Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Pausing to catch her breath at the bottom of the mountain, Lindsey Vonn was back in business. 

It may not have been fast, it may not have been smooth but it was still a landmark moment for the Olympic downhill champion. 

The American skiing star had finished her first race since making a complicated recovery from a knee injury. 

Vonn needed reconstructive surgery on her right knee after landing heavily on the opening day of the Alpine Ski World Championships in Austria in February. 

She has waited 10 months to go racing again and in November her return was put on ice when she partially tore one of her reconstructed knee ligaments in training. 

There were no complications for Vonn on her first competitive return down Canada's Lake Louise course -- but her time did not trouble the leaders. 

She finished her run in one minute 59.22 seconds -- more than three seconds off the leading time and 40th overall. 

The start of the race had been delayed by hazy cloud and extremely cold temperatures which dropped as low as -36 Celsius. Germany's Maria Hoefl-Riesch eventually came out on top with the quickest time. 

Vonn is racing against time to find form and fitness as she attempts to defend her downhill crown at February's Winter Olympics in the Russian resort of Sochi. 

There she will aim to emulate the feat of fellow American, Picabo Street, who came back the season after reconstructive surgery to win gold at Nagano in 1998.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What's the name of the athlete the story's about?
Guess: Lindsey Vonn
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What sport does she do?
Guess: downhill skiing
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Has she competed internationally?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Successfully?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What problem did she suffer?
Guess: a knee injury
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where did it occur?
Guess: in Austria
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened?
Guess: she landed heavily
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Which knee was injured?
Guess: Her right knee
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: When did the injury occur?
Guess: in February
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was she competing in?
Guess: the Alpine Ski World Championships
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long was it before she could ski again?
Guess: 10 months
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Were there any complications in her recovery?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happened?
Guess: she partially tore one of her reconstructed knee ligaments in training
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How long did she complete her first run in?
Guess: one minute 59.22 seconds
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did she win?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What place was she in?

40th