Here's a short story:

Guan Moye, better known as Mo Yan, is a Chinese novelist and short story writer. He has been referred to by Donald Morrison of U.S. news magazine, TIME, as "one of the most famous and widely pirated of all Chinese writers". He is best known to Western readers for Red Sorghum Clan , which was later adapted for the film, Red Sorghum. In 2012, Mo was awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature. Mo Yan was born in Gaomi County, Shandong Province. He was 11 years old when the Cultural Revolution started, at which time he left school to work as a farmer. At the age of 18, he began to work at a factory. During this period, his access to literature was largely limited to novels. At the close of the Cultural Revolution in 1976, Mo joined the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and began writing. During this period, the works of Chinese literature, as well as translations of foreign authors such as William Faulkner, made an impact on his works. In 1984, he received a literary award from the PLA Magazine, and at the same year he began attending the Military Art Academy, where he first used the pen name of Mo Yan. "Mo Yan" means "don't speak" in Chinese. He explained that the name came from a warning from his father and mother about not saying what he thought when he was outside. It also related to the subject matter of his writings. Mo's first novel was Falling Rain on a Spring Night, published in 1981. Several of his novels were translated into English by Howard Goldblatt, professor of East Asian languages and literature, at the University of Notre Dame. He published his first novella , A Transparent Radish, in 1984, and released Red Sorghum Clan in 1986, making him a nationally recognized novelist. Five years later, he obtained a Master's degree in literature from Beijing Normal University. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what prize did Mo receive?
Guess: a literary award from the PLA Magazine
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what else were they awarded?
Guess: the Nobel Prize in Literature
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what else is Mo Yan known as?
Guess: Guan Moye
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where are they from?
Guess: China
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was he when the cultural revolution started?
Guess: 11 years old
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what foreign author made an impact on him?
Guess: William Faulkner
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what county was Mo born?
Guess: Gaomi County
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what province is that in?
Guess: Shandong Province
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year did the cultural revolution start?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did it end?
Guess: 1976
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does his name mean?
Guess: "don't speak"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did he get the PLA Magazine award?
Guess: In 1984
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who translated his novels into English?
Guess: Howard Goldblatt
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did his first novel get published?
Guess: in 1984
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what university was Goldblatt a professor at?

the University of Notre Dame