Here's a short story:

The Northern Territory (abbreviated as NT) is a federal Australian territory in the central and central northern regions of Australia. It shares borders with Western Australia to the west (129th meridian east), South Australia to the south (26th parallel south), and Queensland to the east (138th meridian east). To the north, the territory is bordered by the Timor Sea, the Arafura Sea and the Gulf of Carpentaria. Despite its large area—over , making it the third largest Australian federal division—it is sparsely populated. The Northern Territory's population of 244,000 (2016) makes it the least populous of Australia's eight major states and territories, having fewer than half as many people as Tasmania. 

The archaeological history of the Northern Territory begins over 40,000 years ago when Indigenous Australians settled the region. Makassan traders began trading with the indigenous people of the Northern Territory for trepang from at least the 18th century onwards. The coast of the territory was first seen by Europeans in the 17th century. The British were the first Europeans to attempt to settle the coastal regions. After three failed attempts to establish a settlement (1824–1828, 1838–1849, and 1864–66), success was achieved in 1869 with the establishment of a settlement at Port Darwin. Today the economy is based on tourism, especially Kakadu National Park in the Top End and the Uluru-Kata Tjuta National Park (Ayers Rock) in central Australia, and mining. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is the article about?
Guess: The Northern Territory
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Of what continent?
Guess: Australia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When does its time begin?
Guess: The archaeological history of the Northern Territory begins over 40,000 years ago
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did new people come?
Guess: the 18th century onwards
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From where?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What other areas are near by?
Guess: Western Australia to the west  South Australia to the south,  and Queensland to the east
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What bodies of water are near?
Guess: the Timor Sea, the Arafura Sea and the Gulf of Carpentaria.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people live there?
Guess: 244,000
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is it the largest area on the continent?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is its rank?
Guess: third
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What about rank in the number of people?

it's the least populous