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stempublishing.com : J. N. Darby : Synopsis : 2 Timothy : Introduction | Next chapter |
Introduction Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 |
The special character of the epistle as the expressions of Paul's heart in sight of the Church's failure and departureThe second epistle to Timothy has a very peculiar character. It is the expression of his heart, who outside Palestine had, under God, founded and built the assembly of God on earth, and it was written in sight of its failure, and its departure from the principles on which he had established it. God remained faithful; His foundation was sure and immovable; but the work committed into the hands of men was already enfeebled and decaying. The consciousness of this state of things, which moreover betrayed itself in the way in which the apostle himself was then forsaken, oppressed his heart; and he pours it out into the bosom of his faithful Timothy. By this means the Spirit instructs us in the solemn truth, that the church has not kept its first estate, and sets before us the ways of safety for those who seek God, and desire to please Him, in such a state of things as this. The apostle John's witnessThe apostle John gives the history of the fall of the assembly here below, and of its judgment, and that of the world likewise. He also sets before us a life which, apart from all questions of the assembly's condition, abides ever the same, which renders us capable of enjoying God, and makes us resemble Him in His nature and character. Paul's painful experience that of all the servants of God; man's failure; the sure foundationAs a witness John was to remain until the Lord came: but Paul sees for himself the ruin of that which he had built and watched over so faithfully. He had spent himself for the assembly, accomplishing that which was behind of the sufferings of Christ; and he had to see that which he had so much loved (which he had cared for even as a mother cherishes her nursling which he had planted as God's plant on the earth) grow feeble as to its condition and testimony in the world, depart from the source of strength, and become corrupt. What a painful experience! But it is that of the servant of God in all ages and in all dispensations. He sees indeed the power of God acting to plant the testimony on earth, but he sees that men soon fail in it. The house inhabited by the Holy Ghost becomes dilapidated and in disorder. Nevertheless (and we love to repeat it with the apostle) the sure foundation of the Lord abides for ever. Whatever may be the condition of the whole company, the individual is always to depart from all iniquity, and to maintain, by himself if need be, the true testimony of the name of the Lord. This can never fail the faithful soul. The apostle's comfort when afflicted and forsakenIn view of the mixture and confusion which began to show itself in the assembly, the apostle's comfort was founded on these two principles, while remembering and joyfully availing himself of the communion and faithfulness of some precious souls. He had such as Timothy and Onesiphorus, amid the afflictions of the gospel and the sorrow of being forsaken by so many who were seals to his testimony before the Lord. |
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Luck's Building, corner of Colombo & Gloucester Streets, Christchurch
Luck's Building, corner of Colombo & Gloucester Streets, Christchurch
[ca. 1912]
E. Wheeler & Son
The building, designed by Benjamin Mountfort, was built ca. 1870
File Reference CCL PhotoCD 2, IMG0022
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Authorities say 129 cases in 13 states were reported by mid-April, the bulk of them in California and New York City. Most were triggered by travelers who caught the virus abroad and spread it in the United States among unvaccinated people. Many of the travelers had been to the Philippines, where a recent measles epidemic has caused at least 20,000 illnesses.
The U.S. numbers remain relatively tiny, but officials are worried to see case counts growing.
Since 2000, the highly contagious disease has been considered eliminated in the United States, aside from occasional small outbreaks sparked by overseas travelers. For most of the last decade, the nation was seeing only about 60 cases a year.
But since 2010, the average has been nearly 160.
"This increase in cases may be a 'new normal,' unfortunately," said Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University in Nashville.
Contributing to the problem: Decades of measles vaccination campaigns have been so successful that many doctors have never seen a case, don't realize how contagious it is, and may not take necessary steps to stop it from spreading.
Among the 58 cases reported from California, at least 11 were infected in doctor's offices, hospitals or other health-care settings, according to a report released Thursday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. New York City health officials say two of their 26 cases were infected in medical facilities.
"It's a shock to younger physicians that their own waiting room or emergency room is where people can get measles," said the CDC's Dr. Anne Schuchat.
Also on Thursday, a medical journal - the Annals of Internal Medicine - released a commentary warning doctors to prevent that kind of situation.
"We must ensure that our facilities do not become centers for secondary measles transmission," wrote Dr. Julia Shaklee Sammons, an infectious disease specialist at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia.
She urged doctors who suspect a measles case to place the patient in an isolation room with special ventilation that keeps the air from circulating around the building. Doctors and nurses should also wear surgical masks or respirators to protect themselves from getting infected, and to ask the infected patient to wear a surgical mask too.
The measles virus spreads easily through the air, and in closed rooms. Infected droplets can linger for up to two hours after the sick person leaves.
It causes a fever, runny nose, cough and a rash all over the body. In rare cases, measles can be deadly, and is particularly dangerous for children. Infection can also cause pregnant women to have a miscarriage or premature birth.
Before a vaccine became available about 50 years ago, nearly all children got measles by their 15th birthday. In those days, nearly 500 Americans died from measles each year.
A bad resurgence of measles hit the nation in 1989 to 1991, when 55,000 cases were reported. That flood of cases was blamed on a widespread failure to vaccinate uninsured children.
In reaction, the federal government started a program in 1994 to pay for vaccines for kids who are uninsured, in the Medicaid program, or meet other criteria.
In a report released Thursday, CDC officials estimated that the program and other childhood vaccination efforts will prevent 322 million illnesses and 732,000 premature deaths over the course of the lifetimes of children born in the years 1994 through 2013.
Wrapped into that estimate are 71 million measles cases, nearly 9 million measles hospitalizations and 57,000 measles deaths.
There has been no measles deaths reported in the U.S. since 2003. "But the way we're going, we feel it (another) is inevitable," Schuchat said.
Today, the measles vaccination rate is above 95 percent for children of kindergarten age. But there has been a small but growing trend of parents seeking exemptions for their children from school-entry vaccination requirements for religious or philosophical reasons. Other parents have tried to space out, or delay, measles vaccinations because of fears that the shot will trigger autism or other problems.
Measles outbreaks are more common in communities where such beliefs are more common, experts say. "It's often concentrated there. Folks who think similarly tend to live in the same neighborhood or attend the same religious organization," Schaffner said.
The CDC national tally may already be outdated. Also on Thursday, Ohio officials announced a new cluster of 13 suspected cases in rural Knox County. At least three traveled to the Philippines last month on a religious humanitarian mission.
About 17 percent of U.S. cases this year were vaccinated. Health officials say that although the vaccine is very effective, it's not perfect.


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Number of Prongs | 2 |


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Get your frying pans at the ready as one of our favourite days of the year is here - it's Pancake Day!
Here are some fun facts about Shrove Tuesday to get you in the mood for the day:
1. The idea of eating pancakes on Shrove Tuesday is more than 1,000 years old! They were originally invented as a way of using up all the leftover fatty and rich foods before Lent begins on Ash Wednesday.
2. In total, Brits use an unbelievable 52 million eggs on Pancake Day. That's 22 million more than any other day.
3. The largest pancake ever made measured 15 metres and weighed in at three tonnes – you'll need a lot of sugar and lemon for that one.
4. The most flips anyone has ever done with a pancake is 349 flips in two minutes. That's 'flipping' good!
5. Over a lifetime, an average person will eat 7,300 eggs.
6. In France, people like to make a wish before flipping their pancakes. They do this while holding a coin in the other hand.
7. On average we consume two pancakes per person on Pancake Day, which means that we get through 117 million pancakes in one day! This requires enough milk to fill more than 93 Olympic swimming pools and almost 13 million kilos of plain flour.
8. We all have our preferences for pancake toppings but the weirdest pancake toppings have to be sour cream and caviar, ketchup and mustard, peanut butter and ice cream, coco pops and cream, cream cheese and strawberries.
9. Andrei Smirnov from Russia ate a colossal 73 pancakes in one hour! That's more than one a minute.
10. The Guiness World Record for the most pancakes served in eight hours is 34,818.
11. Before baking soda was invented, cooks often used fresh snow as it contained ammonia, which helped the pancakes come out fluffy and soft.
12. It isn't just us - William Shakespeare was a pancake lover! It is reflected in many of his plays.
13. The highest pancake toss reached 329cm high. Good luck trying to beat that!
14. In France and the United States Pancake day is called Mardi Gras which means 'Fat' or 'Grease Tuesday'.
Will you be scoffing pancakes this evening? Do you have a preference for the flat crepe-type pancake or the smaller and thicker style? What's your favourite topping? Tell us how you'll be celebrating Pancake Day below.
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Circulating Metabolites Associated with Alcohol Intake in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition Cohort
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2018-05-22)
Identifying the metabolites associated with alcohol consumption may provide insights into the metabolic pathways through which alcohol may affect human health. We studied associations of alcohol consumption with circulating concentrations of 123 metabolites among 2974 healthy participants from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study. Alcohol consumption at ...


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Yeah, so about those spring training stats.... Chad Billingsley was magnificent, even if he was facing the lowly Padres (if a team can be called lowly after two games, it's the Padres). TT went 8 1/3, allowing only three hits and striking out 11 (!). Andre Ethier started his campaign for a long-term contract, lighting up the lefty Cory Luebke for a double, a triple and four (!) RBIs. Matt Kemp chipped in with two hits, a ribbie and stolen base #1, and Juan Rivera had the other RBI.
The only downsides? Dee Gordon struck out two more times and Juan Uribe was Juan Uribe. (In other words, he went 0 for 4.)
5:35 p.m. start tomorrow — join us as the Dodgers look to guarantee a series win!
AP photo


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"The first kick I took was when I hit the ground." — Bruce Springsteen, "Born in the USA."
So now, Jonah has received a lesson in How Things Are. He is 19 months old.
Sitting on his mother's lap on a recent Delta Air Lines flight on approach to Atlanta, he was doing what babies tend to do on airplanes, particularly airplanes that are changing altitude. He was crying his little head off.
Shut that "n—-r baby" up.
Those were the alleged words of the alleged man in the next seat just before he allegedly slapped the baby with an open palm, leaving a scratch below his right eye. The alleged man, 60-year-old Joe Rickey Hundley of Hayden, ID, denies this sequence of events and pleaded not guilty last week to a charge of simple assault. But at least one witness corroborates the story, as told by Jonah's mother, 33-year-old Jessica Bennett. She and her husband are white. Their adopted son is African-American.
Hundley's attorney, Marcia Shein, promises her client is no racist. In so doing, she embraces the cognitive dissonance that so often afflicts Americans when they are confronted with the ponderous idiocy of tribal hatred. Michael Richards, you will recall, said the same thing after a "comedy" routine in which he hurled the N-word at a heckler and suggested the man should be lynched. Mel Gibson swore he wasn't an anti-Semite shortly after he cursed the Jews and accused them of starting all the world's wars.
Shein also says she has received hate mail for defending Hundley. Which is troubling, but not unexpected. Shein's client is among the more reviled men in the country just now. The aerospace company for which he was an executive has denounced and dumped him. The Internet rings with condemnation of him. Someone called him a monster. More than one person spoke of wringing Hundley's neck had it been their child.
Small wonder. There is something visceral and immediate in what he is said to have done. Who hits a baby? Who looks at a baby and sees an object of loathing?
Still, all that notwithstanding, something about the response to this act of violence feels faintly facile and self-deluding. After all, Hundley's alleged animus toward black people, if not his expression thereof, is as American as monster trucks, woven through the fabric of our law, economics, health care, education, news media and culture. We tend to forget that not every slap is physical — nor is every injury they inflict. There is violence and there is violence — emotional, verbal, intellectual, monetary.
We are rightfully outraged that someone would call a baby by a racial slur and then strike him.
But it is a matter of statistical fact that Jonah, from the moment he was born, stood an excellent chance of being struck in other ways. Of being failed by his school. Of being steered into the criminal injustice system as if prison was his natural habitat. Of being denied housing. Of being denied health care. Of being denied loans. Of being denied work. Of being denied his very individuality. There is also an excellent chance — indeed, a virtual certainty — most of us will respond to this with a collective shrug, assuming we see it at all; such things tend to become socio-cultural wallpaper when they are not happening to you.
It's easier to get worked up about violence that is visceral and immediate, particularly when it is directed against a child. We will be a better country, though, when we are willing to expend some of that outrage upon the violence we commit against African-American children every day, systemic blows that are at once more subtle, more pervasive and more damaging.
Because the truth of How Things Are is that, over the course of his life, Jonah is likely to be struck many times in many different ways.
This was just the first.
(Leonard Pitts is a columnist for the Miami Herald, 1 Herald Plaza, Miami, Fla., 33132. Readers may contact him via email at email@example.com.)
Photo: Kootenai County Sheriff


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Patton: Cobra to the Rhine
1st Infantry Division 2nd Infantry Division 3rd Infantry Division 4th Infantry Division 5th Infantry Division 8th Infantry Division 9th Infantry Division 28th Infantry Division 29th Infantry Division 30th Infantry Division 35th Infantry Division 36th Infantry Division 44th Infantry Division 45th Infantry Division 79th Infantry Division 80th Infantry Division 83rd Infantry Division 90th Infantry Division 94th Infantry Division 95th Infantry Division 104th Infantry Division
442nd Infantry Regiment
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301st Bombardment Group
"Invasion of Normandy" "Liberation of Western Europe"
Ghlin Belgium was the scene of the Allies fighting or traveling through during World War II. Maybe you plan to travel to Ghlin Belgium or you may live near there. But in our motion picture DVDs about World War II, you will see what Ghlin Belgium looked like during this fateful event in history.
This raw movie film footage was shot by the US Army Signal Corps Photographers and brought to you by Combat Reels.
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History of REFMAR project
In 2000, the Institut Géographique National (IGN) and SHOM initiated the development of the SONEL (coastal sea level observation system) project, subsequently joined by the Université de La Rochelle and the LEGOS. The main aim was to provide scientific users with products resulting from the synergy of modern observation and analysis techniques available in the fields of tide gauging and geodesy. This primary objective continues today through the SONEL by the establishment of mean levels and comparing them with permanent GPS data co-located with the tide-gauges. In particular, SONEL thus continues the data centre and GPS computation activity and distributes the resulting products. Parallel REFMAR was hatched in 2010 as a result of taking charge of the "tidal" of SONEL.
In the beginning, SONEL
Since its origin, somehow or other SONEL has developed by means of a "best effort" approach by the SHOM, IGN, LEGOS, and Université de La Rochelle partners. The coordination and development of the SONEL computer system have thus been carried out in the Université de La Rochelle. The SONEL project and its demonstration model have, however, been very well received by the international community, with the distribution of the first tide gauge time data in January 2003, thus positioning France in second place in Europe for supplying this type of data.
However, due to a lack of legitimate national framework and numerous emerging applications, SONEL has been unable to bring together the sea level observation networks.
Birth REFMAR
REFMAR acquired this legitimacy through the Prime Ministerial instruction dated 20 April 2010, which targets the reasoned and rational development of efforts in the field of "in-situ" observation of the sea level on the coast using tide gauges; the exchange of know-how and results; the safe-guarding of historical observations; the scientific valorisation of the observations acquired by various bodies whose vocation is not always the same.
REFMAR concept
REFMAR adopts the concept of bringing together independent networks under the responsibility of partner bodies whilst also attending to the integration of the emerging networks at territorial scale for practical distribution through a single outlet. Through REFMAR, the latter can find a complementary distribution and valorisation of their data, as well as scientific and technical support for checking the quality of their observatories and, where applicable, contribute to their being brought up to standard. Do not hesitate to contact us in order to add other tide gauge measurement points. If you so request, we can provide you with a standard agreement.
For more information
- Instruction du Premier ministre relative à l'observation du niveau de la mer et à la gestion et à la diffusion des données (n°863/SGMer du 20 avril 2010)
Last update of the page: August 21, 2012


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Case Knives Engraved
• Peach seed jigged amber bone handle
• Closed length: 4" (10.16 cm)
• Weight: 3.3 ounces
• Made in the USA
Specifications | |
Closed Length | 4 inches |
Blade Edge | Plain |
Point | Hawkbill |
Handle Material | Bone |
Blade Color | Silver/Gray |
Knife Type | Folding |
Handle Color | Brown/Tan |
Country of Origin | USA |
W.R. Case & Sons Cutlery Company of Bradford, Pennsylvania, is one of the most recognized names in the knife industry. The company, which has made handcrafted knives since 1889, has introduced innovation while continuing to make knives the old-fashioned way - through the hands of skilled craftsmen.
Case offers knives to fit virtually any need, from the convenience of a handy pocketknife to working and hunting knives and specialty cutlery such as the RussLock® which can be opened with one hand and this yearÂs new Mini Trapper with Golf Tool and Hobo® with Spoon. Case offers hundreds of different styles of knives, including many original designs such as the popular CopperLockÂ, Baby Butterbean, Sod Buster® and XX-Changer®.
CaseÂs commitment to quality begins with the materials used in production and is perfected by the talented hands of the master craftsmen and skilled employees who make Case knives.
Only the finest handle materials are used by Case. Materials include: imported Brazilian cattle bone used because of its density and strength; hardwoods such as rosewood; elegant mother-of-pearl and the new turquoise and black Jet stone.
In addition to a wide variety of handle materials, Case distinguishes certain handles with specially created patterns called jigs. Jigged bone is bone that has been notched to give it a rough texture. Jigging is done by hand for any knife sporting a Vintage Bone handle. Case has a variety of jig patterns including: Smooth, Standard, Rogers, Corn Cob, Rogers Corn Cob and PeachSeed.
Case customers have a choice of two different types of steel: the convenience of TruSharp surgical steel, a high-carbon stainless cutlery steel, or the tradition of chrome vanadium. While the surgical steel blades are easier to maintain and more resistant to rust and corrosion, many traditionalists prefer chrome vanadium, the original type of blade used by Case.
Case spares no expense on the internal components of its knives. While the average consumer doesnÂt always notice the genuine brass liners or the nickel silver bolsters, these special touches are key to making a knife that will last for generations.
Perhaps the most famous quality assurance Case has is the distinctive ÂXX that each Case knife wears like a badge of honor. The stamp of quality on each Case knife blade signifies that the blade has been properly tempered and tested  not once, but twice. It is more time consuming to produce a Case knife  on average, each knife takes eight weeks to make and is touched by more than 125 sets of hands  but the folks at Case believe the end result is a knife unlike any other on the market today.
Video of the engraving process
Looking for a way to give your knife an extra dash of pizzazz? At Knife Depot, you can customize any of our 10, 000 knives with an inscription or logo. The cost is $19.99 per knife for up to three knives with the same inscription. If you want four or more knives with the same inscription or logo, it costs $5.99 per knife. Click here for more information about our engraved knives.


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Former FBI Director Louis Freeh has been brought in to be a "special investigative counsel" for Penn State's internal look into how its officials handled reports that former assistant football coach Jerry Sandusky might have been sexually abusing young boys.
Penn State trustee Kenneth Frazier, the CEO of drug giant Merck & Co., just announced Freeh's role. Frazier chairs the trustees' special investigations committee.
Sandusky, who says he is innocent, faces 40 criminal counts related to the alleged abuse of at least eight boys over more than a decade — sometimes on campus property. Two university officials have been charged with lying to a grand jury about what they knew as long ago as 1998 and failing to report the possible abuse to police. They profess their innocence.
Long-time head football coach Joe Paterno and school President Graham Spanier lost their jobs after coming under fire for allegedly not doing enough to stop what might have been happening.
Frazier, speaking at a news conference, said the Penn State investigation will spare no university officials — past or president — from scrutiny.
Freeh was FBI director from 1993 to 2001. He was a U.S. District Court judge (appointed by President George H.W. Bush) before that. A graduate of Rutgers University and Rutgers School of Law, he founded and chairs Freeh Group International Solutions, "an independent global risk management firm serving in the areas of business integrity and compliance, safety and security, and investigations and due diligence."
Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.


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Q&A: 'Crazy Eyes' actress Uzo Aduba is crazy about her fans
"Orange Is the New Black" actress Uzo Aduba is flooded with marriage proposals these days.
"People on the street, people on Twitter ask, 'Can I be your prison wife?' I'm like you know, 'Name the day and the time,'" Aduba joked.
Aduba plays Suzanne "Crazy Eyes" Warren on the Netflix Inc. original series about a women's prison.
She's nominated for an Emmy Award for outstanding guest actress in a comedy series along with her "Orange" co-stars Laverne Cox and Natasha Lyonne.
Fan reaction also includes questions about her character's unique hairstyle and her most memorable quotes. "'Chocolate and vanilla swirl,' always. Throwing pie, dandelions, that they're not crazy, they're unique," she said. "For it to be received the way it has been, it's humbling."
For Aduba, the role is much more than Suzanne's quirky hairdo and scene-stealing one-liners. In a recent interview with The Associated Press, the Nigerian-American actress said she's thrilled to be involved in a show that is pushing boundaries and shattering stereotypes.
AP: Is the discussion about the lack of diversity in Hollywood overblown?
Aduba: I don't think it's overblown if I'm speaking candidly. I think the attraction is the freshness of it, the uniqueness of it. I think that's what the thirst is for, something else and different and new with regards to diversity, with regards to gender, with regards to orientation representation, with regards to the number of each of those things on a singular show. I think all of those things brought together is what is exciting and thrilling for people to see on the show.
AP: The series has a number of celebrity fans, including your friend Lupita Nyong'o. How did you meet?
Aduba: We met some years ago in this play 'Eclipsed' (written by) another friend of ours Danai Gurira, who's on 'The Walking Dead.' ... We did (the play) together and she's just so phenomenally talented and just so beautiful from her heart to her work as well. Just like phenomenal.
AP: Nyong'o has had an extraordinary year, including her Oscar win.
Aduba: It makes me proud. It just makes me happy. It makes me want to beam because I root (for her), and if I could have pom-poms, like you know what I mean, I would carry them. ... You feel like this is a person whose head and spirit is of the right place. ... And you stepping into this (success), it's like yes, that's exactly how it should be.
AP: There's a stereotype about women in Hollywood not getting along. Has that been your experience?
Aduba: There is a myth out in the world that women can't work together. And I don't know if it's a chicken or an egg thing or what, but ... it's not true. ... I think it's an idea that is put out there maybe to divide and conquer. ... It's something that I just have to write off as being a lie. If you bring good people together, regardless of their gender ... they're going to collaborate and support each other and that's going to happen. And that's what I feel like I'm a part of on 'Orange.'
AP: What was it like to receive an Emmy nomination?
Aduba: The word is bananas or crazy (pause) eyes. ... I just love to act. I like to make good work. And I like to tell good stories, and I'm just thankful, humbled and grateful that people are enjoying it as much as we enjoyed making it, you know?
AP: Do you have an Emmy dress picked out?
Aduba: I have no idea yet. I dream in color and I have visions of feelings and energies that I would love to feel.
AP: How would you like to feel on Emmy night?
Aduba: Beautiful and full. Those two things: beautiful and full.
Follow Nicole Evatt at http://twitter.com/NicoleEvatt


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"Veterans don't need free stuff and they're not asking for free stuff and
they're not looking for handouts; they're looking for professional
advice." - Brian Stann
UFC middleweight contender Brian Stann's fight has never been restricted solely to the Octagon, so as the horror stories of war turn into horror stories at home for many who have served the United States in the armed forces overseas only to return to no jobs and little preparation for life after their service is completed, the decorated veteran of the Marine Corps continues to battle daily for his brothers and sisters in arms.
"Time magazine recently did a cover story on the suicide rate of our veterans right now, and there have been years where more veterans died due to suicide than they did in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan," said Stann, who also serves as the President and CEO of Hire Heroes USA, which was created to help transition veterans back into civilian life and aid in getting them job training and jobs. "And a major problem is the huge unemployment rate for our veterans right now. For veterans ages 20 to 24 that served in Iraq and Afghanistan, the unemployment rate is well over 20 percent."
Not surprisingly, Stann, 32, is not giving up the fight, and with the Wednesday announcement that Hire Heroes USA has joined with Google, the US Chamber of Commerce's Hiring Our Heroes, and the Institute for Military Veterans and Families to create the website VetNet, he's got some pretty powerful reinforcements.
"It (VetNet) provides these people with one place to go to get all the resources they need for their transition out of the military and into the civilian workforce," said Stann. "There are 40,000 organizations out there that say they help veterans and advertise that they help veterans, and to be quite honest, not all 40,000 of them are good or really do help veterans. So it could be very confusing. Where should I go, what should I do to get set up for my next career?"
And when men and women are discharged from the military, they're not exactly eased back into their lives out of uniform.
"The military will generally do a transition assistance program, which is two or three days of very general guidance and training, resumes and job searches, and you're looking at classes where you have one instructor and anywhere from 50 to 200 service members that are transitioning out," he said. "So veterans don't get an awful lot from that program and when they get out, it's on them to take charge of their future and compete in the employment market and find their next career."
Not to mention that while there are several organizations out there that do good work, several others are well-intentioned but not really helping, and some are just not helping at all.
"It's tough and you have to focus a lot on word of mouth and asking fellow veterans which organizations are for real and which aren't," said Stann of the obstacles facing returning vets in finding the right resources to get on the right track to finding a job. "The big problem is that some of the organizations that really don't do a very good job helping veterans, they don't realize they don't do a good job. They honestly think they do, and they think by throwing a couple events and advertising and spending a bunch of donated dollars on free giveaways is actually helping veterans transition when that's not the case. Veterans don't need free stuff and they're not asking for free stuff and they're not looking for handouts; they're looking for professional advice. And just like any regular college graduate activates their alumni network when they graduate to go find a job, that's what veterans are looking to do. And that's what we've put together here so that they don't need to go searching around and sifting through organizations that won't necessarily help them and they can get the latest and up to date content and resources to help them at one place."
And as Stann points out, the muscle Google possesses has helped separate the good from the bad for VetNet.
"What Google has done here is that they went out and did a lot of due diligence and they went and chose who they believe – and their partners believe – are the best in class in each individual area, and that's how Hire Heroes USA, the US Chamber of Commerce's Hiring Our Heroes program, and the Institute for Military Veterans and Families were chosen to be part of VetNet and how it was created."
As for the website itself, it's cleanly designed and easy to navigate, with clear areas for each specific goal of the visitor.
"There are three training tracks depending on where a veteran is in their transition," he said. "The basic training track, which is powered by Hire Heroes USA, the organization that I'm leading, is where you're going to go to begin working on your resume, your cover letter, your value proposition and your interview skills. And we've put all of our best resources on this website and we'll be doing a lot of Google Hangouts, where we'll be able to answer personal questions for all the veterans that need help, conduct training online, and really use Google's resources to reach thousands more veterans. And every time we do this, it's recorded and it's added to the resource library in that track. And the two other tracks that are on VetNet are more of your career track and entrepreneur track, which are powered by the US Chamber of Commerce and the Institute for Military Veterans and Families."
Sounds like this fight has just begun, but Stann is in for the long haul.
"This allows us to help many more thousands now."
For more information, visit VetNetHQ.com
UFC Performance Institute
Dana White On The Opening Of UFC PI Mexico


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[Simon] says it's neither conservative nor liberal, and I believe him, but there is hardly any question that no liberal would explore the question of what happens when a large group of people begin subverting the truth for political purposes. Well, they wouldn't explore this going on in a liberal institution. I'm sure they'd explore it in, say, the conservative movement.
And that's part of the problem right there, isn't? Liberals style themselves truth-tellers and truth-seekers, but as we're seeing yesterday and today, they embargo truths that aren't helpful to the Great Patriotic Cause of Progressivism/Marxism.-- it's still more argh blargh liberalz blocked mah big hit play.
Ace's attempt to break into the liberal arts by sitting sullenly in the corner of a Modern Drama class and drawing superheroes in his notebook is extremely disappointing to me. I don't know why, but I keep hoping against hope that he'll live up to his putative expectations of himself, and he never does.
I guess I'm just tired of all the rightwing gabble about "culture" being such stupid bullshit. In the Ace post previously treated, he referred to an old Rod Dreher whither-culture bleat that, expectedly, is worse than useless -- Dreher too seems to intuit that if you can't drop politics long enough to actually engage your imagination, you're not going to make any art, but he also seems to believe the acceptable alternative is endless pseudo-philosophical gassing along the lines of "conservatives have names like Lenny and liberals have names like Carl." (And if you are foolish enough to follow Dreher's links, I warn you, you will be punished by Dreher and Will Wilkinson talking about country music. You'll need about a half-hour of Uncle Dave Macon to wash that out of your head.)
I have a theory about why this is all coming up now. These guys recently lost something they'd been living on for years -- the illusion that they are America, all by themselves, with no bleeding-hearts allowed. It's an illusion we liberals learned to give up on long ago, of course. But it may be hard for conservatives to learn that most voters are okay with the man they're convinced is a Maoist Black Power Chicago thug -- or at least that voters like him better than them. In their dejection they wander the streets, and finally enter the libraries and music shops, pick up the books and instruments there, and, peering at them like curious apes, wonder: Maybe pretty thing faggots like am powerful? Maybe if Ace use them him feel good?
I think they're less interested in art than in art therapy.


text:
It seems that I have been on a bit of a quest for the ultimate burger lately and I think that I may have found it. Last time I tried getting a nice high quality fatty ground beef and paying attention to the details when preparing and cooking the burgers. Although the burgers turned out great I had another idea to try; wagyu beef. Wagyu is a breed of cattle whose meat is predisposed to fatty marbling. The fat is important for burgers as it adds flavour and it helps to keep the burgers nice and moist and juicy when they are cooked. The wagyu beef promised to make a juicy and tasty burger indeed!
When making burgers I often spice them up a bit and one of my favorite ways to do that is with Montreal steak spice. This time however, I wanted to get the full wagyu beef experience so I seasoned them simply with just salt and pepper. Despite the simple seasoning the wagyu burgers turned out great! I enjoyed the first one topped simply with lettuce and tomato so that I could really taste the wagyu beef. (Of course if you prefer you can top the burger any way you like and certainly the bacon and cheese version makes for a much better photo.) The wagyu burger was nice and juicy and tender and it was easily the best burger that I have ever had! Because the wagyu beef is a bit more expensive I don't think that I will be using it all the time but it will certainly be making appearances for special occasions.
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- Assemble burgers to taste.


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Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Brian Giles
In my previous posting regarding our potential free agents and the trading deadline, I did not include Brian. I did not include him principally because he's not a free agent at the end of this season should the Club decide to exercise the option, so he automatically falls into the category of "less likely to be traded". Furthermore, at this stage we're just not terribly interested in trading him.
Before anyone gets upset at that statement, I will say that we would entertain trading anybody if we felt it would make us better - I don't believe in the concept of "untouchable". Every player has a threshold that would force our hand. Certain players may very well have a threshold that is completely unrealistic, so for all intents and purposes, they're untouchable, but nobody is truly untouchable. Anything can happen.
Many of the arguments in favor of trading Brian suggested that the chances are slim for the Padres in 2009. Given the current state of the NL West, our history the past four seasons, the continued maturity of our young players, and payroll flexibility this winter, nobody at the Padres is ready to acquiesce to such an outlook. Don't misunderstand me, we will always attempt to be prudent as we assess the balance of short-term and long-term, but I don't believe any team in baseball should be ready to give up on a season nine months before it even begins, especially with the parity in today's game.
The second reason, and the more important one, is very simply that Brian is the type of player we want our young position players to emulate. It's one thing for us or our coaches to try to explain our philosophy, but it's quite another, and much more powerful, to have a working example. I don't think I can emphasize this enough, especially considering the number of young position players currently on the team and expected to be on the team going forward.
In the current season Brian is hitting .301 with a .394 obp and a .433 slg. His .394 obp stands 6th in the NL, and it's the best on the Padres by a wide margin. Furthermore, Brian has walked more than he has struck out so far this year, which would mark the 10th consecutive season of that accomplishment. Though the slugging percentage is below his .512 career mark, it is the highest in his past three seasons and his ISO has been very steady over the past three years. In short, throughout his career Brian has personified the patience with power philosophy - posting quality at-bats in seemingly every plate appearance. He has been precisely what we want our young hitters to become.
In addition to his performance on the field (and in the outfield, for that matter), Brian also brings a number of intangibles to our team. First and foremost, Brian plays hard and plays through pain. Before banging his knee into the wall last season he had played in at least 158 games for three consecutive seasons. He wants to be on the field, and he wants to win. As many of you know, Brian is also a bit, how shall I say, irreverant in the clubhouse, which is incredibly helpful over the course of a long season. He loves playing the game, and it shows.
Brian may be the elder statesman among our position players at this point, but that leadership role could positively impact the Padres in 2008, 2009, and well beyond.
34 comments:
- John McGillivray said...
I agree. You should keep Giles.
He gets on base around 9 out of every 10 games played.
You need more steady OBP per game players like him. - July 16, 2008 at 10:41 AM
- Verdant Earl said...
Giles might not be the monster he was from 1999-2002, but he is exactly the kind of guy I would want on my team.
Great post. - July 16, 2008 at 10:54 AM
Forget emulation,
Folks just need to realize that he's still an All Star away from Petco.
Just compare road splits 2005-2007
Matt Holliday -
854 AB, 127R, 240H, 54 2B, 7 3B, 30HR, 73BB, 126RBI, .281/.346/.466 BA/OBP/Slug
Brian Giles -
850 AB, 151R, 253H, 63 2B, 3 3B, 29HR, 150BB, .298/.404/.481 BA/OBP/Slug
And that trend has continued into 08. - July 16, 2008 at 11:27 AM
- Steve24 said...
Also, if I'm not mistaken there is a 3 million dollar kicker in his contract should he be traded.
That makes it all the more unlikely that a team would give up equal value to acquire Brian right now (or at least enough to match his current value at a lower salary with the Padres right now). So basically if the Padres were to move Brian they'd get back $0.75 on the dollar (my best guess since I'm not a front office guy).
I'm all for elder statesmen and guys who can set an example for younger players. Thats one reason the Tony Clark signing made sense (since well knew he wouldn't play as much as he did in Arizona and unfortunately without the ab's he's just not as effective this year). But that just seems like spin to me. In this case I don't see that as being the major factor in keeping him (especially with guys like Maddux/Clark/Hoffman currently on the team and veteran options that could be brought in, like a Tony Clark or L.Gonzalez with FLA and a much lesser price than Giles is currently making).
To me moving Brian would make more sense if the Padres had a minor leaguer in AAA and Brian was blocking his development at the major league level. At that time it just doesn't seem that is the case (with Headley & Hairston already getting ab's in the OF).
When you factor in -
a.) The lack of other major league ready options in the system to play in the OF this year and next
b.) the value you'd get in return (or lack thereof due mostly to the 3 mil kicker in his contract)
moving Giles just doesn't seem like a good move. - July 16, 2008 at 11:52 AM
In high school I was lucky enough to work out with Brian a few times in the off season when he was with the Indians as he would spend part of his winter with his dad, an assistant coach on our team. He has the same personality now as he did then and is fun to be around.
The problem with the existing team is other than BG and AG, the hitters have shown they can not make adjustments in a game built on making adjustments. Heck, even KG admitted to the press that he can not see the low and away breaking pitches. I think the padres should strongly consider contact gap hitters as they alter the baseball chemistry of the club (and no, I am not talking of weak contact hitters that have not panned out at the MLB level), and I would love to see a few guys who could hit the other way with authority instead of grounding out to the left side.
When your biggest threat behind Gonzo is second year Kouzmanoff or a non-full time Scott-Mendoza-Hairston, the order can easily be picked apart my opposing pitchers. Granted Kouz is starting to light it up as has Hairston, but if we were to add one bat that would invoke fear in opposing pitchers, the synergy will make all of the other batters better. Think of how drastically the padres improved last year with the acquisition of Bradley. In letting Cameron AND Bradley walk, and replacing two bats with a misplaced Edmonds, I am not totally sure how the FO could come to the conclusion that the rest of the lineup would perform.
BG is a great asset on and off the field, the club house, and getting on base, but we need to get some people that can hit him in more often instead of leaving him stranded at first with no outs.
On that note, I wonder if the dbacks and pads would consider moving Drew for Greene. Both are having off years, have similar defensive capabilities, and both would benefit from a change in scenery. - July 16, 2008 at 12:05 PM
- Wazzel Sport's Humor said...
Giles is a nice player and is certainly someone that does not have to be traded. His defense is quite underrated, he works counts, and can be an above average RF'r offensively. The fact that he can serve as a leader and example for younger players (and the community) is just sweet, sweet icing on the cake.
However, as you stated earlier 4 x 0 does not equal 0 and you need to give up quality to get quality. Giles could be a very nice trade piece for a team like ATL (should they be buyers) who needs corner OF help in a bad way.
For all the great qualities Giles has, he is quite possibly at his peak value right now and it could be a good time to sell if the price is right for the following reasons:
1) He is having the best year he's had since 2005 and it is possible in the second half Giles will regress to his 06-07 levels. It's hard to imagine Giles doing much better in the future than he has done from April-July this year.
2) He is 37 now and will be 38 in 09. I know players age better in the modern game, but when you get into that age bracket you are playing with fire. His skills could diminish very quickly and the injury risks keep raising. Giles already missed 41 games last year due to injury and by your post and his latest injury it is clear injuries are a factor in his 08 campaign (making it all the more impressive).
3) His GB% has risen in each of past 5 years. His isoP has remained fairly constant the past 3 years, but his power rates are hardly celebratory, and the fact that he keeps pounding more and more balls into the ground is a bit telling as to his ability to drive the ball (although his LD% is at a 3 year high, but I have my own issues with the legitimacy of LD% and its subjectivity)
4) Salary. It goes up if he's traded, and the Pads could make the deal sweeter to teams by covering his trade bonus and remaining 08 salary, but clearing 9 million dollars for the off-season. Even if the return for Giles was not an 09 ML ready OF, the salary saved is enough to fill his production with a veteran if need be
Ultimately the offers are what matters, but I think what it comes down to is how the organization sees Giles future performance from here on out (July 16, 08 - October 09), his contributions in the clubhouse, and weigh those factors with the potential return.
If the Pads could turn Giles and a piece into a good (not necessarily great) OF'r close to (or already in, like Brandon Jones) the majors it would be really hard to say no to I feel.
It is my belief that trading Giles and cash (I am aware that his salary increases if traded) to a team could be a move that benefits the Padres chances for 09 and beyond, so a trade of Giles doesn't necessarily mean the pads would punt 09 (where they should have a legitimate chance). - July 16, 2008 at 12:26 PM
- Wazzel Sport's Humor said...
On a side note (and Mr. DePodesta probably can't answer this, but maybe some of you readers can weigh in), how do the Padres view Mark Prior's future? I liked the gamble in the off-season, but obviously any time you gamble with Prior, the medical staff is more important in evaluation than anyone.
With the success Kerry Wood has had this year in the pen (and most notably, staying off the DL) is there a belief that maybe the pen is a good place for Prior to try? - July 16, 2008 at 12:29 PM
- Editor said...
I understand the rationale, but don't like it. While I know Adrian has talked about watching Giles and emulating him, if Giles served as such a great educational example, the lineup would be much stronger right now. Greene has been able to watch Giles for four years now, and he has regressed not progressed at the plate.
While providing a presence of "intangibles" sounds beneficial, nothing in the way the players have played over the last few years shows any of those intangibles statistically changing the team. Which is the problem I see when a player's talent is based on "intangibles": it can be used at any given moment when the qualitative analysis fails.
Giles at 36 has seen more and more DL time. His acquisition was to provide stability and pop to the order. Due to injury and time, he has provided neither. His numbers have decreased, making him better at the top of the order. His speed has declined, resulting in an inability to cover ground. Combined with a declining arm, even the possible contribution of a wily defensive presence has diminished.
I love reading this blog and seeing your statistical analysis. But I become disheartened when I read about a 36 year old outfielder, with declining power numbers being retained, even beyond this year, because of intangibles.
Finally, it pains me to write all of that, because Giles is a great person and more than a decent player. I guess, with hindsight being what it is, I am still upset the team didn't give Bay or Nady a chance, but remain adamant about a corner outfielder with intangibles. - July 16, 2008 at 1:14 PM
- Paul DePodesta said...
I completely agree with most of what you said. The only thing is that Brian won't be here simply because of his intangibles. That .394 obp goes a long way, too. He's basically been the same player for the past three seasons, and that player is a pretty valuable one.
Also, I hear you on the influence on the players who have already been on the team for a while. However, I am more focused on guys like Headley, Hundley, and others yet to come (Venable, Antonelli, Huffman, Blanks, etc). These players are the first ones to have been developed with this particular philosophy at the minor league level, so having an example at the Major League level is important. - July 16, 2008 at 1:28 PM
- field39 said...
I am all in favor of getting better sooner rather than later, tomorrow works for me. How? The last I heard, Daddy Warbucks hasn't taken over, and there won't be a free agent spending spree in the off season. That leaves trades and the farm system. If you have ruled out trading any of your big guns, that leaves the farm. Do you expect this team to go from a 100 game loser, to a 90 games winner, based on moving players up from AA and AAA?
- July 16, 2008 at 1:43 PM
- No More Lies said...
The very thought of holding on to Brian Giles is the kind of last place thinking for a last place team. It would be very stupid if the Padres do not trade him. But then again, look at the Padres record....2nd worst in all of baseball.
Brian Giles makes 10 million dollars and has 30 rbi! Think about that for a minute. Giles ranks 64th in mlb outfielders in rbi. That is deplorable and should be unacceptable. The very idea that you should hold onto Giles because he is Mr. Wacky in the clubhouse and he draws 2 walks a game is just plain stupid and last place thinking. By the way, I bet fans just flock to Petco to watch Giles draw 2 walks a game and strikeout looking in his 3rd at bat. Holding on to Brian Giles would be a huge mistake..but it would explain alot of how the Padres got to where they are now. In closing, the Padres are a last place team (and very boring) with Brian Giles, why not trade him for a player that at least one day MIGHT be exciting. Unless of course you think walks are exciting. - July 16, 2008 at 3:43 PM
- Wazzel Sport's Humor said...
Your splits argument caught my eye and I know similar splits exist for Adrian Gonzalez and Khalil Greene (and plenty of others). When you look further into the splits it just adds to the mystery that is PETCO.
Logically you would assume PETCO's impact on hitters is strictly on turning potential HR's into outs (which is big) but that doesn't seem to be the effect it has had on Giles (with the exception of 2007).
The reason for Giles disparity in home/road splits is mainly a function of his BABIP at home and on the road. Since BABIP isn't affected at all by HR's, you wouldn't figure the BABIP discrepancies from PETCO and AWAY splits would be that great. Yet for Giles, it seems to be huge.
year home/away
08: .282/.367
07: .277/.296
06: .276/.267
05: .290/.336
04: .298/.295
In 04 and 06 the BABIPs were pretty close and as a result those happened to be years that Giles home/away splits were pretty equal.
In 05 there was a huge disparity in BABIP's, and that is the explanation for the splits. Even when you adjust for HR rate (I chose to use HR per BIP) the numbers are still skewed greatly because of the BABIP. We are seeing similar results to 05 in 2008, where Giles HR power is actually BETTER at PETCO, but his road splits are so drastic because the difference in the BABIP's are ridiculous.
07 was drastic strictly because of the difference in HR rates on home vs away, but this is the only year the HR rates drastically explained the disparity in production.
What does this all mean? I'm not sure exactly, but perhaps Giles splits are more random than anything. Obviously PETCO has an effect, but if the splits are BABIP driven, why would PETCO affect that stat??? Why would PETCO's spacious dimensions have a negative impact on balls in play??? Is it a confidence issue in the hitters? Do hitters face the sun more often in PETCO? Is there some weather factor? Are the mounds higher? Adrian Gonzalez also has huge BABIP home/away splits so Giles is not alone here. Padres teams have had better BABIP's on the road than home in every year but 05, although the results are a bit less drastic than some of Giles splits.
I don't know the answer to any of those questions, but the bottom line is that Giles splits disparity is more BABIP driven than anything (I would call 07 more of an aberration than anything given the other 3.6 seasons). Yet, there seems to be a clear connection in home/away BABIP's for the Padres since PETCO opened, so I'd like to know what about PETCO causes lower BABIP's. Any guesses/answers??? - July 16, 2008 at 4:12 PM
- Nathan said...
trading Giles (if we were to trade him at all) seems like something that would be much more likely to happen in the offseason. Unless a team becomes completely desperate in their need for a veteran OFer in the next 2 weeks, it's more likely that there would be better value for him either in the offseason or during the season next year.
I'm not sure about that "and beyond" talk. I'm not very excited about making a habit of signing (re-signing, whatever) 39 year old free agents to multi-million dollar contracts. Giles is a good player who has had a very good career, but he's no Maddux or Piazza. - July 16, 2008 at 4:13 PM
- Paul DePodesta said...
no more lies,
RBI? Really? Really? - July 16, 2008 at 4:13 PM
- No More Lies said...
Uh yeah. Considering the Padres have scored 2 or fewer runs in 40 games this year....you had better look at RBI. 10 million dollars for 30 of them is not too good. That is what Brian Giles has managed to accumulate this year. Not too solid for the number 3 hitter in your line-up.
- July 16, 2008 at 4:28 PM
- ThaCEO said...
RBI is a worthless statistic in my mind. What is not is OBI%(percentage of baserunners batted in)
Giles always seems to rank low in this category(or lower than one would expect)
of players w/ more than 100 ABs, Giles ranks 249th in this category, park effects or not, that is pathetic! and not the kind of guy I think you want batting 3rd.
As a leadoff hitter, I think Giles is fantastic. Although some may argue the Padres should trade his salary(get prospects!) and save the cash to sign a long term, middle of the order LF(like Pat Burrell), something the teams does not have, or I do not believe it has in the minors - July 16, 2008 at 4:42 PM
- Steve24 said...
I'd rather move Giles' salary (Mets or Braves) and use it along with the money cleared from Maddux (10 mil plus 3.5 mil from Barrett) coming off the books and then bring in Adam Dunn in the offseason.
He's a veteran (yet almost 10 years younger than Giles), has a very high career OBP and he's shown that he can most certainly hit the ball out of Petco. He's also a very good clubhouse guy (he's taken Jay Bruce under his wing).
You take a hit with his defense but the Pads need a legit CF anyway (Reggie Willits!!!! Deal them T.Clark for the stretch run, they could use him at DH and 1b and as a PH). He would hit fifth with Kouz fourth (maybe Headley down the road) and Adrian third. You get your new CF to lead off (or maybe resign Cameron if Mil doesn't pick up his option and you can't get Willits) and hit him 6th. Then sign and Orlando Hudson (his D with Kahlil up the middle would be one of the best in baseball and Adrian at 1b you've got great infield defense).
Lineup would look something like this -
1. R.Willits CF (high obp)
2. C.Headley LF (high obp)
3. Adrian 1b (high obp)
4. K.Kouz 3b (Kouz is Kouz)
5. A.Dunn RF (high obp)
6. O.Hudson 2b (great D)
7. K.Greene (low obp, great D)
8. J.Bard/Hundley
I'd like a stronger defensive C but I don't see any standout guys being available on the market (Pudge is a FA but he's just about done. He might be nice for the young pitchers to throw to in a platoon with Bard however).
The problem that I still see is moving Giles isn't as easy at it would seem, which again is why Giles won't be dealt. - July 16, 2008 at 5:27 PM
how long is it going to take this front office to realize that the fences need to be moved in? attendance will continue to plummet because fans win or lose want to see offense. not 1-2 games. im sick of balls dieing at the warning track where in any other park in baseball it would be a home run. This ball park sucks! period! - July 16, 2008 at 5:29 PM
- Steve24 said...
no more lies,
Hard to judge him on the rbi's there. I mean he has led off in 128 of his ab's this year. Can't fault him for the fact he's not in a run producing spot in the lineup all the time.
And with regards to the RBI thing... I read a long time ago about the Rico Brogna theory. I don't recall who came up with it but it basically made the argument that if you bat a player in the 4 hole, even a mediocre player like Rico Brogna, they can drive in 100 runs (which happened in '98 & '99 despite an ops of .765 and .790 respectively).
In case you don't want to do the math, Giles OPS this year is .827 meaning that if he hit forth, he'd probably be a good bet to drive in 100+ runs, just as Rico Brogna did.
Now looking deeper into the numbers, Giles has had a much, much higher obp than Brogna did in those years. Naturally the team recognized this and put him in a run scoring position in the lineup to take advantage of his strength.
The fact that he hasn't scored 100 runs the past few years says more about his teams play rather than his. - July 16, 2008 at 5:48 PM
- Steve24 said...
I want to talk about the value of players by what position they play.
I think this would make an awesome post from a front office guy.
Conventional wisdom suggests that a player who plays ever day is more valuable than a guy who pitches say once ever five days and that relievers are less valuable than starting pitchers (and therefore position players as well).
But that doesn't always seem to be the case in the real world when you see trades made or discussed by front offices.
I understand most of the time these deals are about need. But being that this is a "fantasy" world these days and a lot of fans think in terms of a "fantasy sports" perspective, how do front office guys evaluate these deals?
An example from a few years ago - J.Barfield for Kouzmanoff. Obviously from the Padres point of view, Kouz is desirable since in the minors he was a high obp guy. But didn't Hairston play the harder position to find talent?
I'm also interested in your take on the Josh Hamilton for Edison Volquez deal as to who won? Good deal for both teams in terms of need? Or did one win because it's harder to find one type of player versus the other?
So, is there a general rule of thumb on how players are valued?
Seems to me guys like Billy Beane value pitchers over hitters usually.
And pitchers seem to be the difference makers in the post season (As an Indians fan I know this from the 90's and from last year when the Tribe got better pitching than the Yankees and won, then lost to Boston when the pitching tide turned).
So is it pitchers over hitters or vice versa?
Quality 2b or SS over 1b types?
Based on need only?
Combination of factors obviously, but some of your perspective and philosophies would be very interesting to hear. - July 16, 2008 at 6:23 PM
- Ryan said...
Of course, RBI! You should move him for Jose Vidro. He's two years younger than Giles, and in 91 fewer PA's, Vidro has 38 RBI to Giles 30.
As part of the new winning team philosophy, I trust you can stomach Vidro's .215/.261/.310. - July 16, 2008 at 7:31 PM
- Unknown said...
The second reason, and the more important one, is very simply that Brian is the type of player we want our young position players to emulate.
Do we really need more players taking naked batting practice? - July 16, 2008 at 8:03 PM
- Unknown said...
Giles should go if anyonew would take him. He isnt the same in the post Roids era
- July 16, 2008 at 8:13 PM
- Brad K said...
There are a lot of things that I don't understand in this world, such as staying old for a team that is not contending this year, but could help another team this year. Furthermore, the market for OFs seems to be inclusive of Holliday, Bay, and Nady all of whom are very pricey, so why not capitalize on that market now, instead of maintaining the current roster?
I do understand that Brian Giles' ISO has remained relatively stable for himself (Alex talks about this quite well) and his OBP has remained exceptional, but as most get to Giles age, they do slow down. So, the ability to go from 1st to 3rd is lessened and that also should be considered. And what about his defense efficiency which while subjective, clearly shows that he is an inferior RF. With LF being blocked by Headley or potentially Kouz, he really is a luxury defensively that should be considered significantly in such an expansive park as Petco. And it is this luxury that makes Giles expendable for this year and next, in my opinion for the Padres.
Just out of curiosity, is a statistic like Baseball Prospectus' MORP used at all to evaluate his worth over the next 220 games versus offers that I assume have come to the Padres combined with the influx of talent next year? It has also been brought to light that Giles' numbers look much better on the road than at home. I would think that this should be exploited in a trade to another team rather than say that his production is only dampened in Petco as not only is he not a rental, but a more valuable player to build on for 2009 for another team, especially in LF.
I think all can agree that Brian Giles approach to the game of baseball and in particular his hitting is one to emulate; however, if his approach is so valuable to the young hitters that have not reached the majors yet, then why hasn't this approach been effectively instilled in the minors for 'key' players? Or is the new MLB paradigm one of which it is critical and necessary to have such a veteran on the 25 man roster because of the youth movement?
Thanks for being so open and thanks for taking the time to respond to some of us... and sorry about people talking about RBIs as the primary component for not liking Giles... but as ignorant as his comment was, the truth is that the current Padres offense isn't generating runs with their offense as they are the 2nd worst in the NL and they are biggest negative in WPA... so, he does have a rough point. - July 16, 2008 at 8:20 PM
- Tribe Fan said...
This kind of honesty and openness is incredible from a front office. I appreciate it.
Please see if you can get your pal Mark Shapiro to do a similar blog for those of us on the west coast of Tribe Nation.
Thanks again for doing this blog...it really is cool. - July 16, 2008 at 9:19 PM
- Aaron B said...
Mr. DePodesta, I've only been an occasional reader, but I've enjoyed your work thus far.
Anyway, I was wondering if you could provide some insight on a nagging thought I've had. I'm using an example from a rival team, but only because that's the team for which I cheer and because it's the most recent example that I could think of.
Last winter, the Giants offered Pedro Feliz arbitration, yet offered him only 2 years (I believe) when Feliz made it clear that he wanted to have some security (3+ years). I was wondering if teams do this often: offer one of their players arbitration, but then offer them in blatantly less than the player seeks duringcontract negotiations. If you can't comment on this, that's fine.
Thanks again for this venue. - July 16, 2008 at 10:17 PM
- Nathan said...
no more lies,
is the team not exciting because Brian Giles gets on base 4/10 times (does it really matter how someone gets on base? Isn't what really matters what happens to him once he gets on base?), or is the team not exciting because too many players on the team can't even get on base 3/10 times? Would you be happy if we were a last place team that was fun to watch? Don't you think if there were runners in scoring position when Brian Giles came to the plate, he'd have more RBI, and you'd have to resort back to the fact that he doesn't hit home runs anymore as a way to say he's unacceptable? Wouldn't it be better to say that Brian Giles and Adrian Gonzalez are the two brightest spots in a terrible first half, and that his ability to rebound from significant injury at his age to play so well bodes well to his ability to play at a high level for at least a couple more years?
I'm not saying we should or shouldn't trade Giles (I actually think we probably should), but a large part of the reason we can consider trading him is that his value is really high right now due to the fact that he's played so well so far this season, and he's one of the only players we have that if we do trade him we should be able to get significant value for him. But hey, we're a last place team with last place thinking, so we'll probably trade for players who can only draw walks and strike out a lot, right? - July 16, 2008 at 11:25 PM
- Unknown said...
To me this more like the Padres are playing hard to get (and I like the strategy)...
Giles has a lot of positives. But why not trade him a year too early than a year too late? He is starting to get injured more and his value could be at its peak.
I would like to see what type of numbers Hairston can put up the rest of the season.
I love Kulbacki, Hunter, Venable, etc. and the other kids that are coming up. Also, the team will benefit from the salary relief in 2009 to field a better team (and enough cap space to sign Lebron James in 2010 hahaha).
Besides, lets share in the love. Another team will surely need his Padre hug. - July 16, 2008 at 11:41 PM
- ssceec said...
Lifelong Pirates fan. Bucs did fine with the Giles trade, but he's still my favorite Pirate of the past 20 years.
That said, I wonder whether his model of patience and excellence at the plate is something that other players pick up on. Padres are lowest in NL in OBP, even though they aren't last in batting average. The park is a huge issue, but I'm not convinced Giles is a significant counterbalance for the rest of the team.
Seems like the limited possible return given Giles' contract structure and age, his continued value as a hitter, and the possibility that he's content to stay where he is, are key factors in keeping him in SD.
steve24 talked about the clubhouse factor as spin. I'm miles away from any awareness of clubhouse factors, but if they aren't used as spin, it seems they might as well be. - July 17, 2008 at 3:24 AM
- Unknown said...
"RBI? Really? Really?"
Hilarious. Almost enough to make you think paul can pronounce "sabermetrics"!
no more lies, RBI are a horrible stat that are largely reflective of the number of baserunners that get on in front of a player, as well as that players' power and contact rates. I shouldn't say it is a horrible stat, because it has some uses. But it is definitely prone to having outliers that area product not of a player's talent, but of the talent of the guys in front of him (for better or for worse). - July 17, 2008 at 8:10 AM
- John Ottavio said...
no more lies
$10mill....really not that much, let's be honest. i mean, it may seem like a bit, but for a .300 hitter with great OBP it's definitely not too bad.
lets also remember, Carlos Silva is making $11mill per year - July 17, 2008 at 12:27 PM
- Steve24 said...
Any comments on this blurb today in Buster Olney's blog today?
• The Padres hold a $9 million option on right fielder Brian Giles for 2009 and they could keep the right fielder, who is hitting .301 with a .397 on-base percentage -- or they could swap him to a contender, which could keep the former All-Star for a relatively modest one-year obligation of $11 million for next year (his salary will escalate to $11 million in 2009 if he gets traded). The Mets and Padres have had some contact about a possible deal.
http://insider.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?entryID=3503274&name=olney_buster - July 24, 2008 at 6:09 PM
- Unknown said...
I think all can agree that Brian Giles approach to the game of baseball and in particular his hitting is one to emulate; however, if his approach is so valuable to the young hitters that have not reached the majors yet, then why hasn't this approach been effectively instilled in the minors for 'key' players?
You know, I think too many people forget that the majority of players that have come out of the minors recently were not picked during the Sandy era. You can walk in with a new philosophy and push it all you want, but if the players you inherit (at the bigs as well as in our old shallow farm)don't have the talent or mentality to be patiently aggressive; it's not going to happen. I'm pretty sure the organization is aware of this fact and that's one reason why you see a team that doesn't appear to fit the philosophy of what the brass preaches. You can only do so much with what you've inherited from the previous management. The answer is to go out and find the players with the skillset that will mesh with your philosophy. Now the patiently aggressive player is desirable everywhere, so they're just not out there on the free agent market in large numbers. You have to get them from the draft, and in baseball terms, these guys haven't had enough drafts yet to stock the system with their kind of players. It's happening though, close even. It just doesn't occur overnight like some seem to want. - July 25, 2008 at 7:32 PM
- Kyle - Driveline Baseball said...
How you put up with someone posting about your best hitter's RBI totals in your blog is beyond me, but good for you.
Since you probably don't want to bother with it:
-Moving in fences to create more offense does not bring in people. Winning does. In fact, moving in the fences might make them lose more considering the FB tendencies of Peavy, Maddux, and Young.
-RBI are worthless.
-Intangibles at the MLB level may mean nothing, but Brian Giles is one of the 25 best hitters of his generation. Period. Full stop. If he can impart his wisdom on young hitters coming up, it is worth it. Oh, by the way, his CURRENT .400 OBP is pretty good, too. Life = OBP, and OBP = Life. Remember that.
-$9 million for someone who is going to post an OBP-heavy 800-850 OPS is a bargain. Trading him kicks in pay accelerators, making him less exciting as bait, and he has an NTC and obviously loves San Diego.
Keep up the good work, Paul. - July 27, 2008 at 2:30 AM


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How Bad for Plumbing Are Disposable Wipes?
Are disposable wipes bad for plumbing? Is the sky blue? To plumbers and sewer treatment personnel, the answers here are equally obvious. Disposable wipes are designed to get past your toilet, but that's where the bigger problems can start—in your home's main sewer drain and at the city's treatment facility. And don't even think about flushing down regular baby wipes or household cleaning wipes.
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If you browse plumbing industry chat rooms online (which makes for a great night in, by the way), you'll see the word "softball" comes up a lot in describing clogs created by dozens of disposable wipes. Due to the extra time involved, extracting these plugs from home drain pipes can be very costly. And it's not just house drains that are getting clogged. Many cities report significant increases in sewage system clogs related to flushable wipes and recommend that residents keep them out of the toilet. A number of American cities have made it illegal to flush the wipes, placing them high on the list of "debris" that makes up the largest category of backups for their sewage systems.
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The question comes down to how quickly a flushable product breaks down in water. In 2009, Consumer Reports tested many of the leading brands of toilet paper and flushable wipes and concluded that all of the wipes completely failed the disintegration test, while even the strongest, thickest toilet papers squeaked by with a low passing grade. Flushable? Yes. Dissolvable? Not really, at least not enough to prevent significant clogs in many sewage channels. Consumer Reports recommends that users of wipes should dispose of them in the trash instead of the toilet.
Lessons from the Septics
Anyone with a septic system knows that you have to baby these mini sewage treatment plants—no drain cleaners, no Kleenex, no nothing other than toilet paper. Many city sewage professionals (and city budget planners) would love it if people on municipal systems would model their flushing habits after the septic folks. In other words, if it's not safe for a septic system, it shouldn't be flushed into a city system, either. So, are disposable wipes bad for septic systems? Is the sky blue?
Philip Schmidt writes for networx.com.
Updated March 4, 2018.
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