text:
This occurred on DagoodS' blog. His words will be in blue.
* * * * *
However, I am not interested in "challenging his [i.e., my] first premise" for three reasons: 1) We approach "first premises" differently. Not that one of us approaches it correctly, and the other incorrectly. Just differently. (Welcome to human diversity!) He appears to claim predispositions prohibit a person being convinced by the evidence;
I've explained this at least three times now; maybe four, but you don't grasp it for some reason. Let me do it again, briefly, then:
I never said that it prohibited a person from changing their mind; only that it is a profound factor involved in the process and certainly not one that can be ignored or minimized, as you have been doing, in your rush to extol the glories of evidence (something I never disputed in the least, being an apologist by trade, with a blog called Biblical Evidence for Catholicism).
I peel it back a layer by claiming it is evidence that change one's predispositions.
I say it is both: it's symbiotic. But obviously I place a higher relative emphasis on first premises than you do.
Every day I attempt to change a person's mind regarding their position. I do not, in my career, say, "Gee, Opposing Counsel. You are predisposed against my position [not exactly a surprise!], so I can't change your mind." Nonsense—I point out evidence strong enough to cause the person to change their mind. Same way when we try to convince others to vote for our candidate, or what restaurant to eat at, or what stocks to buy in our portfolio.
Of course. Since I don't dispute this at all, it is irrelevant to this particular dispute on the relative importance of presuppositions and predispositions.
Moreover, legal disputes about wordings in contracts or what acts occurred or didn't occur and how they relate to the law are quite different from disputes about abstract ideas and Christian theology.
I honestly cannot think of another situation in life where one attempts to persuade another person, and doesn't utilize evidence. I cannot think of any other situation where one would claim predispositions are a bar to being convinced.
Then you have quite a bit of pondering to do. Go read some Socrates. You can't lose by doing that.
I do think bias and prejudice and predispositions can inhibit one's analysis of evidence. Both bias for and bias against. So Dave Armstrong's point has some validity. I'm just uncertain there is anyway to change another person's bias without using evidence.
So you acknowledge something in what I am saying, and I don't disagree with your point at all, as far as it goes, so we're not nearly as far apart as you suppose.
2) All I wanted to discuss was the Resurrection, and it would seem regardless of Dave Armstrong's first premise—he agrees with me. So why should I argue against it? grin
Not sure what this means . . .
Although not completely clear (more on this in my third point), it would seem he believes the historical evidence is not sufficient to demonstrate the Resurrection happened. That it also requires a change in one's predisposition [there's that "first premise" thing] which requires God to intervene with grace and faith.
Christians believe that grace and faith are required to believe in any Christian doctrine (or miracle), and they come ultimately from God. That is Christianity 0101 and we can't pretend that this is not the case simply because we are talking to atheists who reject those categories. We are what we are, and Christian worldview is what it is. I'd be a lousy apologist if I told you otherwise, because it wouldn't be honest.
In other words, without a nudge from God—one can't be convinced by the historical evidence alone that the Resurrection happened.
Since you have to believe in God, it seems to me, to believe in a miracle in the first place, that would appear to me to be the inexorable conclusion. If you deny the existence of the God Who performs the miracle, then how in the world can you believe in the miracle? It's a matter of simple logic. All of these things stand or fall together. If you believe in God, you believe in such things as faith (in the very act of believing) and grace (the power to believe). I think the historical evidence is sufficient if there is no bias that precludes it from the outset from being compelling. But in many cases (not all) such a bias is present, and it is decisive against believing it.
It logically follows from a solely historical approach, the Resurrection is not plausible.
I'm not saying that. I am saying that there are always factors beyond abstract, coldly logical, facts-based historiography. As you know, there are even many theories of how to do historiography, so the philosophical realm always enters the equation (just as it necessarily does in physical science).
The same thing I am saying. Only by adding a theological element [that can only come from God] could one believe the evidence.
You are putting a slant on it that I do not place there. You're molding my view into a caricature of what it actually is. And let me hasten to add that I don't think you are being deliberately dishonest. You just don't grasp fully what I am saying and so you "repeat" my view back incorrectly and inaccurately. I've already explained it several times, including in person, but you don't yet comprehend what I am saying. And so one wonders after a while why that is.
On a quick side note, I personally think this is a terrible approach to take with deconverts. The last thing we wanted to hear when going through the pain of doubt is that the only way to relieve the doubt would be to have God intervene.
I didn't say it was the only way; I simply said that in Christian thinking, one can never dismiss faith and grace from the overall picture. I think atheism requires far more faith than Christianity does (faith defined broadly as belief in axioms that one cannot absolutely prove).
And since the deconvert is still going through the doubt, that means God is choosing to not intervene, meaning the deconvert is screwed.
He is in trouble if he chooses to reject what he knows to be true. The problem with most atheists is that they don't believe what has been shown (from our perspective) to be true. They truly, honestly do not accept the belief, and I say that it is usually because of false and illogical thinking they have picked up somewhere along the line. We are what we eat.
3) I have historically had a very difficult time keeping Dave Armstrong consistent. I could point out even more monster discussions where it takes numerous comments to nail down his position, and even then he continues to waffle back and forth as convenient.
Right. All this shows me is that again you did not grasp the nuances and subtleties of my position. It's all quite consistent. You may disagree, but it is consistent (just as I say atheism is usually profoundly consistent if one accepts its first premises, but I reject those).
Personally, I think it comes from the "Cut. Paste. Pound." style he utilizes in internet communication—resulting in a constant search for contrary positions, but that eventually conflict his own stance.
You're entitled to your theory as to my alleged profound inconsistencies. It's a ridiculous, desperate one, but I do greatly enjoy it for its entertainment value.
Like I said, when he doesn't use this style—in person—he is far more enjoyable.
With nine talkative people in a group I never have time to pursue any one line of reasoning that I would set forth to a 50th of the depth that I can do in writing. That is why writing is the best medium to do that. In person, socratic dialogue only works if there are two people and both are willing to do it and to stay on a very particular, focused topic.
Socrates wasn't very popular, as we know, and was eventually killed because he made people so angry with his constant questioning. People don't like it. So I don't expect people to like it much when I follow his method. Folks simply don't enjoy having their views critiqued.
Is the historical evidence sufficient to conclude Jesus physically resurrected from the dead?
We've been through this three times now (including a careful explanation in person two nights ago). Go read what I said again. This is not some game where you get me to incriminate myself "on the stand" by an inadequate short answer. It's a serious philosophical issue. I've explained it over and over, and your asking the simple question yet again, shows me that you continue to not comprehend what my position is. But I have already stated it repeatedly. So just go read it!
Thanks, Dave Armstrong,
According to your comments in the monster thread, the historical record is not sufficient—one must also have a certain will, faith and grace.
So you agree with my second point—the historical evidence by itself is not sufficient. Now, I do believe it logically follows that a supernatural explanation is therefore not plausible, based upon the historical evidence itself, and here you disagree.
Can you explain how the historical record is not sufficient to conclude the Resurrection, but it is more plausible to conclude a Resurrection? I would think "more plausible" is a higher or equal standard to "sufficient."
I have written about all this "evidence" [i.e., the place of premises] stuff at length. It is too complex to summarize briefly. You can put it in whatever box you like.
I haven't entered into a discussion of the evidence [for the resurrection] itself; only factors that influence how one interprets that evidence.
We've been talking about two different things all along, and neither wants to talk about what the other wants to discuss.
Why one believes in the Resurrection would be for a great variety of cumulative reasons (just as I would say about Christianity in general or theism itself).
As I have said before and stated to [his atheist friend] Jon on my blog a few minutes ago, if you guys read the best Christian defenders of the Resurrection from an apologetic standpoint, you will be unpersuaded by me, because they are the experts and I haven't delved that deeply into Resurrection apologetics myself. I always recommend that folks go read the best arguments they can find if they are really interested in something.
At least give it your best shot by reading the best the opponent has to offer. And on this topic, that certainly isn't me. I have other areas I specialize in and emphasize.
I like the man (DagoodS), and he has said some nice stuff about me, too, I see. He showed kindness to me at the meeting, asking about the job I lost and how the search for a new one was going. I like most of the people in this atheist group. They are a friendly bunch and a lot of fun to gab with. I have a great time at the meetings (I've now attended four).
He seems to want to go so far with me, and then gives up. I apparently exasperate him. That's fine. Obviously, I have another interpretation of all that. :-)
I'll be critiquing more of his stuff, time-permitting. It's very time-consuming because there is a significant amount of error and illogical thinking, so one has to definitely have a large block of time available to do the hard work of demonstrating why this is the case! :-) It's always much harder to refute an error than to assert it. Takes much more laborious time and effort.
* * *
We had a further exchange in DagoodS' combox (1-7-11):
And then one day we learn it [Christianity] is wrong . . . And then one day, someone comes along and removes the ring.
How can you change such a massive belief-structure in "one day"? And (not to beat a dead horse, but . . . ) how do you switch in one day without deciding to all of a sudden reverse your premises upon which your prior belief-system was built? In one fell swoop you have to reject many scores of individual Christian tenets. That occurs at the presuppositional level.
You're again making my argument about the primacy of premises over against particular evidences. The latter play a very important role, but when the rubber meets the road, and one converts to Christianity or deconverts away from it, premises are always primary.
That's how the atheist can all of a sudden adopt a whole new set of atheist assumptions and beliefs following from them. It's a switch from one to the other because you put on a set of new glasses; a new filter, and you see "everything" differently with them on.
You keep making flimsy arguments of this sort and I'll be more than happy to show how the reasoning fails. Perhaps one day you'll try another tack in opposing Christianity and the Bible. This one ain't workin' very well. :-)
Dave Armstrong,
This blog entry was not about you, not for you, not to you.
Never said it was. If I am not supposed to comment on your blog unless the post under which I comment is "about" or "for" or "to" me, just let me know! I don't see anyone else here held to such an absurd standard.
Therefore (unsurprisingly) you completely misunderstand it, and once again fail to support your claim regarding predisposition changing before evidence convinces.
And just as unsurprisingly you miss my entire point. Who said I was trying to support my claim? I was asking you to explain your view, but you took a pass, obfuscated, and engaged in obscurantism.
I'll give you a hint: It is our predisposition towards Christianity—emotional, intellectual, familial, societal, or environmental or a combination of these—that causes us to wrestle with it. If we weren't predisposed toward it, we wouldn't have to wrestle!
(originally 1-10-11)
Photo credit: Steve Corey (7-23-13): "The Spin Zone", from California Mid-State Fair, Paso Robles, CA [Flickr / CC BY-ND 2.0 license]


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Main Content
Records Scanning Project
The Division of Oil and Gas maintains records for approximately 72,000 wells in Indiana. Except for certain completion records of recently drilled wells, all of the well record information is available to the public upon request.
In May of 2008, the division began scanning well records so that a digital copy of each record can be maintained.
Q. How many records have you scanned so far?
A. As of Oct. 11, 2015, a total of 35,644 well record files have been scanned.
Q. Why are you scanning these records?
A. Digital copies can readily be made available to interested persons via the Internet or email. Scanning is also a more secure way to ensure that this vital information is preserved for future generations.
Q. What types of records are you scanning?
A. We are currently scanning each document in the well record files. Some of the more common records include permit applications, permit certificates, completion reports, plugging records, and geophysical logs.
Q. Are you scanning the geophysical well logs and how are you doing it?
A. Yes. We use a NeuraLog© scanner to copy the entire log in one continuous pass and then save it as a .tif file. Using the NeuraView© software we can also print a copy of the geophysical log on a NeuraLaser© printer.
For more information on this specialized equipment, visit the Neuralog, Inc. website at http://www.neuralog.com/
Q. With so many records to scan, how do you determine which records should be scanned first?
A. Our first objective is to meet the needs of our customers. We scan every well file for which a copy has been requested regardless of the well type or its location.
Our next objective is to scan all new well permit files as the permits are processed. Every permit issued since June, 2008, has already been scanned.
Beyond meeting the needs of customers and keeping current with new permits, our objective is to always stay busy and make steady progress toward copying every well record. This is obviously a long-term project.
We welcome any recommendations you may have to help us prioritize which wells should be scanned next. Contact Jamie Adams at (317) 232-1098 or firstname.lastname@example.com with your thoughts or recommendations.
Q. How do I know whether records I am interested in have already been scanned?
A. A searchable list is available online from our website. Click here to search the list.
Q. What file formats are available?
A. Regular documents are available in PDF format. PDF documents can be viewed with Adobe Reader.
Geophysical logs are available in TIF image format. TIF images can be viewed with many picture viewer programs. If you are unable to view the log images, you may want to download the free Schlumberger BlueView software.
Q. How do I request copies of well records?
A. Contact Jamie Adams at (317) 232-1098, email: firstname.lastname@example.com.
Q. What does it cost for copies of records?
A. Copies downloaded from our website are free. Hard copies of regular documents are ten cents (10¢) per page. Emailed documents are twenty cents (20¢) per .pdf file. The cost for hard copies of geophysical logs varies from four dollars ($4) to twelve dollars ($12) depending on the total depth of the well. Electronic copies of geophysical logs are one dollar ($1) each.
If payment is made by credit card, an additional three dollar ($3) processing fee will be added to your total.
Q. How long does it usually take to receive copies?
A. Many orders are processed the same day they are received. Our goal is to process orders within three (3) business days.
However, depending on the size of a request or the demand volume at the time, some orders may require additional time to complete. Be sure to notify us when you place your order if there is an urgent need for the information.
Q. Some of the logs I am interested in are in color. Can you provide color copies of these logs?
A. Unfortunately for imaging logs, mud logs, and other types which display information in color, we can only print black and white copies at this time. Given the cost of specialized color laser printers we do not anticipate purchasing such equipment in the foreseeable future.
However, the scanned .tiff image is saved as a color document and can be viewed in color with NeuraView© or other compatible software. To print a color copy of these logs, you will need to use a special color laser printer compatible with the NeuraView© software.
Q. Can the scanned records be sent to me by email?
A. Many e-mail servers limit the size of files that can be attached to e-mails. Requests for single copies of geophysical logs or for less than 20 pages of standard PDF files can usually be e-mailed without difficulty.
For larger requests, the documents can be obtained by either of the following methods:
1. If you provide us with a USB flash drive, we will copy the files and mail them back to you.
2. The preferred method for delivery for larger files or for frequent users is through the use of Secure File Transfer Protocol (SFTP). Once an account is established for your use, the files can be accessed via a secure password-protected network connection where you can download the files directly to your computer. For more information on SFTP or to set up an account, please contact Jamie Adams at (317) 232-1098, email: firstname.lastname@example.com.
Q. Will these records ever be made available free of charge via your website?
A. Yes. There is no charge for downloading well record information obtained from our website. You can now access an application and search for well records by permit number, operator name, county, or section/township/range. If the records have already been scanned, the search results screen will display a hyperlink that you can select to display the specific records you available for download.
Additionally, we are working on a web-based GIS mapping application that will be able to be used to identify the location of existing oil and gas wells. This application will allow you to select a specific well or group of wells and then be able to view and download well records as they are available. We anticipate having a working version of this application online sometime by the last quarter of 2011 or the first quarter of 2012.

subset: commoncrawl


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Super-endearing comedian Kevin Hart, who was definitely the best part of Act Like A Lady, Think Like a Man is hosting Saturday Night Live tonight, and, as most stand-ups do, the dude will undoubtedly kill it.
Tonight's show also features Macklemore and Ryan Lewis of "Thrift Shop" fame. (If you're not familiar, welcome to what will be stuck in your head for the rest of your life.)
Have a nice Saturday night!


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Yahoo is slimming itself down again by axing 12 of its products, part of an ongoing effort to sharpen its focus on services it thinks people need in their daily lives.
The list includes AltaVista, the granddaddy of search engines, and Yahoo RSS Alerts. The other products, including Yahoo Axis, Citizen Sports and Yahoo Browser Plus, are less well known.
"Today we're shutting down a few products so we can continue to focus on creating beautiful products that are essential to you every day," said Jay Rossiter, executive vice president of platforms at Yahoo, in a blog post Friday afternoon.
Yahoo ditched numerous other products in April, such as Deals and SMS Alerts, touting similar goals around "sharpening our focus."
Here's the full list of services being killed off, in order of their planned closure dates: Yahoo Axis, a browser plug-in (June 28); Yahoo Browser Plus, a service for Web app developers (June 28); Citizen Sports, a sporting news and stat service (June 28); Yahoo WebPlayer, a media player for websites (June 30); FoxyTunes, a plug-in for controlling different media players (July 1); Yahoo RSS Alerts (July 1); Yahoo Neighbors Beta, for helping people find out what's going on in their neighborhood (July 8); AltaVista (July 8); Yahoo Stars India, a celebrity news aggregator (July 25); Yahoo Downloads Beta, an application for third-party downloads (July 31); Yahoo Local API, which gives developers access to local business information (Sept. 28); and Yahoo Term Extraction API, for extracting terms and keywords from websites (Sept. 28).
With AltaVista soon officially no more, Yahoo is encouraging users to visit the regular Yahoo Search page. Earlier on Friday, it announced a new feature for setting up search alerts.
Yahoo is highlighting other products to help fill the gaps elsewhere. Citizen Sports may be gone, but Yahoo says people can still get the latest sports news on the Yahoo Sports homepage, play fantasy sports like Fantasy Football, and stay up-to-date on the go with its mobile Sports app.
In recent months, Yahoo has said it's focused on products and services geared toward daily habits, such as email, weather, sports, finance and photos.
In some of those areas it's not doing badly. Yahoo's new mobile weather app, for instance, has a 4.5-star rating in Apple's App Store, based on about 4,000 reviews.
During the company's annual shareholder meeting earlier this week, CEO Marissa Mayer said she likes to think of Yahoo as a big startup.
"We are making investments, and we're going to continue to make investments, because that's what drives growth," she said.
Yahoo recently paid more than US$1 billion to buy social blogging site Tumblr.
Zach Miners covers social networking, search and general technology news for IDG News Service. Follow Zach on Twitter at @zachminers. Zach's e-mail address is email@example.com


text:
- Focus on Funds
You've Heard This One Before — Precious Few Fund Managers Stay On Top
- Order Reprints
- Print Article
If a fund manager is on top today, chances are, he won't be in a year or two. It's the same old depressing news about mutual-fund managers -- though no less true for being old and depressing.
S&P Dow Jones Indices came out with fresh numbers on the subject recently. Of 703 stock-mutual funds sitting in the top quartile of mutual funds in March 2011, only 4.69% of them were still there by March 2013, if your yardstick is to look for funds that posted three straight 12-month periods in the top group.
It's almost as if there's a clock ticking on the luck of U.S. stock-fund managers. A year after the start of the data examined by S&P DJ's Aye M. Soe and Frank Luo, the tally had already been whittled down to 30.73% of the group on top a year earlier. Then the turn of another calendar year serves to put the group to another, apparently even stronger test, reducing survivors to a small fraction.
Especially notable in the S&P DJ data is this: Not a single mid-cap fund manager survived the three-period test. Out of 102 funds.
What if you make the criteria a little less stringent -- for instance, can't a good manager find ways to stay above average? Sure, some can. But not many.
Just 18% of domestic fund managers in the top half of performers as of March 2011 were still there by 2013, using the same criteria of being there for three-straight 12-month periods, according to S&P DJ.
These numbers would appear to speak to the pivotal role of luck. If skill were the key factor, then surely we'd see more persistence at the top by skilled managers. But we don't.
"Looking at longer-term performance, only 2.41% of large-cap funds, 3.21% of mid-cap funds and 4.65% of small-cap funds maintained a top-half performance over five consecutive 12-month periods. Random expectations would suggest a repeat rate of 6.25%," Soe and Luo write.
So what can you count on? One of the only persistent trends Soe and Luo find is the tendency of underperforming funds to shut down. I.E., funds that are consistently at the bottom .... soon won't be anywhere on the charts at all.
"[F]ourth-quartile funds had a much higher rate of being merged and liquidated," they write.
Keep that in mind the next time you see data on the performance of the mutual-fund industry. The numbers may actually look better than investors' current experience, thanks to some fund-industry Darwinism.


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A delightful study in pastels, this collection of pale pink roses, blush roses, pale yellow roses and pale lavender roses makes an exquisite bouquet. All are arranged with fragrant seeded eucalyptus in a classic clear glass vase.
Select deluxe for an added 1/2 dozen or premium for an added dozen.


text:
How to Prepare for Severe Weather Events
Recently, on both the east and west coast, it's felt a lot more like spring or summer than winter. Nevertheless, severe snow, avalanche warnings and damaging winds loom. No matter where you live and work, despite meteorological assertions to the contrary, weather is unpredictable. Even the most methodical forecasts often underestimate the severity of weather events. And even storms that come with prior warning can cause catastrophic results.
To BE SAFE, building managers and property owners should create a severe weather event plan and be ready to implement it with little or no advanced warning. This practice is a fundamental part of emergency preparedness which is essential to life safety and building protection. So, prepare today for potential severe weather such as hail storm, cyclone, hurricane, electrical storm, ice storm, thunderstorm, tornado, blizzard, flood and winter storm, extreme cold or extreme heat.
Here's how to prepare for severe weather:
- Before you need it, set up and consistently test your ability to communicate during emergencies.
- Make use of applications that instantly transmit messages and weather advisories to tenant subscribers via voicemail, email and text messaging. The Allied Universal Training System includes an integrated property messaging system for just this type of communication.
- Whatever system you use, send notifications before, during and after severe storms. For use in extreme emergencies, these applications also have a reply feature that allows recipients to tell building staff that they are safe.
- Make sure lines of communication are open to your city's emergency services so you will be alerted to disaster-related information. Learn your community's warning signals and evacuation plans.
- Familiarize yourself with the terms that are used to identify severe weather, such as advisories, watches and warnings.
- Purchase and program a NOAA Weather Radio for alerts. The Allied Universal training system includes NOAA weather watchers warningsand alerts button that users can click to enter zip code and then sign up for text messaging, desktop warnings, etc.
- Evaluate the current condition of your building:
o Keep roofs and setbacks clean and clear, with scaffolding or loose equipment securely tied down.
o Double check storm drains to prevent ice build-up.
o Set up sandbags when preparing for a flood.
o Test emergency backup equipment and systems.
o Make sure adequate supplies are accessible.
o Check flashlight batteries.
o Confirm your energy management software functions properly.
o Prepare an emergency kit that includes food, water, blankets and medical supplies as well as a whistle to signal for help. For a more complete list of provisions to gather for impending storms, check out the free preparedness tips from FEMA.
- If necessary, call extra operations and security staff.
- Monitor the status of mass transit services and roadways for tenant advisories.
- Consider retaining a 24/7 disaster recovery company to assist with storm damage remediation.
When a disaster strikes, prior planning and clear decisive action can help save lives. For the latest emergency management training for facility/building managers, contact Allied Universal, Inc. Our new Version 2.5 e-based training system offers the best emergency training system with automated and integrated features. What's more, the NEW Allied Universal Property Messaging System is included FREE for all Allied Universal Online Training System users. Visit www.rjwestmore.com for more information.


text:
The new Range Rover's top trim level is "Autobiography." It's a nice interior but the trim package's name makes me want to hurl.
I'm sure you know of a trim level or option on a car that was even stupider than LR's "Autobiography." Feel free to delve deep into the Brougham Era.
Oh, and if you're curious, here are the most ridiculously expensive factory car options you can get right now. It kind of sets the mood.
(QOTD is your chance to address the day's most pressing automotive questions and to experience the opinions of the insightful insiders, practicing pundits, and gleeful gearheads that make up the Jalopnik commentariat. If you've got a suggestion for a good Question of the Day, send an email to tips at jalopnik dot com.)


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It's that frenzied but delightful time of the year when all manner of celebrations have been planned for the festive days ahead. You have lots of party invitations and would like to give one in return. Yet the pressures of an elaborate brunch or an elegant holiday buffet may be a little daunting at this late date. So, what's a host or hostess to do?
Throwing a "just desserts" party is, quite literally, a piece of cake. It can be as simple as platters of decorated cookies to a lavish dessert display. Make the last of the holiday days special and indulge your guests with a trio of chocolate desserts such as torta di mandorle, a rich chocolate torte, Italian style, a luscious chocolate mousse or, in keeping with tradition, a "Yule log" chocolate cream roll.
A beautiful tray of savory cheeses garnished with clumps of red and green grapes, crackers and candied nuts will add to the creativity of your dessert table. Then decorate the dessert buffet with garlands of holly, pinecones and colorful pillar candles. Compliment the cakes with hot Yuletide beverages such as steamy cups of cocoa served with dollops of whipped cream and hot cider garnished with fresh cinnamon sticks. And let the champagne flow.
This Italian inspired cake is incredibly light, rich and moist. It contains no starch or leavening. The eggs give it its structure and you will be amazed at how simple it is to prepare.
Serves 10 to 12
1/2 pound whole almonds, blanched
6 ounces semi-sweet chocolate, chopped coarsely
2 tablespoons dark rum
1 teaspoon vanilla
12 tablespoons (1 1/2 sticks) unsalted butter
1/2 cup sugar
4 eggs, separated
1 extra egg white
1/4 teaspoon cream of tartar
1 1/2 tablespoons powdered sugar for decoration
Whipped cream for serving, optional
Butter an 8-inch springform pan then dust with plain breadcrumbs.
Preheat oven to 350 degrees.
1. Blanch almonds in a saucepan of boiling water for 1 minute. Drain and slip off skins. Transfer to bowl of food processor fitted with knife blade and process until finely ground, (dry, and not pasty). Transfer nuts to a large bowl. Place chocolate in processor and process until fine. Add chocolate to almonds in the bowl and stir to mix. Add rum and vanilla and stir to incorporate thoroughly.
2. In a clean bowl or bowl of electric mixer, cream butter and sugar until creamy and smooth. Add egg yolks one at a time, beating well after each addition. When all the yolks have been added, remove bowl from mixer and fold in the almond mixture until thoroughly incorporated.
3. Beat egg whites at slow speed in electric mixer or electric hand beaters until just foamy, add cream of tartar and continue to beat at medium speed until whites form stiff but not dry peaks.
4. With a large rubber spatula stir one-fourth of the egg whites into the cake batter, then carefully fold in remaining whites. Transfer batter to prepared pan and bake 50 minutes to one hour. Cake is done when it pulls away from sides of pan or a cake tester inserted into center comes out clean.
5. Remove from oven and allow cake to cool at least 10 minutes in the pan. Loosen sides of cake by drawing a kitchen knife between cake and sides of pan. Remove sides of springform and cool completely on a rack. Transfer to a serving dish and sprinkle with powdered sugar. Serve with whipped cream, if desired. Can be made up to two days ahead.
Adding coffee to the chocolate mixture greatly enhances the deep rich flavor of this chocolate mousse.
Serves 10-12
4 eggs, separated
6 ounces imported semisweet chocolate
2 tablespoons strong coffee*
3 tablespoons unsalted butter
1/4 teaspoon cream of tartar
3 tablespoons sugar
1 cup heavy cream
1/2 cup heavy cream
Candied violets (optional)
1. Place whites in a large mixing bowl or bowl of electric mixer; yolks in a small bowl and allow whites to come to room temperature.
2. Break up chocolate in small pieces and put in a heavy saucepan. Add coffee and melt over very low heat, or place in a small heatproof bowl and melt in a 250-degree oven about 10 minutes. When mixture softens, remove from heat and stir to a smooth cream. Stir 1 tablespoon butter at a time into the hot chocolate mixture mix well. Add egg yolks, one at a time, and stir until thoroughly incorporated.
3. In a bowl of electric mixer or in mixing bowl with hand electric beaters, beat egg whites until foamy. Add cream of tartar, adjust speed to medium-high, and continue to beat until soft peaks form. Gradually add sugar, one tablespoon at a time. Continue beating about 1 minute until whites are very firm and shiny. With a large rubber spatula, spoon about one-fourth of the beaten egg whites into the chocolate mixture and stir to soften. Carefully fold in remaining whites until thoroughly softened.
4. Whip cream in a cold bowl with cold beaters until the beaters drawn across the top leave light traces; then carefully fold into mousse. Transfer to an attractive serving bowl or soufflé dish.
5. To garnish: Whip 1/2 cup cream until stiff. Spoon cream into a pastry bag fitted with star tip and pipe a row of rosettes around the rim of the bowl. Top rosettes with candied violets, if desired.
Above recipe reprinted from Silvia Lehrer's Cooking at Cooktique, Doubleday
Purchase the very best chocolate you can buy for this special occasion holiday cake.
Serves 8 to 10
5 eggs, separated
3/4 cup superfine sugar
6 ounces semisweet chocolate plus 2 tablespoons water
3 tablespoons all-purpose flour, sifted
1/4 teaspoon cream of tartar
1 cup whipping cream
1 tablespoon rum
Confectioners sugar for decoration
Prepare pan: Line a jellyroll pan with waxed paper allowing a slight overhang. Grease one side with vegetable oil and invert onto pan. Flatten paper and lightly grease over top.
Preheat oven to 375 degrees
2. Separate eggs into 2 mixing bowls, or into bowls of an electric mixture. Add sugar to yolks and beat until thick and pale in color, 3 to 4 minutes. Melt chocolate in a heavy saucepan with water over very low heat. When mixture appears softened, stir to a smooth cream. Cool. With a rubber spatula gently blend melted chocolate into yolk mixture alternately with the flour.
3. With clean beaters, beat egg whites in bowl of electric mixer or portable hand mixer, at low speed until firm but not dry. Gently fold into chocolate mixture.
4. Pour batter into prepared pan and spread to the corners. Bake on middle shelf of preheated oven 20 to 22 minutes. When cake is done it will be springy to the touch and pull slightly away form sides of pan. Let cool. Carefully tip and lower the pan onto a lightly moistened towel. Lift off the pan and peel away the waxed paper. Aided by towel roll up sheetcake lengthwise and rest 10 minutes to assume rolled shape.
5. Meanwhile whip cream until firm. Fold in rum. Unroll cake and spread cream evenly, leaving a 1-inch border of exposed cake. Use the towel to help roll up the cake. Lift two ends of towel and transfer cake to a rectangular platter. Cover with plastic and refrigerate 3 to 4 hours or overnight.
6. To serve, cut off unattractive ends to expose the layers. Tap confectioner's sugar through a sieve before serving. Decorate cake if you like with rosettes of whipped cream.


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About State House
The state house of the Republic of Namibia is the official office and residence of the President of Namibia. The state house, located on 23-hectare plot in Ausblick was constructed in 2002.
President Sam Nujoma, the first President of Namibia, had construction begin on the new building, to replace the old State House in the inner city, because the office space in the old State House and the very inadequate parking was too small.
The administrative area consists of the Office of the President, the offices of cabinet members and 200 staff offices of the president. A guest house for visiting heads of state to state and two apartments for more state visitors is a little off, as the residence of the President. There are also garages and accommodation for police forces and security personnel. About the park-like grounds are animal replicas (e.g. kudu and elephants) made of copper. In the entrance hall is a painting of the members of the first Namibian Cabinet, including as Sam Nujoma, Hifikepunye Pohamba, Hage Geingob, Theo-Ben Gurirab, Ben Amathila, Libertina Amathila, Hidipo Hamutenya and Gert Hanekom. Before the door to the two-story entrance hall, a wood carving shows a representation of women from all ethnic groups in the country. On the opposite wall at this level there is a large painting of the Epupa Falls.
Old State House
The Old State House is located in the Robert Mugabe Avenue in the suburb of Windhoek Central, near the Church of Christ Due to its central location and close buildings, an expansion of the building was not possible, and so the new State House had to be built. On 20 July 2010, the Cabinet decided that the old state house would be used as the residence and office of the Prime Minister of Namibia.
1 Engelberg Street, Auasblick
Private Bag 13339, Windhoek
Tel: 264 (61) 270 7111
Fax: 264 (61) 271 770


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The nominations for the 84th Annual Academy Awards have finally been unveiled. Many of the categories have fallen in line just as most have predicted (I fared alright with my predictions, but not great), with Hugo scoring 11 nods, followed closely by The Artist with 10. The biggest surprises are War Horse and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close getting in for Best Picture, the exclusion of The Adventures of Tintin from Best Animated Feature, and The Tree of Life nabbing Best Picture and Best Director nods (hooray!). On the snub side of things, despite landing the most precursor critics awards of any other actor in the race thus far, Albert Brooks was denied a Best Supporting Actor nod for his stellar work in Drive (boo). Additionally, Tilda Swinton was overlooked for giving the best performance of the year in We Need to Talk About Kevin, and AMPAS has no love for Michael Fassbender's haunting work in Shame.
There's still plenty to be happy about, as Gary Oldman has his first ever Oscar Nomination (yes, that's right) and Melissa McCarthy is a Best Supporting Actress nominee. Hit the jump to check out the full list of nominees. The 84th Academy Awards will be presented by Billy Crystal on February 26th.
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- War Horse
- Moneyball
- The Tree of Life
- Midnight in Paris
- The Help
- Hugo
- Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
[Adam's Note: The big shocker here is Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close. The drama has landed virtually no precursor award recognition and most had completely written it off. Also surprising is the inclusion of War Horse, as it's near shut-out from the guilds had many pegging it dead. That said, I'm extremely happy about The Tree of Life.]
- Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
- Alexander Payne – The Descendants
- Martin Scorsese – Hugo
- Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
- Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
[Here Malick takes the spot that David Fincher held in the DGA nods. No argument from me, as I admire both films, but don't expect Malick to show up at the ceremony.]
- Demian Bichir – A Better Life
- George Clooney – The Descendants
- Jean Dujardin – The Artist
- Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
- Brad Pitt – Moneyball
[Lots to be happy about here with Oldman and Pitt (Oldman's first nomination ever), but Michael Fassbender's snub is extremely upsetting. That feeling, Academy? That's shame.]
- Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
- Viola Davis – The Help
- Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
- Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn
[I'm pretty happy to see Mara recognized for Dragon Tattoo, but the exclusion of Tilda Swinton's brilliant work in We Need to Talk About Kevin is ridiculous. She gave the best performance of the year in my opinion, and absolutely deserves at least a nomination.]
- Berenice Bejo – The Artist
- Jessica Chastain – The Help
- Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
- Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs
- Octavia Spencer – The Help
[No big surprises here. I'm glad to see Chastain recognized. The perfect topper for an incredible year for the breakout star.]
- Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
- Jonah Hill – Moneyball
- Nick Nolte – Warrior
- Christopher Plummer – Beginners
- Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
[Another major oversight here in the other supporting category. Really? You're just gonna ignore Albert Brooks in Drive? Alrighty then.]
- Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
- Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo – Bridesmaids
- J.C. Chandor – Margin Call
- Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
- Asghar Farhadi – A Separation
[The surprise here is Chandor, as many had pegged either Will Reiser for his terrific 50/50 script or Todd McCarthy for Win Win to take that final spot, though it's nice to see Wiig and Mumolo singled out. ]
- Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash – The Descendants
- John Logan – Hugo
- George Clooney, Grant Heslov, and Beau Willomon – The Ides of March
- Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, and Stan Chervin – Moneyball
- Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughan – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
[Really happy to see Ides of March and Tinker Tailor here, but the clear frontrunner is that cracker-jack script for Moneyball]
- Bullhead – Belgium
- Footnote – Israel
- In Darkness – Poland
- Monsier Lazhar – Canada
- A Separation – Iran
- A Cat in Paris
- Chico & Rita
- Kung Fu Panda 2
- Puss in Boots
- Rango
[I did not see two foreign films landing nods in this category and knocking The Adventures of Tintin out, but my horse in this race is Rango so it's no skin off my nose.]
- The Artist
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
- Hugo
- Midnight in Paris
- War Horse
- Guillaume Schiffman – The Artist
- Jeff Cronenweth –The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- Robert Richardson –Hugo
- Emmanuel Lubezki –The Tree of Life
- Janusz Kaminski –War Horse
[This one has to be Lubezki's to lose. Tree of Life is gorgeous]
- Anonymous
- The Artist
- Hugo
- Jane Eyre
- Hell and Back Again
- If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
- Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
- Pina
- Undefeated
- The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
- God is the Bigger Elvis
- Incident in New Baghdad
- Saving Face
- The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- Hugo
- Moneyball
- Albert Nobbs
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
- The Iron Lady
- John Williams – The Adventures of Tintin
- Ludovic Bource –The Artist
- Howard Shore – Hugo
- Alberto Iglesias –Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
- John Williams –War Horse
[Happy to see the Tinker score recognized here, but my favorite of the year was Shore's beautiful Hugo score. Somewhat surprisingly, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross' score for Dragon Tattoo failed to get a nod]
- "Man or Muppet" – The Muppets
- "Real in Rio" –Rio
[While it's disappointing to see only two nominees (as I would have liked to see a couple Muppets numbers performed on Oscar night), I'm extremely happy to see Bret McKenzie's Man or Muppet singled out.]
- Dimanche/Sunday
- The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
- La Luna
- A Morning Stroll
- Wild Life
- Pentecost
- Raju
- The Shore
- Time Freak
- Tuba Atlantic
- Drive
- The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- Hugo
- Transformers: Dark of the Moon
- War Horse
- The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- Hugo
- Moneyball
- Transformers: Dark of the Moon
- War Horse
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
- Hugo
- Real Steel
- Rise of the Planet of the Apes
- Transformers: Dark of the Moon


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Discover for free which first names would suit you or your baby !
Meaning of name Giacobbe
Etymology : Italian form of Iacobus (see JACOB).
Saint :
Origin : Italian
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Gender : boy
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Who are they?
Without a shadow of a doubt, Giacobbe and Hilarion have got plenty of character! Of a choleric temperament and somewhat nervous, they are overflowing with energy. They have a great need for action and motivation, without which they can immediately become intolerant, abrupt, irritable or even aggressive... They are quite capable of enthusiasm one minute followed by worry and negativity the next, making a mountain out of a mole hill and blowing the present moment out of all proportion. Their cyclothymic nature can be quite disconcerting for those who bear witness to such behaviour. In fact, the union of the 7 and 8 is an association of fire (passion, exaggeration, hyperactivity, authority and impulsiveness) and water (reserve, reflection, passivity, sensitivity and introversion)... They can therefore appear to be quite dualistic and contradictory, just like their interests: they can go from competitive sport to exploring mysticism, metaphysics or contemplation. As children, these little rascals could test your patience and push your kindness to its limits. Encourage them to take part in a physical activity (dance, sport), and cultivate their sensitivity (theatre, music or art). They could actually seem to be quite unsociable or individualistic (especially if they were born on a 7th, 16th, 25th, in July, or if their life Path Number is 7), or conversely, they may seek to impose themselves on others (especially if they were born on an 8th, 17th, 26th, in August, or if they have a life Path Number of 8). But make no mistake about it, Giacobbe and Hilarion are extremely sensitive, nervous and anxious little people!
What do they like?
Giacobbe and Hilarion have a taste for power and like to be in charge... Success is very appealing to them and they often aspire to material prosperity. When it comes to love, they often feel misunderstood and could suffer from loneliness, however they don´t do much to improve the situation either. While they can be delightful, passionate, demonstrative and generous at times, they can be quite atrocious at others; uncommunicative, sour-humoured and scathing, jealous, possessive or even violent.
Get your free Personality test card now !!
What do they do?
With such a complicated personality, choosing a career isn´t easy. However we can note the following inclinations: business and finance, occupations where their critical minds would be an asset or those related to research, whether it be of a scientific, artistic or parapsychological nature...
Discover others boys first names : Giacinto Giacobbe Giacomo
*To note: :
It sometimes happens that two different first names have the same meaning. This has nothing surprising: both first names have the same figures of numerology. It is as in astrology: two persons belonging to the same sign present the same characteristic...
Names compatibility
Test the compatibility of your names to know if your love relation is lucky to succeed. Friendship, love or passion?
Discover fast what waits for you...
Verify now if your names are compatible!
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Your Name Horoscope !
Thanks to the numerology, we propose you daily a horoscope personalized for your first name. Love, money , Shape: discover what waits for you for today. In Bonus every day find your daily lucky figure .. Horoscope of the first names
Love :Couples: The complicity between the two of you will be reinforced. Singles: An admirer will make themselves known.
Money :You are trying to decide whether or not to make a property investment. Take your time.
Health:You won't see any results without some effort Giacobbe .
Your Lucky number : 80


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Tag Archives: abroad
Peace Cord looks fabulous at Big Ben in London, UK!
Peace Cord Goes Abroad!
Larry Letteney went on an international trip recently and made sure to Wear Peace Proudly! He was kind enough to send photos of the places he wore his bracelet –
Posted in Fans, Peace Cord, Photos
Tagged abroad, Belgium, international, travel, traveling


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Without an obstacle, there is no love story. It is the human condition to feel desire for what we can't have, and most of us enjoy passionate longing once in a while, if only vicariously. A cynic once said, "Marriage is the aftermath of love." That may not be they way we want the story to end, but a good romance always has to keep the lovers apart in some way. Alas, once (or if) they are united, their relationship stops being so romantic.
West Side Story
If you are one of the few who have never seen this film, see it. If you have seen it, see it again. The stage musical, based on the tragedy Romeo and Juliet, remains remarkably faithful to Shakespeare's tale of doomed young lovers, while transposing the story to a setting of gang rivalry in New York in the 1950s. What brings this 1961 film to unparalleled heights of romantic beauty are the brilliant music and lyrics by Leonard Bernstein and the young Stephen Sondheim. Despite some questionable casting decisions (Natalie Wood as a Puerto Rican, her singing parts dubbed by the talented Marni Nixon, who also sang for Audrey Hepburn in My Fair Lady), this movie remains one of the best film versions of a Broadway production ever made, and its tale is one of the most romantic stories ever told.
Brief Encounter
David Lean, who is widely considered one of the most talented directors of all time, is best remembered for his large, sweeping dramas, such as Lawrence of Arabia, The Bridge on the River Kwai, and Doctor Zhivago (see below). But his more modestly imagined black-and-white dramas from earlier in his career are exquisite. Brief Encounter (1945) is unusual not only because of its intensely sensitive and forgiving portrayal of adulterous impulses, but also because of its effective use of ordinary "middle-aged" (i.e., believable) actors to dramatize this story of the temptations of vivid passion vs. the contentment of abiding marital love.
Doctor Zhivago
Another David Lean masterpiece, this story also revolves around the conflict between adulterous passion and marital love. But in contrast to the modest setting of Brief Encounter, this 1965 film takes place during the Russian Revolution, unforgettably portrayed in all its tumultuous, idealistic, corrupt, and violent glory. The major arc, however, involves the contentedly married Zhivago's lifelong passion for his mistress, Lara, making for a splendid counterpoint to the film's depiction of the uncertainty of everything else we depend on.
Once again, the romantic momentum of this 1990 movie is fueled by the theme of an impossible love, but this time it is death that separates the pair. Early in the story, the man is shot and killed in a mugging, and the plot then follows the attempt of his "ghost" to protect his wife from further danger. While mostly a drama, this film also benefits from a priceless comedic performance by Whoopi Goldberg as a reluctant medium who helps the two communicate. Like the plots of the other films, it is the obstacles facing the romantic partners—in this case their lost ability to inhabit the same dimension—that makes Ghost so poignantly romantic.
Don't Look Now
This film is not very well known, but those who have seen it remember it well, especially for the love scene between Julie Christie and Donald Sutherland. Made in the early 70s by Nicholas Roeg (Walkabout), it is unlike the movies above in that it's meant to be a supernatural mystery about "second sight." Still, I think the film qualifies as a romance.
Based on a short story by Daphne DuMaurier, it concerns a couple's loss of their young daughter in an accidental drowning, and the aftermath. A few months later, when the husband is invited to Venice to restore an old church, his wife joins him. Both have been grieving in an intense, isolated way, but when they first arrive abroad, a love scene ensues that is almost unique—particularly in films of that era, when sex scenes were mandatory and major actresses were all expected to bare their breasts. Most movies use a love scene as an excuse for a sex scene; in Don't Look Now, the sex scene is used as an excuse for a love scene. The couple are shown making love in their hotel room after their long estrangement, but the shots of their lovemaking are intercut throughout with shots of them in the "afterglow," not lying in each other's arms but wordlessly getting dressed and preparing to go out for dinner. It portrays the couple's tender sexual rapprochement (overcoming the ubiquitous obstacle) beautifully, but its brilliance lies in the way it illustrates the quiet intimacy of a married couple who are deeply comfortable and in tune with each other. Very few films even attempt to show passionate love in the context of marriage, and this one really stands out.
No list of great romantic movies would be complete without a nod to those two great soap operas (both mentioned yesterday), Now, Voyager (1942) and An Affair To Remember (1957). Both hinge, of course, on thwarted love, and both are particularly memorable for their reliance on good old-fashioned female self-sacrifice. Also recommended in this category is Back Street, so popular that they made three versions of it! I prefer the last (1961), starring Susan Hayward, the queen of female masochism. Warning: the quality of these films is more B than A, and your husband won't like them. And if you haven't seen it, look for the hilarious scene in Sleepless in Seattle about men's vs. women's responses to An Affair to Remember. Nora Ephron's film, from 1993, is one of funniest romantic comedies of all time—and well worth seeing if you'd rather laugh than cry about love.


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April 10th 2013
Press Release
Warburg Realty, one of Manhattan's leading luxury residential real estate firms, is pleased to announce that Alain de Grelle has joined the brokerage's Eastside Gallery office located at 30 East 76th Street. Warburg is proud of its long-standing reputation for providing the highest level of service to its customers, and it maintains this high-standard through the agents it hires.
"We are excited to welcome Alain to Warburg's growing team of residential brokers," said Robert E. Doernberg. "Alain's compelling background will be an asset to his clients when it comes to the buying or selling of their homes."
Mr. de Grelle, is a Belgian who was born and raised in England and has lived in the United States for the past 25 years. Mr. de Grelle moved to New York from Miami, where he enjoyed a successful career covering sales, marketing and public relations in the high profile film, mega yacht and wine industries. He brings an expertise in building brands and relationships to the New York real estate market. Mr. de Grelle has a reputation for being driven and thoughtful when it comes to his client's needs.
Mr. de Grelle has an MBA from Thunderbird, is fluent in English, French and Spanish.
All of Warburg's agents benefit from the firm's ongoing branding efforts and role as a thought leader through the integration of social media to market real estate. As the first firm to implement an iPhone app, through the widely popular AroundMe platform, it regularly incorporates Facebook, Twitter and blogging as part of its daily business. The brokerage has also garnered national notoriety for its starring role on the hit HGTV show, Selling New York, where the firm's agents and exclusive listings are regularly featured in the storylines.


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What is my name in Japanese?
If you are unable to hear the audio, click here for the alternate audio method.
You might be wondering "what is my name in Japanese?" or "how do I say my name in Japanese?". If so, this lesson should be able to help. Once you know your name in Japanese, we will also teach you how to introduce yourself in Japanese.
There aren't direct equivalents of foreign names in Japanese but foreign names can be sounded out using the sounds in the Japanese language creating a "closest pronunciation equivalent". It doesn't matter how the name is spelled but only how it is pronounced. Below are a number of common names sounded out in Japanese. Foreign names are written out in Katakana which is covered in Lesson 2. The ー character (called a "bou" ) elongates the vowel sound of the character in front of it. Remember, these are not actual Japanese names. Please don't name your son "ma-ku" because you love Japan and the name "Mark".
Note: You may notice certain combinations (such as シェ (she) or ティ (ti)) that aren't part of the standard Katakana character set. These are special exceptions for foreign names only.
Click on the image to hear how to say your name in Japanese.
Now, how do you introduce yourself using your name? Many places teach "watashi wa ______ desu." but this has a problem:
"watashi wa ______ desu." means both "I am ______." and "I am a ______." Unless the Japanese person you are introducing yourself to is familiar with your name (which isn't always too likely) they won't know that you are telling them your name. This is particularly a problem with names that have the same sound as actual words in the Japanese language. For instance, "jimu" (Jim) means "business" and "gym/gymnasium" in Japanese (depending on the context) so "watashi wa jimu desu." could also mean "I am a business." or "I am a gymnasium."
So what is the better way to introduce yourself? "watashi wa ______ to iimasu." means "I am called ______." and makes it very clear that the "______" is your name. It can be either your first name, last name, or nickname - whatever you want them to call you by.
© Copyright 2004-2020
Hauck and Associates, LLC


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Keep an eye on diesel fuel prices. If they eclipse $3 per gallon, it's likely that class field trips in the Gorham Fayette Local School District will be canceled for the remainder of the school year.
Teachers are encouraged to schedule field trips within Fulton County and neighboring counties, said administrative assistant to the school superintendent Molly Graf. Still, as fuel prices rise, the cost of field trips becomes more burdensome.


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Complete Story
Cable Buy Is Knocking on Investors' Doors
By: Martin Peers, The Wall Street Journal
Cable-TV companies are the stocks for all seasons. Investors sell them in both good times and bad.
Despite riding through the recession so far much better than advertising-dependent entertainment companies, in profit terms, cable stocks remain mostly depressed.
Entertainment stocks typically fell further than cable companies in last fall's market plunge but recently have rallied in anticipation of a recovery in advertising. So while Comcast has fallen 38% over 12 months, media stocks such as Viacomand Walt Disney are down less.
Media conglomerates are, on average, trading at about seven times projected 2009 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or Ebitda, according to Barclays Capital. Comcast and Time Warner Cable are less than five times.
Investors have bid up media stocks too much. Business conditions may have stopped their plunge but that doesn't mean advertising is bouncing back. The bankruptcy filing of General Motors can't be good for the ad market. GM boosted its ad spending 11% last year, according to TNS Media Intelligence, even as the auto category shrank. As GM is the biggest in the auto category, any reduction in GM's spending this year will likely hurt media companies.
More important, some of the selloff in media stocks last year related to concerns about secular shifts in businesses like DVD sales. Those concerns remain as valid today as last fall, yet investors appear to have put them to one side. More important is the hope of a cyclical upturn.
When it comes to cable stocks, though, investors are ignoring cyclical strength to focus on long-term threats. Admittedly, cable companies are affected by the economy. Fewer homes being built reduces demand, while budget-conscious consumers may cut down on premium extras like digital-video recorders.
Even so, in the past two quarters, as Ebitda at media companies fell, cable operators saw growth. For 2009, Barclays projects entertainment companies' Ebitda will decline by an average of 0.9% while cable and satellite will expand 4.9%.
Worries about cable relate more to competition and technology shifts, as consumers start watching more video online. The threat posed by Verizon Communications and AT&T is real, as each takes market share. Near term, though, cable operators still can expand. Gabelli analyst Christopher Marangi projects compound annual growth for the cable industry of about 4% in revenue and 5% for Ebitda between 2008 and 2012. That is assuming Verizon and AT&T achieve 20% penetration of homes with their video offering by 2012.
But Internet video is arguably more a problem for the media companies that own cable channels than the cable operators. While both lose revenue if people cut off their television subscription in favor of online video, the cable operators' costs go down, because they no longer pay as much to the channel owners. Also, to watch video online consumers must pay for the broadband services offered by, among others, the cable operators.
Neither cable operators nor media companies will emerge unscathed from the transformation of entertainment usage wrought by the Internet. But at these valuations, cable operators may be a better bet for investors.
Source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124442511095992975.html