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text:
False Hope (or, how the Green movement leaders will insure the collapse of civilization)
A man walks down the street one night and as he passes under a street lamp he sees a man crawling around looking for something. After inquiring, and learning that the man has lost his car keys, he gets down on his hands and knees and begins to help. A moment later another person walks by and joins the search, and then another.
After many minutes with no success finding the missing keys, the first mans asks the person who lost the keys if they might have a better idea of exactly where the keys were lost. Well yeah, the person responds, I lost them down at the end of the block but there's no street light down there and it's too dark to see.
You've probably heard this little story before. It is commonly used to illustrate the tendency of many people to "take the easy way out" when faced with a difficult problem. Many people choose to search for an answer in the light, even when they know the solution lies in the dark.
Today mankind faces the most difficult problems that we have ever faced, and unfortunately, we are approaching these problems exactly like the person who lost his keys. Like the person under the street light who clearly understands his problem (his keys are lost), mankind also clearly understands the problems we are facing. We know that we are consuming the resources of our planet at an unsustainable rate. Left unabated, this overconsumption will eventually result in climate disruption, resource depletion (or exhaustion), food shortages, conflict, and ultimately the collapse of our civilization.
Every thoughtful person who understands what is happening knows that we need to make substantial changes in order to avoid these catastrophic consequences. We know we have serious problems. We know we have to find solutions.
And so, we have the Green movement. We are implored to use cloth grocery bags, drive hybrid cars, install florescent lights, build windmills, and on and on. We are told that these changes to our behavior will not only solve the problem, but will lead to energy independence and even prosperity - a true win-win solution to this looming catastrophe.
But in fact, the Green approach is exactly like the person who lost his keys - it is looking for the answer in the light when the solution can only be found in the dark.
Of course, we like looking for the solution in the light, it's easier and it makes us feel good. It makes great gobs of money for those who promote it. And it allows us to ignore the real problem - it allows us to avoid the "dark" - because we make ourselves believe that we are all working hard on a win-win Green solution that will solve all of our problems.
And perhaps the most insidious aspect of the story of the lost keys is that not only is the person who lost the keys looking in the wrong place, but that person has also gotten several concerned onlookers to give up their time and efforts to help look in the wrong place. These people are resources that could have been deployed to work on the real solution, but now are being wasted because they were misinformed by the person who had defined the problem to them.
And again, this is exactly what is happening with the Green movement. We are being told by important people - politicians, environmental groups, scientists, etc. - that we only need to look under the light to find the solution. So now, hundreds of millions of people are going "Green", crawling around under the street light, convinced that they are helping to find the keys to solving our overwhelming problems.
But the dark reality is this - changing our consumption habits cannot, by itself, solve the problem. Both the
United States and the world will increase in population by fifty percent over the next fifty years. Consequently, demand for everything will increase by a minimum of fifty percent. Understand this clearly - we will need fifty percent more food, fifty percent more fuel, water, clothing, shoes, and on and on. We will produce fifty percent more pollutants, sewage, greenhouse gasses and on and on and on. No reasonable amount of "Green" behavior changes could possibly compensate for this tsunami of demand generated by population growth. Just do the math. It's not possible.
So you see, the real solution can only be found in the "dark" - in the dark and forbidden topic of population
management. But because the Green movement leaders have encased those people who are forward thinking, thoughtful, and willing to help, in a cocoon of false hope, mankind optimistically heads to the abyss, unknowing or unwilling to face the dark choices that could actually save us.
Hope and false hope; a systems view
It is virtually impossible to isolate the concept of "hope" from the human condition. Hope is required to keep us going. It connects us from the present to the future, and without it we are lost, depressed, directionless. And because it is so essential to our well being, it can be easily exploited by those with an agenda that is outside of our personal lives. Think of the lottery.
Though, many lottery players would say that even the false hope of winning the lottery makes them feel good for a time. For only a few bucks they can buy a three day fantasy. Who are we to deny them that experience? The same could be said of the false hope many cancer victims create for themselves. While it may not be reality, it does more good than harm for them.
Hope is a good thing, and sometimes false hope is too. But when false hope negatively impacts those people around it, it needs to be called out. Think of the lottery again. If the person buying the tickets goes too far, spends too much, or begins to gamble in a way that impacts his/her family, someone from that family needs to stand up and help put a stop to it. The gambler's false hope is now doing more harm than good.
From a systems view, those people who are negatively impacted by the actions resulting from the faulty belief (the false hope) are considered to be a part of that system. Therefore, they are the ones who must take action. The rest of us, outside of their "system", are not affected, so we can stand aside.
Another example: many Christians believe that they will be moving on to a glorious heaven when they die. This grand hope in a miraculous future keeps them happy in a day-to-day existence that may not be quite as promising. Many non-believers see that as false hope - i.e., "it ain't gonna happen". But since the non-believers are outside of that system (Christianity), they can stand aside and let those with the false hope continue to believe - because it causes no serious problems for them.
But this is different. The system for the looming planetary catastrophes we are now facing includes all of us.There is no outside to go to. This false hope in a Green solution will end in disaster for all of us. Please understand that we are all in this together - this fact alone makes this a completely unique problem. And because of that fact, the false hope that is now being foisted upon us by the Green movement must be called out. Let's do that now.
The Grand High Priests of false hope - and perhaps the most dangerous men on Earth
While there are many priests in the Green movement, for now I'll identify three men as the grandest priests of all: Al Gore, Lester Brown and Fred Pearce. Fred Pearce is included only because of his recent book that somehow received wide publicity. The other two are obvious choices.
What they all have in common is their complete disregard of population growth as both a primary driver of our problems, and as a primary obstacle to finding solutions to our problems. This disregard is shameful at best, and if it were up to me, it would be criminal.
First let me lay out the undisputable facts of population growth. Here are the most recent mid-level projections for world population in the year 2050 from the world's three most respected sources:
United Nations 9.15 billion (and still growing after 2050)
United States Census Bureau 9.28 billion (and still growing after 2050)
Population Reference Bureau 9.48 billion (and still growing after 2050)
Three things are to be noted here for future reference in this essay: the population in 2050 will be well above 9 billion, the population in 2050 will still be growing by a substantial number for many years after 2050, and in most cases these population numbers have been revised upward over time. (Also note: I think these numbers are actually understated. You may read my essay that questions the assumptions in the U. N. projections
Grand High Priest Al Gore
This is hard. Al Gore is a hero to many, including me. But, just as in many family situations where it is possible to love and respect someone and yet have a responsibility to call them out when their behavior impacts others in a negative way, Mr. Gore's deliberate avoidance of presenting overpopulation as the main driver of our problems to his massive following obscures the reality of our critical situation for his millions of admirers.
Mr. Gore is of course, first and foremost a politician. So he knows how to avoid errors of "commission", and he knows how to mislead by simply committing errors of "omission" (the other two high priests are not that savvy).
In his books and his canned slide shows, he simply avoids any mention of population at all. But when pressed in an informal setting a few years ago - on the David Letterman show - he did deliberately mislead Letterman's audience of tens of millions. Letterman, a man who is surprisingly well informed and thoughtful on this issue of mankind's future, asked Gore if in fact the main cause of our problems was overpopulation, and that the continued growth in population might make it impossible for Gore's solutions to work.
Mr. Gore responded by saying that big progress was being made in reducing population growth, and that population would peak by mid-century at around 8 billion or so (please remember the figures for 2050 population stated above). He went so far as to say that reducing population growth rates was one of the great success stories of the last century. Essentially, he very clearly indicated to Letterman's massive audience that overpopulation and continued population growth is not something that anyone should worry about - as it would soon be solved.
Think of the incredible impact that this one short exchange between Letterman and Gore had on the mass of thoughtful people that were listening that night. These people don't have time to research the actual truth - the actual figures - so they blindly accept what Mr. Gore has told them, and dismiss any other information (in this case - the facts) that the small handful of population activists are trying desperately to get known.
Not only deceptive in the facts, Mr. Gore has now decided to carry that deception to our "attitudes". In his latest slide show, he spends a large portion of the presentation simply stating and repeating how incredibly optimistic he is in our ability to solve all of our dangerous problems. This is of course the politician speaking - he wants to please, and what better way to please then to tell everyone that "everything is going to be all right" - like telling your junkie son that there is no need to worry, you'll be just fine. This is, unfortunately, false hope carried to the extreme.
Vice-Grand High Priest Lester Brown
For those of you who don't know Mr. Brown, he is the head of the Earth Policy Institute, and even more well know as the author of the bestselling book series "Plan B x.0, mobilizing to save civilization". He is a well known and well respected writer, speaker and thinker on global environmental issues.
His latest book - Plan B 4.0 - should be on everyone's must read list. In Part I of that book (the first three chapters) he describes the challenges we face in a comprehensive and unflinching manner. No one can read those chapters and not be scared to death by the implications. It is the best summary of what is going on in our world right now available anywhere. Do yourself a favor and read it. Recommend it to everyone else you know.
Mr. Brown is not the politician that Mr. Gore is - so he is willing to propose specific Green solutions that can be scrutinized (if one has the time) for accuracy. But like Mr. Gore, he essentially ignores the overpopulation issue. He mentions the figures from the U.N. for the high, medium and low projections, then simply states that we must "strive for the low one" - as if this was a buffet where we can choose the size of the piece of pie that we want.
He goes on to praise (rightly so) the work of the Population Media Center, and extol again the need for better education for women and more access to contraceptives - all worthy goals. But he never states or indicates in any way that overpopulation is a primary driver, or the major obstacle for solving our problems. He does not establish a target for world population or a plan (even though this book is called Plan B 4.0) for reducing it.
And like Mr. Gore, he chooses in at least one case, to misstate the facts in order lead us to thinking that the population will be dropping soon and therefore implying that nothing needs to be done about it. He claims that fertility in the U. S. has dropped to below replacement levels and that U.S. population will be declining by mid-century.
In fact, fertility in the U.S. is not dropping but has been climbing slowly but steadily since the mid-1970s (I'll bet you didn't know that!) and is now roughly back at replacement levels. The U.S. census bureau projects U.S. population in 2050 to be at 439 million with annual growth after that time actually accelerating. By 2050, the U.S. will have added more people to the world than every other country except India - so much for the myth that only poor countries are growing fast.
In his book "Plan B 4.0 - Mobilizing To Save Civilization" Mr. Brown devotes a grand total of 4 pages to overpopulation and population growth - the biggest cause of our problems and the biggest obstacle to achieving the goals he espouses, that of saving civilization.
He does, however, get very specific (unlike Mr. Gore) about how we can solve our problems without having to deal with an ever increasing demand due to population growth. Simply summarized, his plan goes like this: first, through extensive efforts at conservation and better energy management, we can possibly keep energy demand flat over the next ten years (I'll give him that - it is possible) and then, in the same 10 years (2010 - 2020), we must deploy alternative energy sources with a "wartime" fury to the extent that it supplies more than half of our energy needs.
Let's do the math on his alternative energy claim and see if that is even remotely possible. As he states in his latest book: "At the heart of Plan B is a crash program to develop 3,000 gigawatts of wind generating capacity by 2020". He goes on to say that it would require the installation of 1.5 million wind turbines of 2 megawatts each (at 3 million dollars per turbine) during the next 10 years. To do this he proposes doubling the production and installation of wind turbines (from current levels) every 2 years until 2020.
So�yet another supposedly learned person falls under the umbrella of Albert Bartlett's famous claim that "the greatest failing of the human race is its inability to understand the exponential function". Understand the function please - the biggest problem with Mr. Brown's plan is that in the last two year period, an amount equal to all ofthe world's previously installed wind turbines combined must be built and deployed. In this case an astonishing 750,000 turbines at a cost of 2.25 trillion dollars! In 2 years! There is no conceivable way to produce that many turbines or that kind of money in a 2 year period.
And if you could - what would happen next? After building up an industry as big as any other industry in the world, what would happen to it? Would everybody be fired? But if it went on at just the same level for another two years, it would cost another 2.25 trillion dollars. Talk about an economic disaster.
And because the wind turbine deployment is, as Mr. Brown explicitly indicates, the "heart" of his overall plan, without its success the whole thing falls apart. Simply put, the plan is completely impossible. So once again, one of the leaders that we listen to and trust the most fosters false hope in the extreme.
Assistant Grand High Priest Fred Pearce
What to say about Mr. Pearce�well, at least he doesn't ignore the topic of overpopulation and population growth (as the other two High Priests have done). Instead, Mr. Pearce has
decided to take it on directly by claiming that it's not really happening!
He has recently published a book titled "The Coming Population Crash and Our Planet's Surprising Future", where he claims that population will soon be decreasing and therefore our problems will go away. Normally this brand of nonsense journalism doesn't deserve any serious attention, except that somehow Mr. Pearce's publisher and agent were able to get massive publicity for this unfortunate effort. I personally watched Mr. Pearce's appearances on CNN and the Jon Stewart Show.
It was interesting (and revealing) to note that neither Jon Stewart nor Christiane Amanpour (host of the CNN show) were armed with even the most basic facts of world population growth, and so they never questioned his preposterous assumptions. So once again, a TV audience of tens of millions was dramatically misinformed about the facts.
Let me summarize the main points Mr. Pearce's book.
For the first third of the book, he goes through the history of population-growth activism, from Malthus to Ehrlich. He basically labels each person in turn a "eugenicist" - i.e., implying that they were motivated by eliminating racial, ethnic, or class groups and not by simply reducing population. His wrath even falls on Margret Sanger (noted feminist and founder of Planned Parenthood) and Garret Hardin, famous for his iconic essay "The Tragedy of the Commons". Of Hardin, revered by many, Mr. Pearce simply states "I find many of his ideas abhorrent" (ideas including, I would add, "The Tragedy of the Commons").
He then travels the globe to interview a half-dozen or so women in exotic locals. Each (chosen specifically to bolster his position to be sure) expresses that they will be having fewer children than the norm for their country. From this comprehensive sample (of less then 10 women) he derives a trend - "women are having fewer babies!" This is essentially his mantra in the book and in his TV appearances. "It's good news - women are having fewer babies". He repeats this over and over.
Basic math is once again little understood by Mr. Pearce. Did you know, for instance, that you can have steadily declining rates of growth while at the same time actual growth is accelerating? If you understand this fact - good for you - Mr. Pearce clearly doesn't. So what if growth rates are declining - if the world population continues to grow at 75 to 80 million people each year as it is now, we will continue to have a looming catastrophe in our future. It is "actual" growth that counts - real people that consume real resources. Growth rates don't consume anything.
He then trots out the oft-repeated "rapid population decline" in Europe as further proof that population growth is no longer a problem. Once again, the facts tell a different story. According to the U.N.'s projections - Europe's total population in 2000 was 726 million. Population projections for 2050 are 691 million - yielding a drop of only 35 million. To put this in perspective, Brazil alone will grow by 44 million during the same time frame - more than compensating for that minor decline.
That's what is in the book. But even more notable is what's not in the book. You would expect that somewhere in a book titled "The Coming Population Crash" Mr. Pearce would provide a specific projection for population decline - i.e., actual numbers of people by a certain year. Not so - Mr. Pearce never gives us any actual projections. He never quantifies his fundamental claim that world population will crash in the near future. He never says by how much or when this will happen - except - in one sentence near the end of the book.
On page 247 of my copy, Mr. Pearce states: "Wolfgang Lutz of the Vienna Institute of Demography sees a peak as early as 2040, at closer to seven than eight billion, following (sic) by a strong downward slide to as low as five billion by 2100". This is the one and only world population projection in Mr. Pearce's book. And it is easy to see why he chose to use this projection (and to ignore the three prominent projections listed above) as it seems to prove his point.
However, since Mr. Lutz is indeed a prominent and respected demographer, this projection stated by Mr. Pearce seemed more than a little fishy to me. I contacted Mr. Lutz by email and asked him to comment on Mr. Pearce's statement about Mr. Lutz's projections. Here is Mr. Lutz's response (via email dated 10/21/2010): "What Fred Pearce seems to be referring to is the lowest 5 percent fractile of the uncertainty distribution. In other words, we see about a 5 percent chance that this statement is right and a 95 percent chance that world population growth will be higher than that. I had clarified this in a message to Fred Pearce some time ago. He now chose the somewhat ambivalent phrasing "WL ..sees .." which somehow implies to the reader that I would see it as the most likely future path, which is clearly wrong."
Understand that Mr. Lutz's projections are slightly different than the U. N. projections in that they are expressed as a continuum of probabilities as opposed to the three discreet (low, medium, and high) projections of the U. N.
For example, here is a statement from a presentation given in 2007 by Mr. Lutz: "There is a more than a 10 percent chance that the world population in 2100 will be smaller than it is today and an equal chance it could be more than 11 billion."
So, to make Mr. Lutz's projections an "apples to apples" comparison to the U. N. projections, one must take the mid range of his probability continuum. That figure is, again quoting the 2007 presentation:
"The probability that world population will peak during this century has increased marginally. The period during which the median of the projections reaches a peak (around 2070) and the level of this peak (around 9 billion people) remain virtually unchanged." (Note: he is referring here to his 2001 projections for the comparisons).
Therefore, Mr. Lutz's mid-projection of 9 billion, peaking in 2070, is actually right in line with the three projections stated earlier in this essay.
So let's look more closely at what Mr. Pearce has done here:
First, why has he ignored the readily available standard for population projections (the U.N.) along with the other two sources mentioned above? Obviously, it is because they contradict his basic premise. They all show continued massive population growth through 2050 with continued growth for some period thereafter.
Then why did he choose to use a projection from Mr. Lutz? I can only speculate, but it seems likely that he chose a more obscure source so as to make it difficult for others to refute. After all, he could have chosen to misrepresent the U. N. projections just as easily as he misrepresented Mr. Lutz's projections. Except that many more people would realize his misrepresentation because of their familiarity with the U. N. numbers.
It also seems that he had heard from Mr. Lutz about his misrepresentation before the publication of his book and yet chose to go ahead anyway. This makes it clear that Mr. Pearce cannot claim he made a "mistake" in reading Mr. Lutz's projections. Though it seems highly unlikely he could have made a mistake like that anyway, as he is certainly familiar with all of the other projections that show the 9 billion plus projection for 2050.
You can draw your own conclusions as to Mr. Pearce's actions and his motivations - though they seem clear to me.
So now the handful of people who have read this essay know the facts, but, unfortunately, the tens of millions of people who watched Mr. Pearce on TV have been left with the belief that overpopulation and population growth are not a problem. This is a tragedy. And I'm sure it will be compounded in the future as no doubt, people like Mr. Gore and Mr. Brown will quote Mr. Pearce's book often to make the same inaccurate point.
The Greater Good
Leaving Mr. Pearce aside, can't we at least forgive the other two because they are still doing great things with their exceptional efforts to curb consumption? If avoiding the toxic topic of population is necessary for them to continue to do a greater good, then isn't it excusable? I say no. The faulty premise in that argument is that they"must avoid the toxic topic" in order to do good.
They have the stage, they are the voices of change, they have massive audiences, and people trust them. For them to deceive us into thinking that we can sustain upwards of 9 billion people on this planet for the bulk of this coming century is dangerous in the extreme. It can't be done. And of course, the dirty little secret, the secret that virtually the entire well-informed and thoughtful activists in this sustainability arena all suspect - is that Mr. Brown and Mr. Gore most likely know the truth. They have just made the difficult choice of ignoring overpopulation because they fear the consequences to them if they began to speak about it openly.
And of course, I can see that that choice is a judgment call. They may be right. But in closing, let me say that not every prominent and influential person in this arena is afraid of raising the toxic issue of overpopulation. Here are some excerpts from a story in The Times London online, May 24th 2009.
"Some of America's leading billionaires have met secretly to consider how their wealth could be used to slow the growth of the world's population and speed up improvements in health and education.
The philanthropists who attended a summit convened on the initiative of Bill Gates, the Microsoft co-founder, discussed joining forces to overcome political and religious obstacles to change.
Described as the Good Club by one insider it included David Rockefeller Jr, the patriarch of America's wealthiest dynasty, Warren Buffett and George Soros, the financiers, Michael Bloomberg, the mayor of New York, and the media moguls Ted Turner and Oprah Winfrey.
Another guest said there was "nothing as crude as a vote" but a consensus emerged that they would back a strategy in which population growth would be tackled as a potentially disastrous environmental, social and industrial threat.
"This (overpopulation) is something so nightmarish that everyone in this group agreed it needs big-brain answers," said the guest. "They need to be independent of government agencies, which are unable to head off the disaster we all see looming.""
A strong statement, considering the group - Mr. Gore and Mr. Brown should, at a minimum, take note of the Good Club's courage.
If you are right, and the problem is overpopulation, then what can we do?
The real challenge for population activists comes after convincing the listener that overpopulation is in fact the main driver of our looming disasters. So what, the listener asks, what can you possibly do about it? And I will admit that mostly the answers have not been good. But let me try anyway, and in the spirit of Mr. Brown's plan, call this Plan P 1.0. The four points of the plan:
Stop the artificial "either/or" debate between population activists and environmental activists. Common sense says we have to do both. The looming disasters we all face can only be averted by a radical reduction of consumption to sustainable levels. Without returning to the Stone Age, sustainable levels of consumption simply can not be accomplished with an on-going population of over 9 billion. We must go Green aggressively and we must get smaller quickly. This could not be more obvious.
Point 2:
The High Priests need to visit the Wizard of Oz and ask for some courage. Mr. Gore, Mr. Brown, and the all other Priests-with-portfolio need to begin to speak openly and accurately about the role of overpopulation and continued population growth. In the long run, nothing good can come from their continued misrepresentation of our challenges to the large following of people who trust them.
Point 3:
In the spirit of Mr. Brown's passionate plea for a "wartime mobilization" of alternative energy, we could use a "wartime mobilization" increase in funding to the handful of organizations that are already trying hard to reduce population growth around the world. Increasing the contributions to these organizations by a factor of ten, would be a simple and painless way for the people of the "Good Club", and other wealthy Green activists to make a difference in population growth. See groups like
The Population Media Center
World Population Balance
, and
The Population Connection
to learn what they are doing and to contribute to their efforts. One way - immediately divert just one windmill's purchase price to these important organizations. Over the long run, three million dollars in their hands will reduce global carbon footprints by orders-of-magnitude more times than just one windmill.
Point 4:
Now, for the hard part - the real taboo topic - and that is the discussion and exploration of one-child policies. But before your mind slams shut on the idea of one-child policies, based on whatever pre-conception you have, give me one or two more sentences to explain. First, one-child-policies do not necessarily mean "coercion". Policies can include a range from simple promotion and support of volunteerism, to changing tax codes to stop giving tax benefits for having more children, to outright financial disincentives for having more than one child.
More importantly, there are likely other innovative, acceptable and yet unexplored ideas that could significantly reduce fertility levels. But the problem in the here and now, is that there is no place for exploring these ideas. The missing piece, in getting to a point where even a discussion of the possible approaches can happen, is that there is no organization that champions the cause. There is no governmental agency, and there is no NGO (non-governmental organization) that supports exploring and promoting the one-child proposition.
So - regarding point 4 - I believe that before anything significant can begin, someone somewhere needs to start a one-child NGO. (I've written a more extensive essay on this specific topic, read it
). Please open your mind to this possibility.
I suggest to you that these four points answer the question "What can be done?" in a practical, doable, and yet effective manner. It is at least a starting point.
The Conclusion
Contrary to the positive enthusiasm of Mr. Gore, and the so-called workable solution of Mr. Brown, and the outright denial of Mr. Pearce, the reality is that we, all of us, are now in very dangerous territory. We need to replace the false hope that these leaders use to promote their personal agendas with straight talk about our challenges and choices. Only then will mankind shake off its apathy and its comfortable belief that eventually everything will be just fine. Only when this false hope is crushed, will we finally face the difficult choices that we have to make.
As Derrick Jensen, in his beautiful and insightful essay
"Beyond Hope"
"When we stop hoping for external assistance, when we stop hoping that the awful situation we're in will somehow resolve itself, when we stop hoping the situation will somehow not get worse, then we are finally free - truly free - to honestly start working to resolve it. I would say that when hope dies, action begins."
I hope he's right.
False Hope
How the Green movment will ensure the collapse of civilization
Copyright "The Population Elephant" and Kurt Dahl 2009, 2010- All rights reserved.
You may contact The Population Elephant at firstname.lastname@example.com .
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Transforming Community
all your mind. This is the first and greatest commandment. And the second
is like it: Love your neighbor as yourself. All the Law and the Prophets
hang on these two commandments. (Matthew 22:37-40)
93 Bob Tollett Loop, P.O. Box 345 Crossville, TN 38555
"THE CHURCH" Synopsis: What is the Church? How is it (she) supposed to work? Who owns the Church? Who runs the church? What is the mission of the Church? These are but a few of the questions to be answered. The theme text is Ephesians 4:11-14. The nearly year-long study is upon the Epistle to the Romans, often looked at as the handbook of Christianity.
May 7th:
"The Victory of Grace Over Sin: Secure, Man of the Spirit"
Text: Romans 8:1-11
May 14th: "The Assurance of Victory: Children and Heirs"
Text: Romans 8:12-17
May 21st: "The Assurance of Victory: Our Inheritance"
"Future Glory, Not Tarnished Past"
Text: Romans 8:18-25
May 28th: "The Assurance of Victory: You Can Make It"
Text: Romans 8:26-30
June 4th: "The Assurance of Victory: God's Everlasting Love"
Text: Romans 8:31-39
June 11th: "The Agony and the Ecstasy of the Jewish People"
Text: Romans 9:1-5
June 18th: "The Distinction Between Ethnic & Spiritual Israel"
Text: Romans 9:6-29
June 25th: "God Lets You Choose…"
Text: Romans 9:30-10:4
July 2nd: "Christ Alone"
Text: Romans 10:4-13
July 9th: "Inexcusable"
Text: Romans 10:14-21
July 16th: "A Remnant Chosen by Grace"
Text: Romans 11:1-10
July 23rd: "The Olive Tree"
Text: Romans 11:11-24
July 30th: "God's Plan for Israel's Salvation"
Text: Romans 11:25-36
August 6th: "Grace Demands a Transformed Life"
Text: Romans 12:1-2
August 13th: "Gifts of Grace for Selfless Service, Part I"
Text: Romans 12:3-8
August 20th: "Gifts of Grace for Selfless Service, Part II"
Text: 1 Corinthians 121-11
August 27th: "Gifts of Grace for Selfless Service, Part III"
Text: 1 Corinthians 12:12-31
September 3rd: "Gifts of Grace for Selfless Service, Part IV"
Text: Ephesians 4:1-16
September 10th: "Gifts of Grace for Selfless Service, Part V"
Text: 1 Timothy 3; Titus 1:5-9
September 17th: "Mature Christianity"
Text: Romans 12:9-21
September 24th: "Submission to Authorities"
Text: Romans 13:1-7
October 1st: "What's Love Got to Do With It?"
Text: Romans 13:8-14
October 8th: "Be Careful…!"
Text: Romans 14:1-12
October 15th: "Unity – The Church Builder"
Text: Ephesians 4:1-16
October 22nd: "Be Sensitive to Others"
Text: Romans 14:13-23
October 25th: "Let Jesus Be Your Model"
Text: Romans 15:1-7
November 5th: "There is Only One Way"
Text: Romans 15:8-13
November 12th: "Stinky Sheep"
Text: Romans 15:14-21
November 19th: "Sharing the Burden"
Text: Romans 15:22-33
November 26th: "Hospitality"
Text: Romans 16:1-16
December 3rd: "The Church Killer"
Text: Romans 16:17-23; James 4; Titus 3:1-10
December 10th: "Doxology – Giving Thanks"
Text: Romans 16:25-27
December 17th: "Waiting for Christmas"
Text: Matthew 1-2; Luke 1-2
December 24th: Christmas Eve Candlelight Service "Christmas"
Text: Luke 2:1-21
December 31st: "What Tomorrow Brings"
Text: Matthew 6:25-34


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It is not always easy to find good quality children's clothing. Often times I find that clothing for children is not always good quality. I am always in search for some good quality children's clothing, both for everyday and for special occasions. Recently I was contacted about doing a review for Sophia Style I check the site. The clothing was beautiful, but It said Girls Clothes and had lots of adorable dresses. So I sadly emailed about being a mom to 2 boys. They responded to let me know they do have a boys section and would love for me to try something for my boys. So of course I said yes. Who wouldn't want cute clothing for their children.
As I looked over the website I kept finding myself look at the girl clothing. They do have a wider variety for girls. They are all so cute. I really was torn on getting something for my twin nieces. But as I looked at the formal clothing for boys I decided that Jayden could really use a nice outfit for his school concert. Every year he performs in a school music concert. The children are required to wear black dress pants and a long sleeve button up white shirt. So as I looked over the site I did find some great items for boys too.
I received a long sleeve white button up shirt with clip on tie, black dress pants, and a pair of school uniform shorts. When I received the package it was nicely packed. The quality of the clothing is really nice. The shirt fit great. The material is soft. The pants are of great quality and fit great. Well they are a little big, but I ordered them that way. He won't need them for the concert for a few weeks. The pants are easy to adjust. I love how handsome he looks.
The last item I received was a pair of school uniform shorts. Jayden's school is uniformed everyday. With it getting warmer outside he is in need of some good shorts. The shorts we received are of good quality. They fit Jayden great and look good.
Sophia Style has really adorable and good quality children's clothing. The prices are reasonable with some really great deals often. They do carry a very large selection of girls clothing. The boys section is not as large and I wish there was more to choose from. But they had exactly what I needed this time. I will keep them for any future purchases of formal wear for my boys and I may have to just get a few adorable dresses for my nieces next time too.
Coupon Code: SophiasStyle.com NANCYSFRIENDS to get 20% Off Regular and Sale items until 4/24/2015.
I was provided the above mentioned products in order to provide a review. I was not compensated in any way. All thoughts and opinions are my own and not influenced. disclosure


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A mystery at the Chichester Cemetery is solved by the Friends of Bedford Burying Ground
by Ray Hinkley
Finding a tombstone lying on the ground all by itself in a cemetery isn't much of a mystery, but when the death date is January 24, 1882 in a cemetery established in Bedford in 1883, you wonder where the stone belongs. Even though the Town of Bedford owns the cemetery now, it was originally the Pound Ridge Presbyterian Cemetery. The one-and-a-half-acre parcel had been donated to the church by David N. Chichester, according to Patrick Raftery, in his book, The Cemeteries of Westchester County. The question still remained as to where the tombstone of William Shephard belonged, and who he was?
Using recently discovered maps that had been commissioned by the Industrial Bureau of the town of Bedford in 1933 and Bedford Historical records, it was determined that the grave of William Shephard, aged 90, was in section 'C' grave #1. Using a compass and intuition we literally tripped over a footstone with the initials 'W.S.', and with a little digging found the broken base of his stone, and grave # C-2, the grave of an infant marked with field stones, the only two graves in section 'C'.
Section 'C' of the cemetery is at the North end and is heavily wooded with second growth trees. Whoever found his stone probably thought it belonged in another part of the cemetery, and moved it into the open. Checking on Google Earth, and putting in 'Old Corner Road 'in Bedford, N.Y. will give you a bird's eye view of the cemetery. However the real truth is that the north end of cemeteries were usually reserved for burials of unknowns, suicides, slaves, and indigents.
Using Ancestry.com we were able to find William Shephard in Pound Ridge, N.Y. from 1840 – 70 listed as a farmer. Unfortunately the census of 1880 lists him as an inmate of the Westchester County Alms House or "Poor House" in Mt. Pleasant, N.Y. He was there due to "Old Age and Destitution". Shephard died in 1882 and was returned to the Pound Ridge Presbyterian Cemetery for burial (now Chichester). William Shephard's stone has been repaired and restored to its original site.
William Shephard stone as found:
William Shepard stone now restored to its original location.


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Monday, 3 November 2014
The Gutsy Goose Review | Abi Street
12 comments
Oh this looks delicious!ReplyDelete
www.saltandchic.com // UK Fashion BlogReplies
It was amazing! xxDelete
Your meal looks so yummy, although I deffo would have eaten the Chorizo sausage and Hollandaise sauce! Shame about the service, it really can make or break a restaurantReplyDelete
The Velvet Black // UK Style & Beauty BlogReplies
It was lovely! Ooh I definitely wasn't too keen on them! I completely agree, it does make or break a restaurant xxDelete
This looks lovely! and really fancy too! Glad it was a good meal for you x xReplyDelete
It was quite fancy, but surprisingly so cheap! Thank you! xxDelete
looks really good!ReplyDelete
xx fameliquorlove // bloglovin // instagram // youtube
How delicious! The calamari looks so good! XReplyDelete
Angela | The Sunday ChapterReplies
It was amazing! xDelete
just one word: Delicious!!ReplyDelete


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Rescued Rescuers: Dachshunds and Friends of the Emerald Coast Chipin CLICK HERE
For Direct Donation Link for SmartPhones CLICK HERE.
To Donate directly on the charity's site CLICK HERE.
Please let them know it is a #Nipclub related donation so we can add that to our final total.
Please let them know it is a #Nipclub related donation so we can add that to our final total.
To read more about The Rescued Rescuers: Dachshunds and Friends of the Emeral Coast CLICK HERE.
#NipClub is always a place where everybody knows your name, and they're always glad you came. So pop on in and grab a drink, maybe share a dance, and enjoy our great selection of terrific noms!!! This week at our FIFTH THURSDAY PAWTY.Please drop any $ you can into the tip jar to help the dogs at The Rescued Rescuers: Dachshunds and Friends of the Emerald Coast. Every penny helps! Thanks!
Ice Blue Martini
|Blue Moon Belgian Beer
@MarioDaCat, @RealFakeGator & @TheNascarKitty's Home State favorite Pabst Blue Ribbon Beer
Blue corn tacos
Blue crab
Blue tea cupcakes
|Blue as the Moon ice cream
Blue puppy cake
@OllyTed blue macaroons
Even more fine Nomms
|Seafood Buffet
|Steak Lo Mein
|Rotisserie Chickens
|Steaks made to order
|Chicken with Garlic Sauce
|@TheNascarKitty's WISCONSIN Burger: Brat, Burger, Sauerkraut,
grilled onions, cheese curds & thousand island dressing
|Raspberry Baked Alaska
|Greek Lamb Gyros
|Chopped Greek Salad
|Bacon Wrapped Filet Mignon with Bleu Cheese
|Famous Chicago Hot Dog
|Barbeque Assortment Platter
|King Crab
|Fish and Chips
|Bacon Wrapped Corn on the Cob


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Do you ever wish you had more room to store your jewelry? Problem solved, for your bracelets and watches at least. At Craft A Doodle Doo, you can learn to make this beautiful DIY Bracelet and Watch Storage from Toilet Paper Tubes and other household items.Pin It
DIY Upcycled Jewlery Storage
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I can´t believe that I am not going to go out this friday´s night. But I haven´t got energy, I am have been on full this week and I have been thinking in going to the bed since this morning.
If you need sleap the best is do it. What´s the problem?
I hope you are having fun this night or doing something that make you happy, my Lady.
Remember I am proud of you and you are AWESOME.


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Organic Eye Lifting Serum 1 fl oz (30ml) (3-Pack)
Health Ranger Select Organic Eye Lifting Serum 1 fl oz (30ml) (3-Pack)
Best by date: Aug 31, 2019
Note: Our eye serum contains Citrus Limon (Lemon) Peel Extract and Phyllanthus emblica (Amla) Extract (Vitamin C) . If you have sensitive skin, or any dermatological issues, please check with your physician or dermatologist before using.
Aging is just another part of life, but we don't have to settle for looking older. Health Ranger Select Organic Eye Lifting Gel is a soothing, gentle remedy for tired, puffy-looking eyes.
Made in the USA and certified organic, our gel is lab certified for purity and made with only the finest, purest ingredients. It contains aloe combined with spirulina, rosemary, apricot, carrot, cucumber and rose flower extracts, making Health Ranger Select Organic Eye Lifting Gel magically rejuvenating and refreshingly natural.Our gel works to tighten and smooth skin underneath and around the eyes, flattening crow's feet and leaving you looking brighter, younger and more invigorated.
Explore More About Health Ranger Select Organic Eye Lifting Serum Now!
- USDA Organic
- GMO Guard
- Laboratory Verified
- China Free
Instructions: Apply 1-2 drops on cleansed skin and gently pat underneath and around each eye. Allow serum to penetrate.
- Aloe Barbadensis Leaf Juice*
- Leuconostoc/Radish Root Ferment Filtrate
- Xanthan Gum
- Alcohol*
- Glycerin*
- Lavandula Angustifolia (Lavender) Flower/Leaf/Stem Extract*
- Citrus Limon (Lemon) Peel Extract*
- Camellia Sinensis (Japanese Green Tea) Leaf Extract*
- Pyrus Malus (Apple) Fruit Extract*
- Spirulina Platensis (Sea Algae)Extract*
- Humulus Lupulus (Hops) Extract*
- Cucumis Sativus (Cucumber) Fruit Extract*
- Calendula Officinalis (Marigold) Flower Extract*
- Rosmarinus Officinalis (Rosemary) Leaf Extract,
- Rosa Centifolia (Rose) Flower Extract*
- Aesculus Hippocastanum (Horse Chestnut) Seed Extract*
- Prunus Armeniaca (Apricot) Fruit Extract*
- Daucus Carota Sativa (Carrot) Root Extract*
- Centella Asiatica (Asiatic Pennywort) Extract*
- Carum Petroselinum (Parsley) Extract*
- Euphrasia Officinalis (Eyebright) Extract*
- Phyllanthus emblica (Amla) Extract (Vitamin C)*
- Chamomilla recutita (Matricaria) Flower Extract
*Certified Organic
Country of Origin: Product of the USA
Low Heavy Metals Verified!
This product is verified A+++ according to the heavy metals standards published at www.LowHeavyMetalsVerified.org
This means the product has been tested via ICP-MS and confirmed to meet the limits for an A+++ rating as described at LowHeavyMetalsVerified.org.


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Stay up to date with our products and offers.
This is the first time that Bohinc explores a design favourite; the chair, produced by Matter of Stuff.
In the collection, Lara Bohinc develops her stellar themes, finding inspiration in planetary and lunar orbits, whose gravitationally curved trajectories drive the lines and shapes of the chairs. Constructed from thin square rod, the chairs are elegant, minimal and delicate. They are finished in galvanised steel and wool fabrics by Kvadrat.
The Solar Chair has an asymmetric frame and its reflecting circles suggest the rising and setting of the sun. It is constructed from playful lines that incorporates circles, half circles and squares.Shipping: Please note that for all furniture items we will email you a separate shipping quote as those items need crating and specialist shipping. Delivery times vary depending on the chosen level of service.
Estimated Production Time: 12 weeks


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Karlos Dansby is "about as good a linebacker as any I've coached," Texas Tech coach Tommy Tuberville said Saturday. And Tuberville, who was head coach at Auburn during Dansby's time there from 2000-03, has coached some good ones – particularly during his time as an assistant at the University of Miami from 1986-93.
Tuberville ticked off the names of some of the top Hurricanes' linebackers during that era — Ray Lewis, Micheal Barrow, Darren Smith and Jessie Armstead — and then zeroed in on Lewis, to whom he compared Dansby time and again.
"He's a lot like Ray in that he's got a lot of instinct and tremendous hand/eye coordination," he said. "He made a play for us in a bowl game that turned out to be ESPN's Play of the Year where he intercepted a pass while going out of bounds and threw it back in (to a teammate) before he hit the ground. He's just got all kinds of athletic ability."
Dansby, 28, became the newest Dolphin Friday when he agreed to terms on a five-year deal worth $43 million that will make him the NFL's highest-paid inside linebacker.
Tuberville said that like Lewis, Dansby struggled to keep his weight up while playing at Auburn, where he played at about 215. "I knew when his metabolism slowed down he'd fill out and be fine." Dansby, who stands 6-foot-4, now plays at 250.
He said it was a similar situation with Ray Lewis. "Ray was a safety and a quarterback when we recruited him out of Lakeland Kathleen." Dansby was a wide receiver in high school.
Tuberville said he first scouted Dansby at a basketball game in his hometown of Birmingham, Ala.
"He was a very good basketball player," he said. "He was just one of those guys – and this goes back to a lot of kids I coached – if he wanted to do it, he could get it done. He always had the athletic ability; you talk about explosion, he could jump out of sight. But the thing that sets him apart, like Ray, is his instincts. You'd put them out there and you didn't have to coach them a whole lot, because their instincts were right so much of the time."
Spoke with Reggie Torbor, a teammate of Dansby's at Auburn, earlier in the day and one thing he mentioned was that Dansby was the type of guy who could go 15-20 plays without making a big impact and then do something spectacular. Tuberville agreed with that assessment.
"The thing about Karlos is he's very deceptive," he said. "It doesn't seem like he's even around the ball and then, boom, all of a sudden he's there."
Tuberville said the Dolphins could play either inside or outside at linebacker and even line him up elsewhere.
"At 250 he can play inside, outside, defensive end," he said. "If I was coaching him I'd have him line up all over the place."
A third member of that Auburn team now with the Dolphins was Ronnie Brown, who shared backfield duties with Cadillac Williams, Rudy Johnson and Brandon Jacobs.
"I've got a bunch of guys down there in Miami now," Tuberville said. "Maybe they owe me a check."


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Our services range from strategy development to technical support. We will help your company to evolve, learn and grow.
BIM Strategy
We offer advisory and delivery services on BIM implementation and strategic support, such as framework setting and assisting in the set up, and adoption of construction technology systems and new digital processes which will allow your business to perform more efficiently and effectively. We help define what the BIM strategy is in line with other organisational wide policies and the overarching business planning.
These services include:
- We will guide and support you through the BIM adoption process.
- We will appoint a member of the team as the Client Representative supporting the client to determine their requirements (BIM specific).
- Organisation-wide BIM and Digital Engineering implementation.
- Creation of key documentation to support a BIM project (in line with PAS 1192-3 and ISO 55000).
- We help you to define Asset Management policies and principles.
- We support on the implementation of BIM standards such as PAS 1192-2 & 3 (and others).
Project Management
Our service delivery team are project management specialists, trained in supporting in-house teams and supply chains. They support Digital Node as needed in complex BIM process and management techniques. We understand differing regional and geographical requirements, having delivered large, complex projects throughout the global.
These services include:
- Role(s) of Information Manager, BIM Co-ordinator and Technical Advisor.
- Project Manage the BIM process by supporting the client and client team in delivering data drops and information deliverables.
- Support in project requirements (PAS 1192-2) as needed (BEP Planning, LOD, Procurement).
- Project Technical set up and implementation (Software).
- Project/Asset Information Modelling when required.
- 3D Laser Scanning Specialists.
Skills, Training & Education
Our expert training and education services provide essential BIM knowledge and skills needed to support business growth. We work with clients across the globe to provide their workforce with the capabilities to deliver BIM and incorporate Digital Engineering processes in their projects. This not only includes authoring our own content, but supporting other education providers globally to align to consistent methodologies when it comes to BIM education.
These services include:
- Authoring BIM and Digital Engineering content.
- Bespoke in-house BIM Management and Co-ordination Training.
- BIM Processes and Information Management Training.
- PAS 192-2 & 3 Training.
- Standards Training.
- Our own courses.
Technical Training
Technical skills and expertise are essential to support the implementation of BIM and Digital Engineering processes. We are expert providers of BIM technology training, from understanding and perfecting software to model creating and interpretation. This includes simple modelling exercises to advanced technology applications, regardless of what the project scale or size is.
These services include Software workflow and process training in products such as:
- Autodesk® Revit
- Autodesk® Navisworks®
- Autoesk ReCap
- Autodesk Infraworks
- Autodesk BIM 360 Training
- Scan to BIM Training
- IFC and COBie Training


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ComeOn! is an exciting online casino that has nailed down the combination of design and usability. After years of playing online casinos with square boxes and dull colors, this online casino presents a well-matched color scheme, smart layout and a high level of user friendly features.
In this day and age, simplicity no longer advocates dull and boring. The advantage is in the new-age technology, giving this casino the ability to simplify everything. If you often play in online casino's, then you know that we usually have to put our funds into one main account, then transfer the money from the main account to one casino account (and sometimes across multiple accounts if the casino has a lot of games). After some research, we found out that ComeOn! was the first casino to launch what they call "Single Wallet" functionality, where you have one balance for everything you play on the site. Impressive!
The more we visited, the more the ComeOn! casino grew on us and has became our favorite, today. This casino does not have a 10-year history like some, however the great design, superfast payments and very kind support has won us over for good.
Casino Review
The casino lobby is very rich with content and they have managed to keep it intuitive and simple. The main thing that you see when you arrive is the short list that features new as well as popular games. Overall, the casino features well over 300 games and we have now stopped counting! The ComeOn! casino features games from four different game providers which are:
NetEntertainment, Microgaming, Sheriff Gaming and the somewhat unknown CTXM games.
The reason they have so many games (and providers), is so they can offer a combination of the most popular games in one place, rather than multiple online casino's. Games like Mega Fortune, Gonzo's Quest along with Thunderstruck II and Mega Moolah are hugely popular, however not always found all in one casino. Very smart choice, bringing together the best games and best Jackpots, all under one roof.
Since ComeOn! online casino host so many different game providers, they are constantly launching new games and since joining, it is fair to say they have new games every week or every other week. Another thing we find as an advantage of having so many different games, is that they offer a wide selection of Black Jack and Roulette, the classic games that we like to play the most at CasinoBird.com.
The casino lobby is slick, with everything at your fingertips. If you take a bonus, you can see the progress of your wagering requirements at all times in the player panel that is present while you are logged in, brilliant!
The games are nicely divided into categories and each game has a nice visible thumbnail that shows the gameplay preview when you hover over it with your mouse. We love this – you know what to expect without loading the game. This is a nice plus considering that the casino lobby features over 300 games.
We find ComeOn! to be ahead of other casinos when you look at all the details that make them stand out from the other well-established veterans.
Stand-Out Feature(s)
There are many things that makes ComeOn! stand out and we will try and cover them all.
The first thing (almost ridiculous to mention) that we noticed is how easy the software is to use. One would think that this is a common goal for all online casinos, but unfortunately it is not. The language on the site is very simple and easy, calling it "No Shakespeare" policy.
We have already mentioned that ComeOn! was first to introduce a functional single wallet, so with minimal explanation, you only have one balance/account for everything you play on the site – no painful transfers between accounts and bonus limitations.
One thing that surprised us, is when you take the welcome bonus, you play 50% with real money and 50% with bonus money. This means that when you win, 50% of the winnings are real money and the wagering requirements are only imposed on the bonus money, not on the total amount won. This is very generous as compared to other online offers.
To top the bonus features off with a sweet, red cherry, you can use one bonus across all casino games and even sports betting if you fancy to place some bets there, too. This is something we have never seen before as you usually have one bonus limited to only one set of games and it takes forever to clear it.
The casino lobby features game icons with video previews of the games, this is something we have not seen before and is a neat little feature.
There are many loyalty programs out there but the ComeOn!'s program stands out by the fact that you get points no matter what you do; you get points even for withdrawing money! Clearly, playing with ComeOn! pays!
Now, hold onto your seat for this one – at ComeOn! you can upload your identity documents in advance and get clearance to withdraw before you even request a withdrawal. We were really impressed with this because upon winning some money, the withdrawal was in our account only minutes after the request. We have never experienced a faster payout. BIG kudos to ComeOn! for this feature. Overall, the payments are very fast and it really shows that their team is professional and well organised.
There are many small features that you will discover by yourself, however we have covered this biggest points in this review.
Casino Offer(s)
- 10 Free Spins on Jack Hammer
- 100% Welcome Bonus
- Poker 110% up to $600 Welcome Bonus
- Reload Bonuses vary based on your activity and can be 20% to 50% and on amounts up to €500
- Pick your own lotteries in the ComeOn! Shop
- Pick your own bonuses in the ComeOn! Shop
Please see the ComeOn! website or contact the ComeOn! customer support for the most accurate information as these offers are constantly updated.
Payment Options
Besides fast payments, ComeOn! features a healty choice of payments. There is an impressive range of local payments.
- Cards: Visa, MasterCard, Verified by Visa, Visa Electron, Entropay, Fundsend, Maestro, Diners, DK.
- Instant Bank transfers for most countries via providers like Euteller, InstantBank, Poli, Webmoney, Sofort.
- E-Wallets: Skrill powered by Moneybookers, NETeller, Click2Pay, Speedcard, Ewire.
- Prepaid cards: Ukash, Paysafecard.
- Fast Bank Transfer is also available for banks that do not support Instant Bank transfers.
It is worth mentioning that Comeon! does not accept players from Turkey, France, USA and Curacao but are on the USA friendly Cake poker network for their poker.
Loyalty/Reward Program
ComeOn! features a points system where you earn points by simply being active on their site. The ComeOn! Points are used in the ComeOn! Shop where players can buy lottery tickets, free money bonuses, reload bonuses, and ComeOn! merchandise. Players are awarded initial points for simply registering with ComeOn!. After that, points are awarded for almost everything you do on the site. For example, you may obtain ComeOn! points by performing any of the following actions:
- Daily Login: you get 25 points when you login at least once a day.
- Full Registration: switching your account from basic to full registration will earn you 200 points.
- Mobile number verification: verifying your first mobile number will earn you 500 loyalty points.
- Email verification: 100 Points are awarded when you verify your first email address.
- Sending documents: you are awarded 1000 points when you send ID documents, for example a photocopy of your ID. (1000 points are awarded for each approved document)
- Deposit: 500 points are awarded for every €100 deposit made.
- First withdrawal: 1000 points are awarded upon your first withdrawal from your account.
The points system is the Comeon! Loyalty program. They do not currently feature the VIP program openly on their site, but they are known to treat VIP players with surprise gifts, special bonuses and dedicated support and payments agents.
Product Descriptions
So far we have only been talking about the Casino and it is time to mention that ComeOn! features a powerful sports betting section where they offer a wide range of Live betting and in markets and sport leagues that we have never even heard about before.
The poker boasts many exciting tournaments and there are always lots of players, playing for real money and for fun. The navigation is easy and there is also a complete loyalty program within the poker itself! While you play, you collect points and achieve Gold Cards that can be used to get into expensive tournaments.
Customer Service
Considering that our expectations were overmatched around the site, we thought that the support must also be well trained so we took them for a test spin
We ended up with a new-hire customer support agent who has been there for 4 weeks. Regardless, the girl still had answers to all the basic questions and got the answers for all the complex traps we put on her by talking to her colleagues. She did well, and she was extremely friendly, it was actually a pleasure chatting with her. She told us that she has not worked in Customer Support before and that she got basic training from the staff to teach her all she needed to know. At ComeOn! they hire primarily by personality more so than experience in Customer Service – new approach, but it works like a charm.
The support is offered 24/7 in English, Swedish and Norwegian and other languages like Finnish, Dutch, Spanish and Polish are offered during local business hours. Support can be reached via chat, email and they will instantly call you back by leaving your number on their site – to save you money on the call.
The Word – ComeOn! support gets an A+.


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|Cooperative Research Units
Education, Research And Technical Assistance For Managing Our Natural Resources
Home |
Intranet |
Digital Measures |
|Cooperative Research Units
Education, Research And Technical Assistance For Managing Our Natural Resources
Home |
Intranet |
Digital Measures |
July 2012 - June 2016
Secretive marsh birds (SMB) encompass a group of wetland dependent birds including rails, bitterns and moorhens. Extensive wetland habitat loss throughout the United States is believed to have contributed to the subsequent decrease in geographic range of many SMB species. In addition, SMB are generally inconspicuous and tend to inhabit wetlands with robust, perennial vegetation making them difficult to detect. Overall, limited distributions combined with low detection probability have resulted in SMBs being among the least studied avian groups and for most species there is limited information on population levels, breeding ecology, migration patterns and overall habitat requirements.
Wetland managers make repeated decisions that vary spatially and temporally as they attempt to ensure their management actions result in a diversity of habitat types and water depths to provide for the life history needs of wetland-dependent wildlife. Missouri's wetland managers focus on emulating system processes to provide suitable conditions to fulfill the life history needs of the full suite of waterfowl and other wetland-dependent wildlife. Ensuring these conditions necessitates that managers consider landscape setting, the types and magnitude of alterations to these settings, timing of bird movements, water distribution, and habitat distribution. Decisions regarding the timing and location of management actions are often driven by knowledge gained through observations and experience. A primary assumption of wetland management in Missouri is that wetlands managed for the full suite of waterfowl species will also provide essential habitat for many species of wetland-dependent wildlife to fulfill their life history needs, including SMBs. While studies of wetlands along the Missouri River provided some evidence to support this assumption in regards to shorebirds and wading birds, there are integral gaps in our knowledge of how SMB respond to the vegetative and habitat conditions resulting when wetlands are managed primarily for migrating waterfowl.
Federal Staff: 95
Masters Students: 239
Phd Students: 143
Post Docs: 53
University Staff: 239
Students graduated: 701
Scientific Publications: 1949
Presentations: 4261


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Does the "13 Function in One Pen" Actually Function? - Product Review
I'm a huge fan of multi-tools. I'm not sure why. Perhaps it has to do with the whiz-bang neat-o aspect of having a real life James Bond gadget in my hand.
Such is the case with the 13 Function in One Pen.
At first glance it looks like a plain ol' ink pen.
And it is. But it is so much more. Each of those silver bands is a cylinder joint. Unscrew these and you get this:
The inventory is as follows (from left to right):
1 ear pick/top knob
1 top ring
1 tweezers/fork/shirt clip
1 cylinder containing two saw blades, 1 file
1 cylinder joint/phillips head screwdriver/flathead screwdriver
1 cylinder containing three short carving blades
1 cylinder joint/hole puncher/wire sleeve remover
1 cylinder containing three long cutting blades
1 ink pen cartridge
1 bottom ring
1 top knob
That's quite a lot of hardware packed into a normal sized pen. How does it all fit?
As you can see the to knob doubles as an ear pick (ewwww... I'll get to that shortly). This sort of double-duty is utilized throughout the pen's design, with the cylinders operating as handles for various screwdrivers, hole punches, etc. The shirt clip goes into triple duty, acting also as a fork and a set of tweezers.
Where this device excels in terms of storage is in the cylinders themselves.
Each cylinder contains three ultra-thin sleeves. Each sleeve holds one blade. The two long cylinders contain the longer blades (saw and cutting blades). The shorter, middle cylinder holds the short carving blades.
The knobs and rings located at the top and bottom of the pen act as holders for these blades. Just picture an X-Acto Knife and you've got the right idea.
So, how well does this little whopper work?
Let's examine the most obvious feature first. As a pen, it works very well. It's nicely weighted, and the ink flows freely. It clips nicely into my shirt pocket as well.
But when you take it apart to use another feature, there's nowhere to store the ink cartridge; it is simply too long to put in one of the cylinders. This is just a minor detail, however.
When it comes to the other tools... well, it's a mixed bag.
The short carving blades and long cutting blades fit nicely into the slotted knobs. This little suckers are damned sharp, so you have to be careful inserting them. And they cut quite well through paper and cardboard. I was initially afraid that they would be too slim and bend too much to be effective, but such was not the case.
Though that issue is exactly what rendered the little saw blades as nearly useless. Inserting these into the knobs was a bit more difficult because they are thicker than the knife blades. But not thick enough. In trying to cut through all sorts of materials (string, wicker, wood, paper, and cardboard), these little blades were simply to thin and constantly bent and curved away from the cut.
The file works very well... just like any file in a pocketknife.
Then you have the screwdrivers, hole punch, and wire sleeve remover. I used the screwdrivers to replace some batteries and putz around with my broken (but now repaired) PSP. They worked great!
While I was hesitant to tap the hole punch with a hammer, it still managed to poke a hole through an old belt of mine (I've lost a little weight recently...).
I didn't get a chance to mess with the wire sleeve remover yet, though I'll soon be doing some audio wiring around the house... It supposedly doubles as a small nail remover...
I've also not yet used the fork tool... as a fork, that is. I did use it as tweezers and it worked quite well.
And lastly, let me address the ear pick.
Um... there's no way in hell I'm gonna stick something like that in my ear. I have a hard enough time doing that with Q-Tips. This thing looks like a little torture device. Maybe it's just me...
Due to the small size of the blades, they can be somewhat difficult to deal with. Some of them (particularly the small blades) slide right out of the sleeves and are easy to lose. It takes a little practice to hold the pen in the proper direction to keep things from flying out.
At other times some of the blades would stick in the sleeves-particularly the saw blades. This is where the tweezers came in handy.
I'm happy to say that these are minor problems, most of which can be attributed to "user error." My only real complaint has to do with the saw blades. These are simply too thin to be of any use. Everything else worked really well.
At a cost of $12 to $15, I can say that the 13 Function in One Pen is an excellent little tool for minor repair work. This little sucker would make a great stocking stuffer or last minute gift-and it actually works... except for the saw.
Get your 13 Function in One Pen at Amazon!
Note: The writer and/or the site may have received free samples or some other type of remuneration or benefit for trying out, reviewing, recommending or writing about the items covered in this article.
by Anonymous
Med Techs
Fire Dept
Must use in Iron Man 3 or new 007 movie.


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You really don't want your fingers turning into icicles and the snowman shuffle through work is not a great look. What you need is a loving pair of paw warmers, then you can get on with the important things - minus the shivering.
Made from 3 layer Artex technology, the Showers Pass Crosspoint Cycling Gloves provide a waterproof barrier against wet weather, wind shield to prevent the chill blowing through and all-round breathability, so your hands don't pass out in there.
Designed for a trim fit, these women's specific gloves have strategically placed padding and silicone grip on the palm and fingers to ensure you can ride just as confident and as comfortable as you would without them. A glasses wipe, AKA the nose wipe, is featured on the thumb and reflective logo sits on the front for day and low light visibility.
Size Guide
Unsure where to measure? Search through the images above and you will find the measurement guide.
Tech Spec
- 3 layer Artex technology
- Women's specific fit
- Waterproof
- Windproof
- Breathable
- NOT seam sealed
- Silicone grip on fingers
- Strategically placed padding on palm
- Reflective logo
- Glasses wipe on thumb/ snot rag
- Snug fit
Who's Behind It?
Back in 2010, our founders Liz and Phil found themselves in a bike shop in Seattle whiling away a wet afternoon. They were part way through a year long trip, dodging rain because Liz hadn't yet found a decent waterproof.
And then it happened. She fell into a Showers Pass waterproof jacket that fitted both her and her pocket, and promised to keep her dry and comfortable through the worst that the American North West could throw at her. That jacket became Liz's favourite piece of kit and is still in use to this day.
From Day 1 of VeloVixen, we've been waiting for the moment we could stock Showers Pass. In 2013 they expanded into the UK, setting up home in South Shields. They're slowly developing a small network of hand-picked retailers, never wanting to jeopardise the fantastic repution they've built up in the USA.
Based in Oregon, USA, Showers Pass was born from the desire to develop clothing and gear to get more people out on their bikes, no matter the weather.
Inspired by the challenging rides and variable conditions of Northern California and the Pacific Northwest, Showers Pass continue to combine high performance materials with innovative functional design for cyclists, just as they have since 1997. Best known for their exceptional waterproof-breathable outerwear, they aim to help racers, commuters, messengers and the everyday cycling enthusiasts power through the elements.
Complete the Look
See more like this...
2 customer reviews
Happy-day glovesReview by Melanie
The little reflective motto 'showers pass' caught my eye, which is something worth remembering even when you're off the bike :) I'm yet to test these in the coldest of weather, though warm and windproof for city commutes. Another happy little detail is the bright yellow gusset on the wrist-adjustment straps.
Great glovesReview by Bicycling Midwife
I have very small hands. They also get cold easily. These gloves have worked well for me in all but the coldest weather.( below 40f)I Bicycle commute so this is important. I find they can get a bit sticky to remove and get back on if my hands get sweaty but in terms of warmth & comfort, I'm quite pleased.
Write Your Own Review
Unit 28, Wheatley Business Park, Old London Road, Wheatley, Oxford OX33 1XW // firstname.lastname@example.com // +44 (0) 1302 249 323


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The department filed an application before Chief Judicial Magistrate B H Kapadia, seeking to proclaim Nirav Modi as absconder under the Code of Criminal Procedure after he failed to respond to an arrest warrant issued by the court in July.
Public prosecutor Nayan Sukhadwala said that a case for alleged customs duty evasion has been registered against Nirav Modi by the central excise commissioner's office.
Nirav Modi's firm had imported rough and unpolished diamonds under a government scheme, whereby import duties were waived if the material was meant for export after processing.
The firm was expected to export these high-value imported diamonds after value addition such as cutting and polishing.
Nirav Modi allegedly sold the diamonds in domestic market in Surat, thus evading the import duties.
He exported low-quality diamonds to the US, Dubai and other countries, passing them off as the processed high-quality diamonds which he had imported, according to the case filed against him under the Customs Act.
In March, the Mumbai branch of the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence had also registered a case against Nirav Modi and his firm located in the Surat Special Economic Zone in the same matter, accusing them of evading customs duty of Rs 52 crore.
Nirav Modi, accused of cheating Punjab National Bank of USD 2 billion in a scam involving Letters Of Undertaking, fled the country in January this year.
The magistrate's court is expected to hear the customs department's application next week.


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We chose this cruise primarily because we wanted to go to the Canaries at this time of year before it became too hot. The weather was just right and the Bay of Biscay was calm in both directions. Unfortunately we were not so happy with the ... Read More
We chose this cruise primarily because we wanted to go to the Canaries at this time of year before it became too hot. The weather was just right and the Bay of Biscay was calm in both directions. Unfortunately we were not so happy with the quality of the service on the Balmoral where it seemed that with the exception of the entertainment staff, the rest appeared to be working to suit themselves rather than the guests on board. We were very concerned after one incident when we discovered on returning to our suite that a glass shelf in the bathroom was mission but that there were pieces of glass on the bathroom floor and on the surfaces around the basin and on the bedroom carpet. It was 11.50pm when we discovered this and immediately telephoned reception who sent a lad to vacuum up the glass. We kept some of the pieces and sent them with a note to the Hotel manager the next morning as we were very concerned. It appeared that a member of staff had broken the shelf but nobody from management had come to see if the area was safe for us and there was no note left to warn us of any danger. We queried what safety procedures there were for dealing with such incidents. All we got back from the Hotel manager was a small note scribbled on a card and pushed under our door. No member of the management team came to see us in person. We do not consider this good customer care. Had either of us been diabetic and cut our foot on the splinters or pieces of glass, they would have had to call out an air ambulance in the middle of the night. We also had to inform reception that we were getting engine fumes through our air conditioning. It was so bad in the room at 7am that we had to get up and hold the balcony door open to air it but as soon as we closed it, the fumes built up again. There was no engine smell outside on the balcony which gave us to think that the air con system was being contaminated by an outlet from the engines. We put the balcony door on the latch to keep the fresh air circulating and went to report it at reception on our way out. Later we found a note from an engineer which said that the reason for the fumes was because we had left the door on the latch. At that point we gave up in utter despair! Two days later when the Balcony door was closed all day, we returned to our suite late in the afternoon after a tour to find that the air con had pulled in strong paint smells, but we decided that it wasn't worth telling reception. However it was clear that the air con had been drawing in fumes from elsewhere so we kept both doors open for a while to air the room. There is a distinct lack of care on this ship compared to that we have experienced with other cruise companies. At mealtimes, the staff were always in a hurry to clear plates from under our noses, often before we had finished the last mouthful. They always appeared to be trying to hurry us up. This is the third cruise lines that we have been on and the first where we have encountered any problems. This is a great pity as the entertainment on board was excellent as were the excursions that we went on at each port and we made friends with a large number of other travellers. However the incident with the broken glass has put us off travelling with the Fred Olsen company in future. Read Less
Sail Date April 2014


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How the fuck are there still segregated proms? (Not officially school proms, but they're private proms. I'm guessing there aren't official ones so they won't have to be integrated)
Mareshia and her friends bucked 40 years of local customs this month by organizing their own integrated prom, a formal dance open to Wilcox County's white, black, Latino and Asian high school students. Organizers, both black and white, said they lost friends in the process -- a grim experience in the waning weeks of the school year. It's been hard on the rest of their hometown, too.


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10/6/2016 0 Comments
Dan & Andrea : Lakeside bliss
If you've never been to Hope, Idaho...I highly recommend you take the drive. It's stunningly beautiful. Hope is a small town on Lake Pend Oreille, and Dan and Andrea chose to say their vows at Beyond Hope Resort lakeside. We took photos before the ceremony at the equally gorgeous Clark Fork Lodge about 15 minutes away, and with the stunning backdrop of orchard, mountains and pond. Oh! And the owner of the resort parked his beautiful car on the lawn for our pleasure. It couldn't have been a more beautiful evening for the wedding, complete with gorgeous sunset. Just lovely.
Kelcey Boyce
Taking photos is just one of the ways I can express my creativity and appreciation for unique beauty. I am a visual person, and I truly enjoy opening my eyes and capturing life. It is all art, and I revel in its creation. This is where I post my inspirations, ideas and overall brainstorms that fuel my creativity.
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How we grew from 15 to 1,500 staff
When we first started our staffing agency in 2014, we were managing around only 20 staff members. We decided to start using Ubeya as our employee management software in 2016. Very quickly, we saw that we were able to afford to recruit more people and, using the software, we grew our employee base exponentially. Today, we're managing more than 1,500 active employees and still growing.
Ethan, CEO @Friends ManPower
Ethan, CEO @Friends ManPower


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Pin It Now!
(Picture from the NYTimes)
I love to peruse Bloglovin just to see what's new out there and I came across this post from http://abeautifulmess.typepad.com. The recipe itself for home made bubble tea seems fine, but the author claims that this is a "thai" drink "recently popular." Really this is not the case. This is not a Thai drink, it did not originate in Thailand. I actually did not see this drink anywhere I went when I was in Thailand about 2 years ago. Bubble tea is of Taiwanese decent served in little cafes. There are even Taiwanese chains that have expanded to the US serving bubble tea, namely Ten Ren.
I'd say it's been popular for about 10 years now with new incarnations incorporating jelly, pudding and other pretty standard Taiwanese dessert ingredients.
I know Thailand, Taiwan, they sound very similar, but are two completely different countries. And do I expect normal people to know this? Actually yes, I do. It irritates me that people don't know the difference and it becomes like a sickness spreading to more people not knowing that Thailand and Taiwan are two different countries.
I did leave a comment as I saw someone else did too about the origins of bubble tea, but my comment conveniently never got posted. I can't say if it's a computer glitch or not. But at least correct your original entry!!! And not spread the ignorance!!
It's small and I shouldn't bash people, but incorrect facts annoy me, especially when they can be easily corrected.
I'm actually not a huge fan of bubble tea, I prefer jelly and my favorite flavor is taro.


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This segment includes kits for pathogenic bacteria, viruses, protozoa and parasites.
qPCR is the fastest and most accurate way to screen water and food for pathogens. Prime Pro qPCR reagents also facilitate speciation and allergen detection. Labeling of genetically modified organisms is now mandatory in many regions, including the European Union. To guarantee consumer choice between GM and non-GM products, screening of samples is performed by PCR amplification of regulatory sequences frequently introduced into genetically modified organisms. Cauliflower mosaic virus is commonly used as a means of GM detection.
Veterinary and agriculture kits are a fast growing part of the Prime Pro qPCR reagent range,
currently addressing many challenges in the environment.
qPCR is the best method for rapid detection of harmful biological agents such as ebola, anthrax and cholera.


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Project Description
If you are a car enthusiast and own a Maserati, Ferrari, Jaguar or Land Rover, there is only one place in metro Atlanta that you should take your car for service and that is Enzo's Automotive. Enzo has been servicing these vehicles since 1979.
Darwin Studios used WordPress to develop this site. Enzo was looking for a nice clean and professional look to reflect the level of service they provide to their high end customers. They needed a front end website to inform potential customers why they should choose Enzo's and provide enough confidence that they were the right company.
Visit Enzo's Automotive website