Here's a short story:

New Zealand is an island country in the southwestern Pacific Ocean. The country geographically comprises two main landmasses—the North Island (or "Te Ika-a-Māui"), and the South Island (or "Te Waipounamu")—and around 600 smaller islands. New Zealand is situated some east of Australia across the Tasman Sea and roughly south of the Pacific island areas of New Caledonia, Fiji, and Tonga. Because of its remoteness, it was one of the last lands to be settled by humans. During its long period of isolation, New Zealand developed a distinct biodiversity of animal, fungal and plant life. The country's varied topography and its sharp mountain peaks, such as the Southern Alps, owe much to the tectonic uplift of land and volcanic eruptions. New Zealand's capital city is Wellington, while its most populous city is Auckland. 

Sometime between 1250 and 1300 CE, Polynesians settled in the islands that later were named New Zealand and developed a distinctive Māori culture. In 1642, Dutch explorer Abel Tasman became the first European to sight New Zealand. In 1840, representatives of Britain and Māori chiefs signed the Treaty of Waitangi, which declared British sovereignty over the islands. In 1841, New Zealand became a colony within the British Empire and in 1907 it became a Dominion. Today, the majority of New Zealand's population of 4.7 million is of European descent; the indigenous Māori are the largest minority, followed by Asians and Pacific Islanders. Reflecting this, New Zealand's culture is mainly derived from Māori and early British settlers, with recent broadening arising from increased immigration. The official languages are English, Māori and New Zealand Sign Language, with English predominant. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What ocean is New Zealand in?
Guess: Pacific Ocean
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which part?
Guess: southwestern
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are the two parts of NZ?
Guess: the North Island and the South Island
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the North Island also known as?
Guess: Te Ika-a-Māui
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: And the South Island?
Guess: Te Waipounamu
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many small islands are there?
Guess: around 600
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is it in relation to Australia?
Guess: east of Australia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: across which body of water?
Guess: Tasman Sea
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: and south of what?
Guess: Pacific island areas of New Caledonia, Fiji, and Tonga
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was it setetled early by humans?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is the topography all the same?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does it have mountains?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: which ones?
Guess: Southern Alps
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is its capital?
Guess: Wellington
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is the most populous city?
Guess: Auckland
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened between 1250 and 1300?
Guess: Polynesians settled in the islands
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what kind of  culture did they have?

Māori culture