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While the T-30 is a very accurate measure of threshold for intermediate and advanced swimmers, it is possible to estimate threshold pace using your heart rate. The best thing about heart rates is, they don't lie. Plus, everyone has one!
This method requires the athlete be familiar with their max heart rate:
- You can get your max heart rate by actually working hard enough to get it as high as possible.
- You can estimate your max heart rate by taking 220 BPM and subtracting your age.
When I was in college, I was given a team handbook with a chart called, "Classification of Northwestern University Swimming Energy Systems." Looking at anaerobic threshold, or EN2 pace, there are some heart rate guidelines:
- EN2/ threshold Pace should be swum between 30 to 40 BPM below the athletes maximum heart rate.
- On a max 200 scale, EN2/ threshold pace would be around 160-170 BPM.
- On a max 180 scale, EN2/ threshold pace would be around 140-150 BPM.
Furthermore, the Swimming chart describes EN2/ threshold sets as something that should feel, "a little uncomfortable" but NOT "hard." Using heart rates as a guide helps solve pacing problems for you. A swimmer swimming repeat 600s will be able to get their heart rate within that 30-40 BPM range at a slower pace than that same swimmer would be if they were doing 100 meter repeats, which means they'd have to swim their 100s faster to be at their EN2/ threshold pace.
Tips: You don't have to take your heart rate after every component of the set. When you do take your heart rate, use it to adjust your pacing. If you're too high, slow down a little. If you're too low, try to push yourself harder.
Tips: I have a theory that sprinters can get their heart rates higher than distance athletes. It is just a theory. My point, is know your heart.
Up Next: Threshold via White, Pink, Red
Sources: "Classification of Northwestern University Swimming Energy Systems," unpublished.
Categories: Threshold Pace

subset: commoncrawl


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Lao Xi Noodle House
Arcadia, California
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Kindergarten Curriculum Overview
The Kindergarten program at St. John's Lutheran School works with parents to encourage each child's spiritual, social, emotional, cognitive, and physical growth. An integrated curriculum involves the child in a variety of experiences. Learning takes place in many different settings: play experiences, learning centers, small and large groups, cooperative learning, individual assessment and tutorials, free exploration of materials, work stations, and writing experiences. Kindergarten children also participate in music, library and gym once a week and attend chapel on Wednesday mornings. Three classroom computers are available for use on a daily basis.
Kindergarten children may be enrolled in either half day (8:45-11:40) or full day (8:45-3:15) classes. Extended care is available in the morning before 8:30 AM and in the afternoon after 3:15 PM. Below is a general listing of areas covered in the Kindergarten curriculum.
Voyages, CPH and the Holy Bible
While we know that it is the Holy Spirit who works faith in hearts, we have Jesus Time to help children:
- Worship and praise God
- Learn about God, their Father and His Son, Jesus, through Bible stories
- Come to know Jesus as their Savior and best friend who cares for them
- Express their growing faith in words and actions and with others
- Grow in awe and wonder of all God has created and learn to take care of His creation
Saxon Math, 2004
By the end of Kindergarten students will:
- Be able to count with understanding
- Sort, compare, and classify objects
- Observe and create patterns
- Understand and compute by adding and subtracting
- Make predictions based on information given
- Participate actively in classroom mathematical activities (eg. calendar, weather, day of week, money, telling time, graphing and measuring)
- Identify, read, and write numbers to 30
- Count to 100 or higher
- Solve simple number stories using addition and subtraction
MUSIC and ART
Activities are offered to help children:
- Find enjoyment in music and art
- Learn to approach music and art as gifts from God
Children attend music class with a music teacher once or twice a week. Music covered in the classroom includes songs, hymns, movement to music, rhythm instruments, music for enjoyment. Art activities include crafts, free form, use of materials and equipment.
Storytown, Harcourt Brace, 2007
The language arts program integrates reading, writing, speaking and listening. The goals are that
- Be able to read and write the letters of the alphabet
- Develop phonemic awareness skills
- Recognize beginning and ending sounds in words
- Recognize rhyming words
- Segment words to hear each sound
- Blend sounds together to read and make words
- Learn to appreciate good literature and to love reading
- Have a beginning sight word vocabulary that they can read and write
- Read and write sentences, using sight words and phonetic spelling
- Retell and sequence events and stories
- Be able to listen, follow directions and express ideas well by speaking, drawing and/or writing
- Develop the ability to write confidently using sight words, phonetic and/or inventive spelling
SCIENCE and SOCIAL STUDIES
Science, Scott Foresman serves as the basis for science activities
By the end of Kindergarten students will:
- Grow in appreciation for God's creation
- Manipulate & observe real materials and phenomena
- Learn about the world and the people around them
Science topics may include: plants and animals, weather and seasons, matter, heat and light, how things move, day and night sky, magnets. Process skills are also introduced: observation, estimation, predicting, classifying, inferences, investigation and experiment.
Social Studies topics may include: self-esteem, holidays and celebrations, cooperation, family, friends, citizenship, health topics, basic geography, respect for others, school workers, safety and ecology.
Children participate in gym either once (1/2 day) or twice (full day) a week. Recess is on non gym days for ½ day students and every day for full day -weather permitting. Games and movement activities, as well as activities to increase small motor development, are included in the curriculum.
Activities for physical development are offered to help children:
- Coordinate physical movements
- Appreciate and care for their bodies
- Develop safety habits and good sportsmanship
- Play simple games and perform manipulative skills such as throwing, catching, kicking, dribbling


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by Ray Hayes
The west coast of America has always been a liberal paradise, focused on challenging societal norms. Take the state of Oregon for example. Throughout America, states provide two gender options to select from on a state and driver's license application. As of last week, the state of Oregon now allows for a third option or "X". The "X" would stand for a non-specified gender, which also makes Oregon the first state in America to recognize a gender outside of Male or Female. While historic, the question must now be asked if Oregon will be the only state to do so?
The answer is a resounding "No"!
California is currently close to passing legislation known as the Gender Recognition Act that will do the same. The Golden State bill will make it easier for people who do not consider themselves male or female, and introduce the non-gender binary X in identification documents. According to MSN, "A 2015 survey of more than 27,000 transgender people across all 50 states found that 68 percent of respondents didn't have an ID reflecting their preferred name or gender." With Oregon and California leading the way, social media platforms are adopting non-gender binary rules as well. Facebook has expanded their gender options to include agender, bigender, cisgender, intersex and two-spirit*.
As more states in the West Coast adapt to gender fluidity, I wonder if more states throughout the US will begin to question whether a third gender option is needed on their identification documents. Only time will tell, but I commend the states of California and Oregon for giving us that third option if need be.


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Persist: In Praise of The Creative Spirit In A World Gone Mad With Commerce
The title, "Persist," together with the subtitle, "In Praise of the Creative Spirit in a World Gone Mad with Commerce," pretty much says it all. The book is a collection of essays, written over the past thirty years, addressing in a variety of ways the predicament of the artist (read: writer, musician, actor, dancer...) in a cultural climate in which celebrity and established commercial track record too often count for more than talent and quality of work. Yet artists of all kinds have to "do it"--if only because that's who they are. The book describes strategies the author himself has found to be indispensible in learning to "persist" beyond the all too familiar obstacles: he has found those resources in practice, the exercise of mental and logistical discipline, and building community.
What People Have to Say About Persist:
"Clothier is on a mission to reinforce the artistic spirit in the face of relentless commercialism from which no one is immune. Yes, the starving artist is a heroic image, and the many millions of us who create art daily, while supporting themselves with a mundane 'day job,' draw comfort from this image. But he goes further and describes a yet deeper layer of the artistic spirit—the act of resisting the notion that our works are successful only if they sell. This is not merely a mistaken belief that one can throw off with a shrug, but a relentless current of the society in which we live and against which we must persistently strive; not just an act of will but a meditative endeavour in which we look past what's presented as self-evident in search of a deeper truth."
—Stephen Schettini, author, The Naked Monk
"This extraordinary, much-needed, perfectly-timed book of essays becomes even more extraordinary by Mr. Clothier's manner of presentation. He writes in the style of Montaigne's the quotidian-is-sublime manner as he plumbs his own life aiming at (and hitting) what he keenly calls the intersection of mortality and infinity. The pieces are sensitive, they are frank… [Persist] should be made compulsory reading for art schools (read: factories) to counterbalance art star aspirations as it brings us back to First Principles that level the art world's Us/Them playing field."
—James Scarborough, theater critic, What the Butler Saw
"Peter Clothier's Persist: In Praise of the Creative Spirit in a World Gone Mad with Commerce arrives at the perfect time. As the art world tries to reinvent itself in the current economic malaise, Clothier's book inspires us to see the soul and spirit inherent in the creative process. Money may not be the root of all evil but it is the root of a lot of bad art. Peter Clothier challenges artists, writers, actors and filmmakers to value artistic process as a goal in itself rather than a path to wealth and power. Most of all, Clothier urges us to keep on creating - to never give up. The world would be a lesser place without the arts. A beautiful, inspiring book. Highly recommended."
– Gregg Chadwick, Speed of Life
"As you read these pages, it's easy to feel that Peter is in the room talking with you — with you, not to you — in a warm gentle cadence in which the conversation unfolds not as a set of polemics, but his experience and thoughts about art, poetry, and writing, about meeting the creative challenge as captured in Duane Michals' line "While I am not afraid...", working from the hurt or difficult places as in Rumi's "Keep your eye on the bandaged place", or about not being a critic but one who translates, taking a painting or a poem, and expressing it in another medium."
–Ken McLeod, author, Wake Up to Your Life
For More Online Reviews of Persist Visit the Following Links:Speed of Life
Contemporary Art Dialogue
For The Persist Media Release Please Visit:
Persist Media Release
To Purchase Your Copy:
Parami Press


text:
August 07, 2014
Avon Gel Finish in Fabulous
Over the past few weeks I can't seem to get enough of gel finish polishes. For someone who changes their nail polish shade very often it's never really worth it to get the real deal so I'm continuing my quest for the perfect gel effect finish. So far I've tried Barry M, Models Own and Nails Inc's versions but this time I'm giving the Avon Gel Finish in Fabulous a try to see how it compares.
We've gone through so many Avon polishes in this household, one of my first ever polishes was actually a bright yellow shade from the brand. The quality has always been there but I often find they don't get enough recognition for how good they actually are.
As for the Gel Finish polishes, I have a few different shades to try out but my first is the shade Fabulous, a bright deep pink shade. If I were to compare the quality of the polish, I'd say it falls somewhere in the middle between Barry M Gelly Nail Paints and Nails Inc Gel Effects so we're off to a pretty good start!
The formula applies well and the shade is long lasting but I can't really see a difference between their regular polishes and the Gel Finishes. This may sound like a negative point, however it does show that the quality in the regular polishes are just as good.
If there's a shade in the range you fancy, definitely go and pick it up, you won't be disappointed. Otherwise if the regular polishes are slightly cheaper and have a similar shade, save yourself some pennies!
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Are you a sociable person or you prefer to be alone? Are you a wallflower – a shy or reserved – who prefers to observe than to mingle with the others? Or are you an extrovert – an outgoing person – who likes being with and talking to other people?
They said no man is an island. No one is self-sufficient. Everyone needs someone in their life, someone they can rely on. But does this apply to introverts, to loners, to wallflowers? Maybe at some point in their life.
While extroverts cannot survive without talking and interacting with other people, introverts on the other hand struggle to be in a group. They prefer to be alone, reading books, playing computer games, listening to music, or doing household chores. Interaction with others is something that gives them anxiety problem and it will just complicate things.
So what are you? Do you agree with Charles? Let me know what you think? 🙂


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I have not been treating my body well the last few days. Between the staying up late to watch the WSOP, and getting up early to watch the Tour de France (cool British guy lost and boring British guy won, respectively), I probably averaged only four or five hours of sleep a night the last few days. It's left me thoroughly zombified, and trying to catch a nap or two just seems to make it worse. Man, I'm pretty sure I didn't used to get this drained from a few days of insufficient shut-eye back when I was in college, and that was only... oh damn, I am getting old, aren't I?
Well, my productivity may have been shot in most other areas of my life, but I still got a couple of mini-reviews out, at least! Good to know I have my priorities straight. Go check 'em out below.
Whispering Stars, by Causal Quill
Zero-ish spoiler summary: Twilight learns a few bits of ancient history, though some of it seems a little more... playful, than she was expecting.
A few thoughts: For me personally, the first chapter was the real highlight of the fic. Despite being presented as Celestia telling Twilight about the early alicorns, it keeps the interruptions to a minimum, wisely focusing on the tale itself. And that's a great blend of folklore form, clever double meanings (the principals' names are Pride and Tyranny, and the author gets a lot of revealing dual-readings from those), and an essential lightheartedness which helps balance out some of the darker implications (and outright statements) of the tale. Later chapters put more focus on the present day, and I found them something of a letdown; there are still a lot of dark implications, but now they're framed in ways like "the Crystal Empire can extend ponies' lives severalfold, and they practice immigration-based eugenics on this basis," which... is a really disturbing light to paint Cadence in, if you're not going to engage with it. More broadly, the story goes more for fluffy comedy in the later chapters, and while it does managed that well when it's not being accidentally disturbing, I also found it less engaging than the blend of humor lore from the story's start.
Recommendation: If you aren't going to read too deeply into bits of worldbuilding, this would be a good choice for readers who like cutesiness and alicorns in combination. I'd also recommend the first chapter (which can be read perfectly well as a stand-alone) to those who enjoy well-balanced tonal blending and folklore-style in general.
Today I Am a Monster, by Cloud Wander
Zero-ish spoiler summary: Pathfinder is a rare breed--a pony who can sense the rare occasions when a portal opens from one alternate Equestria to another, and travel between worlds. But not all worlds are pleasant, and he still bears the scars of the last "Equestria" he visited.
A few thoughts: It's interesting that I read this back-to-back with Whispering Stars, because where I felt the latter sometimes wasn't fully aware of its implications, Monster embraces them, exemplified nowhere better than where Steven Magnet mediates a dispute between a manticore and a turtle over whether the former can kill the latter and feed it to her babies. It's a dark scene, yet it's tackled head-on, and the story doesn't shy away from the issues it raises. It all adds up to a very emotionally honest story, where it's easy to believe the protagonist's PTSD not because it's realistically portrayed--I feel it is, but that's not why it feels honest--but because those feelings aren't presented for the sake of drama, or so that he can be "fixed;" they simply are, and acceptance is the theme of the day here. Derpy's simple profundity frames his struggles nicely, and the whole story ends up feeling a lot more real than any stealth-Fo:E crossover by rights ought to.
Recommendation: If "emotionally honest" is something you look for in fiction, then this is well worth your while. It might not be for readers who can't reconcile a not-insignificant bit of darkness with Equestria--both alternate!Equestria and the show's own--but don't mistake this for some edgy gorefic; the stakes here are fantasy through-and-through, but they're also wonderfully resonant.
Over six and a half years of Little Pony: Friendship is Magic fanfic reviews, commentary, and more!
Monday, July 24, 2017
Mini-Reviews Round 194
Posted by Chris at 12:00 AM
Labels: mini-reviews
1 comment:
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text:
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Memorial, St Anthony of Padua, priest & doctor
Memorial, St Anthony of Padua, priest & doctor
Wednesday 10th Week in Ordinary Time - Year I
Such confidence as this is ours through Christ before God. Not that we
are competent in ourselves to claim anything for ourselves, but our
competence comes from God. He has made us competent as ministers of a
new covenant--not of the letter but of the Spirit; for the letter
kills, but the Spirit gives life. Now if the ministry that brought
death, which was engraved in letters on stone, came with glory, so
that the Israelites could not look steadily at the face of Moses
because of its glory, fading though it was, will not the ministry of
the Spirit be even more glorious? If the ministry that condemns men is
glorious, how much more glorious is the ministry that brings
righteousness! For what was glorious has no glory now in comparison
with the surpassing glory. And if what was fading away came with
glory, how much greater is the glory of that which lasts!
"Do not think that I have come to abolish the Law or the Prophets; I
have not come to abolish them but to fulfill them. I tell you the
truth, until heaven and earth disappear, not the smallest letter, not
the least stroke of a pen, will by any means disappear from the Law
until everything is accomplished. Anyone who breaks one of the least
of these commandments and teaches others to do the same will be called
least in the kingdom of heaven, but whoever practices and teaches
these commands will be called great in the kingdom of heaven.
Too many of us pretend to fear the boredom of religion and the
monotony of praising God; too many of us simply want to do nothing. We
falsely term "boring" the very things that would deliver us from the
greater boredom we choose. We fear all things that might compel us to
do something worthwhile, because these great works demand some
sacrifices from us.
The danger we are in is very great. Doing nothing, loving our
comfortable way, guarding our ease is a first-class form of
selfishness. Selfishness is the principal element of sin. Utterly
bored with ourselves and afraid of the effort required to rise out of
our lethargy, we will turn to some form of sin as a way of getting
something done. We call it "getting the fun out of life" and "living
only once." In other words, we become so self-centered that when we do
rise from sleep we act in a selfish way.
Those who are great in the eyes of God and people find endless work to
be done in praise of God. Every creature leads them to him. Every
talent is spent for him. Even their rest and relaxation is spent in
his loving presence. They have no time for boredom.
St. Anthony has become so popular and effective as a finder of lost
articles that we forget the details of his life. He joined the
Franciscan Order during the life of St. Francis around the year 1220.
He taught theology and was a great preacher. His statues show him
holding a book. He died at the early age of 36 and was canonized a
year later. As we honor St. Anthony today, let us ask him to help us
find not just something material that we have lost but to help us find
spiritual treasures for heaven.
With the psalmist let us say today:
"Praise the Lord, my soul. As long as I live, I will praise God.
Of him my songs shall be, as long as I have life to sing them."
We pray ...
... for a deep and profound respect for life, especially for the
... for the healing and speedy recovery of:
- Ms. Jeramin Martiniano
- Sabina Santiago
- Sister Heidi Facto DC
... for the personal intentions of
- Mrs. Gafur Dalwai
- Don Jemerald
... for the strength and guidance of
- Michael Santiago
- Santiago Family and Mr. and Mrs. Eliezer Santiago
... In Thanksgiving:
- for the complete healing of Maria Alyssa Martina
- the Evangelista Family
... for the eternal repose of the souls of:
- Dr. Loy Custodio.
- Justin Daniel Bataclan
Eternal rest grant unto them and may perpetual light shine upon them.
May they and all the souls of the faithful departed rest in peace.
... for the safe trip and a new beginning for Mrs. Teresita Nunez Choa
... for all the prayer intentions in the MTQ Dailyprayer Diary.
- Birthday: Dr. & Dra. Bruce Sicilia
- Birthday: Ella C. Sanchez
- Birthday: Erlinda T. Villanueva
- Birthday: Ma. Carmela F. Bate
- Birthday: Polly Limpe Alianan
- Birthday: Wilfredo Ortiz
- Wedding Anniversary: Alan & Marie Lee
- Wedding Anniversary: John Christopher & Ma. Luisa Chongson
- In Memoriam (+): Teofila Felix
... for world peace and reconciliation.
Finally, we pray for one another, for those who have asked our
prayers and for those who need our prayers the most.
Have a good day!
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The conference department for Leeds Beckett University has this year celebrated its 10th anniversary alongside opening the £4.5m newly revamped Cloth Hall Court venue in the heart of Leeds.
The conference centre has won plaudits for its forward thing event facility that has already hosted a range of conferences, events and awards dinners.
So far this year they have managed to successfully see off tough competition and win two awards. They secured the Top Team awards at the Leeds Hotels and Venues Association Awards in June and recently in November they won the Best Training Venue at the Academic Venues awards in November.
In 2018 they're hoping to build upon their efforts when they hot Teach First again in the Summer.


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By Maria Albina Galli
Electrocardiography has an ever-expanding function in pediatric cardiology assessment. the categorical knowledge required for its optimum use during this environment, in spite of the fact that, commonly lie past the services of cardiologists used to facing adults. This advisor – the fabricated from vast functional event within the box of pediatric cardiology – proposes a very easy strategy for analyzing neonatal and pediatric ECGs that's in response to the appliance of easy standards and allows the quick reputation of ordinary and pathological styles. the 1st a part of the advisor offers and describes this system and the parameters of ordinary pediatric ECGs, whereas the second one half specializes in particular pediatric anomalies. greater than a hundred and fifty ECGs showing either basic and pathologic findings are integrated, all of which were accrued from scientific perform and analyzed utilizing the proposed technique. This ebook may be a useful reference instrument for all cardiologists who take care of newborns and kids.
Read Online or Download A Guide to Neonatal and Pediatric ECGs PDF
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Additional resources for A Guide to Neonatal and Pediatric ECGs
Sample text
3 mV) limit recommended for the first week of life. In V6, the electrical dominance of the left ventricle is shown by the typical R/S > 1 relationship. The morphology of ventricular repolarization is to be considered normal due to the negative T wave in V1, V2 and V3. A negative T wave in V5 and V6 in the first week of life is not a sign of a pathological condition. The QRS frontal axis is right deviated at +120°, which is normal in newborns. 28 1 ECG Reading Method Fig. 22 Electrocardiogram recorded of a 27-day-old newborn In Fig.
42 Electrocardiogram recorded of a 3-year-old child In Fig. 42, for V1, the S wave (the electrical forces of the left ventricle) is dominant such that R/S < 1. In V6, the R wave (again the electrical forces of the left ventricle) is dominant with no S wave of right ventricular depolarization. These elements make up a picture of left ventricular prevalence, which is the norm for the "adult pattern" of ventricular depolarization. The "adult pattern" is normal after the age of 2–3, so this trace is congruent with the age of the patient, thus making it normal.
The normal duration range of the adult PR interval is between 120 ms and 220 ms. PR interval duration below this range is called short PR and above it is called first degree atrioventricular block. In pediatrics, the PR interval is generally shorter, with upper limits of the norm varying in relation to age and heart rate. 1, the normal range in the first month of life is between 80 ms and 120 ms. Then from 2 months of age up to 1 year, it is between 80 ms and 140 ms. From the age of 1 to 5, it is between 100 ms and 160 ms and from the age of 6 to 12, it is between 110 ms and 180 ms.


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It's Electric! Being at Bowl Expo is a lot of fun, there are many innovative products out there. You get to see the next big thing before it becomes the big thing!
Tyler Herreman
Centennial Lanes – Hays, KS
One of the best reasons I'd think to come is to visit with other bowling centers and seeing how their operations are and networking amongst one another.
Chris James
Cordova Bowling Center – Cordova, TN
I get a good pulse to where the industry is at and who the people are that are making those trends and taking the industry to where it's headed.
Gianmarc Manzione
Bowlers Journal International – Chicago, IL
I come to Bowl Expo to take a break from my business, get rejuvenated while meeting with other proprietors, and learn key things from the different educational seminars. It gets me back in the game. It gets me mentally thinking that I can do things better and I can do things differently at my center.
Marc Mattecheck
North Bend Lanes – North Bend, OR
It's a great way to find new ideas for your bowling center. Not necessarily if your center is struggling, but even if you have a booming bowling center! Not only can you offer stuff to other people, but there's some great ideas out there that maybe you've just never thought of before.
Brandon Wilder
Buffaloe Lanes – Raleigh, NC
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0 0 Heidi Harris Heidi Harris2018-04-25 05:11:022018-04-25 05:22:50Heidi Harris Show Podcast #58: Can Waffle House Shooter's Father be Charged?
Heidi Harris Show Podcast #58: Can Waffle House Shooter's Father be Charged?
The father of the Waffle House shooter clearly knew his kid has issues, yet he returned his clearly disturbed son's guns to him, even after assuring authorities that he would not. As far as I'm concerned, the father is MORE culpable, since he's not the crazy one.
Pamel Furr, News Anchor for WTN in Nashville joins me with additional details and insight.


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Daily Insights
- The stock market's "Sweet 16." In the spirit of March Madness and an exciting NCAA college basketball tournament that has already brought some historic upsets and exciting buzzer beaters, our latest Weekly Market Commentary features our "Sweet 16" keys for stocks over the remainder of the year, which we will preview today on the LPL Research blog. Among the positives: U.S. and global economic growth, earnings, and technicals; among the negatives: trade policy. Collectively, we expect these drivers to push stocks higher over the balance of 2018, though we acknowledge that volatility could stay with us. We'll take a deeper dive into some of these market drivers next week in our "Final Four."
- Fed monetary policy meeting headlines the week. The U.S. economic calendar includes new and existing home sales, the Leading Economic Index, the Kansas City Federal Reserve (Fed) Manufacturing Index, and durable goods orders. However, investors' focus will be on the Fed's monetary policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, where analysts expect a 0.25% rate hike announcement. Overseas, manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers' Index reports for the Eurozone, France, and Germany should garner attention, in addition to ZEW surveys for the Eurozone and Germany. In the pacific region, Japan is set to release a series of economic data covering trade, inflation, and manufacturing, while China reports foreign direct investment and property prices, a closely watched metric tied to the health of the Chinese consumer.
- Another shutdown? Political risk is hardly new for investors, but markets may be increasingly focused on Washington, D.C. this week amidst the latest round of budget battles and the flurry of headlines surrounding the Mueller investigation. Congress must agree to details on its spending bill by the end of the week or face another partial government shutdown. A shutdown, which we view as unlikely, would almost certainly be short-lived; but with 60 votes needed in the Senate, an impasse is possible.
- Fed outlook expected to hold steady despite more optimistic economic projections. Fed Chair Jay Powell will preside over his first monetary policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. With a rate hike at the conclusion of Wednesday's meeting already priced in according to Fed fund futures, market participants will be focused on changes to the Fed's economic projections, last released in December 2017, and Powell's press conference following the meeting's conclusion. We expect economic projections to rise, based on fiscal stimulus from the new tax law and an increase in spending limits over the next two years, but until we see stronger signs of a pick-up in inflation, our base case remains three rate hikes over the course of 2018. We explore in more detail later today in this week's Weekly Economic Commentary.
Click Here for our detailed Weekly Economic Calendar
- Bostic (Dove)
- Eurozone: Trade Balance (Jan)
- Italy: Industrial Production (Jan)
- Italy: Trade Balance (Jan)
- Germany: PPI (Feb)
- UK: CPI & PPI (Feb)
- UK: Core CPI (Feb)
- UK: House Price Index (Jan)
- Germany: ZEW Survey (Mar)
- Eurozone: ZEW Survey (Mar)
- Eurozone: Consumer Confidence (Mar)
- Japan: Leading Index (Jan)
- Japan: Machine Tool Orders (Feb)
- China: Foreign Direct Investment (Feb)
- MBA Mortgage Applications (Mar 16)
- Current Account Balance (Q4)
- Existing Home Sales (Feb)
- FOMC Rate Decision
- Powell (Dove)
- UK: Jobless Claims & Unemployment Rate (Feb)
- UK: Average Weekly Earnings (Jan)
- Argentina: GDP (Q4)
- BOJ: Outright Bond Purchase
- Japan: Nikkei Japan Mfg. PMI (Mar)
- Weekly Jobless Claims (Mar 17)
- FHFA House Price Index (Jan)
- Markit Mfg. & Services PMI (Mar)
- LEI (Leading Index) (Feb)
- Kansas City Fed Mfg. Activity (Mar)
- France: Markit France Mfg. & Services PMI (Mar)
- Germany: Markit Germany Mfg. & Services PMI (Mar)
- Eurozone: Markit Eurozone Mfg. & Services PMI (Mar)
- Germany: IFO (Mar)
- Eurozone: Current Account Balance (Jan)
- Italy: Current Account Balance (Jan)
- UK: Retail Sales (Feb)
- ECB: Publishes Economic Bulletin
- BOE: Bank Rate
- BOE: Asset Purchase Target
- BOJ: Outright Bond Purchase
- Bank of Canada: Wilkins
- Japan: All Industry Activity Index (Jan)
- Japan: CPI (Feb)
- Durable Goods Orders (Feb)
- Cap Goods Shipments & Orders (Feb)
- New Home Sales (Feb)
- Revisions: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization
- Bostic (Dove)
- Kashkari (Dove)
- Canada: Retail Sales (Jan)
- Canada: CPI (Feb)
- Bank of Russia: Key Rate
- Bank of Russia: Nabiullina


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Along with many in the world of English traditional music and song, we have been great fans of Shirley Collins MBE for years.
And she of us. When we dance in her home town of Lewes there is always a good chance that Shirley will be there to watch us. We were honoured when Shirley agreed to be our patron.
In 2008 Shirley was invited to curate a weekend of concerts on the South Bank in London under the title 'Folk Roots New Routes'. She asked us to join her.
In 2015 we were invited once again, this time to join in Shirley's 80th birthday celebrations on the South Bank.
Then came the news that Shirley was recording for the first time in 38 years. Two Brighton Morris members were involved in those sessions. This became Lodestar, her triumphant return to the public stage.
Now her story is told in the film 'The Ballad of Shirley Collins'. We danced for Shirley at the invitation of Lewes Depot Cinema at the first screening of the film in Lewes in November 2017.


text: Conference Program | EXPO REAL Topics EXPO REAL FORUM 2016: Masterminds – Digitalization: Changing processes and new user landscapes 6. October 2016 Four experts who could hardly be more different in nature have been discussing digitalization and innovation. The only thing they had in common: They are sector outsiders. Leave a Reply Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.


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World of Concrete 2016 in Las Vegas
The World of Concrete, one of the most important events in the construction and concrete construction industry, is a one-stop-shop for anyone needing to know anything in these fields. Industry experts anticipate a 5% year-over-year growth in cement consumption in 2016.
The Austrian products exhibited in Las Vegas came from PALFINGER North America , a specialist for hydraulic lifting, loading and handling systems, as well as Hartl Crusher North America , experts in rock crushers and screener units as an integral part of excavator buckets, etc.
The latest concrete equipment and tools were on display at this year's show, which was held in Las Vegas from February 2 – 5, 2016.


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Scratches or nicks no deeper than 10 percent of the wall thickness in
aluminum alloy tubing may be repaired, if they are not in the heel of a
bend. Replace lines with severe die marks, seams, or splits in the tube.
Any crack or deformity in a flare is also unacceptable and is cause for
rejection. A dent of less than 20 percent of the tube diameter is not objectionable,
unless it is in the heel of a bend. Dents can be removed by drawing a bullet
of proper size through the tube by means of a length of cable.
|A severely damaged line should be replaced. However, the
line can be repaired by cutting out the damaged section and inserting a
tube section of the same size and material. Flare both ends of the undamaged
and replacement tube sections and make the connection by using standard
unions, sleeves, and tube nuts. If the damaged portion is short enough,
omit the insert tube and repair by using one union and two sets of connecting
When repairing a damaged line, be very careful to remove all chips and burrs. Any open line that is to be left unattended for some time should be sealed, using metal, wood, rubber, or plastic plugs or caps.
When repairing a low pressure line using a flexible fluid connection assembly, position the hose clamps carefully in order to prevent overhang of the clamp bands or chafing of the tightening screws on adjacent parts. If chafing can occur, the hose clamps should be repositioned on the hose. Figure 5-16 illustrates the design of a flexible fluid connection assembly and gives the maximum allowable angular and dimensional offset.
Layout of Lines
Remove the damaged or worn assembly, taking care not to further damage or distort it, and use it as a forming template for the new part. If the old length of tubing cannot be used as a pattern, make a wire template, bending the pattern by hand as required for the new assembly. Then bend the tubing to match the wire pattern. Never select a path that does not require bends in the tubing.
A tube cannot be cut or flared accurately enough so that it can be installed without bending and still be free from mechanical strain. Bends are also necessary to permit the tubing to expand or contract under temperature changes and to absorb vibration. If the tube is small (under one-fourth inch) and can be hand formed, casual bends may be made to allow for this. If the tube must be machine formed, definite bends must be made to avoid a straight assembly.
Start all bends a reasonable distance from the fittings, because the sleeves and nuts must be slipped back during the fabrication of flares and during inspections. In all cases the new tube assembly should be so formed prior to installation that it will not be necessary to pull or deflect the assembly into alignment by means of the coupling nuts.


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Yury Panasik
Responsibilities in Kesarev
– consulting services to the leading international and Russian companies as well as to the Russian state authorities
– regulatory and political risk assessment in Russia and post-Soviet states
– economy sectors of expertise: agriculture, FMCG, healthcare and pharma industry, IT, transport, financial markets, etc.
Professional Experience
Before joining Kesarev Consulting, Mr. Panasik was a Senior Analyst in the Centre for Current Politics of Russia as well as an expert in several nongovernmental and analytical organizations specialized on projects in post-Soviet countries.
Yury graduated from the Faculty of Philosophy of the Lomonosov State University of Moscow.
He participated in GR master-classes and finished special courses, including the course "Introduction of Regulatory Impact Assessment in Russia" organised by the Higher School of Economics (2013).
Languages: Yury is fluent in Russian and English.


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Human Resources
We are currently seeking individuals who are committed to increasing student achievement in geographic areas where traditionally there is a high drop-out rate and students do not enter college. PUC is a charter schools management organization that has developed and currently operates seven highly successful charter schools. The schools are located in the Northeast San Fernando Valley and Northeast Los Angeles. Our vision is that all of our students will graduate from college. Our organization hires individuals who are hard working, believe in the potential of all students, are dedicated to the education profession, committed to life long learning, know how to work successfully on a team, are nurturing, caring, intelligent, and consistently view students holistically.
If you are interested in applying for a teaching position for the 2006-2007 school year, please email Malena Otero, Director of Human Resources, at firstname.lastname@example.com or Patty Espinoza, Human Resources Coordinator, at email@example.com. You must posses a current teaching credential or be enrolled in a credentialing/internship program at a college/university to apply for a teaching position at PUC Schools.
Please be sure your email includes:
1. Position name and school you are applying for
2. Resume
3. Cover Letter (optional)
4. Two (2) Letters of Recommendation
5. Unofficial Transcripts
6. Copy of Credential(s) (i.e. CBEST, CSET, SSET, RICA, etc)


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Baked Burrito Madness
Aaaaaand we're back.
Here's a dish that was born out of what I had in the freezer and fridge and pantry while enjoying a drink and definitely not wanting to go to the grocery store to buy anything else.
That's called "true inspiration".
With chicken bits and tomato sauce and the usual plethora of awesome dried spices in the pantry, this was an easy one. Good to do on a weekend when you've got time to stew things properly. The chicken really needs a good long bath in those awesome flavours to really mellow out and get tender. It's the least you can do.
Chicken burritos
2 lbs chicken thighs and/or legs, skin on, bone in, cheap as chips
good pinch salt and pepper
2 tablespoons vegetable or olive oil
1/2 cup finely chopped onion
two cloves garlic, finely chopped
28 oz can tomato sauce
2 tablespoons chili powder
1 tablespoon ground cumin
Hefty pinch of dried oregano
1 cup water or chicken stock
2 tablespoons brown sugar
hot sauce to taste
6 flour tortillas
Half a red onion, sliced and quick-pickled (see note)
1/2 cup of your favourite salsa
1 cup smoked cheddar or cheddar cheese, grated
1 cup grated mozzarella cheese
Heat a heavy fry pan (cast iron is ideal) over medium-high heat for several minutes. Meanwhile season the chicken with salt and pepper all over. Add vegetable or olive oil to the pan, then layer in the chicken in a single layer (you'll likely have to do this in two batches). Fry the chicken until brown on both sides, then remove to a baking pan that's big enough to hold all the chicken in a single layer. Heat your oven to 350 F at this point. Once all chicken is browned and removed, add the finely chopped onion to the pan and sauce for a minute. Add the garlic and saute for another thirty seconds. Add the tomato sauce to the pan along with the chili powder, cumin, oregano, brown sugar and hot sauce. Bring to a boil and let boil for a minute or so. Add a cup of water or chicken stock to thin it and pour that over the chicken in the pan. Cover the pan with foil and bake for 45 minutes until the chicken meat is just about falling off the bone. During this baking process, you can make a simple pickled red onion by soaking finely sliced onion in a mix of 2 tablespoons red wine vinegar, two tablespoons of sugar and a good pinch of salt for 30 minutes, then drain well. Remove the foil from the chicken and bake another 15 minutes uncovered. Remove the chicken from the sauce and shred all of the meat off the bones with a fork. Mix the salsa with the shredded chicken meat. Heat a large fry pan over medium-high heat (that cast iron pan again is ideal). Toast each of the flour tortillas until lightly browned and softened. Fill each tortilla with 1/6th of the chicken meat. Top with a bit of pickled red pepper and grated smoked cheddar or regular cheddar. Roll it up while tucking in the sides and place in a greased baking pan. Assemble the rest of the burritos this way. Top with the reserved sauce used to cook the chicken, any leftover pickled red onion and the mozzarella cheese. Bake uncovered for 30 minutes at 350F. You didn't turn your oven off, did you? Goof.


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More than 2,100 people have been reported killed by the powerful earthquake that struck northwest Turkey before dawn on Tuesday, destroying thousands of buildings and giving rise to a vast archipelago of tent cities erected by people afraid to sleep indoors.
The quake, which struck at 3:02 A.M. local time on Tuesday, ripped through cities and villages while most people were asleep. Thousands were shaken out of their slumber to find walls collapsing, windows shattering and roofs tumbling down on them.
Government officials said that more than 13,000 people were injured by the earthquake and that they expected the death toll to rise.
Countless bodies remained buried under pulverized buildings in the early hours today. The most passionate plea from Turkish Government officials to neighboring countries has been for more digging equipment and more dogs to help locate victims.
''There are many living people who still have not been saved from beneath collapsing buildings,'' Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit said on television on Tuesday night.Continue reading the main story
The epicenter was near the industrial city of Izmit, about 55 miles east of Istanbul, where as many as 1,000 people were killed, most of them trapped inside huge apartment buildings that crumbled within seconds.
In Golcuk, the site of a naval base on the southern coast of the Izmit Gulf, more than 248 sailors and naval officers were trapped under collapsed buildings. Scores of people were unaccounted for.
The quake was by far the strongest on record in this area, although the exact magnitude has not been determined. Turkish seismologists said the quake registered a magnitude of 6.7, while United States scientists first reported a magnitude of 7.8, but said additional measurements could lower that number.
Here in Istanbul, hundreds of buildings collapsed into dusty piles of concrete.
In a frantic, endless and exhausting race to reach all possible victims, rescue crews dug into piles of debris 20 feet high with bulldozers, tower cranes, front-end loaders and jackhammers.
Despite the extraordinary destruction, most of Istanbul's stunning mosques and minarets survived and appeared to remain in fairly good condition. Even while a vast majority of apartment buildings were dark, both because of power failures and the widespread fear of staying under a roof, the mosques remained well lighted and eerily serene against the late summer sky.
The treasured landmarks of the city, including the Blue Mosque, Topkapi Palace and Hagia Sophia, were spared any visible damage.
On Tuesday night Istanbul became transformed into a city of tents and lean-to shelters as hundreds of thousands of people camped out along highways, in parks and in parking lots across the city. More than 250 aftershocks have been reported.
''Everybody is too afraid to stay indoors,'' said Aydin Ayaydin, a member of Parliament who represents the Avcilar district of Istanbul, an area where as many as 70 buildings collapsed.
Jusuf Sever, a 54-year-old high-school teacher in Avcilar, watched in shell-shocked dismay as soldiers and about 100 construction workers tried to dig through the mountain of concrete that had been his apartment building.
''I was fast asleep, along with my wife and my daughter, when we woke up and the whole building was swaying back and forth,'' he said, pointing to what remained of his bed on the fringes of the rubble.
''Suddenly, the ceiling was gone and we were looking at the stars in the sky.''
Mr. Sever's apartment was on the fourth floor of a six-story building. The top two floors were ripped off the building, and that allowed the family to escape without injury before the rest of the building collapsed.
Similar scenes played out in many places as the earthquake wielded a fearsome power across a wide swath of Turkey, including highly populated areas like Istanbul, with 12 million people, and Izmit, with nearly one million.
In Izmit, medical workers smashed pharmacy windows to obtain supplies for hospitals swamped by the injured, The Associated Press reported. Many areas were without electricity or water late on Tuesday.
Early today rescue workers suspended efforts to put out a fire at a large oil refinery not far from Izmit that had exploded and burned uncontrollably, pouring black smoke over the area, Reuters reported. The Anatolian news agency said a C-130 Hercules aircraft brought from the southern town of Antalya had sprayed foam, but failed to put out the raging flames of a naphtha tank at the refinery.
The Mayor of Izmit, Sefa Sirmen, told the agency that two fire extinguisher planes were on their way from France and Germany. He expressed fears that the blaze might spread to nearby gas tanks, ''which will be catastrophic for Izmit.''
The United States Energy Secretary, Bill Richardson, was in Istanbul at the time of the quake, and was unhurt. Gen. Henry H. Shelton, Chairman of United States Joint Chiefs of Staff, was also visiting Turkey and offered help like helicopters, tents and blankets from American bases there.
Mr. Richardson and General Shelton were helping to organize aid from the United States, which will include a 70-member team being dispatched to Izmit.
Reuters reported that the group, from an organization in Fairfax, Va., that helped rescue victims of the bombings of United States Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania last August, includes dogs and equipment to locate survivors in rubble and help extricate them.
In badly hit areas many buildings with little visible damage stood side-by-side with others that were utterly destroyed.
And many people were already raising questions about whether slipshod construction practices had made a bad situation worse.
A vast majority of buildings along the main road through Avcilar were still standing, interspersed every few blocks by apartment buildings that were heaps of rubble.
One relatively new five-story apartment building with balconies and satellite dishes looked as if it had been pulled out of the ground. Each floor, from the front balconies to the rear windows, remained parallel to the one above it but now leaned at a 45-degree slant toward the ground.
Ozgur Oztopcu, a chemical engineer, stood watch over the diagonally shifted balconies of his friend's apartment. The friend had a wife and two daughters and one was still missing.
''I don't think she is still alive,'' Mr. Oztopcu said.
Telephone service within Turkey was disrupted in many areas but seemed to be functioning normally by the end of the day. But people trying to telephone from abroad found it almost impossible to reach anybody in Turkey for most of the day. In part that was because countless thousands of people with relatives and friends in Turkey were jamming up the international phone links into the country. But at least part of it appeared to be due to the limits of the telephone network.
As news of the earthquake raced around the world today, European countries, the United States, Israel and even Iran pledged to send medical supplies, equipment, rescue workers and other aid.
Even Greece, which has squabbled with Turkey for decades, offered condolences and indicated that it would send an airplane to help out.
As dust-caked soldiers and medical workers heaved slabs of rubble under the glare of spotlights throughout the night, thousands of people kept a weary vigil in the hopes of finding friends and family members.
''It is the biggest natural disaster I have ever witnessed,'' Mr. Ecevit told the Turkish people. ''May God help our state and our people.''Continue reading the main story


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Celebrating 'Cricket' with CTL & Driving Greater Prospects in the State
Sjain Ventures has always been the torch-bearer when it comes to doing things differently. We have accomplished several events covering business exhibitions to music nights and many more. But this time, we have collaborated with a 'thought'. A thought that might come along with hurdles and challenges at every step, Read More


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The Gerber Suspension Multi-Plier narrows the gap between pocket knife and toolbox. Inspired by Portland, Oregon's bridges, the Suspension has an open frame that belies its ability to support your emergency needs. Incredibly strong and packed with trusted tools, this multi-plier opens quickly and locks each component in place while in use. And it's a sleek-looking multi-toolAAAbecause looks are important when you're cutting wires or tightening screws.
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Other than the monotony (LACK OF UPDATES), the worst part to me is still the archering. No matter how creative you get with the base, another person who is archering, is going to get a pretty good percentage on you. Its to the point where I dont even watch archer replays anymore. Why? Why sit there and waste 3 minutes of my time, adjust traps, when no matter what, Archers will always be at the top. Its slow, repetitive. And takes no skill. I have refused to use it as a matter of principle but I blame SC for not at least making attacking balanced.
This is is my own personal view on archering; its taking advantage of a glitch. The balance is great, without one major flaw. Aka archers. You use that because you havent gained any skill and rely on the faulty traps (Ive seen 8 archers run over a spring) and not be touched. Thus giving you the edge.
I feel like myself, and the rest of the community will be disappointed in the time release of BH9. If thats the case I think we need to start at least asking for updates to the current meta. It is been the same for at least five months I know this for fact because of you tubers posting the same bases were still using today...and that Im still facing atop.
I will say it is kind of crazy to me that a company will release a certain game mode a.k.a. multiplayer and kind of just let it watch it die without rhyme or reason, or at least interaction. I will give them props for one thing and thats taking care of the leaderboard when a player was clearly trophy dumping. But other than that, weve been left in the dark. And I dont know about you, but Ive spent hard earned money.


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ACP, The fundamental Christian outreach to and for the various un-organized Militias in the USA. The Church for the American Christian Patriot
The online Church for American Christian Patriots, serves those men brave enough to want to raise their families in Christ. Men who will obey Ephesians 5:25
We are: Pro-Christ, Pro-Life, Pro-(pre-1911)Constitution.
Are you man enough?
If you husbands will love your wife as Christ loves the Church, you won't need to raise your voice or hit her, for she will love you so much that she will revere you. God Himself has ordained it: Unto the woman He said, ... your desire shall be to your husband, and he shall rule over thee. (Genesis 3:16b ACP/KJV)
34 Duck Pond Road
Harrison, Maine, USA
The Church for the American Christian Patriot
Pastor Rev. Robert Celeste ACP/MCAC the pastor who obeyed Christ command in Luke 22:36
All Scripture quoted, in both sermons and daily thoughts, except when done by a guest, is from the ACP/authorized 1611 King James Version. The words in red are those quotes of God the Son, the Lord Jesus and the words in purple are those qoutes spoken directly by God the Father and the words in this sickly greenish color are of satan.
Monday, October 3, 2011
God tells us through the pen of His Apostle Paul, that if one will not work, he should not eat. Teach a man to fish and he will eat forever, give a man a fish and he will eat a meal.
God Himself, has said, through the pen of His faithful Apostle Paul, "For even when we were with you, this we commanded you, 'that if any would not work, neither should he eat.'" 2 Thessalonians 3:10
Folks, let me tell you, I am getting sick and tired of people whining about running out of unemployment money, not enough food stamp money, being unable to find a job, etc. I am just plain sick and tired of it. It is time for people to stand on their own two feet. There are tons of commission jobs out there. There are tons of heavy things that could be manufactured locally that, because of shipping weight, almost have to be made locally. Laid off carpenters can make wooden toys and furniture. Laid off electricians and plumbers can use their skills to earn a decent living as self employed men and women. They can do as my wife and I, they can be representatives of Melaleuca.
But while I am getting sick and tired of people whining, I realize why they cry, why they whine, and who they serve. Folks, communism, fascism, and the other ways of life that demand something for nothing, are not of God, but of the devil. Those who put their faith, their dependency, their very survival in government programs, government handouts, the taking from one group who work and giving to those who don't, are not of God, but of the devil.
And while it gets harder and harder to feel sorry for them, feel sorry for them and pray for them we must. Especially for those who live in societies that still allow for independent actions. Societies like the US, Europe, and most of the Far East.... societies that still allow a man to go door to door to clean windows, offer to cut wood for a meal, do something to support themself and their family.
Christ has told us that we are to ask God to "forgive us our debts, as we forgive our debtors." He tells us that God will judge us by the same balances that we judge others "For with what judgment ye judge, ye shall be judged: and with what measure ye mete, it shall be measured to you again." Christ has told us that "For if ye forgive men their trespasses, your God the Father will also forgive you: But if ye forgive not men their trespasses, neither will God the Father forgive your trespasses."
So, you see, while we can get sick and tired of the whining, we cannot turn a blind eye towards those that whine and cry. We must pray for them, we must offer them a way out, we must be willing to teach them to fish, instead of giving them a fish and then turning from their other needs. We must do this even when those who serve Christ stand in our way, and oppose or hinder us because we may make a penny or two off those we help. I can, and will, literally help anyone to do as Cecily and I are doing with Melaleuca. No one need be totally reliant on the government. No one needs to give up and grovel at the feet of the devil.
Just as Jesus died so that all would have a clear path, a clear way out of eternal damnation and into eternal bliss with Him, so must we as Christians, who are willing to teach to fish instead of just giving a fish, be willing to offer to help those who serve satan both to learn about the Lord and His path to freedom and help them stand on their own two feet and get free of government redistribution of wealth. For if we don't, we are not serving our Lord Christ Jesus, but the evil one.
And as for those who claim to be Christians, but who stand in the way of the whiners, the criers, the dependant upon government, from getting out of that trap, I say to you, why? Why do you stand in the way? Why do you discourage instead of helping? Why do you judge me and others that want to see people free of government dependance, communism, fascism, serving the prince of darkness? Are you sure it is Christ you serve?
Nai erchomai kurios Iesous.
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This thought is copyrighted and protected by US Copyright laws and may not be used in any way, shape or form, in whole or in part without express written permission, dated and referencing the specific thought or thoughts, by Rev. Robert M. Celeste. Note Only Dr. Allen Gilpatrick PhD 116900 of KSR LaGrange, LaGrange, Kentucky, Dr. Kent Hovind PhD, and Dr. Alan Bean MD of Harrison, Maine are exempt from this and are allowed to use anything on ChristianPatriot.com without written permission. All others must have written permission.
How can you help this ministry?
You can pray for us, and for a donation of any size and a self addressed stamped envelope, you will be sent "Did God really say YOU MUST BE BORN AGAIN?".
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Sha'al shalowm Yruwshalaim.
Never ever forget this: There aint no purgatory!
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The difference between a true preacher and a false preacher comes down to this. The true preacher uses God's word to convict of sin, the false preacher twist God's word to justify sin. The Lord our God, Christ Jesus be with you always, amen.
The Lord our God, Christ Jesus, be with you all and please keep your pastor and me in your prayers. Amen. My prayer daily is "Lord please bless those tenfold who bless me."
Pray for me, pray for all those who open their mouths or take pen in hand in an effort to sway public opinion.
The Lord God of the Universe, Messiah Y'shua be with you all, amen.
It is better to be a horse fly in the stables of the Lord Jesus than the CEO of hell.
Click here for: Previous Daily Thoughts for the year of our Lord 2005.
Previous Daily Thoughts for the year of our Lord 2004. Home to ACP
Previous Daily Thoughts for the year of our Lord 2003.
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About Susan DeLoach Photography
La Bella Vita Photography is dedicated to capturing memories of a lifetime. We are a full service studio offering high quality imagery for all you photographic needs. From the wedding to maternity and newborns, family photos, high school seniors and everything in between - La Bella Vita Photography captures "The Beautiful Life." We are honored to be be part of your journey.
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(Note from Farrah: We love Byron Sharp's book "How Brands Grow" because it challenges the assumptions and 'truths' that marketers hold dear. It breaks apart theories with facts and marketing science. We frequently incorporate the critical thinking of this book into engagements with our clients and into the way we look at the world we operate in. So when Hilary joined, she read the book. Here are her reflections.)
"How Brands Grow" author, Byron Sharp, breaks apart theories while providing fact-based examples. He challenges readers and offers a new framework for branding and marketing strategy. This investigation into topics including loyalty, acquiring new customers, discounting and customer relationships with brands vs categories brought to mind a simple example in my own life. Looking at my coffee consumption habits and behavior illustrates a few of the key takeaways from the book.
I started drinking coffee in college and my only requirements that it be strong and inexpensive. I happened upon Cafe Bustello my senior year in college in the grocery store - it looked so cheerful! It quickly became my morning drink.
Takeaway #1: Coffee brands enjoy a relatively high degree of 'loyalty.'
I moved to New York shortly after graduation. On my first trip to the grocery store, I grabbed Cafe Bustello. I didn't seek it out, but selected it without so much as glancing at my other options.
Takeaway #2: Prior usage and familiarity results in slight favorability towards a brand.
Cafe Bustello continued to as part of my morning routine. During my weekly grocery shopping I would automatically select it from the coffee isle. Five years later I continue to buy it and drink it.
Takeaway #3: Routine results in passionless brand loyalty.
Occasionally, when some other brand is on sale, I will buy that brand. I never think of branching out otherwise and promptly dismiss the idea of ever buying that brand again when the sale ends.
Takeaway #4: Acquiring new customers through discounts doesn't work.
Whenever Cafe Bustello is on sale, I buy an extra can or two - discounting Cafe Bustello steals the sales from the full price purchase that I would have made anyway.
Takeaway #5: Increasing sales through discounts doesn't work.
In college I chose coffee over energy drinks not Cafe Bustello over Red Bull.
My grocery lists include "coffee" not "Cafe Bustello."
Sometimes I think: "I wonder what this type of coffee on sale tastes like," Not "I wonder how LavAzza brand tastes."
If Cafe Bustello was no longer available to me, I would be annoyed, but experiment and pretty quickly adopt some other brand as "my coffee brand." However, If coffee was no longer available to me, I would be devastated and missing part of my identity.
Takeaway #6: Brand decisions are trivial compared to category decisions.
We've been trained as marketers, market researchers, and even as consumers to believe that clear differentiation, sampling programs, and great branding lead to customer loyalty and passion. That's not quite what's happening. It's important to know the difference.


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It's been a whirlwind few months for WA's Morgan Bain. As well as joining Drapht as keys player on his 'Seven Mirrors' national tour, and performing the much loved cover of "Frankie Sinatra" for Triple J's Like A Version, appearances at Vanfest and Castaway festivals, he also landed the national support slots for Brisbane singer-songwriter Robbie Miller and the incredible Dan Sultan.
Having just released a second track from his forthcoming EP "Hush" Morgan will be embarking on a national tour in support of the EP.
Death by Denim and Joshua Garner will be joining on the night.
Buy Tickets


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05 Oct 2017 07:22
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The purpose RC planes have less expensive models is because we now have the micro RC elements that permit for the reduce cost. Your purchasing decision should be primarily based not just on price but on flight overall performance, length of flight, and battery cost time.Already believed to be one of the toughest holes on the course, Rees Jones has added fifty yards to it just for this championship making it a true monster. The tee shot is fairly wide open up, but will usually perform into the wind. The green is shallow and firm, creating these lengthy method pictures extremely difficult. Par will look fantastic on anyone's scorecard.Hobby retailers assistance children to turn out to be highly focused with undivided attention. Having a pastime allows to appear at life in a various way. So inculcating hobby may assist you in later on life. Creating model trains, rc aeroplanes, really channelizes kids in considering, studying and making. 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For example, steer clear of utilizing the rc planes online for your Tv. When you want to switch channels, get up off the couch and walk the Television and change it there.There are a lot of great reasons why rc boats australia could boost your family members's enjoyable aspect! The radio managed boats are thrilling to use (who doesn't like to race?) and it is usually easy to find a waterway, pond or lake near you. That indicates that unlike remote manage airplanes, you don't have to appear very much to discover a appropriate location to perform. And, while you are on your outing, you can also enjoy the opportunity to fish, picnic, hike or swim. What a great way to appreciate both a small time with the children, or an entire working day!


text: Thank you, CVS Health, for supporting AWE's mission to create more diversity in corporate America. Together we can increase the number of women in corporate leadership and on boards to improve the global economy. CVS Health is a pharmacy innovation company helping people on their path to better health. Through their 7,800 retail pharmacies, more than 900 walk-in medical clinics, a leading pharmacy benefits manager with more than 65 million plan members, and expanding specialty pharmacy services, CVS Health enables people, businesses and communities to manage health in more affordable, effective ways.


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We're famous (kinda)!
This month our Executive Director, Tasha, was featured on a podcast with a local nutritionist, Frances Arnold of Namaste Nutrition. You can listen to the podcast here or on iTunes. They talked about pelvic floor physical therapy and how a PT can help those with pelvic floor dysfunction (and much more!). Please give it a listen, give it a review, and share!
Learn more about PT for pelvic floor dysfunction at our website or at the various links on Frances' podcast page. Thank you!


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Tiger Woods return to Los Angeles' annual PGA Tour stop after nearly a quarter-century's absence may be in jeopardy.
On Friday, he withdrew from the Dubai Desert Classic, citing back spasms as the reason. This follows an opening round of 77 in what would likely have been the second consecutive tournament for which he would miss the cut. Last week, he failed to advance to the third round at the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego.
Neither Woods nor his representatives have given any indication that he would not play in the Genesis Open on Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. Woods' foundation now runs the Genesis tournament and his charity benefits from it.
But, persistent back problems combined with his shaky play could be viewed as a harbinger of his participation.
"Tiger Woods went into a spasm in his lower back fairly late [Thursday] night, got treatment done early [Friday] morning for 3½ hours, but can't get it out," Woods' agent, Mark Steinberg, told the Associated Press. "He says it's not the nerve, but back spasms, and he can't get the spasms to calm down. He can move around, but he can't make a full rotation in his swing."
Steinberg, speaking with tigerwoods.com, indicated this was possibly a short-term problem.
"The fact that he feels that it's not the nerve pain, that's very encouraging for him," Steinberg said.
Still back problems are very unpredictable, including recovery time.
"Nobody knows [how fast a recovery he can make]," said Dr. David R. McAllister, chief of the sports medicine service at UCLA's Geffen School of Medicine. McAllister could only speak in a general sense because he has never examined Woods.
"It's day-to-day, week-to-week," he said. "One thing is he's a pretty tough competitor. Guys like him, if there is a chance he can play he will. But his body may not comply with his mind's wishes."
McAllister stressed that back problems are very common among golfers, even at the recreational level.
"Nobody knows how he's going to play," McAllister said of Woods. "I'm sure he'll try and get ready and play a practice round before he knows."
After his birdie-less first round in Dubai, Woods said he was fine, even though he appeared to be uncomfortable at times.
"I wasn't in pain at all. I was just trying to hit shots and I wasn't doing a very good job," Woods said.
Woods was upbeat when he met the media last week at a news conference to promote the Genesis Open.
He explained his absence from the L.A. tournament this way: "I've always loved playing Riv. I just never played it well. It's the only reason."
The optimism surrounding his return after nearly 18 months was soon replaced by reality when he shot an opening round 76 at Torrey Pines and followed it up with an even-par 72.
Woods seemed to have trouble hitting fairways and he was consistently missing putts that used to be routine. His short game, however, seemed to be fairly sharp.
After the Genesis tournament, Woods is also scheduled to compete in the Honda Classic, the start of the Florida stretch of the PGA Tour schedule. The Honda in Palm Beach Gardens is about 30 minutes from Woods' home on Jupiter Island.
9:35 a.m.: This article was updated throughout with staff reporting.
4:50 p.m.: This article has been updated with information about back injuries.
This article was originally published at 2:20 a.m.


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Recalling John F. Kennedy
One hundred years ago today, John F. Kennedy was born in Brookline, Massachusetts.
The Kennedy family has always called for Mr. Kennedy, the 35th United States President's birthday and certainly life, be recalled with more "vigor," (did not "Jack" say that word and so many others, so well.?!!) than his death, from a still, not certainly known assassin's bullets.
All of us are born and eventually die. However, precious few live and die the way John F. Kennedy did.
On this birthday, I will try to recall the accomplishments and the man, I admire so.
John F. Kennedy pictured above.
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Guest Blog: Peter Murphy – What Can You Say About Women?
The Top Shelf has teamed up with Pump Up Your Book to bring you Peter Murphy in month two of his promotional tour for Lagan Love! You can check out a trailer for the book by clicking here.
What Can You Say About Women?
By Peter Murphy
Since my first novel, Lagan Love, was published there is one question I have been asked a number of times: Was it difficult to write female characters?
I have often wondered at that. Is it because I am a man and therefore it is assumed that I would have difficulty in understanding women? Or is it because my female characters are so compelling that they engender amazement? I would prefer to think it was the latter but that would fan vanity and I have learned to be cautious about that.
I believe that good writers 'create' characters through observation. We meet all kinds of wonderful characters every day and, with a little bit of imagination, some of them can find their way onto the pages of a book. (This is another reason why we should behave ourselves with consideration for others because who wants to see their selfish, rude or indifferent, selves in public.)
However, most people would agree that men and women have difficulty in understanding each other. (I believe this is because women have a tendency to feel while men think or not think. This of course is a generality in lieu of a much longer discourse – perhaps the material for a future book!)Perhaps this is why we are inundated with one dimensional, or stereotypical, characters. Men in romance stories are too often cast in a mould; tall, dark, handsome, brooding or injured, but putty in the heroine's long slender, manicured fingers – the stuff of fantasies – not unlike the large-breasted females who wear their hair tightly-bunned and frown through thick framed glasses until some guy unlocks their sensuous butterfly with a kiss.
While all of this is delightful in its own place – much like having delicate French pastries for breakfast – it can be fattening to the mind. Many of the women I have known in my life are far more interesting and I consider myself lucky in being able to see that.
My mother set me straight from the beginning. She was raised by her father who was a senior police officer during Ireland's Civil War. He moved constantly so my mother was packed off to a convent school where she developed her brilliant mind. In the 1930's she went to University – a feat in any country at that time and remarkable in Ireland. How she met and married my father is another story but, after raising 6 boys single handed, she returned to her prime passion – intellectualism!
She ran with an interesting crowd too; one of Ireland's most prominent female novelists, Ireland's first female President and, for balance, two priests. One was a noted historian and the other a poet! What impressed me about all of this was how she could hold her own in any conversation. Nothing was beyond her and while my friends only got to see their mothers as cleaners, cooks and nursemaids, I saw mine as a power in the world.
From all of this I realised that women range from angels to succubi – if you believe in such things. They have all the complexities, virtues and vices, insecurities and assuredness, ambitions and considerations that you might associate with men – only for me, women are far more interesting.
Peter Murphy was born in Killarney where he spent his first three years before his family was deported to Dublin, the Strumpet City. Growing up in the verdant braes of Templeogue, Peter was schooled by the De La Salle brothers in Churchtown where he played rugby for 'The Wine and Gold'. He also played football (soccer) in secret!
After that, he graduated and studied the Humanities in Grogan's under the guidance of Scot's corner and the bar staff; Paddy, Tommy and Sean.
Murphy financed his education by working summers on the buildings sites of London in such places as Cricklewood, Camden Town and Kilburn.
Murphy also tramped the roads of Europe playing music and living without a care in the world. But his move to Canada changed all of that. He only came over for awhile – thirty years ago.
He took a day job and played music in the bars at night until the demands of family life intervened.
Having raised his children and packed them off to University, Murphy answered the long ignored internal voice and began to write.
He has no plans to make plans for the future and is happy to let things unfold as they do anyway.
LAGAN LOVE is his first novel.
You can visit his website at www.peterdamienmurphy.com or his blog at www.peterdamienmurphy.blogspot.com. Connect with him at Twitter at www.twitter.com/PeeloMurphy and Facebook at www.facebook.com/LaganLove.
Synopsis: If you know something about passion, and desire, and giving everything to live your dreams then leave your world behind for a while. Come with Janice to Dublin, in the mid nineteen-eighties when a better future beckoned and the past was restless, whispering in the shadows for the Old Ways. Janice has grown tired of her sheltered existence in Toronto and when Aidan leads her through the veils of the Celtic Twilight, she doesn't hesitate. In their love, Aidan, Dublin's rising poet, sees a chance for redemption and Janice sees a chance for recognition. Sinead tells her that it is all nonsense as she keeps her head down and her eyes fixed on her own prize – a place in Ireland's prospering future. She used to go out with Aidan, before he met Janice, so there is little she can say. And besides, she has enough to do as her parents are torn apart by the rumours of church scandals. But after a few nights in Grogan's, where Dublin's bohemians gather, or a day in Clonmacnoise among the ruins of Celtic Crosses, it won't matter as the ghosts of Aidan's mythologies take form and prey on the friends until everything is at risk. Lagan Love is a sensuous story of Love, Lust and Loss that will bring into question the cost we pay for our dreams.
Buy it now at:
Amazon ( Kindle ) | Barnes and Noble ( Nook )
Amazon ( Print ) | Barnes and Noble ( Print )


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Southern Suburbs (Portfolio C),
Communicare bachelor flat with sharing facility to rent in Mez Wallach, Lakeside
House – Southern Suburbs (Portfolio C)
Property Address:
Cnr Main Crofton & Brynn Road
Muizenberg, Cape Town
Situated above the main road 'in the heart of Lakeside' this beautiful complex is within walking distance of Lakeside Pick n Pay, Pharmacy, Woolworths and Lakeside Railway Station. It's close proximity to Zandvlei Estuary Nature Reserve is perfect for friends and family picnics or walks on the mountains.
Qualifying Criteria
• Rental R2112.00 pm ( including parking bay)
• Deposit required: R4084.00
• Minimum Income – R6000.00pm
• Permanently employed/ pensioners with additional income
• Clean credit record/not blacklisted
• Must not own any property or be receiving any state subsidy with respect to property
• Contract fee : R 200
• Garage: available at additional cost
Selection Criteria for senior accommodation
• Applicants between age 55 and 65 years who are officially retired or who are still economically active and have no dependants may apply for seniors' accommodation.
• Senior applicants will be subjected to an interview with a Social Development Officer and subject to the findings of the officer, a decision will be taken as to whether or not the applicant qualifies for accommodation.
• Senior applicants with an income of less than R1500 per month will have to provide Communicare with an undertaking by approved Surety. He/she/they would be responsible for the payment of the full monthly rent in terms of the lease agreement as well as all related costs should they default upon successful allocation of a unit.
• Senior applicants must be able to care for themselves as our facilities are not old age homes and do not have any sick bays.
• A medical certificate from a registered medical doctor as proof of the applicant's ability to live independently
To download application forms for the vacant units, please visit our website (www.communicare.co.za) and return it with the required documentations to email@example.com
If you have not received a response within 10 days of applying, please consider your application unsuccessful.
Available From: 01/05/2017
Security Features: Burglar Bars
Property Reference #: 209 Mez Wallach
Agent Details:
Portfolio C
5th Floor, Communciare Centre, 2 Roggebaai Square
Walter Sisulu Avenue, Foreshore
Cape Town


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You are here
Marunui Conservation
Marunui Conservation manages a 423ha property on the southern slopes of the Brynderwyn Hills near Mangawhai. The company was founded for conservation purposes and seeks to protect, enhance and celebrate the natural, historical, visual and recreational values of the land. The entire area is covered by a QE II National Trust open space covenant which includes the requirement to protect the indigenous flora and fauna in perpetuity.
Eighteen shareholders own the land in common. The company is guided by a Constitution which includes a Management Plan. Priorities for action are set out in a Conservation Working Plan and implemented by shareholders. Contractors are used for specific tasks such as cyanide baiting and a pool of volunteers is helping with general pest control and other conservation tasks.
Topography is steep, rising to 397m at Marunui Trig and includes the outlying Pa hill at 240m asl. A deep sheltered valley lies between these two features. Apart from a small grazed paddock and a few residual grass clearings, the entire property is forested. The southern slopes of the range and valley systems contain the more mature podocarp-hardwood forest and much of the remainder is regenerating kanuka shrubland and secondary forest. Pa hill has extensive areas of gumland vegetation. There are many deep gullies, streams and some small wetland areas.
Much of Marunui's forest is within DOC's Schedule of Sites of Biological Interest, identified as being of high national importance. It is part of the Brynderwyn Hills Forest Complex which extends for 15km from just west of SH1 to Bream Tail in the east. The Natural Areas of Waipu Ecological District (DOC 2007) records three threatened and eleven regionally significant plant species within this wider area and ten threatened and five regionally significant fauna. In 2011 the Auckland Botanical Society identified 216 indigenous vascular plants at Marunui.
Streams are well protected from erosion and siltation by forest cover and contain a healthy population of Hochstetter's frog, longfin eel and other representative aquatic species. Its diverse forest habitat is home to kaka, tomtit, bellbird, NZ Pigeon and fernbird as well as other more common species. Long tailed cuckoo are seen and heard during passage and shining cuckoo are present in the breeding season. Red-crowned kakariki are occasional visitors from the Hen and Chicken Islands off the Bream Bay coast.
In April 2013 fourteen Northland brown kiwi were translocated to Marunui from Motuora Island after being absent from the Brynderwyns for nearly 50 years. In 2014 another twenty two birds were released and then another seven in 2015. All came with transmitters which enabled them to be tracked and monitored. These were gradually removed, leaving just a few males with transmitters.
The birds quickly formed pairs and established territories. At least 25 nests have been monitored with most producing two chicks and it can be assumed that unmonitored nests are also productive. The other method used to determine population increase or decline is kiwi call monitoring. This is undertaken in Northland each year between set dates over 4 nights from 6pm to 8pm. Marunui has participated each year since 2014 and has recorded a steady increase in calls heard. There were 9 in 2014, 31 in 2015, 59 in 2016 and 81 in 2017. These results are very encouraging and the same listening stations are used each time.
Current activities
Kiwi management: and monitoring
Organising kiwi avoidance training for dogs to protect kiwi and promote responsible dog ownership
Carrying out animal pest control with the help of volunteers
Engaging with the community to expand volunteer support
Maintaining and extending the track network to provide access for pest control
Liaising with neighbouring landowners to encourage complementary animal pest control to improve their own biodiversity and support Marunui's efforts
Advocating for kiwi care and conservation in general through media releases and articles and by participating in RMA planning processes
Conducting walks in Marunui as part of the annual Mangawhai Walking Weekend
Enabling educational research projects, eg. seed dispersal, fungi for cancer research, stream ecology
Organising trapper training workshops to demonstrate traps, baits and techniques
QE II National Trust, Department of Conservation, Northland Kiwi Forum, Kiwis for Kiwi, NZ Landcare Trust, Northland Regional Council, Hancock Forest Management (NZ) Ltd, Te Uri O Hau Settlement Trust, Patuharakeke Te Iwi Trust Board, Ngatiwai Trust Board, Kaipara District Council, Mangawhai Tracks Charitable Trust, Auckland Botanical Society, Kiwi Coast