Here's a short story:

Imagine yourself on a boat looking out at the horizon and all you can see is the water meeting the sky with no land in sight and you are sailing straight ahead to meet the world. Jesse Martin does not have to imagine: he is living in it. 

On Dec. 7, 1998, at 17 years old, Jesse set sail from Melbourne, Australia on his boat, attempting to become the youngest person to sail alone and nonstop around the world. He sailed south of New Zealand, through the South Pacific, around South America, north on the Atlantic, back south past Africa, through the Indian Ocean and back to Melbourne. 

Even as a young child, Jesse had been an adventurer who traveled all over Europe and Asia with his parents. Born in Munich, Germany in 1981, he moved to Australia with his family when he was only two years old. They moved close to a rainforest in Cow Bay, about 3500kms north of Melbourne, where they built a small house with no electricity or running water. Jesse grew up at the beach enjoying the outdoors to its fullest. 

At 14, he sailed for the first time with his father and brother, Beau. It was after this trip that he began to dream about sailing around the world. 

Jesse's family played an important role. "I was made to believe I could do anything." he says. Although, he says, there were others that were not so encouraging or supportive, "People that I looked up to, respected and trusted told me I couldn't. Thankfully, I trusted myself. There were people that said that the boat couldn't be ready by the time I had to leave." However, through perseverance and belief in himself he was able to do what many told him was impossible. 

On Oct.31, 1999, more than 10 months after he set sail, Jesse Martin went down in history as the youngest person to sail around the world alone, nonstop and unassisted. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: who set sail from melbourne?
Guess: Jesse Martin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: is he an adventurer?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: where was he born?
Guess: Munich, Germany
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year?
Guess: 1981
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was he when he first sailed?
Guess: 14
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who did he sail with?
Guess: his father and brother
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is the name of his sibling?
Guess: Beau.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how old was Jesse when sailed from Melbourne?
Guess: 17
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did he sail past Africa?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he alone?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: who does he say was important?
Guess: His family
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was everyone supportive of him?
Guess: No
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did some people think the boat would be ready?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how long did it take Jesse to sail around the world?
Guess: more than 10 months
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: was he the youngest in history to do it?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what year did he complete the trip?
Guess: 1999
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did Jesse grow up on a beach?
Guess: Yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: in which city?
Guess: Cow Bay
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: how old was he when his family moved from australia?

two