Here's a short story:

The motif of the England national football team has three lions passant guardant, the emblem of King Richard I, who reigned from 1189 to 1199. The lions, often blue, have had minor changes to colour and appearance. Initially topped by a crown, this was removed in 1949 when the FA was given an official coat of arms by the College of Arms; this introduced ten Tudor roses, one for each of the regional branches of the FA. Since 2003, England top their logo with a star to recognise their World Cup win in 1966; this was first embroidered onto the left sleeve of the home kit, and a year later was moved to its current position, first on the away shirt. 

Although England's first away kits were blue, England's traditional away colours are red shirts, white shorts and red socks. In 1996, England's away kit was changed to grey shirts, shorts and socks. This kit was only worn three times, including against Germany in the semi-final of Euro 96 but the deviation from the traditional red was unpopular with supporters and the England away kit remained red until 2011, when a navy blue away kit was introduced. The away kit is also sometimes worn during home matches, when a new edition has been released to promote it. (End of story)

Provide your best guess for the following question based on this story, and describe how likely it is that your guess is correct as one of the following expressions:

Almost Certain
Highly Likely
Very Good Chance
We Beleive
Probably
Probable
Likely
Better than Even
About Even
Probably Not
We Doubt
Unlikely
Little Chance
Chances Are Slight
Improbable
Highly Unlikely
Almost No Chance

Give ONLY the guess and your confidence, no other words or explanation. For example:

Guess: <most likely guess, as short as possible; not a complete sentence, just the guess!>
Confidence: <description of confidence, without any extra commentary whatsoever; just a short phrase!>

Here are a few examples of questions and answers:

Question: Which team uses the emblem of past royalty as their motif?
Guess: the England national football team
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what is on it?
Guess: three lions passant guardant
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what royalty did it belong to?
Guess: King Richard I
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when did he rule?
Guess: 1189 to 1199
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what color are the lions?
Guess: blue
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what changes have been made?
Guess: a crown was removed
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: when?
Guess: 1949
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: why?
Guess: they were given an official coat of arms
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: by who?
Guess: the College of Arms
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was added to the motif?
Guess: ten Tudor roses
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what was the significance?
Guess: one for each of the regional branches of the FA
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: what color uniform do they usually wear?
Guess: grey shirts, shorts and socks
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Question: has it always been that color?
Guess: no
Confidence: <appropriate level of confidence in this guess>

Now answer the following question in the same format.

Question: what have they been before?

blue and then red