Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- The one-eyed jihadist commander known as "Mr. Marlboro" is back in action. 

Moktar Belmoktar, whose group was responsible for the deadly attack on the BP oil facility in southern Algeria last January, appears in a new video released by his group -- the al-Mulathameen Brigade, which translates as the "Signatories in Blood Brigade." 

More than 30 foreign workers at the In Amenas facility in Algeria were killed during a three-day occupation of the plant. 

Belmokhtar is an Algerian but was more recently based in northern Mali, where he had combined kidnapping and smuggling (hence the nickname) with audacious terror attacks. He got his nickname for smuggling cigarettes across borders. 

Thought to be about 40, Belmokhtar was rumored to have been killed or wounded in March during the French military intervention in Mali. But in the new 51-minute video he is shown training fighters and paying tribute to another jihadist commander who was killed earlier this year. 

Belmoktar shows no sign of having been wounded. 

The video shows a group of jihadists preparing for two deadly raids in neighboring Niger in May, which targeted a French-owned uranium mine and a Nigerien military academy. 

"My brothers, all you should do is strive and make efforts with all determination and power to bring down their sites and harm their troops," Belmoktar says before embracing the group. At one point, he appears to be instructing recruits in using a rocket-propelled grenade. 

The government of Niger sent troops to join the French-led operation in Mali.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who is the article about?
Guess: Moktar Belmoktar
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why is there an article written about him?
Guess: He is a jihadist commander.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What has he done?
Guess: Responsible for terror attacks.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he known by any other name?
Guess: Yes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is it?
Guess: Mr. Marlboro
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why is he called that?
Guess: For smuggling cigarettes.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is his group responsible for?
Guess: A deadly attack on an oil facility
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: Southern Algeria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When?
Guess: last January.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many died?
Guess: 30
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did the violence last?
Guess: 3 days
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old is this man?
Guess: about 40
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has he ever been hurt?
Guess: Was rumored to have been killed or wounded.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: When?

in March