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RT @EndeavorDetroit: Detroit has earned itself the nickname "foodie paradise". Meet some of the key players in Michigan's thriving food & beverage industry in and around the Endeavor network. #detroiteats #scaleup #michiganentrepreneurship https://t.co/yASrsTG7U17:49 AM - 6 Dec 18
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Congratulations to @EndeavorEspana company @mrjeffapp on raising a $12 million Series A, led by All Iron Ventures with participation from Endeavor Catalyst! https://t.co/OMGLhR8Cwe https://t.co/2EV50q
VC is still harder to come by in emerging markets than it is in developed nations. But there's a huge opportunity there. Analysis via Endeavor Insight: https://t.co/xNdPcYXee5 https://t.co/SPZIXBItU0
The beginning of the year is the perfect time to pick up a new skill or get better at something that challenges you. What do you want to master in 2019? https://t.co/Gm7eVX0vFT via @HarvardBiz https:/
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We loved having ASTI engineer Jael join us at the 2018 #EndeavorGala where we celebrated 1.5 million high-impact jobs created by Endeavor Entrepreneurs! @ASTIMRobotics @EndeavorEspana @veronicapascboe
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We're thrilled to welcome new Endeavor Global President Adrian Garcia-Aranyos. Read about Adrian's journey, from building Endeavor Spain and the lessons learned along the way, to his vision for high-i
We know that when entrepreneurs reinvest in their local economies, it can make a sustainable impact. Here's how Endeavor is thinking about this in Louisville: https://t.co/WkIuBx4xtV @Endeavor_Lou htt
Originally launched as a grocery delivery app in late 2015, Rappi has evolved into an on-demand delivery service for "everything" in seven countries throughout Latin America. Read about the impact the
"My being a woman has helped NOLA grow." Endeavor Entrepreneur Laila Sedky spoke with @AccelerateSME about how she scaled her business NOLA Cupcakes: https://t.co/K17wjunmIM https://t.co/CmuOFSny3r
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Meet our newest entrepreneurs, read up on Endeavor Insight's latest research, and catch up on happenings in the high-impact entrepreneurship movement, here in our January newsletter: https://t.co/x5rc
Cellulant is a digital payments service provider — but the company's core mission is really all about connecting African consumers to what matters to them. Learn more about their impact: https://t.co/


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So, I'm going to blog, instead, about 2 books that I am currently loving. First, And I Shall Have some Peace There: Trading in the Fast Land for My Own Dirt Road by Margaret Roach. OK, I know I have never lived in the fast lane; I've never really had a career other than mom and professional volunteer. I guess I am living a little vicariously through this book; Margaret had a job much like the job I always thought I would have -- she started out writing for a newspaper. Of course, she ended up as the editorial director of Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia. (That's a hell of a word, isn't it?) But after 30+ years, she left the corporate world to live on her little farm in upstate New York.
She writes much like I would guess she talks to her friends, with lots of asides and quips and jabs at herself. I think what I like best about this book is that it doesn't pretend everything is perfect. So unlike everything that comes from MSO. So like everything that comes from me.
It's that lesson it's taken me so long to learn -- life doesn't have to be perfect to be good.
On Saturday, I had volunteered to help at a 4-H crafts workshop at the library -- a little cross-stitch, a little knitting, a little crochet. Linda, the dear woman who organized the afternoon, is a Knit Night friend, and I was pretty excited to help. She put together little kits of needles, hoops, yarn and floss, had stations all set up and ready and even had door prizes. Unfortunately, only three 4-Her's showed up for the workshop. I was one of five volunteers there, and after chatting with the other volunteers for a while (and realizing I wasn't really needed because the terrific Jr. Leader there is a better knitter than I am), I headed upstairs to find another sock book, since these socks of mine really aren't "soaring on two circular needles" like Cat Bordhi tells me they should. (I've got holes, just like every other time I have tried socks.) I didn't find another sock book to help me out, but I did find Gifted: Lovely Little Things to Knit and Crochet by Mags Kandis. She designed the Modern Quilt Wrap, a pattern I love, started, ripped out and have been planning to knit again for several years. This book is just beautiful, and is full of sweet little patterns I would like to try.
As for the sock, I'm resisting the urge to rip it out and use the yarn for a bunch of mitered squares. Even if a sock isn't perfect, can it still be good?

subset: commoncrawl


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the boys & i had so much fun making these "i spy bottles" for our friends over the holiday season, & the best part? unlike the i spy bags, there is absolutely NO sewing involved.
easy-peasy i spy bottles
prep: 1 large plastic bottle (i used the 33.8 FL OZ smart water bottle), a mr. clean magic eraser, goo gone, approximately 30+ small doo-dads & findings to fill bottle (peruse craft stores, etc. for "little" stuff. buttons, scrapbook stuff, household odds & ends. for ex: paper clip, button, penny), poly-pellets (you can find this at craft stores, it's usually used for doll stuffing) or you can also use bird seed or rice as the filler, funnel, super glue, clear contact paper or packing tape & confetti (although this is totally optional, it just makes it look pretty… alphabet & number confetti works really well, & adds a fun component – find all the letters of the alphabet, etc.).
for a step-by-step picture tutorial, simply click on the pictures at the right to enlarge…
1. start with a clean & dry bottle
2. using the Magic Eraser remove any black printing on the bottle
3. remove the label from the bottle & use the goo gone to remove any of the residual stickiness.
4. fill your bottle with all you "goodies", don't forget to make a list of what you put in!
5. using the funnel, fill the bottle about 2/3 full with your filler (the poly-pellets, rice, or bird seed). you want it full, but not so full that when you shake it, your items don't move around.
6. if you are adding confetti, you'll want to do so at this time.
7. at this point you'll want to screw on the bottle cap & shake, shake, shake! (i tend to start singing shake senora at this point.) mix everything up really well… plus it works well as a trial run. if the "goodies" aren't moving around, you may have to take out some of your filler.
8. once everything is shaken up & you're pleased with the amount of filler, etc. it's time to super glue on your bottle cap – you definitely don't want little hands & fingers getting it unscrewed! & don't forget to cut off that little "extra" part of the cap that is floating around now… you know the part that you "unscrew" the bottle cap from, when you first open the bottle.
9. print up your list "can you spy a…" with all of your goodies listed. tape or glue it to the bottle & cover it with clear contact paper or packing tape, so it doesn't get lost. (you can also laminate the list & tie it to the bottle, if that works better for you.)
10. at this point you can be done, or you can add some colorful curling ribbon to make it pretty.
ta da! your very own i spy bottle. now it's time for the fun to begin. i spy a…


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Nope no profit. 2 are going out to fellow collectors. The 2 remaining are mine. 1 with and 1 without sticker. Nice try though.
He wants to sell them to people for profit lol
@kumarp13 Cool!
why so many of them? ha
For the moment, all purchases can be made
inside Boxes on your mobile device


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Dixon in Lee County, Illinois — The American Midwest (Great Lakes)
Lincoln Supports Fremont for President
Location. 41° 50.551′ N, 89° 28.857′ W. Marker is in Dixon, Illinois, in Lee County. Marker is on South Ottawa Avenue north of East 2nd Street, on the right when traveling south. Touch for map. Marker is in this post office area: Dixon IL 61021, United States of America.
Other nearby markers. At least 8 other markers are within walking distance of this marker. Berlin Wall Replica (about 300 feet away, measured in a direct line); The Wings of Peace and Freedom (about 300 feet away); Dixon Public Library (about 700 feet away); First Christian Church (about 800 feet away); Dixon Historic Center (approx. 0.2 miles Abraham Lincoln (approx. 0.4 miles away); Reagan Home (approx. 0.4 miles away); Reagan Way (approx. half a mile away). Touch for a list and map of all markers in Dixon.
Categories. • Politics •
Credits. This page was last revised on June 16, 2016. This page originally submitted on October 24, 2014, by Bill Kirchner of Tucson, Arizona. This page has been viewed 329 times since then and 2 times this year. Photos: 1, 2, 3, 4. submitted on October 24, 2014, by Bill Kirchner of Tucson, Arizona. • Al Wolf was the editor who published this page.


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My husband and I have been clients of All County CFL Property Management for nearly two years. All County has managed a property in the Orlando area for us very professionally. I can state unequivocally that All County has exceeded our expectations. We were very pleased with Sandra, our first manager, then when Kathi Thomas stepped into Sandra's position, we were pleasantly pleased with her attentiveness to us. Most recently, Kathi has both professionally and firmly dealt with issues that would have been troubling and time consuming to us, since we are 3 hours away. Thank you Kathi and All County. I have nothing but nice things to say about this company.
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I am very satisfied with All County CFL management team and professional services. My property manager, Nish, is a delight to work with and has demonstrated great sense of urgency to address my issues.
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Journal of Wind Energy
Volume 2013, Article ID 739162, 12 pages
Statistical and Spectral Analysis of Wind Characteristics Relevant to Wind Energy Assessment Using Tower Measurements in Complex Terrain
1Drexel University, 3001 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
2Desert Research Institute, 2215 Raggio Parkway, Reno, NV 89512, USA
Received 18 April 2013; Accepted 10 June 2013
Academic Editor: Oliver Probst
Copyright © 2013 Radian Belu and Darko Koracin. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
The main objective of the study was to investigate spatial and temporal characteristics of the wind speed and direction in complex terrain that are relevant to wind energy assessment and development, as well as to wind energy system operation, management, and grid integration. Wind data from five tall meteorological towers located in Western Nevada, USA, operated from August 2003 to March 2008, used in the analysis. The multiannual average wind speeds did not show significant increased trend with increasing elevation, while the turbulence intensity slowly decreased with an increase were the average wind speed. The wind speed and direction were modeled using the Weibull and the von Mises distribution functions. The correlations show a strong coherence between the wind speed and direction with slowly decreasing amplitude of the multiday periodicity with increasing lag periods. The spectral analysis shows significant annual periodicity with similar characteristics at all locations. The relatively high correlations between the towers and small range of the computed turbulence intensity indicate that wind variability is dominated by the regional synoptic processes. Knowledge and information about daily, seasonal, and annual wind periodicities are very important for wind energy resource assessment, wind power plant operation, management, and grid integration.
1. Introduction
Wind energy represents a nonpolluting, never-ending source of energy able to meet increasing energy needs domestically and around the world. Wind power is replenished daily by the sun, due to the uneven heating of the Earth's surface. Furthermore, the wind is accelerated by major land forms, so that entire regions may be very windy while others are relatively calm. A feasibility study of any wind energy project should certainly include a study of the spatial, temporal, and directional variations of wind velocity. On the other hand, the development of predictive models in order to supervise and operate wind-based electricity generation requires knowledge of the wind vector characteristics. This is a very difficult task because of the extreme transitions in the speed and direction of wind at most sites. In order to optimize wind energy conversion systems and maximize the energy extraction, annual, monthly, daily, hourly, and even by-minute frequency distributions of wind data are required. In the last few years, increasing attention has been paid to analyses of wind speed and direction statistics and to mathematical representations of wind speed and direction as being essential to wind engineering and wind energy industry. Knowledge of the wind characteristics and variability in the lower few hundred meters of the atmosphere is important to, for example, exploitation of wind energy, planning of tall buildings, and monitoring of dispersion of trace substances. For example, in the field of energy production, knowledge of the wind characteristics where wind turbine installations are planned is critical. Moreover, the development of prediction models in order to supervise and optimize the electricity generation and planning requires knowing the wind vector characteristics. An extensive review of the main issues related to the assessment and forecasting of the wind and wind energy has been shown by Koracin et al. [1]. Their review includes limitations and advantages of wind forecasting and assessment of the wind power density, trends of increasing penetration of wind-generated power into the utility grid, and storage of wind-generated power. They discuss the influence of wind variability, atmospheric stability, turbulence, and low-level jets on wind power density in detail. Koracin et al. [1] also reviewed prediction and assessment of climate projections of wind resources and their economic implications as well as the environmental concerns such as birds' habitats and routes, viewpoint aesthetics, and noise. The present study focuses on the cyclic evolution and the characteristics of the wind velocity fields in the complex terrain of Western Nevada using tall-tower long-term observations.
Time series of meteorological conditions are of special interest to understanding, analyzing, and modeling atmospheric phenomena, determining the climate of a geographical area, and forecasting the possibilities of occurrence of some extreme situations. Several mathematical distribution functions have been suggested to represent the wind speed, and different methods have also been developed to estimate the parameters of these distribution functions. However, the Weibull distribution is the most appropriate and most commonly used for representing the wind speed, and a great deal of work related to wind speed statistics has been reported [2–20]. Much less work has been presented in the literature regarding wind direction statistics, despite the fact that we come across directional or circular data almost everywhere in applied science. They are widely used in wind energy, biology, meteorology, geography, astronomy, air pollution, medicine, and many other areas. Data measured in the form of angles or two-dimensional orientations are unlike linear data, and they cannot be treated the same way as linear data. Wind direction, , is usually modeled in terms of the von Mises distribution function or in terms of a normal two-dimensional distribution function involving three parameters: the mean values of the two horizontal components of the wind speed, the RMSEs of these component values, and the correlation factors between them [13–20]. On the other hand, minimizing the fluctuations of wind energy production requires the following: (i) selecting wind farm sites having not only high wind speed but also low turbulence, (ii) optimizing the spatial distribution of the wind turbine generators within a farm by taking into account the spatial structure of the wind turbulence, and (iii) choosing the geographical distribution of the wind farms within a region or territory to favor a smoothing of the overall available wind power.
In this study, we analyze the wind speed, wind direction, diurnal, seasonal, and annual periodicities, and turbulence intensities at five sites located near Tonopah in Western Nevada (one 80 m tower and four 50 m meteorological towers; see Figure 1 for the tower locations and Table 1 for the towers' geographical coordinates). The 50 m towers were operated for a period of over four and a half years from August 2003 through March 2008, while the 80 m tower was operated from February 2007 until March 2008 [2, 21, 22]. In our analysis, we consider the wind velocity, pressure, and temperature measurements. We compare, analyze, and characterize the wind velocity characteristics and variability measured at these five instrumented tower data. The comparison and analysis are performed mainly on the basis of the aforementioned criteria. First, we characterize each measurement site by its distribution of both wind speeds and directions. The Weibull distribution function is used for the wind speed, while for wind direction the von Mises distribution function is used to draw a first comparison between these five sites [13–20]. We also analyze the periodicity characteristics of the wind speed and direction for each site. The investigation of the wind velocity for each location also permits us to highlight the influence of the site topography on the wind characteristics. A spectral characterization of the wind velocities is also presented. Finally, the analysis examines the spatial and temporal characteristics and correlations of the wind among these five instrumented towers.
2. Experimental Setup, Analysis Methodology, and Aspects of the Observed Wind Climate
The data analyzed in this work were collected during an experiment conducted by the Desert Research Institute near Tonopah in Western Nevada from August 2003 to March 2008 (Figure 1). The study area for the wind energy assessment conducted in this study is the complex terrain of West-Central Nevada in the proximity of the Sierra Nevada and Inyo Mountain Ranges in the Western USA. The area around the eastern slopes of the Sierra Nevada Mountains has a complex pattern of wind climate which is governed by a variety of non-linear and nonhydrostatic phenomena. A number of studies have addressed the mesoscale meteorological phenomena in this region [1, 22]. The target area for this study is located in West-Central Nevada some 100 km east of the northern tip of Inyo Mountain Range of the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Nevada is characterized by basins and mountain ranges, characterized by several mostly north-south oriented narrow mountain ranges. Secondary mountain ranges in the area reach elevations as high as 3000 m, and on average stand some as high as 1500 m over the surrounding plains. The large-scale terrain tilt is greatest towards the south. The climate is generally semiarid, and the vegetation is sparse. The aridity of the region, especially in the warmer part of the year, leads to large diurnal variations in the sensible heating. Together with the orographic features of the region, these properties are highly conducive to the onset and maintenance of thermally driven diurnal circulations. In summer, the entire region is typically characterized by deep and extremely well-mixed daytime convective boundary layers and a strong stably stratified nocturnal boundary layer with near-surface inversions [23]. On the other hand, in winter months the atmospheric processes are mainly dominated by the passages of frontal systems coming from the Pacific Ocean. The current observational evidence of the near-surface winds and their diurnal and seasonal variability in Nevada is rather poor, except for knowledge from a sparse network of surface stations and a few field experiments [1, 2, 21–23]. The experimental results suggest that, besides local thermally driven circulations, regional southwesterly plain-mountain flows driven by regional-scale heating contrasts are important components of thermally driven flows over the arid Southwest USA [1]. Some aspects of the wind speed climate related to wind power resources in this region for the aforementioned period were documented in [1, 2, 21, 22]. They showed that the strongest monthly mean wind speeds are generally found in the late afternoon, while the weakest winds are typically found in the early morning.
Wind direction and speed data were measured at every 10 minutes at five levels (10 m, 20 m, 30 m, 40 m, and 50 m) at the 50 m instrumented towers. The wind speed and direction were measured in a horizontal plane, with three-cup anemometers and wind vanes (wind direction was measured only at 10 and 50 m). The accuracy of these wind measurements is 0.1 m/s for the range 5 m/s to 25 m/s. The wind velocity data collected from the 80 m tower came from sonic anemometers which were sampled at 20 Hz at four levels 10 m, 40 m, 60 m, and 80 m. Besides the wind velocity, air temperature, atmospheric pressure, humidity, and solar radiation were measured at a surface weather station located near each tower base. The goal of the experiment was to analyze and assess the wind energy potential in this area of Western Nevada. Wind velocities less than 0.5 m/s were recorded as calm and were not included in this analysis. Before the statistical and spectral analysis of the data, a quality control check of all data was performed to remove outliers and to interpolate over small data gaps that may be present. Overall, the corrected data are of sufficient quality, with less than 3% of the data removed as outliers or unacceptable data [2, 22].
3. Data Analysis and Results
Assessment of the wind energy potential at a particular site or area involves analyzing the wind characteristics, the distribution of the measured wind speed and direction, the maximum wind speed, the wind variability and seasonality, and the diurnal variations of the wind speeds. Wind characteristics were studied by using cumulative frequencies of the observed wind velocities and the Weibull and the von Mises probability distributions. To understand the diurnal, seasonal, and annual variations of the wind speeds and direction, a comprehensive statistical and spectral analysis was performed.
3.1. Wind Speed and Wind Direction Distributions
First, we performed a meteorological analysis of the composite 2003–2008 50 m tower datasets for the four 50 m meteorological towers and of the 14-month data measured at the 80 m tower. We analyzed the measured wind and meteorological data using statistical descriptors (mean and variance) and the relative and cumulative frequencies at each tower and measurement level. The air density was calculated using pressure and temperature measurements. The monthly and annual averages of the wind speed, temperature, pressure, and air density are summarized in Table 2. Due to location elevations, the monthly values of the air density at each of the five sites range from 0.950 to 1.100 kg/m3, which are significantly lower than those the standard air density of 1.225 kg/m3. The Tonopah 24NW and Stone Cabin sites show higher monthly wind speeds compared with the other towers. Monthly wind speeds at the 30 m level of the Luning 7W Tower are higher than the values measured at the 50 m level. Similarly, the wind speeds at 60 m for Stone Cabin are in general higher than those at the 80 m level. This pattern is very likely due to the effects of the local complex topography on the air flows. The towers are located in complex terrain with a complex wind climate. The dominant directions (at the 10 m and 50 m levels) for the wind at Tonopah 24NW are north-northwest and south, while for Kingston 14SW they are north-northeast and south-southwest. The Kingston 14SW Tower is located on a high plain to the east of a mountain ridge oriented almost north-south. The dominant directions for the Stone Cabin Tower are equally divided between northwest and southwest. For Luning 7W, the dominant directions of the wind are eastwest, while for Luning 5N they are north-northwest and south-southeast. The shift of about 60° in the wind directions for the Luning 7W Tower compared with the Luning 5N Tower (the towers are in proximity of each other, about 10 km distant, but with about 170 m elevation difference; see Table 1 for the tower altitudes and coordinates and Figure 1) is accounted for by the effects of the local topography and maybe the effect of the difference in the altitude on flow patterns. These two towers are in proximity of a small mountain ridge with an eastwest orientation.
The multiannual monthly means of wind speed and direction are in very good agreement with the climatologic values for Nevada found in the literature [1, 22–24]. The Tonopah 24NW site seems to be the most promising wind energy site of all four towers (with seasonal means from 5.25 to 6.20 m/s and with a multiannual value of 5.49 m/s, class 3 or higher wind power potential), at the 50 m level. The Kingston 14SW site has seasonal mean values between 3.97 m/s and 5.08 m/s and a multiannual value of 4.53 m/s, class 2 or higher wind power potential. For the other two towers, the seasonal mean values are around 4 m/s or lower, class 1 wind power potential [25]. The Stone Cabin Tower at the 60 m level has seasonal mean values between 5.12 m/s and 6.12 m/s and an annual value of 5.68 m/s, the same wind class potential as that of the Tonopah 24NW site. For the other levels, these values are smaller. The Stone Cabin site seems to be in the same wind energy potential class as that of the Tonopah 24NW site, although this site has a much shorter period of observations, only 14 months. Note that the monthly multiannual wind speeds for the Tonopah 24NW and Stone Cabin Towers are in the range of 6.5 m/s to 7.5 m/s (wind class 4) during the peak season (February to June) and 5.5 m/s to 6.5 m/s (wind class 3) for the rest of the year. For the Kingston 14SW 50 m Tower, the wind speeds are in the range 4.7 m/s to 5.8 m/s during the peak season (wind class 2) and between 3.7 m/s and 4.3 m/s for the rest of the year. The other two 50 m towers are showing slightly lower wind potential than that of the Kingston 14SW site. Table 2 summarizes the statistical data for all towers and data sets.
Monthly values are for the 2003–2008 composite datasets for the 50 m towers and for 2007-2008 for the 80 m towers. The use of probability distribution functions to define, characterize, and fit the field data has a long history. It is established that the Weibull distribution [2–20, 26] can be used to characterize wind speed regimes in terms of its probability density and cumulative distribution functions, and it is commonly used to estimate and to assess wind energy potential. Although efforts were made over the years to fit measured wind data to other distributions such as exponential distribution, Pearson' type VI distribution, logistic distribution, and so forth, the Weibull distribution is well accepted and widely used for wind data analysis. The probability density function of a Weibull distribution () is given by The factors and featured in (1) are the shape and the scale parameters, respectively, which are determined for each measurement site. The function is the probability of observing the particular wind speed, . There are several estimators of the Weibull parameters [3–8, 24], such as the Moment, Maximum Likelihood, Least-Square, and Percentile Estimators methods. These estimators are unbiased, although some of them, such as the method of Moments, may have large variances, so there is no reason to prefer any of them. We selected three estimators of the Weibull parameters: the standard least-square, the maximum likelihood, and a variation of the maximum likelihood methods. The shape and scale parameters are determined by taking the averages of the estimates found by these methods. Table 3 gives the monthly and annual values of the shape () and scale () parameters of the wind speed distribution for all towers computed for the composite datasets. As with the mean monthly wind speed, the monthly scale parameter values are higher during the peak season than for the rest of the year for all towers and levels of observations. Figure 2 shows the wind speed data distributions for the Tonopah 24NW and Kingston 14SW towers at the 50 m height level and for the Stone Cabin Tower at the 60 m level. The fitted Weibull probability distributions are in good agreement with our experimental data for all towers. For the multiannual Weibull distributions, the mean root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the Chi-square values are about 0.02 and 0.01, respectively.
The wind rose diagrams and wind direction frequency histograms provide useful information on the prevailing wind direction and availability of directional wind speed in different wind speed bins. The wind roses were constructed using the composite datasets of measurements of wind velocities, and they are shown in Figure 3 for the 50 m height level for the Tonopah 24NW, Kingston 14SW, and Stone Cabin Towers, respectively.
The wind direction was analyzed using a continuous variable probability model to represent distributions of directional wind speeds. The model is comprised of a finite mixture of the von Mises distributions (vM-PDFs), following the approaches given in [17, 18, 27]. The parameters of the models are estimated using the least-square method [17, 18]. The range of integration to compute the mean angle and standard deviation of the wind direction is adjusted to minimum variance requirements. The suitability of the distribution is judged from the mean-square error (MSE), found to be around 10% or lower. The proposed probability model is comprised of a sum of von Mises probability density functions, , as where are nonnegative weighting factors that sum to one [17]: A random variable function has a von Mises distribution -PDFs if its probability is defined by the folowing equation: where and are the concentration and mean direction parameters, respectively. In this paper, the wind direction is where the wind is coming from, while the angle corresponding to the northerly direction is taken as . Note that, in meteorology, the angle is measured clockwise from the north. Here, is a modified Bessel function of the first kind and zero order and is given by The distribution law , given by (2), can be numerically integrated between two given values of to obtain the probability that the wind direction is found within a particular angle sector. Various methods are employed to compute the 3 N parameters on which the mixture of the von Mises distribution depends [14–17]. In this paper, we follow the approach presented in [18], employing the least-square (LS) method. In this method, the 3 N unknown values of the parameters, , , and , are estimated by minimizing the sum of squares of the deviations between the experimental and model data under linear inequality constraints. The full description of this method can be found in [18, 19] or elsewhere in the literature. We can also note that the presence of calm winds in the wind data (wind speeds less than or equal to 0.5 m/s) leads to the appearance of gaps in the speed and direction data series, which makes the calculation of the statistical properties of the directional wind speed biased. These values are excluded from our computation of wind direction statistics. Figure 4 shows the wind direction frequency histograms for the Kingston 14SW and Tonopah 24NW Towers using the composite 2003–2008 datasets and Stone Cabin tower using the 2007-2008 composite dataset. The fitted the von Mises distributions are also shown on these graphs. The number of components (2) of the composite von Mises distribution for these two datasets was , while the mean-square errors between the measurements and the fitted distributions are in the range of 10% or lower. Similar results were found for all other towers used in this analysis.
Turbulence intensity (TI), defined as the ratio of the standard deviation over the wind speed, is an indicator of turbulence and not an absolute value, a very useful indicator in wind turbine operation and design. Notice that the maximum distance between the 50 m towers is about 200 km. Each site is situated in a complex terrain area, but we expect to see similar synoptic wind conditions. However, the comparative analysis of the values in Table 4 shows that even on large time scales (the four and half years period) the wind characteristics are influenced by the location. Table 4 also gives us the two following coefficients of variation, defined as: where is the standard deviation of the wind speed computed at each site, using the composite 2003–2008 datasets of measurements and thus including time scales ranging from ten minutes up to fifty-four months. The symbols and stand for the time-specific interval-averaged values of the wind speed standard deviation and the wind speed. The coefficient of variation corresponding to time scales larger than ten minutes is , while is the mean coefficient of variation for time scales smaller than ten minutes. Unlike the mean wind speed which is influenced by the location, these coefficients of variation remain rather similar for all five sites. The values given in Tables 3, 4, and 5 are sufficient for a first rough estimation of the mean wind power production of each site. However, for the sake of complete wind energy potential assessment, wind energy conversion operation, or grid integration, some supplementary information is needed concerning periodicity and more generally time variability of the wind velocity for a given time scale. In the next two subsections of this paper, a comprehensive analysis of the wind velocity variability and periodicities will be performed.
3.2. Wind Speed Seasonality and Variability for Time Scales Larger Than One Month
To put in evidence the dynamical behavior of the wind speed for time scales larger than one month, a low-pass filter was applied to the measured wind speed signal. We use here the simplest one, that is, the moving average calculation: The moving averages corresponding to an averaging period of one month computed using the wind speed measured at each site, for the 10 m, 30 m, and 50 m levels, at the Tonopah 24NW tower are shown in Figure 5. Figure 6 shows the moving averages for all 50 m towers, for the composite 2003–2008 datasets. These plots give a first indication of the seasonal variations of the wind speed over the five sites and seem to indicate a typical annual cycle, with a maximum during spring and with a minimum during fall. It is clear that a longer measurement period is required to further confirm the seasonality in Figures 5 and 6. Another result is the fairly good similarity of the variations of the large time scales for the four 50 m towers. This is confirmed by the cross-correlation coefficients between the four sites. The cross-correlation coefficient is defined by where and are zero-mean stochastic variables and and are their standard deviations.
The computed values of the cross-correlation coefficients of the four 50 m towers for smaller time lags are around 0.6, showing quite similar wind climatology, for this area. This is another very strong indication of the stability and uniformity of the wind characteristics in Western Nevada. This is a very important characteristic for wind energy assessment, as well as wind power plant operation, management, and grid integration. The coefficient of variation over time scales larger than one month is given by where is the standard deviation for wind variations for time scales larger than one month. Table 5 gives for each of the four 50 m towers and for the 2003–2008 composite datasets. These coefficients of variations are found to be rather similar. This is a consequence of the similarity of the wind characteristics and the uniformity of the wind variability of this region of Nevada [1–3, 21–24]. For a statistical analysis of wind data, we computed autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions of the wind speeds and wind directions (with the longest lag of 28 days), for all towers and for all levels of measurements. Using a similar relationship as in (9), where the is replaced by , the autocorrelation coefficients can be computed.
Figure 7 shows the autocorrelation functions of the wind speed, at the 50 m, for all of the four 50 m towers analyzed. It can be observed that all of these functions are coincidental and are showing similar periodicity. A similar pattern in the autocorrelation functions was found for the Stone Cabin Tower at all levels, even for the shorter dataset. Regular oscillations exist, indicating that a quite well-defined periodicity characterizes the wind speed in Western Nevada. A very slow decrease in the amplitude of the oscillation as the lag time τ increases indicates that the wind speed is not strictly periodic, but it is randomly modulated in frequency and phase. This behavior is also observed in the wind direction autocorrelation functions illustrated in Figure 8. The maintained oscillatory character of these functions indicates that the dominant frequencies associated with the wind speeds and directions are roughly coincidental. Similar patterns were found for all levels and towers, both for autocorrelations of wind speed or wind direction and for cross-correlations of wind speed and directions. This fact indicates that the wind speed and wind direction signals are in phase. It can be also noted that the lag times corresponding to the maximum values of the autocorrelation functions are about 24 hours. This period of 24 hours, as the dominant of the signals, shows that this is the time interval that basically governs the changes in wind speed and wind direction. This fact is related to the different behavior of the day and night winds which roughly maintain their structure during almost the five years of the time interval analyzed.
Two facts are immediately apparent in all of the autocorrelation data analyzed. First, the presence of a strong sinusoidal component at diurnal frequency which is almost constant as the lag value increases indicates that it is derived from a deterministic period component. The second feature is that the centerline of the diurnal component is not the zero datum line, but it is offset above the lag axis. This offset cannot be due to a zero mean (which is removed by the autocorrelation algorithm), suggesting the presence of another periodic component of a much lower frequency. The obvious candidate for investigation was an annual cycle. This is also in agreement with the presence of a spring maximum and a fall minimum in the wind speed moving average time series (Figures 5 and 6). In order to investigate the possible presence of an annual cycle, daily mean data for the whole period August 2003–March 2008 were computed. The autocorrelation functions for these data for all 50 m towers are shown in Figure 9. The presence of a deterministic component with a period of about one year is clearly visible in these diagrams. Once again this is in very good agreement with the periodicity found in Figures 5 and 6 of the moving average wind speed diagrams.
4. Spectral Analysis of the Wind Speed
We decided to compute the power spectra by the standard and well-proven method of Blackman and Tukey [28]. This is a two-stage method in which the autocorrelation is first calculated from the data and is then transformed and smoothed to obtain the power spectrum. An analysis of the wind variations for time scales, ranging from one week to one month, does not evidence any specific seasonality or periodicity. Considering a random variable in the time domain , the complex Fourier components in the frequency domain are computed considering a finite time factor by where is a random variable in the time domain, is the elapsed time, is the frequency, is the complex Fourier components in the frequency domain, is the complex number unity, and is the finite time sequence. The transformed component is now a function not only of frequency but also of the finite time length. For small time periods, (10) cannot be satisfied due to lack of statistical significance and due to ignoring the effects of related physical properties associated with wind speed fluctuations. Power density spectra of wind speed time series with time scales lower than one week for all 50 m towers are showing a distinct peak with a period of one day, as the one shown in Figure 10 for the Kingston 14SW Tower. This is in full agreement with the periodicities found in the autocorrelations of the wind speed and direction.
4.1. The Macrometeorological Spectrum
Following the approach of Harris [29], we decided to compute the spectra of the autocorrelation functions by using the two-stage method. First, we compute the autocorrelation functions from the 10-minute and hourly data, using the 2003–2008 composite datasets, and use the Fourier transformation and smoothing to obtain the spectra. There are several reasons for this choice such as the following: (i) the effects of various non-stationarities, offsets, and the various choices of the smoothing on the result of the calculation are well documented; (ii) the availability of the autocorrelation for inspection as an intermediate product is a distinct advantage, especially when the existence of deterministic period components is suspected; and (iii) the principal disadvantage of the methods compared with the FFT algorithm, the larger computer time required, is not essential since PC time is free. Given the autocorrelation functions, it is possible to compute the normalized power spectrum for these functions numerically: Here, is the autocorrelation coefficient at lag , is the standard deviation, is the power spectrum, and is the frequency. Hanning smoothing was applied to the Blackman and Tukey algorithm. The results are shown in Figure 11 for the Kingston 14SW composite dataset. The macro-meteorological spectra obtained are very similar to the ones found in the literature [19, 26]. These spectra are showing a very strong diurnal component, in a very good agreement with our findings in the previous analyses. This is a very important result for wind energy system operation, management, and grid integration.
5. Concluding Remarks
The annual mean wind speeds for the four towers' wind observations at 50 m height were calculated as 5.49 m/s (Tonopah 24NW), 4.53 m/s (Kingston 14SW), 3.96 m/s (Luning 7W) and 3.81 m/s (Luning 5N). For the Stone Cabin Tower at the 60 m level, this value was found to be 5.68 m/s. The observed data show that the maximum seasonal wind speeds for all sites are during spring. The highest potential in terms of wind energy was estimated at the Tonopah 24NW and the Stone Cabin sites, with mean wind speeds above 5.5 m/s during the peak period of every year. The same pattern of the monthly mean wind speeds was found at all other towers, but with lower values, being less suited for wind energy generation. The fitted Weibull and von Mises distributions for the observed wind speed and wind direction datasets at all towers and heights are in very good agreement with the observed wind speed distributions.
The analysis of the wind speed variations at each of the instrumented towers in Western Nevada shows the following: (i) there is a strong coherence between wind speed and direction; (ii) for time scales smaller than 24 hours, the wind speed is statistically independent, thus indicating the possibility of smoothing the total available wind power for small time scales; (iii), there is a strong diurnal periodicity in the wind speed signals, for all towers and all heights, with a maximum during the late afternoon, as found in the power spectra and diurnal variations of the wind speeds, almost coincidental with the daily peak-load demand [25]; (iv) for scales larger than 24 hours, the wind speed coefficients (mean wind speed, mean wind direction, and turbulence intensity) for each site are rather the same and are quasi-synchronized; and (v) there are strong annual oscillations in the wind speeds, with a maximum during spring and with the minimum during fall, for all towers and all heights of observation. To complete the analysis for these small wind speed time-scale variations, a higher frequency of wind velocity measurements is needed. The spectral analysis further confirms the existence of characteristic diurnal and annual time periods in the wind speeds.
Although the mean wind speeds show differences due to specifics of the measurement location, the coefficients of variation of the turbulence intensity are quite similar for all five sites. This confirms that the regional synoptic processes are dominant for the variability of the wind speed on the scale of the tower locations within a domain ranging more than km2. This is further supported by the noticeably high correlation coefficients of about 0.6 between the towers for small time lags. Additional analyses, such as the distance dependence of the correlation coefficients, copulas, bootstrapping, or long-time variability of the correlations, are planned in a future study with the inclusion of additional data (in the process of analysis) collected at the other four towers in Nevada operated between 2006 and 2011.
One of the authors (D. Koracin) acknowledges support from the DOE-NREL, Grant no. NDO 5-4431-01. The authors are grateful to Greg McCurdy for assistance in obtaining data and to Travis McCord for editorial assistance.
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The Crucible
Act one
How does John proctor feel about reverend parris
How does John proctor feel about reverend parris
Proctor believes Parris' outward show of piety to be disingenuous and despises his consistent attempts to bully the community by instilling fear in its members. In fact, Proctor claims that his poor attendance at church is due in part to Parris himself.
Proctor says, "I have trouble enough without I come five mile to hear him preach only hellfire and bloody damnation. Take it to heart, Mr. Parris. There are many others who stay away from church these days because you hardly ever mention God anymore."
Proctor also believes that Parris is more concerned with the acquisition of money and things than he is in caring for his parishioners.


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Sunday, July 16, 2006
Date- bigger than a raisin,smaller than a prune- you put it in fruitcake
This weekend with smart nanay around to provide free babysitting smart mama and smart daddy-o got to go out on a date with other couple friends. I was really tempted to bring my camera- so I could capture memorable moments for blogging- (I should have done it!) but then i hmmm show i make my friends sign release waivers? maybe their prominent photo/mention in my blog would bring them fame they just aren't ready to handle- so i left the camera at home (although i did bring my chinatown Chinese food box purse- which can easily hold a phone, keys, money, and skirt- who knew?? And if smart mama was a superhero- she could totally hide her foxy costume in it while maintaining her mild suburban mom facade before sneaking into a mothers lounge to transform into supersmart foxy mama)
Anyway we had a great time hitting a wedding reception, and loading up and riding together, the divulging of little known personal facts and stories, learning about the recent conference on Islam and Space (as discussed in discover magazine- i had never before that night contemplated the issues religion would introduce to space travel) ate yummy Chinese food, and played a rousing round of miniature golf. (Yes sadly smart mama was not el champion grande, and did fall on the green once (I think i was distracted admiring some nice views), but you will be pleased to know i did place a respectable 3rd out of 6- which was quite an accomplishment considering my "just hit it and see what happens approach"- which i thought was fairly standard fair for mini golf (until at one point someone dared to ask, "so what are you aiming for?") i mean forward progression toward to the hole is all i shoot for- i fail to appreciate the nuance of the astroturf slope and danger of the dingy beige shag carpet "sand trap" and therefore formulate no strategy implementing physics principles. (yes i beat smart daddy-o an engineer with a minor in physics- HA!)
anyway if the only date definition you've been up on lately is "bigger than a raisin, smaller than a prune - you put it in fruitcakes"-- its time to dust the cobwebs off definition 2.
6 comments:
- Andrea said...
My dh and i had our first date since April. It was just a movie but still felt good.
- Amber said...
My perception of a date is forever crushed now. But at least I consider myself more informed in its use.
I linked to your site from another's and have had a great read. I'll be back!
- Gabriela said...
Date nights are the best. I haven't played golf forever. Good job on placing 3 out of 6. Not bad.
- Valarie said...
That sounds like a great group date. I'm glad you had the chance to do that.
- QueenMeadow said...
My dh and I are currently planning a date for this week, woohoo!! Its definitely time to dust off the 2nd definition of date ;)
- Sabra said...
D's and my last date was our anniversary. We sat in the resturaunt and talked nearly until they kicked us out. It was nice to remember what a great guy I have. We need to dust off definition #2 more often. And rofl at the "what are you aiming for" comment. That's how I approach pretty much everything, too :)


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Friday, August 21, 2009
Spirocreations Interview in Parasol Craft Magazine!
Hey All!
Check out our interview in Parasol Craft Magazine, an online/pdf magazine dedicated to Handmade, Inspiration and lots of Downloads. Craft is the primary focus and the objective is to promote and inspire creativity.
The magazine also features interviews with many other talented artisans and Etsy sellers. It is an independent publication which needs your support! You can purchase the magazine for only $2.50 here.
You won't be disappointed!
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Professional Continuing Education
Women's Mental Health Associates is committed to providing continuing education programs on women's health and mental health to Psychologists and other health care providers. WMHA is approved by the American Psychological Association (APA) to sponsor continuing education for Psychologists. WMHA will also work with other organizations to co-sponsor continuing education workshops for psychologists and other health and mental health providers. Please contact Dr. Helen Coons at (215) 370-2342 to discuss CE events and co-sponsor options.


text:
Leaders Experience Less Stress? New Study Says Yes
Does being in charge help you take better control of your stress?
Posted Sep 26, 2012
Today, in the Washington Post, On Leadership columnist Jena McGregor discusses a new study out of Harvard that challenges the common perception that leaders have higher stress levels than nonleaders. The study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, discovered that those who hold leadership positions actually experience less stress.
Researchers tested the stress levels of leaders and nonleaders and discovered that leaders had significantly lower levels of cortisol (the stress hormone) and lower reports of anxiety when compared to nonleaders. In a second study, they found that leaders who held more powerful positions exhibited lower cortisol levels and reported less anxiety than leaders who held less powerful positions.
The authors attributed much of what they discovered to a psychological factor commonly associated with strong stress-buffering effects—a greater sense of control. When you are in charge, you're more likely to have better control over factors that cause stress. Although the study found that leaders are more likely to sleep less and consume more caffeine, they also are less likely to smoke and more likely to exercise.
Of course, this does not mean that leaders don't experience negative stress or that all leaders manage stress better than their employees. However, it does suggest that those in leadership positions have more of an opportunity to control the stress in their lives because they have better control over what happens in their workplace. Taking advantage of this opportunity may be the key to reducing stress. It also could be that people with better stress management skills or those with a higher tolerance for stress to begin with are more likely to rise to leadership positions.
According to HealthDay reporter Randy Dotinga, who interviewed the lead author of the study, researchers hope to extend their work by tracking stress in people over time to see what happens to their stress levels as they move up and down the career ladder.
© 2012 Sherrie Bourg Carter, All Rights Reserved
Follow Dr. Bourg Carter on Facebook, Twitter, and Amazon's Author Page.


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Green Nest Hostel Uba Aterpetxea Informations
San Sebastian pick up
A comfortable direct journey to our hostel in San Sebastian.
We have at your disposal a transport service to take you from San Sebastian train and bus station to our hostel: Green Nest Hostel Uba Aterpetxea
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FROM SAN SEBASTIAN AIRPORT (HONDARRIBIA) TO SAN SEBASTIAN: Take the bus E21 to Guipuzcoa square, located between El Boulevard and La Avenida de La Libertad.
From El Boulevard you can take bus No. 26 that will take you to Renfe Loilola stop. Look for a hostel yellow arrow pointing sign indicating the direction to Green Nest Hostel.
From Avenida de la Libertad you can take autobus N 33 and get off at Otxoki bus stop. Get off the bus, on your right side you will see entrance to Ametzagaa Park, walk approx.10 minutes to the next exit that will bring you to our hostel. www.dbus.es
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Leave the bus station, turn left and walk towards plaza Pio XII untill you will reach Avenida de Madrid. In number 10 you can take the bus No. 24 and get off at Otxoki bus stop. Get off the bus, on your right side you will see entrance to Ametzagaa Park, walk approx.10 minutes to the next exit that will bring you to our hostel.Hotel Astoria 7 is located right in front of bus station and next to you can take another local bus line, No.26 that will take you to Renfe Loilola stop. From here, look for a hostel yellow arrow pointing sign indicating the direction to Green Nest Hostel Uba Aterpetxea. www.dbus.es
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The square Pio XII represents the main entrance to the city. From this point you will start to see our yellow pointing sign that will show you the way and bring you to Green Nest Hostel ( Pio XII Anoeta football stadium Loiola Txomin-enea).
Coordinates; 43.307723- 1.954883
Informations about Green Nest Hostel Uba Aterpetxea
San Sebastian pick up
A comfortable direct journey to our hostel in San Sebastian.
We have at your disposal a transport service to take you from San Sebastian train and bus station to our hostel: Green Nest Hostel Uba Aterpetxea
*This service it's available from 3 persons. If two days before we dont achieve 3 or more persons we will cancel pick up service and we will mail you warning about cancellation.
Staying at Green Nest Hostel is like being at your friends house. We want to welcome you and be with you since the moment you arrive at San Sebastian train or bus station so you will have nothing to worry about but to enjoy yourself. Contact us for more information.
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Green Nest Hostel is an alternative Eco-hostel, super modern, cheap and sustainable.
Traveling can be fun, comfortable and doesn't have to cost a lot!
In Green Hostel you have free WI-Fi to connect with your friends or just plan your journey. Our hostel offers you facilities like heating, washing machines,dryers, free parking and computers. You can relax on the terrace, taking sun or reading a book, playing darts or foosball in the common area, on the third floor. If you want to cook or make a hot chocolate before going to bed, there is a kitchen, but if you dont like cooking, dont worry , because there is a restaurant on the ground floor. Yes, everything is here!
Green Hostel is greener that you think! Not only because we painted our building green, but also we are nature friendly! Our building is using biomass heating system. Hot water and heating sources are generating heat from biomass boiler and we also using solar panels, that reduce environmental pollution. On the top of that, we are situated in the middle of one of the best parks in the city! You can enjoy the nature just only a few steps outside the hostel. Right outside the hostel, there is a concrete playing field, where you can play football or basketball, or if you want to, you can go for walk or go running. Fancy swimming or surfing? Thats no problem, we are only 4,5 km away from the beach! For people, who come to do any water sport, we have a place to store their equipment. To get better access to the beach is currently being solved with agents from the Cluster Surf City Donostia in order to make it easier to transport people and their baggage.
San Sebastian is a lively, active and sports-loving city with its own cuisine! Try Pinxos in the old town and also do not forget to ask for Sidra in local pub! No worries, if you dont know what to see and where to go in the city, ask our staff,we will do our best to make your stay in San Sebastian unforgettable and pleasant.
We want yo to offer an accommodation, which is economic and really comfortable.
Every room and area of our hostel has free WiFi. Bed sheets and linen are provided and in all dorms are security lockers, reading lights and bathrooms with 24hrs hot showers. All the rooms are equipped with heating. There are also towels for our guests with 1 cost (we ask deposit of 6 and we will give you back 5 when you return it).
We offer you 4 or 6 dorm en suite,which are shared rooms or a private room, a double/twin en-suite.
On the third floor you can find our common area with a kitchen (with fridge and freezer, microwaves), lounge and a terrace to relax or meet other travellers. On the ground floor there is a reception with free of use computers and a restaurant.
Green Nest Donostia is located in Ametzagana Park, 30 minutes from the city center, surrounded by trees, green fields and bicycle paths. You can relax and enjoy the nature or if you are the mood going to the city center or to the beach, just take a bus or local metro. We will help you to find the easiest and fastest way how to get to the city!
Please note:
Cancellation Policy: free if cancelled 48 hours before arrival. If not, the hostel charges 100% of the first night.
Check In: from 1.00 pm
Check Out: before 11.00 am
Method of Payment upon the arrival: Cash, Debit Cards, Credit Cards
Breakfast is not included.
Taxes are included.


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Oh dear, the British health minister isn't a fan of The Lancet:
(ht Ben Goldacre, and his summary: "More than anything, I just quite enjoy the childishness of the edit...")
Oh dear, the British health minister isn't a fan of The Lancet:
(ht Ben Goldacre, and his summary: "More than anything, I just quite enjoy the childishness of the edit...")
HINT: It isn't pretty.
I spent the morning reading just one review of one book and the comment thread that it inspired. In short, this train wreck of a comment thread is a great example of the reasons that I refuse to review self-published books: the bad punctuation/grammar, the horrible sentence construction, the astonishing inability to correctly use the English language, and yes, the aggressive bullying by the so-called "writers" themselves. Predictably, this blog entry has gone viral: it's now mirrored on loads of facebook accounts, it's all over twitter, and the book's Amazon comment thread has linked to it, too. For wannabe authors, it's a wonderful blow-by-blow account of how to destroy your career before it even gets started.
I've lived in Germany for more than one year but I am ashamed to admit that, for the first time in my life, I've not learned to speak the language in a satisfactory way. Worse than labeling me an "Ugly American" is the fact that I am actually quite talented at picking up languages and accents -- I never really had to work at learning languages.
Some of you might have noticed that Grrl and I were offline for much of last week. This, urrm, wasn't panned. But the lights went out.
Continue Reading »
Here at Scientopia we have a new plan to create lots of unwitting minions to help us take over the blogosphere. We now have a guest blog where every couple of weeks a new guest will be given the keys and
be implanted with a control chipallowed to blog about what takes their fancy.
First up is Paolo Viscardi, who usually blogs at Zygoma. Paolo is a curator at the Horniman museum in London, which is a bit out of the way (Grrl and I visited there last summer), but is fascinating once you get there: a mixture of natural history, cultural anthropology and musical instruments. Paolo's main blogging activity is to put up a Friday Mystery object, usually from the museum (and usually a skull) for people to identify.
Paolo's first post is already up, so go along, say hello, and join in the conversation.
(note: to create maximal puzzlement I have cross-posted this at my other blog)
Right, now let's talk about methods for stochastic numerical integration, in particular calculating importance weights. This is a technique that is probably underused, largely because...
Why are you staring at the screen like that?
OK, OK. I'm sorry for putting up such a technical post,but I was going to write this up for a colleague, and then thought that there might be 3 other people in this world that would also find it interesting.
Continue Reading »
Dead salmon in spawning season, Oregon state (U.S. Pacific Northwest).
Image: Pete Forsyth, 9 November 2007.
This image is licensed under a creative commons license.
On a cool autumn afternoon, I stepped out of my friend's house and witnessed a phenomenon of nature I had never seen before. In a stream flowing through the back yard, I saw the bodies of spawning coho salmon, Oncorhynchus kisutch, gleaming blood-red in the bright sunlight. These fish battered themselves mercilessly against the stream bed, digging shallow nests in the gravel where they were depositing their eggs. Against enormous odds, they had survived the rigors of ocean life, and had returned to their birthplace to spawn.
As if my own fan club isn't obnoxious enough, now I am getting some of PZ's email, too. This email was sent to me (what do I look like, a fucking secretary?), so before I take out the trash, I am sharing the wealth. Maybe you'll find this amusing.
Well, last year was fun, wasn't it? Papers were published and retracted, there were the usual collective moans about poor journalism, and science advanced a few steps.
The scientific blogosphere enjoyed a bit of an upheaval, which lead to this blog being started. GrrlScientist and I are still trying to work out what we should use it for (we both do cute cat photos and videos on our other blogs).
So, what's in store for this year? Here are a few predictions that will be flushed down the memory sometime in February:
Continue Reading »
As I write this, I'm waiting to hear from GrrlScientist or the hospital. Last night she slipped in the ice and snow on a very slick piece of pavement - she fell, I then slipped but stayed upright, and then a man behind us came to help, and slipped too. Now, people who have been following Grrl's travails over the last few years know that she's broken bones before, so she's experienced with these things. This time, she was fairly sure she had fractured her elbow, and also had a large bump on her head, but still insisted we made some buttered rum mix before calling an ambulance.


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Could the next move in interest rates be down?
The next move in interest rates could be down, not up, according to some of Australia's leading economists.
- by Eryk Bagshaw & Peter Martin
Like our forecasters, 2017-18 was good in parts
National income surged while living standards barely grew.
- by Peter Martin
Rate rise an even-money bet as inflation gets up off the floor
At last, an end to the Reserve Bank's two-year freeze on interest rates is in sight. But not this year.
- by Peter Martin
Never mind the tax, it's wage growth that's making us glum
Why do politicians keep going on and on about tax when they must know it's not our real concern?
- by Peter Martin
Who's best on tax, Coalition or Labor? It depends on what you earn and how far out you look
Labor is backing battlers, for now. The Coalition wants to lock in benefits for high earners.
- by Peter Martin
Tough talk over medicine and cheese as Australia and Europe seek a $37b trade deal
Australia promises a hard line over Medicare and Europe foresees "difficult" negotiations over place names such as 'parmesan'.
- by Peter Martin
Work to barely pay for returning mothers even after budget changes, Senate inquiry told
Women returning to work after having children will still face effective marginal tax rates as high as 95 per cent.
- by Peter Martin
Infrastructure spending is no magic bullet: Reserve Bank
The Reserve Bank has poured cold water on the idea that infrastructure will be Australia's next 'engine of growth'.
- by Peter Martin
Weaker jobs growth puts wage boost in doubt
Jobs growth has slid dramatically, with only 95,900 extra workers employed during the past six months, down from 208,000 employed in the previous six months.
- by Peter Martin
Pink tax versus blue tax: the case for taxing women lightly
There's a case for taxing women more lightly than men, and Scott Morrison has helped make the point.
- by Peter Martin
The case for destroying default super in order to save it
The future of Australia's superannuation industry is up for grabs, and one of the options is a government-run national default scheme.
- by Peter Martin


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Here are a few photos that I took recently....
Day 22: Lobby.
I arrived about 15 minutes early to an interview at the IAC building in Chelsea. It's not a building that I like from the outside but inside, it's a different experience. The light in the lobby at this hour was peaceful and serene. The design of the benches mimicked the way the light entered. It was all very lovely.
Day 24: Hanover Place.
Sunday night, I headed into the city to meet some friends to play bar trivia. The streets were quiet and I was walking on Pearl street towards Hanover Place when I realized I once had a dream that took place here. Was such an eerie feeling. I wanted to take a photo of the street, but there was a guy walking past me. I decided to take the photo anyway. Glad I did as I really like how it came out. I liked how it came out dark and exaggerated and I made the photo black and white to enhance that.
Day 25: Glass.
My apartment is in the midst of a heating crisis. The living room radiator is insanely hot and I dress like it's mid August inside. I left a dirty glass on my computer stand, which is near the radiator and by this evening, it looked like this. The glass didn't break, but the tiny amount of beer left inside dried.
I don't know if by day 100 I'll be taking photos of my socks, but if you want to follow the daily photos, check out my flickr set.


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Granite Countertops For Kitchens
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Hi Readers,
Welcome again and today we will discuss about Android 1.6 SDK. The Android developer team has announced the release of the Android 1.6 SDK on 15 Sep 2009, with the biggest news from the release support for different screen sizes, CDMA based networks. Donut is update with new battery usage feature which gives you the information of battery consumption by any application. Also there is update for camera application. We are going to discuss these features in detail now:-
- Search Feature:- Android 1.6 comes up with redesigned search feature, which helps user to search quickly, efficiently and consistently across multiple applications (Contacts, Browser, and the web) directly from home screen. The system constantly learns which search result is more relevant based on what is clicked. So popular relevant contacts or apps which are previously used will bubble up to the top when user types the first few letters of a query. The search framework also provides developers a way to easily expose relevant content from their applications in Quick Search Box.
- Update for Camera:- Android 1.6 also got the update for camera app also, now user can switch between still and video capture mode using one click easily. Other enhancement is faster load time when launching the camera app; Android team is claiming that the app will launch 39% faster and will also shave off 28% of the time needed between taking the pictures, which really help the end users. Now user has option to select multiple photos for deletion.
- Battery usage indicator:- The feature I admire most is battery usage indicator. Using this app end user has all the information about battery consumption by each app, user can take action to save the battery life by adjusting settings, stopping app or even uninstall the app. You can pull up this app anytime available under settings or you can click on little button that popped up when the device tells you that you have 15% battery life remaining.
- Android Market Update:- Android Market also got update interms of some features which are listed below:-
- At the Home Screen, user can choose among Apps, Games and Downloads.
- Inside the category, we have options to explore apps with in Top paid, Top free and Just in.
- User can also see some screenshot for application along with other user's reviews.
- Text-to-speech engine:- Android 1.6 include multi-lingual speech synthesis engine called Pico, which allows any Android app to speak a string of text with an accent that matches the language. Language supported by engine: English (American and British accents), French, Italian, German and Spanish.
- Screen Resolution:- Android 1.6 enables application to be rendered properly on different display resolution screens. Developers can also specify the screens supported by the application. Developer need to mark an entry in Android Manifest file with
. If your application is run on a device whose screen size is not defined in the element, the system displays the application in compatibility mode, which performs best-fit match for screen resolution.
- Accessibility framework:- With this framework, developers can create accessibility plugins that respond to user input, such as making a sound when a new window is shown, vibrating when navigating to the top of a list, and providing spoken feedback.
- android.accessibility package that includes classes for capturing accessibility events and forwarding them to an AccessibilityService handler.
- AccessibilityService package that lets your application track user events and provide visual, audible, or haptic feedback to the user.
- Linux Kernel Upgrade:- Android 1.6 includes the Linux kernel upgrades from 2.6.27 to 2.6.29.
You can download Android SDK 1.6 from Android Developer Site. But you need to give attention while installing Android 1.6 SDK, because there is also update available for ADT plug-in from 0.9.1 to 0.9.3. After that while upgrading your existing project open project and right click on project go to Properties, select the build target Android 1.6. Now open AndroidManifest.xml file and update the value of minSdkVersion from 3 to 4. Now all are set you just need to create Android Virtual Device (AVD) and run your project.


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'Rock On' ranks 13 on international music chartSeptember 8th, 2008 - 4:24 pm ICT by IANS
New Delhi, Sep 8 (IANS) The popularity of "Rock On" climbed a notch higher as its music album stood 13th on last week's iTunes US World Music page.The film's music album, charged at $8.91, followed Californian reggae band's "Rebelution" that is ranked 12.
"The music of 'Rock On' is catching on very well. This is the first time an Indian album has reached so high on iTunes," Kulmeet Makkar, CEO, Big Music and Home Entertainment, told IANS.
The Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG)-promoted Big Music is behind the launch of the film's music.
The film, released Aug 29, has been widely lauded for its robust rock soundtrack created by composer trio Shankar-Ehsaan-Loy. It's songs "Pichhle saat dino mein", "Rock on", "Socha hai" and "Sindbad the sailor" are being hummed by youngsters galore.
The fact that it is now among the top 15 albums on iTunes indicates the popularity of the film's music beyond Indian shores.
"The music of 'Rock On' is not typically Indian. It is rock, which is a world genre and it also has a big youth connect," Makkar said.
"iTunes is the number one site for music download abroad and we are very proud that 'Rock On' has made it till there. The fact that the music has been accepted abroad and is doing well is a major boost for us," he added.
Makkar clarified that the earning from the music download from iTunes is not monetarily very profitable, but it proves beneficial in the long run as the platform provides international visibility.
"According to our distribution structure, we distributed the music to 370 online stores across 45 countries. But we still don't consider it a profitable revenue stream. The main revenue streams for the music are ringtones and audio CDs," he added.
Makkar explained that since people in India prefer to download music illegally from Internet sites free rather than paying for it, it is difficult for them to penetrate the Indian online music market.
The sales of the audio CDs have however "become very encouraging", he said.
The music album of "Rock On" has nine soundtracks out of which six have been crooned by filmmaker Farhan Akhtar, who has made his acting debut with the film as well. Apart from Farhan, the film has introduced director Abhishek Kapoor and actresses Prachi Desai and Shahana Goswami.
"Farhan's voice is exceptional and added a lot of authenticity to the songs as he plays a singer in the film. It also makes people feel that even though you may not be a professional singer, you can also sing. Farhan has added honesty to the songs," Makkar said.
Makkar said that the film's DVD will be released by the end of October but for those who want to enjoy the rock concerts in the film, a DVD of the songs will be released very soon.
Big 92.7 FM, also a part of Reliance ADAG-promoted Reliance Entertainment, has been arranging major on-ground activities to promote the film. One of the highlights is the "Rock On" concert that has already been held in Mumbai, Pune and New Delhi and left the audience wanting more.
Set in Mumbai, "Rock On" has an urban feel and revolves around a group of four aspiring musicians who form a hippie rock band called "Magic".
It is led by singer Aditya (Farhan) and also has temperamental guitarist Joe Mascarenhas (Rampal), talented keyboard player Rob (Kenny) and drummer Kedar Zaveri (Kohli).


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Several spruce tree species act as ornamental trees in massive gardens in different parts of the world. Trees are the planet's endless effort to talk to the listening heaven."If you are assumed to consume with the trees, you may not ever locate your way from the woods." Such trees are frequently used to earn tree houses for youngsters. The tree needs to be watered a minumum of one time each week for the initial year. Even a little tree creates some shade. There are numerous fir trees to pick from.
The Greater Cedar Rapids Community Foundation is a good place to begin if you reside in the region There are just a couple buildings accessible to see. You may also discuss together with the Tacoma Firefighters Christmas Project and see whether they can provide you some help. In the event you're bound and determined to execute this plan, you'll most probably will should look at going to a area that's outside of town. Clearly, you may consistently have a look at government systems for short-term help also. You could also need to examine some government systems to assist It's possible to have a look at government help programs locally for help.
Should you need help paying for Christmas, here's a massive collection of charities that will help you. In case you are in demand of assistance, go into the local Goodwill shop and request help. In case you be in demand of assistance, you might have the capacity to receive it from this organization. Don't forget to slow down if you're driving near them. Numerous them are at no charge and some you need to pay to use. It's always preferable to get out there. It may be recommended to check with Catholic Charities of Des Moines in addition to local government systems.
You are going to have to locate your regional Angel Tree contact to sign up. You might get an incredible volume of information from this website. Which is the reason why it's crucial to settle on a website with care. This website will not have any cost. Other social networking sites can be helpful also. The web is full of awesome approaches to promote your products. The Christmas Connection is a superb spot to search for support.
For example a hair salon is a strong supporter and vocal voice in the local community, supporting trees and takes part in protests against cutting of trees. You can reach out to them incase you see any illegal cutting of trees.
4695 Washtenaw Ave,
Ann Arbor, MI 48108
Phone: (734) 340-6503
Email: firstname.lastname@example.com
Check out their BBB page here and YP page here.
When you analyze nature it's often challenging to get near the animals you're analyzing but frequently they leave their trails. You are able to implement an entire function slow-acting fertilizer after the tree is two decades old, and continue fertilizing the soil once a year for the subsequent 3 to 4 decades. It truly isn't important how much personal duty a person takes, in the event the cards are piled. The New York Department of short-term Help is a superb first step. Clearly, it is possible to consistently check the neighborhood government agencies to find out what other options they have. There ARE heaps of great, honest realtors.
You may also begin searching for short term government support. You might want to also take a peek at local government help. Naturally, it is likely to always look at local government help or contact businesses in your region and ask to get included in embrace a loved ones and angel tree plans they could be organizing.
You may register for help with the charity and see what type of aid they furnish locally. If that is so, you might have the ability to enroll for assistance from such groups. If you're searching for more help, have a look at the Latino Officers Association of Florida. You may even research government help provided by local divisions.


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Happy New Year from everyone at Shoosmiths! We hope 2013 will be a happy and productive year for all.
Excellent client service sat at the top of our agenda in 2012 and will continue to do so in 2013. We want our clients to have an 'amazing client experience'- the heart of our brand promise.
As people are key to the success of every organisation - 2013 will be a year of actively attracting, investing in and retaining both new and existing staff to support our clients. Two major office moves will take place in the coming months - bigger, better facilities await our clients and staff in both Edinburgh and Birmingham!
Growth is high on Shoosmiths' agenda for 2013, both North and South of the border, following our merger with ACH. Despite the challenging economic climate, 2013 looks set to be an opportunity for Shoosmiths to work proactively and commercially with our clients. As Shoosmiths grows and delivers during 2013 we will be able to reinvest in the firm and our services with the aim of benefitting our clients.
Thank you to every one who supported and engaged with us in 2012. We look forward to building on our relationship with you over the coming year.
Happy New Year!


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Welcome to SingaporeTests.com, the original and #1 website on driving theory test since 2004 as seen on TV, as heard from friends/forums/blogs.
To obtain a Singapore driver's license, you need to pass the Basic Theory Test (BTT). For both new driving learners or foreign driving license conversion personnel, SingaporeTests.com provides quality mock test practice questions to prepare you for it, and we offer two MONEY BACK GUARANTEES! The same offer applies to Final Theory Test (FTT) takers!
FREE Download: Official Handbook by Traffic Police


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JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — The Jacksonville Jaguars could be without starting left tackle Eugene Monroe for Sunday's season finale against Indianapolis.
Defensive tackle C.J. Mosley stepped on Monroe's left ankle in practice Thursday, and Monroe was wearing a walking boot Friday. He sat out practice and was listed as questionable for the game.
Monroe says the injury doesn't seem that bad and he expects to play against the Colts. If not, rookie Cameron Bradfield would start against Pro Bowl defensive end Dwight Freeney.
The Jaguars will be without receiver Cecil Shorts (hamstring). Safety Dwight Lowery (shoulder) and tight end Zach Potter (calf) are doubtful. Fellow safety Dawan Landry missed the last two days of practice because of an illness, but interim coach Mel Tucker expects Landry to play.


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Click Here For The Bike Details Story
At the Trek 29r Press Camp in Sedona we were given a day to ride the new Remedy 9 29r (claimed weight 29.6lbs). It was just a day (But what a day and what a place!) and the trail was unbelievably dry for a Brit like me so obviously this first impression is just that – a first impression in very specific conditions. The trail itself was 12 miles of steep, very rocky and in places extremely technical and mostly singletrack terrain. It was also hot – like over a 100F hot!
So in these conditions, how did it ride?
In short, like a 29r – if that's not too much of an oxymoron – It rolls over lumps with very little reduction in momentum, which is what 29rs are good at. It's a Remedy – so it's meant to be pedalled up in order to be thrown hard down the other side. Hard acceleration is not what this bike is for unless you are aided by gravity. What I'm saying here is that yes, it takes more effort to bring a 29r up to speed but then that's not what this bike should be judged by. Its real capability lies with how you can plough it through almost any technical terrain with barely a thought towards carefully planned line choice. It's a skills compensator for the newly gravitationally assisted rider. But if you do know what you are doing on the descents and you do pick a good line, this bike will have you through it and out the other side at such a lick of speed that will you will be grinning and making funny American whooping noises for quite some time both during and after. Well, that's what it did to me.
I was particularly happy with the way it handled slow speed drop offs of the kind that are so steep that your biggest worry is stalling as soon as the front wheel hits the bottom and being pitched over the bars. In Sedona there were many of these and the rock is sharp and unforgiving. Time and again these drops looked so much worse than they turned out to be – A real big wheel benefit.
At first I was very much aware of the larger sticky-out front wheel. It looked odd. But after a day of riding I really wasn't aware that the big front wheel, permanently sitting in my field of vision was a cartwheel at all.
Remedy in action
Apparently I had adapted!
Of course, every other rider was also riding an exact same bike, with the exact same sized wheels so under those conditions it's not surprising that it quickly looked and felt 'normal'. If I was riding with my usual bunch of riding mates who are taller than me and still ride 26 inch bikes then I'm sure the period of adjustment would be considerably longer.
..But there lies the conclusion for me. Adjustment (and possibly acceptance) is just a matter of riding with more 29rs. As they slowly and inexorably begin to take over, so the pain of adjustment will start to slowly fade. 29rs will soon just be as normal as 26rs and old farts like me will not care one way or the other about wheel size. The Remedy with it's very compact design and indistinguishable wheelbase is just going to help that moment come sooner rather than later.
Yes, my name is Mark and I think 29rs are starting to grow on me.
Comments (0)
How heavy?
Which one do you reckon is a more capable climber, the Remedy or the SC Tallboy LT?
I hope it rides better than it looks.
I bet those bars are significantly higher that a 26 tho? That can make quite a difference to feel, right?
Aren't 29er full sussers now obsolete with the advent of 650ers?
That doesn't make me want a 29er still.
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