Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XXXI 

GOOD NEWS--CONCLUSION 

To get to his own place, Chet had to pass the cabin belonging to Andy, and so the chums left the village together, in a carriage they hired with some of the money Barwell Dawson had given them. 

The thoughts of each youth were busy, so but little was said by them during the journey. As they came in sight of Andy's home, they saw smoke curling from the chimney. 

"Uncle Si must have gotten back from work," said Andy. "Most likely he's cooking supper. Chet, will you stop?" 

"Well, I'd rather see my father first," was the answer. 

"I don't blame you. Well, come over tomorrow, unless----Hello, there is a stranger!" 

Andy pointed to a man who had come to the cabin door, he having heard the sound of the carriage wheels. Chet stared hard at the individual. Then he took a flying leap to the ground and ran forward. 

"Father!" 

The man started, and then flung out his hands. 

"If it isn't Chet--my own son Chet!" he burst out, joyfully. "I was just wishing with all my heart that I knew where you were." And he shook hands over and over again. 

"And I've been hurrying to you as fast as I could for weeks," answered Chet, with a glad look in his eyes. "I heard you were at our cabin, and was going there." 

"I was there, and came here to ask Mr. Graham about you," answered Tolney Greene. 

Josiah Graham had come to the door, holding in his hand a frying pan containing bacon. He gave one look at the newcomers.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what chapter is this?
Guess: CHAPTER XXXI
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: whose cabin did Andy pass?
Guess: Andy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they leave together?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in what?
Guess: in a carriage
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who gave them the money
Guess: Barwell Dawson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what came from the chimney?
Guess: smoke
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was it curling?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who came back from work?
Guess: Uncle Si
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was he doing?
Guess: cooking supper
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: who did chet want to see first?

father