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This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are now up here.
The topline voting intention figures are CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. The six point Labour lead is unusual, typically YouGov have been showing Labour leads of around 9-10 points for the last few months. In the absence of any big announcements or developments that could explain a big drop, I would urge caution… sure, it could be the sign of some Conservative recovery, but just as likely it is random sample error. The rest of the survey concentrates on the economy, wealth taxes, Nick Clegg, Heathrow and honours.
28% of people think the government's economic policy is basically right (including almost three-quarters of Tory supporters), 56% think it is basically wrong. People unhappy with the current strategy though are divided over what changes they would make – 24% of them would like bigger spending cuts to fund tax cuts, 21% would like the opposite – tax increases to reduce spending cuts. 17% would like more short-term borrowing to reduce spending cuts, 4% would like more short-term borrowing to fund tax cuts. 35% say they would like something else or that they don't know.
Turning to the question of a wealth tax, 57% of people support the principle of such a tax, with 29% opposed. The most popular cut off point for a wealth tax is £1 million (supported by 34%). 19% would support a lower threshold than this, 35% a higher one. There is a noticable regional pattern here, with people in London much more likely to oppose a wealth tax and supporting higher thresholds if there is one.
Arguments about taxes on the rich damaging the country do not have much cut through. While 66% people think that there is some risk that high taxes on the wealthy will drive them abroad, two-thirds of them still think it is the right thing to do under the present circumstances. 48% of people think that higher taxes on the rich will raise more money even taking into account this risk (31% disagree). Overall 39% of people think higher taxes on the wealthy would help an economic recovery compared to 18% who think it would damage the chances of an economic recovery (31% think it will make no real difference).
Moving onto questions about Nick Clegg, 17% of people see him as an asset to the government compared to 58% who think he is a liability. These figures are almost identical to George Osborne (16% asset, 58% liability) putting the two of them as the lowest rated of the politicians YouGov asked about. The most positively rated by some distance was William Hague – 43% of people think he is an asset, compared to 29% who think he is a liability.
30% of people say that Clegg should remain as leader, compared to 40% who think he should be replaced. However, asked whether they think the Liberal Democrats would do better at the next election if they keep Clegg or replace him only 18% think they'd do better with Clegg, compared to 53% who think they would do better if they changed. Amongst the Liberal Democrat party's own supporters 60% think that the party should keep Nick Clegg… but only 31% think that the party would do better with Clegg at the next election. 47% of Lib Dem supporters think they would do better with someone else.
Amongst those who think the Lib Dems would do better if they changed 28% think they would do best under Vince Cable, far above all the other Lib Dem politicians in the question but less than those who said None or Don't know (43%). A significant part of questions like this are simple name recognition – Vince is a very well known politician, while other serious contenders like Tim Farron are very little known outside the circles of we political anoraks!
Turning to the subject of Heathrow, 35% of people support Heathrow expansion, 32% oppose it and 33% don't know. However, when asked specifically about whether David Cameron should keep his manifesto pledge on Heathrow only 19% of people think he should break it and go ahead with Heathrow expansion. 35% think he should rule it out and 32% think he should reconsider the issue at the next election.
Finally on the honours systems, people think too many awards go to figures from entertainment (69% too many), senior civil servants (61% too many), national politicians (67% too many), local politicians (48% too many), sportsmen and women (39% too many) and business leaders (37% too many). They would like to see more awards go to people from charities (71% not enough), scientists and academics (64% not enough) and people working in the public services (66% not enough).
187 Responses to "YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 35, LAB 41, LD 9, UKIP 7"« Previous 1 2 3 4 Next »
I have bets for next leader for their respective parties on Hague, Cable and Fallon, all at much better odds than currently available. I suppose that means that 67% (or arguably 75%) of me agrees with you.
But we shouldn't dismiss Cable's chances – he has favourable polling amongst LD members and also a favourable potential polling impact on the wider electorate, his remarks to date are a clear signal that he might fancy his chances and he hardly seems content with the direction in his leader has led him to date.
@ Turk
I think the 'man or mouse' comments this week have been far more damaging than the gossip about fall outs between Balls and Milliband. Not to say the Balls/Milliband might not escalate but the week we are looking at I can't see any reason for a swing to Tories.
@ Howard
Not sure quite what you were saying. I accept the point about the distinction between Green belt/Green land however this doesn't change the feeling that wherever Green land disappears on a local basis there are voting repercussions locally (or nationally) and that many Tories appear to be just as pro green land as Labour are. Certainly the DT is campaigning to keep Green land.
If you mean that people will vote on a different issue to what they believe it to be I disagree. If you mean that local concils might get the blame for national legislation then you could be right.
Ejection of the LibDems in parliament would quickly be followed by, but perhaps not in this order…
1) The forced resignation of Nick Clegg.
2) A sounding out by Labour of those who will directly support a no confidence motion, and any potential party defectors in the LibDems.
3) A motion of no confidence moved to a vote.
2 has probably already been happening since the NHS vote, and probably increased after the House of Lords vote. I'm somewhat surprised there hasn't already been a parliamentary defection.
Well, Old Nat understood my point. I was trying to say that as, in this case, people are confused as to what is meant (and I note that you too conflated Green Belt and "Green land" by giving the latter an initial capital letter (there is no such planning concept, capital letters or otherwise, in England anyway).
Voters do not understand specific legal definitions (why should they, despite the fact that "ignorance of the law is no excuse") so political debate is dominated by such ignorance.
I don't think GO is as astute as people here give him credit for, but he does have a shark-like ability to concentrate on the job in hand. He knows that the voting public are interested in property acquisition and profit making and anyone who has noted all the property and antiques programmes on daytime TV (evening TV even) will have an inkling of this fact. Thus his proposal to ease the inheritance tax rules when in opposition, that sunk Brown and Darling and from which they hardly recovered.
He has nouse for the nature of the English public.
Your assumption is delightfully naive! :-)
@ Phil
So why Labour has left the field clear for a wealth tax to be seen purely as a LD policy leaves me dumbfounded, whether or not it's the explanation for this poll. I'm just hoping that this acts as a wake up call for Miliband and (in particular) Balls.
Labour still carry the scars from too many battles regarding taxes which are initially seen as a tax on the wealthy being spun as a 'tax-grab' on 'hard working people, who over generations, have gradually worked & saved their way to comfortable middleclass prosperity, only to have their just rewards confiscated by a spendthrift state'.
And Labour have seen this all to often – the LibDems trying to outflank Labour on the left. Never before have we been able to say: You're in government, Mr Clegg, let's see you actually DO it.
So we'll just sit quietly on the side-lines, ignore the early approval polling & see how far the Libdems are prepared to actually go with this idea. Not very far, seems a fairly safe assumption at this point in time.
In Scotland, the purpose of a Green Belt is to
* direct planned growth to the most appropriate locations and support regeneration,
* protect and enhance the quality, character, landscape setting and identity of towns and cities, and
* protect and give access to open space within and around towns and cities.
The purpose of a Green Belt is as a strategic planning tool, not to protect natural or scenic heritage. Other designations are specifically targeted at achieving those aims.
I presume it is similar in England? (Incidentally, I couldn't have specified the purpose of Scottish Green Belts without looking it up!)
This does seem to contradict the three 12% leads we have recently, as well as all the other polling. Then again it is not necessarily such bad news for EM: it still points to a big Labour majority win. While the Conservatives are at this level (35%) or less, and his party is 40+, no other result seems plausible.
perhaps that 15% Labour lead is still there waiting to be found.
@ Howard
Understood. In my case (not making a political point) I don't really differentiate and blame whoever I can whenever ANY green land (note the correction- lol) is built on.
Currently in Wigan they have a public consultation based on the 'need' to build more houses and all involving either Green Belt or green land because of apparent lack of alternatives. Not only am I blaming the council but blaming national laws too as they require so many houses to be built, however it will be local councillors who are at risk from losing my vote if it goes ahead because they are the ones making the ultimate decision.
There was a case in my old local ward in Kingston where Lib Dem councillors cut down some trees (not personally obviously!) and lost their seats next time around for the first time in about 25 years. So there are repercusions but I think you are right that it is not an obvious vote loser if it means cheaper housing/improved economy or whatever, it just means the blame may end up elsewhere from the people who devised the original changes because people will not make the correct call on who is to blame.
Indeed the modern trend from all political parties is not so much to devolve power as to devolve blame.
Must policies can be spun as other things than they are. Especially leftist ones, by a overwhelmingly right-wing press. It's quite an achievement, but you're coming off more spineless than the Liberals!
Ambitious plans for a four-runway airport near Heathrow are to be submitted to the Government as a solution to the aviation crisis that has divided the coalition…Sites in Oxfordshire and Berkshire could potentially be in the frame for the airport, estimated to cost £40bn to £60bn….
…It is unclear if Heathrow would survive should the plans be accepted, though it is thought the two could complement each other in the first years of the new airport's operations.
An industry source said: "What this idea does is put people's pipedreams, like 'Boris Island', to one side and shifts the political debate away from Heathrow, to work on something that is based on properly grounded infrastructure requirements."
Exclusive for the Indie. Read it & 'get' that the greenbelt thing likely isn't about housing; it may well be about plonking a 4 run-way airport of the little greenbelt which separates London & e.g. Oxfordshire.
that smells like a massive vote loser in the South for the Tories.
@ Craig
It's quite an achievement, but you're coming off more spineless than the Liberals!
Yes, spineless; & cynical too, in this instance at least.
This is Clegg pulling the pin from a political grenade, throwing it towards Labour & yelling, "Catch!"; the sensible course of action, in such circumstances, is to let it sail on by.
@ Nick P
I suggested, somewhat colourfully, that the greenbelt thing could well be a massive turn-off for voters. I got moderated. ;-)
Peter Cranie doesn't sound like a candidate for the leadership of the English Green Party that you would support! :-)
I don't think it's anything the grenade you make out. You can tell by the questions the Times were not only trying to work out its popularity, but gently remind people of their arguments of how damaging, uncompetitive and how little it'd eventually take, and gage with that said, the support it garners – and from the results, and every poll I've seen, the wealth taxes receive support.
Been out flogging my unwilling and unprepared body round a 10k race today, so I haven't kept up with the chit chat.
Has anyone mentioned the Sunday Times leader today? " This Is Not A Serious Government" as a headline above an excoriating condemnation of Clegg's immaturity and Cameron and Osborne's inadequacies.
It feels like a seminal moment, when the right-of-centre media establishment finally snaps and announces that the current lot ate simply not up to the historic duty charged to them.
I've been saying for 2 years that we were replaying the mid 70s. This is another brick in the edifice of that argument. A Government, riven by internal dissent, immobilised by its own inadequacies. Battered by the economic situation it inherited and made worse. And finally, inevitably seen as woefully incapable of rising to the task of dealing with the problems facing the country.
This is getting deadly serious for the Tories. They struggled back to being seen as potentially competent under Cameron after a generation of being utterly unelectable. And that image of competence is now evaporating to the point that a wholehearted supporter like the ST is publicly eviscerating them. How do they ever get a reputation for competence back?
"Labour still carry the scars from too many battles regarding taxes….."(etc)
All the more reason then for Labour to choose to define its stance on taxation on issues where it is in line with the overwhelming popular will (e.g, 50p tax rate, wealth taxes) rather than to fight battles on grounds of the coalition's choosing.
"the sensible course of action, in such circumstances, is to let it sail on by"
That is precisely what I'm worried about – because Clegg and the LDs have to date made the wealth tax their policy, Labour will somehow contrive to come out against it either by default or overtly.
The sensible move would instead be use an opposition day motion to back the principle of taxation on wealth in terms highly critical of the government's lack of action. Moves it to the top of the political agenda, and really puts the LDs on the spot.
@ Phil & Craig
The sensible move would instead be use an opposition day motion to back the principle of taxation on wealth in terms highly critical of the government's lack of action. Moves it to the top of the political agenda, and really puts the LDs on the spot.
Good point. Perhaps Labour should catch 'the grenade' & try to throw it back before it explodes. It's not the easy option, it could blow up in our face, but it is an opportunity to do some damage to our opponents.
The green belt designation has two purposes. By the way it is an area of land, defined with boundaries in the Local Plan, so that we all know where it is.
The first purpose is to prevent urban sprawl. The second is to prevent the coalescence of settlements.
The designations do not prevent review and subsequent amendment, so that there is no permanent sacrosanct condition.
Say you have a city with a large town nearby. An example would be Gloucester and Cheltenham. Each settlement has (had) a separate character and raison d'etre.
So there is a Green Belt between the two. If one day, it was decided under review of the Local Plans, that the whole area had become somewhat homogenous and that no one gave a fig anymore for the separate identity of the two, and that above all, there was such a need for extra housing that one could not find anywhere else to put it than in the GB, then that's curtains for the GB.
I note ON's research on the Scottish equivalent, which is why the above refers to England and Wales.
You will note that such questions would be perhaps more sensibly examined at a larger geographical area than the local area, which is one of the reasons regional planning was advocated.
I won't expand on that subject but I do think such issues are of minimal interest to voters and am thus surprised why anyone would think they were.
In UK politics, that the Tories and their coalition partners have a poor reputation for competence seems an unanswerable case.
Still, the polls don't seem to reflect any wide opinion that Labour are competent either – simply less incompetent.
That might win Labour one election, before being rejected for their incompetence again, and a marginally less incompetent Tory government returning etc etc etc.
Seems a rather sad prospect.
Good Evening All, after a busy day.
ALEC. Thanks.
AMBER and Nick P. I actually still think that Labour is heading for defeat, and that the Lib Dems, sadly for the good men and women who support them, are heading for very low GE results.
That sounds pretty similar to the situation in Scotland.
If the Green Belt around London was sacrosanct, the M25 would never have been built. That's just for starters.
My CPRE background teaches me that developers need that all-important 'change of use' approval. Imagine how much money is to be made by building houses on Heathrow to finance the plonking of a big airfield on farmland further north west.
I expect the HS2 will have a convenient station constructed next to it.
I think it might go down well with voters actually. We need a poll!
"I doubt whether one person in ten knows what Green Belt means and what are the planning rules are that apply"
As a past practitioner and an current academic in this and related fields I would go along with this.
Furthermore anyone who has the *slightest* understanding of the town and country planning system knows it has never been the existence of the planning system itself that has held back economic growth and regeneration. Rather it is the objections that individuals and communities raise to development that slows down or impedes development taking place- along with the various drives at various periods over the last 50 years to 'democratise' the system.
Moreover the issue essentially is: when you regulate the use of land to achieve a balance between a variety of often conflicting goals (social, economic, environmental, infrastructural)- something that *only* the state can accomplish BTW- just how much influence over the final decision- and how long it takes to reach it- do you give the local community (and powerful or articulate local individuals)?
Indeed a related notion here is that 'Localism' (so championed by the coalition in their first 18 months but disappearing from trace these last economically difficult 9 months) in reality more often than not actually means 'Not In My Back Yard'- as witnessed by this hilarious piece from 24th August:
The Telegraph and the whole range of other organisations who successfully campaigned to have the original NPPF drastically scaled back will no doubt kick off their new campaign this week in response to what is going to become the 'Economic Development Bill'.
If Labour are clever IMHO they can take a middle- dare I say- third way between untrammelled development achieved via an eviscerated land use regulation system on the one hand; and ludicrous notions that we must not use up a single square metre of what is currently zoned green or that we should not have any more airport capacity built in the leafy blue rinse south east.
"Have the LDs done anything in the past week that might cause support on the left to reengage?"/ "So why Labour has left the field clear for a wealth tax to be seen purely as a LD policy leaves me dumbfounded"
Lib Dem YouGov numbers over the past week (last night's/ today's poll last)
10, 10, 9, 10, 9
Absolutely NO indication of any 'left swing' to LDs at all since Cleggs rather suspect pre conference Dennis Healey (vintage 1976) chatter. In fact the beneficiaries in this poll (in terms of recent YG shares) are the Tories….. ;-) But- really- we all know this is either m.o.e or an outlier.
"All the more reason then for Labour to choose to define its stance on taxation on issues where it is in line with the overwhelming popular will (e.g, 50p tax rate, wealth taxes"
Whilst I agree that the 50p tax rate should have been both retained and decreed permanent until the fiscal situation has been improved- there is no significant longitudinal polling evidence that a specific extra 'soak-the-rich-until-their-pips-squeak' "wealth tax" has consistent majority support. In the heat of an election campaign such hostages to fortune- eagerly adopted in midterm on the basis of a few polls- can become millstones.
In any case the last thing Labour now needs is to adopt now is a leftist platform- that is surely easily the most simplest and effective way to hand largest party status at the next inevitably hung parliament (2013-2015) to the Tories. The Social Democracy so hated by so many 'Labour' posters on here will IMO be the manner by which EdM hangs onto most of the defecting yellows from 2010- and possibly also wins over some non aligned voters who gave Nick or Dave the benefit of their doubt vote last time out.
Someone said at the time of the (Blairite) Cruddas being appointed Labour policy chief: 'new labour values but in a modern setting'.
I'd go along with that.
I've said before that the 1970s analogy extends to a Leader of Opp widely seen as unelectable, with a weird appearance and voice. But who sniffed the wind that an epochal shift in people's attitude to the governing philosophy of the past generation was occurring, and positioning themselves to take advantage of it.
And to extend the analogy, the Nats misread the tea leaves and overplayed their hand in the 70s too ;)
"In any case the last thing Labour now needs is to adopt now is a leftist platform"
Maybes Aye, maybes Naw.
Gaining a reputation for competence is, however, something that all UK parties need to gain.
Surprised nobody has flagged this up so far.
Political parties frequently misread the tea leaves!
It may well be that there is "an epochal shift in people's attitude to the governing philosophy of the past generation" coming, which sees philosophical positions taking precedence over managerial competence, that I can't see.
What are you suggesting this is?
Press preview just started on [Sky]
Telegraph main headline tomorrow:
"Osborne in new assault on green belt"
Good link. Ta.
A fascinating theme and a very concisely accurate statement of the issue at the core of the US Election. There is a crucial decision point coming over there in 2 months.
Yet the article is ruined by silly, lightweight comments like this.
"The modern Left seems intolerant of financial speculators and—in Britain particularly—Old Etonians and dastardly Liberals. Were these commentators consistent in their fury, they would hate Keynes too "
That is a rather stupid comment. It assumes that The Left is some monolithic entity, enslaved by ideology and class bigotry. It is noteworthy that the author mentions the Occupy movement (as if that were representative of The Left).
Personally, I see no problem whatsoever with embracing Keynes the insightful genius who shone a light on the mechanics of Depressions and pointed the way to avoid or emerge from them, whilst believing that we can and should move beyond an era in which our leaders were intensely relaxed about financial barrow boys making themselves obscenely rich.
If the author had bothered to read The General Theory, he might have found that Keynes himself had very similar views. Which is a very obvious reason why he is so viscerally hated by the Republicans and the new Tory right.
On the wealth tax/inheritance tax thing.
Yes it's true that the LDs advocating wealth tax undercuts Labour on a leftie issue, but it is not so easy for Labour to respond. If LDs pick up some votes from Labour as a result, Labour can't just counter by mirroring the policy as it'll cost them votes in the centre. A case of robbing Peter to pay Paul. We saw the impact of the advocacy of the opposite kind of policy – cutting inheritance tax. There are a lot of baby-boomers with a few quid, and their offspring would like a share of the loot too.
Liberals no longer have much cred. advocating leftie issues anyway, given their actions in government. Lib Dem policies are just noise now, until such time as they actually start delivering. If the Tories let them of course. And even if there was a wealth tax, people might wonder what it might be used for… better services, or to fund greater privatisation a la free schools and NHS…
That's the additional problem for the Lib Dems… even if they get a policy through, it can get co-opted for other purposes or sabotaged by their partners. Especially since their partners know the Lib Dems were so desperate to remain in government at any cost… They get a pupil premium but there are cuts to education elsewhere. THey get income tax thresholds upped, but again with the other related cuts. They get the AV referendum but… well we all know how helpful Tories were on that.
I assume you're playing dumb to wind me up? But I'll take the bait anyway.
Thatcher's genius was to see the crumbling of the post-War Keynesian consensus, and to position herself to become the beneficiary. And she wasn't rewarded for it as LoO. Remember that as late as Autumn 78, a significant majority of Tory supporters stated in polls that they would prefer Heath as leader. THAT is how useless and unelectable she seemed.
And now? Well, as I've just said to RobS, a platform that proposed reining in the unfettered excesses of the financial and media sectors over the last 30 years, and proposed sharing out the benefits of growth across society rather than concentrating them in the top few percent of earners would, I suspect, have considerable appeal. In which case, being ahead if the game in pointing out the case for responsible capitalism, for reining in the press, for supporting the squeezed middle may, with hindsight, appear to be very clever politics by Miliband. Even if there are plenty in his own party who would eject him at the drop of a hat.
I wasn't denying that Thatcher saw a way to grab much of the working class vote in the affluent areas of England, and pushed Labour into long years of opposition.
Blair simply re-branded Labour to continue the same policies, and gained much support from (what I think is termed) the "lower middle class" in those self same affluent areas.
What is surprising is that you seem to see "sharing out the benefits of growth across society rather than concentrating them in the top few percent of earners" as a radical new direction of politics. :-)
However, you may well be correct that in the comparatively small number of constituencies which decide UK elections, such thoughts from Labour might well be seen as being new thinking.
You don't see the irony?
A couple of interesting articles that caught my eye in today's Observer [snip]
Firstly, a piece from Matthew Taylor, a former Blairite adviser, where he discusses prevailing attitudes to the educational system in this country and our predilection to denigrate it. He argues that "our schools are being undermined by a constant rhetoric of decline" and he believes strongly that "we should stop running down the manifest improvements in the country's education system." This is something I've said many times on these very pages but Taylor prosecutes the argument much better than I. "The declinist narrative", as he terms it, is succinctly described by education expert Professor Stephen Ball as "the mobilising myth of education in crisis". He bemoans the fact that "the central feature of political discourse about English education is the deeply held assumption that educational standards are falling and that we are lagging further behind the rest of the world."
It's a balanced article, and talks about some of the weaknesses inherent in an inevitably imperfect system, bit it's overriding message is one that I think is right; we ignore so much that is good about our educational system and fail to acknowledge how much it has improved since the days when we educated an elite very well but consigned great chunks of our young people to an educational cul-de-sac. Some escaped, many didn't and it amounted to a criminal squandering of talent and potential.
The second Observer article that interested me was the one on Dutch politics that suggested growing electoral support for a radical left party in that country. Following on from Syriza's strong showing in the recent Greek elections, and Hollande's presidential win in France, followed by the Socialists victory in the Assembly elections, the Dutch Socialist Party (SP) could be on course to become the largest force in Parliament in the forthcoming elections. Like Syriza, and to some extent Hollande, they are running on a stridently anti austerity platform and, should they succeed, the political complexion of the Eurozone will change another significant notch.
Fascinating stuff and I await Virgilio's next post with great interest!
I'm taking no more baits, so you can stop right there, you cantankerous Old Nat…
Suffice to say that I agree entirely with your first two paragraphs. And it is the crumbling of that two-generation long consensus that opens up possibilities on the Left.
And when the sensible folk of Scotland decide, as they surely will, that they can do more for the common good by sticking with their English comrades, we'll have an even better chance of putting the consensus of the past 30-odd years to bed ;)
@Rob Sheffield
What you and I don't know is whether the (still very reluctant) Labour waverers that the LDs may have picked up were offset by losses from those LDs who identify more with the right and were prompted to move across to the Cons. Net result: Con up, Lab down, LD unchanged. So the LD polling in isolation tells you next to nothing.
"In any case the last thing Labour now needs is to adopt now is a leftist platform"
Judging from your post and general track record here, I suspect you really mean something more akin to
" In any case the last thing Labour now needs is to adopt now is any leftist policy on any issue whatsoever".
My position is more subtle and pragmatic than that. I think there is a balance to be struck. There is a difference between adopting a position on the left on a specific policy issue and a wholesale "leftist platform" as you put it.
Adopt positions on the left where they are popular – and the principle of a wealth tax clearly is, despite your comment, just as is the 50p rate. I wonder quite what sort of polling would convince you if the current (and earlier) YouGov data doesn't. In this case it's an open goal, waiting to be scored to put flesh on the bone of Miliband's so far pretty tepid attempts to capture the mood of public anger at the culture of greed that is being allowed to prevail in the face of unprecedented austerity.
But I'm being pragmatic because I'm quite prepared to accept the retention of New Labour principles in other policy areas where they remain consistent with the public mood.
"The Social Democracy so hated by so many 'Labour' posters on here…"
Why not name names? I suggest that it's more the case that so many Labour (without inverted commas) posters on here don't consider New Labour and Social Democracy to be one and the same.
Nice to see that you are advocating more of the "common good" by advocating that we should merge with the USA and provide a few left-wing voices and votes to their debate.
That was what you meant, wasn't it?
I'm glad that you aren't some kind of narrow British Nationalist, who is reluctant to sacrifice the widespread Social Democrat consensus in your country (Hah!) because it might occasionally have some minimal effect on your primarily right wing partner.
That clearly would be better for the common good, don't you think?. After all, what is the possible harm that could be done to us because the larger group of people decided that Mitt Romney was the better political leader to make decisions for us?
@Rob Sheffield
Maybe it's thanks to 'social democrats' like yourself who are that afraid of being left-wing and have capitulated nearly everything that's allowed the right-wing to march ever further to the right where they have the luxury of looking to the idealists, while the Left is left nostalgic at the thought they could still have decent paid jobs and a welfare state?
Why the assumption that it'll be a net vote-loser, when polling shows it receives popular support? Surely the fact that it receives such support suggests it is the centre? The amount of millionaires voting Labour who would be affected enough to go elsewhere would be a small loss when compared to the amount of working class and middle class voters wanting to take less of the burden of austerity it'd attract?
"The amount of millionaires voting Labour who would be affected enough to go elsewhere would be a small loss when compared to the amount of working class and middle class voters wanting to take less of the burden of austerity it'd attract?"
However, the reality of political funding in most "democracies" is that the rich can buy political parties by funding them, since the extent to which they are funded by low/middle income supporters is very different from the days of mass membership parties.
Don't I know it, Nat.
Labour shouldn't need to rely on that, given its ties to the unions, but given the latter are getting increasingly mutinous at being f'd over, and Labour are itching for more money and donors, that's probably why it won't be adopted.
But I've still difficulty believing it's a vote loser or it'd repel the centre.
Whilst I go along with your description of the US Presidential election as a real choice and that there is some oversimplification in this blog entry I think you are too harsh on it in terms of some of the basic essentials it espouses.
The essential point seems to me to be that these two economists/ political economists have become totems of the 'left' and of the 'right' in a way that both of them would be distinctly uncomfortable with were they alive now. I think that is bang on the money.
Keynes was never a man of the left if we are to be intellectually and philosophically honest. Centre left…perhaps. Hayek was essentially an anarcho-capitalist libertarian who would make Ron Paul look like a centre rightist!
In terms of 'occupy'- I think both the fringe 99%ers (sic) themselves and those on the left/ far left who have fallen over themselves when spying a potential new 'mass movement' (sic encore) would define themselves as 'of the left'. My main critique of deploying the 'occupy' movement in this blog entry would be that- just like the late 90's 'anti globalisation movement'- it has essentially died a death. It is irrelevant. Even in the US Presidential election let alone in the UK/ Europe.
"The left and the right in the Netherlands are coming at the traditionally pro-European centrist politicians from both sides"
– it would appear that the minority left party in Holland is up in the polls due to adopting an anti Internationalist Euro-sceptic platform which means its nicking voters from the Dutch far right party !!
Though of course…
"Smits, like many other business leaders, would not be especially alarmed by having Socialists in the government. As a pragmatist, he cannot imagine that his country's politicians would truly jeopardize the euro after the election"
Why the assumption that it'll be a net vote-loser, when polling shows it receives popular support?
Surely the fact that it receives such support suggests it is the centre? The amount of millionaires voting Labour who would be affected enough to go elsewhere would be a small loss when compared to the amount of working class and middle class voters wanting to take less of the burden of austerity it'd attract?
I didn't assume it would be a net vote loser. I was just pointing out you can't assume it would necessarily be a net gain. A lot would depend in practice on how it played in the marginals, and I would expect Labour would have done some analysis on this.
The additional problem of such taxes is the perception of the thin end of the wedge… that people lower down the wealth scale may be next. In any event, if wealth taxes include assets like property, there may be quite a few of them.
I think Labour has a particular problem with Union funding nowadays.
In much of the 20th century, lots of workers in the private sector were unionised. Now the unions are predominantly public sector – ie their income is indirectly funded by the state.
Consequently, they can be seen as being particularly partial in trying to influence the distribution of state expenditure.
While I remain reluctant to go down the road of state funding for political parties, my resistance to it is weakening as I consider the alternatives in today's world.
Very interesting to watch the build up to Cameron's first major reshuffle. Oddly enough, it doesn't seem likely to actually be a big reshuffle. The top names have publicly said they are not moving, which rather flags up Cameron's desperate weakness as PM.
Allied to this, we are also building for a big relaunch, with talk of all kinds of growth measures (again!). There doesn't seem to be anything new or imaginative, and it seems wearily reminiscent in many ways of the dog days of the Major and Brown administrations. This is quite astonishing, as we've only had this lot for a couple of years, so to achieve this level of dither and indecision so quickly is a remarkable achievement.
Someone mentioned the ST editorial today, which sounds genuinely damaging for Cameron if it is a sign of the mood turning, but everything seems to have changed. I still think the July PBR figures seem to have burst the bubble of government competence. Seeing the government fail on their central objective, from which all bad things flowed, was highly destructive.
"Adopt positions on the left where they are popular – and the principle of a wealth tax clearly is, despite your comment, just as is the 50p rate."
Nothing wrong with populism- as you advocate here. Only that- as said- there is no longitudinal evidence that 'soak-the-rich' special taxes and surcharges have popular support. You might wish they do but sadly wishing does not make it so (neither does today's poll).
Whereas a progressive tax system with incremental changes / increases as income grows does have longitudinal popular support. Hence my support for retaining the 50p rate and considering a higher rate than that as a part of the formal tax system.
"I suggest that it's more the case that so many Labour (without inverted commas) posters on here don't consider New Labour and Social Democracy to be one and the same."
And they don't still (see @Craig ad nauseam at every possible opportunity); and the ones that 'got our party back' currently do but probably won't when Cruddas publishes the election policy platform: perchance your self-defined 'subtle and pragmatic self' amongst them !!
Good Evening to you.
Back from Southampton match.
I would be more convinced if children were having good schooling if the people who run the country actually send their own children to the state secular schools.
According to Nick P one of the top 'comps' in Croydon is a 'war zone', and many areas have a lottery for the best schools.
I think you may have overlooked a couple of key issues here.
1) Keynes was a centrist, centre-left at best, yes. It's indicative of the rightward shift under Thatcher and Blair that he is now seen as out on the left-ward fringes of the economic debate. As our Celtic friend said earlier, do you see the irony in that?
2) That the Occupiers and their fellow travellers see themselves as being of The Left is not grounds for judging the opinions of The Left by a critique of the opinions of the Occupiers. Had I not shaved my head tonight, I would be tearing out my hair at the pointlessness of this aspect of the debate. Lift your gaze. There is a debate to be had that rises above some playground "You're an idealistic, ideologically rigid lefty, nah ner nah, ner nah nah" level.
"I would be more convinced if children were having good schooling if the people who run the country actually send their own children to the state secular schools."
I have no idea whether the people running my country send their kids (if they have any) to state schools or not – though I'd guess that if they didn't, that would have been highlighted in the press.


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The City's Parking Division is moving away from Pay-By-Space and moving forward with Pay-By-Plate throughout the City.
NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that a Special Election for the City of South Miami will be held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, in conjunction with Miami-Dade County's General Election.
The following two (2) questions will appear on the ballot:
Referendum a...
250 3 gallon Dade County Pine trees will be available to good homes at the South Miami City Hall parking lot, 6100 Sunset, from 8AM to 12PM (first come first serve) Saturday Oct 3, 2020 (TROPICAL WEATHER PERMITTING) Grown with TLC by Bob Welsh BWelsh@sout...
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subset: commoncrawl


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Article Details
Research Database: Article Details
|Roesslera, R.T., Rumrill, Jr, P.D., Li, J., Dalyb, K., & Anhaltb, K. (2016). High-priority employment concerns of Hispanics/Latinos with multiple sclerosis in the United States. Journal of Vocational Rehabilitation, 45 (2), 121-131.
|High-priority employment concerns of Hispanics/Latinos with multiple sclerosis in the United States
|Roesslera, R.T., Rumrill, Jr, P.D., Li, J., Dalyb, K., & Anhaltb, K.
|Journal of Vocational Rehabilitation
|IOS Press
|Full text:
Structured abstract:
|Much of previous research on multiple sclerosis (MS) and employment has focused on people of European descent who acquire the disease, and very little is known about the experiences and concerns of people with MS from traditionally underrepresented racial and ethnic groups (e.g., African-Americans, Hispanics/Latinos), even though evidence indicates that the incidence of MS is increasing among non-Caucasians worldwide.
|The objective of this study was to identify high-priority employment concerns from Hispanics/Latinos with MS, whose needs for services and supports must be better understood to increase rehabilitation success of people with MS.
|Study sample:
|This article presents descriptive findings from a national survey of the employment concerns of Hispanics/Latinos with multiple sclerosis (MS; N?=?206). Representing nine chapters of the National Multiple Sclerosis Society, respondents were asked to evaluate 38 employment concerns items on two dimensions, importance and satisfaction, for the purpose of identifying strengths and weaknesses in the employment policies and practices affecting the labor force participation of people with MS.
|Data collection and analysis:
|Descriptive statistics such as frequencies and percentages were used to answer the three research questions. For each of the 38 employment concerns items, an Importance rating was calculated as the percentage of respondents who evaluated the item as important. Likewise, each item was also assigned a Satisfaction rating that was calculated as the percentage of respondents who were satisfied with the current status of that item. An employment strength was defined as an item with a high Importance rating (i.e., greater than 60 percent) and a high Satisfaction rating (i.e., greater than 60 percent). An employment weakness was defined as an item with a high Importance rating (i.e., greater than 60 percent) and a low Satisfaction rating (i.e., less than 60 percent).
|Results revealed a total of 29 employment strengths and nine employment weaknesses.
|The purpose of this article was to describe the highest priority strengths and weaknesses in existing employment policies and services as identified by a targeted sample of Hispanic/Latino adults with MS (N= 206). Of the 38 employment concerns in the survey, 29 met the criteria for employment strengths, and nine met the criteria for employment weaknesses. Still, only 43 percent of the respondent sample was employed at the time of the survey, which raises some question as to why respondents were satisfied with 29 of the 38 employment concerns items. Possibly, many of those who were not currently working attributed their unemployment more to MS symptoms (e.g., fatigue, weakness, and cognitive limitations) than to workplace factors such as employment discrimination.
|Disabilities served:
Multiple sclerosis
|Populations served:
Culturally diverse populations (e.g., African Americans, Native Americans, and non-English speaking populations)
Benefits counseling
Flexible or job-sharing work conditions
On-the-job training and support
Personal assistance services (PAS)
Full-time employment
Employer-sponsored benefits


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Youth Day is a public holiday celebrated in Cameroon on February 11th. It celebrates and glories the country's youth because they are the future. Children get off school to participate in events such as parades, where they dance through the streets, accompanied by marching bands. Shops sell food to participants in the parade along the streets as government officials watch. Other activities include sporting events, competitions, and art exhibitions.
Youth Day focuses on shaping the potential of the future of the youth by encouraging children to renounce violence. The president usually broadcasts speeches on the radio and television to talk about all the youth in the country have achieved and different ways to improve the education and lives of the people.


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Mission Statement
Kerlin Bus Sales, your partner in transportation, is committed to serving above and beyond the expectations of all customers with honesty, integrity, and respect.
The Kerlin family has been meeting transportation needs since 1927 when Russell Kerlin founded Kerlin Motor Company. In 1962, his son, Ed, entered the bus industry by selling his first Thomas Built Bus; Kerlin Bus Sales was founded.
Kerlin Bus Sales has been a member of the Thomas dealer network since 1963. We have been a member of the prestigious Thomas President's Club for outstanding service and performance since 1972, as well as two time recipient of the Dealer of the Year Award. For over 50 years, Kerlin Bus Sales and the Kerlin family have been serving the transportation needs of schools, agencies, organizations, institutions, and companies.
We carry a full line of Thomas products ranging from 14 passenger activity buses to large-size commercial vehicles. Thomas Built Buses have long been known for their sturdy construction, safety features, and lasting performance. We carry the Thomas line so we can provide our customers with the best and safest buses on the market. Please visit us to see how we can help meet your transportation needs.
Meet Our Friendly Staff
Executive Staff
Clifford Zehr - President
Cliff has 30 years experience in the school bus industry and is also on the Indiana School Bus Safety Committee. He has also served on the Dealer Advisory Counsel for Thomas Built Buses.
Melanie Zehr - VP of Operations
Melanie has been with Kerlin Bus Sales full time since 2005. She has worked in most departments and helps oversee parts and service as well as marketing. Melanie also handles technical computer and camera information.
Kelly Moore - General Manager
Kelly joined the Kerlin Bus Sales team in 2016, but is not new to school bus transportation. He spent several years as a manufacturer's rep for IMMI in Westfield, IN. Kelly's will continue to cover central Indiana during an interim period.
Service Staff
Allen Black - Field Service Manager / Trainer
Allen Black has been employed at Kerlin Bus Sales for 11 years. Prior to Kerlin Bus Sales, Allen had over 25 years of experience in the trucking industry. Allen is an ASE Master Mechanic and Braun lift certified.
John Rhoads - Service Manager / Trainer
John has been with Kerlin Bus Sales for 8 years. John started with school buses at Bobby's Truck and Bus in Ohio. John often times works closely with engineers from Thomas and Freightliner to diagnose and correct issues.
Carmen Evans - Service Coordinator
Carmen has been with Kerlin Bus Sales since 2008, and was previously with the State Highway Department as Parts Inventory Manager. Carmen works closely with our parts and service departments keeping everything moving smoothly.
Gene Noble - Field Service Technician
Gene joined Kerlin Bus Sales in 2017 as a field service technician. Gene is based out of his home in the Indianapolis area. Gene worked for a school corporation for several years before moving to Indy. We are excited to bring him back to the school bus world.
Jason Farlow - Field Service Technician
Jason joined Kerlin Bus Sales in 2018 as a field service technician. Jason is based out of the Fort Wayne area. Jason has a long history in the transportation world and we are glad to have him on the Kerlin team.
Rick Baldwin - Field Service
Rick is based out of the Indianapolis area. We are glad to have Rick with us.
Parts Staff
Thad Leininger - Parts Manager
Thad joined the Kerlin Bus Sales team in 2008, starting in shipping and receiving. Thad is now the parts manager and coordinates all aspects of the parts department.
Jay Smith - Lead Parts Analyst
Jay has been with Kerlin Bus Sales since 2003. He worked in the shop before moving to parts where he spent many years learning under Richard Kerlin. Jay also helps train our customers on parts lookups.
Royce Wright - Account Manager
Joining us in 2011, Royce has a strong mechanical and parts background. Royce has brought an expertise in A/C parts to Kerlin Bus Sales.
Gary Grimm - Parts Analyst
Gary joined the Kerlin Bus Team in 2016. Gary brings many years of customer service to the parts team and is quickly learning transportation.
Wendy Simpson - Parts Clerk/Inventory
Wendy previously handled our shipping and receiving in the parts department but has moved into the office to streamline our ordering and receiving, as well as serve as a resource to our customers.
Brad Tennant - Shipping and Recieving
Brad joined the parts team in 2018 as a shipper receiver. We are excited to have him as part of our parts team.
Chuck Abel - Account Manager
Chuck joined us in 2019 as a remote Parts Analyst and Account Manager for Central Indiana. Chuck has a vast amount of industry knowledge and is very versed on all the Thomas/ Freightliner Part Systems.
Sales Staff
Roger Bradford - Sales Manager
Roger has been in the transportation industry for 29 years and with KBS since 1998. Roger has built strong relationships with many KBS customers and Thomas personnel.
Christine Cripe - Sales Coordinator
Christine has been with Kerlin Bus Sales since 1995. She builds and orders all of our buses.
Dave Dorsett - Regional Account Manager
Dave joined Kerlin Bus Sales in 2017. Dave lives in the Martinsville area and will cover southern Indiana as his territory of responsibility.
Steve Holloway - Regional Account Manager
Steve joined Kerlin Bus Sales in January of 2017 after many years in HR roles. Steve's main area of responsibility is Northern Indiana.
Brad Newman - Regional Account Manager
Brad has joined Kerlin Bus Sales in mid 2020. While he is busy learning the product during this time, he cannot wait to get out and start to meet customers when it is safe for all to do so.
Warrantee Staff
Tracy Hobbs - Warranty Administrator
Tracy has been with KBS since 2008 as our warranty administrator. She is in charge of filing all warranties with Freightliner and Thomas, and also helps collect needed paperwork for CPWAs and Service Centers.
Office Staff
Richard Harrold - Office Manager / A/P
Richard has been with Kerlin Bus Sales since 2004. Richard oversees many facets of the office operation.
Kathy Douglass - Receptionist/ Titles
Kathy has been with Kerlin Bus Sales since 2008. She prepares all paperwork for new buses and can answer many questions about titles and paperwork needed.
Marsha Arnett - A/R
Marsha has been with KBS since 2011. She is responsible for AR and also helps with receptionist duties.
Ben Wagner - HR/AP
Ben has been on staff here at for many years. We were excited for him to have the chance to use his newly earned degree, moving into our front office as HR and Account Payable.


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Ms. Sheila Johnson, Art Teacher at Mena for 25 years, now teaches art at Cossatot River School District. Johnson has an art show scheduled for next Spring at Mena Art Gallery, something all artists long for. However, Johnson said she wouldn't be the artist she is without her students who she said taught her as much as she taught them. I'm having a show in April at the Mena Art Gallery and since I've learned more from the kids than what they learned from me, I wanted to incorporate my students to spotlight them, who've taught me so much.
Johnson is calling on all of her students, former and current, to create something special as a 'prequel' to her show. Johnson would like for all of her students to create a puzzle piece, approximately 2 ft. x 2 ft. "You don't have to spend a lot of money. You can do a collage, mosaic, or even an older project you may still have, make a copy and paste it on," Johnson explained. As for the actual puzzle piece, those can be ordered through Johnson for $5 each.
She would like to have all puzzle pieces ready to hang by March 1st, a full month prior to her gallery show. This will give her plenty of time to hang and display them around town and will also give time for them to be seen by the community and its visitors.
"Don't make this a job, make it fun. I've used watercolor on one, sharpie, and acrylic paint. I wasn't a natural artist. I had to learn myself and I wanted to extend that it was my students who helped me the most," said Johnson.
If you are one of her former or current students and would like to take part or have questions, please contact Johnson at 870-385-2285 or 479-263-9529.


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Recipe | Thai Fish Cakes w/ Coconut & Coriander Sauce
Recipe by Ali Daly, @themessycheffy.
Thai-style fish cakes are a classic, and for good reason, they're delicious! Most white fish varieties work perfectly for this recipe. We used Ling here, but; Elephant, Gurnard, Tarakihi or Moki would all be perfect. You can also supplement some of the fish with prawn or crab meat to mix things up. If needed, make the fish cakes a few hours in advance and store them in the fridge until required.
For the fish cakes -
- ½ bunch Spring Onion
- 500g Ling
- 1 handful of fresh Coriander
- 2 Tbsp Thai red curry paste
- 2 Tbsp Fish Sauce
- 1 tsp sugar
- 1/2 Lime
- 1 Egg
- 3 Tbsp Cornflour
- 3 Tbsp Oil
For the dipping sauce -
- 1 small can Coconut Cream (approx. 270 ml)
- 1 fresh Red Chili
- 1 Tbsp fresh Coriander
- Juice of ½ lime
- Fine-ish chop half a bunch of spring onions. Set aside.
- Cut the ling into cube size pieces.
- Place the ling, coriander, curry paste, fish sauce, sugar, juice from half a lime, 1 egg and 3 tablespoons cornflour into a food processor.
- Blitz for approximately 30 seconds on medium speed ensuring everything is mixed through evenly.
- Remove the mixture from the processor into a bowl. Fold the chopped spring onions through the fish mixture.
- Using your hands form about 8 even size fish cakes (not too thin).
- Place each of the cakes on to a tray. Transfer the tray into the fridge for 30mins to set (this will help the fish cakes hold together when you fry them).
- In the meantime, while your fish cakes are setting in the fridge, make the sauce. Open the can of coconut cream. Finely chop 1 tablespoon of fresh coriander (not the stalks). Finely dice a small size red chilli removing the seeds. Juice ½ a lime.Combine all of the sauce ingredients in a bowl and set aside.
- Remove the fish cakes from the fridge after 30 minutes. In a large-size frying pan add 3 tablespoons of cooking oil. Heat the pan to medium heat. Add each fish cake gently to the pan (to avoid oil splashes). Allowing a cooking time of 3 minutes each side. Carefully turn the fish cakes using a fish slice or spatula to ensure the cakes don't break apart.
- Gently remove the fish cakes from the pan, plate up, and drizzle the sauce on top to serve (with some more on the side). Serve with greens, and some rice on the side for the hungry ones.


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Carl Barton
Part time Model
Jasswini Bajaj
Arya Shah
United States
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Alternative Model
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Its a Cluster fuck in here!
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Mistress Michelle (e.g QueenFaev)
Professional Dominatrix or Financial Dominant
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Novee Louice Auria CalambaModel at YoModel Philippines - Davao City Philippines
From Topedia, the free people encyclopedia
About Novee Louice Auria Calamba
Living in Davao City Philippines
Novee Louice Auria Calamba was born in Sta. Cruz Davao del Sur in the year 1994. She lived in her mother's hometown until she reached the age of 1 then they transferred in the province of Davao del Sur where she started to unleash her talents in communication arts, she won golden medals in her childhood years and became one of the top in her class. She developed her acting skills at the age of 4 as she had her first break in their nursery school the time she presented her first mologue in front of the crowd. She was transferred to Sta. Cruz Davao del sur at the age of 15 when her mother work abroad that was the time she gave up her exposure.
born on 23.11.1994 (25 years old)
She had her theatrical playwrights during her teenage years while staring her modeling career at the age of 18 for her first ever debut photoshoot. After several offers, she began to focus on her studies as well as her specialization in creative writings where she found passion in writing literary piece. She also had her first job in real estate as associate property investment counselor in a high-end project in Davao. She went years working in corporate world while starting to rebuild her career in modeling at the age of 21. She is considered an it-girl in her generation who promotes natural beauty for an international skincare brand.
Work & Education
In the work section you should write everything relates to Novee Louice Auria Calamba that you have worked as or where you had your education or still having your education
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Novee likes to read novels and loves to write her own literary piece. She even took a place in a journalism. She loves to go the beach as to unwind and her favorite icon is Marilyn Monroe. Her favorite color is scarlet ref and her favorite food is chicken adobo, a Filipino cuisine which is very popular in her country. She also likes to dance and dancesport is her expertise.
Her facebook name is Novee Louice Auria Calamba , instagram : @itsnoveeeee
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Keywordsmodel writer salesperson entrepreneur artisan dancer blogger


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At Hilltop Products, we sell a wide variety of heat shrink tubing products and every day hundreds of people are banging the door down to ask us questions about heat shrink tubing.
Ok, the second part isn't true. People regularly call our sales team for advice on the best heat shrink tubing for their needs but far fewer ask us who invented heat shrink or what it is about certain plastics that make them shrink?
If you've ever wondered about the finer points of heat shrink tubing, you can find out what you'd like to know right here.
Who invented heat shrink tubing?
Heat shrink tubing was developed in the 1950's by the Raychem Corporation. Chemical engineer Paul Cook used radiation chemistry to develop tubing which would shrink when exposed to radiation.
Now, manufacturer's like Alpha, Canusa and LG have followed Raychem's lead and also produce heat shrink polymers of their own.
What is heat shrink tubing made of?
Heat shrink tubing can be produced from a number of thermoplastics. These include polyvinyl chloride (PVC), neoprene and the tongue-twisting polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE).
Other shrinking polymers include polyolefin, viton and fluorinated ethylene propylene (FEP). Some heat shrink tubing also contains an adhesive lining or conductive polymer thick film which will allow for an electrical connection between two or more electrical conductors which are connected by the tubing.
Why does heat shrink tubing shrink?
Short answer: because of covalent bonds.
Slightly longer answer: when a polymer is exposed to radiation, its atoms form covalent bonds. This is known as cross-linking. Covalent bonds provide polymers with 'plastic memory'. They can be stretched but return to their original dimensions when the right amount of heat is applied.
Does all tubing shrink the same amount?
No, different tubing will shrink by different amounts and this is measured by shrink ratio. Heat shrink tubing with a shrink ration of 2:1 will shrink to half its expanded size under heat. A variety of other shrink ratios are available.
What is heat shrink tubing used for?
Short answer: virtually anywhere you find cables and wires.
Long answer: In general, heat shrink tubing is used for protecting electrical wires, identifying particular cables or grouping cables together.
HST can also be used to insulate wires in aircrafts, boats and other vehicles. It keeps water and dust out of cable splices and also provides a barrier between the cable and various corrosive chemicals.
Some computer or custom car modifiers even use heat shrink to simply make their wires look better.
Got another question about Heat Shrink Tubing? Why not give us a call today on 01942 723 101?


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Try these 10 best, easy weight loss tips & tricks for women. Lose or maintain a healthy weight. Simple weight loss habits that work & keep you motivated!
Healthy Snacks: 25+ "Quick Bites" for Tired, Busy Moms On the Go
25+ Easy healthy snacks for tired, busy moms on the go. Quick bites for at home or for work. Low carb & high protein options, plus guilt free sweets!


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Länk till populär beskrivning på svenska (klicka vidare från text under bilden)
Stochastics for big data and big systems – bridging local and global
A project supported by the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation
Summary: This project will develop general mathematics and statistics for understanding and modeling complex structures in time, space and networks. We will explore connectivity and phase transition for very large systems, develop theory which shows how normal behavior changes and becomes extreme, provide methods to understand the effects which small and local perturbations have on systems, and solve difficult and important optimization problems.
The key will be to understand how local properties influence global behavior, and vice versa. As one example: how do the local structures of a gel and small local perturbations of these structures determine global characteristics, such as drug delivery through the gel?
The amazing generality of mathematics will make our answers to questions about one kind of structure, like this one, help us describe and understand quite different structures. Our theory will model the temperature distribution in a heat wave, the structure of pores in soil, the spread of opinion in a social network, the optimal path for a traveling salesman, and structures of many other and quite different kinds.
We will use the new theory to contribute to modeling in geotechnology and medicine, to lessen the impact of extreme floods and windstorms in a changing climate, to safety and efficiency of marine transports, to avoidance of car accidents, and to planning of telecommunication networks.
The project group combines a unique array of skills in extreme values, Gaussian processes, discrete probability, abstract optimization, and spatial statistics. It has a worldwide network of collaborators, and interest and experience in using mathematics to solve problems in science and technology, and has made important contributions to the project area. The 2011 Swedish Research Council evaluation of Mathematics in Sweden described our Stochastic Centre (earlier funded by the Wallenberg foundation) as outstanding and as one of the strongest groups in the world.
The project will develop new ways of working together which use the opportunities which lie in our different knowledge and approaches and our large network of collaborators – and the possibilities for free and unfettered research given by the Wallenberg grant – for groundbreaking progress. A strategic result will be a Swedish intellectual infrastructure which can exploit three great opportunities of the future: Big Data, Big Systems and Big Progress of Theory.
The group
Holger Rootzén (Extreme value stochastics, leader)
Aila Särkkä (Spatial statistics, vice leader)
Robert Berman (Complex analysis)
Olle Häggström (Discrete probability)
Johan Jonasson (Combinatorial probability)
Rebecka Jörnsten (High-dimensional data analysis)h
Igor Rychlik (Stochastic processes for material fatigue and marine safety)
Jeff Steif (Discrete probability)
Bernt Wennberg (Interacting particle systems, Bolzmann equation)
Johan Wästlund (Optimization in random models)
Sergei Zuyev (Spatial stochastics)


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Social Learning in Lizards
Perhaps you've assumed that reptiles and amphibians aren't so smart. You're wrong! The cold-blooded cognition lab at the University of Lincoln is just one of the labs starting to focus on these very interesting creatures. A new study from Macquarie University in Sydney showed that young skinks could learn how to solve a task (which colored container contained a mealworm) faster by watching a demonstrator skink, one of the first studies to show social learning in these not-so-social creatures.
Science shows why mozzarella is a good cheese for pizza
Spoiler alert! It's the water-content and its stretchability!
Perhaps you're wondering if you made a huge mistake when you chose your research topic for grad school. "The aim of this study is to quantify the pizza baking properties and performance of different cheeses." I'm in, how do you get to work in this lab? Can you get a coal-fired pizza oven paid for by your uni?
In case that's not enough pizza-science for you, here's an article on the physics of pizza tossing.
Can a video game help us understand egg camouflage?
If you're a bird, you want to make sure your eggs won't be detected by predators. If you're a predator and hungry, you want to find those eggs. The "battle" between egg and egg-eater is a sort of evolutionary arms race, where the eggs get harder to detect, and the eaters get better at detection.
There's still a lot that scientists don't understand about this process, and they've started using video games and citizen participants to get at this question. In the game, you have to look at images of "camouflaged" eggs and click on them. Response time can give clues as to what makes an egg easy or hard to find. You can visit the egglab here, or read about it here! Very cool!


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Listing Information
Number of Workers Sought2
Type of FarmHay & Forage, Vegetable, Other
Marketing StrategyCommunity Supported Agriculture, Farmers' Market, Restaurant, Wholesale, Other
Pay Rate$900-$1,000/month (D.O.E) stipend, free room and board, wi-fi, utilities and farm produce provided. A bonus is offered to interns that meet/exceed expectations and fulfill their season-long commitment. There is also the possibility of advancement to a position of greater responsibility after successfully completing a season's internship with us.
Describe yourself, your family, background, farming experience, philosophy, goals and interestsWe (Jay and Kristi) have three young children, ages 2, 6, and 8. In our free time we are usually at the river, swimming, fishing, or floating with them and with friends and neighbors. We also enjoy hiking and camping around MT, and foraging for huckleberries and mushrooms. Jay loves to hunt for deer and elk in the fall, and the whole family enjoys winter sports. Kristi loves to read. We are transplants from Michigan (Kristi) and Louisiana (Jay), and have been living and farming in Montana for most of the past 19 years. Kristi has worked on all types of farms in Michigan and Montana, including vineyards, a dairy, many organic vegetable and fruit farms and a conventional potato farm. Jay is a carpenter-turned farmer who is now attending D.O. school full-time. As a result, we have taken on the wonderful Ian and Caitlin as farm managers to help oversee farm operations. We take a holistic approach to agriculture with a focus on maintaining healthy soils through cover crops, green manures, and animal manure. We strive to be good stewards of the land that provides us our livelihoods, and look forward to passing on those skills for others to continue practicing in other capacities.
Describe the physical setting of your farm and the nature of the community in which you liveThe Moiese Valley is an incredibly beautiful agricultural valley located about an hour north of Missoula, Montana. Our 40-acre farm offers breathtaking views of the Mission Mountains to the east and is only a half-mile walk from the gorgeous Flathead River; perfect for swimming, floating, and fishing. The Mission Mountains are a half-hour drive to the east and offer endless opportunities for hiking and exploring. We are also only about 45 minutes south of Flathead Lake, and a few hours drive from Glacier National Park and the Bob Marshall Wilderness. While this is an immensely beautiful and very diverse area, with much to see and do, we like to stress the relatively remote nature of our location. The nearest town of any size is a 15-minute drive away. We do provide wi-fi for our interns, but cell phone reception can be spotty here, depending on your service provider, although texting is usually possible. In short, interns should expect to adjust to a slower, rural, pace of life. If you think you'd be interested in coming to work and learn organic farming skills in an incredibly beautiful part of the world, we'd love to hear from you!
Describe your farm operation
We are a Certified Organic farm located in the beautiful Moiese Valley. We currently grow a variety of vegetables and herbs for wholesale markets, as well as for a multi-farm CSA operated by the Western MT Grower's Co-op. We also grow a large seed garlic crop that is marketed through a retail seed company. In addition we have 25 acres of pasture that we lease out for cattle grazing. We have a greenhouse for starting seeds in spring, 3 large heated hoop houses primarily used for growing tomatoes and basil, and 4 unheated hoop houses used for general season extension purposes. We also have a large garden for home/intern use in which we grow many other vegetables, as well as assorted fruit trees and berries. We have 4 tractors and various farm implements that we (and interns) use whenever applicable. We are one of the few vegetable farms in MT that irrigate with a pivot, which saves us a lot of time, energy, and water. We have two wonderful farm managers, Ian and Caitlin, to help manage our farm and business. Interns will be working with them as well as with Kristi, with the other intern(s), and independently at least some of the time.


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To renew your membership, please login to your profile using the button below (opens in new window/browser tab).
WAIMH changed membership system in 2018, and for security reasons you need to reset your password at the first time you visit and login to the new website. We apologize for the inconvenience.
You will be taken to the login page. Please login using your preferred method.
If your membership has expired, you will be prompted to renew it immediately.
If your membership is still active, in the upper right corner, navigate to the "Account + Setting" or "Renew Membership Now" depending on the time left on your membership.
Choosing the "Renew Membership Now" option will take you directly to the renewal form and prompt you to check your personal details.
Scroll down and press "SAVE CHANGES" and continue to finish the renewal form and choose your payment options.
If your membership still has some duration left, navigate to the "Account + Settings" section and choose "Payments & History" on the left and "Membership" at the top. Then click the "Securely renew your membership now" link and continue to update your information, choose your options and finish the form by choosing your payment method.
The World Association for Infant Mental Health (WAIMH) is a not-for-profit organization for scientific and educational professionals.
WAIMH's central aim is to promote the mental wellbeing and healthy development of infants throughout the world, taking into account cultural, regional, and environmental variations, and to generate and disseminate scientific knowledge.
WAIMH Central Office
Tampere University
Faculty of Medicine and Life Sciences
Arvo Ylpön katu 34
33520 Tampere
Phone: +358 50 4627379
E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com
US contact
World Association for Infant Mental Health
Room 7 Human Ecology Building
552 W. Circle Drive
Michigan State University
East Lansing, Michigan 48824
United States
Phone: +1 517 355 3397


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Velaro, Inc.
Velaro is a leading, award-winning vendor that works with big & small companies to provide packages for any budget, ensuring that clients get the best live chat experience possible!
Twitter: Velaro, Inc.
LinkedIn: Velaro, Inc.
Facebook: Velaro, Inc.
Youtube: Velaro, Inc.
Ownership / Organization Type: Privately Owned
Tax Status: Full tax
Minority Owned: Unknown
Woman Owned: No
# of Employees: 0
# of R&D Personnel: 0
# of Support Personnel: 0
# of Professional Services Personnel: 0
Company Uses Contractors?: Unknown


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White paper: Coil Evolution: Smaller Diameter Coil Production
This white paper explains how HVAC coil production has evolved and how the current technology can benefit engineers.
It makes sense, in terms of efficiency, to reduce both the tube diameter and the distance between tubes, so that the same volume of coil can transfer more heat. Tighter patterns, enhanced fin surfaces, and stronger fin stock materials increase the amount of work required per unit area of die surface, which means that any given size press has a higher tonnage requirement than would have been the case five, ten, or twenty years ago.


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I collect (or hoard, as my wife tells it) older tech if I find it interesting.
Sometimes it sits for a while before I get around to investigating it, and I guess my wife misunderstands this, and thinks the stuff is no use – but us techies know better, don't we?
I am selling my main computer (iMac 27″ i5 4 core) to fund the purchase of a PC that I can upgrade as and when money is available, so I didn't want to be without a desktop, and to that end I started investigating some of the older boxes I have collected (edit: he means hoarded – wife) over time. At the bottom of the pile I came across a box I used to use as a file server when I had a thing for digitising my DVD collection and playing it wirelessly around the house and over the internet. I remembered that it was a 64-bit AMD processor, and had a gigabyte of ram and was set up with 4 raided sata-1 drives (long since used for other projects).
I pulled it out, opened it up and found an 80Gig IDE hard drive still inside – so just for a laugh I connected a monitor and keyboard, plugged it in and it fired up with dire warnings about a CMOS checksum error (meaning the motherboard battery was flat, so CMOS info was wrong). After going in to setup, putting in the date and time and rebooting we got the known and loved scrolling boot messages from a Slackware install. Then it informed me that it was going to check the disks, as it had been 2782 days since the last time – or 7 1/2 years! 80Gig didn't take very long, and ignoring the missing file systems, I had a login prompt. My usual practice is to assign the same user-name and password to all my house boxes, and I was able to login without any problems.
Checking the hardware, I found that it was a Turion 64bit processor (1 core) running at 1.8ghz with a gig of ram and on-board graphics from Nvidia.
The question was, is this a usable box for one to two weeks while I set up the new PC?
The best test was simply to clone my iMac hard-drive and boot it in this box and see.
With minor hiccups (setting the display driver to Nvidia rather than ATI), I had my usual desktop (albeit at 1440 x 900 instead of 2560 x 1440!) and everything looked good, but what about performance?
For everyday tasks like reading email, surfing the net and playing videos (youtube and DVD's) there was a barely perceptible decrease in performance. For editing photos, performance took a nose-dive. Playing some old DOS games and games run under wine I found the performance to be tolerable, but I wouldn't want to do this for a long time.
After playing around with this system for most of a day, I figure I can live with it for a week or two while I sort out the sell-purchase-set-up cycle of the new PC box.
So, what have we learned from this?
1. Look in the bottom of the pile of first.
2. If you just want to surf, email and watch videos any old (Linux) box will be enough.
3. Games need more grunt than this box has to be pleasurably played.
4. Photography is an expensive pastime 🙂
5. Use Linux, 'cause you couldn't do what I have just done with Windows or Mac OS X.
If you got this far, thanks for sticking with it!


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Kaley Christine Cuoco is an American actress. After a series of supporting film and television roles in the late 1990s, she landed her breakthrough role as Bridget Hennessy on the ABC sitcom 8 Simple Rules, on which she starred from 2002 to 2005.
- Born: 30 November 1985 (age 32 years), Camarillo, California, United States
- Height: 1.68 m
- Spouse: Ryan Sweeting (m. 2013–2016)
- Siblings: Briana Cuoco
- Parents: Gary Carmine Cuoco, Layne Ann Cuoco
Kaley Cuoco Hot Picture Gallery


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"Believe in Yourself and Be Persistent," Writing Tips from IWC Instructor Tracy Line
Tracy Line teaches several classes for the IWC, including Beginning Writers Boot Camp, Memoir 101, and Faith Writing. Her next class is an online class meant to get your butt in the chair and help you meet your weekly writing goals, Winter Warriors Online Writing Club.
We asked Tracy a few questions about her own writing.
What was the greatest piece of advice you ever got about writing?
Believe in yourself and be persistent. Lots of people write books, few people finish them.
Why do you write?
I write because it brings me joy. Writing feels like a part of who I am. It is the one activity I can lose myself in. When I write, I lose all track of time.
What are you working on right now?
I am currently revising a memoir I've written on the experience of being a caregiver for my father, who has Parkinson's disease and dementia. It is emotionally packed so it is taking me a long time to complete. I am also working on writing and submitting some personal essays.
Favorite books or essays about the craft of writing?
There are so many good ones. I especially liked Writing Down the Bones by Natalie Goldberg, On Writing by Stephen King, Writing About Your Life by William Zinnsser and Still Writing by Dani Shapiro.
What's your favorite book, or the best book you've read recently? What do you love about it?
I read both fiction and nonfiction and can never pick a favorite book because I like many books for different reasons. A recent favorite was Before We Were Yours by Lisa Wingate. It was such a compelling and shocking story and kept me engaged. I also enjoyed Eleanor Oliphant is Completely Fine by Gail Honeyman. The main character is a bit odd, but by the end of the story, I found her to be very lovable.
Why do you like teaching at IWC? What do you look forward to about it?
I love meeting other writers, and sharing what I know about writing. I've met so many amazing people and have kept in touch with many who've taken my classes. What a gift it is to connect with people who love the written word as much as you do.
What advice would you give your beginning writer self?
Quit worrying about the rules or how it all works, and just write. Thinking ahead to the business of writing and publishing can be detrimental to the creative process. The best writing comes when you are in a playful and relaxed state. So write first, have fun and worry about the details later. Also, read as much as you can. Reading helps you become a better writer.
Tracy Line has written columns and feature articles on faith, family, travel and life for nearly two decades. Her work has been published in over 75 magazines, newspapers, websites and books. A graduate of Hanover College, Line is the author of Chasing God, Finding Faith from the Outside In (Hawthorne Publishing, 2015). She is currently working on her second book, and blogs about life and faith at www.tracyline.com. Outside of writing, Line also enjoys reading, traveling and spending time with her family.
Connect with Tracy:
Twitter: @thewritertracy
Instagram: @thewritertracy


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The Mormon Church has an interesting voice in a new television ad being aired in Arizona and Utah -- a seven-foot tall transvestite hooker.
Well, he's not an actual transvestite hooker (as far as we know) but he played one on TV.
Phil Vantee, a Los Angeles comedian/ banjo player, played the role of "Crack Head Drag Queen" in an episode of Comedy Central's hilarious Cops spoof Reno 911.
In the episode, entitled "Execution Tickets," Vantee plays the grotesque transvestite prostitute referred to as "Man With Teats" by the "officers" of the show.
The plot is simple: There is an upcoming execution at a Nevada prison, and Officer Dangle and company have been given a pair of tickets to go to the death chamber and witness the event.
To determine which officers get the tickets, the cops create a freak show scavenger hunt, which includes a "man with teats."
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That "man with teats" is now featured in the ad promoting the Mormon Church's Web site.
The Mormon Church did not respond to a call this morning to see if it knew about its newest testimonialist's former gig, but Vantee tells Fish Bowl LA it probably didn't.
Vantee says he just responded to an ad to give a testimonial for the Mormon Church about "what he really thought," which he did and was paid $500 for his comments, which are now being aired all across Arizona and Utah.
To see "Man With Teats'" thoughts on the afterlife and the Mormon Church, click here.


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Goose Down Pillows 500 Thread Count Firm Neck Support Pillow (Single)
Sale price
$ 104.99
Regular price
$ 209.99
Goose Down Pillows 500 Thread Count Firm Neck Support Pillow (Single)
Sleep better with a higher level of comfort with this Luxury Goose Down Pillow by Royal Hotel, that is a soft, lavish pillow for a well-rested night. Filled with superior quality goose down which offers you the rich sensation of feathers without any poking. Try this luxury Down/Feather pillow for unforgettable comfort, cradling your head for a great night's sleep, night after night. This comfy pillow is enclosed in a 500 thread count 100-Percent cotton cover. Fluffy goose feather pillows give you the right amount of support where you need it most. This down pillow offers all-natural comfort. With an inner core of springy, high-loft feathers wrapped in an outer layer of silk, luxurious down, you'll receive supportive, lofty comfort. The gusset allows for additional neck support so you can sleep comfortably no matter your sleep position.
- Luxury Goose Down Pillow (Sold in Single)
- Soft 100-Percent Cotton Cover
- 500 Thread count, High Durability
- Edged with double silky piping for a clean finish
- Firm filled with 45 Ounces of Goose Down for Standard/Queen size
- Firm filled with 60 Ounces of Goose Down for King size
- Hypoallergenic
- Dry clean only
Sizes & Dimensions
Standard/Queen Size Pillow measures 20 inches wide x 28 inches long, with 45 ounces Fill of white goose down
King Size Pillow measures 20 inches wide x 36 inches long, with 60 ounces Fill of white goose down
Down and feather-filled products like this luxury Soft Goose Down Standard/King Size Pillows Set packed tightly during shipping. Upon receipt, remove them from their packaging, fluff gently, and allow several hours to recover their full loft. In addition, being sealed in plastic packaging sometimes causes the scent of these natural products to concentrate to a disagreeable level. A few hours of airing usually removes the odor.


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Renee Oteri Shares Precious First Photo of Newborn Son Jax
Welcome to the world, Jax Bracy Maynard! 'Bachelor' alum Renee Oteri shared the first photo of her new son, and he's a cutie. Click to see the PIC!
Only four days after giving birth to her second child, Renee Oteri, 32, is showing off her newborn baby boy. The new mom shared a cute photo snuggling up to little Jax Bracy Maynard, and she's beaming with joy.
Renee Oteri's Baby: First Photo Of Jax Bracy Maynard
So precious!
Even in the midst of post-delivery, Renee snapped a beautiful first photo of her and newborn son, Jax. His little head is resting snuggly on mommy's chest and Renee looks so gorgeous right after having a baby!
She captioned the photo, "Maynard ••• party of 4! // Happy Birthday Jax! 7lbs 3oz of cuteness beyond cuteness • So in love❥ 01•15•15 @ 0616 hrs."
This is the first child for Renee and husband Bracy Maynard. The former Bachelor contestant has an older son, Ben, 9, from another relationship. Apparently, Ben is already loving being a big brother to baby Jax.
"Ben is the proudest older brother and Bracy is in love — we're all so happy," Renee told Us Weekly. "It was such a long labor, but Bracy nailed it! I also had a girlfriend who is a doula and she was a rock star! She got us all playing Heads Up during the early labor to kill time."
So fun! This is such a special time for Renee and her cute little family.
It's been a fantastic past couple of days for Bachelor and Bachlorette alums. Desiree Hartsock and Chris Siegfried got married on Jan. 18! Will she be expecting next?
HollywoodLifers, are you happy for Renee and Bracy? Do you like little Jax's name? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
— Avery Thompson


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Phin: Applewoods Bow Rider At Sealion MH
OFA excellent,Elbows Normal, PRA clear,EIC clear, CNM clear
Phin made the 2010 Derby list, finished his first Derby at 11 months, had a 1st, 2-3rds, a 4th and 5 jams. Finished his first Qualifiying at 20 months.
Phin works with style and loves to jump. In 2010 Phin Won the Amateur Dock Dog at the Eukanuba National.
Contact us for Stud Service. Below are the links to Phins Pedigree docs in PDF format.


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julie72 wrote:Yours looks great, I really like the colour as I'm not really sold on the brown ones. I think I may bid and see what happens I quite fancy doing one up to make it how I'd like it inside. [You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
It was the colour that caught Mrs P's eye when we bought ours. Have you seen a 6 before? You will be surprised how much room there is in one.


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Surati Holi Hai is at it's ninth year and is today one of the most talked about and awaited events of the year. Organized by nonprofit Surati for Performing Arts, and the brain child of Founder and Artistic Director Rimli Roy, who wanted to bring to the communities in the U.S the spirit of Holi – taken from the Indian Festival of Colors. Through the event, Surati aims to celebrate and spread the message of love, peace and universality by a showcase of the performing and visual arts, community interaction and participation. The Surati professional touring team also performs at this festival, free for everyone to attend.
People from different ethnic backgrounds participate and perform at this festival and community leaders show their support by attending. The festival also receives support from Jersey City Cultural Affairs and The Hudson County Office of Cultural and Heritage Affairs.
Held on the Jersey City waterfront in Exchange Place, the festival was featured on the NJ Transit and PATH trains and is currently among the popular Holi festival in the tristate area, Roy said. This year, the festival will be held on April 29.


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Orange County Public Works has begun removing debris where a storm drain collapsed between two buildings at a La Habra condominium complex — creating a massive sinkhole, officials said Tuesday.
A sidewalk path was broken in half and trees had fallen into the giant hole following the collapse of a private underground storm drain on the morning of Jan. 23. Nearly a week later, beginning about 7 a.m. on Tuesday, crews and equipment were being brought in to start working on the damaged area.
The sinkhole measures 100 feet long, 15 feet deep and about 20 feet wide, according to O.C. Public Works. It lies along a greenbelt area of the Coyote Village condominium community that's located at 957 West Imperial Highway.
Officials are hoping to finish clearing debris from the area by the end of Wednesday but no definite timeline has been set.
Still, crews are working against the clock since rain is expected on Thursday and Saturday. Officials have said the sinkhole may have been caused, at least in part, by recent rains that saturated and weakened the ground.
Some of the debris needing to be removed is in sections of the private storm drain, sidewalk and turf, officials said. Other areas of the condo community need to be cleared as well.
The damaged drain is located immediately downstream from an open flood control located south of Imperial highway and operated by O.C. Public Works. The morning after the sinkhole appeared, officials were still working to determine who owns the drain so next steps could be taken in repairing the damage.