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Ever hear the old adage, "date three to find the one"? If not, you've clearly never met my grandma.
The simple premise—date three men at once to increase your chances of finding the man you'll marry—was something my grandmother swore by (funny, considering I doubt she dated anyone besides my grandfather. Ever.)
But there may be wisdom in these wise, old words.
Grandma's concern was about weighting your options instead of driving yourself nuts and obsessing over just one man. Not investing all your time, energy, and emotions into any single man, no matter how much he's convinced you he's Mr. Fabulous can have its benefits. You simply don't have time to fret about how much time he's fretting about you if you're simultaneously dating Mr. Semi-Fabulous and Mr. Just-Okay, too.
"If you are looking for a serious relationship, then you should absolutely be dating more than one man at once... you need quantity to find quality," says "dateologist" and flirting expert Tracey Steinberg. Even if you're looking to keep it casual, "then by all means, also try out the variety and the spice of life."
Steinberg does not suggest sleeping with more than one man at once because of added drama and STDs, but she advises all of her clients to go out on dates with multiple people—until they find someone that becomes particularly sparkly and special to them.
Emily, 28, who was my grandmother's worst nightmare—a woman who became fixated on each new flavor of the month without keeping perspective. So she decided to try a little man-juggling.
"I would date a guy and if I liked him, start picturing our wedding within the first three dates," she admits. "Everything I did became about him. Every invite I got would become, 'Oh, I can invite him to this.' Every dress I bought would be, 'Oh, I can wear this in front of him.' And this would go on and on for three month cycles or so."
She consciously tried to break this habit by dating more than one person at a time. "My friend suggested I date more than one person at a time for my own good, and I met Adam and I started seeing the pattern happening again, but I forced myself to break it. I started seeing another guy, and even a few other dates here and there with some losers, but the whole time, it really just helped distract me," she says. "I was forced not to put my life on hold for him."
Perfect, right? But dating coach David Wygant says dating three to find the one isn't always the best mantra, and can even be emotionally "dangerous."
"You can date as many people as you handle," he says. "But some people date around because they are needy."
Instead of worrying about how many dates you have and it being a balancing act, Wygant suggests women "date from feelings. Know what you want ahead of time so you aren't getting too invested. Do a reality check. You should have a personal list."
Ladies love lists, but Wygant says he's talking about a different kind. "Most women make a list of what they want the guy to be, not how they (personally) want to feel."
Somewhere between her wedding fantasies and serial dating, Emily was able to do some soul-searching. "I was getting such a severe rush of feelings for these guys, almost like I was scared of losing an opportunity to date them, that I never really took the time to think if I really liked them or not," she says. "When I was dating more people I could take a step back and think: 'Do I really like them? Do I want to be with them?' It felt good."
Apparently the answer was yes. Dating around led to the ultimate happy ending: Emily is now engaged to Adam.
Do you think dating three to find the one is a good idea? And besides that, do you have the time, energy, and stamina, to date a trio of guys at once?
Want more stories from Carson? Follow her on Twitter.


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Christophe Cord'Homme, Business & Products Development Director, CNIM
Jeroen Van Schindel, Director Sales & Marketing, RioGlass
Jean Paquin, Director de Desarollo de Negocios Chile, Northland Power Development Services
Manuel Ignacio Roldán, General Manager - CEO, QATRO
Belén Gallego, Strategy and Business Development Director, and Ángel Cabello, Chile Country Manager, at Astrom Technical Advisors
José Ignacio Escobar, General Manager, Acciona Energía Chile
Alessio Formica, Chief Engineer, Beroa Iberia
Pedro Gamio, Ex-Vice Minister of Energy of Peru
José Estela Ramírez, General Manager, Sami Energy Consulting
Daniella Rough, Renewable Energy and Sustainable Mining Specialist, Golder Associates
Rodrigo Vásquez, Asesor Programa Energías Renovables y Energías Ronovables y Eficiencia Energética, GIZ
Gustavo Cáceres, Director of Renewable Energy Masters, Universidad Adolfo Ibañez
Carlos Arenas, Professor, Antofagasta University
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subset: commoncrawl


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Thursday Night Football Recap — Defense Keys Seahawks Win Over Cardinals, 34-22
The Seattle defense recorded seven sacks and two interceptions, and the Seahawks beat the Cardinals, 34-22, in Glendale, Ariz. on Thursday night. Quarterback Russell Wilson threw for 235 yards and three touchdowns for Seattle (6-1), which became the first NFC team to six wins.
The Seahawks dominated most of the game, yet they led just 17-10 at halftime. They broke away from Arizona (3-4) with two third quarter touchdowns, the second coming on a 2-yard run by Marshawn Lynch, who finished with 91 rushing yards in the game.
Carson Palmer completed 30 of 45 passes for 258 yards and a touchdown for the Cardinals.


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Three for your attention
David Mamet's post about the danger of a government that tries to take your guns.
The National Review editor's sterling take on Obama's devious attack on the military's integrity as a fighting organization.
Mark Steyn. (Do I need to say anything more, or is his name alone a sufficient inducement for you to read?)
Do you have any suggestions for worthwhile reads?


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Several times over the course of the last few years and our chats together, I have mentioned the films with various reincarnations of the character the Karate Kid. The late Pat Morita starred in three of them and was such a perfect Mr. Miyagi in example and his sparsely spoken words. Anyone who has seen those films was imprinted with the importance of consistency of movement exemplified in such statements as "Wax on, wax off."
Consistency of movement builds muscle mass and keeps us strong and our bodies usable. The conscious movement using both sides of our bodies, particularly our hands, arms, and legs, is our way of putting up a valiant fight against the hostile takeover of disease. Some of us with pain in other areas have, with the help of physical therapy, learned ways to keep those places in the best shape possible. Just chuckle when you think of me and my backside exercises to keep my sacroiliac joints functioning. It may not be pretty but that's okay; function is our credo. Use it as long as you can, keep it as strong as possible, and don't let disease defeat you. I hate to fight but it seems it is necessary in life from time to time. To fight against lethargy, gravity, and disease is a fight to preserve one's life.
In case you haven't seen it, there's a new Karate Kid film now on DVD starring Jackie Chan and Jaden Smith, son of the actor Will Smith and the actress Jada Pinkett Smith. There's much of the same spunk and spirit in this new film as there was in the older films. One small area of confusion is that it takes place in China and the subject is kung fu, in spite of the title of the film. Apparently similar martial arts are kung fu in China and karate in Japan. In the newest version, the young boy in the film never hangs up his jacket and prefers to throw it on the floor. Jackie Chan's character, a lonely, depressed widower, hears the conflict between the boy and his mom and chooses hanging up his jacket as the boy's first kung fu lesson. You can imagine the irritation and rebellion that ensues when the child is told to pick up his jacket, hang it up, put it back on, put it on the ground, pick it up, hang it up, put it back on, etc. Hours on end of the movement involved in these simple actions of daily life can still build muscle as well as discipline. Moral lessons ensue as the teacher explains that kung fu is a part of life and keeping one in tune with all that surrounds us.
I don't know why I find these ancient disciplines so fascinating, but I do. The discipline and the strengthening they each require is a lesson, I believe, for all of us. Just because some of us live compromised lives due to disease and pain, that doesn't mean we just lie down and roll over, legs in the air like a bunch of dead cockroaches. No, indeed. We are challenged, not finished.
We can still find great value in learning to do something new and well. So often, the depression that accompanies chronic pain and illness is born in a feeling of uselessness. Everyone needs to be challenged. Our minds, our talents, and our spirits need to grow, to learn, to expand. We don't have to be relegated to being only observers of life. If we really think about the movements of each day, we can use them for strength training and continued function.
The rule of thumb with most medical personnel is for our exercise to increase the heart rate as well as our breathing. Sometimes, I believe, this causes some feeling of inadequacy in some just because they haven't joined a gym or work out every day. Muscle movement, strength training, and endurance can be accomplished in just living life. Five trips up the stairs with filled grocery bags is exercise. Pushing a shopping cart around a superstore, where the carts are huge and heavy, does work the shoulders and arms. I like to find a parking place a few hundred feet away from the entrance to where I'm going just to get in the extra walking. It's more fun than walking on a treadmill.
Use what you can, for as long as you can, in as many imaginative ways as you can. No dead cockroaches here!
Important: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and not Everyday Health.


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The financial markets are governed by a few major principles: economic environment is key and affects asset prices. The trade-off between growth and inflation has to be at its peak to ensure optimal allocation of resources in the real world and to maximise the assets' valuation in the financial world.
So if we had to explain the current state of affairs to a layman, we would say: "right now growth is present, the problem is inflation, and if inflation climbs to 2.5% it will be bad news for the markets."
Of course, a layman would think a statement like that is stupid since a general price rise of 2.5% hardly seems to be a problem. And yet.
How can we explain this type of situation? Well, the answer is clear for professionals in the finance industry. The monetary authorities set certain goals: maximise employment and maintain price stability. And the yardstick for price stability was set at 2%/year, meaning that the price of an average basket of consumer goods and services increases at a rate of 2% per year.
The 2008 crisis torpedoed these ambitions and put enormous pressure on the monetary and fiscal authorities alike to restore adequate economic conditions. Unconventional policies were conducted in a bid to close the huge gap between economic goals and economic reality.
Economic conditions have now normalised, but economic policies have not. They are still highly accommodative. Meanwhile, investors have zeroed in on above-target inflation as a major risk, sparking restriction in monetary policies. Which is why an inflation rate of 2.5% or higher would be a very bad sign for the financial markets.
We would like to discuss these points, because in our view, this way of seeing things is no longer valid. The measurement of inflation and the role it plays are too vague to assign any real importance to the 2% annual growth target for the price of the average CPI basket.
Economic theory teaches us that low, stable inflation is better than strong and/or volatile inflation because it optimises the consumption and investment behaviours of private-sector economic agents. And since we're talking about human behaviour, economists point out that inflation perceptions are every bit, if not more, important than the actual level of inflation because a change of perception can lead to a change in agents' behaviour. This is why the monetary authorities examine very different inflation indicators in assessing the measurement of inflation.
The truth is it's all very hit-and-miss.
These are the points we would like to stress. It is extraordinary to see the central banks so obsessed with this 2% target (and having sold the idea to investors) given how shaky their assumptions are.
=> Is there less growth when inflation veers away from 2%? No.
=> Is perceived inflation as important as actual inflation? Hard to say. The relationship between real inflation and consumer behaviour is unclear, so testing the relationship between perceived inflation and consumer behaviour is too complex. We would also point out that the correlation between real and perceived inflation is highly unstable.
Central bank economists have dissected inflation, calculating different price indices:
The left-hand chart presented below is taken from the latest price report published by South Africa's National Statistics Office. It shows different inflation rates. Low-income households saw an annual price rise of 1.3% in March, compared with 4.4% for households in the Cape region. So which inflation rate should the central bank take into consideration?
Another major criticism of the CPI is the "quality adjustment." The aim of this adjustment is to correct the prices of goods and services which have improved (cars now equipped with GPS, HD TVs, etc.). The underlying assumption is that consumers are aware of technological advancements to such an extent that, when they buy a new ping pong table, they adjust the price increase to account for the higher quality of the table surface. Well, sure, we all do that!
Another better-known example is the price of smartphones. The right-hand chart compares the annual variation in the "Telephone Equipment" component of the European CPI (in orange) with the change in the average selling price of mobile phones (in blue). The difference is huge, but most economists find that normal based on the quality adjustment and consumer super-powers.
What does the consumer think? And more importantly, what can we take away from all this?
We can draw multiple conclusions, in fact. While central banks may be obsessed by price stability (defined by an inflation rate of 2%), the fact of the matter is:
What we're getting at is: the range of inflation estimates is very broad and its role/impact in the developed world is very vague. So why organise monetary policy and, "by contagion", the financial markets around a target as specific as 2%?
Price stability in the developed world is a given. That's not the issue. The issue is growth. The real question is whether monetary policy should be based on real economic variables (employment & production) as opposed to price variables. At this point, it's just getting silly:
The fact that central bankers are unable to normalise yields because of highly imperfect inflation measurements and very unstable assumptions on the role of inflation could have potentially adverse consequences. These consequences are difficult to imagine simply because there has never been a similar situation in all of history. It is now clear, however, that during the next recession yields will have to fall much further (-4% or -5%?) to generate a counter-shock. Is that efficient, in the economic sense of the term?
The comments and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and not necessarily those of Candriam.


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Big Hero Star Trek Voyager Men's Sweatshirt 0U7AB138Z
- Product Code: 0U7AB138Z
- Availability: In Stock
£60.83 £25.18
Available Options
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Weight 280gsm
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Big Hero Star Trek Voyager Men's Sweatshirt 0U7AB138Z


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Starting this project I was excited because I have never used Bella Cupcake Couture Cupcake Wraps, or any cupcake wraps for that matter, and when I saw the Bella Cupcake Couture Lu Lu Black and White Cupcake Wraps, I was inspired and knew just what to make. I love the elegant pattern on these wraps and black is an unexpected color that is not usually associated with cupcakes so I thought it would be fun to make something different.
Starting out, I anticipated this to be an easy project. Just bake and frost some cupcakes and place them in the wraps right? Wrong. I started out by baking standard sized cupcakes and when the cupcakes came out of the oven and cooled I quickly realized that they were going to be too small for the Bella Cupcake Couture Wraps. Looking down into the wrap, the top of the standard size cupcake was a good 1/2″ below the edge of the cupcake wrap, and the cupcake had at least 1/4″ of breathing room all around it. I knew that even if I mounded on giant swirls of frosting, the cupcake would still look sunken and inset from the wrap.
My options were to place the cupcakes on some sort of stilts to raise them up so that the top of the cupcake would be level with the edge of the wrap, to go ahead and frost the cupcakes using as much frosting as possible so that the problem wouldn't be as noticeable or to bake new larger cupcakes. The stilt idea seemed clunky and complicated and I knew I wouldn't get the results I wanted by frosting the cupcakes I already had made, so I baked new cupcakes. The next size up that I had in baking cups was a 1-7/8″ wall by 2-1/4″ diameter base baking cup. This is the size in between standard and giant (Texas sized), and if you don't fill it too full you can use a standard size muffin baking pan.
Just for reference, a standard size baking cup has 1-3/8″ walls (sides) and a 2″ diameter bottom. Note: 1-3/8″ walls and 2″ diameter bottom measurements must be approximations because although these are the dimensions that are called out on the packaging, when I measure the baking cup it seems closer to 1-1/2″ wall and 1-7/8″ diameter base. These are the most common size and the kind that people generally use. They come in a variety of different colors and patterns, and you should be able to find some variety of these size at your local grocery store.
Using the new larger baking cups I baked some new cupcakes. These larger cupcake liners stuck up way above the edges of my cupcake pan. I filled each cup with 1/2 cup of batter (next time I would use 1/3 cup because this was too much) and baked them for 35-40 minutes at 350 degrees F. When these cupcakes emerged from the oven I could tell that they were much much bigger, but the question now was… are they too big? Unfortunately the answer was yes. Bigger than the standard size cupcakes but too big for the cupcake wraps, these cupcakes would not do. Now I was determined that I would make a cupcake that was not too big, not too small, but just right.
Because I didn't have any other in between size baking cups, I had to create my own by cutting approximately 3/8″ off of the entire rim of the larger baking cups. They originally had a 2″ wall (the packaging again read 1-7/8″ wall, but when measured was closer to 2″) so this brought them down to a 1-5/8″ wall. This may not seem like a big difference being that the standard baking cup was only 1/4″ shorter, but because of the differing base diameters, the overall size was quite different. I continued to cut the baking liners three at a time until I had 12. I placed them in the standard size muffin pan and filled them with approximately a level scoop (I use a 56 mm scoop) and a half of batter (this is approximately 1/4 cup), and baked them for about 25-30 minutes at 350 degrees F. After letting the cupcakes cool on a wire rack, I dropped one into the wrap and found that to my relief and delight these cupcakes were the perfect size.
Now the fun part! Decorating the cupcakes. My idea for decorating was simple… Pipe frosting on the cupcakes using a large decorating tip and then sprinkle with black sugar pearls and place in cupcake wraps. This part of the project went pretty much according to plan.
I wanted a vibrant contrast color that wouldn't fade in the background or be drowned out by the black, so I chose electric pink. I put approximately 5-6 cups of buttercream icing in the bowl of a six quart Kitchen Aid mixer and using the whisk attachment I mixed in almost a whole bottle of electric pink gel paste to get this shocking pink. Hint: The frosting will become darker as it sets. If you want to make sure that your frosting is the color you are hoping for, color it the night or day before you want to use it and color it just a shade lighter than you want. By the next day, your frosting will have developed to its final shade.
I used a 14″ pastry bag and Ateco tip 825 to pipe frosting on the cupcakes. Start piping from the outside edge of the cupcake and end up with your swirl ending in the center.
Next use your fingers to sprinkle black sugar pearls onto the cupcakes.
Now gently place the cupcakes in the Bella Cupcake wraps. I found that the best way to do this is to hold the cupcake directly over the assembled wrap with one hand. Bring your other hand under the wrap and up through the opening in the bottom of the wrap to grap the cupcake and gently guide it down into place.
Now you can add additional decorations to your cupcakes such as the chocolate skull toppers we added here, or place them on a pedestal for an elegant display.
Recap – To do this project at home you will need the following:
~Bella Cupcake Couture Lu Lu Black and White Cupcake Wraps (1 pkg-12wraps)
~12 Large Baking Cups (1-7/8″ wall and 2-1/4″ diameter base)
~14″ Pastry Bag/Decorating Bag
~Ateco Tip/Tube 825
~1 Bottle Americolor Electric Pink Gel Paste
~12 Chocolate Skull Toppers
All dressed up in Bella Cupcake Couture Wraps, these cupcakes make a wonderful centerpiece for any celebration. I love that these cupcakes are very versatile and can look elegant and chic or a bit edgy and punk when you add the skulls.


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Charge up your PlayBook, fill up on the coffee, and prepare for what may finally be the update we have all been waiting for. A newly leaked internal document shows a release date of tomorrow for the BlackBerry PlayBook OS 2.1. Many were expecting the OS to be released on Monday and even into Tuesday, but that never happened. Maybe RIM will break tradition this time and give us a nice gift tomorrow. Here is the change log:
- Allows PIM (Messages, Calendar, Contacts) to be viewed in portrait orientation
- PIM Deep Folder Hierarchy. Previously, if a customer had multiple nested folders within email
- Allows for WiFi to be used for Bridge between 2 devices if theyre on the same WiFi network
- BlackBerry Bridge will now support viewing SMS messages on the PlayBook
- Print to Go will now work across different networks
- Android apps will now be run in separate windows instead of one window for every Android app
- Android apps will now have the ability to use the PlayBook camera
- A customer will now be able to make in-app payments within Android apps
- Discuss this in the forum


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This week saw the California Fish and Game Commission approving the 2013-14 proposed fishing regulation changes. Most significant for local anglers will be the removal of the long-standing 12- to 15-inch slot limit on bass species, and adoption of a 12-inch minimum size limit, with the five-fish daily bag limit remaining the same.
The change came as a bit of a surprise to local stakeholders.
"This was done without any local input," said Don Reighley of the Oroville Recreation Advisory Committee. "We were asking for an increase in the slot limit to 14 to 17 inches, which is not what the local community wanted. Once we found out what the DFG wanted to do, there was no time to correct it."
Department of Fish and Game biologist Kyle Murphy asserts that the lake is overpopulated with spotted bass inside the slot limit, and that the change will thin out this overpopulation, freeing up more of the food sources, and allow the bass population to grow to a larger average size.
For a complete list of the approved 2013-14 fishing regulation changes, go to www.fgc.ca.gov/regulations.
Afterbay steelhead
One of the best kept "secret" fishing opportunities in the area are the steelhead in the Thermalito Afterbay. The consistency has suffered slightly over the years due to the fact that the stockings do not take place every year, but this year"s crop of steelies is growing quickly. Very few anglers are going out and fishing for them, even though many are sporting cash reward tags.
Jay Rowan, the DFG biologist running the project, said, "We have done creel-checks out at the afterbay since February, but cut back their frequency quite a bit this summer due to a lack of anglers to interview. The last tag report we got back had the steelhead at 18 inches, so I"m guessing they are in the 16- to 24-inch range now, and should start getting active."
Although the species change for Lake Oroville"s salmon planting project from coho to chinook is unpopular, one facet of the change could possibly benefit the fishery in the Thermalito Afterbay. The current steelhead planting project depends on surplus steelhead eggs from the Feather River hatchery, which are not available every year.
"The possibility of putting chinook in the afterbay was brought up at the recent Oroville Recreation Advisory Commission meeting," said Rowan. "From a fishery point of view, I think the steelhead are probably a better option because of the more insect-based forage, and would be my first choice. However, the steelhead egg supply is limited. We will have to wait and see if management and pathology are comfortable with the proposal."
CWA banquet
The Chico chapter of the California Waterfowl Association will hold its "Chico Fall Harvest" banquet at 5:30 p.m. on Nov. 17 at the Chico Elks Lodge. Tickets are $75 single, $120 couple, and $35 for kids. Dinner will be New York steak and prawns, with catering by Silver Sage. A great selection of raffle and auction prizes will be available, including wildlife-themed art, hunting gear, and high-quality guns from Beretta, Weatherby and Winchester. For tickets or more information, call Michael Suplita at 990-2633.
Waterfowl scores
Highest daily averages from last week at the refuges were as follows: Colusa, 1.38 birds per hunter average (2 geese); Delevan, 2.11 (9 geese); Gray Lodge, 0.96 (1 goose); Howard Slough, 2.20 (zero geese); Little Dry Creek, 1.57 (4 geese); Llano Seco, 0.78 (zero geese); Sacramento, 0.92 (zero geese).
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UPDATE: Arlen Specter's office confirmed Tuesday morning that the former U.S. Senator is once again fighting cancer. "I am battling cancer, and it's another battle I intend to win," Specter said in a statement issued by his office. "I am grateful for the well wishes I have received and I am looking forward to getting back to work, to the comedy stage, the squash court and the ballpark," says Specter, an avid Phillies fan.
We reported what follows below on Monday afternoon...
Arlen Specter has been hospitalized with a serious illness, confirm friends of the longtime U.S. Senator. One asked that people keep him in thoughts and prayers.
Specter, 82, announced in 2005 that he had Hodgkin's disease for which he underwent chemotherapy. His cancer returned and he was treated again in 2008.
Friends declined to comment Monday afternoon on the nature of his illness.
Specter had been scheduled to appear as a surprise guest and perform a comedy set at last Wednesday's Stu Bykofsky Candidates Comedy Night but his secretary cancelled his long-booked appearance several days earlier, Bykofsky confirms, adding that Specter's assistant referred to the cancellation as "personal."
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"I'm sorry I can't provide any information to that effect, you'll have to ask somebody else," replied a woman who answered the phone at Specter's office Monday when asked if she could confirm that Specter was in the hospital.
Specter's son, attorney Shanin Specter, promptly retured our email Monday, but declined to comment for this report.


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Thursday, March 3, 2011
Casey Anthony Hearing: Day 2
Jose Baez took Hosey through the events at the Anthony house the night of July 15, 2008. Hosey was the supervisor responsible for 14 deputies. Hosey explained that Cpl. Rendon Fletcher was the first to arrive at the scene. Andriana Acevedo and Ryan Eberlin came next. Then, Hosey himself arrived after Cpl. Fletcher called him to say that this seemed to be more than a stolen vehicle call.
He arrived at 10:00 PM.
Once he got there, he realized that there were concerns about the fact that there was now a missing child. At this time, about 45 minutes after the last 911 call, there was no primary focus. They had the car (loaned to Casey), the stolen credit cards, then Caylee.
Hosey testified that he did not cuff Casey. Deputy Eberlin used his own discretion in cuffing her. When he heard that Eberlin had cuffed Casey, and he told him to take them off.
Apparently, at the time of his deposition, he did not remember about the handcuffing. He said he learned it from the media and Baez challenged Hosey on the rules of sequestration. Hosey said he spoke to no one about it and then said that he sat in front of the tv. Something may have come on.
Judge Perry reminded Mr. Baez to ask when he heard the media reports. Hosey said he heard it before yesterday. Yesterday's news did not effect him.
Hosey spoke with Melich that evening, although he doesn't remember the time.
At 12:45 AM, he reported the case to missing children. Baez tried to get Hosey to say Melich told him to have Casey uncuffed. Hosey didn't recall who told him to uncuff her.
There was a lot of talk about "unarrest expedite" and that Hosey didn't tell Eberlin to write one. (I'm thinking about the chaos Baez mentioned yesterday.)
I sure hope Linda Drane Burdick can straighten this out!
She elicited from Hosey that he was in charge of more than one scene that night. He spent a lot of time on his phone directing his deputies. Among other things, he directed Adriana Acevedo to take Casey to Sawgrass to verify the address.
Drane Burdick is trying to establish that Hosey had a great deal of activity going on this night, not all of it at the Anthony House.
He also sent Dep. Ryan Williams to retrieve Casey's cell phone at Tony Lazzaro's home.
Hosey reviewed his phone calls and communications he made that night.
Hosey did have contact with Casey Anthony at the scene. The parents had said her behavior was erratic and there was the issue of the car. The focus changed when Cindy Anthony brought up the missing child.
He took a short walk with Casey and she told him her parents wanted to take Caylee away from her. She told Hosey that her daughter was fine. Therefore, Hosey believed the situation to be a typical domestic call, that it was a dispute between a mother and a daughter about a child. (Personally, I would have been thinking that Casey had hidden Caylee away to thwart her parents' threats.)
Linda Drane Burdick then went through the many details of how Casey was treated by Sgt. Hosey. We had enough examples of these. He treated her pleasantly and Casey said she was willing to help. Casey said it was just her mother causing problems for her.
Drane Burdick also pointed out that the "unarrest" policy does not pertain to people temporarily detained, but not arrested. The fact is, there was never an arrest report filed.
Baez questioned Hosey about his lack of memory of everything that happened. Hosey made it clear that the information Cindy Anthony gave him is what made the focus shift from theft to a missing child.
Having seen the Anthony family in motion over the past couple of years plus, when I think of their behavior, I can easily visualize the chaos at that home that night. Even George and Cindy, when reviewing that night, had very different stories to tell and various lapses in memory. Hosey, managing this call and others at the same time must have been a very busy man. He was probably running on auto-pilot, aided by his years of LE experience.
Witness Sgt. John Allen: OSCO
Baez elicited from John Allen the fact that he never told George or Cindy Anthony that Casey wasn't coming back.
Drane Burdick did not present any witnesses. She did mention a call Casey made which has been stipulated to. (I'm wondering if this is the first call Casey made home which is infamous?)
Motion to Suppress Statements Made to George, Cindy, Lee Anthony, Robyn Adams and Sylvia Hernandez.
Maya Derkovic is not included as the state will not use her in their case in chief.
Witness: George Anthony
Baez asked George about his state of mind during the days after Casey's arrest. George gave a brief description of the state of chaos and confusion which his life had become. His overwhelming concern with finding his granddaughter.
He was in daily contact with the Sheriff's Office. They talked a little about Casey, but his focus was to bring Caylee home. George was aware that as of the 17th, Casey had obtained Baez' representation. Baez visited their home on the 18th. After that, his relationship with law enforcement became strained. According to George, LE was questioning why she had gotten a lawyer so soon.
George originally said he "bonded" with LE and felt they sought him out more than his wife because of that bond. Lee was very outspoken and tried to help find Caylee.
The central message Baez was trying to elicit was all about how LE wanted him to speak with Casey to get as much information from Casey about Caylee as possible. (I would assume that the information they wanted from Casey was where the living child was, or where she had actually last seen her.)
There were video visitations just after Casey was arrested. Baez tried to get George to say that Yuri Melich set up the initial video visitation, but George couldn't testify to that.
On July 24, George had an interview with LE. Baez pointed out that Yuri Melich told him that the "truth lies with Casey." George agreed with that; after all, Casey was her mother
Baez went into great detail about the portion of the interview where Yuri Melich talked about Jose Baez. George said that perhaps LE wanted to use George to go around him to get to his daughter. Drane Burdick objected and when he started again, Burdick objected again. He was trying to get George's opinion on what LE wanted from him.
Just a reminder here, at that point, LE was looking for a living Caylee. At that time, Melich reminded George that he had the right to speak with his own daughter without her attorney present if she agreed. As we all know, the meeting was scheduled but never took place.
In his line of questioning, it was clear that Baez was trying to get George to admit that Melich was trying to get him to get Casey to get a lawyer who would be more amenable to working with them.
George went back to his LE experience to demonstrate that Casey's welfare was at risk if she were placed in general population. This was sort of a "carrot" to lure George into becoming an Agent of the State to keep her in protective custody.
George made an excellent point that all he cared about was Caylee. He was also concerned for Casey, but he at least knew where she was..
Baez went on and on, reading the text of his interview with LE and having George say a couple of words in agreement. Drane Burdick objected a number of times because Baez was attempting to have George opine on the motivation of LE in helping him see and speak to his daughter.
I just keep remembering all the hope we had that Caylee was alive and being held by kidnappers or that Casey had "stashed" her somewhere to keep her away from her parents. From the very beginning, Baez was treating this as a murder case. My question is, was LE trying to find a child or solve a murder at that point in time. I personally believe they had left all their options open at the time.
The remainder of the morning dealt in excruciating detail, with the meeting LE tried to set up between George Anthony and Casey. The questions went on and on forever, it seemed. The basic facts were that Baez was out of town (in New York, visiting with Geraldo). George testified that he didn't know that. Apparently, Gabriel Adam was visiting that day and talked Casey out of the meeting.
George told Baez that he couldn't "count on his fingers and toes" the number of times LE asked him to talk to Casey. He desperately wanted to find his granddaughter.
Finally to end the morning, Baez played the tape of George being driven in the car to the jail. Baez kept pausing and asking George, "did you hear....?" George would say yes. I tuned it out since I'd heard that audio before. Here it is if you want to listen for yourself!
When the audio ended, Judge Perry called for the lunch break. I'm hoping that Linda Drane Burdick starts out the afternoon questioning.
Note: when announcing plans for tomorrow, Judge Perry mentioned they would have to take a break around 10:30. It dawned on me that this hearing will now extend all the way into tomorrow!
Here's the bad news. I have to have a bit of surgery tomorrow morning. Hopefully, I'll be home by the time InSession ends for the day and I can watch the ending of the hearing before watching the beginning! It depends on how "out of it" I am from that darned general anaesthesia! I'll do my very best to finish my coverage as soon as I can.
Linda Drane Burdick began her cross examination of George Anthony immediately after the lunch break. She started out giving a time line of major events early in the case beginning with Casey's initial arrest. She asked George whether or not he remembered them.
He had little recollection of testifying at the bond hearing and the hearing for the protective order. (the jail visitation videos)
Prior to Casey's arrest, he spoke very little with her about Caylee's disappearance. After her incarceration, the family set up a command center within a week after Casey's arrest. At the same time, they also set up a tip hot line. All of this was in conjunction with Kidfinders and "a lot" of other organizations.
He also did a lot of media, voluntarily and involuntarily. He met Dominic Casey (who was working for Baez as an investigator). George claimed he didn't know exactly what Casey's role was.
Lee Anthony had started an independent investigation of his own, although George was vague on what Lee actually did.
All in all, the Anthony family was doing quite an investigation on their own.
When Drane Burdick asked if they were attempting to get Casey to write letters to them to send through Baez. George said he had no idea what his wife and son were doing. George said Baez read some things to them from Casey in his office.
Drane Burdick also mentioned the video visitations the family had with Casey. George Anthony believed it was he who had arranged them.
At that point, he got testy with Drane Burdick and asked for a moment. Apparently, he was staring at blank papers to get his mind focused.
Then, Drane Burdick brought up the hearing for a protective order again. It seems that George Anthony had asked Jose Baez to file the motion so that he could see his daughter without the video being made public. His goal was to find Caylee and he needed information from his daughter to accomplish that. He and his family would then be able to see Casey regardless of the communication he promised with LE. (He promised that any leads he got from Casey would be passed on to them.)
George claimed he never went back to see his daughter was because he knew the videos would be released.
The family had a goal at that time that coincided with the goal of LE, to find Caylee.
George said he would have "sold his soul to the devil" to find Caylee at their time. (I imagine he considers OCSO and the FBI as devils.)
Drane Burdick also got George to admit that if LE had taken the position that it was a family issue and they weren't touching it, he would have continued to search on his own.
George then went off on a rant. Judge Perry calmed him down and refused to allow George to address him directly to make a complaint to Perry. George then shook his head.
Drane Burdick went into all the times George Anthony tried to contact his daughter.
There was even one occasion where Yuri Melich refused George's request because he didn't want to be put in "that" position. The was also testimony as to the times the OCSO and the FBI couldn't help him to talk to his daughter either. (All of this refers to the independent Anthony Family Investigation. The fact is, the family members were the Agents of the Family.)
Linda Drane Burdick then asked the big question: "So, who's agent are you?" George answered that he was an agent for the OSCO, the FBI, all of them. He said he only realized this in retrospect.
I'm not buying this. He just went on a huge rant about how he and his family would do whatever it took, legally or illegally, to get answers from Casey.
Back at the hearing for the protective order, George Anthony told the Court that if the videos were sealed, anything he found out, he would share it with LE.
Drane Burdick ended with the strong note that George Anthony was an agent for Caylee Anthony.
Jose Baez then conducted re-direct examination.
Baez brought up that he and George have butted heads over Casey. (George wanted to see his daughter, Baez didn't want anything on videotape for obvious reasons.)
As far as I can see, the only time George believed that he was an Agent of the State was during the days when he got help from LE to set up a private meeting with Casey and it didn't work out. I also wonder if he only feels that way now because LE didn't help him meet his impossible dream, to find a live Caylee.
Baez then attempted to get in testimony that Mark Hawkins wore an FBI wire when he went to Baez' office and the Anthony house in October, 2008. Mark was Casey's California connection whom she called shortly before her case broke in the news.
This information never made it into testimony because Baez' motion only covers up to August 14, 2008.
Baez then asked all sorts of "schmoozy and sentimental" questions that made George cry. One that set him off was when Baez asked him if he (Baez) told him that by not going to court one day, he could save Casey's life, would he do it. Linda Drane Burdick objected but the judge overruled it. Baez then upped the ante on the question by adding that if he had ben subpoenaed to testify, and he were told it would save Casey or Caylee's life if he didn't show up, would he not show up. George answered he would not. He'd take the consequences to save a life. (Too bad one of those lives is beyond saving.)
Witness: Gabriel Adam: Former attorney with the Baez Law Firm
Adam was a lawyer with the Baez Law Firm at the time the case broke. There was a meeting about a meeting between George Anthony and Casey Anthony he attended. Apparently, the contents of the testimony would reveal information from the client, Casey Anthony.
Baez attempted to ask questions he Adam didn't want to answer due to attorney-client privilege. Judge Perry intervened here and explained to Baez that he cannot use the privilege as a shield and them turn it into a sword. Once it is breached, the door is wide open. (I would think an attorney would know not to do that sort of thing.)
Adam then told the story of how he was kept waiting to visit Casey at the jail. It was the night that George was supposed to visit Casey. On his way to visit Casey, he ran into Sgt. Allen. The conversation involved an attempted visit by George Anthony without counsel being present. He told Allen that meeting would not happen.
Linda Drane Burdick brought out that the meeting never did occur.
Judge Perry asked Adam a few questions of his own. He helped made it clear that Casey had reached out to her father for a visit. Adam met with Casey and then told Allen there would be no meeting.
Witness: Lee Anthony
Lee had a lot of contact with LE after Caylee went missing. They had a daily meeting with the family and contact by e-mail and phone calls on a daily basis.
Their "catch phrase" was we can't talk to Casey, but you can.
The questioning of Lee followed along similar lines with his father, but were much shorter in duration.
It was clear from Lee's testimony that the family was concerned that Baez was keeping Casey from talking to LE to help find her child. And, the goal of the family was to find Caylee.
I can't figure out how cooperating with LE to find a missing child becomes being an AGENT OF THE STATE.
Baez, first of all, asked if LE had bad-mouthed him. (my words) Lee said that the only thing they said was that Baez didn't return phone calls or cooperate in any way in the investigation.
He wanted to know if LE told him what to say to Casey. Baez then played a composite of 6 video clips of his visit with his sister.
The first clip was of Lee explaining how to get letters out through the court. He pointed out that Jose works for her and he is not obligated to pass information along to the family.
Lee stated that no one told him this, it was his own "train of thought."
Lee said that Baez first focus was Casey, then Caylee. He also said that Baez' first focus was really himself.
Lee listed his focuses as Caylee, Casey, Mom, Dad, Himself. He didn't give a s*** about anyone else. Casey agreed with this.
Lee also informed her that Baez had never returned a single call to the police department.
Sgt. Allen and Cpl. Melich were Lee's source for this information. They wanted to open a line of communication to help find Caylee and Baez was keeping them from talking to her.
(I think you get the idea of their conversations, if you haven't seen them already, possibly a few times.)
Baez kept asking Lee of exactly what information he received from LE. This was even down to the date Caylee visited with her great-grandfather.
I can't figure out how cooperating with LE to find a missing child becomes being an AGENT OF THE STATE.
Baez then gave Lee the notes he took while conferring with LE about what to ask Casey prior to their first video-visitation. Then, he offered an e-mail dated July 26, 2008 as an exhibit. It contained what information he and the family had learned from Casey during their visits.
There was then discussion of Lee's interview with Cpl. Edwards.
Linda Drane Burdick then cross-examined Lee. She begin by mentioning that he was the first person Casey told that Caylee was missing. Upon hearing this, Cindy intervened and LE showed up to investigate.
Lee went into a state similar to "white noise" upon hearing this from his sister. He decided at that point that this was a problem and he was going to help solve the problem. Even if LE were not involved, he was going to solve this problem.
One of the first thing he did was start taking notes. He went on the computer to gather information on his own, independent of LE. He also went over to Tony Lazzaro to collect Casey's belongings. He talked to them for some time. He found a bunch of receipts after a couple of days.
Prior to her arrest, he had little time to talk to Casey. Lee shared information with his family, LE, and Mr. Baez. His investigation was independent of everyone.
He was not the one working with LE to record himself talking to Tony Lazarro. (To give Lee credit, he had a genuine laugh over that.)
He also worked with Dominic Casey, an investigator working for Mr. Baez. Casey even offered him an apprenticeship!
Lee's goal was to find Caylee. He did all these things, independent of LE to find Caylee or the people who took Caylee.
There was a great deal more questioning, but it became clear that Lee never considered himself an agent of the State. He was doing everything he could to find Caylee and save his sister.
Next, Baez began carping that Lee came into his office and copied the receipts pinned to the wall. Lee turned them over to LE and they were later turned over to the State with a subpoena.
Was Baez trying to say that Lee was not only an agent of the state, but a spy?
Lee's allegiance was one-sided. For Caylee.
Witness: Sgt. Dennis Moonsammy OCSO
Dennis Moonsammy was told to go to Lima Dorm and get a letter from Casey Anthony. This was the letter to Sheriff Beary asking to be able to meet in private with her father.
He gave the letter to Major Johnson.
Witness: Marlene Baker, Orange County Jail Employee
She works at the jail. Casey Anthony gave her a letter.
The sergeant informed her she would be getting a letter from Ms. Anthony. She put in on a desk and called for Sgt. Moonsammy to get it. He called someone more senior at the jail.
Witness: Sgt. John Allen OCSO
Jose Baez then called John Allen back to the stand and started asking what seemed to be random questions.
There was some talk of a meeting at the courthouse that never took place on August 14.
Allen said he never told George or Lee to write "the letter".
He never told Lee that Casey could write a letter to her through the court system. In fact, he didn't know there was such a mail system.
He told the family that the he only way they could talk to Casey was with arrangements with her lawyer.
The only arrangements he made with the jail about the video visitations was he asked them to record them. It was a bit confusing, but he also said it was Yuri Melich who asked them to record them.
Baez then asked if he ever make any negative comments about him? Linda Drane Burdick's objection was sustained
This is so weird. Baez kept asking about who told who he was not doing a proper job representing Casey. Allen said the Anthony's were always complaining to HIM about Baez.
In all Allen's years he's never set up such a meeting as was discussed earlier.
At this point, the hearing came to an end for the day. Judge Perry asked how long it would take (and I am assuming arguments for this motion) and Baez said 2 hours!
Court will be in session at 8:45 tomorrow morning! It will go all day with a break for some other business the judge has to take care of.
From what I could make out from the conference at the bench, it sounds like they will possibly hear the Motion to Strike Kathi Belich from the defense witness list first, but I can't be sure.
I won't be with you tomorrow, as I mentioned up above. I will be serenely unconscious early in the day and hopefully I will catch the entire hearing bit by bit.
See you all in court sometime tomorrow, perhaps a bit woozy!
13 comments:
- Anonymous said...
I hope your operation goes well . You may not be the only one unconsious ? Bozo seems to have that effect after listening to him drone on after a little while ?
- March 3, 2011 at 6:17 PM
- FRG said...
Thank you Ritanita!
Love your articles! Have I told you how great you are? I hope I did!
I am starting to think JB has a persecution complex and I am serious! This is NOT about what people think if he is a good counsel or not, this is about a murder of a 2-year-old girl! Who is more egotistical, KC or JB? Hard to tell, in my opinion.
By the way those questions JB made to make George emotional were cruel and uncalled for! Even if I have no sympathy for George, it was pointless to ask a parent what they would for their kid. Nasty, nasty, nasty! JB is trying to make KC go against and disconnect herself from her family because I suspect she will be throwing each of them under the bus. I am not sure jurors will be sympathetic towards her if she does that. From her nonchalant behavior throughout these hearings we know KC is all about KC!
In my opinion, George is misdirecting his anger, after all KC brought this upon her family. Prosecutors are trying to bring justice for Caylee. George will be a bad witness at trial and he may snap. His lawyer is not doing a good job and coaching him well! His behavior in court is unacceptable!
I wish you luck in your surgery and a fast recovery!
- March 3, 2011 at 7:15 PM
- Anonymous said...
Thank you for your recap of today's hearing. I watched the hearing but still enjoy reading your summary of the event.
I would like to wish you luck tomorrow with whatever your having taken care of. I sincerely hope all goes well. Have a great weekend,
Take care,
- March 3, 2011 at 7:28 PM
- Anonymous said...
Good write up!
- March 3, 2011 at 7:56 PM
- crim 310 said...
Ritanita thank you for sharing your concise summary of today's proceedings.Succinct and objective. You must be exhausted after a full day of this. I know that I am and I just watched it at home.I have no sympathy for the odious Anthonys, but I was moved mightily by George's agony. No one likes to see a grown man cry on national tv. I suspect that Mr. Baez is missing a sensitivity chip for leading George to tears. I was pleasantly surprised by Lee ... it looks like he can tell the truth. You may already know this, but I have heard some "back channel" chatter that Baez is trying to broker a deal with the SAO to withdraw the Contempt Motion on Friday. I guess we'll see.
Good luck with the surgery and Bravo for the piece.
- March 3, 2011 at 9:56 PM
- my3sons said...
Ritanita,thank you the excellent recap, as always. I hope all goes well for you tomorrow. May you be no more woozy from your procedure, than from the last 2 days of hearings.
- March 3, 2011 at 10:17 PM
- kellygreen said...
Ritanita, as always, your recaps are the best! Good luck on Friday--and enjoy those moments when you are blissfully unaware of the insanity surrounding the Anthony's.
- March 4, 2011 at 1:11 AM
- Liz said...
Do take care tomorrow - be thinking of you - and thankyou for the writeup on today. I was exhausted by lunch time.
- March 4, 2011 at 2:14 AM
- Anonymous said...
Hope all goes well for you today.
I enjoy reading your summaries here and appreciate all the effort you put into them.
Sending prayers your way today :)
- March 4, 2011 at 3:46 AM
- crim 310 said...
So, I guess the "back chatter" that I referenced yesterday is correct. Baez did broker a deal on the Motion to Sanction and he did that with a public apology to Mr. Ashton. Mason's strength is deal making, perhaps he is responsible for this success.
Baez was really lucky that the Court agreed to this, the sanctions could have had dreadful repercussions.
- March 4, 2011 at 9:31 AM
- ritanita said...
Thanks everyone for the good thoughts. I'm back home and just enough woozy to appreciate that I pretty much have the entire hearing (with commercials) on my DVR, thanks to Ms. Anthony's wardrobe malfunction.
I did get to hear the Baez apology.
Crim 304, you called it! Although the "season" for filing pre-trial motions is pretty much over, let's hope the nonsense stops for good.
I'm sure Judge Perry won't be so acceptiong if something were to come down the line in the future.
It's only 2 months and 5 days to jury selection. It's been a long wait, but a very educational one, legally.
- March 4, 2011 at 10:57 AM
- FRG said...
So glad you are back and apparently well! Maybe not so after the hearing. LOL
I am disappointed JB got a slap on his wrist. I am not he will ever learn his lesson though.
- March 4, 2011 at 12:56 PM
- Anonymous said...
Ritanita, My prayers are with you. I hope each day brings you continued recovery. Jose isn't fooling anyone. He did what he had to do to save his butt. The defense team and the Anthony family are very frustrating to watch in the court room. Linda and Jeff must be saints. They have had to endure these cruel and wicked so called human beings for over 2 1/2 years. Thank goodness Caylee has them on her side.
- March 5, 2011 at 10:26 AM


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Friday, August 5 @ 6:00pm
Town Hall Gallery
360 Burwood Rd Hawthorn
Has an Open Mic?
Blurring the boundary between real and imagined, Imagined Worlds presents an opportunity to escape into the minds of brilliant spoken word poets and to let them take you on a journey far and wide. Featuring John Englezos, William Beale, Sharifa Tartoussi, and Cheung-Ling Wong.
The winners of the 2020 XYZ Prize for Innovation in Spoken Word are: Eloise Grills and Jaslyn Robertson (co-winners and collaborators), for their piece "Erotic Thriller".
Highest Queensland Entry: Holly Robertson for "The Laundromat is a Peculiar Place for Philosophy"
Highly Commended:Sarah Temporal 'Who Gave Birth to my Daughter'
Yasmin McQuade 'Frida's Eyebrows'
In its 6th year, the Arts Queensland XYZ Prize for Innovation in Spoken Word is Australia's only national arts award that recognises the growing field of spoken word and is named after the former 2010 Arts Queensland Poet in Residence, Emily XYZ, who left a deep impression on many of today's Queensland spoken word artists. It is open to applicants Australia-wide.
Winners: "Erotic Thriller" – Eloise Grills and Jaslyn Robertson
Eloise Grills is an award-winning writer, comics artist, poet and critic. Her first book of poetry, If you're sexy and you know it slap your hams (Subbed In) was recently shortlisted for the Mary Gilmore award. She's currently working on her first illustrated memoir with the support of the Australia Council. www.eloisegrills.com
Jaslyn Robertson is a young composer of electronic and chamber music who writes with unusual sounds, alternate tuning systems and new forms of notation. In 2020 she has received the Monash Animated Notation Ensemble commissioning prize and a commission for Ossicle duo supported by Creative Victoria and City of Melbourne. http://jaslyn.biz/
Highest Queensland Entry: "The Laundromat is a Peculiar Place for Philosophy" – Holly Robertson
Holly Robertson is a 19 year old poet and student from Brisbane. Writing for the last six
With the world in a pretty unprecedented situation, as people already know, and although it's by far not the most important issue right now, it's had a pretty devastating effect on the arts, including the spoken word community.
Obviously, us coming together as a community at events in person are a crucial part of spoken word, and one the main reasons MSW exists is to support those community events. For us, it's not just about the art form or individual artists, but how the art form brings people together, whether you've been doing this as a career for ages or whether you've turned up to an open mic for the very first time.
It's been a learning experience and a bit of brightness amongst the darkness to watch how people have responded to self-isolation and lockdown measures by finding ways to use online platforms to continue to host open mics and other events. Alongside us starting to live stream events, we've been watching the rest of our community and the different ways events have gone online.
Spoken word, storytelling, poetry and writing still remain a way we can express ourselves and try to make sense of the world we live in and for us to come together as a community and for people's voices to be heard. This remains critical in a time of self-isolation.
With most expert opinions predicting that this situation is likely to continue for months, not just weeks, the likelihood of us being able to hold in person events with an audience in July or August is pretty unlikely, and so Melbourne Spoken Word has made a decision to not hold The Melbourne Spoken Word & Poetry Festival in 2020.
Instead, we're announcing The Melbourne Spoken Word Festival Online for 2020, with a new expressions of interest period now open for organisations and producers to propose events to be held on online as part of our program this year. We're excited to see what spoken word
Morgaine van Wingerden, honourable mention at The 2019 Melbourne Spoken Word Prize performs 'The Waitlist' at Collingwood Town Hall. The 2019 Melbourne Spoken Word Prize was supported by Yarra Libraries.
Morgaine is a Melbourne based poet and artist who shares stories exploring family, mental health, relationships and womanhood. She has featured at numerous events across Melbourne and Sydney, and has performed at the Bowery Poetry House and Nuyorican in New York. She has been a member of Slamalamadingdong's Team Slama the last two years in a row and was awarded an honourable mention in the 2019 Melbourne Spoken Word Prize.


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Biscuit and pear jam
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Talking SCHOP! Second Hundred brunches
Everyone is looking for a new place for brunch in the city, but does it exist? Permutations of eggs, bread and breakfast meats are rampant across this metropolis. Yes, the omelets, pancakes and breakfast sausage do satisfy the weekend hangover and/or encourage the necessary nap needed for sleep-deprived New Yorkers. However, when you find that spot that makes you pause and reflect a little deeper, it must be noted.


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Quick Take
- PayPal accounts for about 45% of our $54 price estimate for eBay
- eBay's revenue growth over the past two years driven by PayPal's
- The number of active accounts and payments per account are the driving factor behind PayPal's revenues
- Expansion of PayPal's services offline through card swiping device (PayPal Here), tie-up with Discover Financial Services and PayPal mobile app to drive revenue growth in near term
eBay's acquisition of PayPal in 2002 has proved to be an excellent strategic move that has helped the company come out of the 2008 recession stronger than before. The astonishing growth in PayPal's revenues has been driving eBay's overall revenue growth over the past couple of years as PayPal's revenue growth over the past three years has averaged around 25% YoY. We expect PayPal to continue growing at similar rates for the next couple of years before the slowing down.
Our forecasts for the next couple of years are supported by PayPal's efforts to expand its presence offline. The company has entered into an arrangement with Discover Financial Services and launched hardware to enable payments through mobile devices and cards at merchant's cash registers.
Here we take a detailed look at factors that support our forecast that the number of payments per account on PayPal are going to increase from 1.6 per month to about 2.5 per month in 2019. PayPal has about 123 million globally active accounts which we expect to increase to 275 million by 2019. We expect growth in the number of active accounts and payments per account to drive the growth in Paypal's revenues.
Check out our complete analysis of eBay
The Tie-Up With Discover Financial Services
PayPal announced an arrangement with Discover in August last year which is expected to come into effect in the second quarter of 2013. As part of the deal, PayPal will issue payment cards to its more than 50 million active users in the United States over the next year. The new card will have a Discover Issuer Identification Number, or IIN, which is a code that identifies the card holder, and will allow users to buy from merchants that are part of Discover's network. PayPal will charge merchants when users pay with the new cards, and, in turn, will pay Discover for access to its network, on a per-transaction basis.
Paypal's footprint will expand to cover an additional 7 million stores post the deal. We expect the enhanced ubiquity of the payment service will positively impact the number of transactions per PayPal account.
However, PayPal, will face tough competition from other card companies such as Visa Inc., MasterCard and American Express. To be successful, PayPal will need to convince users that its low hassle payment method is better than the old stale version of transacting. Additional competition for PayPal will come from Square, the brainchild of Twitter founder Jack Dorsey.
PayPal Here As A Replacement For Cash Registers
Besides the tie-up with Discover, PayPal also launched a point of sales solution, PayPal Here in 2012. The solution will serve as a replacement for cash registers. It enables merchants to use a card reader attached to a mobile device to accept payments. The card reader device is aimed at small businesses who are unwilling to bear costs associated with keeping cash registers. With several big brands such as Home Depot, Abercrombie & Fitch, Jos. A Bank, etc. integrating PayPal into their existing payment platforms, the future for PayPal, subject to an effective implementation of the technology, looks promising. We expect the greater reliance on PayPal at point of sales and the ease of cashless transactions to drive the growth in the number of payments per account in the future.
PayPal Here Customized According To The Markets
The company has been careful about the local preferences when designing the PayPal Here devices for the individual markets. For example in Europe, the company recently launched a version of the device that is different from the one in the U.S. In Europe, most credit and debit cards use a chip-and-pin type of authentication, which is more complex than the swipe-based cards that U.S. shoppers use. For insights into the functional differences between the devices you can refer to videos posted by PayPal on its official channels on YouTube. [Links: The U.S.A device, The Europe device]
PayPal Mobile
PayPal is also promoting mobile transactions as an alternative to payment by cards through its mobile app. The service works through the PayPal app that customers can use to check-in to the store. They can then place an order and pay using their PayPal account. The merchant will be able to see the name and photo ID of the checked-in customer via its point of sale terminal for security purposes. PayPal has partnered with point of sale technology companies such as MICROS, Island Pacific, Kounta and Vend and will soon add more retailers and hospitality partners into the mix. You can see the greater functionality of the service in this video posted by PayPal on its YouTube channel.
We expect PayPal's offline expansion plans to drive its and eBay's revenue growth in the near future. The service's presence in both the online and offline transaction world is still limited and hence there is a lot of scope to grow. The PayPal service already boasts 123 million active accounts. eBay's next challenge lies in getting these customers to use PayPal for offline transactions, too. To that end, the company has been busy getting major retailers on board as well as expanding the service internationally. The huge potential for growth supports our estimate of PayPal accounting for 46% of our $54 Trefis price estimate for eBay.
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Led by MIT engineers and Wall Street analysts, Trefis (through its dashboards platform dashboards.trefis.com) helps you understand how a company's products, that you…
Led by MIT engineers and Wall Street analysts, Trefis (through its dashboards platform dashboards.trefis.com) helps you understand how a company's products, that you touch, read, or hear about everyday, impact its stock price. Surprisingly, the founders of Trefis discovered that along with most other people they just did not understand even the seemingly familiar companies around them: Apple, Google, Coca Cola, Walmart, GE, Ford, Gap, and others. This might include you though you may have invested money in these companies, or may have been working with one of them for years as an employee, or have consulted with them as an expert for a long time. You can play with assumptions, or try scenarios, as-well-as ask questions to other users and experts. The platform uses extensive data to show in a single snapshot what drives the value of a company's business. Trefis is currently used by hundreds of thousands of investors, company employees, and business professionals.


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Nite Tales The Movie - Hosted By Flava Flav (Starring Sticky Fingaz & Fredro Starr) [DVD Movie Trailer]
Video Submission Inbox X Reply to all Forward Reply by chat Filter messages like this Print Add to Contacts list Delete this message Report phishing Report not phishing Show original Show in fixed width font Show in variable width font Message text garbled? Why is this spam/nonspam? Jonathon Williams to me show details Dec 17 (2 days ago) Reply heres the updated file u requested...(better quality) Title: Nite Tales - The Movie (Trailer) Description: Nite Tales The Movie - Hosted By: Flava Flav Starring: Sticky Fingaz, Terrance Evans, Tony Todd, Dante Basco, Tyrin Turner, Michael J Pagan, James Otis, Chico Benymon, Jordan Woolley, Fredro Starr and more... . Shout out to Jonathan
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First things first, my wife is (finally, thankfully) out of the hospital. More diagnostics and Dr's visits to come. But she's back home. Thanks for the comments and emails.
After my ride home, I went to the bike shop to check on my Trek 1200. I didn't notice it, but my whole RD actually got destroyed in the carnage last week. Unfortunately, the RD isn't covered under the warranty, so I will have to shell out my hard-earned cash for a new one. My options were to cheap out and get a Sora RD for under $30 (no thanks) or upgrade to Ultegra for $115 (No thanks) if I wanted them to use parts they had in the shop. Or, I could get a brand new 105 RD for a more reasonable price. 105 is the stock level for this bike, but the one they have is silver instead of black. The rub? I have wait for someone to run to the other store to get the parts, which means they probably won't have time to install it until tomorrow.
So I told them to go get it. And then I goofed off in the shop for a while. And this is where it gets good. I got on a unicycle. I know what you're thinking. Noah's a retard! Well, I didn't actually even attempt that. So I tried their Indo Balance Board. Full-on. Just hopped right on it and gave it a whirl. Whoooooop - THUD. The balance board flew across the shop floor, and I landed on my (well padded) butt. No harm. Not even my ego, because I knew it would happen. The techs knew it would happen, too. It was later that they disclosed the fact that pretty much everyone's first time on the Indo board results in a butt plant. There were no surprises. They are thinking of putting a video camera up in the skateboard section just so they can youtube some of the epic failures. I don't know how well that plan would work out for them.
So, tomorrow I get the Twelve back. I hope.
Random Tunage:
T.A.T.U. - All the things she said
Nirvana - Smells Like Teen Spirit
Tuesday, April 01, 2008
This had to look like something out of a cartoon...
First things first, my wife is (finally, thankfully) out of the hospital. More diagnostics and Dr's visits to come. But she's back home. Thanks for the comments and emails.
2 comments:
- Unknown said...
At least you had padding on
- April 02, 2008 2:47 AM
- Noah said...
I wasn't "wearing" padding, per se. Padding comes naturally after a decade of office lethargy.
- April 02, 2008 9:29 AM
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Landoll, a former coloring and activity book powerhouse whose name disappeared from the market shortly after McGraw-Hill Education purchased the company almost 15 years ago, is relaunching. It is debuting a line of coloring, activity, and puzzle books at the New York International Toy Fair this week.
Investment company SJS Acquisitions LLC backed the venture after being approached by the Landoll family at the beginning of this year. Rick Busby, a partner in SJS and a veteran of Landoll, McGraw-Hill, Golden Books, and American Greetings, will serve as CEO, while Jimmy Landoll, son of Landoll founder Jim Landoll, is the company's president. "We had all the pieces [in place to relaunch], and we needed someone like Rick to help us put it all together," said Landoll. "There's been a lot of consolidation in coloring and activity, but it's still a sizable market," Busby believes. "There's room for other players."
Landoll's focus will be on "B, C, and D" retailers, Busby and Landoll said. It has presented its line so far to chains such as Meijer, Five Below, A.C. Moore, and Big Lots. "We think the smaller chains are not being serviced well," Busby explained. "We're really going to pound the customer service."
While licensed books dominate in the coloring and activity segment, Landoll will stay away from licensing for now, producing titles with everyday and holiday themes. "A lot of money is put toward the licensing, but not always the art," said Busby, who estimates that non-licensed titles still drive 35% of units in the industry. "We're working with freelance artists that have done work for the [Hollywood] studios, to give the books great artwork with a higher perceived value than most titles that go into these [regional] chains."
McGraw-Hill bought Landoll from Tribune Education in 2000, along with Everyday Learning/Creative Publications, NTC/Contemporary Publishing, Instructional Fair, and the Wright Group. Tribune Education had acquired Landoll in 1997.
In an earnings call the year after the purchase, McGraw-Hill executives said they had been primarily interested in Landoll's educational workbook business rather than its coloring, activity, and sticker book line. Eventually, it stopped using the name and abandoned the trademark, according to Jimmy Landoll, freeing the family to use the name again.
Books will be printed at Landoll's plant in Ohio and will start shipping in April.


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Eclipse settings generator
compile "org.grails.plugins:eclipse-scripts:126.96.36.199"
Creates .classpath and .project files for Eclipse/STS integration.Downloads the sources and javadocs for dependencies from public repositories.Links the sources and javadocs to the dependent libraries.example use (Eclipse / Groovy-Eclipse plugin, no STS): grails compilegrails download-sources-and-javadocs (run twice in a row)grails download-sources-and-javadocsgrails create-eclipse-filessh scripts/create_cpvardirs_unix.sh (unix) or scripts/create_cpvardirs_windows.bat (windows)then import eclipse_workspace_settings.epf Eclipse Preference to your Eclipse Workspaceexample use (STS Grails dependency manager compatible):grails integrate-with --eclipsegrails compilegrails download-sources-and-javadocs (run twice in a row)grails download-sources-and-javadocsgrails sts-link-sources-and-javadocs For more information:grails help download-sources-and-javadocsgrails help create-eclipse-filesgrails help sts-link-sources-and-javadocs
grails install-plugin eclipse-scripts 1.0.6
You can manually copy or symlink the scripts to GRAILS_HOME/scripts directory if you want global installation.Alternative installation of scripts in unix (not as a plugin):
Global installation (--global) gives an error in Grails 1.2.1 .
cd $GRAILS_HOME/scriptswget https://github.com/lhotari/grails-eclipse-scripts/raw/master/scripts/DownloadSourcesAndJavadocs.groovy wget https://github.com/lhotari/grails-eclipse-scripts/raw/master/scripts/StsLinkSourcesAndJavadocs.groovy
Support for Grails 2.3 / Aether added:usage:cd $GRAILS_HOME/scripts wget https://github.com/lhotari/grails-eclipse-scripts/raw/master/scripts/StsLinkSourcesAndJavadocs.groovygrails integrate-with --eclipse grails compile grails refresh-dependencies --include-source --include-javadoc test.xml grails sts-link-sources-and-javadocs
News: Support for STS/GGTS 3.0 is in Github's master branch. Download StsLinkSourcesAndJavadocs.groovy file and place it in GRAILS_HOME/scripts.
New in 1.0.6 version: Support for Grails 2.0.x
Grails 2.x allows downloading dependency sources without this plugin using the commandThis command is currently broken. There is an open jira to fix this problem. http://jira.grails.org/browse/GRAILS-8955grails refresh-dependencies --include-source --include-javadoc test.xml
FeaturesCreates .classpath and .project files for Eclipse integration. Downloads the sources and javadocs for dependencies from public repositories. Links the sources and javadocs to the dependent libraries (navigating/debugging source code is now possible, javadoc tooltips show up for most libraries).The plugin removes user specific information from .classpath and .project files and makes it possible to shared these files in a large team of Grails developers. Eclipse classpath variables and linked resources (=path variables) are used for removing user specific parts. Eclipse project reference/dependency is added to inline-plugins (it's easier to develop a larger Grails project in Eclipse now). The script creates a Eclipse Preference File with proper values so that it can be imported in to Eclipse Workspace.STS isn't required. The settings should be ok in plain Eclipse + Groovy Eclipse plugin.Since 1.0.3 version, a script called "sts-link-sources-and-javadocs" has been added to support STS Grails Dependency Management. This script should be used to link downloaded sources and javadocs to "Grails Dependencies" classpath container in STS. (You have to download sources and javadocs before adding links with the script.)
Quick start (STS 2.5.2)
After running the script refresh your workspace in STS and restart STS.
grails integrate-with --eclipse grails compile grails download-sources-and-javadocs grails sts-link-sources-and-javadocs
Quick start (plain Eclipse / Eclipse + Groovy-Eclipse plugin)
This step is required if there are several developers on your team and you want to share common .project/.classpath files. This will create a script for creating symbolic links / ntfs junctions. There is a limitation in Eclipse that you cannot use classpath or path variables in Javadoc URLs.
grails compile grails download-sources-and-javadocs grails create-eclipse-files
then import
sh scripts/create_cpvardirs_unix.sh (unix) or scripts/create_cpvardirs_windows.bat (windows) grails create-eclipse-files (updates .classpath to use the symbolic links in javadoc urls)
eclipse_workspace_settings.epf Eclipse Preference to your Eclipse Workspace (File->Import->General->Preferences->select file->Finish).
For detailed usage
grails help download-sources-and-javadocs grails help create-eclipse-files grails help sts-link-sources-and-javadocs