Here's a short story:

Michelle Obama made a daring decision to return to the same designer who created her Inaugural Ball dress four years ago --- and the risk paid off. 

The First Lady looked extremely attractive in a thin, sweeping, and ruby-colored dress by designer Jason Wu. She teamed the dramatic dress with heels by Jimmy Choo and a diamond ring by Kimberly McDonald. 

She surprised the fashion establishment by returning to a Wu design which had been the custom made for her. 

Four years ago at her first Inauguration Ball, Michelle shimmered in an off-white, one-shouldered floor-length dress by the designer. 

Wu, who was 26 at the time and had only been working in fashion for three years, saw his career take off after the First Lady's surprise decision to wear one of his dresses. 

He said at the time that he was unaware she had chosen the dress and had been watching at home on his couch and eating pizza when she appeared. 

After her 2013 decision, Wu told Women's Wear Daily: "Mrs Obama likes to keep her secrets. She fooled me again." 

Wu released a women's clothing and accessories collection at Target last year and continues to be popular with the First Lady for official engagements. 

The sleeveless, cross-halter neck dress with low-cut back flattered 49-year-old Michelle's arms and neat waist. 

It had been created especially for her by Wu and was a departure from the dark and plain colour tone she stuck to at earlier inauguration events. 

Mrs Obama's new hairstyle -- she had bangs cut on her birthday last week had been loosely tousled for the special night. 

Vice-President Joe Biden's wife Jill also looked attractive in a blue silk dress by Vera Wang at the Inauguration Ball. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what did Michelle do with her hair for her birthday?
Guess: she had bangs cut
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did she choose as her designer?
Guess: Jason Wu
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Jason expecting it the first time?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did he say she fooled him?
Guess: By wearing the dress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind of a dress did she wear when she was 49?
Guess: sleeveless, cross-halter neck dress with low-cut back flattered 49-year-old Michelle's arms and neat waist.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what part of her body looked good?
Guess: arms and neat waist
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were the shoes designed by Wu?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who were her heels by?
Guess: Jimmy Choo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year did she first wear his design?
Guess: 2013
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was wu then?
Guess: 26
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how was the dress different?
Guess: departure from the dark and plain colour tone she normally wore
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind of dress did she wear 4 years ago?
Guess: off-white, one-shouldered floor-length dress
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Which retailer does he work with?

Target