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A free fantasy RP site. All ages are welcomed here, literate and non-literate. We have many RP's featuring dragons, kingdoms, space, wolves, pirates, the wild west, and so much more!
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The Mythology world of Goddesses
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Demigods have choices to make: Become a hero and please the Olympians, or help the Titans tear Olympus down brick-by-brick: A Percy Jackson RPG
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Free forum : Just a fun place hang out andtalk about mythology
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Mango and Sour Cream Muffins with Streusel Topping
2 tablespoons butter, melted
1 large egg
1/2 cup sour cream
1/2 cup light brown sugar, packed
1/3 cup granulated sugar
1 1/2 teaspoons vanilla extract
1/2 teaspoon cinnamon
1 cup all-purpose flour
2 1/2 teaspoons baking powder
1/2 teaspoon baking soda
pinch salt, optional
3/4 cup diced mango
Optional add-ins: 1/2 cup white, butterscotch, milk, or semi-sweet chocolate chips, 1/2 cup shredded coconut flakes (consider reducing flour by 2 to 3 tablespoons if using coconut or add a splash of milk); other fresh or frozenberries such as strawberries, blueberries, raspberries, cherries
Preheat oven to 425F and line a 12-count muffin pan with liners; set aside.
To a large microwave-safe mixing bowl, add the butter and heat on high power until melted, about 45 seconds. Wait 1 minute for the butter cool slightly and add the egg, sour cream, sugars, vanilla, cinnamon and whisk until smooth. Add the flour, baking powder, baking soda, salt, and whisk until just combined (over-mixing causes tough muffins). Fold in the chopped mango, (I used a large handful of frozen mango that I heated for 1 minute in the microwave to thaw, then diced it) optional add-ins, and stir to incorporate. Distribute the batter evenly among the muffin liners; set aside.
Streusel Topping
1/4 cup light brown sugar, packed
1/4 cup old-fashioned whole rolled oats (not quick cook)
1/4 cup all-purpose flour
To a medium microwave-safe mixing bowl, add the butter and heat on high power until melted, about 45 seconds. Add the remaining ingredients and stir until streusel comes together, ranging in size from small marbles to fine sand. Spoon a tablespoon or two of topping on top muffin batter, distributing topping evenly among the dozen.
Bake for 425F for 5 minutes (a hot oven gives them the ability to rise fast and finished muffins will be puffier as a result). Lower temperature to 350F and continue baking for 13 to 15 more minutes, or until tops are barely browning or a toothpick inserted in the center comes out clean, taking care not to overbake (total baking time 18 to 20 minutes, or until golden).

subset: commoncrawl


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Toronto, ON
Advance: 70.00 - 100.00
Day of Show: 79.50
On Sale: Saturday, Mar 23, 10:00AMBuy Tickets
All Ages
Doors Open At: 5:00PM
Performing "The Blue Album" from front to back and their greatest hits.
A limited number of VIP will be available for $100 + surcharges. VIP tickets include access to a VIP area with optimal...
Performing "The Blue Album" from front to back and their greatest hits.
A limited number of VIP will be available for $100 + surcharges. VIP tickets include access to a VIP area with optimal stage viewing, bleacher seating, VIP bar, shaded area, premium food vendors, VIP washrooms, and fast pass VIP entry.
How to get to Weezer:
Take the TTC to the concert! 101 Downsview Park bus route from Downsview subway station. Frequent service runs July 12. Other bus routes from Downsview Station to Weezer concert include the: 84, 108 and 106.
In 1992, Weezer had their first practice session in Los Angeles. Over the course of the next year, the group played the club scene, ultimately scoring a deal with DGC from their demo cassette. To...Expand
In 1992, Weezer had their first practice session in Los Angeles.
Over the course of the next year, the group played the club scene, ultimately scoring a deal with DGC from their demo cassette. To date, they have released nine full‐length albums, six EPs, and a DVD, selling over nine million records in the United States.
Their debut album Weezer (aka "The Blue Album"), produced by Ric Ocasek, has been certified triple platinum in the United States, and remains the band's all‐time best seller. Upon completing the record, Weezer went on hiatus temporarily as Cuomo studied at Harvard. With help from the Spike Jonze‐directed video, the single "Undone (The Sweater Song)" became a hit in the fall of 1994. But by the time the album's final single, "Say It Ain't So," was released in the summer of 1995, the group had gone on hiatus once again, with Cuomo returning to Harvard.
In 1996 Weezer recorded their sophomore album, Pinkerton. While it failed to become an immediate hit, it was a cult classic with fans (going gold in 2001). In 1997, distressed by the public's reaction to Pinkerton, the band took time off to regroup and plan its next move, during which time Sharp left the group. While Rolling Stone named Pinkerton the Worst Album of 1996, they later re‐reviewed it and awarded it 5 stars, adding it to the Rolling Stone Hall of Fame in 2004.
With the producer of their debut, Ric Ocasek, again at the helm, Weezer next recorded 2001's Weezer (aka "The Green Album"), which debuted at #4 and has since sold more than one million copies in the United States. Songs like "Hash Pipe" and "Island in the Sun" became radio and MTV staples. During their tour that summer's tour, Shriner joined the band. The band followed that success with Maladroit, which was released in 2002, reached #3 on the Billboard 200, and was certified gold. Two years later, video Capture Device DVD featured home video footage, music videos, commercials, rehearsals, concert performances, television performances, and band commentary, and was certified "gold" following its 2004 release.
Weezer returned to the studio again to work with Rick Rubin on their fifth full‐length album. Make Believe appeared in May 2005 and eventually went platinum in multiple countries. The album gave Weezer their biggest charting album peak yet, hitting #1 in Canada and #2 in the U.S. Make Believe featured the band's first two songs to top the Billboard Modern Rock Tracks chart, "Perfect Situation" and Top 10 single "Beverly Hills," which earned the band their first Grammy nomination for Best Rock Song. 2008's Weezer, (aka "The Red Album") followed which featured a more collaborative approach toward songwriting and shared lead vocals on tracks. Lead single "Pork and Beans" topped the Billboard Modern Rock Tracks charts for 11 weeks, and its music video won a Grammy for Best Short Form Music Video. The Red Album debuted at #4 on the Billboard 200 upon its release.
One year later, the band returned with Raditude, which debuted as the seventh best‐selling album of the week on the Billboard 200 chart. It found the band collaborating with hip‐hop producer Jermaine Dupri, rapper Lil Wayne and members of The All-American Rejects.
Weezer jumped from Geffen to independent label Epitaph in 2010, debuting Hurley at #6 on the Billboard 200 to make it the band's sixth top 10 album, as well as their sixth top 10 album in a row. The new album was quickly followed by two additional releases: an expanded deluxe edition of Pinkerton and Death to False Metal. The band then took to the road to play Pinkerton & their eponymous debut "Blue Album" in their entirety, in full a tour titled "The Memories Tour," dubbed "Blinkerton" by fans.
In January 2012, Weezer launched the first ever Weezer Cruise aboard Carnival Cruises. They were joined by 16 other bands including Dinosaur Jr, Sebadoh, Wavves, The Antlers, Yuck, and many more. A music‐festival‐at‐ sea, Weezer played shows on board and engaged in on‐board activities with cruise goers.
Service and handling fees are added to the price of each ticket.


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Zashiki warashi (座敷童/座敷童子 zashiki warashi), sometimes also called Zashiki bokko, is a youkai, stemming from Iwate Prefecture. According to folklore, to attract and maintain a zashiki warashi in the home it is said that "the spirit must be noticed, appreciated and cared for properly, much in the manner one would raise a child, though too much attention may drive it off." As the zashiki warashi is child-like in nature, it is prone to playing harmless pranks and occasionally causing mischief. They might, for instance, "sit on a guest's futon, turn people's pillows over or cause sounds similar to kagura music to be heard from rooms no one uses." Sometimes they leave little footsteps in ashes. There are different variations as to who can see the zashiki warashi; usually this is limited to inhabitants of the house, sometimes to children. The appearance of this spirit is that of a 5 or 6 year child with bobbed hair and a red face. Zashiki warashi can be found in well-maintained and preferably large old houses. It is said that once a zashiki warashi inhabits a house, it brings the residence great fortune; on the other hand, should a zashiki warashi depart, the domain soon falls into a steep decline. Compare to House Fey


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11.19.14 - More Fed Watching
Traders on Wall Street, economists and mainstream investors are all awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve minutes later today.
The dollar strengthened overnight on speculation those minutes could reveal that the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee sees the US economy as stronger relative to other world economies.
As usual, traders will be looking for clues on when the Fed will raise rates.
The Fed minutes from its October 28-29 policy meeting are due at 2 p.m. Eastern Time.
One possible concern regarding US interest rate policy is the prospect that, similar to what occurred from 2004-2006 under Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, the Janet Yellen Fed's ability to tighten long-term interest rates may be limited. The bond market is signaling that the past may be prologue as Yellen's Fed prepares to raise rates next year. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note has fallen 0.71 percentage points in 2014 even as the Fed wound down its bond-buying program and mapped out a strategy to raise the benchmark federal funds rate from near zero, where it has been since 2008.
Greenspan's inability to overcome market forces to raise long-term rates back in 2004-2006, which he called a "conundrum", contributed to the worst financial crisis in 80 years in 2007-2008.
In other news, the gold market is also watching for the release today of an opinion poll ahead of next week's Swiss gold referendum. Speculation has been building over Switzerland's gold holdings ahead of the November 30 vote on a proposal that would require the Swiss National Bank to hold at least 20 percent of its assets in gold.
Russia and the conflict with Ukraine is once again the focus of news reports as well.
Russia's central bank has been accumulating gold on a massive scale in an effort to protect itself from European Union and U.S. sanctions. The Russian economy is in real trouble with a serious surge in inflation combined with stagnant wages, pushing the country into a stagflationary quagmire. Much of Russia's national income has come from oil and gas revenue and the prices of oil and natural gas have been falling precipitously.
Meanwhile, one of the factors that has Russia in this fix, the conflict in Ukraine, shows no signs of letting up. The president of Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, has declared his country is ready for "total war" with neighboring Russia as tensions between the two nations show no signs of ending.
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11.18.14 - Gold Rebounds
For the past few weeks gold has been under pressure from a stronger US dollar. That appears to be coming to an end, at least temporarily.
We have maintained all along that the US dollar cannot sustain strength for long given the US fiscal situation and Fed monetary policy.
Now, gold has rebounded to a two and a half week high as the dollar has retreated.
In fact, gold has rebounded 6.4 percent from a 4-1/2-year low of $1,131.85 on November 7.
Much of Wall Street and the Obama administration have been touting a strengthening economy in recent weeks and months. But Bank of America seems to have broken ranks with its latest forecast and there are other anecdotes that indicate the US economy isn't as healthy as some would have us believe.
There may not be a recession next year, but don't expect a year of stellar growth either, according to the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey of fund managers.
Fewer than one in ten fund managers expect a recession next year, according to the poll, but almost 80 percent forecast "below trend" growth according to a new survey.
There are two phenomena that point to long-term weakness in the US economy.
First, while much has been written about millennial children boomeranging back to live with their parents, there's another group of people who have been quietly doubling up: baby boomers and their own aging parents. And some expect this particular trend to hold as people live longer and require more expensive care at the end of their lives.
A recent survey by the American Institute of Architects found that dedicated guest rooms, including in-law suites (that can be as simple as a secondary master bedroom suite with a bathroom), have been gaining in popularity over the past couple of years. As many households become caretakers for aging relatives, separate living suites have become popular options for accommodations.
Of course not everyone has the money to make big changes to a home. Many can't add on another suite.
Second, the news is not good on the other end of the age spectrum.
The number of homeless children in the U.S. has surged in recent years to an all-time high, amounting to one child in every 30, according to a report issued by the National Center on Family Homelessness. Nearly 2.5 million American children were homeless at some point in 2013. Child homelessness increased by 8 percent nationally from 2012 to 2013, according to the report.
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11.17.14 - Global Economy in the Spotlight
As we start another new week, the news is dominated by warnings about the global economy and financial markets.
The first warning came from the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, David Cameron.
According to Cameron, the global economy is again showing worrying signs of an imminent financial crisis and he is warning of a dangerous backdrop of instability and uncertainty.
Writing in the U.K.'s Guardian newspaper, he said that this weekend's G-20 summit in Brisbane had further underlined the problems facing the global economy.
"Six years on from the financial crash that brought the world to its knees, red warning lights are once again flashing on the dashboard of the global economy," he said in the article published late Sunday.
Global trade talks have stalled, the euro zone is teetering on the brink of recession and emerging markets are now slowing down, he said. The spread of Ebola, the conflict in the Middle East and Russia's illegal actions in Ukraine are all adding to the global insecurity, according to Cameron.
The crisis may have already started in Japan, where the economy has in fact entered recession. This shock to the global economic system comes as euro zone economies stagnate.
The world's third-largest economy contracted at a 1.6 percent annual pace in the July-September quarter, the government said Monday, confounding expectations it would rebound after a big drop the quarter before. Economists had forecast that the Japanese economy would actually grow by a healthy 2.2 percent in the quarter.
The big worry is that the slowdown in Japan could have a domino effect in other economies. Even China is showing signs of a slowdown.
Geopolitical tensions are not helping matters.
The war in Syria and Iraq is just one of the wild cards. Amid fresh clashes in Ukraine, tensions between Russia and the West are rising again. European officials were meeting this week to consider adding more Russian individuals to their list of sanctions. EU leaders could agree on new sanctions aimed at Russia's economy next month.
It's no wonder economists have trimmed their forecasts for U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter with the rest of the world slowing down. Analysts see the economy growing at an annual rate of 2.7 percent in the current quarter, according to the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's quarterly survey of 42 forecasters, released on Monday. In last quarter's survey, growth for this quarter was forecast at 3.1 percent.
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11.14.14 - Eurozone GDP Report Released, Poll Shows Pessimism and Al Qaeda and ISIS Reach Accord
Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.2 percent in the third quarter according to data from Eurostat, the European Union's statistics service.
While this figure beat the consensus forecast from economists of 0.1%; it is still an anemic number. The only reason anyone is happy with this figure is because many traders feared the report might actually show that Europe had entered a recession already.
Italy remained in recession in the third quarter with its economy shrinking by 0.1 percent, after unexpectedly slipping back into recession in the second quarter.
Nancy Curtin, chief investment officer of Close Brothers Asset Management, said the figures were "nothing to write home about" and warned of a "heavily clouded" outlook for the region.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has already launched a host of stimulus measures to reverse disinflation, including cutting interest rates to record lows and announcing plans to purchase covered bonds and asset-backed securities (ABS) - and now a number of experts are calling for the bank to do more.
Full-blown quantitative easing in the shape of buying government bonds remains a very real possibility.
Given these anemic growth figures from Europe, it's little wonder that the world economy is in its worst shape in two years; with the euro area and emerging markets deteriorating and the danger of deflation rising, according to a Bloomberg Global Poll of international investors.
A plurality of 38 percent of those surveyed this week described the global economy as worsening, more than double the number who said that in the last poll in July and the most since September 2012, when Europe was mired in a recession.
Europe isn't the only source of concern in the global economy, according to the quarterly poll of 510 investors, traders and analysts who are Bloomberg subscribers. More than half of those contacted said conditions in the BRIC economies - Brazil, Russia, India and China - are getting worse.
One professional observer who has consistently expressed worries over the global economy is reminding investors of trouble ahead.
Dr. Marc Faber warned CNBC viewers late Thursday that stocks could fall all the way down to his early bearish targets.
"Two years ago, I was of the view that it would be healthy for the market to have a 20 percent correction, and that's what I've expected. And many stocks have actually had 20 percent corrections over the last two years. But a limited number of stocks have driven up the indices. And of course, let me remind you ... in three years, we've almost doubled. If you really believe that every three years the market will double, then go and buy shares. I don't believe that," warned Faber.
One darling of the bull market in stocks has been Twitter, the social media giant that has thus far failed to produce a profitable business model. Standard & Poor's assigned a junk rating to Twitter's debt yesterday. S&P's unsolicited rating of "BB-" is three notches below investment grade. The company sold $1.8 billion worth of convertible notes in September.
Finally, in geopolitical news, Jihadist terrorist leaders from the Islamic State group and Al Qaeda have agreed on a plan to stop fighting each other and work together against their enemies. Such an accord presents new difficulties and could result in an escalating threat to the West, both through economic interests around the world and a threat to Western nations directly, which in turn could potentially have economic side effects.
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11.12.14 - Focus on Europe
With no significant economic reports due out in the US this week, much of the news is understandably focused on various events in Europe, particularly Russia.
Nato officials report that Russian military equipment and Russian combat troops entered Ukraine this week.
"Russian tanks, Russian artillery, Russian air defense systems and Russian combat troops" were sighted, US General Philip Breedlove said.
The United Nations Security Council is convening an emergency session today to discuss the reported sightings. Given that Russia has veto power on the Security Council, it is virtually certain nothing will come of this.
If something does come of it, it is likely to be more sanctions from the European Union; something that would impact the already fragile EU and Russian economies.
Russian military activity in the Ukraine isn't the only military activity of concern to the Europeans.
Russia's military is engaging in "dangerous brinkmanship," according to a new report documenting dozens of recent incidents in which Russian warplanes and ships have taken aggressive or provocative actions, often in locations far away from the fighting in Ukraine.
A report by the European Leadership Network, a London-based group including former European political and military leaders, says the actions, taken together, present a "highly disturbing picture." According to the report, the incidents include "violations of national airspace, emergency scrambles, narrowly avoided mid-air collisions, close encounters at sea, simulated attack runs and other dangerous actions happening on a regular basis over a very wide geographical area."
The result, according to the European Leadership Network report, is a "volatile stand-off" between Russia and NATO. With both sides possessing nuclear weapons, the situation "is risky at best. It could prove catastrophic at worst," the report says. It calls on Russia to "urgently re-evaluate the costs and risks of continuing its more assertive military posture," and says both sides should "improve military-to-military communication and transparency."
Worries over Russia are not the only thing on the minds of investment analysts when it comes to Europe.
The European funds industry experienced its second significant slowdown in fund sales in consecutive months according to the latest industry data from Lipper.
Lipper said the reversal in long-term fund flows was mainly driven by withdrawals from equity funds and high yield bond funds.
This is an indication that investors are increasingly worried about the future of the European economy and financial markets and are becoming more risk averse.
Finally, in both Europe and the US, banks were hit with with billions in fines and vigorous rebukes today for failing to stop traders from repeatedly rigging the currency markets for half a decade at the expense of customers and the wider financial system.
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), HSBC, JPMorgan, UBS, Citibank and Bank of America Merrill Lynch were each fined hundreds of millions of dollars following lengthy investigations.
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11.11.14 - Veterans Day
**Swiss America would like to thank the gallant men and women who risked everything - and in some cases gave their lives - for our liberty and freedom. We appreciate your service and are grateful for your sacrifice.**
Today may be a normal trading day in the financial markets, but this day is often characterized by lower than normal trading volumes in US markets as we commemorate Veterans Day.
Obamacare's Legacy
As we get closer and closer to the full implementation of Obamacare and the aspects of the socialized health care program are phased in, we will increasingly see Obamacare dominate the news--and especially the economic and financial news.
That's because Obamacare is going to have an escalating role in US fiscal policy, as well as in the expenditures of American households going forward.
So far, the news on Obamacare is far from pleasing.
Obamacare architect Jonathan Gruber, an MIT professor, said in a videotaped speech at the University of Pennsylvania that lack of transparency was a major part of getting Obamacare passed, and that it was written in such a way as to take advantage of "the stupidity of the American voter."
In other words, Obamacare was purposefully designed to obfuscate how it was financed, how the subsidies worked and the other unpleasant features of the law.
More than four years after Obama signed Obamacare into law, it has become increasingly clear that Gruber wasn't exaggerating. The law's vast web of accounting gimmicks, cross subsidies, taxes and fees makes it increasingly difficult to know what Obamacare costs are for consumers, businesses and taxpayers.
Not surprisingly, many Americans are feeling as if they were cheated and the already-waning support for Obamacare will likely suffer from this revelation.
But more importantly, the eventual fiscal costs of Obamacare and its impact on consumers are simply not knowable due to the underhanded and dishonest way in which Gruber purposely structured it. This will inevitably lead to economic uncertainty, which will in turn impact the financial markets at some point.
Russia's Grand Plan
Sanctions imposed on Russia this year have had an impact on official demand for gold from Russia's central bank for a variety of reasons. First, Russia has sought to de-emphasize the US dollar as a reserve asset and replace it with gold and other assets. Another reason is that Russia is a gold mining and exporting nation and sanctions have made it difficult for Russian mining firms to export gold mined inside Russia via Russian commercial banks. The Russian central bank has stepped in to buy up the additional gold.
The main reason for the sanctions on Russia has been its involvement in the conflict in Ukraine. Sources out of Germany are now warning of a possible new escalation in the violence there.
"Everything suggests that the parties are making renewed preparations for violent conflict," German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier told reporters at a foreign-policy conference in Berlin.
Ukraine said separatists in its rebel eastern regions have announced a full mobilization. As a result, the European Union has threatened further sanctions against Russia, something that won't help anyone's economy.
Hedge Funds Teetering
We are still seeing the fallout from October's stock market volatility. The industry that seems to have taken the brunt of this is the hedge fund industry.
Last month's sharp rise in volatility did not work in hedge funds' favor, as the industry posted its sixth month of negative returns for the year. Far from producing what they promise - namely market-beating investment performance - hedge funds seem to have lost investors' hard-earned wealth at an alarming rate.
Income Inequality Still Widening
Finally, an issue that both Fed Chair Janet Yellen and President Obama repeatedly address; income inequality in the US. Yellen has claimed it is a threat to the US economy and financial markets. Yellen has even emphasized this issue in public statements when observers have been seeking her views on economic and monetary policy. Critics have called Yellen hypocritical, pointing out that Fed policies have actually contributed to income inequality by producing a bubble in the financial markets while the overall economy has been lackluster.
Now, according to a new research paper published by the University of California at Berkeley, US inequality in wealth is approaching record levels.
This could be dangerous for our economic and financial future. The authors examine the share of total wealth held by the bottom 90% of families relative to those at the very top. In the late 1920s the bottom 90% held just 16% of America's wealth—considerably less than that held by the top 0.1%, which controlled a quarter of total wealth just before the crash of 1929.
Today, the top 0.1% (consisting of 160,000 families worth $73 million on average) hold 22% of America's wealth, just shy of the 1929 peak—and almost the same share as the bottom 90% of the population.
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11.10.14 - Voices from the Past
Gold prices end slightly lower on higher stocks and a stronger U.S. dollar. U.S. stocks end higher as investors focus on record level benchmarks and volatile commodity prices. Gold last traded at $1,159 an ounce. Silver at $15.67 an ounce.
Two famous voices from the past have some interesting things to say as we embark upon another trading week.
Those two voices belong to former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan and former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev.
We've reported recently about Greenspan's comments about Fed monetary policy and the end of Quantitative Easing. But now we find out that in the course of those comments - in which he recommended individual investors buy gold - he had much more to say on the topic.
For some reason, these comments (below) were not purposely removed from the transcripts sent to media outlets:
Gold is a currency. It is still, by all evidence, a premier currency. No fiat currency, including the dollar, can match it.
Gold has always been and likely will continue to be the ultimate form of real money.
In addition to Greenspan, another voice from the past has surfaced: that of former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev.
Over the weekend Gorbachev said that tensions between the major powers have pushed the world closer to a new Cold War.
"The world is on the brink of a new Cold War. Some are even saying that it's already begun," Gorbachev said at an event marking the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall.
Tensions between Russia and the West are having an impact on the world economy as the Russian ruble comes under pressure.
Dozens of international companies depend on Russia for a significant portion of their sales and, with the ruble down over 20% in the last 3 months alone, those companies are suffering because the Russian economy is suffering.
Increasingly, Russia has turned to China for relief. Russia and China have inked trade deals and targeted the US dollar.
At this week's major Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in China, China and Russia deepened their energy ties with a second blockbuster deal that lessens Russian reliance on Europe and would secure almost a fifth of the gas supplies China needs by the end of the decade.
For their part, the Chinese see President Obama as a weak leader on his way out, which probably means China will continue to spend the next two years working to overtake America's economic supremacy and the supremacy of the US dollar.
Finally, there is yet another credible forecast that economic trouble lies ahead.
The Jerome Levy Forecasting Center is saying there is a 65 percent probability of a worldwide recession forcing a contraction in the U.S. by the end of next year. This is especially worrisome because this same firm correctly predicted both the Great Depression and the financial crisis of 2007-2008.
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11.7.14 - Gold Rebounds, Russia Rattles Europe
Gold prices end higher on downbeat U.S. jobs data. U.S. stocks end with third straight week of gains. Gold last traded at $1,169 an ounce. Silver at $15.71 an ounce.
The price of gold is on the rebound today after U.S. payroll data missed forecasts and depressed the dollar. US Labor Department data showed the US added 214,000 jobs in October. Forecasters had predicted the economy would add 231,000 in October.
Gold has been under pressure for a week from a rising dollar. The dollar surrendered some of those gains after the data from the Labor Department showed job creation was weaker than expected.
Gold may also have been buoyed by reports that a Russian mechanized column, consisting of 32 tanks and 16 self-propelled howitzers, had crossed over into Ukraine. The cross-border incursion, if confirmed, is a significant escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. A NATO military officer was quoted as saying the alliance had seen an increase in Russian troops and equipment along the border. Stock markets in Germany and France fell sharply in response.
These developments illustrate why gold has been called the "crisis commodity" for decades. During times of tension, paper assets tend to depreciate while gold is unique in its ability to provide security and stability.
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11.6.14 - Bullish Factor Emerges in Gold Market
Gold prices end slightly lower ahead of the much anticipated October employment report. U.S. stocks close at record levels after ECB hints at more aggressive stimulus measures. Gold last traded at $1,142 an ounce. Silver at $15.41 an ounce.
We have maintained all along that the price of gold at a 4-year low, combined with stocks unjustifiably at or near an all-time high, makes for one of the most attractive opportunities in gold in the 21st century.
Now a bullish factor has emerged in the gold market that reinforces this terrific opportunity to take advantage of multi-year lows in gold.
It seems a major physical shortage of both gold and silver has developed.
Silver American Eagle sales have soared to their highest level in two years and now the US Mint says it has sold out of all silver American Eagles due to the tremendous demand. They also report that they do not know exactly when they will be able to start sales back up again.
Meanwhile, statistical figures indicate there is also a physical shortage of gold. In fact, the physical shortage in gold is the most acute it has been since 2001.
Clearly something is happening in the precious metals markets which seem to be like a coiled spring ready to be released. When will the spring be released? It's impossible to know precisely. History tells us that some exogenous event will be the catalyst.
One possible catalyst of course would be a serious setback in the gravity-defying stock market.
Paul Craig Roberts of the Institute for Political Economy seems to be saying that gravity could catch up with the stock market, declaring that the "American financial markets have no relationship to reality. The divergence of markets from economic reality disturbs neither public policymakers nor economists, who promote the interests of the government and its allied interest groups. The result is an economy that is a house of cards."
Ultimately, the financial markets can only be sustained by healthy underlying economic conditions.
Two new reports call into question the health of the US economy.
The pace of growth in the U.S. services sector slowed more than previously estimated in October from a month earlier, hitting its lowest level in six months and pointing to a year-end slowdown in economic growth.
The final services sector Purchasing Managers Index compiled by information services company Markit slipped to 57.1 in October from 58.9 in September, hitting its lowest rate since April. Markit had initially estimated the index at 57.3 in its preliminary, or "flash," reading released in late October.
Taken together with Markit's manufacturing activity survey for October, which fell to a three-month low, the data suggests the brisk U.S. economic growth rate of the previous two quarters will not be sustained in the fourth quarter.
Additionally, US companies laid off over 51,000 people in October, the most since May. This is a 68% surge month over month (and a 11.9% rise year over year) - the biggest monthly rise since September 2011. Retail, Computer, and Pharma industries saw the biggest layoffs. Hiring also collapsed from the record 567,705 in September to just 147,935 in October. This was the worst October for layoffs since 2009.
Finally, Russia's assault on the US dollar continues apace. Russia may ban the circulation of the US dollar. The State Duma has been submitted a bill banning and terminating the circulation of the US dollar in Russia.
If the bill is approved, Russian citizens will have to close their dollar accounts in Russian banks within a year and exchange their dollars in cash to Russian ruble or other countries' currencies.
Otherwise their accounts will be frozen and cash dollars will be confiscated.
After the law enters into force, it will be impossible to obtain cash dollars in Russia.
RealMoneyBlog - Free daily/weekly email
11.5.14 - And Now, Back to Reality
Gold prices end sharply lower as the U.S. dollar soars. U.S. stocks end mostly higher on a rebound in oil prices. Gold last traded at $1,145 an ounce. Silver at $15.44 an ounce.
The mid-term Congressional and state-level elections are now, for the most part, behind us and it appears the political landscape in America has changed overnight.
Today the markets are digesting the gains made by the GOP.
We would caution investors not to focus too much on the game of charades so often played out in our nation's capital.
Historically, political developments have had less impact on the investment world and financial markets than economic developments and fiscal and monetary policy. The key going forward will be the future of those factors.
And the news marches on.
Gold has fallen below $1,150 per ounce today - its lowest price since mid-2010.
Gold at a 4-year low and stocks at, or near, an all-time high stand out as one of the most obvious value trades of all time, especially with the slowdown in the European and Chinese economies and Japan's recent moves to artificially stimulate its economy by debasing the yen.
As if to warn America that the results of the election will soon be forgotten, we received a rather unpleasant warning from IRS commissioner John Koskinen that the 2015 tax filing season will be a miserable one.
Meanwhile, New York Post and Washington Times columnist Charles Hurt, warns that " America now enters the two most dangerous years of her existence — or certainly the most dangerous since the Great Depression and possibly going all the way back to the Civil War."
This is not the time to be complacent. Now is the time to be more vigilant than ever. This goes double for your financial future.
RealMoneyBlog - Free daily/weekly email
11.4.14 - Election Day
Gold prices end lower on a stronger U.S. dollar. U.S. stocks end lower on global growth and oil concerns. Gold last traded at $1,167 an ounce. Silver at $15.95 an ounce.
Today is election day in America, and even though the financial markets are understandably focused on non-political issues in the news today, the election also has implications for the investment world.
There are many economic issues voters have their attention focused on as they go to the polls today, but none more prominent than Obamacare. President Obama's unpopularity has Republican candidates using Obamacare as a weapon against Democrat candidates, while Democrats are seen as fleeing from any issue closely associated with Obama.
One potential outcome of the election could be closer scrutiny of the Federal Reserve.
A Republican takeover of the U.S. Senate on Election Day would promise increased political turbulence for the Federal Reserve.
Financial executives say a GOP-led Senate would ratchet up congressional scrutiny of the central bank's interest rate policies as well as its regulatory duties as overseer of the nation's largest financial firms. Republicans haven't controlled the Senate since before the 2008 financial crisis and recession, which put a spotlight on the Fed and its powers.
"If the Republicans take control of the Senate and thus have control of both the House and the Senate--two words for the Federal Reserve: Watch out," said Camden Fine, president of the Independent Community Bankers of America.
But no matter the outcome of the election, the markets will ultimately be driven by non-political factors, such as economic growth.
Here in the US, more evidence is trickling in that the real estate market is slowing. The U.S. housing market cooled off in September, as home prices rose at an ever-slowing pace.
Globally, Europe's economic growth is foundering.
The European Commission today cut its growth forecasts for the eurozone and the European Union, citing the tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East along with a lack of investment.
The forecasts for the eurozone were dragged down by lower than-expected growth in big countries including Germany, France and Italy; the latter of which is expected to fall back into recession this year.
The biggest economies on the continent are slowing. This does not bode well for the rest of Europe. Considering Europe is one of the world's major economic and financial regions, the global economy is in trouble as well.
RealMoneyBlog - Free daily/weekly email
11.3.14 - Complacency Returns
Gold prices end lower on a stronger U.S. dollar. U.S. stocks end choppy session lower on a batch of mixed economic reports. Gold last traded at $1,166 an ounce. Silver at $15.87 an ounce.
As the first trading day of November 2014 kicks into high gear, complacency has clearly returned to Wall Street; though that complacency is flying directly in the face of some stark warnings from some extremely well-respected investment professionals.
Before we get to the situation on Wall Street, we should address the recent decline in gold to below $1200 per ounce. This is mainly the result of strength in the US dollar. Because of that, the current weakness simply has to be regarded as temporary.
There is no long-term scenario that even tries to make a case for dollar strength over the long-term.
America's fiscal and monetary situation virtually dictate dollar weakness over the long-term. The US national debt is now just over $17.9 trillion. Each day, we add $2.4 billion to the debt. This means that before 2015 makes its debut, it is likely our national debt will eclipse the $18 trillion mark. With a population of 319 million people, each citizen's share of the debt is $56,000.
Meanwhile, the federal government's annual budget deficit is still in the half a trillion dollar range, meaning we are still spending far more than we take in, so the debt will continue to grow.
This has created a Catch 22 situation. Low interest rates in the US have kept the debt artificially low. But recent rises--and rumors of rises--in interest rates are pushing the dollar higher. The problem for policymakers in Washington is that higher interest rates translate into higher interest on the debt; a potentially crippling component of our federal expenditures.
In other words, America cannot afford a stronger dollar.
The US Treasury will eventually be forced to do service our debt with dollars cheapened through the printing press.
That's why taking advantage of gold prices at current levels is so important. Over the long-term, the current gold price is going to be remembered as an amazing bargain.
There is yet more evidence that the federal debt and deficits are setting America up for big trouble ahead.
The debt-to-tax ratio in the US is now at levels unseen since World War II, the greatest armed conflict in our nation's history. Our debt levels are higher and our tax burden is higher. This does not point to a healthy US economy down the road.
Make no mistake about it: without a healthy economy, the bull market in stocks is unsustainable. Despite the complacency we are seeing on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley right now, some professionals are issuing fresh warnings about both the US economy and the stock market.
While the recent selloff in stocks seems to be in the rearview mirror for many, there's a bigger one coming within the next three months, Empire Execution president Peter Costa warns:
"The market has been on a tear for over five years. We had a small pullback of 8 percent. I don't think that's enough. I think that the market needs to come back a little bit more than that for a longer duration," Costa says.
Hedge fund veteran and newsletter editor Michael Lewitt echoes these sentiments in his latest bulletin to subscribers of his The Credit Strategist letter: "Investors should hedge their investments in order to protect themselves from the potential risks that are building as stock markets reach ever higher levels of valuation. Investors may have gotten ahead of themselves with this latest rally. Investing in stocks is not supposed to be this easy."
Finally, bond market guru Bill Gross has a new warning about the economy in general, which does not bode well for stocks. He warned today that deflation remains a growing possibility. He went on to explain that deflation is the enemy of stability and growth.
The roughly $7 trillion pumped into the financial system since the financial crisis by the world's three biggest central banks has succeeded mostly in lifting asset prices rather than the cost of goods and workers' wages, he said.
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Stayed there last night with hubby and grandfather. The bed was so hard and the pillow (if that's what you call it) was like cardboard. The door wouldn't shut properly, plus the lock on the bathroom wouldn't lock. The sink in the bathroom leaked everywhere. Their so called continental breakfast consisted of stale bread and bagels, plus dry cereal with... More
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Schreyer Institute for Teaching Excellence offers workshops
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UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. -- The Schreyer Institute for Teaching Excellence will present:
-- Teaching and Learning with Visuals from 11:15 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. Thursday, March 27, in Room 201 Chambers Building.
Faculty in many disciplines use visual representations to organize their knowledge, but their students often struggle to do so. Join Institute consultants Crystal Ramsay, research associate and instructional consultant, and Larkin Hood, research associate and instructional consultant, to discuss ways faculty can help their students learn using visuals.
To register, visit Teaching and Learning with Visuals.
-- Student Centered Discussion Training Series – Spring 2014 from 1:30 to 3:30 p.m. Thursday, March 27, to Thursday, April 17, Room 315 Rider Building.
Are you like many faculty who struggle with classroom discussions? Does it feel like you're pulling teeth? Are you assigning a reading, spending time developing exciting -- to you -- questions and presenting these questions to the class, only be confronted by a sea of blank stares? In this four-part workshop series we'll practice a revolutionary discussion model that does something truly different. It actually puts the responsibility of both content and academic discussion into the hands of the learner. Of course, it also requires a bit of courage, but the payoff is worth it.
Student Centered Discussion (SCD) is a process for training students to have productive, generative discussions about the course content. In this workshop Cindy Decker Raynak, senior instructional designer and consultant, will address how to create a climate conducive to student centered discussion, promote the skills required for effective discussion (e.g. communication, interpersonal competence and critical thinking), and provide students with a workable process for structuring discussion and tools that maximize the efficacy of discussions.
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Bankers lament 'missed opportunity' on blocks
20 December 2013
A decision by Thomson Reuters to keep auctioned block trades in its league tables has been described by some investment bankers as a "missed opportunity" and a "mystery".
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Apple to launch TV streaming service by Xmas
Apple will launch a subscription-based TV streaming service whether it has content or not. Probably the latter, if whispers vaguely wafting this way from the direction of negotiations are to be believed. The service could go live by Christmas, the sources say. New York redtop The Post claims that Apple's iTunes chief, Eddie Cue …
Must be harder for Apple...
Now they don't have Disney's number 1 shareholder on their negotiating team....
is a long way away, but knowing Apple they will succeed.
It is a shame they will patent it as their own idea.
Goodbye Love Films, BBC iplayer, Net........... etc etc.
Confused - don't they already offer movie rentals to Apple TV by Streaming?
The post is required, and must contain letters.
Re: Confused - don't they already offer movie rentals to Apple TV by Streaming?
They don't offer streaming of their entire catalogue for a fixed monthly price like Netflix though.
iTv ehh???
i cant wait for apple to say that it owns the right to use that name... (for those of you not in the UK, itv has been around for donkeys years its out channel 3 on terrestrial tv you can vind their website here http://www.itv.com/itvplayer/ so it is in competition for internet streaming... bad luck apple)
Re: iTv ehh???
Been an irrelevance for years though...
Can't understand why Apple do not commission their own content. Surely there are loads of production companies out there for them to go at.
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Hotel Bougainvillea Minowa
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TripAdvisor Reviews Hotel Bougainvillea Minowa Taito
Travel Blogs from Taito
Tour de Japan
When searching for like minded people offering free accommodation on couchsurfing.com, Natalee stumbled across a guy called Mochan, and his Wish Club. He welcomed us to join his exploring of Central Japan, so we could not refuse, especially considering the price of travel. We landed in a Tokyo and high tailed it on to the Shinkansen (Bullet Train) and whizzed like a horizontal 50's space rocket to Kyoto, where we found our new gang of tourists and Mochan, waiting for us, ...
A big day.
... So we chatted about favourite experiences from the holiday. Several of the kids listed the day at peace museum in Hiroshima, and onsen rated a few votes - surprisingly from the girls given their carry on before hopping in (although not from Emily - apparently she was a very eager participant - as was Jeremy). For a couple of us there was a favourite hour or 2 of skiing - the last afternoon at Nozawa up on the Yamabiku lift, and the ...
... we headed back to Shinjuku (the place we went on our first night in Tokyo) for dinner. Jackie wanted to try a place that was in a basement along a back alley....sure! What's the worst that can happen? A man greeted us at the door and took us down the steep stairs into a tiny restaurant in a basement......and it was amazing....as usual in Tokyo. We had some great food and drinks before heading home for bed. On Wednesday morning we relaxed a bit in the ...
Vacation Stop #1
... s. I had a wonderful meal and drink (rice, miso soup, tofu, strips of pork and veg to be washed down by a fresh fruity kiwi drink). I was satisfied but my explorations weren't over yet. (Funny how you can be tired and telling yourself time to go home but you see something else and wanna go explore still; I was frustrated with myself but gave in) so I tell myself, self and myself and I went (yea we still connected to bim) ...
How To Do A Million Things in One Day - Tokyo
... to Konami and Fujifilm headquarters and has a lot of very high end boutiques, restaurants and even a 24hr grocery store called Pecce. Pecce had samples like Costco. Pecce's samples were better.
Our final stop of the day put us in Ebisu which isn't really a tourist destination but it is where local 9-5'ers go after work to get dinner. There are no signs in English. Most of the restaurants specialize in one type of dish and this all ...
Other places to stay in Taito
Asakusa View HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 4 star hotelfrom $103
Chisun Inn AsakusaUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $67
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Smile Hotel AsakusaUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $54
Belmonte HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $86
Oak HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $50
Blue Wave Inn AsakusaUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $74
Hotel Villa Fontaine Ueno2-4-4 Kojima , Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $88
Hotel New UenoUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $80
Aizuya InnUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $25
Ueno Touganeya HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $73
Hotel YanagibashiUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $70
Dormy Inn Express AsakusaUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $124
Iriya Station HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $15
Hotel New GyominsoUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $25
Hotel Asakusa MikawayaUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $126
Ueno New Izu HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $51
Chisun Hotel UenoUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 2 star hotelfrom $76
Sutton Place Hotel UenoUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $89
Hotel Sardonyx UenoUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $81
Nonsmokers HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $74
Hotel Park SideUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | 3 star hotelfrom $98
Asakusa Central HotelUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $67
Toyoko Inn Asakusa Kuramae KaminarimonUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $72
Suigetsu Hotel OhgaisouUeno/Asakusa/Ryogoku/Adachi, Taito | Hotelfrom $70
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Securities and Exchange Commission
FT: SEC Investigates a Magnetar Deal
By Ryan Chittum Jun 15, 2011 at 12:42 PM
The FT's Kara Scannell scoops that the SEC is investigating a Magnetar CDO deal, probing Merrill Lynch and its handpicked... More
Audit notes: Buffett on newspapers, Times-Picayune, SEC lets Lehman go
A vow to invest in newspapers and protect them from interference
By Ryan Chittum May 24, 2012 at 05:59 PM
This is the most hopeful thing I've read about the business of newspapers in a long, long time: I'll quote... More
Audit Notes: C
NN, SEC scorched, how we read now
By Ryan Chittum Apr 9, 2014 at 03:00 PM
CNN is launching a show built for Twitter called Your 15 Second Morning, The Wall Street Journal reports. Fifteen seconds!... More
Audit notes: Dollar dictator, the SEC's small fry, Americans go Swiss
The Federal Reserve doesn't answer solely to Ben Bernanke
By Ryan Chittum May 4, 2012 at 02:21 AM
The Atlantic's Matthew O'Brien, whom you should really be reading, raises an important point lost in all the discussion about... More
Audit Notes: Lehman, Off the Hook; Foreclosure Scandal; Bloomberg Snooze
By Ryan Chittum Jun 3, 2011 at 05:23 PM
Bloomberg News scoops that the fearsome SEC is going to let top executives from Lehman Brothers off the hook without... More
Audit Notes: Magnetar Misled, Anonymous But On the Record, WSJ Jet Probe
By Ryan Chittum Jun 23, 2011 at 07:49 PM
I wrote about JPMorgan's Magnetar settlement this morning, but it's important to note that it shows once and for all... More
Audit Notes: Statute of limitations, whither The Daily, Romney's taxes
The WSJ on how the clock may (or may not) be running out on the SEC
By Ryan Chittum Jul 17, 2012 at 01:55 AM
The Wall Street Journal is good to keep an eye on the statutes of limitation clocks that are running out... More
Bank of America's Merrill scandal reignites
The NYT reports former CEO Ken Lewis admits shareholders got bad information
By Ryan Chittum Jun 4, 2012 at 03:00 PM
The New York Times's Gretchen Morgenson has a big story today on how Bank of America fooled shareholders into approving... More
DealBook's sympathy for the SEC
NYT access gives the bumbling agency its preferred angle on Lehman inaction
By Ryan Chittum Sep 13, 2013 at 07:00 AM
The New York Times's DealBook once again publishes a story about how the valiant crimefighters at the SEC who really,... More
Fraud Without Fraudsters; Fraud Without "Fraud"
The SEC's settlement with JPMorgan Chase on a Magnetar deal
By Ryan Chittum Jun 23, 2011 at 02:02 PM
How is it possible to file a civil fraud lawsuit against a bank without filing them against a banker? That's... More
Matt Taibbi vs. the SEC
Rolling Stone gets no credit from most of the press for a huge scoop
By Felix Salmon Aug 19, 2011 at 10:58 AM
Matt Taibbi's 5,000-word exposé of the SEC's document-shredding is a magnificent piece of journalism, and is the first and last... More
Outsourcing Investigations to the Suspects
The Washington Post looks at how the SEC lets companies probe themselves
By Ryan Chittum May 23, 2011 at 12:48 PM
If you're a watchdog/government regulator and you suspect a company of committing crimes, it's probably not the best idea to... More
ProPublica Has Questions for the SEC on Its Citi Settlement
By Ryan Chittum Oct 21, 2011 at 01:30 PM
I really like how ProPublica covers the SEC's $285 million settlement with Citigroup this week. The commission nicked Citi for... More
Reuters Brings a Deustche Derivatives Whistleblower to the Surface
By Ryan Chittum Jun 24, 2011 at 12:40 PM
Reuters's Matthew Goldstein has an eye-raising scoop today, reporting that Deutsche Bank fired a top credit default swaps trader in... More
SEC Scooplets From the WSJ
By Ryan Chittum Jun 17, 2011 at 12:28 PM
The Wall Street Journal reports this morning that the SEC is finally considering charging the credit raters—critical components of the... More
The Times gives the SEC's Khuzami a parting kiss
The enforcement chief still gets the "new sheriff in town" treatment
By Ryan Chittum Jan 10, 2013 at 06:50 AM
It's at least easy to understand the logic, however icky, of the beat sweetener, that staple of news coverage that... More
The revolving door spins for Robert Khuzami
Former SEC enforcement chief lands a $5 million a year gig
By Ryan Chittum Jul 23, 2013 at 06:50 AM
Robert Khuzami made the big bucks as Deutsche Bank's general counsel for the Americas during the subprime securitization orgy, which... More
The SEC's Madoff Mess Gets Worse
The commission's former top lawyer faces a possible criminal conflict of interest investigation
By Ryan Chittum Sep 20, 2011 at 07:33 PM
Louise Story and Gretchen Morgenson report that the SEC's inspector general is referring the David M. Becker case to the... More
Serial creators don't know what will happen to Adnan Syed - New developments in his legal case suggest that the outcome is wide open
The press is responsible for ignoring Bill Cosby rape allegations - Where were journalists 10 years ago when claims originally surfaced against him?
Journalism has a plagiarism problem. But it's not the one you'd expect - Fareed Zakaria's case highlights news organizations' ethical grey areas
4 topics John Oliver explained more clearly than television news - The political satirist brings explainer comedy to HBO viewers
Will radio save science journalism? - WNYC will soon have a new health unit
My take: The end of an era in Tampa (14)
Serial creators don't know what will happen to Adnan Syed (14)
Beware labeling Pope Francis a liberal (8)
The press is responsible for ignoring Bill Cosby rape allegations (6)
Journalism has a plagiarism problem. But it's not the one you'd expect (4)
Email blasts from CJR writers and editors
CNN reporters in Ferguson provide coverage of CNN reporters in Ferguson (Slate)
"[T]here was little that justified CNN's egocentric coverage"
Which media outlets use 'illegal immigrant'? (Fusion)
"[I]n spite of all the good reasons not to use the phrase, it is still very easy to find in the US press, even in headlines"
Jack Shafer on losing his job (Capital New York)
"Right now, my immediate plan is to go to work as a lay therapist at The Intercept to bring the healing there so John Cook and Matt Taibbi can return. I have great interpersonal skills."
On outlets that continue to call unknown drone victims 'militants' (The Intercept)
"Like the US drone program itself, this deceitful media practice continues unabated"
Greg Marx discusses democracy and news with Tom Rosenstiel of the American Press Institute
CJR's Guide to Online News Startups
ACEsTooHigh.com – Reporting on the science, education, and policy surrounding childhood trauma
Who Owns What
The Business of Digital Journalism
A report from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism
Questions and exercises for journalism students.
Should all journalists be on Twitter? – Reasons to take up or forgo the 140-character platform
Is it ever okay to name victims? – Editors question the policy of omitting information in sexual assault and domestic violence cases


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This silver colored paper sack is a great way to carry festive items. Fill it with candy, toys, or confetti, and make something extraordinary out of your party. The built-in handle makes it extra easy to carry. Each bag measures 17" deep and 13" wide.
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text:
I'm searching for ancestors of Herbert Addison Sayre and Maggie Curl. The Sayre side is fairly simple, there seems to be fairly solid documention on that side. The Curl side seems a bit more tangled.
I'm starting knowing that my grandfather was Clarence Herbert Sayre, m. Alice Marie Allen, son of Herbert Sayre and Margaret/Maggie Curl, with a sister of Pauline.
I'm not really sure how to present the data I've discovered so far, so I'll try to summarize then list sources at the end.
Maggie Curl was the daughter of Thomas E Curl and Maggie E (unknown maiden name). At first, because of the 1900 record listed belowe, I assumed that Thomas E Curl had a father named Thomas E also. In the 1900 census Thomas is listed as a male, born abt 1860, a widower. In 1880 and 1885, a Thomas E, b. 1831, is living with Maggie E. I thought this was her husband's dad because of the age difference and the fact that Thomas, in 1900, is a widower.
This gets a bit more complex. Suddenly, in 1905, a Mrs T E is listed as a widow. Looking at the image of 1900, it actually looks as though the sex of Thomas was female, scratched out and made male. I think Maggie E used her husband's name and whoever tallied the 1900 data saw the name Thomas and figure it was a mistake and changed it.
So, I now think Thomas E Curl, b. 1831 Ohio, married Maggie E, b. Aug 1860 Iowa. They seem to have no children in 1880, so I assume that Hary, Maggie, Olive, Goldia and Harold are the children of both of them. Thomas E is old enough that he could very well have had a previous wife and children. It may also be possible that Maggie E was pregnant with Hary before Thomas E married her?
Anyway, Thomas E Curl seems to have died between 1885 and 1900.
Does this all seem plausible? Does anyone have any further info on Thomas E Curl or Maggie E?
Year: 1880; Census Place: Junction, Davis, Kansas; Roll 379; Family History Film: 1254379; Page: 237B; Enumeration District: 54; Image: 0035
Thomas E Curl, 50, b. abt 1831 Ohio, a boarder of the Bartlett household, a travelling salesman. Both parents born in Ohio.
A Margret E Curl, 20, b. abt 1860 Iowa, resides there, too, also a boarder. Both parents born in Pennsylvania.
1885 Kansas Territory Census. Microfilm reel K-1. Kansas State Historical Society
Thomas Curl, 54, b. abt 1831 Ohio, a trader. Married.
Maggie, 24, b. abt 1860 Iowa
Hary, 5, b. abt 1880 Kansas
Maggie, 1 1/2, b. abt 1883 Kansas
Year: 1900; Census Place: Chanute, Neosho, Kansas; Roll T623_ 492; Page: 14B; Enumeration District: 149
Thomas Curl, widower, is listed as head of the household. b. Aug 1860 Iowa with parents both born in Ohio.
He has the following children:
Maggie, daughter, b. Sep 1883 Kansas, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Olive, daughter, b. Feb 1890 Missouri, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Goldia, daughter, b. Apr 1893 Oklahoma, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Harold, daughter, b. Jul 1895 Oklahoma, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Notes: Thomas's sex on this form is crossed out and changed to M from F. The age is that of Maggie E as well as the birthplace, but the parent birthplace given is Thomas E's. I assume Hary died.
1905 Kansas State Census. Microfilm reels K-1 - K-181. Kansas State Historical Society
Mrs. T E Curl, 45, b. abt 1860 Iowa
Olive, 15, b. abt 1890 Missouri
Goldia, 10, b. abt 1895 Oklahoma
Harold, 8, b. abt 1897 Oklahoma
Maggie Sayre, 21, b. abt 1884 Kansas
Bert Sayre, 29, b. abt 1876 Kansas
Notes: Herbert listed birthplace as Kansas. It was Illinois.
Year: 1910; Census Place: Neodesha Ward 3, Wilson, Kansas; Roll T624_459; Page: 5B; Enumeration District: 220; Image: 1330
Horris Haynes is married to Olive, has a son and his mother-in-law and brother-in-law live with him:
Olive, 20, b. abt 1890 Missouri, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Margrett, 49, b. abt 1861 Iowa, father born Indianna, mother Ohio. Margrette is a widow and a mother of 4, all 4 of which lived.
Harold, 15, b. abt 1895 Oklahoma, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Notes: Margaret's parents' birthplace seems to differ here. 1880, both were listed as Pennsylvania, now it's Indianna and Ohio. She also shows as having 4 children that all lived. Hary doesn't seem to be counted, should have been 4 of 5 children that lived.
Year: 1920;Census Place: Eldorado Ward 2, Butler, Kansas; Roll T625_524; Page: 9A; Enumeration District: 16; Image: 101
Herbert Sayre, 42, b. abt 1878 Illinois, father born New Jersey, mother born Illinois
Margaret, 36, b. abt 1884 Kansas, father born Ohio, mother born Iowa
Clarence H, 14, b. abt 1906 Kansas, father born Illinois, mother born Iowa
Pauline, 10, b. abt 1910 Kansas, father born Illinois, mother born Iowa
1925 Kansas State Census. Microfilm reels K-1 – K-177. Kansas State Historical Society
HA [Herbert Addison] Sayre, 49, b. abt 1876 Kansas
Margaret, 42, b. abt 1883 Kansas
EH [Clarence H], 21, b. abt 1904 Kansas
Elle [Alice], 21, b. abt 1904 Kansas
Rauline [Pauline], 21, b. abt 1910 Kansas
Paul L, 1, b. abt 1924 Kansas
Year: 1930; Census Place: El Dorado, Butler, Kansas; Roll 695; Page: 25A; Enumeration District: 16; Image: 287.0
Herbert Sayre, 54, b. abt 1876 Illinois, father born Illinois, mother born Illinois
Margaret, 47, b. abt 1883 Missouri, father born Ohio, mother born Missouri
Pauline, 20, b. abt 1910 Kansas, father born Illinois, mother born Missouri
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Windows Embedded
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Less prominent in this pavilion is the Circle of Life, a film featuring Timon and Pumbaa. Sadly it's all too easy to walk past on your way to the attractions on offer downstairs, but if you do, you're missing a real treat. Just like Universe of Energy, there's a really serious message contained in this, this time about conservation, and the blend of education, and entertainment is just perfect. It's really thought-provoking, and definitely worth taking the time to see.
I honestly wish I could say the same about the next attraction, and it's one we often skip. Journey into Imagination with Figment has gone through a real identity crisis, having made several changes over the years. This version is the best in some time, but even so, again it's rare to see it with a line. It's fun, but somehow for me, it still isn't clicking together in the way I'd like it to.
Moving into the World Showcase, I'm going to put Reflections of China, O Canada! and Impressions de France together, as they are all essentially the same thing. They're all films about the countries they are located in, and I can honestly say, without exception, they are absolutely beautiful. They've all undergone improvements in the last few years, and that's really helped to bring them all up to date. It's all too easy to bypass them, especially as they do all tend to be a bit hidden away in their pavilions, but if you take the time to explore and find them, you'll find it to be worthwhile. I will say that it does help if you've been lucky enough to visit the places you're seeing, but even if you haven't, it may spark an interest in seeing them. And to me, that's what World Showcase is about, sparking off that interest.
I will say here that there's also the movie at the end of Maelstrom in the Norway pavillion, although like many other guests, we usually duck straight through it—this just isn't as up to date and relevant as the other movies, to me. It's a shame, as Norway is a beautiful country; I just don't feel this does it the justice it deserves.
The other World Showcase attraction on my list is the American Adventure, and again, it's all too easy to pass this one by. We often do, but on our last visit we took the time to see it, and we were really impressed by this re-telling of American history, and its use of audio-animatronic figures. If you haven't seen it in some time, be sure to put it on your list for your next visit.
Outside of those attractions, there are plenty of other things to see and do in World Showcase. It's all too easy to miss the various performers found in each of the countries. We always try to catch at least a couple, and I think during the years, we've been lucky enough to see most of them. All of those we've seen are certainly worth your time. The countries themselves are also attractions that are also often overlooked, with hidden nooks and crannies, but that's another article all on its own!
In the next part of this series, we'll be turning our attention to Disney's Hollywood Studios, and looking at some of their often overlooked attractions.
Epcot - Journey Into Imagination
Inside Figment's Open House, which turns everything on its head! - photo by chezp
About the Author: Cheryl and husband Mark live in England and love to travel, particularly to Disney, and they have made numerous visits to destinations across America and Europe. They recently completed their tour of every Disney theme park around the world, which culminated in their visit to Japan, including the Tokyo Disney Resort. Click here to view more of Cheryl's articles!
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RPGs are notorious for their ability to take over people's lives. Final Fantasy XII has gone one step further than that - the game's director, Yasumi Matsuno, left Square Enix last year, either due to health issues or having been asked to resign, depending on who you talk to about it. Either way, it's hard not to see Final Fantasy XII as the game capable of breaking its creators, and Square Enix's patience - and after playing it, you'll see why. It's a game with a soul - by which we mean (less wankily) almost everything about it is rendered with artistry and utter class. Or, even less wankily, it looks bloody gorgeous, is an enormous achievement and plays unlike any other Final Fantasy RPG ever made. Well, ever released in the UK...
It's got a surprising amount in common with the massively multi-player online RPG and UK-release absentee Final Fantasy XI, offering the kind of real-time-ish combat you'd find in a PC MMO like World Of Warcraft. We'll come back to it later, but it may well be a bone of contention for those long-serving FF addicts who are used to random battles and the line-dancing rhythm of turn-based fights. And, on top of that, there may be another off-putting aspect for those who want their FF games to be the same as the last one, but with new characters: the story. The lengthy opening cut-scene is typically beautiful and luxurious, but just as bleak. Lots of people die and the story quickly becomes muddier than a Welsh caravan. Depressing? Not at all. If anything, it's a refreshing change from the GCSE melodrama that most RPGs are happy to pass off as a plot. Messy? Hell, yes. The bad guys aren't pure evil and the good guys aren't saints; hardly anyone in FFXII has a clean CV as far as karma goes. We would elaborate on the finer details, but there's just no room suffice to say that its dark and complex plot is told stylishly via the in-game cut-scenes. Rendered with enormous attention to detail, when characters speak their faces and bodies say just as much as their gobs, to stunning effect. Some of the westernised voice acting may feel a bit weird to begin with, as it draws on so many accents to provide dialogue for its mix of races, from Icelandic to cockney English. It starts out feeling like a culture clash, but it'll soon grow on you. And it helps that the script is well written - totally grown-up and unafraid to use big words if they apply.
Visually, it's just as excellent, as rich with detail as you'd expect from a top-flight Squeenix RPG, but a far cry from the cartoony, cake-and-jelly looks of the publisher's last two great adventures, Kingdom Hearts 2 and Dragon Quest VIII. It's rugged as hell, but still bright and beautiful - Moogles and Chocobos have never looked so vivid, while other races, such as the bunny-eared Viera and the troll-like Seeq, are stunners. Towns are full of people and the environments are huge, which is no small feat since they're actually there to be explored, and not restricted to some invisible, pre-rendered corridors for you jog through. They're packed with secrets and hidden creatures, and virtually all areas are designed to be revisited, featuring daunting enemies or caves you'll have no choice but to run from first time around.
As far as combat goes, you can play FFXII as a purely menu-driven experience, if you like, pausing the action and directing every single move of your three-strong team. Scraps are seamless - you can see all the enemies around you, and choose to avoid them - and use time-dependent action meters along with blue/red trails that spit between you and your enemies to show who's attacking who. It takes hardly any time to adjust to, and makes for the feeling of exploring a detailed, believable world instead of simply a sequence towns and dungeons. And then there are the Gambits (see Final FAQtasy), a bravely complex idea for such a mainstream RPG, that allow you to program your team to look after themselves - you're always in control, but never have to babysit. It's brilliant and means that fights can zing along at an exciting and unruly-looking pace, always giving you the option of total control.


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26 And the LORD spoke to Moses and to Aaron, saying, 27 "How long shall this wicked congregation grumble against me?...28 Say to them, 'As I live, declares the LORD, what you have said in my hearing I will do to you: 29 your dead bodies shall fall in this wilderness,...31 But your little ones, who you said would become a prey, I will bring in, and they shall know the land that you have rejected. Numbers 14:26-31
Life is all about choices.
Attitude is our first one. When I encounter a situation that is not what I think it should be, I must choose to see it like the proverbial glass half full or half empty. Those two perspectives take me to two very different places.
God cares very much about our choice between the two. Apart from the Cross itself, I believe the most radical thing He ever did in Scripture is in Numbers 14 where He said to a whole generation of His own children, "I can't take your grumbling anymore. Go on back into the wilderness and die." He loved these people; He miraculously and dramatically rescued these people. But no matter what He did for them, they flat out refused to stop stirring each other up with all their whining. So, God decided to give their kids the blessing that they wouldn't let Him give to them. All because they refused to look at their situation with a grateful attitude. Very simply, God would have been pleased if they had just drawn the line between all the ways He had protected and cared for them and a heart-felt "thank you, Lord." Their gratitude would have changed history.
Even pagans see the impact of a thankful attitude. Pick up most "self-improvement" bestsellers or tune in to the talk show circuit and you'll hear this same word on the top of everyone's list on how to have a better life: gratitude. A grateful life is a healthier, happier life-this from people who don't even know the Lord. Just imagine the joy available for those of us who are His own.
Yes, joy flows when you stop circling on difficult circumstances and turn your attention to the blessings that are yours in Christ Jesus. How? Start by giving thanks for all that you have received from Him. Be personal and specific, rehearsing His faithfulness from big things to small. Like a fragrant offering, your gratitude rises to God and blesses Him and in turn, His blessing fills you with such faith that the pattern of your life turns from complaining to thankfulness.
—James MacDonald
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Flushing Meadows Corona Park
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Wildlife viewing is a perfect activity for any age. Our Urban Park Rangers will guide you to the best wildlife viewing spots in New York City.
Birding programs are appropriate for all skill levels and beginners are welcome.
To enhance your experience we encourage you to bring binoculars and field guides, or ask a Ranger to borrow a pair.
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27 posts and 1 follower since Mar 2012
Carved Pirate Ship covered in buttercream and candy clay panels. Sail is wax paper that has been baked in the oven.
pirate ship
Mar 2012
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Michal Bulla
... Mar 2012
Well done!
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