Here's a short story:

There once was an alligator named Albert (who wore an office shirt). He had two good friends - Lock the cat and Gary the hamster. Gary often rode around in Albert's shirt pocket, since it would be hard for him to keep up with Albert and Lock as they walked around. One day, as they were wandering around, a storm popped up, forcing them to hurry indoors to deal with it. Unfortunately for them, they couldn't find a building quickly, so they ended up being frosted over by the dangerous weather. "If we don't get out of this soon, I might die!" yelled Gary, who was cold. "Don't worry, no one's going to die!" yelled Albert, who, as a reptile, was even worse off than Gary. Luckily, they found a house after leaving the forest, which happened to be near the ocean. They ran inside, and dried off, before they headed to sleep. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who doesn't have fur?
Guess: an alligator
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was its name?
Guess: Albert
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he know any other animals?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What were their names?
Guess: Lock and Gary
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why didn't Gary walk?
Guess: it would be hard for him to keep up
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How did he travel?
Guess: in Albert's shirt pocket
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did they all do together?
Guess: they were wandering around
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: WHat happened then?

a storm