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The Eukanuba™ Ambassador team is comprised of professional and ethical dog breeders and dog sports competitors from all around Australia.
Kate & John Valk, KHAYOZ Kennels
Kate began her love affair with Border Collies when she was a teenager. After much nagging to her parents, they let her take on Kelly, a rehomed Border Collie, who she trained and trialled in obedience. Kate sums up the breed as the perfect combination of beauty and brains! John's first dog was a Rottweiler called Ben who was purchased as a family pet. Ben's breeder gave John some encouragement to venture into the show-ring and the pair found much success, which began John on his show career.
In 1991, John and Kate met through their mutual interest in dog showing and Khayoz Border Collies was born. The following year, their foundation bitch Champion Lindenbrae Tarfin Louisa CDX, whelped her first litter to the very handsome Champion Maghera Crystal Rythem and six boys were born. The irony of this is that Kate wanted a bitch to continue on with in obedience so she sold the entire litter. The sale of one boy fell through and John insisted they at least "run him on" until they had another litter. This boy went on to become Grand Champion Khayoz Soul Deep UD AD- the most amazing dog they could ever hope for! Jack took Kate and John on a journey in both the show & obedience rings that they will never forget. With many Best In Show and Best In Trial wins, they proved that a top show dog can also be a top trialling dog. John and Kate have a second love, the Whippet breed and believe that you should never compromise on quality and temperament.
John says "How a dog performs on show day is only the tip of the iceberg. It takes 24/7 commitment to ensure each dog receives the correct nutrition, exercise and attention. We are proud to be Eukanuba™ Ambassadors as dogs are a product of what is put into them, and we hope there are many successful years ahead with this winning formula!"
South Australia
Kerry Hutt & Geoff Love, WYLDCHASE Kennels
Kerry and Geoff are a wealth of knowledge on all things canine. Their illustrious dog showing career began with English Cocker Spaniels in the 1970's and they still exhibit this breed with much success today. In 1978, Geoff also became involved with his second love, the Whippet hound, and Kerry followed suit in 1994.
During Geoff's outstanding career he has campaigned 34 Best In Show winning Cocker Spaniels as well as Best In Show winning Smooth Fox Terriers, Chihuahuas, Dalmatians and Whippets. Kerry has bred and shown many Best In Show winning Cocker Spaniels and Whippets. She also runs a successful dog grooming salon.
Memorable career highlights to date:
- Winning Best In Show Sydney Royal 1982 with Cocker Spaniel Champion Lehearn Lovemn Leavem
- Winning the English Cocker Spaniel National in 1992 with Champion Camdach Keep Em Talking
- Breeding and co-owning Australia's most successful solid coloured show Cocker Spaniel Grand Champion Kebarlea Cold Gold
- Owning & exhibiting the Top Whippet in South Australia for the past 11 years
Eukanuba™ will play a vital role in conditioning Geoff & Kerry's breeding and show team. Geoff says "With its balanced nutrition Eukanuba™ will support our breeding stock and prepare our show team for maximum performance. Our puppy buyers and grooming clients will learn about the benefits of Eukanuba™ and how it can assist their dog, whether it be for the show-ring or as a companion."
New South Wales
Kurt Morton, VLADIMIR Kennels
Kurt was born into a family passionate about breeding and showing German Shepherds. His parents have held the kennel prefix of 'Vladimir' since the early 80's and his involvement began via Junior Showmanship competitions. This enabled an exciting childhood full of travel and Kurt has now become a Junior Showmanship judge and advocate, achieving many accolades in the dog ring.
His most notable owner/breeder/handler wins, have been lead in hand with Australian Supreme Champion Vladimir Anarchy E.T. "Annie". To date, she is the only Supreme Champion German Shepherd to win a National and Best In Show title in both All breeds and Specialist arenas. She is noted as one of Australia's best show bitches and has bred four National winning progeny from four litters, producing a current total of 14 Specialist winners and four Best In Show winners. Annie's achievements represent a model of consistency and in 2013, team Vladimir took out the National German Shepherd Dog Council of Australia Breeders team award. Vladimir have also been awarded the silver and bronze medal for soundness in their breeding. This is an amazing achievement for such a small, yet fastidious breeding program.
Kurt feels blessed to have grown up with these outstanding dogs and to have seen five Best In Show winners across three generations. He says "Great health starts with great nutrition. It is imperative to give our dogs the best start in life and to keep them at their peak. Great nutrition means high quality ingredients that provide essential nutrients for health and vitality. Great nutrition means Eukanuba™!"
New South Wales
Andrew, Lisa & Caleb Gersbach, IDIGADOG Kennels
Andrew, Lisa & Caleb's journey into the sport of sled dog racing began in 1996 when they welcomed two Alaskan Malamutes into their home. The Canberra Sled Dog Club had been newly formed and after being invited to go to a training run they were immediately hooked!
Andrew, with his team of Aspen and Dakota, achieved what most Alaskan Malamute teams can only dream of. Undefeated in their class for five years, Idigadog's reputation and success became renowned Australia wide. They remain the only Malamute team to have won the prestigious Altitude 5000 Sled Dog Race which earnt them the respect of Australia's finest mushers. Since then, 11 more Siberian boys have joined their racing family as well as their first Canadian import.
Andrew has race marshalled around Australia and New Zealand. In addition, both Andrew and Lisa have marshalled and judged in the US and handled in Alaska and Canada for Iditarod and Yukon Quest mushers.
Andrew has been the President of the Canberra Sled Dog Club for numerous years as well as Vice President/Race Co-ordinator and the longest serving President of the Australian Sled Dog Sports Association.
Lisa says "The Idigadog boys have been very fortunate to have had Eukanuba™ sponsoring them for quite a number of years and I have no doubt that the quality of the food has contributed a great deal to the fantastic race results our dogs have achieved."
New South Wales
Lyn Brand, BRANBERN Kennels
Lyn's experience as a breeder spans over four decades. Initially a breeder of Labradors, Lyn then began specialising in Bernese Mountain Dogs by importing top quality lines from the UK, Sweden and the USA. Her first Best In Show winning Bernese Mountain Dog was Champion Millwire Clockwork Soldier (IMP UK).
Lyn established Branbern Kennels to help develop the Bernese Mountain Dog breed in Australia. Her list of outstanding achievements include:
- Breeder of over 50 Australian Champion Bernese Mountain Dogs, including Obedience and Tracking Dogs, and USA and UK Bred Champion Dogs exported from Australia
- Being the first in Australia to achieve a Best In Show All Breeds win with a Bernese Mountain Dog, the Champion Millwire Clockwork Soldier (Imp UK)
- Breeding the first Australian Grand Champion Bernese Mountain Dog, the AUST Grand Champion Branbern Abbeys Echo
- Lyn is the only Bernese Mountain Dog Breeder in Australia to breed the Best Of Breed winner at the highly prestigious dog show Crufts in the UK, with UK AUST Champion Branbern Special Knight
Lyn is a licenced International All Breeds Judge and a licenced Novice Obedience Judge and was very honoured to judge the 2013 Bernese Mountain Dog Club Specialty in Sweden. Lyn has also worked as a Veterinary Nurse for over 18 years, and is a member of the NSW Hereditary Diseases Committee. Lyn's kennels are world renowned and highly respected for her breeding programme that is dedicated to improving soundness in this magnificent breed.
Lyn says "While nutrition is important for all breeds, it is especially important for a large, active breed like mine. My dogs have thrived on the compete nutrition offered by Eukanuba™. I highly recommend it for anyone wanting the best for their dog."
New South Wales
Melissa Burton, COLTAVA Kennels
Melissa was born into the dog world. She has been breeding and exhibiting Siberian Huskies under the Coltava prefix since 1999, in both the Hunter Region and more recently the Wagga/Albury area. She has owned, bred and handled both All Breeds Best In Show and Speciality Best In Show winning Siberians. Melissa regularly travels to the National Breed Show in the USA, to expand her international network of like-minded breeders as well as to improve her own breeding program and further the development of the breed in Australia. She holds a committee position on the NSW Siberian Husky Club and began her judge's training in 2015. She is currently a trainee judge for Utility in NSW, as well as a Junior Handler judge.
Melissa is pictured with her home bred MBIS Supreme Champion Coltava Dreams N Schemes 'Envy' as a baby. This bitch has made her enormously proud both in and out of the show ring. "Envy" is now retired, and will commence a new role this year - as a pet education dog in schools & preschools. This is also an exciting new role for Melissa, as she sees it as another great opportunity to discuss the benefits of feeding Eukanuba™.
Melissa says "The Siberian Husky is an extraordinary breed and requires extraordinary nutrition. We have found that Eukanuba™ formulas with their high quality animal protein and optimal level of Omega Fatty Acids have our dogs efficiently fuelled and in show ready condition!"
Vicki Shaw, SHAWTHING Kennels
It was Vicky's mum who instilled in her a passion for dogs. She remembers as a child, watching her mum's Curly Coated Retriever deliver a litter of 13 puppies. Vicki was so touched by the miracle of it all that she cried, and knew that like her mum, she too wanted a life around animals.
In the early 1980's, she developed a keen interest in dog obedience trialling and proudly took her two Curly Coated Retrievers to their CD and CDX obedience titles. By the late 1990's, Vicki became interested in the Boxer breed and with the help of some very experienced breeders and friends she had great success with them. Around this time, Vicki's mum had Hungarian Vizslas and French Bulldogs, and Vicki delighted in showing these breeds, winning many group and in show awards.
In 2002, Vicki acquired her first Whippet and fell madly in love. While she has achieved many Specialty and Royal Best In Show awards with her dogs, her most memorable win has been taking out the QLD Dog of the Year award with her homebred Whippet Supreme Champion Shaw Thing All That Jazz.
Vicki is actively involved in sharing her mum's passion for French Bulldogs and says that seeing her mum's face when their breeding takes out top honours is reward in itself. Vicki says "I look forward to my role as a Eukanuba™ Ambassador and helping others learn about this great brand, on which my show team thrives."


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Mary 'The Fox' Johnson is just one example of the lengths Oklahoma teachers go for their students.
It's Wednesday, and for 46 minutes the sixth-grade classroom is void of sixth graders.
The sliver of time between first and third period would seem like a break for Ardmore middle school teacher Mary Johnson. But for the social studies teacher more commonly known as "The Fox" there are no breaks when it comes to readying students for the future.
The classroom, filled with colorful cubbies, maps, and posters is inhabited by Johnson and a pair of high schoolers — one from Ardmore and the other from Plainview — hanging on The Fox's every word.
"So you run track – that's good, that's good – do you play any instruments?" Johnson asked.
"I mean, I played tuba in the sixth grade," the Plainview student said.
"Hmm, okay, that might just work," Johnson said. "I'll call my people at Langston, see if we can get you a scholarship. I'll hook you up."
The bell rings and soon the class is full of bright-eyed sixth graders.
"You all listen to Mrs. Johnson," the student said as he left to return to his school and his class. "I listened. She finds you a way."
The social studies teacher, after 46 minutes of moonlighting as a college advisor, doesn't waste a second shifting gears.
She starts the class on Wednesday with her usual 'good morning class,' 'good morning Mrs. Johnson' call and response, initiating a theatrical geography lesson on South America.
She teaches with her mouth, eyes, arms and hands, disguising vocabulary lessons with drama and laughter.
"In the classroom, it's my stage," she said. "I'm a teacher, but I'm also an entertainer."
But it's not all fun and games. After 38 years, The Fox still runs a tight ship. She's both old school and new school, and it just takes a look to settle everyone down.
Teaching is a full-time job in every respect for Johnson. She's dedicated 38 years to the craft, and nearly as many years to the cycle of seeing young pupils return for her tough love and sage advice on college, careers and life.
"School goes nine months, but teaching is a 12-month job," Johnson said. "When you care and love your students like I do, it's your life. They're my life and the reason I've never been burned out. Us teachers, we don't stop finding ways to reach and teach kids. It doesn't stop."
In addition to her well-documented service and work in the community, she stays at the school well past the final bell every night, She's helped create a STEM program. She visits other schools to help advance her craft and pick up new methods.
And that's just for her current students. High school students return to her classroom for advice — The Fox knows the way.
Through the years Johnson has accrued hundreds of anecdotes about the lengths she's gone to ensure her students' success.
The one that came to mind last Wednesday was an example of how she called up the police chief at a college campus to scare a former student who didn't follow Johnson's advice to get a job on campus and attend every class.
She'd put in the work and money on her end, writing recommendation letters and footing the bill for the enrollment fee. She wasn't about to let that work and her student's future go to waste.
"I tell you what, it worked," Johnson said, laughing. "He got a ride around campus in front of everybody with the police chief. The next day he got a job and he graduated in four years. Nothing gets past The Fox."
It's just one example of the lengths Johnson has gone to ensure her students discover their full potential. And this week, Johnson traveled to Oklahoma City and stood side by side with teachers from across that state to give legislators a piece of her mind.
She said in her years teaching she's never seen teachers as galvanized and united behind an issue.
"All the teachers, we have the same direction about what we want and what we want to see done in our state," Johnson said. "We all are one. We are one team of people trying to express ourselves to our state government about the needs of our community and the needs of our students and teachers. We hope this information and our testimony will impress them enough to make a change."

subset: commoncrawl


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DOYLESTOWN, Pennsylvania – May 12, 2014. ProPhase Labs, Inc. (NASDAQ: PRPH, www.ProPhaseLabs.com) today reported net sales of $6.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2014 as compared to net sales of $7.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2013. The Company incurred a net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2014, of ($804,000), or ($0.05) per share, compared to net income of $290,000, or $0.02 per share, for the three months ended March 31, 2013.
The financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2014 as compared to three months ended March 31, 2013 reflect the net effect of (i) a decrease of our revenues due principally to (a) industry data suggesting there was reduction of over 12% in the incidence of upper respiratory disorders from period to period and, as a consequence, (b) the timing of purchases and the ultimate level of demand for our products, (ii) an increase in research and development expenditures of $90,000 as we seek to expand our future product offerings to consumers, offset by (iii) a decrease in sales and marketing expenses of $366,000 as a consequence of the fluctuation from period to period of the timing and scope of our marketing initiatives.
Ted Karkus, ProPhase Labs' Chairman and CEO stated, "The 2013-2014 Cold Season resulted in a relatively weak incidence of upper respiratory illness as compared to the 2012-2013 Cold Season. Consequently, our retail customers managed their inventory levels cautiously this quarter, which impacts the timing and volume of our shipments."
Mr. Karkus continued, "Our goals for 2014 include continuing our successful strategy of investing in and expanding our Cold-EEZE® Cold Remedy brand and product line up. We plan to introduce another new, premium Cold-EEZE® product (which we expect to be available nationally in the fall of 2014) which will utilize our popular QuickMelt delivery form and will shorten the duration of the common cold as well as provide consumers important additional health benefits."
Mr. Karkus added, "As you know, the Company's forward planning is focused on delivering long term growth and sustainable sales revenues by leveraging our strong brand awareness, our strong distribution platform and relationships, our ability to attract capital as needed to support our marketing and development efforts, and our deep marketing expertise. Our long term goals include introducing products both within and outside of the cough/cold category to capitalize on our core capabilities and assets."
About ProPhase Labs
ProPhase Labs is a diversified natural health medical science company. It is a leading marketer of the Cold-EEZE® Cold Remedy brand as well as other cold relief products. Cold-EEZE® Cold Remedy zinc gluconate lozenges are clinically proven to significantly reduce the duration of the common cold. Cold-EEZE® Cold Remedy customers include leading national chain, regional, specialty and local retail stores. ProPhase Labs has several wholly owned subsidiaries including a manufacturing unit, which consists of an FDA registered facility to manufacture Cold-EEZE® Cold Remedy lozenges and fulfill other contract manufacturing opportunities. ProPhase also owns 50% of Phusion Laboratories, LLC ("Phusion"). Phusion licenses a revolutionary proprietary technology that has the potential to improve the delivery and/or efficacy of many active ingredients or compounds. Phusion will formulate and test products to exploit market opportunities within ProPhase's robust over-the-counter distribution channels. For more information visit us at www.ProPhaseLabs.com.
Except for the historical information contained herein, this document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, including the difficulty of the acceptance and demand for our products, the impact of competitive products and pricing, the timely development and launch of new products, and the risk factors listed from time to time in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and any subsequent SEC filings.
Press Only Contact
Laura Maxey
5W Public Relations
Tel: (212) 452-6400
Investor Contact
Ted Karkus, Chairman and CEO
ProPhase Labs, Inc.
(215) 345-0919 x 0
(tables follow)


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Dr. Michael Hirt
Regional Director
North America & Australia
Dr. Michael Hirt is a leading expert and independent consultant on Corporate Finance and Corporate Development topics. He is President & CEO of HIRT&FRIENDS, an independent management consultancy and Director of the Austrian Institute for Management Innovation. He has published widely on Management and Corporate Finance Topics and has served as a visiting faculty member of major universities. Prior to his career as an independent consultant, speaker and management author, he worked as an investment banker with HSBC Investment Bank, as a Corporate Finance Expert with the Austrian Privatization Agency/State Holding Company ÖIAG and as a strategy and management consultant with BCG.
Michael received both his MBA from INSEAD and his Doctorate in Law from Vienna University with Distinction and holds an LL.M. from McGill University, Montreal/Canada. He is a CMC - Certified Management Consultant, award with Distinction. The CMC represents evidence of the highest standards of consulting and adherence to the ethical canons of the profession. Less than 1% of all consultants have achieved this globally recognized level of performance.
Dr. Sonja Legtmann
Regional Director
Europe, Middle East & Africa
Dr. Sonja Legtmann is co-founder and managing director of SAXO Equity GmbH, an independent corporate finance advisory firm for the mid-market with a special focus on technology companies. At SAXO Equity Dr. Sonja Legtmann mainly works on M&A advisory projects specializing in the ICT and services industries. Before setting up SAXO Equity Dr. Sonja Legtmann was partner of an international venture capital and corporate finance company and member of the board of several portfolio and group companies.
Prior to that she worked in corporate finance and investment banking advising on numerous financing, M&A, IPO and privatization projects in Germany, in London, where she worked for S.G. Warburg & Co. Ltd. as well as for a private bank in Vienna focusing on international transactions in Austria, Italy and Eastern Europe.
Dr. Sonja Legtmann holds a master degree in business administration and a doctorate in economic sciences. Her working languages are German, English, French and Spanish.
Aitor Arteaga
Regional Director
South America & Asia
Aitor Arteaga is a Corporate Lawyer, with a Degree in Laws by the UPV and Master in Legal and Tax Advisory. He is one of the founding members of BAUM partners, an independent legal and corporate advisory firm, specialized in supporting small and middle size industrial companies in their legal and financial affairs. Aitor has developed his career in legal firms, conducting projects for family-owned companies, restructuring of family assets and succession planning. He has participated as speaker and accredited financial consultant for public institutions in the Basque Country.
In BAUM, he provides expertise in M&A projects, as well as in debt restructuring and industrial establishments abroad. Aitor is also highly specialized in private and public capital raising, and financial optimization. He is Legal Counsel and Member of the Board in several industrial companies.


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Dear OKCoin customers,
The major upgrade of OKCoin international will be completed and officially be launched on Feb 6, 2018 (Hong Kong Time, UTC+8).
The new international platform features better visuals, a more stable server, smoother transaction experiences and a more secured funds management system. We aim to provide a seamless and secured trading experience for every one with the upgrade, and we thank you for the continued support and feedback to help us improve.
Yours truly,
OKCoin International


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In today's competitive landscape innovation in biotechology is a necessity as there is a continuous increase in chronic diseases globally such as cancer, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and hepatitis B that is driving this demand. Biotechnology is one of the fastest growing industries with a growing demand for precision medicine and biosimilars, with bioinformatics expected to experience exponential growth in the coming years as a result of substantial innovation in the field. Innovation gives biotechnology companies the opportunity to grow faster and more competitive and ultimately influence the direction of the industry by developing drugs, medicines and therapeutics as well as environmentally friendly chemicals, fuels and materials that address the growing needs of society. Despite the continuous need for innovation in biotechnology, companies are influenced by a number of issues, in the development and commercialization of their innovations. In this paper the focus is on regulation and market influences on innovation in biotechnology. First, the influence of regulation and governments on innovation in biotechnology is discussed. Second, examines the role of marketing on innovation in biotechnology. Third, the impact of market and patient analysis on innovation in biotechnology is examined and a framework is proposed. Following that final conclusions are drawn.
Blind, K. (2012) The influence of regulations on innovation: A quantitative assessment for OECD countries. Research Policy, 41(2): 391-400.
Day, G. (1994) The capabilities of market driven organizations. Journal of Marketing 58: 37-52.
De Luca, L.M., Verona, G. and Vicari, S. (2010) Market orientation and R&D effectiveness in high-technology firms: An empirical investigation in the biotechnology industry. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 27: 299–320.
Kohli, A.K., and Jaworski, B.J. (1990) Market orientation: The construct, research propositions, and managerial implications. Journal of Marketing 54: 1-18.
Miller, H.I. (2017) Personalized medicine needs enlightened regulation to realize its potential. Journal of Commercial Biotechnology, 23(4): 3-5.
Stremersch, S. and Van Dyck, W. (2009) Marketing of the life sciences: A new framework and research agenda for a nascent field. Journal of Marketing, 73: 4–30.
Von Hippel, E. (1986) Lead Users: A source of novel product concepts. Management Science, 32(7): 791-805.
Unless specified by prior arrangement, the author agrees to the following terms and assurances:
- For myself and on behalf of the other authors listed on this work, I assign to thinkBiotech LLC the copyright* in the contribution for the full term throughout the world.
- I/we further give to the following assurances
- I am the sole author of the contribution, or, if not, I have the written authority of the other authors to transfer the copyright* to thinkBiotech LLC and give these warranties;
- I and (where appropriate) the other authors are entitled to transfer the copyright to thinkBiotech LLC and no one else would be entitled to prevent us from publishing the contribution;
- To the best of my/our knowledge, all the facts in the contribution are true and accurate;
- The content of the contribution is entirely original to me (and where appropriate to the other authors) or, if not, the written permission of the owner of the copyright in any material copied from elsewhere has been obtained for all media (all such permissions to be attached to the contribution as supplementary files);
- Nothing in the contribution is obscene or libellous;
- Nothing in the contribution infringes any duty of confidentiality which I/or the other authors may owe to anyone else.
- I and/or the other authors have obtained the appropriate clearances from my/our employer(s) or other concerned institution(s).


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Meet our Board of Directors
We are deeply grateful to the Jack McGovern Coats Disease Foundation Board of Directors, who volunteer their time and expertise to advance the mission of the foundation.
Position: Founder, President
POSITION: FOUNDER, PRESIDENT ED MCGOVERN (Jack's father) is the owner and principal of McGovern & Associates Consulting, Inc. a political consulting, lobbying and public affairs company based in San Mateo County in the San Francisco Bay Area. Ed McGovern has over 30 years of experience in government relations, issue development and campaign management in the […]
Position: Founder
TINA MCGOVERN is a dedicated, experienced non-profit leader with a history of building organizational capacity through fund development, strategy, training, and management. In her desire to help her son Jack and families with children who battle Coats Disease, she uses her expertise to shape an organization that can be a resource for families in need […]
Position: VICE PRESIDENT
Joe Vollert is the Vice President of Advancement at St. Ignatius College Preparatory (SI), in San Francisco, California. An alumnus of St. Ignatius, Mr. Vollert began his tenure with the school in 1988 as a teacher and football coach and was promoted to his present position in 2005. Joe oversees the school's Communication, Events, Development […]
SUZANNE CONNOLLY LEVERE, M.Ed.
Position: Immediate Past President
SUZANNE CONNOLLY LEVERE has a personal connection to the foundation: her son James is living with and battling Coats' Disease. After a career in Commercial Construction Project Management in San Francisco and in Hartford, Suzanne earned her masters in education. She taught school and then, while raising her two children, tutored, volunteered in schools through […]
RUSSELL H. MILLER, J.D., Ph.D.
Position: SECRETARY AND GENERAL COUNSEL
POSITION: SECRETARY and General Counsel RUSSELL H. MILLER, a California attorney for 35 years, specializes in political, campaign, election, and nonprofit law. He provides legal advice to many large Silicon Valley corporations, trade associations, and community foundations, and serves as general counsel and treasurer to a large number of campaign committees for local, state, and […]
Position: Treasurer
KIRK ALAN PESSNER is the Chief Operating Officer and Senior Paralegal, is an expert in compliance with the California Political Reform Act, various California local campaign and lobby laws, the California Elections Code, the Federal Election Campaign Act, the Federal Lobby Disclosure Act of 1995, and the United States Senate and House of Representatives rules […]
Position: Sgt. at Arms
JOHN BRUNO has an extensive background in corporate finance. He was CFO of boats.com, where he was part of the management team that launched the most successful internet company for the recreational marine industry. John was a Senior Director of Worldwide Real Estate and Facilities for Sybase Corporation in Emeryville and was a managing partner […]
Position: CHAIR, SCIENTIFIC ADVISORY BOARD AND BOARD LIAISON
SHERRI VAN EVEREN, PharmD has been a member of the Board since January 2015 and been instrumental in leading the research strategy for JMCDF. She has been in Ophthalmology research for over 15 years and was instrumental in helping initiate the Jack McGovern Coats' Disease collaboration with Genentech. Currently, she is Vice President of Ophthalmology Clinical […]
For more than three decades, GARY BRICKLEY has played a pivotal role in the Bay Area film and event production industries. Along with wife Annelle, the third generation San Franciscan oversees the rental and distribution of equipment and supplies through his eponymous company, Brickley Production Services. Gary has amassed over 45 years in the production […]
Jeannee Parker Martin, President & CEO of LeadingAge California and Vice Chairman & Principal of The Corridor Group Holdings and subsidiary companies, is a leader in the strategic development of innovative healthcare programs and aging services. Active in health service planning, development and delivery of care for over 30 years, Jeannee has assisted organizations around […]
In 2006, Jack McGovern was diagnosed with a rare retinal disease in his left eye called Coats Disease. His parents and family quickly learned that this is a disease that's found most often in young boys and that there is no known cure. Luckily, Jack's Coats Disease was discovered fairly early. Medical treatments and procedures […]
Deborah J. Marron, Ed.D., Executive Director
Dr. Deborah J. Marron joined the Jack McGovern Coats' Disease Foundation as the Foundation's first Executive Director in October 2017. Deborah comes to the Foundation with experience in association management, development and alumni relations, program development, budget administration, human resources management, career development, and public relations. Dr. Marron served as the Director of Alumni and […]
- Claire McGovern
- Katie McGovern Koborsi
- Brian McGovern
- Michael Jumper, M.D
- ME Hartnett, M.D
- Karen Franklin
- Elke Bach Gibbs
- Nancy Garrett-Payton
- Bill Vaughn
Click here to access the Bylaws of the Jack McGovern Coats' Disease Foundation.


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Sticks, Stones and Dragon Bones by Evelyn Ink revolves around the five Darlington sisters and their adventures in Enil. After finding a chest in their attic, Paige and Bean discover a map, books, coins, a sword engraved with their mother's name, an old iron doorknob and a key. The girls work out that the doorknob could belong to one of the many doors in their old house that go to nowhere. However, with the doorknob and the key in place on an old basement door, a portal opens from our world to Enil. Where or what is Enil? The sisters soon get swept into this strange world before they can question their mother.
I liked the story right away. It at first brought to mind Peter Pan. It doesn't have much of the absurdity of Peter Pan, but has all of the adventure. The Darlington sisters are uniquely crafted characters. Paige and Bean are consistent throughout and have an enjoyable bantering sense of humor similar to what I share with my sisters. The twins Hayde and Dorrit are especially cute as 6-year-old would-be cutthroat pirates.
I'm just beginning to get a feel for the setting. As this is a "quest" story, we only get glimpses of the places the Darlingtons travel through. But they are described enough to be interesting. The telling of the background story seemed odd in places because I had a mindset about Enil that didn't include "tabloids." But once I accepted it, I was able to continue. Some parts of the background did seem a bit familiar. I have read too often about heroes not knowing their full "significance-to-the-world" background and suddenly coming face-to-face with it. But I won't reveal too much. I have just seen that aspect already in other works. I suppose that detail is in the formula for many of the adventure stories out there.
The story details, however, are original in many other ways. The tension and excitement is well done. I've read Ill-fated as well, and Evelyn Ink knows how to write suspense and adventure. I look forward to the next book in the Sticks, Stones and Dragon Bones series. However, I didn't realize it was a series until page 189 of the 199 page book. I was ready for more adventure.
I was a bit concerned about pregnancy aspects in the story. My oldest is 7 so I'm not sure I would be discussing those subjects with her if she asked specific details. Yet, as far as this being for target age 8-11, I think it's appropriate. A little bit to scare, a little to exhilarate and a little to keep you guessing.
I was provided with a copy for an honest review.
Rating 4/5
Read more reviews by Cherese Vines at www.cheresevinescharmingwords.wordpress.com
Read more reviews by Cherese Vines at www.cheresevinescharmingwords.wordpress.com


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Take a look into the stunning Wood Wedding!
It was an absolutely beautiful August day full of love and excitement.
Tabitha and I had a fabulous time photographing this lovely couple and their family & friends.
Here is just a sneak peek into Mr. & Mrs. Woods wedding day.
-Kaley & Tabitha


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Are the café and venue wheelchair accessible? How do I get a wheelchair space held for me?
Yes, the café, concert hall, and restrooms are all wheelchair accessible. If you would like to request a wheelchair seating location or have other ADA needs, please e-mail boxoffice at swmh.com as soon as you purchase your ticket. We will do everything possible to accommodate your request.


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Patient Forms
Get the forms you need.
Mattawan Family Eye Care has been the only provider of optometry services and vision care products in the Mattawan community since 2003, and we want to help you achieve and maintain clear vision for years to come.
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Sebastian Vettel celebrates title at team factory
Four-time Formula One World Champion Sebastian Vettel brought the celebrations for his title win and the team's fourth consecutive Constructors' Championship victory to Red Bull Racing's factory in Milton Keynes.
Before meeting employees at a private party at the team's headquarters on Wednesday, Vettel, along with team principal Christian Horner and chief technical officer Adrian Newey, explained how important the effort of the whole team had been in securing the latest pair in the team's sequence of four double championships in a row.
Giving it back
"It's really nice to come back to the factory to celebrate the achievement with the whole team," said Vettel. "Obviously, there are a certain number of people who are at every race, but there are many people behind what happens at the track, who are just as dedicated and passionate about the job we do. It's a pleasure to come here to the factory and say thank you to them.
"They put in a lot more hours here than I do, so it's nice to give a little bit back." Horner added: "You only have to walk around the factory here to see the determination, the desire and the enjoyment people have in working at this team. We've come a long way in a pretty short space of time and there's tremendous pride in everything we've achieved collectively.
To have won and defended our title are things we are all enormously proud of. So it is very gratifying to celebrate these latest titles here with Sebastian, who I think has done an outstanding job this year and who has yet again raised the bar. The level he has driven at this year has been absolutely magnificent.
After meeting the media, Vettel rejoined Horner and Newey for a team celebration.
Back to work
And, after the applause for the achievements, it was back to work. The next goal? "The next race," said the German. "We go to Austin next week and I'm looking forward to it already."
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Another delicious bread recipe: Lemon Blackberry Bread
The lemon- blackberry flavor combo is a good one. And the crumbly topping on this bread is to die for!
Lemon Blackberry Bread
Prep Time: 15 minutes
Cook Time: 50 to 60 minutes
- 1/2 cup granulated white sugar
- 1/3 cup all purpose flour
- 4 Tablespoons (1/2 stick) unsalted butter, at room temperature
- 1 teaspoon grated lemon zest
- 1/2 teaspoon ground cinnamon
- 3/4 cup granulated white sugar
- 4 Tablespoons (1/2 stick) unsalted butter, at room temperature
- 1/2 cup milk
- 1 large egg
- 2 cups all purpose flour
- 2 teaspoons baking powder
- 1/4 teaspoon salt
- 2 cups fresh blackberries
- 1 Tablespoon grated lemon zest
- Preheat oven to 375°F. Spray 9 x 5-inch loaf pan with cooking spray.
- Prepare the topping: Stir together topping ingredients in a small bowl. Set aside.
- Prepare bread: In a medium bowl, use an electric mixer to combine the sugar and butter. Then mix in the milk and the egg until smooth.
- In a separate bowl, whisk together the flour, baking powder and salt. Stir into the wet mixture just until combined. Gently fold in the blackberries and lemon zest.
- Pour the batter into the prepared pan and sprinkle with the topping. Bake until topping is deep golden and has formed a thick crust (50 to 60 minutes). Cool in pan 5 minutes, then transfer to a wire rack to continue cooling.
- Keep an eye on the topping while baking. If it begins to darken/burn, cover with foil for remainder of baking.


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In April, oil prices slightly decreased. In particular, Brent North Sea quality opened at $53.09/b and closed at $51.89/b, while West Texas Intermediate opened at $50.25/b and closed at $49.48/b. Both the European and Asian benchmark and the American reference reached their highest on April 11th, respectively pricing $56.29/b and $53.84/b in the wake of the American raid over the Syrian military base of al-Shayrat, near the city of Homs.
Moreover, during the first part of the month, barrel prices also increased because of:
-A supply outage at a field in the United Kingdom's sector of the North Sea;
-According to oil analysis firm Vortexa, shipped oil supplies have dropped by 17% this year. "We have seen a significant reduction in global oil supply since January, with oil on water going from 978 million barrels on January 1st to 812 million barrels on April 3rd," said Vortexa chief executive, Fabio Kuhn;
-According to Prestige Economics, in the United States, "product inventories fell in last week's DOE report by a combined 6.2 million barrels, bringing the total product inventory decline over the past six weeks to 36.5 million barrels", stated Jason Schenker, President of the economy, currency, and commodity forecaster. That's the biggest six-week drop in almost 11 years – and the summer driving season doesn't even start for another seven weeks;
-During the first week of April, the net long speculative positions of both Brent, and WTI restarted to increase again by 54.000.000 barrels.
In the course of the second part of April, barrel prices dropped due to three factors related to the implementation of the U.S. foreign and energy policy.
Firstly, the U.S. President, Donald Trump, seemed to be dragged into the attack in Syria by one part of the Pentagon, rather than intending to increase the geopolitical tensions over the Russian Federation in the Middle East.
Secondly, according to the Energy Information Administration, after 9 weeks of bearish trend, U.S. gasoline stockpiles grew by 3.400.000 barrels, while diesel inventories rose by 2.700.000 barrels.
Thirdly, U.S. crude oil production reached 9.293.000 b/d – that is 523.000 b/d more since the beginning of 2017 – increasing by 10% since mid-2016.
At the time of writing, Brent was pricing at $49.47/b and WTI at $46.59/b.
In April, the ruble confirmed its strength over the dollar. In particular, the ruble/$ exchange rate, which opened at 56.35ruble/$, reaching 55.83 ruble/$ on April 17th, its record high since July 3rd 2015. At the end of the month, the Russian currency priced over the America currency at 56.82 ruble/$.
On April 28th, the Russian Central Bank cut the key rate by 0.5% to 9.25%. Previously, the Governor of the Institute, Elvira Nabiullina, stated "the potential economic growth (rates) amount to 1.5-2% if there are no structural transformations. How fast we will reach this potential growth rate (level) depends on the oil price, growth may be faster, but whatever the price of oil, without structural transformation we will stabilize at the economic growth level of 1.5-2%. […..]. The dependence of Russia's economic growth rates on the oil price is not very high. A high (oil) price within the range of $40 and $60 (per barrel) will add around 1 percentage point to the growth, not more".
According to the Oil Market Report, published by the International Energy Agency on April 17th, world oil supply decreased by 755.000 b/d in March because OPEC and non-OPEC members extracted less barrels, improving compliance with the output reduction agreement. In particular, OPEC production was 31.680.000 b/d approximately, 800.000 b/d less than the ceiling decided on November 30th 2016.
Global demand is forecast to grow by 1.300.000 b/d in 2017 that is a second consecutive annual decline, though higher than the annual average rise of 1.200.000 b/d that has registered since 2000.
Based on the same Report, "it can be argued confidently that the market is already very close to balance, and as more data becomes available this will become clearer". However, this statement does not mean that the OPEC and non-OPEC agreement will not be extended to the second half of 2017, as it seems more and more possible.
In accordance with the figures of the Drilling Productivity Report, published by the Energy Information Administration on April 17th, the American unconventional output is expected to increase by 124.000 b/d to 5.193.000 b/d in May.
The U.S. crude production, after the peak of 9.700.000 b/d gained in April 2015, decreased to its lowest of 8.428.000 b/d on July 1st 2016. It then started increasing to 9.293.000 b/d, which was reached on April 28th2017.
In fact, according to the data provided by Baker Hughes, the total current number of U.S. rigs – 870 of which, 697 (80.3%) of oil rigs and 171 (19.4%) of gas rigs, plus 2 miscellaneous on April 28th – have been carrying on to rise again thanks to the increase in oil prices (y-o-y) and to the technological improvements of the sector.
In February 2017, the U.S. crude oil imports stood at 7.890.000 b/d, decreasing from the highest levels of 8.435.000 b/d reached in January (record since August 2012). However, this data is lightly higher than the average crude oil imports of 7.877.000 b/d marked during 2016, which is on the rise if compared with the 7.344.000 b/d imported in 2014 and 7.363.000 b/d in 2015.
Moreover, according to the General Customs Administration, in March, Chinese imports surged to an all-time high of 9.170.000 barrels – overtaking the U.S. imports – as a consequence of a larger purchase by independent domestic refiners and a fall in domestic output (3.920.000 b/d in the first quarter of 2017, -6.8%). At the same time, both commercial and crude Chinese stocks have been decreasing at their lowest in four years.
In the first quarter of the current year, the China's gross domestic product rose by 6.9%, the best performance since 2015, boosted by a "hard switching from export to the domestic demand", while U.S. GDP increased by 0.7%, the lowest increment in three years.
In our 2017 March Report, we wrote: "now, it seems that the frackers can endure the increasing of costs despite less productive wells being brought into use and with a higher break-even price [in addition to the fact that] the yield gap between the U.S. High Yield bonds and the U.S. Treasury bonds reached its lowest since July 2014". During the first quarter of 2017, the rent of the drilling facilities increased to $14.600/d according to Rig Data, while the sand cost has overcame $40/t, more than doubling the prices reached at the end of 2016. Without any doubt, these two issues are not good news for the future of the U.S. on-shore un-conventional producers.
In December 2016, we introduced the possibility of an Oil Pax, summarized as the contact between two fundamental political factors.
Firstly, the nominee of Rex Tillerson, former CEO of Exxon Mobil, as Secretary of State by U.S. President, Donald Trump.
Secondly, the military victory of the Russian Federation and its allies into the Syrian conflict, which leads to the 2016 November oil agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC members.
Since then, we have put into light several energy agreements involving different countries, envisaging the "political bridge role" that Italy has been playing – with the actions of ENI and Intesa San Paolo – in implementing the so-called Oil Pax.
Having said this, what are the most important political countertendencies that happened in April and that moved in opposition to the Oil Pax, seemingly averting the new U.S. Administration and the Kremlin from the possibility of a real political and diplomatic reset?
-On April 5th, Steve Bannon, creator and point of reference of the alt-right Breitbart News site and mastermind of the White House strategy was fired from the U.S. National Security Council due to political reasons. Before him, on February 14th, Michael Flynn, at that time member of the same Council too, was forced to step down because he presumably hid to the U.S. Vice President, Mike Pence, that he had discussed with the Russian Ambassador in the United States about sanctions at a time when Donald Trump was still not in charge (officially, he has been in office since January 20th 2017), but became President of the country in November of the previous year;
-On April 7th 2017, the U.S. raid in Syria in the wake of the chemical weapons used in the village of Khan Sheikhounnear, the city of Idlib;
-On April 15th, the terroristic attack close to the city of Rashiddin, in Syria, made by the so-called "rebels";
-Last, but not least, the crisis that has sparked in the Korean Peninsula.
According to Andrej Kortunov, Director of the Russian Council of Foreign Affairs, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin may meet each other in Europe at the end of May: "Lo scopo principale di questo incontro – explains Kortunov cited by Kommersant – è mandare alle rispettive strutture burocratiche, a Mosca come a Washington, un segnale chiaro sulla necessità di mettere fine a questa guerra di parole e gesti per iniziare finalmente la ricerca di punti di contatto".
In addition, on May 25th, the OPEC producers will have their next meeting in Vienna and the discussion will turn around the possibility to extend the November's 2016-oil agreement to the second half of 2017.
The political results of these two meetings will certainly influence the perspective of the Oil Pax: for the time being, according to the Wall Street Journal, it seems that Exxon Mobil asked to the U.S. Treasury Department an exemption to the sanctions imposed from the United States of America over the Russian Federation with regard to the cooperation with Rosneft.
Demostenes Floros
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In an age when it seems there are as many books published about football supporters as there are about the footballers those supporters watch so avidly, Neil Dunkin's book, described on its front cover as "A Kopite's Odyssey from The Second Division to Sublime Istanbul", stands out. Any football supporter, not just a Liverpool supporter, who reads this book will understand why it was nominated at a recent British Sports Book awards. An articulate and respected journalist in his own right, Neil has no need of a ghost-writer or co-author. He opens his heart and allows the reader to share his extraordinary memories of a near fifty-year period. Anyone who lived through the same period … or even just some of it … will be both thrilled and enthralled by this remarkable journey.
Neil grew up in an area off Breck Road nicknamed "The Lake District" because of the names of its streets. Living so close to Anfield that he could often hear the noise from the crowd, there was never much doubt that his allegiance would be Red rather than Blue, even though he was in the minority at his first school which was closer to Goodison than Liverpool's own home. Post-war austerity didn't prevent him from having a happy upbringing in a safe neighbourhood with a good community spirit. He remembers impromptu kickabouts with his mates in Stanley Park, in which the boys played with no proper kit until one of the lads thought of "an idea so outlandish it was at least worth a try"; they would go to Anfield to see if the club would give them any of its "old gear". Neil was one of two boys delegated with this task. Once inside the stadium, the manager at the time (Phil Taylor) kindly greeted them and showed them around but explained that the club was unable to pass on any kit because after first-team use it was then handed down to the junior teams the club put out. So the end result was disappointment but Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained as the saying goes.
Young Master Dunkin's early experiences of watching Liverpool were from the Boys' Pen he describes as "a nest of vipers". As Mister Taylor left to be replaced by "a young tiger with young ideas" called William Shankly, Neil was graduating into the Kop itself from the Devil's Nursery of the Pen. He was also taking a huge interest in the musical life of the city as well as its sporting life. Doing some clerical work in the city centre close to Mathew Street, Neil often attended lunchtime gigs at the Cavern Club where he saw the Beatles performing live and was blown away by the experience : "You'ld have thought they'd been touring for years to achieve that polished, powerhouse sound". As he ventured away from the British mainland into continental Europe and further afield as an adult, he often found that his roots stood him in good stead. Not just the Fab Four but it seemed that "any Scouser travelling abroad had turned into a celebrity too" and "if you were raised in Liverpool and came of age during the best of eras, you couldn't help but feel optimism about your life and your future."
Neil's ambitions to become a journalist saw him join the Liverpool Daily Post & Echo's training scheme after passing his final university examinations in London. A regular hitch-hiker back to his home town during his student days, he was now able to attend matches more regularly, although he did not feel comfortable covering one home match from the Anfield Press Box because he couldn't express himself the way he could on the Kop, somewhere he felt was his "rightful place". He was therefore very close to the action as Bill Shankly's plans started to bear the fruit of tangible success in the early 1970's. Bill's inspirational skipper, Emlyn Hughes, said of the 1971 F.A. cup final "We were all babies but we grew up as men that day". "As a wind of change blew through L4's corridors, the closing sentences of the Beatles' lengthy chapter in cultural history were being written".
As the Beatles broke up, Liverpool Football Club was embarking on its own 'lengthy chapter' of success that would last for the next twenty years with Messrs. Paisley, Fagan and Dalglish continuing the work that Shankly had started. The club's achievements are chronicled in numerous places other than Mr. Dunkin's book. But it truly was a golden era the author was proud to be a small part of on such notable occasions as the European Cup quarter-final with Saint-Etienne in 1977 when "the Kop was the epicentre of an earthquake" after David Fairclough's winning goal. Of the historic first European Cup win in Rome in 1977, Neil recalls "watching our splendid team process around the running track with that cup, our cup, I knew my lifelong dream had come true – nothing could better this". Amazingly, it did get better as more memorable triumphs followed.
Football, however, though important to so many, is only part of Life. Neil enriched his own life by travelling extensively, often to South America, describing Rio de Janeiro as a place "exhibiting obscene wealth cheek by jowl with abject poverty". His love of football didn't end at Dover or Heathrow and meant that he was able to watch matches live in both the awesome Maracana Stadium in Rio and the equally impressive Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. Back in Europe, an eye-operation prevented him from attending Liverpool's second victory in Rome seven years after the first but he knew, as did anyone who was there, that "for Roma, the defeat was a humiliation that triggered a bloody sequel. Their hooligans exacted revenge in streets around the stadium, where Italian police displayed a reluctance to intervene". Twelve months later, Neil saw for himself how "this violence (in Rome), unreported by Britain's national media, was to have deadly repercussions". At Heysel, on one of the darkest days any sport has ever experienced, Neil felt "deeply ashamed of the vile minority who'd latched onto my club and used it as a pretext for gratuitous violence that had caused deaths".
Around the time Neil was introducing his own son to the Kop, an even greater tragedy hit the club he loved, a tragedy he movingly writes about so well in a chapter called "Death In The Afternoon". As a journalist himself, Neil was horrified to find that "Wapping's falsehoods were disseminated across the world, doing incalculable harm to Liverpool Football Club and the city". The First Division championship that came a year after Hillsborough was indeed the "last hurrah of a golden age".
Dunkin continues to bring us up-to-date with Liverpool Football Club's life as well as his own. The travel stories, like exploring the Inca Trail in Peru and visiting Machu Picchu there, fit in neatly alongside the football stories without the reader losing interest. In some cases they are intertwined anyway. Even so far away from home, he finds that the influence of the Beatles is still alive for others than himself years after the group broke up. Despite leaner times, in terms of trophies anyway, "dark months are always brightened by trips to L4, one of the most bracing elixirs on tap, a release valve we're so fortunate to possess". Inevitably, there is a chapter about the "Immortality in Istanbul" and this is one of the most memorable accounts I have ever read of those extraordinary days by someone who was there. Arriving in Turkey early with his son because match-tickets were not yet to hand (they bought a pair for £500 the day before the final), Neil & Russ met fellow Reds from just about every corner of the globe, proving again "the aura and mystique that Liverpool has for men and women of every creed and colour. No other club casts such a spell; no other city stirs imaginations like it (Liverpool) does".
Using Neil Dunkin's own words, "Liverpool's half-century since the Fifties has been a unique saga that has encompassed the epic, heroic, dramatic, comic, poetic and lyric. During those years, I have gone through every emotion that life can throw at you"; and of his own match-going experiences, he adds simply but passionately, "Nowhere, and nothing, equals it, because Anfield is my drug, the match my fix." This excellent book is a truly wonderful account of those times and will warm the heart of any readers who were any part of it themselves and who can so easily relate to the stories and memories contained therein.
Copyright - Chris Wood for LFChistory.net


text: Laban 0 Posted March 28, 2018 Report Share Posted March 28, 2018 I need to use stock from Inventoria into Express Accounts, but whenever I try this I will ask me to connect to the server which I have no clue whereabout it is. How canI link Inventoria to Express Accounts on my Macbook without many hassles? Thanks Quote Link to post Share on other sites


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Health plan good start but must control costs more
For the first time in almost two decades, Washington is addressing our broken health care system, and none too soon. As Americans continue to lose their jobs at a gut-wrenching pace, they often face a terrifying fact: lose your job, and you lose your health insurance.
Our health care system is a moral embarrassment and an economic liability. More than half the personal bankruptcies in the U.S. are caused by unexpected health care expenses. Small businesses choose between uncovered employees and huge insurance premiums. Cancer patients have seen their insurance companies deny them care at the moment they need it most. And most of us have experienced the frustration of having our insurance company come between us and our doctor.
Almost everyone feels the pain of spiraling out-of-pocket health expenses. In Connecticut, more than 350,000 people have no access to health care. Those of us with insurance pay about $1,100 extra each year in premiums to cover their costs. Health care costs have doubled in the last 10 years and will do so again if we do not act.
Health care reform must have two primary goals: provide Americans with stable access to high-quality care, and substantially reduce the costs in the system. Fail in the first goal, and we will continue to live with the moral and economic costs of a broken system. Fail in the second, and we will simply accelerate the unsustainable trajectory of this system.
The reform proposal being discussed in the U.S. House of Representatives does well on the first goal. It would cover almost all Americans, and provide subsidies to those households unable to afford it. The plan allows those happy with their current coverage to keep it, while creating a competitive "exchange" in which private insurers and a public option would compete for customers without employer-provided coverage or who choose to forego it. Think Orbitz.com for health insurance.
The proposal before Congress will bring peace of mind and stability to families and businesses across the country. By making affordable individual health plans a reality and prohibiting exclusions for pre-existing conditions, the plan guarantees you can obtain health insurance regardless of your employment situation. Additionally, the plan will reduce costs for seniors, who will no longer need to worry that the Medicare "doughnut hole" will impoverish them.
The public option has been the subject of much debate. Properly structured to assure a level playing field, a public option will provide much needed competition for the insurance companies and help bring down costs nationally, given that 90 percent of Americans live in markets dominated by one or two insurers. To those who worry about government participation in the market, remember that it is a public option -- no one is forced in.
Unfortunately, the proposal before the House is weak on the second key goal: cost reduction. Remember, we spend twice per person on health care as other industrialized countries, with subpar results. That is the very definition of inefficiency.
Change will not be easy.
We must revisit our current fee-for-service, volume-based model, in which every provider at every step has powerful incentives to order test after test, procedure after procedure, with little regard for what is actually effective.
Instead we should reward hospitals and doctors who deliver higher quality health care. Doctors and patients need access to the best information and evidence on effectiveness. True health care reform must encourage proven best practices, like increasing nursing staff and coordinating care among a patient's entire medical team.
Cost control also requires that we actually start emphasizing health. Few in our current system have an economic incentive to keep Americans healthy -- payment follows diagnosis, therapy, treatment and cure. We severely underinvest in the early medical care and education that can lead to a lifetime of healthy habits. Estimates suggest that nearly 10 percent of the costs in the system are associated with obesity, which is just one of the preventable health issues that afflict too many Americans.
The bill is moving in the right direction, but it falls short of the fundamental reforms that will reduce costs in the system and incline it towards actually keeping Americans healthy. Congress is abuzz with the process, with all its passion, partisanship and emotion. Success is critical, because the status quo is no longer an option.
Jim Himes is a member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Connecticut's 4th District.


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Skip to 0 minutes and 18 seconds Let me mention some of the most significant ways in which culture becomes prominent in cities nowadays. On the one hand, there is the very common processes of urban regeneration. In the last decades, artistic activity has been promoted as a way to produce urban regeneration of run down neighbourhoods and for the promotion of historical city centres. And there are many, many examples of this around the world, because this is something that has been replicated, has started in the United States, and then in Europe, but then was replicated in many places in Europe and now in Latin America and Asia, etc. On the other hand, in big cities, there is maximum concentration of cultural and creative industries.
Skip to 1 minute and 26 seconds It's where we can find a more extensive and strong art market or music industry or fashion or publishing– publicity, the media– and tourism. Tourism is a particularly important part of this set, because tourism is connected to all the cultural activity. To the heritage in Europe, this is very, very important. And many industries depend on tourism, apart from cultural industries– from airlines to restaurants or hotels. Finally, it is important to perhaps to mention also the cultural diversity.
Skip to 2 minutes and 25 seconds Big cities characterised by concentrating cultural diversity is the place where they concentrate the most. And for these cities, this constitutes a challenge, because it poses difficulties for social integration, and an asset at the same time. The city provides a space for the expression of ethnic cultures and also for inter-ethnic conflicts, and adds similarly creative activity can be used politically to achieve just the opposite of conflict, a case social cohesion and integration. There are many cultural policy programmes that have been implemented in recent times with this same goal, especially in European cities.
Skip to 3 minutes and 26 seconds These programmes– in Barcelona, again, we have some good examples of these, include exhibitions showing and recognising ethnically specific cultural expressions, or programmes integrating ethnically market cultural elements in traditional festivities of the city. Generally speaking in the cultural dynamism and cultural creativity of cities, cultural diversity plays a crucial role. This is the most visible in cities like London or New York, the biggest cities, where creators of many different ethnic backgrounds make crucial contributions to the global attraction as cultural capitals.
Culture in urban spaces, today
Arturo Rodriguez Morato, from the University of Barcelona, discusses the impact of culture on cities.
He starts by explaining how culture became a tool for urban regeneration. He also emphasizes the importance cultural diversity for cities and argues that cultural policies have a major role to play in social cohesion.
Share your thoughts:
Although tourism is portrayed as a tool for urban development, the inhabitants of main touristic cities often view it as an inconvenience. What is your view? Is tourism a good or a bad thing for a city? What are the necessary conditions for tourism to have a positive impact on local citizens?


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ErgoArms - Pink
Availability :In Stock
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All our products are made from skin-friendly, natural fibres, including Organic Cotton, Merino and Bamboo. We also choose natural fibres for the fillings to improve breathability and temperature regulation.


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REMINDER: Board Work Session, 06/28/10
The Board of Education of Charles County will hold a work session at 6 p.m., Monday, June 28, at the Jesse L. Starkey Administration Building in La Plata. The meeting will be aired live on Comcast Channel 96 and Verizon FiOS Channel 12, and streamed on the school system Web site at www.ccboe.com/boe/live. The agenda is as follows:
Call to order - 6 p.m.
Pledge of Allegiance
Public Forum
Action Items
- AFSCME signing
- 2011 budget
- School naming
Executive Session


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Standard Annual Salary for a Congressman
Members of the United States Congress are tasked with significant responsibilities. Each of them represents residents in their states or districts and draws on their voters' wishes to create and approve legislation into law. The base annual compensation for U.S. Representatives and Senators is $174,000, which was the salary set in 2009 and frozen at that level for 2011 and 2012. There are deviations from this salary for other members, as well as other compensatory rules and benefits that increase members' overall salaries.
Congressional Positions that Earn More
The Speaker of the House has great influence over what bills pass and move on to the Senate, and is next in line for the presidency following the Vice President. For this, the Speaker is awarded a base pay of $223,500. In the Senate, the President Pro Tempore is selected by his peers, traditionally has seniority and is a member of the majority party. This position follows the Speaker of the House in the presidential line of succession; the base salary is $193,400, the same as the majority and minority leaders of both houses. If the Vice President's position is vacant, the President Pro Tempore's salary increases to $230,700.
Basic Operating Allowances
House members are entitled to Members Representational Allowances, or MRAs, to cover expenses such as mileage, office space, mail, and personnel salaries. In 2011, the average MRA was $1,446,009. Senators get three allowances, combined in what is known as SOPOEA, or Senator's Official Personnel and Office Expense Account. While there are variations depending on the state they represent, the average 2012 allocation was over $3 million.
Other Allowances
All Congressional members are entitled to other allowances to defray expenses, with Senators getting far more consideration than their House member counterparts. All members can receive specific government publications, such as directories, required to do their jobs -- and House members get a travel allowance that includes one staff person to attend caucuses and conferences. Senators, meanwhile, get additional allowances for interns and office space, including furnishings and office equipment.
Federal benefits are part of a Congressman's compensation package, including the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program, the Federal Employees Group Life Insurance Program, and two retirement systems: the Civil Service Retirement System and the Federal Employees Retirement System. All members of Congress must participate in the U.S. Social Security program.
- Congressional Research Service: Congressional Salaries and Allowances
- Senate.gov: United States Senate – President Pro Tempore
- League of Education Voters: Legislature for Dummies
- Congressman Frank Pallone, Jr., New Jersey: FAQs about Congress
- ABC News: Give Me A Break: Chris Cuomo Takes On Congressional Perks
Photo Credits
- Jupiterimages/Photos.com/Getty Images


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To put it mildly.....We really need a vacation after this Cruise!
We ~hesitantly booked this Alaskan Glacier cruise with 7 other family members from around the US. This was to be a true "Bucket-List Cruise". There were 3 Seniors with our party..one of them a "Diamond RC" member. We aren't typically cruise people, but we wanted to participate with this one for the aging members of the family. We are Luxury Vacationers and Platinum Marriott Members. We enjoy fine food, fine wine and luxury amenities.
Yes, the Ovation is a sparkly new ship. The balcony stateroom was adequate, the staff were quite nice. That's all the positive energy I can put into this review.
The biggest disappointment..BY FAR...was that THIS Alaskan Cruise did not get to see the glacier we had on the itinerary...This ship is TOO BIG to get to the glacier!! So I'll bet no one will ever see the glacier if you take this ship! The 3 other ships that sailed with us all went to the glacier. Also, the same cruise the week ahead of us didn't go to the glacier either. Safety aside..this was THE hallmark of the trip. If they couldn't do it, they should've told us ahead of time.
Right off the bat, they want your individual picture! Not because it's " A time to Remember" ...it's all about facial recognition. Don't believe it's true? Think again!
For beginners, the embarkation was total chaos, stress and disorganization from Seattle. The seniors were exhausted and so were we.
The dining experience....
Some of our family were staying in Junior Suites...They ate at a separate dining room every night. We were not allowed to attend that dining room. So unless we wanted to pay the upcharge for a specialty dining venue we never ate dinner together....NOT ONCE! So we did lunch together instead. Here is where we ate our meals and our thoughts on the experience....
Where ARE the fantastic Buffets? The ice sculptures? The shrimp towers? The chocolate fountains? Not on this ship! None of it....
We ordered coffee/Juice & danish from room service each morning..free with a tip. OK
Windjammer is like a hospital cafeteria. Food was Eh...
Cafe Two70 another hospital cafeteria. Food was Eh...
Cafe Promenade 24hr coffee/ stale pastry & Sandwich shop is the size of a kiosk at the mall. Nothing special here.
Chic MDR dining where we ate dinner was ok, staff was very attentive. Average food, nothing special, didn't leave hungry.
Solarium Bistro Breakfast to order was a hidden gem in the mornings and decent.
Solarium Bistro Dinner...not that great. Eh...
Lunch in the The Grand was ok, good place to gather if you are with a group.
The smoking/vaping sections of the ship.
If you are a smoker, vaper or enjoy a cigar...Beware! There are only 3 places on ship to indulge in your stress-reducing cigarette.
#1 The 5th Floor patio near Vintages Wine bar- the quietest place and most difficult place to find (but closed many times for cleaning?, without any cleaning going on?)
#2 The 14th Floor open air hallway between the Solarium and Splashaway Bay. This is quite a hike from most staterooms. Not a favorite place to go.
#3 The back left section of Casino Royale if you want to be out of the weather & wind. Another not-so-favorite place to go, but nice at 6:30 am if you'd like a little peace & quiet.
Night time activities were mediocre at best. We usually ended up in the Music Hall for a silly game or two and some music...not as good as my local bar.
Schooners had some nice piano music.
We never did see any of the shows. They were booked up from day #1.
We did the Skagway train excursion, which was nice. We booked that several months in advance.
The " Refreshment package" was expensive, but covered all of our bottled water & Virgin Mary drinks & Mocktails. We also used it for other mixers because we purchased a few "Royal Gift" packages of Absolute Vodka for our room so we could mix our own drinks. We also brought on 2 bottles of wine from port on embarkation day. The others with us hardly got their money's worth from the alcohol packages they spent almost $1,000 on. Most of the bars were closed during days in port. FYI...
The PUSH to SPEND MORE ! OMG!!!
The constant push to spend more money blew my mind! As if you haven't spent ENOUGH already!!!!
Every activity is put in place to help you spend more money. From the "Smokey-Eye" Demo (to purchase Urban Decay Makeup Pallets) to the Seminars. They want you spending..spending...spending!
Even the TV stations...non-existent so you are out spending instead of watching tv.
VOOM Experience..=...DOOM Experience...need I say more...totally NOT worth it. Even in an emergency.
Formal nights....FWIW what is the point? Nothing special...No fancy dinners here or reduced drink prices...Just more opportunity for pictures to sell you later.
The Captains Reception....Hahahaha....reception? I though most receptions came with a drink and a small bite? My mistake.
Ports..Interesting tourist traps...bought a few things, saw a few things, drank a beer, ate a lunch....maybe did an excursion....got back on ship
This is just the tip of the iceburg...haha..But you've got the idea.
Perspective...If you're a cruiser, you'll always be a cruiser...it's your thing. No offense, but I just don't see how this is a relaxing or pampering way to vacation. I would not classify this as a Luxury Cruise. When the bills roll in and begin to hover near the $8,000 mark and we have nothing special to say about this vacation, that's just sad. I can put a much better vacation together with 1/4 of the money we spent and say.."I have had a vacation"...Ahhhhh.
Seattle was fun..we self-toured for 1 1/2 days prior to cruise.
Tourist spot...eh...shopping & lunch
Relaxing train ride...pretty views...View All 1212 White Pass Scenic Railway Reviews
Tourist spot...eh...lunch


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Nowadays forecasters casually talk about 'cold fronts' and 'warm fronts', and their lines on the map, strung with triangles or semi-circles, are familiar to us all. But where did the term 'front' come from?
Back in 1900 weather maps had H's for centres of high pressure, L's for centres of low pressure, and lines of equal pressure (isobars) drawn around the highs and lows. Warm fronts and cold fronts were absent, because meteorologists hadn't discovered them yet.
It was a Norwegian meteorologist, Wilhelm Bjerknes, from the Bergen School of Meteorology, who in 1919 first conceived the notion of fronts: air masses clashing along a boundary. He named these boundaries 'fronts' after the battlefronts recently raging during the first world war.
Initially Bjerknes coloured warm fronts (where warm air rides over cold air) blue, and cold fronts (where cold air burrows under warm air) red, though this colour scheme was quickly reversed. However, most publishing at this time was in black and white, so another kind of representation was needed.
Enter Tom Bergeron, another Bergen School meteorologist, who in 1924 came up with the idea of triangles (because they look like icicles) pointing in the direction of travel of the cold front, and semi-circles (because they looked like the sun rising) pointing in the direction of travel of the warm front. But it wasn't until the 1950s and the first TV weather forecasts, that cold fronts and warm fronts became household phrases.


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Every week we're rounding up some of our favorite articles with trends and tidbits from the world of restaurants. Tell us: what made your reading list this week?
The World's Best Chefs Will All Swap Kitchens on the Same Day — Grub Street
Dining, Drinks, Drama: The New Dinner Theater — Wall Street Journal
Food Cost Fitness: A Case Study — National Restaurant Association
4 Ways Consumer Behavior Is Shaping Restaurant Industry Demands (and Other Insights from the 19th Annual Restaurant Industry Conference) — Foodable
How the Food Industry Is Making Sense of Big Data — SmartBlog on Food & Beverage
Career Advice from Chef April Bloomfield: No Crying in the Kitchen — Fortune
6 Reasons Why Restaurants Fail (and How to Prevent Each One) — LinkedIn
Chef Hooni Kim Spent 10 Years Saving for a House, Then Opened a Restaurant Instead — Food & Wine
9 Restaurant Cookbooks We Actually Cook From — Epicurious


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For its fall exhibition, Light Grey Art Lab invited artists to visualize the landscapes, cityscapes, atmospheres and ecosystems of another universe for a celebration of story, narrative and world-building. The resulting collection of works, "Parallel," explores new universes, parallel realities, alternate dimensions and futurist concepts as imagined by more than 60 artists.
In tandem, the innovative art space is also showcasing a series of otherworldly works by Matt Rockefeller and Trungles (Trung Nguyen), both talented illustrators and comic artists who are exploring alternate worlds and reoccurring themes through zines and comic panels.
This month, the gallery is also hosting the launch of a new book, "Then Now: Childhood Revisited," in which industry veterans from the film, animation and illustration world were invited to reinterpret the imaginative, often bizarre artwork they made in their childhood.
When: Sept. 22–Oct. 21; opening reception Friday, Sept. 22 from 7 p.m.–10 p.m.
Cost: Free
Where: Light Grey Art Lab, 118 E. 26th St.
Info: lightgreyartlab.com
Twin Cities Zine Fest
In theory, the advent of the digital age should have killed off zines forever. But rather than dying, zines are as popular as ever — perhaps due to the desire to physically interact with content beyond the screen. A zine is typically a self-published work of texts and images not intended to turn a profit, with topics ranging from fan fiction and poetry to politics, intersectionality and social theory.
In Minneapolis and St. Paul, the Twin Cities Zine Fest has been celebrating the art form since 2004 with a focus on "amplifying the voices of those who have been historically unheard" — namely minorities, immigrants, women and members of the LGBT+ community.
Hosted by Minnesota Center for Books Arts, the 13th-annual edition features more than 90 zine makers exhibiting and selling their publications, plus workshops and educational presentations. The festivities kick off at a party on Friday, Sept. 29 with readings from six zine makers and comic artists (7 p.m.–9 p.m.).
When: Saturday, Sept. 30 from 11 a.m.–5 p.m.
Where: Minnesota Center for Book Arts, 1011 Washington Ave. S. #100
Cost: Free
Info: tczinefest.org
Savion Glover and Arcus Gilmore
From his beginnings as a tap prodigy under the tutelage of legendary tap dancers Honi Coles and Gregory Hines and his appearance on 1989 documentary "Tap," to his Tony Award-winning 1996 show, "Bring in 'Da Noise/Bring in 'Da Funk,"
Savion Glover is one of the few choreographers today who consistently redefine and radically expand their art form. Twin Citians have a rare opportunity to see the artist perform within the intimate setting of the Dakota Jazz Club in collaboration with virtuoso drummer Marcus Gilmore, an heir to jazz royalty as the grandson of iconic drummer Roy Haynes and a dynamic musician in his own right. The chance to witness two masters of rhythm play off one another is guaranteed to be a visual and aural treat.
When: Wednesday, Oct. 4 & Thursday, Oct. 5 at 7 p.m. & 9 p.m.
Where: Dakota Jazz Club, 1010 Nicollet Ave.
Cost: $35–$75
Info: 332-5299 or dakotacooks.com
This year, Finland celebrates the Finland 100, commemorating 100 years of Finland as a nation state.
FinnFest USA, a national organization that celebrates Finland, Finnish Americans and Finnish culture, is bringing the centennial to Minneapolis, partnering with Minnesota Orchestra, the American Swedish Institute, Norway House, Cedar Cultural Center, VocalEssence and the MSP Film Society to host a series of special events.
The film lineup includes five narratives and documentaries by acclaimed Finnish filmmakers, including "Eero Saarinen: The Architect Who Saw the Future," a documentary of the life of iconic Finnish-American modernist architect; "Tale of a Lake," a cinematic "poem" exploring the myths and legends rooted in Finland's natural waters; and "Unexpected Journey," a comedic road movie starring Finnish rap star Noah Kin. Other events include a "tori" (Finnish folk craft fair), panels, presentations, demonstrations and performances.
When: Sept. 21–24
Where: Various locations
Cost: Various
Info: finnfest.us
The Haunted Basement
After a decade of scaring Twin Cities residents, the popular Haunted Basement has moved out of the Soap Factory basement.
For its 2017 Halloween season, it will haunt a newly renovated historic warehouse in Northeast Minneapolis with its creepy, artist-created installations and costumed performers. Despite the new space, which is sure to offer new opportunities for frightful scenes, this year's event promises the same kinds of "interactive experiences with thematic focus on absurdist psychological humor" for which it's become known.
The Haunted Basement's signature combination of wit, attention to detail and legitimately scary experiences get an added oomph with Blind Invocation, a one-of-a-kind, solo blindfold experience, and a special Friday the 13th edition (Oct. 13). Also returning is the 'Fraidy Cat tour, which offer a lights-on, no-scares opportunity to explore the space.
When: Thursdays–Sundays from Sept. 29–Oct. 29, plus Oct. 18 and Oct. 31 Cost: $15–$40
Where: Building 9, 2010 E. Hennepin Ave.
Info: hauntedbasement.org
Break out those Lederhosen — it's Oktoberfest time. For two weeks every fall, Twin Cities breweries and other venues host local versions of the popular Bavarian folk and beer festival.
Red River Kitchen at City House: Enjoy Oktoberfest beers on tap from local breweries, German food and a gorgeous view of the Mississippi River during this celebration.
When: Sept. 23 from 11 a.m.–10 p.m. & Sept. 24 from 11 a.m.–9 p.m.
Where: 258 Mill St., St. Paul
Cost: Free
Info: redriverkitchen.com
Mill City Museum: Take in the tastes, sights, smells and sounds of Germany with activities inside and outside the museum and at the Mill City Farmers Market.
When: Sept. 23 from 8 a.m.–2 p.m.
Where: 704 S. 2nd St.
Cost: Free
Info: millcityfarmersmarket.org
Bauhaus Brew Labs: This party features musical entertainment from the Brass Barn Polka Band and Viva Knievel; stein hoister and hammerschlagen; German brats, pretzels and potato pancakes; and a commemorative beer stein with three fills of Bauhaus's German-style craft beer.
When: Sept. 30 from noon–11 p.m.
Where: 1315 Tyler St. NE
Cost: $30 general admission, $10 for designated drivers, children free
Info: bauhausbrewlabs.com
Wicked Wort Brewing Company: The brewery hosts live entertainment from the World's Most Dangerous Polka Band and others, woodfired pizza, brats and sausages plus Butcher Salt food truck; games including hammerschlagen; and $4 beer specials.
When: Oct. 1 from noon–midnight
Where: 4165 W. Broadway Ave., Robbinsdale
Cost: Free
Info: wickedwortbrewingco.com
Minnesota State Fair Progress Center: The Twin Cities Oktoberfest takes over the 120-year-old Progress Center, built in the style of a traditional German beer hall. Enjoy beer, wine, hard cider, German food, traditional German entertainment and games.
When: Oct. 7 from 4 p.m.–11 p.m. & Oct. 8 from noon–11 p.m.
Where: 1621 Randall Ave., St. Paul
Cost: $25 adults, $5 youth 13–20, kids under 13 free with adult


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Inauguration of Yamaha Music Square in association with Times Life Style Delhi
Yamaha Music Sqaure now open in Lajpat Nagar Delhi
In association with Times Life Style , Yamaha Music India Pvt. Ltd. launches Yamaha Music Square in Lajpat Nagar New Delhi. Yamaha Music Square is an exclusive showroom where complete range of Yamaha Musical Instruments are available to meet the needs of end customers.
Located in Southern part of Delhi, the store is situated near the resedential and commercial place of Lajpat Nagar. the store is all ready to serve all sort of musicians from beginners to professional players and meet their musical demands. Along with the display the store has separate experience zones like Studio , High end Drum kit and High end guitar zones.
The store was inaugurated by Mr. Hotishi Mochizuki ,Managing Director Yamaha Music India Pvt. Ltd. and Mr. Harinder Singh Malhotra Owner Times Life Style on 23rd October, 2016. Inauguration ceremony also featured the presence of Mr. Hisayoshi Matsui (General Manager Yamaha Music India), Mr. Rehan Siddiqui (National Sales Head Yamaha Music India), Mr. Rinku Mandal (Area Sales Head), Mr. Jagmohan Singh and Mr. Amit Bansal from Times Life Style. The event was graced by the performance of Ms. Reena Roy who is a very famous pianist.
The store is located at below mentioned address:
Yamaha Music Sqaure
Times Life Style
B-111, Lajpat Nagar - 1
New Delhi - 110024
Contact Number : 011-46536565
Come and experience the complete range of Yamaha Musical Instruments and enjoy music in life !!


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Help beat cancer sooner by taking part in Tough 10 Castleton for Cancer Research on 20 October. This stunning course set in the heart of the picturesque Peak District is one of the toughest of all the Tough 10 events. Participants can expect steep, never-ending hill climbs that will certainly get the heart pumping and thighs burning. The route is a multi-terrain 10k, with grass, trails, paths, road and mud sections all forming part of the course. It's only £20 to secure your place.
Sign up at www.cruk.org/tough10


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Upham, Charles Wentworth (1802 - 1875)
There are books for download by Upham, Charles Wentworth on this page. Also you can read a biography of Upham, Charles Wentworth.
If you want to know more about Upham, Charles Wentworth Read more at Wikipedia.org
English book for download:
Salem Witchcraft and Cotton Mather A Reply
Salem Witchcraft, Volumes I and II With an Account of Salem Village and a History of Opinions on Witchcraft and Kindred Subjects
You can download more than 33 000 books on our site!


text:
1. A sylvan deity or demigod, represented as part man and part goat, and characterised by riotous merriment and lasciviousness. Rough Satyrs danced; and fauns, with cloven heel, From the glad sound would not be absent long. (milton)
2. (Science: zoology) Any one of many species of butterflies belonging to the family Nymphalidae. Their colours are commonly brown and gray, often with ocelli on the wings.
Synonym: meadow browns.
3. (Science: zoology) The orangoutang.
Origin: L. Satyrus, Gr., cf. F. Satyre.


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Last week we unveiled our new-and-improved General Election 2017 model. Our first look at its output suggests that the Conservatives are heading towards a huge majority, which is consistent with many predictions.
It is apparent to most observers that the best bet the opposition parties have of preventing this is to coordinate together in what has been termed a 'Progressive Alliance'. In this article, we use our model to look at the arithmetic of such a victory. We will follow this up with a region-by-region analysis of how this can be achieved.
It should be obvious how many seats are needed for a majority. There are 650 seats, however the Speaker takes a neutral position, so the number needed for a majority should be 325 (leaving 324 opposition, plus the Speaker). However, it is more complicated than that.
We also need to appreciate that the main aim of the Progressive Alliance is to prevent the 'hard Brexit' Theresa May has pursued. Therefore we need to look at which parties are likely to support a hard Brexit, as they will vote with May (we are assuming there are no Conservative rebels).
Of the parties with a realistic chance of having Westminster representation after the election, the most Eurosceptic of these are the Democratic Unionists, Ulster Unionists (both Northern Irish parties) and of course UKIP. Our model currently has their expected seats as 7.99, 0.87 and 0.48 respectively. If we treat this as 9 seats then the Conservatives realistically only need 313 seats (with 9 in support, 321 opposition and 7 neutrals).
The remaining parties are all likely to oppose a hard Brexit, and therefore can be considered to make up the Progressive Alliance. This means the parties involved are Labour, the SNP, the Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, the SDLP, the Green party and Alliance, plus the anti-hard Brexit independent Lady Hermon. Of course, there are key differences between (and within!) these parties, but for the sake of this article we'll assume they put this behind them to prevent a Conservative majority. We now need to see how this alliance can make up its own majority.
Safe seats
Of course, the Progressive Alliance could simply just try to win every seat possible. However, budgets are limited and key campaigners can only be in one place at a time. So some seats need to be focused on more than others. Some seats will be so safe for one party that their opposition will waste very little resources in contesting it (in fact, there are five seats in our model which have a 100% chance for the favourite).
We are going to measure the grip a particular party has on a seat by its "Probability lead", that is, the difference in probability between the favourite and second-favourite. So for example, if a seat has the following probabilities:
- Party A: 60%
- Party B: 30%
- Party C: 10%
We then need to identify the probability difference level above which the Progressive Alliance can consider a seat to be safe. If it is too low then it leaves too few seats to fight for, if it is too high then resources will be too-thinly spread.
Below is a graph showing how many Conservative seats would be safe for each probability difference. The total Conservative seats includes DUP, UUP and UKIP seats. The red line indicates the 322 seats we estimate as needed for a majority. You can use the arrow keys to zoom in on the area near the intersection.
We are going to say that the probability boundary for a safe seat is 97.5%. This leaves the following number of safe seats:
- Conservatives - 270
- Labour - 59
- Sinn Féin - 4
- Independent (Lady Hermon) - 1
- Speaker - 1
This is, of course, a monumental uphill struggle - as we pointed out last time, it is in fact more likely the Conservatives set the record for the most seats held by one party than it is they fail to make a majority. However, the election still hasn't happened yet, and so a route to victory, however slim, needs to be plotted.
We will be following this article with a region-by-region breakdown to see where the key battles for the Progressive Alliance will be, so stay tuned!