Here's a short story:

CHAPTER IX. 

THE FIRE. 

Raymond let the cattle browse about, while he went to work, cutting down some small, but yet pretty tall and bushy trees. He then brought up the team, and hooked a long chain into the ring which hung down from the middle of the yoke, upon the under side. The end of the chain trailed upon the ground, as the oxen came along, and Caleb was very much interested to see how they would trample along, any where, among the rocks, roots, mire, logs, bushes, stumps, and, in fact, over and through almost any thing, chewing their cud all the time, patient and unconcerned. When they were brought up near to one of the trees that had been cut down, Raymond would hook the chain around the butt end of it, and then, at his command, they would drag it out of its place in the line of the fence. After looking on for some time, Caleb began to think that he would go to work; and he went to a little tree, with a stem about as big round as his arm, and began to saw away upon it. He found that the saw would run very well indeed; and in a short time, he got the tree off, and then undertook to drag it to the fence. 

Raymond was always a very silent man; he seldom spoke, unless to answer a question; and while Caleb had been watching him, when he first began to work, instead of talking with Caleb, as Caleb would have desired, he was all the time singing,  (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: what was raymond doing?
Guess: cutting down  trees
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were the cows doing?
Guess: browsing about
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was caleb interested to see?
Guess: how the oxen would trample along
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: how did the oxen act as they walked?
Guess: patient
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Raymond do when they go to a cut down tree?
Guess: hook the chain around the butt end
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he command the oxen to do then?
Guess: drag it out of its place
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: did Raymond talk a lot?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did he talk?
Guess: to answer a question
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what kind of trees did he cut?
Guess: tall and bushy trees
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were the oxen pick about where they walked?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were some of the things they walked amoung?
Guess: rocks, roots, mire
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what were they doing as they went along?
Guess: chewing their cud
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: were they in a hurry?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did Caleb do after watching?
Guess: he began to think that he would go to work
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what did he do then?
Guess: went to a little tree
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: was it a big tree?

no