Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXVI 

NEWS OF RUTH 

"I guess they are pretty sure there is oil on that land," chuckled Andy, as the whole party got aboard the automobile and started back for town. 

"I hope they sink about a hundred thousand dollars in that ground and get nothing for their trouble," added his twin. 

"Gee, Dad, you certainly did soak Davenport a couple!" cried Jack admiringly. 

"I did it on the spur of the moment, Son. I couldn't help it," declared Dick Rover. "It was too great an insult to pass unnoticed." 

"And to think he didn't have the nerve to fight back!" added Fred. "I didn't imagine he was such a coward." 

"Well, I was surprised at that myself," answered his uncle, with something of a smile. "But now listen to me, boys," he added seriously. "Don't think because I flew into Davenport that that is the right thing to do under all circumstances. He simply got me going before I knew it. Ordinarily fighting doesn't pay, and I want you to know it." 

"But, Uncle Dick, that wasn't a fight--that was only a good spanking," said Andy, and at this all the others had to snicker. 

"I reckon Davenport knew he was in the wrong when he made that dirty remark," came from Nick Ogilvie. "Why, in these parts many a man would have shot him down for those words. I don't wonder your father flew into him. He should have been licked until he was a fit subject for the hospital."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: are there twins?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who didn't fight back?
Guess: Davenport
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is their uncle's name
Guess: Uncle Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where were they headed?
Guess: back to town
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how would they get there?
Guess: in an automobile
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is one of the son's names?
Guess: Jack
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were all the boys his sons?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who called Davenport a coward?
Guess: Fred
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did Dick plan to fight?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was his nephew?
Guess: Andy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who else was there?
Guess: Nick Ogilvie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who was Nick?

unknown