Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- "You are obviously, to me, always going to be The Dude," Piers Morgan said to Jeff Bridges, referring to the actor's title role in the 1998 Coen brothers movie, "The Big Lebowski." 

The Oscar-winning actor is a guest on Thursday's "Piers Morgan Tonight." Bridges, who took a year off from movies to focus on his music career, will release his self-titled album August 16. 

"You're The Dude," continued Morgan. "To millions of people around the world, Jeff Bridges, you will always be The Dude. I can't pretend anything else." 

The CNN host proudly stated that he "ritually" watches "Lebowski" annually. 

Bridges said from the moment he read the script, he knew the film was destined to be a classic. 

"I read that thing and I, you know, it made me laugh -- all the way through it," said Bridges. 

"John Goodman came out with a great quote about your performance," said Morgan. "He said, 'It's like watching a diamond cutter. When you look at the diamond, you don't think of the work, you just notice there are no flaws.' " 

Bridges, whose Hollywood career has spanned some 40 years and 60 films, openly admitted that he owes his great success to his veteran actor dad, Lloyd Bridges. 

"I'm a product of nepotism," said Bridges. "My dad, you know... the hardest thing about acting as a profession is getting the break." 

When Morgan pointed out Bridges' reputation as "the nicest guy in show business," the younger Bridges again credited his father's guidance.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What movie is the story about?
Guess: The Big Lebowski
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is the dude?
Guess: Jeff Bridges
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who produced this movie?
Guess: the Coen brothers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: In what year?
Guess: 1998
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who watches the movie on an annual basis?
Guess: Piers Morgan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What actor has won an Oscar?
Guess: Jeff Bridges
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: How long has he acted?

40 years