at first intended; but now they wanted him to return, before the roads broke up in the spring. 

The evening before Josey was to go, the farmer was sitting by the fire, when Jonas came in from the barn. 

"Jonas," said the farmer, "I have got to write a letter to my brother, to send by Josey to-morrow; why won't you take a sheet of paper and write for me, and I'll tell you what to say. You are rather handier with the pen than I am." 

Jonas accordingly brought a sheet of paper and a pen and ink, and took his place at a table at the back side of the room, and the farmer dictated to him as follows: 

"Dear Brother, 

"I take this opportunity to inform you that we are all alive and well, and I hope that you may be the same. This will be handed to you by Josey, who leaves us to-morrow, according to your orders. We have been very glad to have him with us, though he hasn't had opportunity to learn much. However, I suppose he'll fetch up again in his learning, when he gets home. He has behaved pretty fair on the whole, as boys go. He will make a smart man, I've no doubt, though he don't seem to take much to farming.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where was Jonas coming from?
Guess: the barn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what month did this story take place?
Guess: February
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In the beginning or the end of the month?
Guess: the end
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who had Josey been staying with?
Guess: his uncle
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was there when Josie came inside?
Guess: the farmer
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did the farmer want him to do?
Guess: write a letter to the farmer's brother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why did the farmer need Josey's help with the letter?

Josey was handier with the pen than he was