Here's a short story:

In 50 years of traveling, Colin McCorpuodale has visited every country in the world except three. And everywhere he goes, he sends himself a postcard. He always chooses a postcard with beautiful scenery . Usually he writes just a short message to himself. However, he wrote an interesting story on his latest one, from the Malians Island. Mr. McCorpuodale lives in London. On one of the walls in his room, you can see a large map of the world. There are hundreds of little red pins stuck in it. "These pins mean a lot to me." says Mr. McCorpuodale, "I follow the rule. I'm allowed to stick one in only if I've been in a place for more than 24 hours." Naturally, Mr. McCorpuodale has his favorite places. New Zealand, he describes as "a wonderful country". About China, he says, "This is the country in the world which is completely different. There is no European influence." Wherever he goes, Mr. McCorpuodale takes with him a photo of his wife, a candle, a shirt with a secret pocket and a pen. So why does he do it? For the postcards or the travels? Mr. McCorpuodale laughs, "Neither. Only for the meaningful life." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Which islands did Colin visit recently?
Guess: Malians
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where does he live?
Guess: London
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many years has he been traveling?
Guess: 50
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is on the wall of his room?
Guess: a map
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many countries has he yet to visit?
Guess: three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what does he send himself after visiting each place?
Guess: a postcard
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is stuck in the map?
Guess: little red pins
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how long does he have to visit a country before he can mark it with a pin?

24 hours