Here's a short story:

Meagan and her friend Samantha, both students, lived together in Denver. On mornings when Samantha had class, Meagan would watch her 2-year-old daughter, Hannah. Also part of the household was Meagan's pet, Willie, a parrot -- a particularly intelligent and chatty breed. He picked up quite a healthy vocabulary ("Silly Willie"was a favorite saying) and became a great mimic -- of cats, dogs, chickens and humans. One day with Samantha at school, Hannah sat in front of morning cartoons while Meagan cooked Pop-Tarts in the kitchen. When the toaster spat out the food, Meagan placed it at the center of the kitchen table to cool. She glanced at Hannah and, confident the child was fully engaged in the TV, slipped out quickly to use the bathroom. "I was gone maybe 30 seconds,"Meagan recalls."And suddenly, I heard the bird going crazy and shouting."She heard two very distinct words from the parrot's mouth."Mama! Baby! Mama! Baby!"Meagan ran out of the bathroom to find Hannah in the kitchen, holding the partly eaten Pop-Tarts, out of breath, her face and lips a terrifying shade of blue. And Willie was still crying. "Hannah had climbed up on a chair and gotten the Pop-Tarts and she was clearly choking on them,"says Meagan."I seized her and immediately started doing first aid until the piece came flying out."The bird quieted down and Meagan burst into tears, relief washing over her; Hannah was fine, already smiling her big smile. When Meagan told Samantha what happened,"She was so grateful, thanking me for what I did,"Meagan says."But I said, 'Don't thank me! It was Willie who was the hero!'" (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is Meagan's friend?
Guess: Samantha
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Are they students?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where do they live?
Guess: Denver
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Samantha have a kid?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who would watch over her?
Guess: Meaghan
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is she?
Guess: Two
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does Meagan have a pet?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is its name?
Guess: Willie
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it?
Guess: a parrot
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What kind of breed?
Guess: a chatty one
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What was his favorite saying?

Silly Willie