Here's a short story:

Tony was riding his bike home from school. Then he saw Cindy riding her bike in front of him. 

Tony yelled, "Hey, Cindy!" Then he rode faster to catch up with her. 

Cindy said, "Tony! Hey! Where are you going?" 

"I'm going to the empty lot on Maple Street to ride my bike. The other kids are going to be there. Do you want to come?" 

"Sure," said Cindy. 

Tony and Cindy rode to Maple Street, to the empty lot. The empty lot did not have a house on it. Instead, it had big hills of dirt, and it had trees cut down on the ground. There was a low part that became a pond after it rained. The lot had been empty for a couple of years, because times were bad and the builder couldn't find a buyer for another house. The kids had ridden their bikes over the hills of dirt, around the cut trees, and through the muddy pond. There were bike trails all over the empty lot. There were even places where the kids could jump their bikes. 

There were three other children riding their bikes at the empty lot when Tony and Cindy arrived: Lana, Billy and Chris. 

Cindy said, "I am calling my mom to let her know that I'm here." 

Tony said, "That's a good idea. Can I use your phone when you're done?" 

Cindy said "Sure! Keep it for now. I'm going to go on the jump path. I was scared to try it last time. I don't want to break my phone if I fall. I'm leaving my backpack here, too." 

"Okay." said Tony. "I'll watch. You'll do good." (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who was riding their bike?
Guess: Tony
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was he going?
Guess: home
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: from where?
Guess: school
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he see?
Guess: Cindy
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he speak to her?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he say?
Guess: "Hey, Cindy!
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she speak back?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did she say?
Guess: "Tony! Hey! Where are you going?"
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did they go somewhere together?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: an empty lot
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were there others there?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how many others?
Guess: Three
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were their names?
Guess: Lana, Billy and Chris.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what were they doing there?

riding their bikes