Here's a short story:

A victor is, by definition, someone who wins a struggle or contest. However, that doesn't mean he or she will live a proud and happy life ever after, as Katniss Everdeen is about to discover in The Hunger Games: Catching Fire. 

Catching Fire, out in Chinese theaters on Nov 21, is set in a futuristic society called Panem. Every year its government holds a televised fight to the death. Two teenagers from each of the 12 districts of Panem are chosen to compete. 

In the new film, last year's victors Katniss (Jennifer Lawrence) and her partner Peeta are back home after winning the 74thHunger Games. Katniss just wants to live a normal life. However, that never seems to happen. She has nightmares, which remind her that she is a killer. 

Her worst nightmare comes true when the annual Hunger Games arrive again. The teenager finds herself back in the competition along with Peeta. Since Katniss brings hope to Panem through her courage, President Snow plans to use this year's Games to kill off Katniss and Peeta and in turn _ the fires of rebellion. 

"This is the next step of Katniss' heroism and the next part of her journey to finding out who she is really going to be," Lawrence told Reuters. 

Fast-paced and full of action, Catching Fire looks to outdo the success that the first film had in 2012. With a 97 percent rating on the movie review website Rotten Tomatoes, it is enjoying positive reviews. Critics have praised it for being faithful to the book written by American author Suzanne Collins. The Hollywood Reporter said that Catching Fire outshines the first movie a lot. 

Jennifer Lawrence, who won a best actress Oscar this year for her 2012 movie Silver Linings Playbook, has helped Catching Fire find success, Forbes pointed out. The 23-year-old actress does well playing a young lady who hates what she was forced to do to stay alive yet is determined not to give up. 

"Lawrence's down-to-earth personality in real life won the hearts of the public. So given a wildly popular first film that blew everyone away, a rising fan base and a lead performer beloved by the mainstream press and viewers, the sequel was always going to be big," Forbes noted. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is a victor?
Guess: someone who wins
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Wins what?
Guess: a struggle or contest.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What was the contest or  struggle?
Guess: the annual Hunger Games
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What happens in that?
Guess: A televised fight to the death.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many people were in the fight?
Guess: 24
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who were 2 of them?
Guess: Katniss and Peeta
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How old are they?
Guess: They are teenagers
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who played the part of Katniss?
Guess: Jennifer Lawrence
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Did she win any awards?

Yes