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Even the dumbest person in the room would know that that is not the entire scenarios available or the available outcomes. Even in my "biased piece below", at least I have the decency to look at all the possibilities.
Nomura has painted three potential election scenarios and their impacts on the economy.
The first scenario is that the ruling coalition will win a smaller majority of 120-124 seats out of 222. BN currently holds 137 seats. The second scenario is that the number of seats won by the opposition and the ruling coalition are marginally less than 120 seats, which would likely be an accelerated ousting of the prime minister. Nomura said within this 20% probability, there is a small chance of the election leading to a hung parliament. The final scenario is that the ruling coalition winning around 125 to 130 seats. But Nomura said this outcome looks unlikely unless there is an unexpected fall in support for the opposition.
Three fucking scenarios ONLY??? Its a fucking coin toss, the last elections popular vote is like 49-51, and you fucking give only 3 scenarios??? Why don't you just say it out loud ... that you cannot make any comment on the other 2 possibilities, no matter HOW REMOTE they may be, only then can you say it is from a fucking research house!!! (the other two possibilities: PR wins by small majority, and PR wins by more than 10 seats majority). Why the self censorship, is there something you cannot say, ... its like predicting the recent US elections and you only give Obama winning by less than 2%, 5% or 10% ... asif the Republicans never existed. I know your hands are tied and you depend on the flows of IB deals but seriously, if you cannot comment or choose not to comment on the other side of the coin .... then don't fucking print the research idiots. It makes a mockery of the so call research piece.
Another one, just received from Morgan Stanley, the big US house, from the land of the purveyor and global sheriff of the maintenance and prevalence of democracy ... they also gave 3 fucking scenarios ONLY ... sigh, long live the USA ... OR come out with a note that says that you think there is a ZERO chance of Pakatan winning the elections and see how many legs you have to stand on.
I am sure we all understand the self censorship part, I would understand but not condone it, if it came from a local house ... but from a foreign house it smacks of something smelly.
#3: Election Scenarios and macro implications
Scenario 1:
BN Parliamentary seat share > 63%
Positive surprise for investors
Scenario 2:
High 50% < BN Parliamentary seat share < 63%
Scenario 3:
BN Parliamentary seat share < mid 50%
(To be fair to Morgan Stanley, they did a decent policy comparison between the two parties without really saying too much one way or the other. The snaps attached below are from MS).
The Edge/Sun Daily: Nomura Economics Research said the upcoming general election (GE), which is likely to be held on a weekend between April 6 and 20, 2013, could make or break its relatively positive economic outlook on Malaysia.
"Our baseline scenario is for the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) to win, but by a smaller majority of 120-124 seats, which is lower than what we had previously penciled in, partly because recent surveys show an emboldened and well-organised opposition," said Nomura in its "Asia Special Report: Southeast Asia" dated March 6, 2013.
"This raises uncertainty over whether there would be an orderly transition of power, whether Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Abdul Razak remains in power and whether the much-needed economic reforms can continue," it added.
Nomura has painted three potential election scenarios and their impacts on the economy.
The first scenario is that the ruling coalition will win a smaller majority of 120-124 seats out of 222. BN currently holds 137 seats.
"Although there is scope for some relief on this baseline result because a small minority of the market sees the opposition actually winning the election, we believe this will be short-lived owing to the immediate implications of a small majority.
"A simple majority in parliament calling a no-confidence vote could emerge when parliament convenes for its first session 60 days after the election. This would raise political and economic uncertainty," said Nomura.
The second scenario is that the number of seats won by the opposition and the ruling coalition are marginally less than 120 seats, which would likely be an accelerated ousting of the prime minister.
Nomura said within this 20% probability, there is a small chance of the election leading to a hung parliament.
"The risk of such an outcome includes policy paralysis, potential protests, calls for a recount or even an annulment of the election results, which can be called within three weeks of the election announcement," said Nomura.
Risk of a no-confidence vote from the opposition on the prime minister will also be even greater, while internal party pressure could also lead to a change in Umno leadership.
"Currently, Deputy Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin is seen as a potential replacement for Najib and viewed by the market as somewhat hard-line. This change could emerge earlier than the planned October/November 2013 party elections.
"With the negative political backdrop and economic risks, as well as possible delays in investment projects, these could lead to a sovereign rating downgrade," the research firm said.
But Nomura said this outcome looks unlikely unless there is an unexpected fall in support for the opposition.
"(However, if it does happen,) the pressure on Najib to step down on this outcome would be significantly reduced and economic policy continuity will likely be maintained."
Nomura believes that increased political and economic concerns if the opposition gains power could be overstated as there may not actually be any major policy changes.
"The opposition has a common objective and is likely to initially focus on governance issues (which could lead to slower government investment), keeping key government staff in place such as the central bank governor and heads of key state companies, consolidate the civil service, before focusing on the direction of economic policy," it said.
I've looked at the problem myself, and for the life of me, I can't figure out how anybody can make an objective forecast of GE13, much less tease out the probability distribution of outcomes.
We are nowhere near being able to replicate basic electoral prediction methodologies, much less aggregate them as e.g. Nate Silver did recently for the US presidential election.
Problem 1: The overall Malaysian electoral sample size (across time) is too small, both for votes and seats.
Problem 2: The sample size for the predictors normally used (opinion polls, quarterly economic data) is even smaller - small enough that a regression estimate can't be generated, which is a precondition for estimating the probability distribution of outcomes.
Problem 3: GE12 may represent a structural break from the past, but that can't be determined statistically until confirmed by results of GE13.
A time series analytical approach can handle the first two statistical issues, and predicts a BN victory with well above a two thirds majority (point estimate) but with a sample error so large as to make any forecast worthless (I suspect this is due to problem 3).
I don't understand how Nomura or MS or BIMB can predict such tight probability outcomes given these constraints. There's nothing in the scenario analysis methodology that allows you to estimate the probability distribution. Scenario analysis is more of an ...if...then... decision tool, not a forecasting methodology per se.
In short, i don't think self censorship has much to do with this, rather everyone's just pissing in the dark. You're absolutely right - nobody should be publishing research on this, because its too damaging to their credibility.


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Getting into some good tech this week as Rick is joined by Dr. Erika Angle and Scott Tindal of Ixcela.
Like physical fitness, the fitness of your gut microbiome is critical to your overall health and wellness. Ixcela worked with ORACLE TEAM USA to improve internal health.
Ixcela was co-founded by Drs. Erika Ebbel Angle and Wayne Matson with a group of outstanding scientists (see the biographies of our amazing co-workers). All of us had developed technologies and methods for the study of a range of diseases for diagnosis, predictive diagnostic risk factors and specification of therapy (personalized medicine). Tindal is the Head Nutritionist at Ixcela. Dr. Angle Angle is a renowned biochemist, former Miss America competitor, founder of gut health start up, Ixcela, and also the wife of iRobot co-founder, Colin Angle.
After deep analysis of the complex biochemical profiles for over 1000 compounds in several thousand subjects, it became clear to us that the microbiome (the some 6-10,000 species in the gut – second largest organ in the body) was a critical part of the biochemical web distinguishing normal from disease subjects. Understanding these webs could also allow the prediction of therapeutic response. Additionally, the biochemistry of the microbiome had direct links to the function of other organs including the brain.
This led us beyond the ideas of diagnosis and therapy to the concept of promoting biochemical wellness ("internal health") through measurement and control of the microbiome with specific, personalized intervention based on testing.
This year, Dr. Erika and Ixcela collaborated with TEAM ORACLE USA in preparation for this year's America's cup, the gold standard of competitive sailing. Erika and her team provided the defending champions individualized gut therapy that dramatically increased availability and performance on the water. It worked for these world-renowned athletes and now Erika is bringing the same internal fitness solutions to the rest of the world.
The Boston Business Journal selected Erika as one of the "40 Under 40″ business and civic leaders who are making a major impact in their respective fields in the Boston area. Selected by L'Oreal Paris as a Woman of Worth for her work, Erika has been featured on Lifetime TV and Nova Science Now on "The Secret Lives of Scientists and Engineers." A biochemist with degrees from BU and MIT, Erika is extremely passionate and generally very inspiring.
This week, they join Rick.

subset: commoncrawl


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The SEMA Data Co-op video library provides educational resources that offer instruction in our industry's data standards. This material was developed to introduce new users to the industry standards and refine the knowledge of seasoned data experts. Whatever your level of expertise, you will find valuable content here.
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SDC PIMS Video #2
PIMS: What is it?
SDC PIMS Video #3
PIMS: Getting Started
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SDC Direct Connect
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Converting your export into Excel
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A great introduction to learning the differences in completeness and quality when it comes to data and how to have both. Learn where to focus your efforts to help your data receivers sell more parts and what SDC tools are available to help you succeed.
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After a relatively strong posting run, I went away again! Well, not away away — I wish! — just blog away. Work has been busy (and getting more so), but one of the main reasons I've been posting so infrequently is that I've been knitting! Yes, knitting. It was all rather spur of the moment, but I decided to pick up knitting again. Or start knitting. Maybe somewhere in between, given that the last time I tried knitting was in ninth or tenth grade, and I had to relearn. It's been fun, but time-consuming. Those hats, scarves, etc. don't knit themselves, and I'm still a slow knitter who needs to stare at my knitting so I don't make any mistakes. You know what they don't tell you when you start knitting (or maybe they do and I just never paid attention or had anyone to tell me)? Knitting gets expensive! Yarn gets expensive, with skeins going for upwards of $40! No wonder cashmere scarves cost so much money.
So far, I've knitted a scarf (which will be officially "finished" once I get over my laziness and wet-block it) and completed a hat, which I am really am quite proud of! It was a lot easier than I thought it would be, even with double pointed needles. I was very close to completing my second hat when I noticed a mistake, and in an attempt to correct it, I've made about three more. What I really need to do is learn how to correct my own mistakes. I think that will save me a lot of stress and trouble going forward.
Photo by Taking of Toast of the selection at Purl Soho


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RSA 2010: How long are you going to wait to find out about a security breach?
David Spark here reporting for Tripwire at the 2010 RSA Conference in San Francisco.
In conversation with Dan Schoenbaum, COO of Tripwire, we discussed the common problem of people trying to understand the volume of data they're trying to manage. Since it takes so long for most enterprises to sift through their data, it's not uncommon for people to not find out about a breach, such as the costly Heartland Data Breach, which compromised more than 650 financial institutions, after a few days, months, or years after they happen.
Schoenbaum explained that with Tripwire, their customers are getting greater insight into their data, allowing them to find data breaches much faster.
Check out more of Tripwire's coverage from the 2010 RSA Conference in San Francisco.


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NEW YORK, June 12 (Reuters) - Verizon Wireless is revamping its prices with new service plans that include unlimited calls and texts and the ability for customers to share their data allowance among multiple devices as it looks to shake up the U.S. wireless industry.
The biggest U.S. mobile operator is hoping to entice customers to connect more gadgets like tablet computers to its network with the new plans as customers will be able avoid paying separate data subscriptions for each device.
Verizon Wireless is a venture of Verizon Communications and Vodafone Group Plc.
The revamp, which Verizon Wireless has been considering for more than a year, is aimed at helping Verizon's top line as an increase in connected devices would mean more revenue. Some analysts expect rivals to begin offering similar plans.
Today most consumers do not choose tablets with cellular connections as they prefer to stick to more limited range Wi-Fi wireless networks rather than pay a second cellular data fee.
And while some consumers spend less time on the phone and send fewer text message, they are rapidly increasing their data usage, according to service providers.
As a result, the biggest U.S. operators have been increasing their data prices even as they've lowered traditional phone call prices.
While Verizon's new offer involves a higher fee per gigabyte of data, Verizon hopes that the inclusion of unlimited voice and texting and the shared data element would help make the plans popular with consumers.
"What I'm doing is giving you the flexibility to share the data you've paid for," Chief Marketing Officer Tami Erwin told Reuters. "Customers who are using more than one device will very quickly see the value in this."
Today, for example, a customer might have to pay extra for going over their data usage allowance even though they may not have used their full allowance for their smartphone. With a shared plan this would not be an issue, Erwin said.
"This is really intended to drive growth. My expectation is it doesn't change our margins," she said.
Recon Analytics analyst Roger Entner said he expects Verizon's biggest rival AT&T Inc to follow with a rival offering very shortly and that other rivals will eventually add shared data plans. AT&T has said recently that it would look at providing shared plans.
Under Verizon's new plans, available starting June 28, a smartphone customer would pay a monthly access fee of $40 that includes unlimited calls and texts, and a fee of $60 for two gigabytes of data, which could be shared with up to 10 devices.
Each additional device requires another access tariff such as a $10 fee for a tablet or a $20 fee for a laptop.
Today Verizon customers pay $30 for 2 gigabytes of data and $40 for the cheapest voice plan with 450 minutes of talk time and another $20 for unlimited text messages. But if a customer also wants to connect a tablet computer today they have to pay another $30 a month for another 2 gigabytes plan, leading to a total bill of $120 per month.
For a customer who needs a combined data allowance of 4 gigabytes for their tablet and their smartphone, the total fee, including voice, would still be $120 under the new plan.
On average Verizon Wireless customers use about 1 to 2 gigabytes of data on their mobile device, according to Erwin who said that customers' data usage keeps growing. She declined to comment on the trends for voice usage.
Verizon Wireless customers will be able to choose to stick with the existing service plans but any new customers will be required to sign up for the shared plans from June 28 onward, even if they do not intend to connect a second device.
Recon Analytics' Entner said that the new plans were a good deal for heavy data users. It will appeal to the top 20 percent of mobile users as they could potentially save money while many customers who are less interested in data usage may end up sticking with their current data plans.
"This is for the technorati who have multiple devices," Entner said. But he noted that it could also be especially helpful for families where data and voice usage varies hugely between different people in the family.


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About Us
The Apostolic Church, United Kingdom
First formed in 1916 as a result of the 1904 Welsh revival, the Apostolic Church is a Trinitarian, Pentecostal Movement with a strong commitment to mission. We have established Apostolic movements in over 90 countries, many of whom are self-governing.
Within the UK the Apostolic Church is represented by approximately 90 churches. Our national conference is held annually in Cheltenham, Gloucester and has visitors from several countries attending.
Should you require further information about the Apostolic Church, or our doctrinal distinctives, please contact us.
During the Welsh Revival in 1904 – 1905, over one hundred thousand people were converted. Many of them called themselves the "Children of the Revival." One such group held meetings in a house in Penygroes, Llanelli, U.K. In February 1910 they opened a building called 'The Evangelical Church', Penygroes. During the Revival some had experienced speaking in tongues and prophecy. In the new church these manifestations of the gifts of the Holy Spirit began to be heard more frequently.
A miner Mr. D.P. Williams (1882-1947) began to attend some of the services. He had been converted in the Revival on 25 December 1904 when Mr. Evan Roberts, the Revivalist, laid his hands on him. He became a well known preacher in the Independent (Congregational) chapels in and around Penygroes and was baptised in the Holy Spirit in 1909.
This experience brought him to a time of decision. He decided to leave the Independents and joined the Evangelical Church in 1910. He was baptised in water and shortly after that visited Pastor W.O. Hutchinson's Emmanuel Mission Hall in Bournemouth where he and a friend were greatly blessed.
The Apostolic Church is constituted as a charitable trust registered with the Charity Commission in May 1961 under charity number 284789. It is governed by a deed of trust last updated in May 2008.
The governance and management structure of the Church operates at three levels:
- National
- Regional
- Local Church
The Ascension Ministries Council (AMC); is the ultimate policy-making organ of the Church. This body, made up of ministerial staff from every region, meet in May each year to make decisions concerning the Movement. This includes a important decisions with regards to the call of God in the lives of men as pastors; as well as those who are appointed to serve on various committees, including the National Leadership Team (NLT). Finance Board, Overseas Board and Convention Committee. It handles matters of doctrine.
In between Council, NLT members who double up as trustees provide spiritual oversight and direction for the Movement. The trustees who are apostles within the church are elected by the other apostles to serve a six year term. Under the constitution, election to the NLT is open only to apostles.
Guidelines for belief
The following are some practical guidelines intended to assist believers live out what they believe in practical ways.
1. A personal Testimony of your Salvation in Christ. In other words: You need to be a born again Christian, and know Jesus as your Saviour and Lord
2. Your acknowledgement of and obedience to the Order and Officers of the Church; Apostles, Pastors, Elders and Deacons. In other words: Respect those in leadership. It should be easy to respect them. If not, tell them in the right attitude and in the right place.
3. Your presence in the Meetings of the Church and abidance in full Communion; that is, not to absent yourself more than three times from Communion without sufficient reason given for your absence. In other words: Be committed to the church; 'luke warm' commitment is no good to God or to the Church.
4. Your conformity with the fundamental Doctrines of the Church, as well as with the two Ordinances, namely Baptism by Immersion and the Lord's Supper. In other words: Follow the teachings of the church.
5. That you contribute towards the support of the Cause, as taught unto us in the Word of God. In other words: Be willing to play your part, be a partaker and not a spectator.
6. That you keep the counsels of the Church within the Church. In other words: Don't blabber church business wherever you go. Gossip never did any good.
7. That you pray for and help every member, remembering that we are joint members in the Body of Christ. In other words: Live out your Christianity, practice what we preach.
8. "Endeavouring to keep the unity of the Spirit in the bond of peace." In other words: We don't need people who cause division, but work for unity. Dividers cause trouble; "uniters" bring peace.
The following eleven statements were developed by early Apostolic Church leaders and remain as key points of belief, expressing in simple and systematic terms, what the Apostolic Church holds to as sound Biblical truth.
1. The one true and living God who eternally exists in three persons in unity: Father, Son and Holy Spirit.
2. The inherent corruptness of man through the Fall; The necessity of repentance and regeneration by grace and through faith in Christ alone and the eternal separation from God of the finally unrepentant.
3. The Virgin birth, sinless life, atoning death, triumphant resurrection, ascension and continuing intercession of our Lord Jesus Christ; His second coming and millennial reign upon earth.
4. The Justification and sanctification of believers through the finished work of Christ.
5. The baptism of the Holy spirit for believers with supernatural signs, empowering the church for its mission in the world.
6. The gifts of the Holy Spirit for the building up of the Church and ministry to the world.
7. The Sacraments of Baptism by immersion and of the Lord's Supper
8. The divine inspiration and authority of the Holy Scriptures.
9. Christ's leadership of the Church through apostles, prophets, evangelists, pastors, teachers, elders and deacons, for unity, maturity and growth of the church.
10. The security of the believer as he remains in Christ
11. The privilege and responsibility of bringing tithes and offerings to the Lord.


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Not new to each other, Italian luxury brand Marni and Japanese premium luggage maker Porter have teamed up for the 8th time for Spring 2017. Once again the two worked on an extensive range of accessories, merging Porter's premium luggage heritage with Marni's unmistakable pattern-making and matching of colors. The outcome is a beautiful range of bags and smaller pouches, featuring a unique yellow/olive/black Marni pattern across the entire upper. Look out for the release of the collection from select retailers in the coming weeks.
Related Shopping Tips


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Inquiring minds: What does "dyslipidemia" mean?
Each week the staff at the Roseville Library answers more than 2,500 questions on every subject under the sun. Here are some of the most interesting ones they've gotten lately.
Q. What does "dyslipidemia" mean? My doctor is warning me about it.
A. Dyslipidemia refers to an abnormal amount of cholesterol and/or fat in the blood. In western societies with our fat and salt-laden diets, that usually means that a person has hyperlipidemia or too much "bad" or low-density cholesterol or fatty acids like triglycerides. Your doctor can advise you whether you need medication in addition to making lifestyle changes in diet and exercise.
("Current Medical Diagnosis and Treatment" and online resources.)
Do you have a question for the staff at the Roseville Library? You can call them at 628-6803 or ask your question in person at the Information Desk, Roseville Library, 2180 Hamline Ave. Library hours are 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Monday through Thursday; 10 a.m. to 5 p.m. on Friday and Saturday; and 1 to 5 p.m. on Sunday.


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Many independent research providers claim to be conflict free, but they really aren't. Independent research has always been at the heart of CFRA's business model. We do not provide investment advisory services or manage portfolios because we don't want to compete with our clients. Instead, we've always made it our mission to supply them with the best quality, forward-focused research.
As an independent and objective research provider, CFRA has the courage and integrity to call it like we see it on "Sell" ratings, without the influence of banking and trading relationships.
CFRA is one of the world's largest independent research providers, but we're still able to provide you with individualized help and support. We're flexible enough to be able to integrate with your internal or external research reporting platforms.
See Why CFRA's Approach is Better.
John is Vice President of Equity Research. He joined CFRA in April 2019. He is responsible for fundamental equity research and analysis covering several segments within the Information Technology and Communication Services sectors, including enterprise software and SaaS/cloud providers, Internet advertising/social media platforms, and game developers.
Prior to joining CFRA, John co-founded Samadhi Capital Partners, an investment advisor and equity research firm where he developed an investment process and framework targeted at tech sector equities, with a particular emphasis on gauging the impact of and identifying the long-term winners from artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, neural networks, and related developments categorized under the larger "cognification of software" mega-trend. Before his entrepreneurial stint, he served as Senior Analyst and Portfolio Manager at Sands Capital Management, responsible for the firm's investments within the tech sector.
John began his career in equity research with an independent equity research firm, Precursor, where he was ranked as the top analyst covering network equipment stocks among independent research firms. He also spent the first dozen years of his career in various roles within the tech industry. During this time, he published dozens of white papers and research reports on topics ranging from network processors, Virtual LAN (VLAN) technology, and the historical evolution of enterprise application architecture.
John graduated from Harvard University with a BA in East Asian Studies.
Matthew is Vice President of Equity Research at CFRA. He is responsible for providing differentiated and actionable research and recommendations on equities in the Materials and Industrials sectors. Matthew's areas of focus include: metals & mining, construction materials, containers & packaging, and building products. Matthew previously held the position of Industry/Equity Analyst at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Matthew joined CFRA in 2016 and S&P Global in 2014, after working on the buy-side as an Equity Analyst at London Capital Management in London, Canada, where he covered North American stocks in the Energy and Consumer Staples sectors. Prior to joining the equity research industry, Matthew worked as a Financial Analyst for companies in both the retail and fitness areas.
Matthew holds his Bachelor of Business Administration degree from Colorado State University and his MBA from Concordia University in Montreal, Canada. He is also a CFA charterholder.
Prior to joining S&P Global in 1989 and CFRA in 2016, Sam served as Editor In Chief at Argus Research, an independent investment research firm in New York City.
He holds an MBA in Finance from New York University and a B.A. in History/Education from Muhlenberg College, in Allentown, PA. He is a CFP® certificant and is a Trustee of the Securities Industry Institute®, the executive development program held annually at The Wharton School of The University of Pennsylvania.
Follow Sam on Twitter: @StovallCFRA
Prior to joining CFRA, Todd previously served in other financial positions at S&P Global, such as International Mutual Fund Sector Specialist, Large Cap Value and Large Cap Growth Analyst and has served on the Fund Services Asset Allocation Committee. Prior to joining S&P Global in 2001, Todd was managing editor of Value Line Mutual Fund Survey and Senior Large Cap and Small Cap Value Mutual Fund Analyst. He was also a Financial Advisor with Morgan Stanley.
Todd holds a B.G.S in Finance from the University of Michigan and an MBA in Finance from New York University.
Follow Todd on Twitter at: @ToddCFRA
Prior to joining CFRA, Lindsey worked as an Investment Strategist with S&P Global within the Investment Advisory Services division. She worked in several different capacities at TheStreet.com before that, from helping to manage Jim Cramer's small and mid-cap Charitable Trusts, to leading trader blog conversations and writing research. She learned the ropes as an equity research analyst at J.P Morgan and Deutsche Bank covering retail companies, and began her career in investment banking with Jefferies & Company's Mergers & Acquisition group.
Follow Lindsey on Twitter: @LBellCFRA
Prior to joining CFRA and S&P Global, Tuna was a Senior Equity Analyst at Lehman Brothers, New York. He participated in key decisions by the firm's Investment Policy Committee and was highly instrumental in managing a multi-capitalization equity portfolio, with primary focus on the Technology, Media and Telecom (TMT) sectors. Tuna also gained extensive global consulting experience in his previous roles at Arthur Andersen and KPMG.
Tuna earned an MBA in Finance from the Strathclyde University Business School in Scotland, U.K. He also holds a B.Sc. in Accounting from University of Nigeria as well as LL.B. (JD). Tuna is a CFA charterholder and a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).


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Boscastle again. This time with Paul, Kevin and Dave.
Another sensational day. Each time I come the seals seem to get bigger, the cliffs taller, the islands craggier and the caves deeper, and my sandwiches staler.
Outside the harbour mouth we turned north for the three mile paddle up to the seal colony at Beeny. As I was the most responsible grown-up of the group, I called up the Boscastle Coastwatch on the radio to let them know our plans. It is just remotely possible that the reason I called up the Coastwatch was because I was the only one with a two-way radio, and absolutely nothing at all to do with me being the most responsible (or grown-up).
This is a really lively bit of coast and although careful planning of wind, tide and swell is the most important safety factor, it's very reassuring to know that the Coastwatch volunteers, sitting in their little white tower on the headland, are there if you need them. If you end up swimming you are going to have to be rescued by boat (or chopper) because there really aren't any accessible beaches….its just cliffs, and caves, and a load of water.
Today it was like a lake and nice and warm, and sort of sunny so it was about as relaxing and enjoyable as Boscastle could possibly be.
As we were embraced by the huge black cliffs of Beeny bay, the seals popped up around us. All shapes and sizes and colours, from very tame and inquisitive creamy-coloured youngsters, to a couple of enormous bull seals with big 'Roman' noses.
We made sure none were resting on the beaches before approaching closer. The reason they use these haul-outs is because there is no disturbance from humans (or dogs) and we didn't want to mess it all up and frighten them. When they are in the water they are totally in command so apparently show very little fear.
This particularly applies to the biggest bull seal of the lot whose is presumably 'king-pin ' of the whole colony. He is really vast and can only have achieved this size, or so we mused, by having three marine MacDonalds (plus mackerel Mcflurry) every day since we last saw him four months ago. And possibly before.
After he was rudely awaken from his mid-morning nap by Paul, he shadowed us as we toured around his domain. Actually he mostly shadowed Paul, probably because he was a bit miffed about being woken up.
There were plenty of his entourage to keep us entertained as we decided to head back south. Kevin prepared his rod and feathers to do a spot of fishing as we paddled a bit further offshore to take a ride on the ebbing tide.
We swept (were swept) back past Boscastle, around the really excellent and unbelievably craggy and eroded Short and Long islands (neither of which is particularly long, or short) and aimed for a leg-stretch at Bossiney.
We loafed about on a sandy beach which we had all to ourselves apart from the occasional swimmer who ventured round from Bossiney main beach as the tide went out. Inexplicably, as soon as they saw us, they swam back round the corner again and disappeared.
The return to Boscastle harbour wasn't quite so easy as a bit of a northerly breeze had picked up which made it a bit lumpy in places especially where there was a tidal current such as inside the islands.
We couldn't go as far into the big cave at Willapark as we would have liked because it was low tide, but it always makes a good pic:
The Boscastle seals will not be meeting any more kayakers for many weeks, probably a lot longer, as sea conditions have reverted to normal: wind and big waves. Maybe it won't be calm enough until next year.
So they can remain undisturbed. Even though we did our best not to disturb them. The big bull can complete his morning nap, and the mackerel don't have to worry about Kevin's attempt to catch them on the end of a hook (spectacularly unsuccessful anyway). They will be much more concerned about becoming Mackerel Mcflurries.


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|For a similar vehicle in Grand Theft Auto V, see Dump.
The DUDE Dumper is an off-road dump truck in Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas.
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
The Dumper is by far the largest land-based vehicle in Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, generally based on large off-road dump trucks used in large-scale earth moving. The truck resembles a cross between a 1970s Caterpillar 773, particularly the grille and cab, while other parts are from modern 773s. The Dumper is also only available in a Bluish gray with the company's logo on the cab and the sides.
A distinguishable feature of the Dumper is that the tipper on the back can be raised up and down.
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
The Dumper is a slow moving vehicle (with a top speed roughly similar to that of a Linerunner), but has the effects of a Monster Truck. Given its size, the Dumper may be problematic on urban areas, as it will be easily obstructed by obstacles on the way, such low-level bridges, alleyways and busy traffic, but gains advantage in that it can ram smaller vehicles easily. While the suspension is decent on the front end, there is no obstruction on the rear end, allowing it to pass through small obstacles easily.
The large off-road wheels can provide a decent traction and can prove to be dangerous for small cars, since these can destroy these easily by having the wheels right into the car's engine bays. However, if the vehicle is directly on top of a car, sometimes the Dumper will get stuck. The car will eventually explode and the Dumper will also explode. As with the Monster, the Dumper's tires cannot be punctured, but attempting to shoot at them only deals damage to the vehicle itself.
The Dumper, along with the Monster, has the "car-crusher" ability, which allows the vehicle to be able to drive over traffic, rather than through it.
GTA San Andreas Overview
(0-60 mph in Seconds)
|Top Speed
(mph / kmh)
(kg / lbs)
|68 / 110
|20000 / 44092
|Cannot be observed
Prominent Appearances in Missions
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
- The Dumper is featured as a support vehicle in the mission Explosive Situation, when Carl Johnson has to collect the four dynamite sticks, each one stored on crates. The player is, then, tasked to "find something heavy to smash those crates", with the clear indication that the Dumper is the perfect choice.
- Along with the Dozer, the Dumper is integral to quarry side-missions in Hunter Quarry, Bone County.
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
- A Dumper will spawn outside the quarry grounds after the completion of all quarry side-missions. The player can also do the Quarry mission and while using the Dumper, one can steal it.
- Will spawn in the Parking Garage at the Las Venturas Police Headquarters in Las Venturas on certain occasions in the PS2 and original Xbox versions of the game.
- The default radio station in the vehicle is K-Rose.
- There seems to be a glitch with the Dumper during one of the Quarry Missions, where one will have to transport explosive barrels to Verdant Meadows. Upon raising the tipper and dropping off the explosives, the player will occasionally be rewarded with a four-figure Double Insane Stunt Bonus.
See Also
Other small dump trucks:
Other heavy machineries.
- Dozer
- Dump - Grand Theft Auto V equivalent.


text: Young girl and old man sex photos Richard suggests Helen to tidy out. Kinky young chick is having photo session being xxx pic dud. Brett snaps a lot of photos and gradually getting the girls into sexier positions. Anal sex after amateur photo session. Old ass and young dick sex photo But alas, the chick is hopeless at. Busty amateur fucks in photo shooting.


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I've been hearing about Palmer's Skin Therapy Oil for the Face for a few months and I finally got my hands on it! It was really hard to find and I was just about to order it when I found it at a local Walgreens! Click To TweetI've always been a big fan of Palmer's Cocoa Butter Formula Lotion and the Palmer's Skin Therapy Oil Body is awesome. Although I don't mind the cocoa butter (chocolate) scent of the lotion and oil for the Body, I was a bit concerned that the face oil would have the same scent. Relief… It doesn't!
Palmer's Cocoa Butter Formula Skin Therapy Oil for the Face is said to address a multitude of skincare issues. It is said to correct dark spots, address fine lines & wrinkles, even skin tone and improve skin texture. Sounds good to me!! The ingredient list in this face oil is quite impressive. Let's take a look…
This face oil has 10 Pure Oils:
Sweet Almond Oil, Sesame Oil, Coconut Oil, Macadamina Nut Oil, Apricot Oil, Grapeseed Oil, Argan Oil, Rosehip Oil, Camelina Oil and Sunflower Oil. WOW! Combined with the Cocoa Butter, these oils provide moisture and help with fine lines & wrinkles. It also has Retinol AND Vitamin C which improve and brighten skin tone and skin texture.
The oil comes in an amber glass dropper which I appreciate. The amber glass helps protect the oil and prevent it from breaking down. I use 3-4 drops of the oil every night. The oil is lightweight and absorbs easily into the skin. It leaves a slight dewy finish to the skin and a nice glow! I have normal to combination skin. Since I've been using this I find that I do not have to apply a moisturizer after applying the oil. The oil provides enough moisture. During the fall-winter months that may change and those with drier skin may need to apply a moisturizer after the oil.
The results I've seen from using the oil for a couple of weeks are quite impressive. My skin tone has improved and my face appears brighter with a glow to it. I have not seen much difference in fine lines/wrinkles after using this oil for a couple of weeks. Since I have been using retinol in my skincare routine for years, I may not see a noticeable difference and that's fine. Overall, Palmer's Skin Therapy Oil Face is a keeper and I will purchase it again. At an average price of around $12.00, you can't beat the price and the impressive list of ingredients.
Have you tried Palmer's Cocoa Butter Formula Skin Therapy Oil for the Face? I'd love to hear your thoughts. Please leave your comments below.
Until next time…
Check out my Instagram, @Susie_Truett_, for a peek inside my week & all of the latest from the Blog!
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text: October half term is here and the weather is looking a bit hit and miss so far. Finding things for the kids to do can be a bit of a challenge, especially if it is raining, so here are my top ten tips for things to do in Bournemouth and Poole: Indoor Fun 1. Rockreef Situated on Bournemouth Pier, Rockreef offers several fun activities for the whole family to enjoy including: Clip 'n' Climb, Caving, Highline and the Pier Zip. We have been coming here since it opened, the kids love it and now that Sebastian is four, he can… Continue Reading "10 things to do in Bournemouth & Poole this October half term"


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The Educational Partnership Committee (EPC) is the service arm of the Torrance Branch of AAUW. The EPC oversees the Branch's two ongoing community service programs: Tech Trek and Power & Promise. The Team meets on the second Thursday of each month, with an upcoming exception being our meeting on February 5, 2015. (Refer to the Calendar for specific dates.)
This is a key place to go if you:
- Have a desire to give back to the community
- Have limited time (only need about 1-3 hours per month)
- Have creative ideas
- Enjoy a supportive, collaborative group environment
- Have a commitment to helping young women
The EPC Committee focuses on programs that will ensure young girls are given the opportunity to realize their full academic and personal potential. The primary program currently run by the Committee is:
These programs have already served hundreds of local area young girls and have made a real difference in their lives. In 2004 the EPC won the first grant award in the Torrance Branch's history when they developed and won a grant proposal to the Copley Foundation for TECH TREK.
Our committee has a broad range of activities and roles, including:
- Working directly with the girls in our programs
- Supporting one of our programs through:
- Developing the guidelines and procedures for our programs
- Introducing new community members to our programs (including school administrators, teachers, parents and businesses)
- Fundraising, grant writing, direct solicitations
- Publicity and community outreach
- Running annual events (there are currently 2 of these)
- Supporting one of our programs through:
The opportunities for participation are limited only by the enthusiasm and creative ideas of our members and we would love to have you join us for our regular committee activities, or on an "as needed" basis as one of our "Special Projects Team Members."
Please contact us for more information on EDUCATIONAL PARTNERSHIP COMMITTEE, POWER AND PROMISE, or TECH TREK at firstname.lastname@example.com


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See also...
Margaret Livingston
Date: 1870 - 1952
Remarks: Margaret Clarkson was the daughter of Thomas Streatfeild Clarkson and Mary (Whitemarsh) Clarkson. She was the sister of Edith E. Clarkson, Helena V. K. Clarkson, and David Augustus Clarkson. Miss Clarkson married her first cousin, D. McRa Livingston (1868-1932), a civil engineer and inventor and veteran of the Spanish-American War, on September 28, 1907 at Tivoli, NY. The couple did not have any children.


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Mark Levin from "LevinTV" speaks out about response to FBI Director James Comey's firing on Fox News' "Hannity".
For Levin, their is no constitutional crisis, and President Trump was well within his scope to fire James Comey.
In fact, it is is "Fake tears" Schumer who is undermining the US Constitution.
More to the point, Levin asks Schumer…
"Can you name a single Russian (just one) who colluded with Donald Trump and his campaign. Just give us one, one!
Let's have it."


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Benefits of E-Waste Recycling
Employees who are delegated to collect e-wastes components from various sources wear protective gear. The collected equipment is then transported in accordance with the appropriate measures required for the hauling of electronic wastes.
The collected e-waste is transported to the recycling facility in a safe and secure manner using a closed container vehicle as per the government norms. The e-waste transportation vehicle will carry all the necessary forms for hazardous waste transportation and we will issue a duplicate of all the forms to the waste generator. We will make sure the loading and unloading process is smooth and hassle-free.
Upon unloading, electronic waste segregation is done based on the size and availability of components at the factory premises.
After the segregation of electronic waste, equipment like CRTs, CPUs, Hard Disks SMPS, Printers, Fax Machines, ACs, Washing Machines and other lab equipment are dismantled separately. Our facility is equipped with the latest tools and safety systems for safe dismantling of electronic waste.
It is a fact that obtaining precious metals and minerals through recycling of E-waste is much more economical than obtaining those minerals though the mining process. This helps to lessen the burden on earth's eco system and environment to fulfill the demand for precious metals and minerals. With the help of state of the art recycling technology, we are able to reach an efficiency of recovering up to 98% of the recyclable products and dispose off the remaining hazardous waste through TSDF.


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Hi, welcome to Arrowverse Wiki! Thanks for your edit to the User:Annewbiz page.
Please leave a message on my talk page if I can help with anything! —MakeShift (talk) 16:36, April 23, 2013 (UTC)
Relationships sections
As I've mentioned in my edit summaries, the Relationships sections already seem to be humongous, and only one season has aired! If the show is to continue its run for a few more years, then this section could become larger than it should be. So for now, we won't include these sections just purely because they're taking up way too much unnecessary space. —MakeShift (talk) 08:07, May 9, 2013 (UTC)
Biography sections and the loss of content
Firstly, thanks for notifying me of those pages. I'm not always online, so sometimes I miss things like that. In regards to the Biography sections, I've been a bit busy in real life, so I myself haven't had much time to add to them and clean them up, but I'll get around to them as soon as I can. But after all, this is a wiki, so anyone can contribute! —MakeShift (talk) 03:27, May 11, 2013 (UTC)
- I'd ask you kindly not to be so rude. I have other commitments than just this wiki, such as real life, and haven't had much time to contribute. I'll add when and where I can, but it's not just my responsibility to add to the wiki. —MakeShift (talk) 06:33, May 21, 2013 (UTC)
Reuploading images in lesser quality
Please, do not reupload images we already have on the wiki, and furthermore especially in lesser quality. This just leaves a mess for me to clean up and it's quite frankly annoying. This is your warning, should you do it again then action will be taken. —MakeShift (talk) 13:39, November 16, 2013 (UTC)
- After further reviewing your contributions to the wiki, I've decided to block you. Not only are you removing content from pages, you've been reuploading images then replacing the original ones with the new ones, which is essentially spamming. —MakeShift (talk) 13:53, November 16, 2013 (UTC)
- From what I've seen, this isn't the first wikia that they've been blocked on for the same reason either Wraiyf (talk) 14:04, November 16, 2013 (UTC)
Moving pages and generating redirects
Wikia being essentially a democratic process, I feel I should say that I personally dislike your tendency to unilaterally decide pages need different names. Could you please stop shunting information back and forth? {{SUBST:User:Jiskran/Signature}} 12:51, December 10, 2014 (UTC)
- You also have to remember that you've been blocked numerous times Annewbiz. Wraiyf You never know when life will hit you hard, but then you hit it back. 12:55, December 10, 2014 (UTC)
Annewbiz, the correct way to create a redirect is not to move a page to the name and then move it back. This is a warning, as there's a much simpler, less technical way to do it. —MakeShift (talk page) 11:10, December 11, 2014 (UTC)
What is a much simpler, less technical way to create a redirect.184.108.40.206 13:44, December 11, 2014 (UTC)
when uploading images, please follow the Image Policy all images are to be the full screen, at 720 (unless Season 1 or 2 which must be 1080x1920) and properly labelled and categorized, thanks. Wraiyf You never know when life will hit you hard, but then you hit it back. 23:26, February 14, 2015 (UTC)
- For every current season, they must be 1280x720.TIMESHADE |Talk/Wall| - |C| 18:14, February 15, 2015 (UTC)
- Also, use the {{image-screenshot}} license for Arrow screencaps and {{image-screenshotF}} for The Flash screencaps.TIMESHADE |Talk/Wall| - |C| 18:35, February 15, 2015 (UTC)
Pretty sure I said that as well... Wraiyf You never know when life will hit you hard, but then you hit it back. 22:23, February 15, 2015 (UTC)
RE: Images
The images were removed because they were against policy, upload them according to the Image Guideline next time. Wraiyf You never know when life will hit you hard, but then you hit it back. 07:23, March 3, 2015 (UTC)
Creating character pages
When creating pages, make sure you don't always make that they are credited their name. Alot of their credit names are just what they are, Maitre'd for example is a position, not a name.TIMESHADE |Talk/Wall| - |C| 23:00, March 4, 2015 (UTC)


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Article Source: Health And Fitness Journal By Dr. Mercola We all experience blips in our memory now and then, but wouldn't it be handy to be able to recall information instantly whenever you need it? Forgotten names of colleagues or old friends, lost keys, and that item from your grocery list you forgot at the
Comments Off on Easy Ways to Boost Your Ability to Recall Now – and Later.
Pain Management And Why It's So Personal
Article Source: Health And Fitness Journal Most of my patients think about pain medicines in terms of the symptoms they treat. "This is my headache medicine, and this is my arthritis medicine," they often say. Healthcare providers are more likely to categorize pain medicines by the way they work: some are anti-inflammatory, some affect nerve
Comments Off on Pain Management And Why It's So Personal.
New Study Suggests Gender, Race, And Age Gap In Responsible Use Of OTC Medications
Article Source: Health And Fitness Journal Millions of Americans use over-the-counter medicines; in fact, about 35% of Americans use OTC medications on a regular basis. A recent national survey of 2,038 U.S. adults suggests that many Americans are not in touch with the risks associated with OTC medications, and don't feel compelled to review OTC
Comments Off on New Study Suggests Gender, Race, And Age Gap In Responsible Use Of OTC Medications.


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Any links in this post to a merchant may contain an affiliate link, which means that if you click on that link and then buy something, I may earn a commission from it. However, all opinions in this link are 100% mine and 100% honest. If I didn't believe in a particular product, I wouldn't recommend it to you.
Before we moved to American Samoa, one of the things that Boston wanted to do here was to hike Blunt's Point to see the World War II guns mounted at the top. So, naturally, our first hike after moving here was Blunt's Point. We did this hike on our second day on the island. This was a great first hike for us. I'm sure that we will hike this trail again many more times during our days on the island. This is the story of our first hike up Blunt's Point.
The History of Blunt's Point
After Pearl Harbor was bombed in 1941, the United States Navy installed two guns atop Blunt's Point. These guns were put in place to protect Pago Pago Harbor from a potential Japanese attack. The guns had the ability to fire six-inch rounds up to nine miles away. Because of the narrow ridge, the guns were placed one behind the other. One is a little higher up the ridge than the other. The guns, which are still in place today, serve as a hands-on history lesson. The lower gun is listed as a National Historic Landmark and is on the National Register of Historic Places.
Finding the Trail Head
On our first day on the island, our neighbor pointed out the trail head to us during our drive along the coast. I made a point to take a mental picture of the location so I could find it again later. The trail starts next to a small laundromat across the street from the coast between the villages of Faga'alu and Utulei. There is nothing else at this location but the laundromat. Only a small sign designates the beginning of the trail.
The next day, we took the bus back towards the harbor. I wasn't exactly sure how far it was to the trail head. All I knew was that I would recognize the small laundromat when I saw it. So, I kept my eyes peeled during the bus ride. When I spotted it, we pulled the string signaling the driver that we wanted to get off. I was more than pleased with myself for being able to get us back to this spot without any help.
The Hike to the Lower Gun
After reading the small sign at the trail head, we headed up the mountain. We weren't sure how far it was to the guns, how steep the hike would be, or how long it would take us. Truth be told, prior to coming to American Samoa, we were not the outdoorsy, adventurous type of family. In fact, this was the first hike any of us had ever done. We were all in regular tennis shoes and had no emergency equipment with us other than a cell phone and some bottled water. We headed out anyways, excited to be on our first hiking adventure on the island.
Luckily, there is a well marked trail that was pretty easy to follow. After a few minutes, our calves were burning, but that soon subsided as we got into our groove. Soon enough, we reached a large water tank. We stopped at this point because it appeared the trail just ended. After a few minutes, we realized the trail continued along the side of the tank. We continued following the trail, and before long, we were at the lower gun.
The lower gun is placed in a clearing with a gorgeous view of the harbor. It's easy to see why the gun was placed where it was. We stopped here for a while. Chris and I enjoyed the view while Boston enjoyed examining the gun. After a few minutes, we headed on up the trail to the upper gun.
The Hike to the Upper Gun and Beyond
The two guns are not too far apart. However, the trail grows steeper after leaving the lower gun and continuing up the ridge. When we reached the upper gun, we were all a bit surprised. The view from here is pretty much nonexistent. It appears that the rainforest has grown in and covered the view from the upper gun since the 1940's. The clearing here is also much smaller than at the lower gun.
After stopping for a bit so Boston could examine the upper gun, we decided to continue on up the mountain trail a bit. We knew from reading the sign at the trail head that the trail would get much more challenging beyond this point, but we decided to test it out. At first, it wasn't too bad. It was definitely steeper and more difficult than the trail to the lower gun had been, but nothing we couldn't handle. After a while though, we decided to turn around and head back down. The path became much harder to navigate and Boston was getting tired. Chris and I decided that it wasn't worth risking one of us getting hurt to continue on further on this first hike.
Coming Back Down
Aside from a couple of spots, the hike back down the mountain was pretty easy. We stopped again at the lower gun to rest for a few minutes. Boston threw a fit to stop army men here. However, there were some other people there trying to have a quiet meditative moment, so we told him we would bring him back to play another day. We continued our hike on down. By the time we reached the laundromat at the bottom, we were sweating and tired. It had taken us about an hour or so to hike approximately 1 mile total. We then caught the bus back home.
Blunt's Point is a great hike, even for beginners like us. If you are out of shape, I recommend taking it slow, stopping when you need to rest, and only hiking up to the lower gun. The view from the lower gun is outstanding. Both guns are identical, so you won't miss out on anything if you stop at the lower gun. It's not often that you get such an up close look at a piece of American history. It's easy to imagine what it was like for the soldiers who were stationed here and manning the guns during WWII. A hike to the guns is a great way to teach your kids about history and get them interested in studying the past.
Boston had no troubles making the hike up the mountain to see the guns. I would say that even children as young as 4 should be able to conquer this hike. If you have boys, this hike is a must-do for your family during your visit to American Samoa. Happy travels!


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"Word to you mother!" "Don't have cow" when you find out it's '90s Retro Night at Citizens Bank Park Wednesday night.
The Phillies will be honoring the days of Mickey Morandini, Dickie Thon, Lenny Dykstra, Darren Daulton, Terry Mulholland and Mitch "Wild Thing" Williams as the Phightins sport Veterans Stadium-era maroon jerseys for their game against the Reds.
Throwback night? "You can't touch this!"
But there's more.
Don't be afraid to dust off the flannel, Zubaz pants or Hypercolor T-shirts since the Phillies are encouraging the fans to do like the players and show up to the ballpark in early '90s garb.the
The '90s love doesn't stop there as the Phillies honor one of their least successful decades (National League champion Macho Row 1993 team was the only year they had a winning record) by bringing back things from those lean years including Tommy Greene -- he pitched a no hitter in 1991 -- to throw out the first pitch, DJs from defunct radio stations WDRE and Y-100 and the Wolf Pack (which first appeared when recently-released-by-the-Brewers pitcher Randy Wolf made his Phillies debut in 1999) will return to the ballpark.
And topping it all off is "In the Meantime" hit-maker Spacehog playing before the game.
- Check out Phillies 1990s fun facts including which player led the team in hits during the decade.
As for the baseball to be played, Vance Worley -- who was only four years old when the Phils actually wore the 1991 jerseys he will be wearing Wednesday night -- will take on Cincinnati's Bronson Arroyo.


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CBP: More Than One in Seven Californians — One-Third of Them Children — Lived in Poverty in 2013
Census Bureau data released earlier today show that the share of all Californians with incomes below the federal poverty line in 2013 remained significantly higher than in 2006, the year before the Great Recession began. More than 5.6 million Californians — over one in seven — had incomes below the poverty line in 2013.
The new figures also show that nearly 2 million California children were living in poverty in 2013. The state's child poverty rate — 20.3 percent — is down significantly from that in 2011 (24.3 percent). However, children still account for a disproportionate share of Californians living in poverty.


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I am sure at least some people do care about European football here. I tend to follow the top flight battles from the major leagues in Europe. Champions League can also be discussed here.
Diego injury mars Juventus' perfect start - CNN.com
Hamburg stay top of Bundesliga as Bayern hit form - CNN.com
La Liga - Barca and Real win again - Yahoo! Eurosport UK


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Are you under pressure to increase event attendance?
Most organizations want to increase event attendance every year. But that can seem impossible when you don't understand why some attendees come back, while others never return.
Every attendee who doesn't come back puts you further behind.
A strong event management company helps you minimize attendee churn and increase event attendance every year – even with rising costs and flat budgets. But, picking the right partner isn't always easy.
Finding a Partner to Help You Increase Event Attendance
If you're focused on growing your event attendance and minimizing year-to-year churn, look for an event management partner who:
Understands your objectives.
Maybe you need to register as many attendees as possible to maximize revenue. Maybe you want a very specific type of audience to attend your event. Your goals are unique to your event and organization. Your attendance strategies should be too. Experient's event professionals work with you to outline and clarify objectives, design and implement the strategies best poised to advance those objectives, with in-depth analysis and measurement of results soon after the event.
Designs experiences that minimize churn.
Every attendee, sponsor and exhibitor has their own expectations for your event and they're constantly rising. When their experience falls short, many won't come back. The cost to acquire new attendees is increasing, so it's crucial that you convert more first-timers into die-hard loyalists. Experient's marketing and experience design experts are vigilant in tapping the latest research in neuroscience and event-experience design to help you create more customized and hyper-relevant experiences. This means engaging your guests more deeply, delivering soundly on their goals and objectives, and keeping them coming back year after year.
Identifies new sources of potential attendees.
Too often event attendance goes flat because existing lead sources are exhausted. When increasing attendance seems impossible, you need a partner who is experienced in expanding event audiences and developing more effective ways to reach them. Experient offers a pre-show event marketing campaign that generates new attendee registrations for select audience segments.
Helps you understand what works and what doesn't.
After your event, you need to know which booths or speakers worked this year, and which you might consider skipping next year. You need a partner that provides detailed reports of attendee behaviors from start to finish, so you can improve the event experience and boost attendance. Experient reports on the best-attended sessions, booths with the heaviest traffic and other key performance indicators.
Why Choose Experient to Increase Event Attendance for You?
Experient can help you dramatically improve event attendance, keep exhibitors and sponsors happy and renewing, and most importantly, ensure that your event remains on a healthy and more prosperous growth track. We know how to design events that guests want to experience again and again, minimizing attendee churn.
If you're looking for robust and personalized solutions that drive buzz and lead to record-breaking attendance, it's time to talk to Experient.Contact Us Today


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From Bondage to Liberty: The Gospel According to Moses by Anthony Selvaggio
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It is difficult to overestimate the importance of Moses to the unfolding of God's plan of salvation. Arguably, Moses is the most significant Old Testament figure because of his unique role as mediator of the old covenant. In this sense, Moses is the only parallel to Jesus Christ who is the mediator of a new and better covenant.
In his new book, From Bondage to Liberty: The Gospel According to Moses, Anthony Selvaggio focuses on the redemptive-historical aspects of Moses' life and ministry as manifested in the books of Exodus, Numbers, and Deuteronomy.
"Nowhere does the theme of redemption shine more brightly in the Old Testament than in Exodus. Anthony Selvaggio draws us into the story of Moses in a most personal way. In concise and stirring chapters, he shows us the beauties of the Lord Jesus and teaches us practical lessons about godliness."
--Joel R. Beeke, President, Puritan Reformed Theological Seminary, Grand Rapids
"In this very practical book, Anthony Selvaggio brings to life Moses' role as forerunner of Jesus, our greater prophet, priest and king. You will find insights here that are simply expressed but which illuminate many a New Testament passage. I warmly recommend this work."
--Rev Dr Rowland S. Ward, Presbyterian Church of Eastern Australia
"If you have wondered what Scriptures Jesus might have cited when he showed his disciples the things concerning himself 'beginning with Moses' (Luke 24:27), Anthony Selvaggio provides a significant part of the answer."
--Dennis E. Johnson, Professor of Practical Theology, Westminster Seminary California
"The book of Exodus is one of the most powerful presentations of Christ all of Scripture but because it comes to us in types and shadows it can seem remote. In this volume Anthony Selvaggio provides a welcome survey of and pathway into the Exodus that points us to Christ, the redemption he accomplished for us, and to his ongoing work in us."
--R. Scott Clark, DPhil, Professor of Church History and History Theology, Westminster Seminary California
Anthony T. Selvaggio (JD, The University of Buffalo School of Law; MDiv, Reformed Presbyterian Theological Seminary) has written for reformation21.org over the years. He currently serves as a visiting professor of Biblical Studies at the Reformed Presbyterian Theological Seminary in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He is also Theologian in Residence at the Rochester Reformed Presbyterian Church in Rochester, New York.
Also, the winners of Antinomiamism by Mark Jones are:
Daniel M, Clear Lake SD
Dan S, Alexandria VA
Chris M, Fairfield OH
Joel G, Wake Forest NC
Mark M, Manassas VA
Carolyn M, Winchester CA
Michael W, Ada MI
Mary Anne D, Vienna WV
Nathan T, Richland WA
George L, Beeville TX
Text Links -
For the drawing -
To order additional copies -
Anthony on reformation21.org -
Mark Jones' book -
Mark Jones' on reformation21.org -
TOPICS: Anthony Selvaggio, Books, Gospel, Moses
Reformed Ethics Could Save Your Life
A Review
Beyond Authority and Submission: A Review
A Review
Co-Laborers, Co-Heirs
A Review


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NMLS #258552 Sorry, we are not accepting new loan applications at this time.
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Almond Cold Brew
Sale price
Regular price
- Boost your energy levels for up to 8 hours
- A great healthy alternative to coffee
- Highest plant-based source of iron
- Full of magnesium for a healthy heart and brain
- 5 energizing superfoods - no additives!
Upgrade your iced frap with our amazingly delicious Almond Coffee if you're looking for a picker-upper without the guilt. We've mixed an organic and low-acid cold brew coffee with raw almond butter for a dose of heart-healthy fat, and topped it off with hemp granola, coconut, dates, sprinkled with a splash of pink himalayan sea salt. Almost forgot to mention the cacao added for high antioxidants. This drink boasts brain-enhancing superfoods to keep you on top of your game all day long!
Cold Brew + Banana + Hemp Granola + Caulifloewr + Flaxseed + Oats + Almond Butter + Cacao + Coconut Meat + Dates + Vanilla + Himalayan Pink Sea Salt + Guarana + Maca + Lucuma


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Rima is a delightful, intelligent and world-traveled artist that I recently bought a piece of art from. I am so excited by my giclee print of her blue bird of happiness drawing/painting. It is such an inspiration to me as I continue to seek happiness from within.
Thanks Rima! Keep creating!!
Rima, I love your art! It was wonderful to have your art represented at one of my, Spa by Diane Loring, Inc. locations and also for the Ventura City Artwalk!
I currently have it hanging in my residence and it is always a sweet reminder of how important it is to keep moving forward! It is a beautiful life!
Thank you Rima!
Anything I have commissioned turns out fabulous, and the pieces I have collected over the years move with me from home to home. She has a passion and an eye for her subjects, and a dedicated work ethic. I look forward to seeing more of her work over the years.


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i ordered p a fancy pair of saltwaters a little while ago and they finally arrived. she was so excited to match mama and spent most of the day staring at her feet and doing a bit of a happy jig. sweetness and joy this kid is.
i spent the day staring at her amber hair tied in it's first knot. thinking about time. they are really little for a short time, and they need to be little, it is so important.


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- Home
- Stair Treads
- Stair Landings
Stair Landings
Stairs with landings are very common in residential homes. Landing Platforms are used in areas of a stairway where the staircase changes direction. Changing the direction of the stairs allows stairs to fit where they would not otherwise, or provides privacy to the upper level as visitors downstairs cannot simply look up the stairs to the upper level due to the change in direction. A landing can be located anywhere within the stairway.
Hardwood floor will always be the best way to cover stair landings.


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Jaguar XF Sportbrake Diesel S review and pictures - Pictures
Most Popular
Audi RS 25th Anniversary package pays homage to the RS2 Avant
Special features for RS range mark a quarter century of Audi's performance division
13 Dec 2019
2020 McLaren Elva – further details of next Ultimate Series supercar
No roof? No worries… The McLaren Elva will be the ultimate sun-seeking supercar
12 Dec 2019
eCoty 2019: evo Car of the Year preview
Our annual evo Car of the Year test is coming, in print and online
13 Dec 2019
Hyundai i30 N versus Hyundai i30 TCR
Can Dickie Meaden beat Steve Sutcliffe in a straight(ish) race? We sent them to the Circuit Nuvolari with a pair of Hyundai i30 Ns to find out.
20 Sep 2019


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You people just made me order one
Also 18650 version and small 10180 keychain…
"With the first link, the chain is forged. The first speech censured...the first thought forbidden...the first freedom denied – chains us all, irrevocably."
My reviews:
Sofirn SF36 /// Thorfire VG10S /// Sofirn C8F /// Zanflare F1


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A New Low Cost Explosion Proof Fume Hood Monitor for Hazardous Laboratories
We are very pleased to offer the XPA1 series of explosion proof monitors. We have models for Class 1 Div 1 & Class 1 Div 2 laboratories.
Intended for use in laboratories classified as a hazardous location, the explosion-proof low pressure alarm provides continuous monitoring of the negative static pressure in the fume hood exhaust duct. During normal negative static pressure conditions, the alarm illuminates a green indicator LED. When static pressure in the exhaust duct is insufficient, an audible alarm sounds and a red LED indicator illuminates. To maintain the integrity of the certified explosion proof instrument enclosure, the functionality of the test/reset button is performed using a light sensor.
Covering the light sensor momentarily acknowledges the alarm and silences the horn for 10 minutes. During periods of darkness, the alarm functions normally but the test/reset function is unavailable. An output relay is provided to signal a remote alarm if needed.
All electrical housings are UL or FM approved for Class 1, Div 1, Groups B, C and D.
Standard buzzer is Class 1, Div 2, optional buzzer is Class 1, Div 1.
Explosion Proof Monitors can not be purchased online, use the contact form on this page to request a quote.
Main Control Box & Cap
Pressure Switch
The style of buzzer determines the difference in safety classification.
Static Probe
- Voltage: 120VAC
- Frequency: 60 Hz
- Current: 1A
- Mains Breaker: Switch/Breaker 15A
- Mounting: Surface Mount
- Alarm Pressure Range: 0.07 to 0.15 inches water
- Alarm relay output: Normally open and Normally closed volt-free contacts
- Contacts rated 0.5A at 125 VAC / 1A at 24 VDC
- Visual Indicators: Green LED – static pressure OK; Red LED – static pressure FAIL
- Audible Indicator: Intermittent Buzzer – 94 dB at 10 feet
- Horn Silence: Temporary with 10 minute self-reset, permanent until re-enabled or power-cycle
- User Input: Alarm is silenced and tested through the use of an ambient light sensor located behind sealed window in explosion proof housing
- Wiring method: Installer supplies explosion proof wiring materials and glands
- Calibration: Single point pressure setting
- Agency Listings: All housings FM or UL listed


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About this Research Topic
MicroRNAs are key molecules involved in plant development and response to biotic and abiotic stresses. Since plants cannot escape from the place where unfavorable conditions have arisen, they sense stress factors and change their metabolism also via the microRNAs and their targets expression changes. Plant microRNAs: miR399, miR395 and miR397 are expressed in response to phosphate, sulfate and copper deficiencies, respectively. Here we would like to present a comprehensive set of information concerning plant microRNAs and their role in plant nutrient (macro- and microelements) stress response.
Important Note: All contributions to this Research Topic must be within the scope of the section and journal to which they are submitted, as defined in their mission statements. Frontiers reserves the right to guide an out-of-scope manuscript to a more suitable section or journal at any stage of peer review.


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Home to two major casinos (Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun), Connecticut is a great destination for fall foliage, the Atlantic ocean and much more! There is much to attract the RV camper to the State of Connecticut.
Following are the RV campgrounds in Connecticut:
Bantam, CT
Barkhamsted, CT
Bozrah, CT
Chaplin, CT
Clinton, CT
East Canaan, CT
East Haddam, CT
East Hampton, CT
East Killingly, CT
East Lyme, CT
Eastford, CT
Griswold, CT
Jewett City, CT
Lebanon, CT
Lisbon, CT
Litchfield, CT
Madison, CT
Niantic, CT
North Stonington, CT
Oakdale, CT
Old Mystic, CT
Oneco, CT
Preston, CT
Salem, CT
Stafford Springs, CT
Voluntown, CT
Watertown, CT
West Willington, CT
Willington, CT
Woodstock, CT
Connecticut (CT) Travel Resources


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Digital Arts Lab curated by Retune powered by Samsung
How can art push the boundaries of tech? How can we grow digital creativity within our society? These and many more questions are addressed by the Digital Arts Lab, a two-day interactive pop-up exhibition presented by Samsung during hub.berlin 2019.
Under the roof of the iconic STATION Berlin 12 Berlin based digital artists will present their latest works on the verge of art and technology. Among the creatives will be acclaimed individual artists like So Kanno, multiple award-winner at the Japan Media Arts Festival, as well as renowned collectives like the German studio Schnellebuntebilder which became famous for its impressive 3D light installation during the opening of the Elbphilharmonie in Hamburg.
The exhibition will be accompanied on both days by lectures in which the artists share their knowledge and offer a peek into their creative processes.
Opening times:
The Exhibition is open on 10 April from 10am to 8pm and on 11 April from 10am to 6pm.
On 10 April a midissage followed by a music performance will take place from 6.15 pm.
Discover the programme.
The interactive exhibition and lectures are curated by Retune. The entrance is free.
Discover the Artists
Banz & Bowinkel
Friedemann Banz and Giulia Bowinkel focus on the computer as an every day device and its influence on human culture. With their work they question the concept of simulated reality and thereby human perception of the world in virtual space. Works of the multiple award-winning duo have been exhibited at the House of Electronic Arts in Basel as well as the Zeppelin Museum in Friedrichshafen.
Jan Bernstein
Jan Bernstein´s artistic expression mainly focuses on the combination of technical construction with creative work. Coming from industrial design he created his first mechanical-moving works during his studies at the Burg Giebichenstein in Halle an der Saale. Since then, his artworks have already been on display at the Museum of Modern Art in Istanbul and the Schirn Kunsthalle in Frankfurt.
Carla Chan
Carla Chan works with a variety of media including video, installation, photography and interactive installations. Minimal in style and form Chan's works often toys with the blurred boundaries between reality and illusion, figure and abstraction. Her recent works focus on the ambiguity in nature by bridging natural transformation and unpredictable computer algorithms.
Sofia Crespo
Sofia Crespo is an artist working with a huge interest in bio inspired technologies. One of her main interests is the way organic life uses artificial mechanisms to simulate itself and evolve. On the side, she is also hugely concerned with the dynamic change in the role of the artists working with machine learning techniques. For the Digital Arts Lab she will cooperate with Anastasia (alpha_rats), a VR and game developer and visual artist.
Moritz Simon Geist
Moritz Simon Geist is a performer, musicologist, and robotics engineer. His robotic instruments and performances have been shown in numerous European festivals and exhibitions throughout the last years. He collaborates with performers such as Mouse on Mars and teaches on the progression of technology and society at the NYU Berlin.
So Kanno
So Kanno was born in Japan and is based in Berlin since 2013. He considers the essential change of evolution and technology, and creates works to bring a new perspective upon them. He has already been honored with numerous awards at the Japan Media Arts Festival.
kling klang klong
kling klang klong develops intelligent acoustic scenographies in the area between science, art and communication. The studio often puts the visitor as an active participant in interplay with an organic sound environment and builds bridges between music, soundscapes and installation art. At the Digital Arts Lab kling klang klong will present a position together with the studio Schnellebuntebilder.
NEEEU is a multidisciplinary design studio, specialising in the creation of vibrant spatial experiences and the delivery of customised products and services. Together with the Gemäldegalerie Berlin and Museum4punkt0 NEEU has recently created an AR application which brings the ancient paintings to life.
Klara Ravat
Klara Ravat is an olfactory artist and experimental filmmaker based in Berlin. By opposing the division between the realm of memory and the realm of experience, she absorbs the tradition of remembrance art into daily practice. Klara is the co-founder and director of the Smell Lab, a community project that focuses on the investigation and practice of the art and science of the sense of smell.
Schnellebuntebilder is a Berlin based studio which develops and creates multimedia design and digital art. Founded in 2011, the team has worked with a variety of museum curators, creative agencies, musicians, galleries and artists to create animated films, generative visualizations, audiovisual performances, immersive installations and interactive exhibits. At the Digital Arts Lab Schnellebuntebilder will present a position together with the studio kling klang klong.
Studio Milz
Studio Milz values the elegant combination of design, art and science. By using the contrast of low and high-tech they are establishing a unique vision of communication in the three dimensional space. The working process combines specialists in multiple disciplines like communication and interaction design, software and interface design, rapid manufacturing, physical and electronic engineering.
Lina Wassong
Berlin-based engineer Lina Wassong is a pioneer in integrating digital fabrication and electronics into fashion. She has designed pieces using 3D printing, laser cutting, and physical computing. Through her work, she wants to make technology more emotional and aesthetic. Besides running her design studio, Lina lectures at the University of Applied Sciences Potsdam and has already published three books about electronics and programming.
About the Curators
The Digital Arts Lab is curated by Jasmin Grimm and Julian Adenauer from Retune – a Berlin-based platform and agency at the intersection of Art, Design and Technology. Retune is best known for their biennial festival and their ongoing series of Studio Visits.