Here's a short story:

Occitan, also known as lenga d'òc by its native speakers, is a Romance language. It is spoken in southern France, Italy's Occitan Valleys, Monaco, and Spain's Val d'Aran; collectively, these regions are sometimes referred to as Occitania. Occitan is also spoken in the linguistic enclave of Guardia Piemontese (Calabria, Italy). However, there is controversy about the unity of the language, as some think that Occitan is a macrolanguage. Others include Catalan in this family, as the distance between this language and some Occitan dialects (such as the Gascon language) is similar to the distance among different Occitan dialects. In fact, Catalan was considered an Occitan dialect until the end of the 19th century. 

Today, Occitan is an official language in Catalonia, where a subdialect of Gascon known as Aranese is spoken in the Val d'Aran. Occitan's closest relative is Catalan. Since September 2010, the Parliament of Catalonia has considered Aranese Occitan to be the officially preferred language for use in the Val d'Aran. 

Across history, the terms Limousin ("Lemosin"), Languedocien ("Lengadocian"), Gascon, and later Provençal ("Provençal", "Provençau" or "Prouvençau") have been used as synonyms for the whole of Occitan; nowadays, "Provençal" is understood mainly as the Occitan dialect spoken in Provence. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: What is Occitan the official language of?
Guess: Catalonia
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What subdialect is spoken there?
Guess: Aranese
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What is Occitan known as by native speakers?
Guess: lenga d'òc
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What type of language is it?
Guess: a Romance language
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where is it spoken?
Guess: in southern France
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where else?
Guess: Italy's Occitan Valleys
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Anywhere else?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Where?
Guess: Monaco and Spain's Val d'Aran
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What are these areas sometimes called?
Guess: Occitania
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is there controversy about the language?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: What kind?

about the unity of the language