Here's a short story:

(CNN) -- Mitt Romney is rumored to be announcing a choice soon for his vice presidential running mate, and conventional thinking suggests his pick is going to be "safe," someone who brings a high measure of conservative street cred, and preferably from a swing state. 

In other words, the rumor is the guy who has trouble getting people to like him is going to pick someone even more boring than him. 

It seems he hasn't figured out that as long as Barack Obama is president, his base will be fired up in spite of his dull personality, so what he doesn't need to do is waste this pick on a running mate Republicans will like. 

What he needs is someone who can attract voters on the fence.  

A media darling with a successful track record to point to and someone whose social politics won't immediately get them labeled by independents as "crazy." 

Romney risks playing running mate hand too early 

Enter Michael Bloomberg: that union-fighting/gay-couple-loving renegade who would make things complicated for Democrats because he's managed to get elected three times in the most diverse region in the country while being a rich, old white guy. 

Four years ago, Sen. John McCain selected a game changer who turned out to be better in theory than in practice. Like Sarah Palin, Bloomberg would be a curve ball. But while she got people talking, the New York mayor would get people talking and thinking. 

How? 

By being something many of the other VP options are not: a real Republican. An old school Republican.  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Who does the author say might be a curveball to the campaign?
Guess: \ Michael Bloomberg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What position is he being considered for?
Guess: VP
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: For which presidential candidate?
Guess: Mitt Romney
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: What party is he running under?
Guess: Republican.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Is he expected to make a "safe" choice?
Guess: yes
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: From which type of state would a "safe" person be?
Guess: a swing state.
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who is Romney running against?
Guess: unknown
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who might Bloomberg make things "complicated for"?
Guess: Democrats
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Does he support unions?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who else was described as a "game changer" in a previous election?
Guess: Sarah Palin
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who selected her?
Guess: John McCain
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many years ago was that?
Guess: Four
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: Who does the author describe as a "rich, old white guy"?
Guess: Michael Bloomberg
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: How many times was he elected, despite that reputation?
Guess: three times
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: Does the author find Romney boring?

yes