Here's a short story:

Washington (CNN) -- A former CIA base chief wanted by Italy and detained in Panama has been released, a State Department spokeswoman said Friday. 

Robert Seldon Lady, who had been convicted by an Italian court for his role in a 2003 rendition case, was flying back to the United States. 

"It's my understanding that he is in fact either en route or back in the United States. Beyond that I have no further details," State Department deputy spokeswoman Marie Harf told reporters. 

In a 2009 trial, an Italian court convicted Lady and 22 others of abducting Osama Mustafa Hassan Nasr, or Abu Omar, from the streets of Milan in 2003. Italian prosecutors said Abu Omar was nabbed by a CIA team working with Italian officials. 

The trial was the first to deal with a practice that human rights groups call "extraordinary rendition." They say the United States has often transferred terrorism suspects to countries that practice torture. 

Abu Omar, who was suspected of recruiting men to fight in Iraq and Afghanistan and was under heavy surveillance by Italy's intelligence agency, was transferred to Egypt and tortured, Italian prosecutors said. 

A former senior CIA official said Lady is no longer with the CIA. 

In the 2009 trial, the Italian court sentenced Lady to eight years in prison, prosecutor Armando Spataro said. The other Americans were sentenced to five years. 

Each of the 23 Americans was ordered to pay 1 million euros (about $1.3 million) to Abu Omar, plus 500,000 euros to his wife.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who wants the chief?
Guess: Italy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who did the chief work for?
Guess: the CIA
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his name?
Guess: Robert Seldon Lady
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he still work for the CIA?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why did Italy want him?
Guess: convicted by an Italian court
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Had he been sentenced?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: By who?
Guess: the Italian court
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was his sentence?
Guess: eight years
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When was the trial?
Guess: 2009
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was anyone else sentenced at the same time?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who?
Guess: The other Americans
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was their sentence more lenient?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did anyone know where Lady was?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where was he being held?
Guess: Panama
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did they let him go?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Who announced that he was let out?

a State Department spokeswoman