Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XVIII 

DICK AND SAM BECOME PRISONERS 

"Do you really think those are counterfeit, Dick?" gasped Sam. 

"More than likely. Don't you remember the machinery? That printing press--" 

"Yes, yes! It's as clear as day. This must be a regular den, and Sack Todd--" 

Sam got no further, for, at that moment, he felt himself seized from behind. A pair of strong arms were thrown around him, so that he could scarcely budge. 

Dick was attacked in a similar fashion, and, though both of the Rovers struggled desperately, they found that their assailants had the advantage. 

"Caught you good and proper, didn't we?" came in the voice of Sack Todd. 

"Let me go!" cried Dick. 

"Not much, young man. Have you got the other one, Jimson?" 

"I have," answered the second man, a fellow with a long nose. "And he won't get away in a hurry. I'm thinking." 

"We had better take 'em inside," went on Sack Todd. 

"Just as you say," answered Andy Jimson. "I reckon you boys remember me," he went on with a grin. 

"You are the man who was on that lumber raft that came near running down our houseboat," said Dick. 

"Struck it, fust clip. Didn't expect to meet me ag'in, did ye?" 

"I did not." 

"Wanted to shoot me, didn't ye?" 

"Didn't you deserve it?" asked Sam boldly. "You came mighty close to sinking us." 

"Oh, that was only a bit of fun on the part o' the feller who owned the raft. He knew what he was doin'. But I reckon you didn't know what you were doin' when you spied on Sack and his outfit," continued the long-nosed man sarcastically.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who had arms with strength around him?
Guess: Sam
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was Jimson's first name?
Guess: Andy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was spied on?
Guess: Sack
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Sam inquire about something being counterfeit?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: To whom?
Guess: Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Could Sam move after he had another person's limbs around him?
Guess: A bit, but just barely
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Dick's and Sam's attackers have advantages?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who made a plea to be let go?
Guess: Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did the man referred to as the second one has a distinctive nose?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How distinctive?
Guess: It was long
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who posited that he was remembered?
Guess: Andy Jimson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he smile as he said this?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What specific type of smile did he wear?
Guess: A grin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of raft had Jimson been on?
Guess: Lumber
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who realized he had been on the raft?
Guess: Dick
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was Dick surprised that they'd encountered each other again?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did Sam imply that Jimson should have been harmed with a gun?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Why did Sam think he deserved to be shot?

Almost caused them to sink