Here's a short story:

The Taliban ( ' "students"), alternatively spelled Taleban, which refers to itself as the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA), is a Sunni Islamic fundamentalist political movement in Afghanistan currently waging war (an insurgency, or jihad) within that country. Since 2016, the Taliban's leader is Mawlawi Hibatullah Akhundzada. 

From 1996 to 2001, the Taliban held power over roughly three quarters of Afghanistan, and enforced there a strict interpretation of Sharia, or Islamic law. The Taliban emerged in 1994 as one of the prominent factions in the Afghan Civil War, and largely consisted of students recently trained in madrassas in Pakistan. Under the leadership of Mohammed Omar, the movement spread throughout most of Afghanistan, sequestering power from the Mujahideen warlords. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan was established in 1996 and the Afghan capital transferred to Kandahar. It held control of most of the country until being overthrown by the American-led invasion of Afghanistan in December 2001 following the September 11 attacks. At its peak, formal diplomatic recognition of the Taliban's government was acknowledged by only three nations: Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. The group later regrouped as an insurgency movement to fight the American-backed Karzai administration and the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF). (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: between what years did they hold power?
Guess: 1996 to 2001
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: Afghanistan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what law did they enforce?
Guess: Sharia, or Islamic law
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did the students train?
Guess: madrassas
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in which country?
Guess: Pakistan.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which countries acknowledged them?
Guess: Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what do Taliban refer to themselves?
Guess: Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did they regroup as later?
Guess: an insurgency movement
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: to fight who?
Guess: Karzai administration
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was that it?
Guess: and the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is the latest head mentioned?
Guess: Mawlawi Hibatullah Akhundzada.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did the group emerge?
Guess: 1994
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who was the leader then?
Guess: Mohammed Omar,
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are they christian?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: then what?
Guess: Sunni Islamic
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did they take control from?
Guess: Mujahideen warlords
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where did the capital move to?
Guess: Kandahar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were they ever defeated?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: December 2001
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what else happened in 2001?

September 11 attacks