Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Concertgoers at the Indiana State Fair panicked and fled in the immediate aftermath of the concert stage collapse. But just as quickly, they returned, offering what they could during the moments that mattered. 

"I'm a nurse. I'm a doctor. I'm a trained EMS responder," they said, according to Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, whose voice broke with emotion as he recalled the extraordinary efforts of ordinary people. 

"The individual Hoosiers ran to the trouble, not from the trouble," he said, using the name for Indiana residents. "It's the character that we associate with our state. People don't have to be paid to do it." 

The stage collapse at the Indiana State Fair Saturday night killed five people and injured 40 others. 

Video showed the blue canvas top fraying and flapping just seconds before the steel scaffolding gave way, sending a heavy bank of stage lights and metal onto fans closest to the outdoor stage. 

Ivan Gratz, a professional videographer, witnessed the event and filmed what happened after the collapse. 

"Everybody ran away from the stage," he said. "And then as soon as the stage, like it was stable on the ground, everyone turned around and they ran back. And that's what was incredible in the pictures where you see the people grab a hold of the stage and they're lifting it up." 

"Just amazing," said Gratz. 

Allison Hoehn, another concertgoer, said that many attendees rushed to help those trapped after the stage crumbled. 

"We tried to get down to help, but no one was moving," Hoehn said. "The storm came on so fast and the stage just snapped like a toothpick."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Where was the concert?
Guess: the Indiana State Fair
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened?
Guess: the concert stage collapsed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the governor of the state?
Guess: Mitch Daniels
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was anyone killed?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many?
Guess: five
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was anyone hurt?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many?
Guess: 40
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What day of the week was it?
Guess: Saturday
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did anyone film the event?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his name?
Guess: Ivan Gratz
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was his occupation?

videographer