Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Inside the Charles Manson room at the Museum of Death in Hollywood, Anne Forde looks at crime scene photos from the 1969 Tate-LaBianca murders. 

"I was a kid when he was involved in these crimes," says Forde, who grew up in County Cork, Ireland. "It's just been a fascination for me ever since." 

"His eyes just stand out and look crazy," says Debbie Roberts, who was visiting the museum from Kentucky. "I can see how people followed him." 

A few miles away on Saturday mornings, Scott Michaels is hosting the "Helter Skelter Tragical History Tour." For $65, you can buy a bus seat to see where the murders took place, as Michaels tells the story of Helter Skelter. 

"We have people from around the world that sign up," says Michaels. "We added an additional anniversary tour, which is sold out." 

August 9 marks the 45th anniversary of the murders of Sharon Tate and four others on Cielo Drive in the Benedict Canyon neighborhood of Los Angeles. Tate, who was 8Â½ months pregnant and married to movie director Roman Polanski, was stabbed 16 times as she pleaded for the life of her unborn child. The next night, supermarket executive Leno LaBianca and Rosemary LaBianca were tortured and killed inside their home near Hollywood. 

Fast facts: Manson family murders 

Since then, Charles Manson, who was convicted of orchestrating the murders, has been the focus of continued fascination. 

"People seem to be fascinated by things that are strange and bizarre," says Vincent Bugliosi, sitting in his Los Angeles-area living room.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who visited the museum from kentucky?
Guess: Debbie Roberts
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the name of Scott Michaels' tour?
Guess: "Helter Skelter Tragical History Tour."
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the topic of the article?
Guess: Charles Manson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was Forde when the crimes were committed?
Guess: young
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was Manson convicted?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did Debbie describe his eyes?
Guess: the look crazy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is Michaels' anniversary tour booked up?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how much is a seat on his bus?
Guess: $65
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: are people fascinated with Manson?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why does Vincent think they are?
Guess: because people seem to be fascinated by things that are strange and bizarre
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where does he live?
Guess: Los Angeles
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what year were the murders?

1969