Here's a short story:

Western Sahara (; "", , Spanish and French: Sahara Occidental) is a disputed territory in the Maghreb region of North Africa, partially controlled by the self-proclaimed Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic and partially Moroccan-occupied, bordered by Morocco proper to the north, Algeria to the northeast, Mauritania to the east and south, and the Atlantic Ocean to the west. Its surface area amounts to . It is one of the most sparsely populated territories in the world, mainly consisting of desert flatlands. The population is estimated at just over 500,000, of which nearly 40% live in Laayoune, the largest city in Western Sahara. 

Occupied by Spain until the late 20th century, Western Sahara has been on the United Nations list of non-self-governing territories since 1963 after a Moroccan demand. It is the most populous territory on that list, and by far the largest in area. In 1965, the UN General Assembly adopted its first resolution on Western Sahara, asking Spain to decolonise the territory. One year later, a new resolution was passed by the General Assembly requesting that a referendum be held by Spain on self-determination. In 1975, Spain relinquished the administrative control of the territory to a joint administration by Morocco (which had formally claimed the territory since 1957) and Mauritania. A war erupted between those countries and a Sahrawi nationalist movement, the Polisario Front, which proclaimed the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) with a government in exile in Tindouf, Algeria. Mauritania withdrew its claims in 1979, and Morocco eventually secured "de facto" control of most of the territory, including all the major cities and natural resources. The United Nations considers the Polisario Front to be the legitimate representative of the Sahrawi people, and maintains that the Sahrawis have a right to self-determination. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What did the Spanish occupy?
Guess: Western Sahara
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Until when?
Guess: the late 20th century
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does it govern itself?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: According to whose records?
Guess: the United Nations
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it big or small compared to other types on the records?
Guess: big
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When were the Spanish asked to back off?
Guess: 1965
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By whom?
Guess: the UN General Assembly
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they end up backing off?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: In 1975
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many places took over then?
Guess: Morocco and Mauritania
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And they got along?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What happened between them?

A war erupted