Here's a short story:

CHAPTER XI 

MR. LITTLESON, FLATTERER 

Once more a little luncheon was in progress at the corner table in the millionaires' club. This time Littleson also was of the party. He had been describing his luncheon of the day before to his friends. 

"I am dead sure of one thing," he declared. "She is on our side, and I honestly believe that she means getting that paper." 

"But she hasn't even the entrée to the house now," Weiss objected. 

"There are plenty of the servants there," Littleson answered, "whom she must know very well, and through whom she could get in, especially if Phineas is really up in his room. I tell you fellows, I truly believe we'll have that wretched document in our hands by this time to-morrow." 

"The day I see it in ashes," Bardsley muttered, "I'll stand you fellows a magnum of Pommery '92." 

"I wonder," Weiss remarked, "what sort of terms she is on with her cousin, the little girl with the big eyes." 

"I wish to Heaven one of you could make friends with that child!" Bardsley exclaimed. "I'd give a tidy lot to know whether Phineas Duge lies there on his bed, or whether his hand is on the telephone half the time. You are sure, Littleson, that Dick Losting is in Europe?" 

"Absolutely certain," Littleson answered. "I had a letter from him dated Paris only yesterday." 

"Then who in God's name is shaking the Chicago markets like this!" Bardsley declared, striking the newspaper which lay by his side with the palm of his hand. "You notice, too, the stocks which are being hit are all ours, every one of them. Damn! If Phineas should be sitting up there in his room with that hideous little smile upon his lips, talking and talking across the wires hour after hour, while we hang round like idiots and play his game! It's maddening to think of."  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was included in the party finally?
Guess: Littleson
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind of party was it?
Guess: luncheon
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where?
Guess: millionaires' club
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was there a luncheon the day before?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what city are they in?
Guess: Europe
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who is the child?
Guess: her cousin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what do they want from the house?
Guess: wretched document i
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Do they want Phineas to greet them at the door?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where do they hope he will be?
Guess: his room.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What will Bardsley do if they succeed?
Guess: hang round like idiots and play his game
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he say he will stand them a magnum of Pommery 92?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: when did Littleson get a letter?

yesterday.