Here's a short story:

Chapter 10: In Disguise. Chapter 11: A Useful Friend. Chapter 12: A Tiger In A Zenana. Chapter 13: Officers Of The Palace. Chapter 14: A Surprise. Chapter 15: Escape. Chapter 16: The Journey. Chapter 17: Back At Tripataly. Chapter 18: A Narrow Escape. Chapter 19: Found At Last. Chapter 20: The Escape. Chapter 21: Home. 



Preface. 

While some of our wars in India are open to the charge that they were undertaken on slight provocation, and were forced on by us in order that we might have an excuse for annexation, our struggle with Tippoo Saib was, on the other hand, marked by a long endurance of wrong, and a toleration of abominable cruelties perpetrated upon Englishmen and our native allies. Hyder Ali was a conqueror of the true Eastern type. He was ambitious in the extreme. He dreamed of becoming the Lord of the whole of Southern India. He was an able leader, and, though ruthless where it was his policy to strike terror, he was not cruel from choice. 

His son, Tippoo, on the contrary, revelled in acts of the most abominable cruelty. It would seem that he massacred for the very pleasure of massacring, and hundreds of British captives were killed by famine, poison, or torture, simply to gratify his lust for murder. Patience was shown towards this monster until patience became a fault, and our inaction was naturally ascribed by him to fear. Had firmness been shown by Lord Cornwallis, when Seringapatam was practically in his power, the second war would have been avoided and thousands of lives spared. The blunder was a costly one to us, for the work had to be done all over again, and the fault of Lord Cornwallis retrieved by the energy and firmness of the Marquis of Wellesley.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who was Hyder Ali?
Guess: a conqueror
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he dream about?
Guess: becoming the Lord of the whole of Southern India
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he a capable leader?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Did he choose to be mean?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who was his son?
Guess: Tippoo
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Was he nice?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What did he do to hundreds of British?
Guess: captives were killed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Why?
Guess: to gratify his lust for murder
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the struggle with Tippoo Saib marked by?
Guess: a long endurance of wrong
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Which Lord could have been firm and avoided a second war?

Lord Cornwallis